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Today We Find Out The Level Gulibility
Demographics and polling tell us that Hillary should win IN by 9 or 10% and that Obama should win NC by a similar margin. The results tonight will tell us how well the gas tax pander worked by how far they deviate from these numbers. If Obama does better it will show that the electorate values the truth. If Clinton excedes expectations it will show we are the kind of dumb asses she thinks we are.
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Comments (10)
I wish it were this easy. Two issues:
Voter ID law
Operation Chaos
Voter ID hits hardest with Obama supporters. There's anecdotal evidence of Operation Chaos alive and well in IN.
So there you have it: if Clinton does really well in IN, it will be because of draconian voter disenfranchisement and Rush Limbaugh.
Interesting the enfranchisement is so important to her in FL and MI but not the students and the working urban poor in IN.
If the supers buy these raw numbers as proof of her viability, then I'm close to being done with the Democratic Party. Hillary has trashed every Democratic ideal and aligned herself so frighteningly with right wing pundits, newspapers and policies to make me literally afraid of her as a president.
And then it will be the party being complicit in its implosion. The party will have supported someone who, if you didn't know the party affiliation, you would be sure was a Republican.
The supers have not shown courage. If they don't now, I'm done with the party. Because it no longer represents the ideals that make America great, in my view.
May 6, 2008 9:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where to even begin? Voters aren't stupes; they know they aren't gonna see a dime of that gas tax money. They also know that economists and editorial writers are two groups who make a lot more than most of them do, aren't hurting much, and never have had trouble with pandering when their own interests are being served.
If Obama wants to align himself with the poobahs, that is his privilege, but I would pass on the moral superiority about it, thank you very much.
May 6, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Antiintelectualism is a form of idiocy no matter how popular it becomes.
May 6, 2008 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, there's a dynamite campaign theme! That will really pack 'em in in the fall, I'm sure.
Please. This has nothing to do with "anti-intellectualism" and everything to do with class. Working class Americans have been hurting for a long time, and economists and editorial writers have not been lifting a finger to give them a break. In a symbolic moment, Hillary is siding with them, Obama with the comfortably pure.
The art of politics is about human beings. During the Battle of Jutland in 1916, the captain of a German battlecruiser ordered his gunners to start firing into the mist. An economist would say he was wasting ammunition - the guys down in the engine rooms heard the big guns firing, and it raised their spirits in a time of danger. The economists are wrong; the captain was right. It is called leadership.
If you don't like it, you don't have a problem with me or Hillary. You have a problem with Charles Darwin.
May 6, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Doing something that has high cost and no benifit except for making it look like you are doing someting to the uninformed is bad policy. If you or Hillary have a problem with that you are not a part of the reality based community. I am a workingclass guy from the south with a public school education and I can figure it out. It is not about class as you sugested it is about ignorence.
May 6, 2008 1:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Drudge Report is claiming that their contact inside the Clinton campaign is attempting to set expections for a 15-point Obama win in NC.
So either they're trying to low-ball it so that they can claim a 10-point or less loss "exceeds expectations", or their internal numbers are showing a real blowout for Obama and they are beginning their retreat.
Normally I wouldn't link to Drudge, but he's been getting some solid info from Ballston recently.
http://www.drudgereport.com/flashnc.htm
May 6, 2008 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going with the lower the expectations line of reasoning. It fits Hillary's profile.
May 6, 2008 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
If she loses by that much her dreams of WV vindication are delusional. It will really be over and the media will no longer be able to maintain the fiction that she has a chance.
May 6, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're being spun by Drudge being spun by Hillary. Hillary's people know that if she takes a 15 point bath in NC she is history, even if she won IN by a similar margin.
Unless Hillary pulls off the miracle game changer win, the NC argument tonight will all about the point spread. Thanks to Drudge, a million political junkies are starting their day with a screaming 15 points headline. It will have some psychological effect of lowering Hillary's bar. If she has a lame night in NC - Obama by more than 10 - it won't help, but if it is a good Hillary night, anything that makes the point spread feel wider is a plus for her.
May 6, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
She'll lose NC by 6-7 points and will call that a symbolic win and win likely win Indiana by 3-4 points. This one is going to June folks, if not the August Convention.
May 6, 2008 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
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