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Kentucky.... HUGE WIN AGAIN!!!!
Hillary Clinton will likely win Kentucky by a huge victory like she did in West Virginia.
Kentucky polls:
Survey Usa (05-11-08)
Clinton: 62%
Obama: 30%
Research 2000 (05-09-08)
Clinton: 58%
Obama: 31%
Rasmussen Report (05-05-08)
Clinton: 56%
Obama: 31%
Survey Usa (0-5--5-08)
Clinton: 62%
Obama: 28%
Survey Usa (04-28-08)
Clinton: 63%
Obama: 27%
Survey Usa (04-14-08)
Clinton: 62%
Obama: 26%
Survey Usa (03-30-08)
Clinton: 58%
Obama: 29%
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Comments (20)
funny you don't mention Oregon anymore...
May 14, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
What is the story with Oregon? What's the electorate like? What do the polls show?
May 14, 2008 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
She's behind in Oregon by double digits. Where's Oregon Activist?
May 14, 2008 3:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go Hillary! Her speech last night was wonderful.
May 14, 2008 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, another huge win. Well, huge in the sense that the margin will be large, but not huge in the sense that it will in any way be relevant to anything.
It's pretty sad, actually, seeing Hillary debase herself like this. She's trading her long-term sense of dignity for a few moments of cheap short-term ecstasy. Whoopee. It's like she's a heroin addict who is needs to go cold turkey, but wants to put it off just another week, oh yeah, just one more week of the good stuff.
May 14, 2008 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a shame that TPM doesn't allow for the use of a purple pen to make all of those exclamation points.
May 14, 2008 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
(Sigh)
So!
May 14, 2008 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama Blowouts:
To put things in perspective, here is a review of past primaries and causcuses where Obama blew out Clinton.
State - Obama - Hillary
Idaho 82.2% 17.8%
Hawaii 76.2% 23.8%
District of Columbia 75.8% 24.2%
Alaska 74.6% 25.4%
Kansas 74.2% 25.8%
Washington 68.4% 31.6%
Georgia 68.1% 31.9%
South Carolina 67.6% 32.4%
Minnesota 67.4% 32.6%
Colorado 67.3% 32.7%
Illinois 66.3% 33.7%
Virginia 64.2% 35.8%
North Dakota 62.6% 37.4%
Mississippi 62.2% 37.8%
Maryland 61.9% 38.1%
Wyoming 61.9% 38.1%
Louisiana 61.7% 38.3%
Vermont 60.6% 39.4%
By TonnyB
May 14, 2008 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wisconsin was pretty much a blowout, too, wasn't it? Why did he do so much better in Wisconsin than in other "blue collar" states?
May 14, 2008 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
They're richer. Relatively speaking.
May 14, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
There ya go!
May 15, 2008 12:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
If she can reach the end and start over, she's got a real chance!
May 14, 2008 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
My sense is yes she will win, but it will be closer than these polls suggest.
May 14, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
You read my mind.
May 15, 2008 12:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kentucky, that melting pot that is representative of racial diversity and equality! To quote one politico on CNN this morning, "it has the lowest AA population of all the former Slave States," his words, as a citizen.
May 14, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Uhm... yeah? Kentucky has what? 51 delegates? How will these numbers help her?
I realize hope springs eternal, but there's a point when you cross over from hope into fantasyland. You've got to get real here--God is not going to give Hillary the nomination, and the voters already picked Obama. It's over.
May 14, 2008 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Could be. It could also be that the super delegates (i.e. the Party professionals) will look at the wrong electoral vote models and get worried that Obama can't beat McCain. As silly as that sounds. They might also be realizing about now that she is a much better candidate and be looking for a way to jump ship.
May 14, 2008 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Its called winning the battle but losing the war.
May 14, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Clinton is really whooping Obama's a**! But, what can you do; those two states (Kentucky and West Virginia) are the perfect demographic for her: appalachian regions with big pockets of "white" working class voters (although she did beat him in almost every demographic, which leaves a lot to be considered); be that as it may, she still won, so I congratulate her on her victories.
Then again, I think these victories are too late to have any real impact; seeing as she cannot win a plurality of the pledged delegates, which is the only metric that really matters. In addition, any gains that she will accrue from Kentucky, West Virginia, and Puerto Rico will be neutralized to a large extent by her almost certain losses in Oregon, Montana, and South Dakota.
However, I think she may be able to pull ahead in the popular vote if voter turn out is high enough AND the popular vote from Florida is also counted; but I think it highly unlikely. Therefore, Clinton supporters be proud of your candidate, she was a formidabble opponent, but she will not be able to capture the democratic nomination.
May 14, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
How is a woman who can't remember whether she'd been shot at or not a better candidate? Then McGeezer, even? Get real. She's lied and been disingenuous throughout this entire campaign, she started all the negativity, and she's carrying more skeletons in her closet than that funeral director who stopped cremating them and hid them. She's toast. Stick a fork in her, she's done.
May 15, 2008 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
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