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Update: Popular Vote Including Caucuses
I have updated my estimates of the popular vote including caucuses to include Mississippi. For background and an explanation of methods and data see my previous post at http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/popular-vote-estimates-includi-1.php
The updated results are:
Total without Michigan and Florida
Clinton 12,803,453 (46.5%)
Obama 13,609,562 (49.5%)
Obama lead 806,109
Total with Florida but not Michigan
Clinton 13,674,439 (46.7%)
Obama 14,185,776 (48.5%)
Obama lead 511,337
Total including Florida and Michigan
Clinton 14,002,748 (46.9%)
Obama 14,345,636 (48.1%)
Obama lead 342,888
Here is the breakdown of primaries versus caucuses. I am only
showing the results without Florida and Michigan, but you can easily
calculate the primary results for the other versions by simply
subtracting the caucus results from the totals above.
Without Michigan and Florida
Primaries
Clinton 12,349,804 (47.1%)
Obama 12,854,603 (49.1%)
Obama lead 504,799
Caucuses
Clinton 453,649 (34.7%)
Obama 754,959 (57.8%)
Obama lead 301,310
12,803,453
12,803,453




Comments (2)
It's over, with Obama the winner, unless Clinton tries to bring down the temple by coercing the supers.
March 12, 2008 7:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Superdelegates and the DNC need to hear from rank-and-file Democrats:
Contacting the DNC:
Mailing Address:
Democratic National Committee
430 S. Capitol St. SE
Washington, DC 20003
Main Phone Number: 202-863-8000
For questions about contributions, call 877-336-7200
Email form at: http://www.democrats.org/page/s/contact
March 12, 2008 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
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