I see your snark and raise you an expectation...

Actually, lets not raise any expectiations.

Considering that a few short polling cycles ago, Obama landing withing 20 points was considered an upset, these neck-and-neck polls defy certitude.

About a week ago, I called PA a 3-point win for Obama... just by putting a straight-edge to the averaged-poll trajectory. According to the PPP poll, I was a day early...

Sometimes, the writing really IS on the wall.

I'm really thinking that Obama's internals are way off on this one. At this point all of the polls are showing a swing in Clinton's direction, so that at least a 5-6 pt win is expected. I think Clinton's internals are more on track, and am guessing that it'll be between 10-14 pts once the undecideds are factored in.

My take is that both of them are now "playing" to the Supers, and his campaign is declaring him the "winner" even if he were to lose by a few %. There are two criteria to truly consider this a "win" 1. He came from a -20% disadvantage and he shaved a double digit lead from her in her base state and 2. He did it with Hillary going full-throttle Rove at him and WITHOUT him hitting her back, hard.

The message is clear - he can withstand Rove's apparatus and still win with one armed tied behind him.

This is masssively *impressive*! The Supers will certainly noticee, so yes, he's WON, even if he were to lose by a slim margin. :)

Ah, forgot a 3rd criteria - unlike Hillary, he's won without racking up skyhigh unfavourable ratings and turning off a lot of voters.

Please people, get the Supers attention if you can, maybe it'll end with Pennsylvannia, or latest by May 6th!

Ok, my final $0.02, sorry, my thoughts are all over the place sometimes and I can "see" something take shape but it's hard to articulate it until moments later...excuse the quirk..

The Supers are political animals - they breathe, eat and dream this stuff. They would know that he has only used "defense" against Hillary, the furthest he's gone on a personal attack is when he's quoting something she said or Bill said to illuminate double standards or hypocrisy. They know all the offensive stuff he *could have* used alright, I mean, his people must be trawling TPM, Huffington,etc. for all the nuggets, Screwgate, Colombia, her campaign debts, Wright was her spiritual guide during Lewinsky...remember...cue blue dress, a finger-shaking Billy....walls have ears in Washington and these poeple *gossip* - you can't be a politician if you don't know the grapevine. I'm not one, and I can rattle off a number of nasties from the top of my head.

So yeah, the Supers would have been taking scores, and I'm sure Bill and Hillary too.

I don't think Hillary thinks she's going to win, but she's probably planning on her next move to secure the VP. She's in a good position for that, despite any misgivings about her going Rove. Obama supporters will vote for their ticket *regardless*, her supporters will vote for her, and she can advance her case that she'll play Cheney to Obama, the bad cop, the "old Wahington hand", etc. vs, McCain's "old Washington hand".

All's fair in love and war, etc. I used to hate the idea too, but pragmatism is going to prevail. There are us voters and there're the smoke-filled rooms. I'd get a Dem in, especially one like Obama, any way I can. He won't change Washington completely, he can't, the entrenched interests won't have it, but he can change it for the better. I hope he will do much more eventually, but I'm fine with one step at a time.