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5/28/04 Polls predicted Kerry landslide (so, ignore May polls re Nov)
I noticed that TPM has predictions for November election results highlighted on the home page as if they actually mean something at this point.
It's a little early to hyper-ventilate about November, no matter who you are for or against, as Ben Smith of Politico demonstrates with a bit of visual deja vu. Come back down to earth, or at least our little part of it, by taking a look at the predicted red and blue states on an electoral map from 4 years ago, almost to the day, when Kerry was projected to beat Bush by 327 electoral votes to 211.
It's an interesting mosaic of predicted red and blue that you should go see for yourself:
Just a reminder ... of the thinness of assumptions built on today's
state-level polling. Polls are wrong, and close, and above all --
things change.
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Comments (1)
The linked map depicts data that looks remarkably like what I recall to be John Zogby's numbers. If it was, in fact, drawn using data from Zogby polls than it most certainly was total crap.
May 29, 2008 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
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