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Why Clinton voters are not joining Obama

Jsmith03 had an interesting post asking Clinton supporters to explain why they back their candidate. I found the tone of the discussion in that post unusually calm, objective and un-emotional - a breath of fresh air.

Having thought about this a little more, I think it is also worthwhile to try to figure out why Clinton voters have not joined the Obama campaign and why Obama has been unable to "close the deal" with them.

Unlike the American media, I do not claim to have any kind of special insight into the mind of the voters. My words here are based on my own opinions, the opinions of my friends and the statements and strategies from both camps.

I also want to make it very clear that I separate the surrogates from the "official campaign strategy". The surrogates on both sides have said things that are controversial, and it's not the focus of my post here. Therefore, I invite the same kind of calm, reasoned and un-emotional discussion Jsmith03 called for in his post.

So, the question is this: why, despite the efforts of the Obama campaign, many Clinton voters have not backed him? By "Clinton voters" I mean mostly women, Catholic and Jewish voters, working class Americans (white men have swung back and forth between the two candidates).

I think this question is important not only for the Obama campaign but also for his supporters to think about and answer, because the promise of his campaign - hope, new kind of politics and change in Washington - is a promise that "should" resonate with anyone.

I reject claims that some voters are "uneducated", "unenlightened", etc, because that's the same as saying they are stupid, lacking in intelligence and is ultimately arrogant and condesending.

Here are my thoughts:

1. Many Clinton voters, myself included, feel strongly that the Obama campaign strategy has been to amplify the "Clinton negatives".

In fact, we feel that Obama not only didn't distance himself from the attacks on the character of Sen. Clinton, but he in fact made these attacks a major part of his strategy - to attack Sen. Clinton as a person - to claim that she is so corrupt, vile, mean and calculating as to be unfit to be President because she has no morals, no values, no integrity and no convictions.

Here is a list of statements made by the official Obama campaign staffers so far:
- Disingenuous
- Too polarizing
- Dishonest
- Divisive
- Calculating
- Saying and doing whatever it takes to win
- One of the most secretive politicians in America
- Will do anything to win

Most of these ran on Huffington Post as quotes from campaign statements. Yesterday, Huffington Post ran a headline that Obama now plans to attack Sen. Clinton on ethics. We feel that Obama campaign truly thinks that Hillary Clinton is some sort of freak - monster first, anything else second. 

Many Clinton supporters feel that this is wholesale character assasination. This is what Republicans do. We feel that this strategy runs in direct contradiction to the message of his campaign of hope and change. We feel that these attacks have nothing to do with the war in Iraq, economy, health care, education, etc.

2. Many Clinton supporters feel that Clinton-haters make a large block in the Obama campaign. We think that Obama keeps them by holding Hillary Clinton responsible for the problems and/or decisions of her husband. The most vivid example of this for me was how Obama responded to David Geffen attacks on Sen. Clinton. He declined to clearly distance himself from Geffen's comments, but instead invoked the "Lincoln bedroom". Obama blamed Hillary Clinton for NAFTA, for her husband not being able to "bring the country together", the partisanship of the Clinton years, etc.

We feel that Sen. Clinton is between a rock and a hard place on this issue, damned if she does and damned if she doesn't. Obama blamed her for taking credit for achievements and absolving herslef of the failures. We think that Sen. Clinton, despite having no portfolio and security clearance, managed to do more for this country than any other first lady in history. Even her worst critics acknowledge her role in foreign and domestic policy, albeit behind the scenes and without an explicit official role. We think that her intimate knowledge of how the goverment works, her international status and established contacts make her far better prepared to be a great president than any candidate, Rep or Dem, running today. For us, the denigration of her role as a first lady is a denial of her her obvious strength.

3. Many Clinton supporters feel that Obama himself made comments about Sen. Clinton that were blatantly sexist, without any consequences ("When Sen. Clinton periodically feels down and depressed, etc....") and at the same time invoked racism as a parallel line of attack. I saw the coverage of SC primaries almost 24/7 and I remember the very first broadcast of both "fairy tale" and "Jesse Jackson" comments on CNN. Like many other supporters of Sen. Clinton, I was stunned by the speed with which these comments were taken out of context until the only way they could be understood was racist. I know that we will never convince Obama supporters on this, but that's just what we think happened.

4. Many supporters of Clinton feel that Sen. Obama himself is not  and does not believe in being tough and fighting for the Democratic programs. We feel that in his search for unity, he is prepared to compromise with the Republicans on some of the most important issues for our party.

We think his healthcare plan is based on a partial mandate for the sole purpose of making it more acceptable to the Republicans in Congress. The fact that Sen. Clinton already paid an enormous personal price for trying to solve healthcare in the 1990s and yet she keeps trying, is an indication to us that she cares more about solving this it than the personal consquences this may have to her. We don't think she is a victim. We think she has the right priorities of a Democrat.

We think we need a tough, fighting spirit in the White House. The Republicans are never going to roll-over and give up everything they oppose us on. Harry Reid tried "playing nice" and failed miserably. For as long as we have two opposite political philosophies (individual action vs collective action), partisanship will be a defining feature of American politics, as it has been for the last 200 years.
We don't feel the kind of tenacity, determination and focus in Sen. Obama that we see in Sen. Clinton.

5. Much has been made about the "3 am" ad. In my view, the ad spoke about the strengths of Sen. Clinton, not the weaknesses of Sen. Obama, but I understand how and why it was interpreted as it was. Nevertheless, this ad crystalized the debate about judgement.

I know Obama's claim of having had a better judgement on Iraq. I know that we will continue to disagree on that. But the reason many Clinton voters are not influenced by this is simply because they haven't bought into the "better judgement" claim. 

For me, his track record on Iraq actually undermines his claim to judgement. The fact of Rezko and the latest admission on Rezko. The inconsitencies in his current and past claims about Rev. Wright. In my view, the fact that NAFTA and "monster" incident happened at all is proof that Obama judgement is not better or worse than the judgement of the majority of politicians.

In conclusion, I think that many Clinton voters have not joined Obama because we are not convinced that he is what he says he is and that he can deliver. His books and speeches may be great but for us they are part of his political marketing and his actions are the best proof that he means what he says.

Again, this post is not about mutual attacks between supporters on this blog. It's about why I think Obama has trouble attracting Clinton voters. I'm interested in anyone's thoughts on this topic.


Comments (225)

6. Many Clinton supporters are just plain deluded. They either feel a misguided loyalty to her because of Bill, or they are too lazy to read anything beyond the headlines or look for information beyond the soundbites.

and 7. Pissed off by the patronizing assholes like you.

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Not quite. You posit that an Obama supporter attacks Clinton personally but the clinton supporter is merely questioning Senator Obama's credentials. Lalo35adm, dont you seee that you are merely "parsing" this thread with the "nuances" that the clinton machine is famous for. I started out supporting John Edwards for his vision. My second choice was Biden for his usual wisdom and experience. After them, came Dodd and Richardson for their experience and probity. Furthermore, I beleived that Kucinich was the most progressive and best candidate but unfortunately, unelectable in our shallow society. The election quickly left us with 2 choices. 1: We could go back to the 90's and the clinton-social conservative culture wars; or, 2) We could back a candidate with true progressive credentials and who posesses more charisma than any ad company could ever imagine creating. This is why I back Senator Obama.

If we dispassionately look at the attacks that have occured, please Lalo35ad, tell me how your camp hasn't attacked the senator from Illinois personally. I mean, two days after Hilliary gushed how proud she was to be on the stage with Senator Obama she shrieks- yes shrieks - "Shame on you Barrack." I could recite more examples ad nauseum. I wont because I, like most Americans have to go to work. I am not paid by any campaign, as perhaps you are, to expouse how wonderful my candidate is and the other one is a liar.


This, my friend is the problem. Senator Obama has been in essence been called a fraud or a "potempkin" candidate. This is the personal attack that you wont acknowledge. The use of sophistry - the actual term for nuance - by the advertising types that the clintons have hired is ultra sophisticated and difficult to deconsruct. You have a talking point answer, well though out on flow charts and memorized in staff meetings to be disseminatred via viral email to all surrogates. The bottom line is that Senator Obama is real and Senator Clinton is packaged. This is a fact that cannot be changed.

So, please continue to tell everyone who will listen of how "wrong" Senator Obama is and how "victimized" Senator Clinton is. I want you to do this because even the lame MSM will tire of this and eventually question it.

Finally, I call upon you to ask, nay demand, your candidate who has claimed to be completely "vetted" to conduct a transparent campaign where tax records are public, where the library donors are made public (even you have to admit that the $500,000,000 million that the clintons raised is an excessive amount for a building that in essence will eventually become a place for high school senior in Arkansas to take a day trip to) so as to answer the innuendo regardings pardons for sale and access for sale, to release her whitehouse logs, and to release her earmark requests. The reason being that some rethuglican 527 will swiftboat her on it if she doesn't open up now.

Also, I would like to address Ms. Ferraro's comments. If a white male candidate had lost 14 primaries and caucuses to winning 2 and tieing 1 (Texas is a tie-Hilliary won the popular vote with a huge limbaugh inspired crossover vote - while Barrack won the democrat only caucusand has come away from Texas with more pledged delegates and that IS A FACT) wouldn't that white male candidacy be questioned as to its continual viability? A fair question but one that reactionaries would call sexist.

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You see, this is what happens when we try to have a serious discussion. Go here and read this: http://www.attacktimeline.com/ SCROLL DOWN when the page opens. If you think for one minute that Obama is not Politics as usual, you are deluding yourself. If you bother to go to that site and see all of his attacks on Hillary, the person, then go to http://facts.hillaryhub.com/ and you can see what the OBAMA put down of the day is. I am sorry, I am sick of it. I made SURE I read his books, her books, her stand on the issues and his stand on the issues and then I made a decision. These two links helped me with that decision.

7. Clinton supporters can't do basic math. http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/please-consider-thissuper-dele.php

My post is only about why Clinton voters do not vote for Obama it's not about delegates.

Maybe because your post does make this claim
"Many Clinton supporters feel that this is wholesale character assasination. This is what Republicans do. We feel that this strategy runs in direct contradiction to the message of his campaign of hope and change. We feel that these attacks have nothing to do with the war in Iraq, economy, health care, education, etc."

And, we're somewhat appalled that you think it isn't going on the other way around to a MUCH greater degree. Also my POINTS are NOT ATTACKS and are almost always substantiated by fact.

I was a full grown, working thinking adult during the Clinton terms, and I was politically active - so you guys really insult my intelligence with many of your tactics. Like - we all have Alzheimer's.

I understand your point. But this post is not about why Obama supporters are not switching to Clinton. You can write that post if you like.

My post is about why Clinton supporters are not switching to Obama. If he wins the nomination, as I think he will, this will be a cruicial point for his campaign and his supporters to resolve.

This Clinton Supporter switched to Obama. And I have no doubt many women dedicated to women's right did as well.

http://ie.youtube.com/watch?v=OVuMYKs8iJs

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Thanks for the video clip, mageduley! The part about Obama being 100% honest is utter bullsh!t.

Thought you'd like it. Want to see the society pages showing Lorna's Fund Raiser for Hillary?

http://www.fashionwindows.com/room_service/2005/clinton.asp

And how about her reply when Hillary's campaign tried to discredit this tireless advocate of women's rights?

Here are the facts: I was president from 1995 – 1999. Barack Obama was elected to the state senate in 1996. He had a 100 percent voting record on choice all the time he was in office and Chicago Now and Illinois NOW endorsed Barack in all his state senate races, as did Planned Parenthood and NARAL. NOW relied on Pam Sutherland, Illinois Planned Parenthood’s lobbyist, to do all our work in the state legislature. She did a great job and it was because of her strategy we defeated many measure designed to restrict a woman’s right to choose. It was with heavy heart that I first went on the record to defend Obama’s record on choice, being a firm Hillary supporter. When the line of attack did not stop but was escalated in a direct mailer in New Hampshire to pro-choice voters from Hillary’s campaign I stopped being sad and got mad. This is bad for the pro-choice movement. It hurts our reputation and credibility. I stand for choice and truth.

In addition, does it not mean something that National NARAL president Nancy Keenan released a statement saying both Hillary and Barack are both 100 percent pro-choice?

Illinois and New York NOW have done serious damage to their organization’s reputation among serious pro-choice men and women. It is really distressing as a feminist to watch.

Glad to set the record straight.

Lorna Brett Howard

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You forgot to add first few sentences, mageduley. Same topic, different link.

A response to Bonnie Grabenhofer, Illinois NOW President, from Lorna Brett Howard:
Bonnie is correct. I was not the president of Chicago NOW when Senator Obama made the “present” votes. I never said I was. . . .

So what were you saying again?

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Hillary is a lying sack of crap...

The facts end up the same dude or dudette. That flyer should never have been sent out. If Hillary ever gets to steal the nomination I will watch, sit back and watch the republicans swallow up that snake...

Tuesday, February 5, 2008
Setting the record straight: Illinois NOW's story on Obama has changed over time
A letter from Planned Parenthood/Chicago Area President and CEO, Steve Trombley:
http://ppaurora.blogspot.com/2008/02/setting-record-straight-illinois-nows.html

Welcome to the Obama echo chamber.

Your presence is as curious as your absence. Where were you last week?

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/she-got-our-antipathy-the-old.php

Cabo, short spring break. Then moving to the new campaign office in Pennsylvania from Ohio.

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Lalo received the Daou email with his marching orders.

Once again a politician and the media assuming the people are stupid.

Actually, I didn't get that email from Daou. But more importantly, where in your view is it wrong?

He's come at her with negative attacks? What the hell has she been doing for the last three months? Endorsing John McCain much? He only gave a speech in 2002? WTF is that?

I don't think that Lalo is claiming that Hillary hasn't used "negative" attacks.

I think the point she is making is that Obama is as complicit in doing negative ads. Obama does it in several ways. The conventional way, NAFTA ad. And the unconventional way, thru the back door. By excessively pointing fingers at the Hillary campaign for being negative/racist. Obama has been using the race card by pointing fingers at Hillary, to great effect. Maybe now it has finally back fired with the release of the Wright videos.

The Sen has not been saying that. We blogers and our pundit friends in the MSM have been. Members of the AA community not associated with the campaign have been saying it. One of my cheif complaints with pro Hillary comenters is that they cannot distinguish between what a candidate says, what the campaign says, and what random citizens say.

Listing Hillary's inconsistent statements, although negative;

...is not NEGATIVE CAMPAIGNING.

Asking her to put out her tax records (which MAY turn out to be negative)

...is not NEGATIVE CAMPAIGNING.

Asking Hillary about her her stated, presumed, etherial, and undocumented experience, and expecting an answer,

...is not NEGATIVE CAMPAIGNING.

Comparing herself (Hillary) as a vetted Commander-In-Chief (a lie, among other things) AND John McCain (republican challenger), who also has no Commander-In-Chief experience (and is known to be a hot-head crazy) FAVORABLY AGAINST THE DEMOCRATIC FRONT-RUNNER (Obmama)

...IS AT THE VERY LEAST, NEGATIVE CAMPAIGNING! WHO CAN DISAGREE WITH THIS???????????????

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This is a curious reason to stick with Hillary:

>1. Many Clinton voters, myself included, feel strongly that the Obama campaign strategy has been to amplify the "Clinton negatives". >

Hasn't a major theme of the Clinton campaign and of her supporters been that she is vetted and tested and that the Repubs will go after Obama with everything they can find, and therefore the questions they are raising now (like the CiC "threshold," Rezko, Wright) are actually good for the Dems because they get the stuff out now and show whether and how Obama can handle it?

If that's true about Obama, why isn't it equally as true about Clinton? Why isn't it a great thing that Obama is "focusing on her negatives"?

In fact, your points 1-3 really come down to the same point. I think it is a gross misreading of reality, but that's neither here nor there. I just don't get the cognitive dissonance aspect of claiming Hillary's attacks on Obama are necessary to test him, but Obama's "attacks" on Hillary are dirty politics.

Explain?

If you cannot see the difference between attacking someone as a person and attacking someone's qualifications, then this post was lost on you.

Lalo,

You are a refreshing dose of fresh air! Thanks.

Number 4 is my big reason. I don't blieve he'll fight for what's right.

My joking number 5 is that I don't want Oprah Winfrey to get a cabinet post.

But that's only kind of a joke. My biggest concern is that Obama is a wimp.

And yet, here that "wimp" is, kicking your rough, tough two-fisted fightin' gal's ass all around the playing field.

Not (just) being flip. Hillary has always looked more like a flailer than a fighter to me. Always. 1991 to the present. Fighters land blows and win. Flailers flail and either lose or succeed only in doing as much damage as is done to them.

Let's see, she says one thing by signing a pledge, even tells a few voters on radio programs right before their primaries that she intends to honor that pledge - and then - hey - what pledge...

Her campaign thinks people are too stupid to reject her 'big' state theory is utterly baseless. Yeah, I love being insulted at every trun.

SHE WAS partly or fully responsible for some of the less savory events during 'her husbands' terms. By the way, many many public people have noted that camp Obama has not directly attacked on many things regarding that period that they rightfully could. Things you know damn well Hillary would use if flipped around. Also you can't keep taking credit for the good in that period why disowning the bad.

Taking 875,900 bucks from health care related companies - not from an assortment of their employees, mind you - were talking money directly from the companies or their highest ranking officers. And then wanting us to believe she is going to get us a fair insurance deal. I mean - what do we really even need the insurance companies for in the first place? (and yes, this is something I disagree with Obama on, too)

The 'Toledo Blade' called her for exactly what she is, 'A coldly calculating individual'.

Come on - if you can stand there and tell me her behavior during the Florida/Michigan debacle is anywhere close to respectable, then you are not researching the subject.

Fact: a committee of 28 people made the decision to strip Florida and Michigan, not Howard Dean.

Fact: a commission of 40 people, nine of whom are big time Hillary people, MADE THE RULES. This commission spent months holding meetings and discussing the rules and schedule for 2008, and they finished their work in late 2005. Guess who headed that commission? TERRY McCAULIFFE - if you are a Clintonista - you know who that is!

Fact: The Florida House vote was 118-0 to move their date.

Fact: The Florida Senate vote was 37-2 to move their date.

Fact - several Democratic state lawmakers their bragged about how they were helping Florida after that vote - go read the news from that time frame. Florida new sources, please.

Fact: There are more Registered Democrats in Florida than there are Republicans. You elect representatives to make choices for you. Guess they
can't figure out how to elect more democrats down there in spite of there advantage.

Fact: There were other issues on the ballot that day in both Florida and Michigan. So, it isn't as though the POTUS primary was the only reason to go vote, as Hillary would have you believe.

Fact: More Republican ballots were cast than Democratic - even though there are more Reg. Democrats.

and Hellary wants to keep insulting out intelligence.....

My post is only about the reasons why Obama is not switching Clinton's voters. Nothing else

You seem to think you can control what readers say on your blog post. That evidences an extreme confusion about how the whole blogging thing works. You don't get to control other people's comments. Unless you have admin credentials we don't know about.

You're pretty pushy, especially given that there's no evidence you were even part of the TPM community a week ago. First contribution I can see that you've made dates to March 14.

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What a ridiculous comment, Allsburg. Who the hell cares how long this guy has had a username? I've been following politics since before you had an actual name. Should I dismiss you because of that?

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Good spin Lalo, you didn't receive the email directly from Daou.

Yes, and still awaiting your response. Thanks.

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Hmm. I'm an Obama supporter, and I have major, major problems with Clinton. Here's what frustrates me about this post: it is possible that Clinton really IS calculating, disingenuous, divisive, dishonest, and will say/do anything to win, regardless of whether she ruins the Democratic party in the process. I do not believe this things because Obama told me to. I believe these things because I have watched this campaign very closely and have seen evidence of them with my own eyes. In fact, I believed these things about Clinton way back when I thought Obama didn't have a chance of winning the nomination.

To be clear, I support Obama because I believe that he is the candidate who can really change the way Washington operates, to inspire Americans to think differently and see past what divides us, and change how the world views us and who, most importantly, can win in November against McCain. It's not just that I'm anti-Clinton, even though I will admit unabashedly that I think she's an awful candidate who will lose in November.

So, what am I to do? Should I not believe these obviously true things about her because I want to be fair? I am a woman who is flat-out offended that Clinton expected me to vote for her simply because we are both women, but that she belittles African American voters who voted for Obama. I am offended by her assertion that, as one of the more than 13 million Americans who have voted for Obama, I am a brainwashed koolaid-drinker, seduced by a "cult of personality." I am offended by her assertion that states where Obama won somehow don't matter. I am offended that she said, in public, in a video that we will see again and again leading up to the general election if Obama is the nominee, that McCain is better prepared to be president than Obama. I am offended that she ran that fear-mongering 3 am ad that would have made Rove proud. It goes on and on.

So yes, Obama has used negative adjectives about Clinton. But does it really count as an unfair attack if it's true?

Hi! Of course you can believe what you like about Clinton, no-one and nothing will change that at this point.

Let me point out, again, that this post is an attempt to discuss why Clinton supporters are not switching to Obama. I think it's important for the GE.

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I call BS on your assertion that you're genuinely looking for thoughtful conversation, then blindly repeating Clinton campaign talkign points, most of which take on the Rovian strategy of taking your candidate's biggest weakness and accusing your opponent of it, then taking your opponent's greatest strength and claiming it as your own.

Other than that, then you should know that a) the "latest Rezko admission" is a blatant mischaracterization of the interview he gave to the Chicago Tribune. I suggest you read it in full. You also probably know that b) the "NAFTA" thing was actually your candidate having a much more deceptive and official conversation with the Canadians than Goolsby had. This is borderline fraud by the Clinton campaign.

I'm not going to bother with point number 3, becuase it's completely ridiculous. Even the firmly committed Clinton love-fest site "Broadsheet" at Salon said there was nothing to that "periodically" comment. Seriously, the way you folks have to twist and stretch these things for them to reach the level of being sexist must require some serious yoga. Ok, I guess I bothered with "point" 3 after all.

But it's point 4 that really gets me hacked off. Every time Clinton goes on about how she's a fighter, I can't help but finish her sentence for her by saying "....whether it's good for the Party or not...whether it's good for the country or not...whether it benefits anyone other than me or not..."

But where was this "fighting" spirit on the authorization to use force in Iraq? She paints herself as someone who will go to the mat for her convictions, where was she?

Again, this is not a discussion of who's good and who's bad. It's a discussion of why Clinton supporters are not switching. I can't tell from your reply if you have written us off or just not interested.

Again, this is not a discussion of who's good and who's bad. It's a discussion of why Clinton supporters are not switching.

This seems to be contradictory. It's impossible to have a discussion of why people don't switch without discussing.. well.. why they don't switch, which is going to involve subjective judgements of who's "good" and who's "bad."

True, except that the question for the post is why more Clinton voters are not switching to Obama.

As a former Clinton supporter I have to tell you that some of us have indeed decided to support Obama and I will tell you why.

Before this race for the nomination started and before I had the chance to "get to know" Obama, I was very excited about the prospect of Hillary possibly becoming the first female President of the United States.

Although I may not have found her warm and fuzzy I felt at the time that those were not the characteristics I was looking for in the first female President anyway so I wasn't worried about it. I thought she was tough and knew her stuff and I respected (and still) respect that.

However once I started to hear more about Obama I decided in all fairness to hear him out and have listened to his speeches, reviewed his website, watched the debates and thanks to the research of so many tpm posters have been able to check his legislative record as well.

I became an Obama supporter not because I hate Hillary Clinton. I became an Obama supporter because I think right here, right now, he has the peacemaking qualities that I think the U.S. needs in a leader to help mend bridges with our allies and enemies alike.

Being tough is fine and I do respect those qualities in Hillary but I think there is a difference between toughness and strength and Obama in my opinion shows a restrained and dignified strength that I think is better suited to leading the U.S. forward.

Thanks Khan. Why do you think the rest of Clinton supporters are not switching to Obama as you did? Do you even think it's necessary, and what can be done about it

"Thanks Khan. Why do you think the rest of Clinton supporters are not switching to Obama as you did? Do you even think it's necessary, and what can be done about it"

Lalo, I don't believe more Clinton supporters will be switching sides at this point mainly due to the media.

I am truly saddened at what the media has reduced both candidates to. If we could all take a deep breath, step back and really look at both candidates purely from the standpoint of each's education, lifelong work and vision for the future we would have to admit that they are both pretty outstanding and with the help of a good cabinet and motivated American public could probably make some of the significant changes they are proposing.

However, I do still think the distinction lies with how we will be perceived globally and the steps we take in that direction and at the end of the day, I think Obama would be the better candidate in helping us acheive that positive change.

Excellent - very well put and a lot of truth to it.
It is truly a time when this country needs to make a very bold statement. Obama would be a great start on that.

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Why did this Edwards supporter choose Sen. Obama over Sen. Clinton? Because Sen. Clinton offers more of the same triangulation and moving the party right of center. It has become nearly impossible to differentiate between a right wing extremist hack and a Sen. Clinton campaign supporter. Sen. Clinton has yet to win an election with a 68% total, yet that is what she would have to do in all of the remaining contests to just tie. She has been defeated yet continues to do the work of the GOP for her own personal ambitions. She is destroying the Democratic party with her bitterness and failure to accept defeat.

Lalo35adm, based on your list of reasons and their foundations in fact, it's easy to understand why Obama is not attracting some Clinton voters.

The most conspicuous fact about your list is that it suffers from confirmation bias, the tendency to let your beliefs inform the facts before you, not the other way around. Take the health care issue. You wrote:

"We think his healthcare plan is based on a partial mandate for the sole purpose of making it more acceptable to the Republicans in Congress. The fact that Sen. Clinton already paid an enormous personal price for trying to solve healthcare in the 1990s and yet she keeps trying, is an indication to us that she cares more about solving this it than the personal consquences this may have to her. We don't think she is a victim. We think she has the right priorities of a Democrat."

In 1992 this country was focused on health care reform. Harris Wofford's term as governor and special election as senator fueled the nation's desire for reform. This was probably the number 2 issue, right after the economy. I recall Bob Dole, then Senate republican leader, conceding in public that some sort of health care reform was inevitable.

Clinton's only formal service in her husband's administration was to take the enthusiasm for reform and channel it into a proposal the country could rally around. Reports about that time show that her secretive and controlling ways led to a laughable proposal that was easily attacked by republicans. She was the primary reason we didn't have health care reform then, including universal insurance. 18,000 or so people die each year because they lack sufficient health insurance. Her judgment then had real consequences.

The country, not Clinton, paid a heavy price for her health care reform efforts.

Much of your post suffers from this kind of misreading, letting your personal convictions color your view of the facts.

I find it ironic and sad that every single Obama supporter who replied to my post basically ignored my question and just listed the reasons why "Clinton bad/Obama good".

I'm not advocating that Clinton is better. I'm asking why Obama is not able to switch more Clinton supporters and I'm trying to explain what's holding them off.

Oh well, I give up. Perhaps we can go to our different corners and stay there all the way through November.

I find it ironic and said that you posted this diatribe disguised as a good-faith attempt at understanding, only to belittle people who are honestly attempting to answer your question, or who are in good faith attempting to inform the conversation (even though it may fall outside the very narrow confines of what YOU believe the conversation is about). In this, you seem to be less like an open-minded participant in the civics of blogging, and more like a conservative talk radio show host who shoots his callers down and humiliates them in bad faith, because this type of conduct appeals to his listeners' abiding faith in their own superiority.

More of the Soviet-style view of politics.

'This is what I have unilaterally decided is on the agenda and is important to all of us, don't you dare to attempt independent cognition.'

I noticed that confirmation bias is your buzz word.

It seems to have affected several million people who voted for Sen. Clinton so far. Right or wrong, it is the opinion they have.

Perhaps you are simply not interested in winning them over.

I noticed that confirmation bias is your buzz word.

It seems to have affected several million people who voted for Sen. Clinton so far. Right or wrong, it is the opinion they have.

Perhaps you are simply not interested in winning them over.

No, it has affected everyone, Obama supporters included. Every human being suffers from confirmation bias - and there's a reason they do.

It's chemical. The brain, when faced with contradictory information, actually releases dopamine when you reject that contradictory information and fall back to your comfort zone.

Frankly, the reason why Obama doesn't switch Clinton supporters, and Clinton doesn't switch Obama supporters, is that once a person takes a position, the rational faculty has VERY LITTLE to do with why or how you defend that position - it's relegated to the part of the brain where fight or flight takes over.

We get significant emotional reward for fighting, and almost no reward for listening and reasoning.

This confirmation bias isn't a given. It's not unavoidable, but it requires a distinct self awareness in order to work around it. Few people have that presence of mind.

It's a failing in our intellectual capacity and I fear, as the world becomes more complex and harder to deal with, that it will be our undoing.

This is your money quote:

"This confirmation bias isn't a given. It's not unavoidable, but it requires a distinct self awareness in order to work around it. Few people have that presence of mind."

You are absolutely correct. I think that is the reason Obama supporters support him beyond the typical campaigning. I believe he has that presence of mind to not only have his own beliefs but also listens to the other side.

He showed this unique ability in his speech regarding the role of religion in politics. This is a subject in which most dem politcians shy away, letting the most radical right fill the vacuum.

I think this exemplifies your point precisely.
http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid463869411/bctid416343938

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I am wondering how Clinton supporters rectify the words/actions dichotomy when it comes to the invasion and occupation of Iraq. Since her action as a US Senator was to authorize the war, how can we believe her now that she says she is against it?

And, given that she's had 15 years or so to make good on the promise of universal health care, why should we believe that she will deliver if we give her another promotion?

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ktag: "I am wondering how Clinton supporters rectify the words/actions dichotomy when it comes to the invasion and occupation of Iraq."

I wonder exactly the same thing about Obama supporters. Why are they not furious that it took him 5 years to do anything about his 2002 iraq speech, downplaying it in the intervening period? Will it take him another 5 years to follow up on his healthcare speeches?

You have no way of knowing what he was doing between 2002 and now to change the country's direction as it relates to the war in Iraq. One thing that is crystal clear, however, is that until the debate in Ohio, Hillary Clinton hadn't even approached an indication that she was wrong in providing George W. Bush with the authorization to go to war in Iraq. So if you happen to be one of her supporters, I don't think you want to go to far down the road pushing that particular talking point. Most reasonable people wouldn't give George W. Bush authorization to water their yard while they were on vacation. She gave him authorization to go to war on the flimsiest of pretenses. No amount of pretending you sleep in a business suit and pearls is going to counter that fact...

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"You have no way of knowing what he was doing between 2002 and now"
Actually, we have an excellent idea.
1. On July 27, 2004, he told the Chicago Tribune on Iraq: "There's not much of a difference between my position and George Bush's position at this stage.
2. The Audacity of Hope, 2006: "...on the merits I didn't consider the case against war to be cut-and- dried."
3. 2006, he clearly said, "I'm always careful to say that I was not in the Senate, so perhaps the reason I thought it was such a bad idea was that I didn't have the benefit of US intelligence. And for those who did, it might have led to a different set of choices."

And we shouldn't forget his endorsement of Kerry's vote for the war in 2004.

So, what was he doing between 2002 and when he started running for president? About as much as he was doing on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee...

This is why Obama supporters can't stand the spin.

From Factcheck CQ:
Opponents also have taken comments of his out of context to suggest he supported the war, particularly his 2004 statement that “There’s not much of a difference between my position and George Bush’s position at this stage.” But that quote is pulled from a story in which Obama expresses a sentiment that now that the war has started, the U.S. should do the best job it can to steer Iraq toward stability.

http://politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/95/

You're going to learn about this soon enough, Foreigner. What Barack was doing in 2004 was called supporting your party and your party's nominee for the Presidency. You join a party because you believe in the party's values and ideals. You support the party's nominee. Candidates who aren't completely ego driven do it every election cycle. You put up a fight, you lose in the primary, you bring as many of your supporters as possible out to support your party nominee. It's called leadership. I know Hillary Clinton is a leader and I know she'll do what is right. So like I said, you're going to learn about this soon enough...

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So it was politically expedient to be against the war in 2002, when running for office in an electorate that was heavily anti-war.
Then it was politically expedient to support the war, or at least support war supporters in 2004, so he did that.
Now it's politically expedient to be against the war again, so he's doing that.

Sound like a new kind of politics to anyone else? I much prefer Hillary's stance. Her vote was to send a strong message to Saddam to allow inspectors back in, or else. Bush didn't wait for inspectors, and he manipulated intelligence to suggest Saddam was more of a threat than he was, and that's a tragedy, but her actions didn't show poor judgement. It's not a simple argument to understand, and I'm sure simple people won't comprehend it, but I think it's sound nonetheless.

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After reading quite a few of the comments at the pro Hillary blogs I am not too concerned about why they will never become Obama supporters. They are now quoting Hannity, Fox news, and other members of the right smear machine to back their point of view. Reason and rational thought are sadly missing.

Lalo35adm,

Here's a challenge for you:

Please post a video clip of a Hillary Clinton speech that you find to be inspiring, uplifting, and that gives you a sense of hope for the future.

Seriously. I would like to see just one.

Thanks for ignoring my question.

Thanks for refusing to engage in any dialogue aside from shooting people down.

This whole post is a fallacy based upon a collection of fallacies. Clinton voters ARE joining Obama. Unless, of course, someone really believes that Obama's entire base is composed of people who have never voted before, people who are just now elegible to vote, people who were once Republicans... As of 18 months ago, Hillary Clinton was the presumptive Democratic nominee. There was some excitement for Edwards. There was some excitement for Gore. Who is the presumptive nominee now? Surely Barack Obama isn't leading in pledged delegates and the popular vote because of Gore supporters, Edwards supporters, Republicans, "Young Folks", Starbucks devotees, and electric car owners.

If they were, he would already be a nominee with the required number of pledged delegates. He's not, and this nomination is going all the way to the convention.

No, you've got it backwards (again):

If Clinton backers hadn't already moved to Obama in droves, her election would have been the "inevitability" it was made out to be last year.

Something stopped Clinton's momentum: the move, by many of her supporters, to Obama.

You may try to marginalize my statement by accusing me of being off-topic, but it's not. The whole premise of the conversation you started is based on a false assumption.

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You might also have mentioned that Clinton supporters have seen nothing to make them feel welcome in the Obama camp. There is nothing but scorn and derison for the candidate we (approximately half of the Democrtic party) have elected to support. Examples: the day after Hillary won New Hampshire the blogs were brimming over with post about the need for investigations because Clinton had "stolen" New Hampshire; comments during the South Carolina primary were taken out of context and twisted into some sort of wierd racist rant, not only by Obama suporters, but by the Obama campaign and the candidate himself; we are told that Hillary is still in the race for her own selfish purposes ignoring the fact that neither candidate will get to the magic nominating total before the convention as well as ignoring the disenfranchment of voters like me who live in Pennsylvania and the other states yet to cast ballots. I could go on, but I reckon the point is made. Simply put, there is no evil Hillary isn't capable of. Hell, they might as well drag out the Hillary murdered Foster story.

I might also mention that on numerous occasions Hillary has stated that she will support whoever the eventual nominee of the party is and that she expects her followers to do the same. To date, Obama has not explicitly said the same thing, indeed, he has gone out of his way to state that he expects his followers will not vote for Senator Clinton. Sorry but in my view that's not the position I want to see any Democrat taking.

You might also have mentioned that Clinton supporters have seen nothing to make them feel welcome in the Obama camp. There is nothing but scorn and derison for the candidate we (approximately half of the Democrtic party) have elected to support.

My experience has been the same on the heavily pro-Hillary blogs - there's no place for an Obama supporter and no interest in convincing them to switch.

So who's right?

The answer is: We both are.

Sorry but in my view that's not the position I want to see any Democrat taking.

And I don't want to see any Democrat saying that the Republican nominee is more qualified to be President than their Democratic opponent, per Hillary's comment. So again: who's right? Which candidate committed the more egregious error?

Again: Neither. This is politics. Clinton supporters seem to be personally offended that Obama has attacked Clinton; just as many Obama supporters are personally offended when Clinton attacks Obama.

There's no rational basis for this position. Frankly, there's absolutely no reason for supporters of either candidate to attack each other - it serves no purpose, and will get nowhere, but more importantly, it merely further entrenches each side in their chosen position, making commiseration impossible.

This is THE DEFINITION of the politics this country has experienced over the last 10-15 years. The very basis of identity politics. It's destructive, and many supporters on both sides of the Clinton/Obama gap are experiencing first-hand exactly how destructive identity politics really is.

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"So it's either ignorance, familiarization, racism, or a sense of obligation that keeps Hillary supporters from embracing Obama."

I really don't think you will find anything approaching the bile put forth by Bionic Soy rgarding Obama supporters. I haven't seen it. If you have, I do wish you share it with me.

"So it's either ignorance, familiarization, racism, or a sense of obligation that keeps Hillary supporters from embracing Obama."

I really don't think you will find anything approaching the bile put forth by Bionic Soy rgarding Obama supporters. I haven't seen it. If you have, I do wish you share it with me.

Obamabot, kool-aid drinking cultists comes pretty close. I don't really think you want to get into a game of one-upsmanship regarding who has treated who worse - because like I said, that has absolutely ZERO to do with why one side supports one candidate over another. It has only to do with HOW they defend themselves, and make no mistake: both sides believe they are defending themselves.

It requires a nuanced view to understand that both sides are doing damage, and that it's entirely a waste of time on both sides.

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"Racists who support Hillary (her base) will be up in arms about this development." Compliments of a Obama supporter who calls himself Hoost.

Once again, if you can find any comments approaching either the ignorance or the malice of this one, well, I'd like to see it.

.... did you read my reply or are you just repeating yourself until you get the answer you want?

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If you'd bother to look at the timing of your post (2:59), then check the timing of mine (3:00), you'd see that they're only a minute apart. But it seems to suit the Obama people here,and yourself, thereby giving the lie to your own earlier post, to be dismissive of anything that Clinton supporters have to say.

That said, there isn't any use in getting into a pissing contest with you. If you think being called a racist is equivalent to be labeled an Obamaton, if you think having to see your candidate trashed daily by bloggers who think they are the only true liberals in the party is the same as being called a cultist, well then, more power to you.

I do agree with you on one thing. This incessant name-calling ain't worth a damn for either Obama or Clinto.