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Where is Barack Obama?

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These last few weeks, he seems to be missing.  Not literally, but his presence in the national dialogue has receded.
Now I'm not a Clinton troll.  In fact, I've been an avid Obama supporter since the beginning.  And I will continue to be.  
But all I see and here out there is an angry Hillary.A mad narcissistic Bill.  Both acting like they're  bigger and more important than their own party.   
I expected a defiant Barack Obama to challenge that notion.  I expect him to stand up for our party at a time when no one else will, or can.  
But all I hear is the rallying cry of Hillary and Bill, both of whom are a little astonished that the democratic party isn't rallying around them.
Both of whom are thinking "What in the heck is wrong with all you people?" as "all us people" are  thinking the same about them.  
So where is Barack Obama?  

I know he's busy in NC and IN working every day for every vote.   
I turn on the tv and listen to the pundits reciting Clinton talking points and questioning his electability, using old electoral models and Clintonian logic.  I don't know why they're so confident about their speculation.  They have yet to be right about anything this election.  
But where is Barack Obama right now as the corporate media walks all over him?
He's busy winning.  I got that.  
But he seems distant. 
He talks about a broken system in Washington philosophically, but it doesn't feel like his feet are on the ground, in the present, demanding that the Attorney General either take the lead in all these investigations,  or get out of the way.  Asking how in the world a bill that would ensure voters had a paper trail was stopped in its tracks.  Demanding that the EPA allow each state to set their own cafe standards.  

I'd like to see him step up a little right now and show a lot more fortitude.    
You can only rope-a-dope so long.  At some point, you have to throw an uppercut.


Comments (102)

He's out talking to the people. If there is anything Obama maybe doesn't do enough, it is to feed the media monster. The Clintons excel at giving the media bite-sized, sound-byte ready talking points, and the media monster eats them up. The Clintons have also excelled at getting their surrogates out on primary nights.

I am conflicted on the route Obama should take. He could play the same game, and give the media a few sound bytes to appease their hunger. I think that if he did that, it would better guide the opinion of the talking heads and could help form the continuing narrative. However, that's not really how he works, and if the sound bytes come off as too canned it runs the risk of not being convincing.

I'M A LITTLE BUSY. DO YOU MIND?

Tony's out on bail so we're limo clubin, shootin hoops and scarfin waffles.

If pants suit wants a debate tell her to book Donna Brazile.

Ciao!
Barry

VOTE YOUR CONSCIENCE
NOT YOUR GUILTY CONSCIENCE

maybe he's off chatting with his lawyer buddies from Havard Law School on how to get Hillary kicked off the rest of the primary ballots (like he did with his fellow dem rivals when he first decided to run for Illinois state senate)?

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-070403obama-ballot,1,57567.story

back then, according to the article: he defended his use of ballot maneuvers: "If you can win, you should win and get to work doing the people's business."

do you think Obama will still consider ballot maneuvers legit at this yr's denver convention? does he consider ballot maneuvers legit when you remove your name voluntarily (and as a political strategy) in order to pander to voters in IA and NH?

Whatever the rules are, Barack will win. Hillary herself can lay out the rules, change them daily or hourly and he still wins. You see his opponent is a certified liar - she's done. You are way late with your link - my friend.

o.k., whatever you say... didn't mean to interrupt the karma over here in obama-land.

funny thing is that this chicago trib story is a year old, and you can see that no one really cares that obama isn't exactly the guy he was packaged and sold to be...

the media had their guy and they ran with him. unfortunately, a lot of this stuff is coming out now. maybe it's too late for Hillary, but when mccain snaps his fingers, you know that the media will jump to it!

The Clinton camp is also working overtime to control the news cycles since they don't have any money they are working the "free" press.

Obama's camp needs to step up and get in the front of the news (for something good and not for some Clinton pushed non XYZ-"Gate".

Well, he's on Fox tomorrow morning. That's pretty newsworthy for good or for ill. At least it'll stop that pathetic "Obama Watch."

I thought he did great this morning. And he made them come to him, which was brilliant.

During the roundtable, Kristol dismissed practically everything Obama said, as did that feckless Clinton toadie, Juan Williams. It's clear Kristol desperately wants Hillary to get the nomination. It's also clear that he couldn't find a way to spin the interview. So instead of talking about what Obama had said, he launched a few anemic ad hominem attacks and praised Hillary (this morning, he announced that he really "likes her"). Juan Williams agreed with Kristol on every point. Good doggie, Juan. Now go eat your bone.

Obama hasn't been on his game for several weeks now, and has seemed frustrated and tired in public. Frankly, I think some of it is gender. How do you defeat a woman without appearing to be a bully, abusive, or condescending? It can be done, but boy, talk about a delicate job.

And I'm a woman, by the way. I want him to work this out and show me he can really walk the walk.

Obama's in a touchy position right now. In PA Clinton did what she had to do to stay in the race for now. She has enough support that he can't come right at her or directly defend himself from attacks. And, although he's ahead, he needs to keep racking up points--supers, defectors from Clinton's camp, endorsements--or the supers will waffle their way until July.


So I'm thinking--or hoping--that he's spending a lot of time with campaign staff lining up strategies and tactics to put in place during the days leading up to May 6th.

This really is his chance to put her away and use the end of their contest to solidify his image. If he wins Indiana and keeps his lead in NC the supers will be able to commit to him and still say they gave her plenty of time to pull ahead. But if she beats him in IN and draws close in NC, I think it's going to be a long hot summer.

I believe in the guy, but you're right, it's time to step up and finish the job.

I think he has taken the comments about his failure to attract white working class votes quite seriously, and as he said he would, he is trying to retool his message. But I'm not sure populism is his strong point. Or rather talking populism. Don't ask me how, I can't even listen, but the meat and potatos voters like Hillary's laundry lists. But Obama tends to discuss approaches and sketch in broader strokes, sometimes, he's just too schematic.

He has to be tied too. But I started to watch the Indy Star and turned it off about a quarter of the way through because, to me, it just wasn't happening.

The irony is that conventional wisdom has told us for years that workaday, lunch-pail "regular people" don't like liberal laundry lists of highly rational policy prescriptions. We've been told that they like the broad-brush simplicities of a Reagan or a Dubya. Now apparently Joe Schmo likes Hillary's detailed policy points and disdains Obama's soaring visionary talk. Isn't it a bit amazing how conventional wisdom whiplashes around so drastically, from one historical moment to the next?

Very well said.

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Akbar,
Yes what a conundrum. Conventional wisdom also tells us that 'regularbluecollarfolk' don't vote Dmocratic. They didn't vote for Clinton, Gore or Kerry...so this is NOT an Obama problem, that's for sure.

The press is trying to spin it as an electability issue about Obama and that is not what political history shows.

This is sort of my experience too. His voice has seemed sort of silent for a few weeks. Of course, he's out in the field campaigning, not focusing on national media and catering to political junkies around the country. But what I really think this is is that he's not controlling the agenda. Hillary's controlling the agenda, defining the race at the moment. And that's made him recede into the background, even as he's a constant topic of conversation.

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Is that really his fault or is it the media's, Josh? One of the most annoying things about TPMEC is that it seems to view itself as a megaphone for every bullshit line of attack coming out of the Clinton camp.

Sometimes I think all Greg Sargent does is sit on one end of a never-ending conference call with Howard Wolfson.

Do you really think it's the media's job to act as a disseminator of a campaign's message? I know that's what they do, and maybe Obama should deal with it because it exists, but is it appropriate?

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You are dead on brewmn61. The press has not covered this race from a pro-Obama perspective EVER.

They do not talk about his phenomenal come backs from 20 points down to have so far won 30 of the 45 primary contests.

They are not talking about how Hillary has trailed in pledged delegates since IA. She has not once lead in pledged delegates.

The press does not talk on and on about the 10 straight consecutive wins Obama had, like they are going on about his loss in PA. Obama cleaned Clinton's clock in MD, VA, SC, GA, WI and soon NC yet the press only spins the 'bigstate' talking point of Clintons wins? Clinton is losing and has been losing since the start of this race.

The press does not talk about how Obama won the most delegates in TX and so Hillary did not 'win' that state in the only metric that counts. Texas is a 'big state'.

The press does not talk about how Hillary has a former President campaigning for her and had the'best political machine' yet she is getting beat by a rookie who first came on the national scene four years ago.

The press does not at all focus on how Obama has a winning strategy to the nomination and how Clinton has waged an exceptionally poor campaign unable to ever gain a lead in the only metric that counts for primaries which are DELEGATES.

Obama cannot force the press to tell the truth. The press is simply willing to spin ad infinitum Clinton talking points.

It is a national disgrace.

Josh, you know how this stuff works. The media loves a fight. They feed on conflict and controversy. And right now, Obama is running a very uncontroversial campaign. He's feeding them table scraps. He's staying on message, he's refusing to lend relevance to Hillary by declining to engage her, and he's clearly already running against McCain. And the media doesn't like it. They want to talk endlessly about the "battle" for the nomination. Obama's not that interested. I'm not either. What I'm interested in is that the Obama campaign is already deep into the process of getting their game together for the general.

Sooner or later, people will wake up and realize that there's actually a very interesting race going on between Obama and McCain. But until Hillary quits directing the spotlight to her increasingly irrelevant little sideshow, the focus is going to be all wrong.

Obama was on Fox News Sunday this morning. They barely talked about Hillary. Even Fox understands that he's the nominee.

The press wants a fight. They've got one. It's just not the one they want.

I think the problem is, he's trying to change the way the game is played -- to get it away from the trivial bullshit and petty attacks that dominate coverage (the last debate being exhibit A) and instead move it onto a higher plane, where the real issues affecting people's lives are discussed substantively. If that's your objective, do you play the game the way you want and risk losing control of the agenda because the MSM is still playing it the old way -- or do you have to play it the old way in order to affect the MSM's coverage and start setting the agenda again?

I think what he's doing is a fascinating and vitally important experiment, but I don't think he's figured out the answer to this question yet. I know I haven't. Whatever his course of action, I hope he succeeds because the scope of change he wants to spearhead is exactly what our country needs.

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Several weeks ago, Obama gave three major policy speeches in the same week, in an attempt to generate some more media attention and re-focus the race. But the Obama-Clinton Death Match story was already taking over, and these speeches received only minimal coverage. The media is fascinated by the Clintons right now. They want entertainment, and the only thing they will cover is another Clinton-Obama food fight. Under the circumstances, it is very hard for Obama to generate any kind of sustained press unless he plays her game.

I also think the Obama campaign got a little bit too caught up in the state-by-state primary ground game, and has neglected the fact that they are still running a broader national campaign to control perceptions and momentum, and win superdelegates and public confidence. I beleive Obama has to try make news by taking on McCain very aggressively, and should effectively seize and lay claim to the position of leader of the Democratic party. Perhaps the campaign should spend some of that money on a national ad buy, and try to convey the message that their fall campaign has already begun. If they can generate a public Obama-McCain debate, the media will cover that, and let the Clinton story slide.

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I suspect it is fairly deliberate. He knows how much he needs to win IN and NC by a big margin and the best way to do that is to connect directly with those voters. I think his b-ball last night was perfect and earlier in the day he talked about himself at a press conference. He cannot beat Hillary up in public for two reasons: the black man attacking the white woman (and I am a white woman) and he cannot alienate her supporters. It was wise to turn down the debate. The best thing he can do is win those states big and knock her out that way. And hopefully in another couple of weeks Rev Wright will once again be out of the spotlight at least for awhile. If he knocks her out by winning in a couple of weeks, he'll have plenty of time to work the MSM. They've turned on him in recent weeks and no matter what he says it will be used by HRC to her advantage. He should just keep his nose to the grindstone in IN and NC for the next ten days. He did get in a pretty good zinger on her today, "those that often talk tough aren't really tough at all" or something to that effect:-)

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Very well said.

I dunno, I think it might be a deliberate strategy too. The wacky couple next door is yelling obsceneties from their milk carton fort and throwing beer cans at passers-by and sure, they can drown out other conversations by just being loud but if you ignore them, eventually they will grow tired.

On the other hand, at this point I would probably be pretty discouraged by the collective idiocy of the electorate myself, the supposedly normal people who somehow manage to believe that it is a perfectly legitimate contention that the Michigan race should count. I might just be taking a break from where the stupidity seems to condense into the fourth form of matter, the MSM.

Time and time again Obama has shown to be a better man and a more able thinker than I, though, so I would wager on the first option.

I think he's holding back on her nationally (if not in Indiania and NC) because he knows he's got it won and can't risk further antagonizing her chunk of the base. The fury of African Americans at the Clintons has a counterpart in the fury of the chunk of Hillary's base, particularly among her female supporters, that thinks she's entitled to the office, that it's "her turn" and yada yada yada.

Every time he so much as says "good morning" they work themselves up to new heights of venomous rage.

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Most reasonable Clinton supports (72% according to the polls) don't dislike Obama. We just don't think he can win in November. Clinton dominates among older (avoiding the overwhelming urger to say "wiser) Democrats for whom watching us lose elections has become all too familar.

And this election is so important. Presidential historians usually rank Harding lowest then Buchanan. But Harding didn't stay in power long enough to cause any real harm. Bush is battling Buchanan for most-damaging-to-our republic-in-history status, so whoever wins in November is going to seem like Lincoln, Washington and Roosevelt combined.

Thus, we are making an eight year decision and while McCain will probably be more of a reactionary than a fascist, a republican administration means more ex-constitutionalism, more jingoism, more trickle downism, more Scaliaism and more Ostrich like head-in-the-sand sameism regaring healthcare, energy, the environment and all our other problems.

Let's you and I make a deal, Steve. I'll actively support Obama if he gets the nomination and volunteer for his campaign, if you agree to not to blame Clinton when he loses somewhere between Dukakis and McGovern.

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"We just don't think he can win in November. Clinton dominates among older (avoiding the overwhelming urger to say "wiser) Democrats for whom watching us lose elections has become all too familar"

You do realize that you contradicted yourself here, right? If these "older" voters are so damn smart, why do they keep supporting the loser? Maybe you should listen to the "kids" this time.

BTW, I'm 46, and I've been voting Democratic since Carter lost in 1980. I'm tired of playing it safe and losing.

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The "safe" candidates have won and the losers came a lot closer to winning than the ones from the far left wing of the party.

And playing nice against the repugs hasn't worked. They aren't going to play nice. Did you see the Willie Hortonesque ad the NC rethugs were going to play but pulled because the national rethugs don't want to hit Obama until after he wins the nomination?

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He doesn't have to pay much attention to Hillary or Bill. But it seems that they're chasing him away right now. He just has to turn around every now and then and spring some unassailable logic on them that can take flight in the media.

Whatever the reason I think it could end up being a positive. He was over-exposed and people were suffering from Obama-fatigue. This is one reason I believe he needs to get the primary sewn up - he needs to go away from a while, be off of every bodies televisions and not be the topic at the water cooler. I couldn't imagine living in Pennsylvania for the last week of the campaign with the television and radio ads, the mailers and the robocalls - I'd probably have been suicidal.

I think he even knows he got caught up in the game in Pennsylvania and wants to take a step back. People began tuning him out, began turning the channel whenever the primary was discussed. I think he lost his bearings and his footing and is just trying to refocus his campaign. Hillary was controlling the discussion, he was always on the defensive.

Now you have his calmness juxtaposed with the frantic Clinton campaign. I think he wants to give of the air of inevitability. To appear more Presidential.

The campaign trail could also be catching up to him - I don't know how either do it.

I don't know how this tact will play out with his fund raising, but it will give his ardent supporters a time out as well, a chance to recharge their batteries and enjoy the summer.

I just think nationally, people are tired and want it to be over. I think it's going to become a regional election the rest of the way out. Let's not forget he gave a speech to 35000+ in Philly a week ago. The states in play will get excited, but the 40 States already decided don't really want to hear about it anymore. That's probably a good thing.

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I remember, when I read "The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich" when I was 13 how Hitler always made it a point to show up late. Apparently it's good politics to have people wondering 'where is he' and then when he shows up, he seems like the hero of the day.

In this case, Obama can also use the Rodney Dangerfield effect: "If you wanna look skinny, stand next to someone fatter than you." In this case, wall to wall Clinton distopia is bound to make him look like the measured man of reason.

And finally, there's what my dad used to say: "Never argue with a crazy person, people might not be able to tell the difference."

So there are up sides to his absence from the mega stage.

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Hitler always made it a point to show up late. Apparently it's good politics to have people wondering 'where is he' and then when he shows up, he seems like the hero of the day.

Okay, that post wins for most bizarre analogy/comparison of the day. Obama should be more like Hitler?


(and I realize that is *not* the point you were trying to make)

And despite his near disappearance what is happening? The worm is turning on Clinton.

There is news of African-American voters defecting en-masse from the Clinton camp, and the Clinton's forever losing the support of this essential pillar of the Democrat base. Chuck Todd of MSNBC has all but called it for Obama. The "mainstream" liberal blogosphere, the foundation of "Politics 2.0" is essentially pro-Obama and/or anti-Clinton. Clinton donors are feeling the changing winds and are beginning to invest their finances towards more fruitful endeavors, and her campaign is bleeding money faster than she can rake in.

We are seeing the narrative changing to:

"Clinton is inevitably going to lose. How much damage will she do to the Democratic Party before the monster is slain, and just why the hell can't Obama slay the monster already?"

The S.S. Clintanic has sprung a leak and is taking on water. Unless Obama has a "Dean Scream Moment", her ship is eventually going to sink into the murky depths... where she belongs.

Another possibly strategy is to end the media feeding frenzy that seemed to push the idea that Sen. Clinton still had a real chance for the sole reason to keep the story going to fill air time in this 24 hour news world.

I don't think it's deliberate, I think it's circumstantial. 6 weeks in the wilderness will do that to a guy. Remember, this was the longest stretch of the cycle with no contests, and therefore no wins or losses to frame the narrative and play off of.

But I also agree that he's off his game, and letting Clinton define the narrative.

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Perhaps, it's a tactical move. These things run on momentum...who's up and who's down going right on in to election day. The "undecideds" are seemingly breaking at the last minute to whomever is prominently/favorably featured during the last few days.

He's trying not to give her anything to exploit and dealing with the people in the states he needs to win in if I had to guess! Let us not forget how the Media is salavating at the mouth to call her the comeback kid, even if the facts dont meet the storyline!

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I'm not sure what you think it is that he should be doing, I guess. A lot of any silence OR any noise is the choice of the media. Short of his negatively attacking or making a blunder, they're not interested right now, it's far easier to report all the sound and fury out of the Clintons.

So, I think my question is, what exactly is it that he should be doing that he isn't doing, that will get him the MSM attention (in a good way)?

Maybe it's just that he's concentrating right now. He can win it in Indiana or lose it in North Carolina. That would tend to cause one to focus I'd think. And yet, it's hard to figure out what he thinks he'll gain by going on FOX. Is that a gamble a front runner should take?

I'm not sure that I agree with you that Obama is trying to stay out of the national spotlight. I just think what he is saying and doing (talking about the economy and energy reform) isn't what the MSM wants to report on. They'd rather focus on how Bill is losing it or the donors who are abandoning Hillary's campaign to support Obama. On Friday Barack announced his 50 state voter registration drive as well as the joint-fund raising with the DNC. Both should have been a big deal but got barely a notice by the MSM, which is only interested in dirt and gossip. Why should both be a big deal? Because they are long term. He was sending the message that he is looking beyond the primary race, knowing that he is going to be the winner, and is preparing for the general election. In addition, both the voter registration and the fund-raising are designed to build the Democratic Party and help down-ticket races. The MSM yawned. The voters shrugged. But the superdelegates, who will benefit from the bigger base as well as the money for down-ticket races, got it. What I found telling is that the DNC asked Hillary for joint fund raising also and got the cold shoulder. The superdelegates got that message too.

Sad, really. People complain that he's vacuous, but a lot of times, it's just that when he's specific, no one covers it because it clashes with the narrative. -.-

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Good question. Im confident its purposeful. One potential reason: He may be letting the public have its say. His message is its not all about him, but us too. And the public has deplored the debate, there has been more discussion about why this race is still going, there are superdelegates filtering in. in his absence other credible voices are stating their views.

I like the idea about letting the people speak their preference, change the discourse, but its dangerous, especially in this media environment. But I do like the refocus on McCain, the 50 state announcement. Its back to the mission, the strengths. Maybe he is retooling for that. Like it or not, Obama's candidacy is beyond the man, there is a movement, taking voters (or non) from cynical inertia to involved.

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I don't see any of what you guys are seeing. Obama just made a major announcement of his national general election strategy and his campaign has kicked off the 50 state get-out-the-vote while he made an unscheduled speech in Chicago on his single 'day off' after the Pennsylvania primary that was televised in the shared Indiana media market, then appeared at a widely-televised event where he allowed cameras into a 3 on 3 get-out-the-vote basketball event. Those who got to play him were the high school students in Indiana who had registered the most new voters there.

So he didn't go on Hardball or Larry King? Wah. He is doing what he needs to do: focusing on (mostly) getting out the vote and setting his sights on the GE narrative to engage McCain. Funny- that is exactly what the DNC is doing as well, as it launches its first ad.

A few somewhat disjointed thoughts:

I have to agree that the MSM is at least partly the cause of this perception. They really do only want the bickering. For example, I thought Guerra-Mondragon's defection was probably more indicative than anything lately of the state of this race, but the media couldn't have cared less.

After PA, I think he saw the MSM had decided to push the comeback kid thing again. But in the media narrative, the comeback kid needs an antagonist. No antagonist, no story. So they have to find something else. Instead of feeding the Media Monster, maybe he's trying to starve it, or make it look elsewhere for sustenance.

I think this primary race has become something everybody detests but can't take their eyes off of. I think Obama sensed people were getting an accompanying Obama fatigue. Clinton fatigue, too, of course. But she can't afford to pull back right now. So she's left . . . maybe yelling at cloud? I definitely think that's how people are coming to see Bill when left to his own devices.

The last time Obama went AWOL the Bosnia thing blew up. Maybe if Obama isn't giving the MSM the controversy it craves, they will find a way to squeeze it out of the Clintons.

In terms of media image, there's a lot to be said for going off the grid for a while. Just ask Britney Spears.

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I think Obama gave up. I'm not trying to be provocative, I just think it.

On the night of the PA primary, John King from CNN described traveling with both campaigns in PA. He said the Obama camp was oddly subdued, while the Clinton camp was totally energized. He seemed energized himself by the Clinton dynamic. Up until the PA primary, he has favored Obama.

John King favored Obama prior to the PA primary? Could have fooled me. Did you catch him shaking his head in disgust at the very image of Obama the night of the "Compassion Forum"?

I do think Obama's tired, and maybe a little disappointed at how PA played out. And maybe even a little impatient with the supers. But gave up? On what? On the nomination? If so, someone might want to warn him that he's going to get it anyway and if he wants to give up he's going to have to do a better job of it.

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This primary's been so long, I'd say it was back in February that John King and Anderson Cooper couldn't wait for Obama to gallop across the Magic Board. They could barely contain themselves every time they got together. But again, that was 2 months ago. I admit I haven't tracked their reactions too closely in the time since.

The MSM has the world's worst case of ADHD, and a lot of times, its opinions change similarly.

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You think he's winning. I think he's coasting.

Coasting to a win.

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He's sucking d*ck somewhere in Chicago.

He's a loser, whether you care to admit it or not.

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See, that's the kind of incisive and witty comment that makes it worth reading here. *snort*

I was talking to friend tonight who hasn't been paying much attention to politics -- and she mentioned that her current impression is that "Hillary is pulling ahead." To be fair, this is someone who doesn't have a TV and only uses the internet at work, so her news is limited to newspaper headlines and overheard chatter. Not sure exactly what that's apropos of, but it really spelled out for me how quickly people latch onto those formulaic media narratives -- even if they're not really paying attention.

The media loves scandals and fights so the Clintons are giving them what they want. I have noticed that in the last 2 months the media like CNN on Ballot Bowl gives both clintons all the air time. They show about 30 minutes of Bill Clinton and 2 hours of Hillary, I mean what the F&*K it's like Bill Clinton is the VP. I have stopped watching CNN because of that and I only watch MSNBC now as FOX is completely out of question.

CNN gives the Clintons free time in order to try and get the sound bites, like DEBATE-GATE.

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He's on Fox today, which will get tons of press attention.

Watch for him to step up to the plate this week. I believe he will win Indiana and North Carolina will be a blowout.

How do you think he did on FOX? I think he let them establish a boring meme this morning. Tired, lackluster, shopworn, Dukakis, Stevenson, out of touch, unable to connect, blah blah.

I know this will irritate people, but I get the feeling he's be relieved to end up as VP on a Clinton ticket.

I totally agree with you, Billy Glad. He's lost and he knows it. The only reason he went on Fox this morning was because he's too tired and beaten to refuse them any longer. The Clintons have made mincemeat out of him. He's toast. Hillary may as well pull up a moving truck and start stealing the furniture now, because the Oval Office is all hers.

I think her experience is what won the nomination for her. That, and the fact that she's a fighter. We really need a fighter in the White House. Obama is too much of a wimp.

Yep. It's true. Even his delegate lead is starting to evaporate. The pledged delegates aren't really *firmly* pledged, you know, and many of them are starting to say to themselves, "Hey! I was for Obama in February, but here it is late April, and for the last week or so, I haven't been hearing as much about him as I used to in the media. He seems tired, too. Maybe it's time to flip to Clinton!"

I'm even feeling the fabric of space-time bend a bit, loosening fundamental constants like e and pi, so that 2024 will be a different number depending on whether your last name is Clinton or Obama. It's amazing how quickly these things can change, in Mediaworld.

Meanwhile, back in the real world, pi is still three point-something, and he's still got it wrapped up.

Really, Senator Clinton has proven herself as the real vote getter in the Primaries, winning the majority of the delegates at stake, raising the most money from the most donors, winning the most nation-wide voters, and the polls even show that most people now love her more than ever. Of course she will be our candidate, and that is predictable from the outpouring of love and support building up here. Senator Obama is toast - French Toast, with cinnamon, whipped butter, real maple syrup and a side of Arkansas sausage.

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Watch it with those side orders. This is a family channel.

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Yes, undoubtedly her shrewd positioning on the AUMF was her most brilliant move. Obama has never fully recovered.

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I vote for Obama speaking out on current affairs per Cohen's suggestion. Remember the day Obama came out strongly that the minute he'd get into office he'd investigate the AG's tactics re: torture? I recall feeling VERY positive about his proactive stance on an important issue of the day.

While he's down in the weeds and absorbed in the campaign, which we appreciate, can't he look up once in awhile and comment on what else is happening in the daily news? It's an easy and important way to demonstrate how very much in-touch he truly is.

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Thanks, Dana99, I was hoping to get some feedback on that part of my post--I think if Obama more directly connected himself with things going on in Congress right now, certain bills, hearings, etc, it would ground him in the reality of Washington, already engaged in championing certain causes. A big part of Sen. Clinton's criticism of Sen. Obama right now is this part of her speech:

My opponent thinks you can just show up in Washington and somehow things will just magically change. (not a quote, her point)

She makes it sound like Obama's never even been to Washington. And that he's never changed anything.

Which is not true. Look what he did with ethics reform.

I would advise him to stop talking about what he'll do in Washington in the future. And demonstrate what he's doing in Washington in the present. I think it would be great if he talked about what congress is voting on this week and next. And establish a position he's taking that's real, meaningful

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Gary - I was thinking this morning (before I read your post) that Obama needs a second act. He's not the brand new thing anymore & I think the campaign needs to adjust to that a bit. I am starting to wonder whether he has it in him. Do we know the answer to this question yet?

He could try to coast to the nomination, but I don't think that's such a great strategy because his appeal is in how he energizes his base. Rolling out superdelegates isn't going to get people all riled up (except here on TPM).

Maybe you are on to something with responses to current events. There's been plenty for him to comment on & it would help for him to make the Bush Administration look even worse (difficult to imagine, I know).

Anyway, I hope he finds some way to pivot. Playing out the post-Super Tuesday spreadsheet isn't going to make things any easier for him. Getting a little energized to take IN & NC would.

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A second act is an interesting way to put it, nellrica. I applaud Obama for planning and achieving a results-oriented campaign across the country so far. Strategically, it's been superior to Clinton's.

But now, the Clinton campaign has driven the media into submission and has gotten them to advertise her new false premise: Obama can't close the deal. Therefore, he can't win in a general election. They've been successful moving the goal posts of what constitutes "winning" for months. If you can't win, spin.

Turn on any 24 hour news channel right now. I guarantee they're discussing how Indiana is the big tie-breaker.

That is absurd, but not to voters in NC and IN just tuning into this election. Many don't realize the Clinton campaign has been pushing that "must win this or that" narrative since the beginning. They just keep changing the state.

It would be great if someone could put together a video of how many times the Clintons have had to move their own goal posts.
"Caucuses are such an important part of our process" "caucuses aren't important" " If you can't win in states like Texas....", "small states don't matter", "if you exclude Florida and Michigan, a democrat doesn't stand a chance..." "delegates don't matter"..it's all about popular votes" "actually let the superdelegates decide"
"If you use the electoral college as a measure..."If our primary system was more like the Republican's primary system, Hillary
would have won this thing..."

And the latest, "whoever wins Indiana will be the next President of the United States".

If the world's a stage, the Clintons are in the last minutes of their final act. Well, actually the play is over they just haven't walked off the stage yet. So the audience continues to watch.

Yes, Obama needs to get back on the stage for his second act.
Even if he thought he could save that for McCain.


I doubt it's deliberate. The Clinton campaign has done a great job pushing the narrative of late. The national media is obsessed with the horserace and has become enamored with Hillary's fire. But does it matter? Whenever the media focuses on how Obama is on the verge of winning, things go wrong for him. Now the cable knuckleheads are acting like she has a 50-50 shot at the nomination. Maybe it's better to be off their radar for a while. How necessary is controlling the national debate to winning individual states? I'd be interested to know how Obama is playing out on the local media in NC and Indiana. If they're as obsessed with how Obama is tired and Hillary is turning into Joan of Arc, then I'd be worried. Can anyone say what the local media is up to?

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Karl Rove has a post up on Newsweek (http://www.newsweek.com/id/134322) on six steps Obama needs to take to address the elitist label. Don't dismiss Rove just because...whatever you think of him and his legions, Rove's a master of his craft. Read this -- Obama should...
1. Your stump speech is sounding old and out of touch....Come up with
something fresh... Recapture the optimistic tone of your start and discard the weary, prickly and distracted tone you've taken on.
2. When you get into trouble, pick one, simple explanation...
3.Your lack of achievements undercuts your core themes...In the coming months, say that you'll
appoint Republicans to your cabinet and get a couple to say they'd serve.
4.You speak of the "fierce urgency of now"...what urgent issues have drawn your enormous talents? ...Pick a big issue and fight hard for it.
Stop the attacks. They undermine your claim to a post-partisan new politics...
6.To answer growing questions about your inexperience, people need to know, in concrete and
credible ways, what they can expect from you as president. That's missing now...

I can't see where he's wrong.

I love the way Rove operates. First he defines the task ("Obama must address the elitist label") then he goads the candidate to perform the task instead of staying on message. Right. Before Obama can run his campaign, he must answer to Rove's talking points. Fuck Rove's talking points.

"Elitist" is how the Republicans would like to define Obama. If he bites (which he won't) he's a fool and he'll lose.

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Like it or not, that's how they're going to frame him ("frame" being the operant term). Obama will spend the next six months fighting back, or he can position himself ahead of the Rove-ian attack wave and do us all a favor and tell us what he actally believes in -- besides, "Vote for me and I'll set you free..." You think he won't get nicked and Willie Horton'ed (I mean, Bill Ayers) to death before this is over? It'll be 52-48 someone in November. Obama's a juvenile in an adult league - that's his appeal and his weakness. If he wants to be the "52" rather than the "48" in that equation, he's got to "mature" in a hurry. This is America -- Richard Nixon's, Ronald Reagan's, Bill Clinton's,and George Bush's. Think not?

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When Karl Rove has something valid to say, without spinning an issue beyond recognition, I listen. In this case, he has valid points.

When Rove talks about Obama's lack of achievements and growing questions about Obama's inexperience, I can hear his strategy for John McCain coming through.

We've all seen Obama's legislative record. It's full of achievements.
I would advise him to shine considerably more light on that, but not make it his primary communication goal. It would set up a linear comparison to McCain, whose record is longer but qualitatively antithetical to what is currently best for America.


Ugh...I actually agree with Rove...I'm *shocked*!! Has it been Freaky Friday and he swapped souls with Bill Clinton?

Obama needs to get his hope on. We like his coolnes, but the MSM and of their customers need fire or they start buying into the Clinton Death Machine narrative.

The minute something goes wrong Hillary reacts with crisp slogans repeated over and over by everyone in her campaign. Obama could do that without losing his base. Where are his speech writers? Why isn't he still talking to our hearts as well as our heads?

These days even Obama's positive coverage is accompanied by pictures of him looking drawn, downcast, with a face devoid of intensity or enthusiasm. Meanwhile, Hillary keeps her head up, her makeup fresh, and her face full of passion. Looking strong isn't about numbers unless those numbers are overwhelming. It includes how Obama literally looks. Remember back in February Obama impressed us with his youth, excitement, and vigor? Why does a 60 year old Clinton now look so much more vital?

The supers can change sides whenever they want. You can't derail Clinton's slanted popular vote count by droning on about how caucus states aren't represented. You have to make a passionate sharp-tongued argument for democracy, not just rely on the rules. Bean-counting won't do it.

This is like that missed pass in overtime and, just for a moment, seeing how the Giants could lose. But instead of beer commercials I get treated to five minutes of Tom Brady glamour shots.

When he's out campaigning on a national level and making big speeches, people complain that he's not being specific enough. When he's knocking on doors and hanging out in diners, they say he's not making enough big speeches.

The fact is, after Indiana, he can spend the rest of the race smoking dope in Jamaica and it probably won't make a difference. Hillary simply has no path to the nomination.

If the Democrats want to win in the Fall, they'll nominate Obama. If they want to split the party and have riots at the convention in Denver, they'll overturn the will of the people. I'm pretty sure we know what they're going to decide.

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Although most of this commentary is heartening, except maybe UW1, I kinda feel Einstein may have had a good thought about the universe and human stupidity.

I can accept tiredness, not neglect, but a little settling back down time, although I personally would like Obama to keep shaking hands and in addition, shake a few fists, especially against the Beltway Blowhards no matter that a few may be superdelegates.

So he gambled on FOX and, in my less than impartial view, lost. Came across as vague and a little boring. FOX pounded him for lack of substance. Dukakis and Stevenson comparisons. Nobody can figure out where he's coming from. Maybe he has internal polls that tell him he's going to win Indiana, or maybe he thinks he can pump enough money into Indiana over the next week to win it. He really does seem to be detached or out of touch.

Wasn't it William Kristol who compared him to Dukakis and Stevenson? Because if I was a Democrat, and I found myself agreeing with something Kristol said (or anyone else on Fox, for that matter), I would be have someone check my skull for blunt force injuries.

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That coming from a cat in bunny ears.

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When has Obama ever actually dominated the national dialog? When he was surging it was all about the high concept of Obama, instant transformation, the Singularity of the progressives - not about anything he intends to do, but simply what he will be.

Being-ness wears off, when there is no follow-up. The question about Obama going right back to last summer has been whether he has a second act. If he does he hasn't opened it. He fattened up enough on red state caucuses in February that he may not need to in the remaining primaries. Still it is a bit embarrassing when the presumptive nominee washes out in a place like PA by ten 9.35 points after spending the bejeezus out of Hillary there.

Apparently the yet uncommitted superdelegates aren't hearing Obama's music either, since they are persistently failing to hop on his bandwagon in spite of universal respectable opinion that they should.


When has Obama ever actually dominated the national dialog?

Uh, you might want to check this message board for starters...

You can only see what the networks allow you to see.

Digby (or someone she quoted) had a comment last week that Obama's message was spot on in the autumn when people were tired of Washington and that was the most imposing crisis. With gas prices and the mortgage crisis, etc., pushing people's attention, they have less time for Obama's more idealistic message and more concern about practical, down-to-earth issues. If that's a valid assessment, Obama will have to effectively segue into this new scenario.

Thank you for changing your Atavar.

It was an atavistic impulse.

Obama will spend the next six months fighting back

Not if he wants to win, he won't. If he wants to win, he'll put McCain on the ropes and keep him there. The rule in politics is that if you're playing defense, you're losing. Notice how he's refusing to play defense with Hillary. He doesn't need to, and he knows it. And NO ONE on the Republican side is attacking Hillary. They don't even care about her any longer. She's irrelevant. So the only people who are still watching her little sideshow are her supporters and the press. Obama and McCain are already past it.

Obama will f