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How Much of a Threat Is Iran to the US?
Does all the Iran talk sound crazy and paranoid to anyone else?
This is Fareed Zakaria writing in Newsweek last year:
"Iran has an economy the size of Finland's and an annual defense budget
of around $4.8 billion. It has not invaded a country since the late
18th century. The United States has a GDP that is 68 times larger and
defense expenditures that are 110 times greater. Israel and every Arab
country (except Syria and Iraq) are quietly or actively allied against
Iran. And yet we are to believe that Tehran is about to overturn the
international system and replace it with an Islamo-fascist order? What
planet are we on?"
Oh and, in 1954 the US overturned Iran's
democratic, popular govt. and replaced it with a vicious autocrat; in
the last six years we've invaded its two nearest neighbors and deposed
their governments; our ships patrol its outlet to the sea; and we have
declared it part of the axis of evil.
No wonder they want a bomb.








Comments (10)
Zakaria's terrific. I wish he were one of Obama's formal advisers.
BTW there's also a good piece on Obama/McCain and Iran in Huffington.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/19/obama-or-mccain-whos-real_n_102522.html
I do, however, wish Obama would be more thoughtful
about the way in which he goes about this. Coming over in soundbytes on the trail is so much a part of how this plays, and he needs to come over as reflective and giving very very sound reasons for what he's saying that makes the vast majority of listeners not educated in foreign policy rethink, rather than just making rah rah statements attacking McCain. McCain's response is utterly predictable - that Obama is inexperienced and naive. Obama needs to demonstrate his case thoughtfully so that it becomes McCain who has to prove his case. At the moment the onus, soundbyte wise, is the other way around.
May 19, 2008 8:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
All three of the remaining candidates are making insanely dangerous sounds concerning Iran. The two nations that are presenting nuclear threats in the middle east are the US and Israel. Indeed, only one country actually has dropped the bomb on another nation (I leave it to the reader to think about who this was). First Britain and then the US have interfered in Iran for many decades, and the CIA overthrew an elected government in Iran to install a US puppet in the 1950s. Want to find who is responsible for the Islamic Republic taking power in Iran: Look at ourselves in the mirror. To put it bluntly: The anti-Iran rhetoric against Iran that includes nuclear threats by both Republicans and Democrats isn't getting us anywhere. The question isn't why we should talk to them, but why they would trust us enough to talk to us.
May 19, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe as a country, we--some of us--are projecting this will-nilly policy on Iran?
May 19, 2008 11:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iran is a huge threat to the U.S. A weaker, defeated country, Iraq, has just about broken our military. Don't underestimate our ability to destroy our own economy and military by invading Iran.
May 20, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iran poses no direct military threat to the US (although it is seen as threatening our economic and political interests in the region). Our involvement in Iranian affairs for the last half century is (and remains) about oil and the country's strategic location--Iran borders Afghanistan, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, The Caspian Sea, the Persian Gulf, and of course Iraq.
We've been actively meddling in Iranian affairs since at least the time Mossadeque. Our policy doesn't really consider the historical or cultural complexities of the region and the profound divide between Sunni and Shia.
Some of the antagonisms against Iran by some ME countries have to do with fears of a rising Shia power and we are playing right along by holding hands with the Saudis and threatening to bomb Iran. It is a misguided policy, to be sure. From what I can gather, McCain's presidency will continue the policy of posturing against Iran.
May 20, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, it's all about oil. Our country's well-being is all about oil. We send our children to die for oil. We kill unfathomable numbers for oil. But in another thread, we complain that someone suggested we wear a sweater.
May 20, 2008 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Never fear. Iran will no longer be dangerous after *I* obliterate them!
Much Love,
Hillary.
May 20, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iran is a huge threat: they have oil.
We need oil.
Now it's true that they can't eat oil. But it's possible to find other food sources -- and given the sunshine in Iran, it's possible to grow food in greenhouses (which is why there are lots of greenhouses in Kuwait).
On the other hand, we are running out of places to get oil.
We can try to just take it... but that requires oil.
And then we would be upsetting other countries who are buying it.
Like China.
Yes, Iran is a huge threat to the US.
And the fact is that there is nothing we can do about it.
May 20, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also, they are trading their oil in Euros or Yen, not Dollars. It is controversial how much effect that really has on the dollar, but it probably contributed to our invasion of Iraq.
May 20, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
1. Privileging Iran as a subject in discussion the way Hillarists are doing is abject surrender to Bush. Iran is not attacking us, has not attacked us, just as Iraq never did, it's just a straw man invented so that we can be permanently at war for Republican political expedience. Prioritizing it within our own party's discussion of foreign policy is either disingenuous or Stockholm Syndrome, as acquiescors in the AUMF adopt in parrot speak the tones of their powerful captors. The idea that Iran is a big nasty threat that should be baited and feared and made much of is a great wedge issue, but bad long term policy, like the shit for brains gas tax diversion.
2. If one feared Iran attacking Israel, that's precisely why one ought to engage Iran. Not talking has no positive externality. It does not heighten threat or deterrence in and of itself. That idea presupposes a weak posture in talking, which is not inherent in talking.
3. The idea that the Moslem world will become less radical if we wage war on wide swaths of it is imbecilic. This is why the statement that we will talk to Iran is good. It is the most we as progressives can do in the current American electoral scene, and should be embraced and not derided as "insane" by our Naderite friend in the thread who equates McCain "bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb Iran" and Hillary "obliterate Iran" and Obama "let's at least talk to Iran." The opening to talk can lead to more fruitful diplomacy.
4. Democrats should not be quoting Kissinger as some kind of foreign policy hero. Saw that in a related thread and puked on my shoes. Again, Stockholm Syndrome, and the failure to imagine a progressive foreign policy in which America neither hates itself nor overbears.
May 20, 2008 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
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