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Hillary as Frankenstein: Hope from (of all people) Dick Morris
Clinton's risen from the dead, but is the stake yet aimed? While The NYT says she scared up the PA votes with a sad display of negativity, Dick Morris has more heartening words.
Writing today, he makes a good point about the PA voter composition:
"Clinton won Pennsylvania for two key reasons: Only Democrats could vote in the primary, and the Keystone State electorate is dominated by the elderly, who are staunchly for Clinton.
"Despite her claims of electability, Hillary has never done well among independent voters. And Obama usually loses the Democrats. Pennsylvania's closed-primary rules gave her a key advantage."
The next races, he adds, are different:
"But don't expect the open primaries of Indiana and North Carolina to behave like Pennsylvania's geriatrics. Both states are younger, especially North Carolina, and independents can vote in each primary. (North Carolina is where a lot of the young people who fled Pennsylvania winters and job losses ended up).
"Over the next two weeks, we'll be treated to much hoopla about how the Democratic race is once again up for grabs. Then, on May 5, Hillary's hopes will be dashed once more.
"But consider that a New York Times editorial painted Clinton's PA success with a different brush - that she won handily thanks in large measure to heavy-handed punches and fear-inducing ads."
So I come to wonder: was her win more about the demographics to which Morris points or was it more about her negativity? Would she need both to win Indiana as she did in Ohio and PA or would negativity alone be enough for her?
And will Obama HAVE to go seriously negative in Indiana so as to beat her, even with more favorable voter composition? I really hope not, but I want him to win.
Oy!













Comments (4)
Forgot to give the link to the complete column, though it's hard for me to believe I'm actually passing on anything from Dick Morris! :)
http://www.nypost.com/seven/04232008/postopinion/opedcolumnists/too_little__too_late_107751.htm
April 23, 2008 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the not too distant future Dick Morris will be gloating about how he played a key role in defeating Hillary. He may exaggerate, but there will be some truth. It's fun how these guys actually are willing to be somewhat honest after a campaign is over.
He will brag about how he helped hem her in by predicting that her campaign would use dog whistle politics to play upon racial prejudices. Dick knew for sure that there would be statements that could be interpreted as playing the race card. Thue he launched a preemptive strike against Clinton by accusing her in advance.
Then, when a few instances inevitably occurred, everybody was prepped and prepared to pounce. Karl Rove will also be bragging about the role played by his Wall Street Journal article. The attacked the Clintons' strength and tore them down.
Bet they knew the MSM would give them a big assist.
April 23, 2008 1:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
And, to add to my already miserable record as a blogger, I must point out in the interests of clarity and accuracy that the paragraph leading with the following words should not have been in quotation marks. Morris never wrote this particular paragraph - I did!
"But consider that a New York Times..."
(I will now slink off to a corner somewhere to lick my self-inflicted wounds!)
April 23, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been saying for weeks that the issue in PA was age. I take this and some other articles as some vindication.
And as someone sick to death of PA winters, I too am considering NC!
I think Clinton's margin would have been about the same here without all the negativity, in fact it might even have been better. I don't think it will help her at all in NC and very little in IN.
April 23, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
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