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Insider Advantage: Obama's Lead In North Carolina Rebounds
Yesterday's Insider Advantage Poll show Barack Obama's lead in North Carolina rebounding.<P>Obama went from +15 advantage over Clinton just 2 weeks ago, to a -2 disadvantage during the recent Wright episode.
North Carolina<P>The numbers, compared to the last two polls:<P>Now he's back to +5:
05/01 611 LV 49 44 Obama +5.0<P>
04/29 571 LV 42 44 Clinton +2.0<P>
04/14 541 LV 51 36 Obama +15.0
This poll clearly shows the bleeding in N.C. has stopped and Obama's numbers are starting to recover.
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Comments (9)
Do we know for sure that Rev. Wright was the major cause of Obama's lead shrinking? I know that's what the MSM wants to believe, and I know if you prompt people about that issue, they
may say it's most important.
Couldn't it be that Clinton has done such an intense sweep of that state, it's made a difference for her?
May 3, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
24/7 coverage on Wright? I think that has a lot more to do with it.
May 3, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
24/7 coverage on the MSM.
But not locally. I've been browsing all the local papers the last week, in both Indiana and North Carolina. It was more about the economy.
I think it's fair to say that Wright has been a major problem. But we shouldn't assume that the MSM narrative accurately reflects the local media environment. Or what's on the mind of local voters.
The MSM can frame or call this election any way they want. But they're not run by polls. They're run by ratings.
Also, the MSM has been wrong for most of this election.
May 3, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just read something that I found could be part of why other than the Wright issue. He's been spending more time in Indiana stemming the damage there as opposed to N.C., so his absence has allowed her to move in closer.
I suspect his lead was wide enough that he was too worried and focused just enough to keep it from really going south.
Her being out there more would be on the local news more.
This will affect the white working class vote, but not his base of AA's, white wealthier and of course the youth.
May 3, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
There was also much early voting in NC prior to the negative news cycle.
http://www.charlotte.com/politics/story/586194.html
May 3, 2008 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
HUGE early voting.
May 3, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
All these polls are churning my insides. Tuesday is close enough.
May 3, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't normally judge a movie by the previews. Why should I? It'll be at the theater in 3 days.
May 3, 2008 12:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wait for the DVD.
May 3, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
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