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Out of the Weeds: Winter Quarters

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The warring armies are essentially parked. Sporadic harassing artillery fire is now and then heard, occasional patrols go out for reconnaissance, but real events are pretty much at a standstill on this front.

Most of the prevailing discussion at the moment is either mundane, irrelevant, basic tom-tomming for morale, or a stale rehash of old charges and counter-charges.

Aside from the usual nicks and cuts, each candidate has sustained one truly serious wound which will follow them into the general election, and beyond. I won't be more specific about that at the moment, but anyone who has been paying attention knows what I'm talking about.

Nothing more of real importance will happen before April 22nd.  Simply put, on that day Sen. Clinton will carry Pennsylvania and a chance to continue forward, or she will not,  and this will be over.

IF she were to clear that vital hurdle, I think the race will move onto terrain that I regard as potentially advantageous for her, given the momentum of Pennsylvania. At that point,  we may indeed be faced with a very interesting sequence of independently decisive contests. IF the bulk of these go her way, we could end-up in a muddle that does not present itself with any obvious, clear-cut choice. And then, the issue of MI/FLA rears out of the grave,  and takes new life (and how might that be decided?).

I KNOW this is a whole lot of "if's", but they don't strike me as completely preposterous projections of what might  happen. I admit,  it has something of the feel of filling a whole sequence of inside straights - but I think I see a lot of the cards already on the table, and I think there is a reasonable chance it could go that way.

But again, first things first:  April 22nd in Pennsylvania.  If there is still anything to discuss after that, I'll be back.


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