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tide has turned
Obama will upset the clintons in pa.
massive turnout among first time voters and the youth vote will put him over the top.
hillary will lose part of her strongest base, women voters.
exit polls will show Obama to have closed the gap based on the perception that hillary was pandering and seen as being disingenuous in her attacks on him.
this result will force her from the race and will be viewed as a direct refutation of her character.
7pm 4/15/08
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Comments (3)
this is an ambitious prognostication but. . .I'll still be happy if Obama loses by less that 10 points.
April 15, 2008 7:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
One poll in the sixty listed on pollster.com shows Obama ahead by two points, within the margin of error.
I agree with the comment above. Closing a 25-35 point gap to within 10 points would be pretty impressive. Even polls from just a few weeks ago have him down by 15+ points. A outright win would be phenomenal, but I don't think that's in the cards.
April 15, 2008 8:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
About 5% of me is hoping for that shocking upset. About 20% of expects it to be Bitter Bradley Effect blowout in the 15-20 point range for Hillary. Another 20% believes that he can close the gap to a healthy 5-6 points.
The remaining 55% of my brain is sure she nails it with 12 to 13%.
I hope you and my 5% are right!
April 15, 2008 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
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