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First Rasmussen Oregon Poll: Obama 51% Clinton 39%
This is Rasmussen's first Oregon poll:
The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Oregon Democratic
Presidential Primary shows Barack Obama enjoying a twelve-point lead
over Hillary Clinton. It’s Obama 51%, Clinton 39%.
Clinton has a statistically insignificant lead among senior
citizens while Obama leads among younger voters. Obama does best among
upper income voters while Clinton’s strongest support comes from those
who earn less than $40,000 annually.
Obama is viewed favorably by 78% of the state’s Likely
Primary Voters, Clinton by 71%. Fifty percent (50%) of Obama voters
have a favorable opinion of Clinton while 56% of Clinton voters hold a
positive view of Obama.
Eighty-two percent (82%) say that if Clinton is the
nominee, they will vote for her over John McCain in the fall. An
identical number, 82%, say they will vote for Obama over McCain.
Great news for Obama.
Comments (10)
People who care about the environment support Obama.
May 3, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
You bet:
National Environmental Group Endorses Barack Obama
May 3, 2008 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is great news! For Barack!
Wonder what Hillary will pull out of her bag of tricks. Oh, never mind. I forgot. Oregon is a small state, so it dcesn't matter. (Let's hear it for momentum though)
May 3, 2008 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's also about where Obama's strength lies. The delegates are concentrated in Portland, Salem and the university cities of Corvallis and Eugene. Huge Obama support in these districts.
May 3, 2008 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you Obama supporters at all nervous about the fact that this guy didn't have the capacity to win a single big-state normal primary election?
I think it's great that he knows how to rally enthusiastic moveon.org/nader types to win the caucuses, but in normal elections where people can vote privately without being cajoled, the guy doesn't seem to have the edge necessary to bring it home.
I hope I'm wrong, but it does seem odd to me that some posters here seem to think he is such a phenom and conveniently overlook the fact that he lost every big state and all the key swing states. Maybe you will say that he will be able to win them in the general, but he has a helluva lot of work to do I would think--and he seems to be solidifying his image among working class Dems and I think those perceptions can be indelible.
Keep in mind, these losses mostly occurred when he had a huge $$ advantage and no media scrutiny.
May 3, 2008 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
The big state thing is such crock. The primary calendar was set up for Hillary to win. She botched it up. Right now in California and New Jersey, Obama polls better than she does. The big blue states are going to go blue no matter who the nominee is. Obama doesn't lose Washington, Oregon, Minnesota and Wisconsin. He can also get Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia- So he can make up for losing Florida and Ohio. Hillary is going to lose a portion of the AA vote and it makes her much more vulnerable than John Kerry or Al Gore.
May 3, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I approve this message.
May 3, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Right now in California and New Jersey, Obama polls better than she does."
That's just it--the polls are a bit of an indicator I guess, but when it came down to it--and it was game time--Obama couldn't win any big or swing states in normal election formats.
Her campaign was fatally flawed by not appreciating the caucus states and what it takes to mobilize there, but when it comes to the general, Obama has a serious problem. Not sure he can--though he MUST--win all of the states you rattle off. Also remember he will have a hard time with PA. His arrogant manner isn't appreciated by a lot of working people in those parts.
I am not sure what you mean by the primary calendar being set up in her favor...Dean et al has never been in her camp.
May 3, 2008 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know. Are you Hillary supporters at all concerned that she hasn't won any state yet or earned any pledged delegates or gotten anyone to vote for her at all?
(I.e., it's difficult to be concerned about things that aren't true.)
May 3, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
They are bitter because the world was placed into the palm of her hand and she found a way to lose it. The pain of lost inevitability must hurt to the soul.
May 3, 2008 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
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