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How Obama can win the nomination and the General Election

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Despite the fact that I think it highly unlikely that Clinton can actually pull off her magic numbers-based comeback and secure the nomination, the reality is that a continued battle between her and Obama is beyond the point of arguing good vs. bad for the party.  It's bad.  Very bad.  So how can Obama 'close the deal' as Clinton put it, and at the same time go on to win the Presidency in November?  
First, the major stumbling block for Obama at the moment seems to be the Clinton camp's assertion that he can't win over blue-collar workers.  Further, a major obstacle to overcome in the general election is the Clinton hardliner holdouts who will continue to harbor their ill will towards Obama and either not turn out in the fall or (moronically) vote for McCain.
The best way for Obama to overcome both of these hurdles at the same time is to give John Edwards the VP slot.  Obviously it's presumptive to declare a VP before a candidate wins the nomination, so that's out of the question.  However, a backroom deal with Edwards guaranteeing him the VP spot in return for an immediate endorsement and active support of the Obama campaign is perfectly reasonable, and should be highly attractive to Edwards.  
The Edwards endorsement and joint ticket would accomplish two things: 1) in the primary it would immediately give Obama more support amongst both blue-collar workers and the Edwards supporters who were very disappointed their candidate lost, and 2) be a strong ticket in the General that will help make up for the Clinton hardliner losses.  
In the primary, Obama has indeed had trouble winning over blue-collar folks in those large, election-deciding states.  Edwards was the most populist candidate and with his endless repetitions of the mill-working father would immediately help give Obama some amount of cred with those voters.  Granted, it won't be enough to win that bloc over completely, but all Obama needs is enough to keep those races close enough to keep his lead in delegates and in the popular vote, and the Edwards bump would be more than enough for that.  
In the General Election, it would have even greater effect.  For one, it would help balance the ticket by improving support in the Southern states.  Second, it would give the Obama/Edwards ticket the ability to be substantially more populist in message on the economy, a subject that will almost certainly play the single largest role in determining the next President (which is also a good side-effect for those liberals who wanted a more populist candidate like Edwards, but were left with Obama and Clinton).  Third, Edwards is an experienced and tested VP candidate who performed well in the last election where he held that role (although obviously against a very detested opponent).  Last and not least, it would at least somewhat help to  win over some of those hardliner Clintonites who otherwise would abandon Obama (remember, a substantial portion of the people supporting Clinton were originally Edwards supporters, and it stands logically that at least some non-zero percentage of the hardliners were amongst that group).  
Clearly in my opinion, Obama could make no smarter move right now than to sit Edwards down and make him an offer he can't refuse.  


Comments (21)

Why Edwards? He couldn't bring voters out in the primaries for his own candidacy. How can he bring anyone out for someone else's?

Gov. Kathleen Sibelius (Kansas) is a very good choice, and allows the Obama camp to make peace with women voters while keeping the Clintons at a distance.

She helped Obama win Kansas -- no small feat.

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Good points.

I do think Sibelius would be a decent choice, but the fact of the matter is that no one has ever heard of her (speaking of the general public). To get a decent bump, and now, Obama needs the support of someone with a high profile, like Edwards.

And while Edwards ended up not lasting terribly long, he still managed to attract a significant and vocal support from a substantial number of voters, a huge chunk of whom fit into that blue-collar segment that Obama has trouble with. Frankly, it's even more impressive he managed to be a viable third-place contestant as long as he did against not one but two historic, powerful campaigns.

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Just my opinion, but I don't think Obama is a strong enough candidate to make it without a vp who is a known commodity.
Someone named Sibelius, and a woman at that, is going to make a lot of voters nervous, and Obama already makes a lot of Democratic voters incredibly nervous.
If McCain is smart he'll do the same thing -- choose a well known commodity.

Why would the name Sibelius make people nervous? Clinton is a woman running for President so why not a woman for VP? Sibelius is a very articulate, confident, politically savvy, popular Democratic governor of a Red State.

Also, many VPs were not known commodities: think Dan Quayle or John Edwards.

Think Condi Rice and shake in your boots.

Sure. Because the Republicans have been waiting for years, decades, maybe, to vote for a black lesbian.

In what alternate universe is this scenario plausible?

Id Hillary Sibellius were running against Obama, this race would have ended months ago. It isn't Hillary's gender that got her this far; it is her married name. True, it is her gender that has gotten her loyalty with many women my age, but it is her name that got her foot in the door.

There is pretty good evidence that most Edwards supporters have chosen sides already. In places like N. Carolina, Obama is the clear beneficiary.

Second, I don't that Edwards would have better luck in attracting white, working class voters. In other words, Obama and Edwards seem to have had overlapping supporters and so I doubt Edwards will be able to draw supporters away from Clinton.

Third, the Vice Presidential candidate should be someone who can add to the campaign by attracting a different segment of the electorate--i.e., Kennedy/ Johnson ticket. While this was successfully challenged by the Clinton/ Gore ticket, this year I think Obama would be better served by say someone like Casey of Pennsylvania whose personality and electoral support compliments Obama more than Edwards. (I am holding out for Sibelius!)

Finally, most candidates do not declare a Vice Presidential running mate until the nomination is pretty well secured. If Obama was to announce a running mate, IMO it would do more to alienate Clinton supporters than secure his nomination. Besides, I think he's already on the right track in securing the nomination.

I've been rooting for Sibelius and am glad someone else mentioned her. She's been supporting Obama all along, is a rising star in the party, and seems to be an extremely competent, intelligent and compassionate woman.

There are plenty of cabinet posts for competent, intelligent people. Just because no one like that has darkened the door of the cabinet for 7 years doesn't mean it shouldn't happen. I include Edwards, and even Hillary in that. They all have something to offer. Of course, not as a way to appeal during the election, but in cleaning up this mess we're in.

I'd like to see Hillary as Ambassador to Iraq.

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Hillary Clinton - ambassador to Iraq - with Blackwater body guards - excellent idea. There she can play Rambo (oh sorry, she said she's like Rocky, but nuking Iran is certainly worth 4 Rambos) all she wants.

If Obama gets the nomination, the first black President will be Condi Rice, unless Hillary Clinton can beat her in 2012.

You mean the scenario where Cheney steps down, Bush appoints Condi as VP and then Bush quits a couple weeks before the inauguration? Talk about conspiracy theories!

Here's why it won't happen: The 25th Amendment to the Constitution. A replacement VP would need to get past Congress. Do you think Rice could? I don't.

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Condi Rice is toast for any elected office on account of her lying about torture to the American people. That and "didn't read the NIE" (before 9/11) is all you'd hear if she ever ran for anything.

I'm afraid there is no downside to McCain picking Rice to run with him. The fact that she is committed to the occupation and the Bush/McCain position on Iran simply makes her consistent with McCain. She is a woman and an African American and a devout fundamentalist Christian. Whether you like them or not, a McCain/Rice ticket might bury Obama.

It's more likely that Obama makes Hillary VP and she goes all Vince Foster on his ass so she can become President, as she feels she divinely deserves. You wanna talk trash? There's plenty against your girl to be spit.

Girl? I guess if you were a Clinton supporter and I supported Obama, you'd be calling Barack Obama my boy. Neither of our candidates for the nomination deserves to be disrespected.

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Obama is a wasted talent in US Politics. He should follow "Dreams from My Father", and go to Kenya where he could really bring change, and Michelle could be proud always.

Oh, but blacks don't go to Africa, do they?

Well he is only semi-black, so it should work.

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