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Doomed in 2008 by Racism and Sexism?
There's been such a din about the unelectability of a black nominee
that we forgot about the unelectability of a woman. And yet there are
eerie parallels that spell doom for us as Democrats.
The current Clinton argument for nominating her reduces to the following:
1. The United States is a racist country.
2.
The majority race in the U.S. is white. For sad historical reasons,
almost all presidential candidates of all parties have been white.
Without exception, all U.S. presidents have been white.
3.
Consistent with the foregoing, it is clear that a significant portion
of the white majority is racist and will vote only for white
candidates. Moreover, minority voters are accustomed to voting for
white candidates and can be counted on to accept a white candidate. In
addition, there is a strong racist strain in the Republican Party that
plays to its advantage. We don't like these realities, but we must face
them. That doesn't make us racists.
4. As a black, Obama can never win.
5. As a white, Hillary is the only remaining Democratic candidate who can win.
6.
It would be a fatal mistake for the Democratic Party to take a chance
on attempting to elect the first nonwhite president because racist
forces in American culture are insurmountable.
7. Therefore, the Democratic Party has no alternative but to nominate Hillary.
8.
Under the circumstances, superdelegates have a fiduciary responsibility
to overrule any primary and caucus votes cast for a black candidate.
There is a parallel argument to consider:
1. The U.S. is a sexist country.
2.
While the electorate is roughly half male and half female, sad
historical realities have meant almost all presidential candidates have
been male. Without exception, all U.S. presidents have been male.
3.
Consistent with the foregoing, it is clear that a significant portion
of the male half of the electorate is sexist and will vote only for
male presidential candidates. Moreover, female voters have been
accustomed to voting for male candidates and can be counted on to
accept a male candidate. In addition, there is a strong antifeminist
strain in the Republican Party, even among Republican women, that will
play to the advantage of Republicans if Democrats nominate a woman,
especially a woman who lacks enthusiasm for baking cookies. We don't
like these realities, but we must face them. That doesn't make us
sexists.
4. As a female, Hillary can never win.
5. As a male, Obama is the only remaining Democratic candidate who can win.
6. It would be a fatal mistake for the Democratic Party to take a
chance on attempting to elect the first female president because sexist
forces in American culture are insurmountable.
7. Therefore, the Democratic Party has no alternative but to nominate Obama.
8.
Under the circumstances, superdelegates have a fiduciary responsibility
to overrule any primary and caucus votes cast for a female candidate.
It is debatable which argument is more powerful. Clearly, the safe
course for Democrats was to nominate a white male. Since the
irresistible forces of racism and sexism in American culture leave the
Democratic Party in a hopeless position, we blew it. We reinforce the
hopelessness of our position every time a Democrat says the black
candidate can't attract enough white voters or the woman candidate
can't attract enough male votes.
Curiously,
this is where the symmetry breaks down. We've only been hearing one of
these messages from Democrats. This is true even though the leading
Democratic male candidate has generally trounced our leading female
candidate with male voters. In North Carolina, for example, Clinton got
only 39% of the male vote to Obama's 58% - didn't you hear the networks
talking about that all night long, reminding us that Republicans and
independents tend to be disproportionately male? Telling us this could
hurt Hillary even more than the tendency of Republicans and
independents to be disproportionately white hurts Obama?
Perhaps
we should accept the hopelessness of our position now that we've doomed
ourselves to choose between a female and a black candidate. On the
other hand, like typical Quixotic Democrats who think they can improve
the world, we can attempt to break through the racist or sexist barrier
to the White House this year.
But which barrier should we try to break first?
A
modest proposal: We could let Democratic primary and caucus voters
decide, not superdelegates saving us from one candidate's theory of
unelectability.
An even more modest proposal: We could stop
saying a black can never win over white voters in a McCain-Obama
matchup, and continue to refrain from saying a woman could never win
over Republicans, independents, and many working class white males in a
McCain-Clinton matchup.
Or we could go on cutting our own
throats, sparing the delicate feelings of the Republicans who usually
perform the gruesome task.







Comments (26)
Apologies for the formatting. I was timed-out while writing the post, copied what I'd written, logged in, and pasted the text back in. Somehow the browser picks up odd linebreaks from the TPM blogging software, even when cutting from and pasting back into the same software.
May 10, 2008 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
HEY, WHAT'S UP? TOO MUCH PARTYING LAST NIGHT?
WILL PEOPLE PLEASE RECOMMEND THIS POST.
CLICK ON THE BUTTON!
May 10, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Gruesome task" indeed! Still, I would beg to differ with your take (the "cutting our own throats" part). Racism and Sexism are rather like a hereditary disease in a family that no member wants to talk about until, that is, it becomes obvious that everybody around knows about it. I would suggest, since those issues are now on the table, that it is best that they are discussed among people with a progressive bent in the hope that they can take those discussions beyond mere platitudes. It's hard but necessary. It certainly prevents us from taking the easy way out by simply dismissing such discussions as narrow-minded rightist rants if we merely follow the 'other side' on those two issues.
May 10, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
PTW, you make a good point. I would ask whether the current discussion lives up to your standard. Is saying "Obama can't win" and "white working class voters won't vote for Obama" taking us beyond platitudes? I would say it is, but it is taking us to a place devoid of progressive insight. Hillary's argument that voting in a Democratic primary between her and Obama is a good indicator of future results in a general election between Obama and McCain is specious. That is, unless you concede that she and McCain are indistinguishable, and that Democratic and Republican voters always vote the same. Failing those premises, the argument can't stand.
There's no assurance that Hillary's chances are better than Obama's against McCain. At this stage in the contest, it's ridiculous to make strong claims one way or the other - the campaigns haven't been waged.
What is clear is that Hillary has weakened Obama's candidacy while he has made no attempt to weaken her candidacy in a general election. There's so much he could have said. He could have raised age-old suggestions about whether a woman is really suitable for the role of commander-in-chief. He could have talked about past Clinton scandals, dubious pardons brokered by Hillary's brothers, the damaging effect the Clintons had on Democratic fortunes in the 1990s - turning a large majority in Congress into a feeble minority - etc. He could have quoted Carl Bernstein's book. He could have talked around the clock about Hillary's truly appalling negatives in poll results, among the highest in history for any presidential candidate, if not the very highest, and getting worse. He could have talked about how she set back the cause of universal healthcare for decades by taking the "reform" process secret and pissing off everybody involved, especially leading Democrats. In view of her behavior, Obama's has been nothing less than saintly. Yet Clinton supporters attack him for "subtle cues" that supposedly suggest he doesn't hold her in high esteem even though his words say otherwise. It's been quite a show.
May 10, 2008 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
While the first half of your theory is how Clinton is framing her argument of "electability," the reverse argument is NOT how Obama is framing his argument. Obama is not running against Hillary as the "female" candidate.
Primary and caucus voters -- save for the remaining six contests -- have decided. By an overwhelming majority of contests, they have chosen Obama. The pledged elected delegates are in Obama's column. The super delegates are breaking to Obama's side. The popular vote lead (not a meaningful metric) is Obama's.
It comes down to asking the question: why are the goalposts being moved to every corner of the field to create a scenario where Obama doesn't win? I have heard no pundit claim that the US is a sexist country and a woman would never be elected President.
So -- to me at least -- half of your theory -- the race half -- is correct, at least as far as the Clinton camp is concerned. But it doesn't work when it comes to sexism.
May 10, 2008 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jade, I agree. Sorry if I wasn't clear. That is precisely the contrast I was making. Obama has not turned this into a battle of pick-your-electoral-poison, race or gender. He and his followers have avoided any such suggestion. I think that was the right way to go.
I wish Hillary had not chosen to take the opposite approach with respect to race. Her doing so is the reason the networks are talking nonstop about whether race inherently destroys Obama's electability. That has become the essence of her candidacy. She has turned Obama's race into the dominant issue in this election.
There is not a peep anywhere about whether Hillary's gender hurts her electability. That is not because the whole world is neutral as to whether a woman should occupy the White House - some reactionaries hate the idea. Rather, it's because Obama's camp has, as a matter of principle, said nothing about gender, and Hillary's camp has, for its own reasons, turned to talking ceaselessly about Obama's inability to win white votes.
The decisions about playing race and gender cards represent a test of character. We're all free to draw our own conclusions about the outcome.
May 10, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
i think ageism is going to work against mccain more than sexism or racism will work for him. mostly because it is fairly rational to be ageist. it won't take very many senior moments before the election for most people to question the wisdom of putting him in charge.
May 10, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Storm, I'm not sure that will be ageism at work. Some people may vote against him on grounds that he's just too old to start a term in the White House, but I don't think it will be many. There are seniors who function at a high level and seniors who are less fortunate. Sooner or later, age takes its toll on everybody. The question is how much toll it has taken on McCain to date.
Any presidential candidate has to put his or her mental acuity on display along with character. A young candidate of limited mental powers should not be elected. Our current president is living proof! Neither should an old candidate of limited mental powers be elected. I think it remains unclear whether McCain's memory lapses and moments of confusion about important things - Shia/Sunni, League of Nations or League of Democracies, etc. - are significant impairments. The lapses have raised the question. Voters will be watching. If he seems less than sharp, many voters will conclude it's too risky to put the country's fate in his hands.
May 10, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it also remains unclear (and probably will continue to remain unclear) whether those lapses and confusion are due to age or are just a part of who McCain is. As you say, it's not his age that's the problem.
May 10, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with Kabuki. Age is a rational component, as he says. And mistakes are bound to happen. Kill me ten times over, but I like McCain. And I already feel sorry for him going into any debate.
Good post.
May 10, 2008 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been thinking about this issue for some time now and trying to find a way to express it.
I may write more later. For now, I'll just say that it's fairly clear that Obama has never used race as part of his political capital in the same way that Hillary has used gender for hers.
Thanks for the post, lifelongdem. Always a pleasure to hear from you.
May 10, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks, girl from the Bronx.
There's another dimension to this campaign between Obama and Hillary that has nothing to do with race or gender. She brings up Rezko, Farrakhan, Ayers, Wright, etc. Obama has said nothing about Hillary's efforts to cultivate contacts with Palestinians, the memorandum favoring her indictment in the Whitewater investigation, the presidential pardons Hillary's brothers arranged for big-time criminals in exchange for large financial favors, the omissions from her current tax returns and the reporting of the Clinton Foundation, etc. Obama could have hammered her about Clinton scandals past, present and future 24/7 for the last year. He said nothing.
Hillary is not hammering away about race because she's a racist; she sticking with this attack because it's enabled her to dominate the airwaves. If Rezko had worked, she would be talking about that around the clock. It's a matter of practical destructive politics. Whatever destroys Hillary's opponent is good. It doesn't have to be racism, but that will do in a pinch.
May 10, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forgot to add, girl from the Bronx, that I'd love to hear your thoughts on the interplay of race and gender in this election. I'd especially like to know what you think about the idea that the discussion is inevitable and so we should just dive in, feeling free to speak our minds - particularly when our once tolerant minds suddenly tell us we should bow down to what until recently we regarded as prejudice to be overcome. Strikes me that Hillary has turned "We shall overcome" into "We must knuckle under."
May 10, 2008 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going to post something soon. Looking for the right title. But it will be on Race and Gender. Perhaps you'll read and recommend.
I'm not the writer you and others are here, but I have great instincts about life, survival and believe that we should no be silent in the face of injustice.
This is what strikes me as so dishonorable about how Hillary has behaved. Her silences just as much as her actions have been as damaging to the greater causes she claims to champion.
The last couple of days have really saddened me. While earlier, I must admit my antipathy for her was quite extreme, I now feel like I'm witnessing some kind of strange collapse in her moral center.
I'm not sure what to attribute it to. But it's very sad. Believe me, she can still do further damage if she chooses to. And that's what I'm afraid of. I just can not believe that this is what she will choose.
More later, lifelongdem.
May 10, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well,lifelongdem,
I just wrote you a long response and then hit something that made it all disappear. I'll have to get over my frustration before trying to reconstruct it all again.
But, basically, I totally agree with you about the disproportionate amount of mud-slinging that has come from the Clinton campaign.
May 10, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've done that too. Sorry you fell victim. I still look forward to your thoughts.
Funny how this subject keeps a hold on us, isn't it? You think, surely Hillary won't really, or surely she doesn't mean, or surely knowing the stakes she wouldn't - and then she does it again and again and again. Some of us try (however unsuccessfully) to keep our traps shut in the interest of repairing the party after the damage she's done. Certainly Obama has kept his trap shut. But Hillary just keeps attacking, searching for the fatal flaw. Meanwhile, though she's always on the offense and Obama takes punch after punch in almost total silence, Hillary keeps a good portion of her followers fulminating with righteous anger as though she's the victim.
Can she pull that off because of the sense among her generation of women that their time has come at last, and that anything is justified to see Hillary through? Do they feel genuine fury toward Obama for daring to run against the annointed first woman president? Is their fury greater because he's clearly a superior candidate? He's eloquent, a unifier, strong on the Democratic Party's traditional themes of tolerance and inclusiveness. She's plain spoken, blunt, even crude, a divider by history and instinct, building a coalition through a sense of entitlement and resentment. How can she be preferable to Democrats?
I'd give anything if she had competed with Obama in offering an inclusive vision of a less partisan America. I'd almost give anything if she were black and had given all Obama's speeches, rendering the gender/racial divide irrelevant to this contest.
I supported Hillary until she turned into somebody very different from the person I thought she was. I preferred her experience. I thought Obama could stand more seasoning. Trouble is, I want our next president at least to make an attempt at honesty, tolerance, and building coalitions based on common interests instead of fear. It turned out Hillary had no interest in that approach. Obama showed the will and the potential to make it work.
May 10, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hate to see this post disappear, so I went upstream to put in a plug. I hate it when people only recommend the insipid stuff and a good post like this or posts from differing opinions get lost.
May 10, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bronx girl. She might be the VP.
May 10, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cypher, are you just being coy or what?
Hillary might be the VP and .....???
Are you talkin' to me? Are YOU talkin' to ME?
May 10, 2008 6:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
What. Can't find a taxi? It's a bitch trying to get a cab to cross the bridge, ain't it?
May 10, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
rec'd
thanks.
May 10, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still walking right and ready to come back left?
May 10, 2008 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
The bottom line is that when it comes to race and gender, you need to look at the demographic that embodies both - Black women. Who are they voting for? Race trumps gender. White men are split but Black women are almost uniform in their preference.
May 10, 2008 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
This article which appeared in the online AlterNet about misogyny and racism sums it up for me
May 10, 2008 7:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do think, despite the race-baiting that has flown and will fly again, that this year America for the most part is ready to consider Obama not for the color of his skin but for the content of his character.
May 11, 2008 12:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
hope so
May 11, 2008 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
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