« previous | TPM CAFÉ READER POSTS HOME | next »
Here are the the Final Numbers. (I think?)
There are 163 uncommitted delegates.
Before Rules and Bylaws Committee delegate counts.
Obama - 1984
Clinton - 1783
27 voted yes for Florida delegates being seated with 1/2 a vote each - unanimous
27 voted. 19 yes and 8 no to reinstate all Michigan delegates being seated with 1/2 a vote each. Additionally Clinton is given 69 delegates and Obama 59 delegates.
Delegate counts after Rules and Bylaws Committee.
Obama - 2050
Clinton - 1877
PR Primary - assuming Clinton win of 56%/44%
Clinton gains 31 delegates
Obama gains 24 delegates
Clinton - 1877 + 31 = 1908
Obama 2050 + 24 = 2074
South Dakota and Montana Primary - split would give Obama 17 and Clinton 16 more delegates.
Clinton 1908 + 17 = 1925
Obama 2074 + 16 = 2090
So assuming no delegate endorsements before the last Primary, Obama would need 28 delegates to clinch. That is 17% of the remaining uncommitted delegates.
While 13 RBC members were declared Clinton supporters, she did not get all of them to support her position on FL/MI.
Comments (3)
The new number is 2118. If Hillary got the rest of the 163 delegates ending with a total of 2088 delegates, she would still fall short of the 2118 needed for the nomination.
May 31, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
i think there will be 30-35 obama endorsements before the polls end tuesday. making his 2118th delegate a pledged delegate.
May 31, 2008 10:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Looks like you underestimated Senator Clinton's landslide victory in Puerto Rico today. The numbers came out closer to 68%/32%. The sad fact for Saint Obama and his sycophants is that he will not meet the threshold for a clean victory without having the super delegates come in and upset the will of the voters to put him over the top. The Saint Obama followers will now have to claim that the super delegates are just as equal to pledged delegates. Something they were rabidly against two months ago.
How does it feel to change your positions so often to get your candidate across the finish line?
June 1, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Post a Comment