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Tomorrow Obama wins the majority of pledged delegates
Will the MSM notice? Will it even be stated?
How big of a deal will the MSM, and blogs like TPM, make of it?
Will Obama's capture of the majority of pledged delegates be lost amongst "big stories" such as Hillary's dramatic 4 point victory in Indiana, which obviously "spells doom for Obama's campaign"?
I say it will be ignored. It doesn't fit the bullshit narrative.
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Comments (7)
It'll be completely ignored. Who cares about delegates - the only measure by which this race is judged - when we can talk about:
- Comeback Kids
- Horse races
- "She's a fighter"
- Rev. Wright
- Gas tax holidays
Who cares about who's actually winning?
May 6, 2008 1:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Originally, this was all supposed to be a tough front and a way of thinking positive, but I think at a certain point in this nomination campaign, the Hillary camp started believing their own bullshit.
The bullshit has now morphed into an entire mythology, with the Divine Automatic Delegates, who will Save Them from the Antichrist.
May 6, 2008 1:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
They dont believe it, they just hope that YOU believe it.
The process becomes something else when you let it. Maybe I am bias because I dont turn my tv on, aside from sundays....and SOMETIMES Smallville. Seriously.
When you let the opposite position gain traction in your head, THEN it becomes something else and changes and you either believe in it, or begin to fear it.
May 6, 2008 1:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
i think he will be short. he needs almost 135 delegates to obtain unbeatable lead in pledged delegates (1627). tomorrow he might get a maximum of 95 delegates, still 40 short.
May 6, 2008 1:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I had to go over the New York Times and read the political section and open the multimedia presentation to see how many contest are left, how many delegates are left and how many uncommitted delegates are left to get a greater perspective of the landscape.
May 6, 2008 1:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I think most of the number crunchers, including Chuck Todd, say it will be Oregon on May 20th which will put Obama over the magic 1627.5 number of 1/2 pledged delegates plus 1. However, as North Carolina has more pledged delegates than Indiana, and he is expected to win there by a larger % than she is expected to win in Indiana, the "numbers people" are expecting him to come out of tomorrow with a slight increase in pledged delegates as well as the popular vote.
I ran some other numbers. If the pledged delegates won tomorrow are a wash, Hillary would need to win the remaining 6 primaries by 89.4% to reach the 1627.5 number. After West Virginia, on May 13th, even if she wins by the 56 to 27 margin reported in a poll today, she would have to win the remaining 5 primaries by 96% to reach the 1627.5 number. Then Obama will actually win the majority on May 20th. So that is why it truly is statistically impossible for Hillary to win the majority of the pledged delegates.
Remember when Huckabee was hanging on saying he was praying for a miracle? I figure that is why Bill is asking people to pray for Hillary instead of vote for her.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/05/bill-clinton-as.html
May 6, 2008 2:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't you complain to the Democratic Party about their rules if you don't want to play by them?
May 6, 2008 2:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
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