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Oregon vs Kentucky

 Oregon, which has mail-in voting that ends next Tuesday shows Obama ahead in the beaver state 55% to 35%, according to most polls. Also next Tuesday Kentucky votes and Clinton is likely to win there almost as big as she won yesterday in West Virginia. The next result of next week is that Oregon and Kentucky will cancel each other out and the difference in delegates will not change much as a result of those two states. So the race will continue on towards June 3rd.

Don't look for Obama to get 140+ super delegates yet.... They are holding out until June 3rd....however, he will get a few here and there.


Comments (3)

I while part of your argument may well be true. I think KY will be closer than WV. I also think the Super flow will be about what it has been over the past several weeks. Already 2.5 today.

Now since we are both pulling these projections out of our you know where. We shall see.

Don't look for Obama to get 140+ super delegates yet....
he is currently about 140 delegates short. ky+or = 103 delegates , i think 45 for obama is conservative. those 45 will give him the majority of pledged, which will kick in the pelosi delegates (at least 6, but i suspect alot more). so he will need another 85 or so additional supers to get there before june. you are right, it might not happen.

I have no problem waiting for Montana and South Dakota to cast the deciding votes that push Obama over the top. Obama's 50-state (plus a half-dozen territories and Dems Abroad) strategy has been all-inclusive. The grassroots organization that his supporters have created is unprecedented, and getting all fifty states fully invested in his candidacy will only help to create a landslide victory for Obama in Novemeber.

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