OK David, if you're so smart...
Quite a few people who read my posts have written to me saying, "David, it is all very well to criticize, but do you have any constructive suggestions to make? What do you suggest we do besides sitting around making cynical remarks like you do?" In fact some have used even harsher language than that. (sniff)
I gladly accept the challenge. This is a very fair question and deserves to be answered in some detail. Like the man said, "What is to be done?"
First I think it is important to look into the problems that the political class are being called upon to solve. What are the problems, and can they be solved by politicians? If so, which politicians are best suited to solve which problems?
As complex as the United States is, and as entwined and tangled as its problems are, I think they can be broken down roughly into two groups: domestic policy and foreign policy.
On the domestic front, the major issues, in my opinion, are establishing universal health care and protection of the working poor during what looks like turning into a severe recession or worse. The economic situation has many experts totally puzzled, that in itself bodes ill. Next on the list of priorities is repairing America's aging infrastructure. If we consider public education of quality part of infrastructure, then this is quite a shopping list. If we add guaranteeing the pensions of the soon to be retiring boomers to it, it is obvious that economies will have to be made in other areas... The military budget springs to mind.
This takes us closer to foreign policy.
Probably no one has a clearer grasp of where America's foreign policy and its domestic needs overlap than Chalmers Johnson. Here is how he defines the problem:
Up till now the only detailed and credible blue print for getting out of Iraq with some shred of dignity is James Baker's, "Iraq Study Group" report, called "dead on arrival" by such neocon luminaries as Robert Kagan and William Kristol. Daniel Pipes at the extreme right of ultra-zionist, neo-connerie, denounced the Baker report in the following terms:
Baker is supporting McCain:
As to Barack Obama, the aforementioned neocon, Robert Kagan is enthusiastic about "Obama the Interventionist".
America cannot continue to intervene all over the world for a simple reason, Americans as we saw in the video featured in the previous post, know next to nothing of the world and care less. The people in the video are not morons, they are able to earn a living and, to coin a phrase, "put food on their families". They just don't care. What this means is that America's foreign policy can never be democratic.This means that it will be always prey to those who are focused on a single issue, like the Israel or Cuban lobbies. In my opinion that means that it should be minimalist in the line of Ron Paul. But Ron Paul is against universal health care and so is McCain, no?
What is the answer to all of this? How can we square this circle? How should Americans vote in November?
First lets run through the possibilities, as I see them:
Will the Democrats ever achieve universal health care. Maybe, probably not.
Will the Republicans ever vote for universal health care. Never.
Will the Democrats ever pressure Israel enough to pacify the Middle East? Never.
Will the Republicans ever pressure Israel enough to pacify the Middle East? Maybe, probably not.
Not very promising is it?
Taking all of this into account, I recommend that Americans vote massively for Democratic candidates in local, congressional and senate races. The Democrats should have majorities in both houses to comfortably override any presidential veto. This might bring about universal health care and keep the Republican from sending more taliban to the Supreme Court. And for president... vote for John McCain. I don't think either Hillary or Obama are ready for prime time and I think both of them would continue with "liberal interventionist" adventures, which make any improvement in domestic policy impossible.
Is this really a solution? No, not really.
I gladly accept the challenge. This is a very fair question and deserves to be answered in some detail. Like the man said, "What is to be done?"
First I think it is important to look into the problems that the political class are being called upon to solve. What are the problems, and can they be solved by politicians? If so, which politicians are best suited to solve which problems?
As complex as the United States is, and as entwined and tangled as its problems are, I think they can be broken down roughly into two groups: domestic policy and foreign policy.
On the domestic front, the major issues, in my opinion, are establishing universal health care and protection of the working poor during what looks like turning into a severe recession or worse. The economic situation has many experts totally puzzled, that in itself bodes ill. Next on the list of priorities is repairing America's aging infrastructure. If we consider public education of quality part of infrastructure, then this is quite a shopping list. If we add guaranteeing the pensions of the soon to be retiring boomers to it, it is obvious that economies will have to be made in other areas... The military budget springs to mind.
This takes us closer to foreign policy.
Probably no one has a clearer grasp of where America's foreign policy and its domestic needs overlap than Chalmers Johnson. Here is how he defines the problem:
"We are spending insane amounts of money on "defense" projects that bear no relationship to the national security of the United States. Simultaneously, we are keeping the income tax burdens on the richest segments of the American population at strikingly low levels.(...) in our devotion to militarism (despite our limited resources), we are failing to invest in our social infrastructure and other requirements for the long-term health of our country. These are what economists call "opportunity costs," things not done because we spent our money on something else. Our public education system has deteriorated alarmingly. We have failed to provide health care to all our citizens and neglected our responsibilities as the world's number one polluter. Most important, we have lost our competitiveness as a manufacturer for civilian needs -- an infinitely more efficient use of scarce resources than arms manufacturing."At this point the most glaring waste of resources is the miscarried war in Iraq. Professor Andrew Bacevich of Boston University author of "The New American Militarism", is one of the clearest thinking political analysts working in the United States. He described the situation in an article in the Los Angeles Times:
"The truth is that next to nothing can be done to salvage Iraq. It no longer lies within the capacity of the United States to determine the outcome of events there. Iraqis will decide their own fate. We are spectators, witnesses, bystanders caught in a conflagration that we ourselves, in an act of monumental folly, touched off."So obviously the war in Iraq has to be ended and America's military budget has to be cut back and resources reassigned in order to attend to the needs of the American people themselves.
Up till now the only detailed and credible blue print for getting out of Iraq with some shred of dignity is James Baker's, "Iraq Study Group" report, called "dead on arrival" by such neocon luminaries as Robert Kagan and William Kristol. Daniel Pipes at the extreme right of ultra-zionist, neo-connerie, denounced the Baker report in the following terms:
"Of course, small minds assert that problems in Iraq are "inextricably linked" to the Arab-Israeli conflict – thereby repeating the precise mistake that lead co-chairman James A. Baker, III, made in 1991. He then led the effort to abandon the Persian Gulf and turn to the Palestinians, leaving Saddam Hussein in power for another dozen years and contributing directly to the present mess. In the new report, Mr. Baker and his colleagues call for a Palestinian state and even demand that a final settlement address the Palestinian "right of return" – code for dismantling the Jewish state. They peremptorily declare that "the Israelis should return the Golan Heights," in return for a U.S. security guarantee."The right wing Israeli newspaper, The Jerusalem Post, described the report in these terms,
"How embarrassing. Senior figures from both major American parties have, in broad daylight, betrayed such staggering naivete that their report might not have passed muster with a reasonably discerning high school teacher, let alone offered a serious basis for US foreign policy."And in the left leaning Israeli newspaper Haaretz, Shmuel Rosner wrote of how Governor Bill Richardson lost Jewish support by mentioning the "B word".
"Israel, he said, should be a bi-partisan issue he said charitably. And with this sense of bi-partisanship in mind pulled out of his hat the first name he could think of: Former Secretary of State James Baker. Baker was a member of an administration "widely viewed as the most hostile ever to Israel." Saying you might appoint him as your envoy (John McCain also did it in the past) is like telling people a "more balanced policy" is needed. It seems just fine to the untrained eye, but is actually a code-word which has only one meaning: I'm prepared to pressure Israel."James Baker must be doing something right. Pressuring Israel is truly the belling of the cat. There is no solution in the Middle East short of Word War III that doesn't pass through settling the Palestinian conflict. The only one, except Jimmy Carter, that has ever really tried to bell the cat is James Baker.
Baker is supporting McCain:
"I am proud today to endorse John McCain for President of the United States. Senator McCain is a great American leader, a true hero, a thoughtful and a dedicated Republican, and a person whom I greatly admire."And McCain is supporting Baker:
"Secretary Baker has a distinguished record of service to our country and our party. I look forward to his counsel and am honored to have his support."The Forward, America's foremost Jewish newspaper commented at length on the endorsement:
Along the way to winning the presidential nomination of the Republican Party this week, Senator John McCain picked up the endorsement of James Baker, a former secretary of state with a long history of rocky ties with the American Jewish establishment. In the weeks since the February 28 endorsement, little protest has been heard from pro-Israel circles, and Jewish activists say Baker’s support is unlikely to become a campaign issue. Democratic frontrunner Barack Obama, meanwhile, has been heavily scrutinized for accepting the support of Zbigniew Brzezinski and Robert Malley, like Baker former administration officials who have riled the American Jewish community with their views on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Jewish Republicans are quick to point out that the communal shrug toward Baker’s endorsement could turn antagonistic should the Arizona senator name the former secretary of state as an adviser, a role Brzezinski plays in the Obama campaign. At least one Jewish Democratic activist, however, is already crying foul, claiming that the American Jewish community is giving McCain an undeserved free pass. “There is a very, very disturbing double standard,” said Matt Dorf, a Jewish Democratic consultant who also works on Jewish communal issues with the Democratic National Committee. “I cannot think of any other figure in the Republican Party who raises more concerns than Jim ‘F**k the Jews’ Baker.”There has been something moving on the right for some time now, among "realists" like James Baker, Brent Scowcroft, or Meersheimer and Walt; among libertarians like Ron Paul and the Cato Institute; or paleoconservitives like Pat Buchanan. All of them are pushing for a reevaluation of America's policy of foreign intervention. On the Democratic side, can anyone seriously imagine Hillary Clinton, Senator from New York, pressuring Israel. Frankly I can imagine McCain going up against anybody except his mom.
As to Barack Obama, the aforementioned neocon, Robert Kagan is enthusiastic about "Obama the Interventionist".
America must "lead the world in battling immediate evils and promoting the ultimate good." With those words, Barack Obama put an end to the idea that the alleged overexuberant idealism and America-centric hubris of the past six years is about to give way to a new realism, a more limited and modest view of American interests, capabilities and responsibilities.(...)To Obama, everything and everyone everywhere is of strategic concern to the United States. "We cannot hope to shape a world where opportunity outweighs danger unless we ensure that every child, everywhere, is taught to build and not to destroy." The "security of the American people is inextricably linked to the security of all people." Realists, call your doctors. Okay, you say, but at least Obama is proposing all this Peace Corps-like activity as a substitute for military power. Surely he intends to cut or at least cap a defense budget soaring over $500 billion a year. Surely he understands there is no military answer to terrorism. Actually, Obama wants to increase defense spending. He wants to add 65,000 troops to the Army and recruit 27,000 more Marines. Why? To fight terrorism. He wants the American military to "stay on the offense, from Djibouti to Kandahar," and he believes that "the ability to put boots on the ground will be critical in eliminating the shadowy terrorist networks we now face." He wants to ensure that we continue to have "the strongest, best-equipped military in the world." Obama never once says that military force should be used only as a last resort. Rather, he insists that "no president should ever hesitate to use force -- unilaterally if necessary," not only "to protect ourselves . . . when we are attacked," but also to protect "our vital interests" when they are "imminently threatened." That's known as preemptive military action. It won't reassure those around the world who worry about letting an American president decide what a "vital interest" is and when it is "imminently threatened." Nor will they be comforted to hear that "when we use force in situations other than self-defense, we should make every effort to garner the clear support and participation of others." Make every effort? Conspicuously absent from Obama's discussion of the use of force are four words: United Nations Security Council.Do you see anything here that would liberate enough funds to attend properly to America's domestic agenda? I don't.
America cannot continue to intervene all over the world for a simple reason, Americans as we saw in the video featured in the previous post, know next to nothing of the world and care less. The people in the video are not morons, they are able to earn a living and, to coin a phrase, "put food on their families". They just don't care. What this means is that America's foreign policy can never be democratic.This means that it will be always prey to those who are focused on a single issue, like the Israel or Cuban lobbies. In my opinion that means that it should be minimalist in the line of Ron Paul. But Ron Paul is against universal health care and so is McCain, no?
What is the answer to all of this? How can we square this circle? How should Americans vote in November?
First lets run through the possibilities, as I see them:
Will the Democrats ever achieve universal health care. Maybe, probably not.
Will the Republicans ever vote for universal health care. Never.
Will the Democrats ever pressure Israel enough to pacify the Middle East? Never.
Will the Republicans ever pressure Israel enough to pacify the Middle East? Maybe, probably not.
Not very promising is it?
Taking all of this into account, I recommend that Americans vote massively for Democratic candidates in local, congressional and senate races. The Democrats should have majorities in both houses to comfortably override any presidential veto. This might bring about universal health care and keep the Republican from sending more taliban to the Supreme Court. And for president... vote for John McCain. I don't think either Hillary or Obama are ready for prime time and I think both of them would continue with "liberal interventionist" adventures, which make any improvement in domestic policy impossible.
Is this really a solution? No, not really.
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You were so close. The answer was:
Imprison the Rockefellers. Destroy the Pentagon.
It's 2008- stop hiding your true feelings!
March 10, 2008 5:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gee, I wish I understood your comment, as it is formed in such a way that it must be very clever.
March 10, 2008 5:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Translation: very good post! When I read things like this I keep waiting for the ending where the writer will make a call for revolution... but instead we are often called to vote Democratic. Even though I agree with this realistic assessment (meaning to advocate large Democratic majorities), rhetorically, I just wish we would all come out of the Communist closet and say together "I despise the troops."
March 10, 2008 7:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
No.
We can not have a McCain presidency. He will do nothing to extricate us from the Iraq mess, in fact, he will likely exacerbate things in the Middle East by moving forward on war with Iran as well. He will also continue both the repellent Republican string of SCOTUS nominations and the regulatory/administrative cronyism that has given rise to much of the current domestic mess around us. Does not the fact of lobbyists conducting business from his "Forked Tongue Express" bus register with you in the least?
And we can not have a Clinton presidency, as it would be by any measure a truly Pyrrhic victory, bringing with it downticket losses of mind-boggling scale in many states, leading in a few more years to what might most charitably be called redistricting nightmares, where we will miss the "good old days" of Tom DeLay.
When the two best-known quantities are truly unacceptable, indeed unthinkable, we must go with the somewhat lesser-known possibility, the one which actually holds some promise: Barack Obama. At his very worst, he would be far better than either Clinton or McCain, at his very best, he could be one of the true greats. At either Clinton's or McCains' very best, they might aspire to being ordinary. I do not relish considering the implications of either of them at their very worst.
March 10, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
And yet, as Howard Zinn so eloquently said, you can't stay neutral on a moving train. Come November we will elect a new President. I have to say this one of the fairer pieces you've written of late, and for that you deserve to be commended, but I'm disappointed that all we're offered is to try and elect more Democrats into Congress. What do you think we've been trying to do?
And then.. John McCain? Are you daft, sir? You object to both Clinton and Obama because you think they will continue liberal interventionism and your alternative is John "100 years in Iraq/bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb Iran" McCain? And your reason is that Jim Baker supports him? This is some seriously half-baked stuff.
Are you even aware that Randy Scheunemann and Bill Kristol are McCain's foreign policy advisers?
I thank you for finally exposing this point of view. Now that I know with certainty how ridiculous it is I can spare myself from reading any more of your insubstantial diatribes.
March 10, 2008 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think it's much of a chance, but I think its the only chance.
March 10, 2008 4:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only chance at what? How do you reconcile that despite paying lip service to Baker, Kristol is one of his advisers? How is this not a mere continuation of the PNAC mission? Why are you willing to believe that McCain will break these trends, but not Obama? At least Obama has acknowledged at times that the Palestinian people are getting the shaft.
http://www.motherjones.com/commentary/columns/2008/01/obamas-israel-shuffle.html
I find it terribly odd that you seem to be willing to read so deeply "between the lines" for McCain when he keeps the same company as Bush. Does it mean nothing to you that critics of AIPAC influence and unilateral support for Israel like Zbigniew Brzezinski support Obama?
March 10, 2008 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Frankly I think McCain wants to do what Dubya said he wanted to do in 2000. That would be a G.H.W. Bush "restoration". Baker, Scowcroft, Powell doctrine stuff. Even Rice was supposed to be in that line. The surprise was when, after 9-11 BushII threw in his lot with the neocons. Even Yassir Arafat, who was pretty sharp, thought that Dubya was going to be like his father they say the disappointment broke the old fellows heart (sniff).
Although unfortunately phrased, Baker correctly defined the relationship between the oilmen Republicans and the Jewish community. I don't think that logic has really changed. I suspect (hope, pray?)that McCain is a Mearsheimer-Walt devotee.
As to Kristol, as Master Sun said, "war is deception": you don't telegraph your intentions.
Keep AIPAC neutral. Talk about a "hundred years". Talk about, "bomb, bomb, bomb: bomb, bomb Iran". But if the USA could go to war with Iran it would have already happened. The only plan for getting out of Iraq is the Baker Iraq Study Group's and negotiating with Iran is the key. That is why the Israelis hate Baker.
My feeling is that domestic policy should be in the hands of the Democrats and foreign policy should be in the hands of the "realists" and US foreign policy should be minimalist, not the sort of Quixotic brew that Obama is offering up.
March 11, 2008 4:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is quite possibly the dumbest thing I've seen you write. Only things that have happened could happen. Brilliant. Imagine someone saying this about Iraq pre-9/11.
So McCain is really a clandestine operative for the Seaton-blend of policy. His associations are a wink and nod to the powers that be, but he really intends to do what you think will be best.
I could easily say the same thing about Obama. Obama really wants to change the Israeli-Palestinian dynamic, but he's just paying lip service to AIPAC, the defense industry, etc. Keeping his cards close to chest. He doesn't actually mean what he says and I just know it.
Now where does that leave us? You want to quote Sun-Tzu and ask me to believe that McCain is only pretending to associate with these guys? "Master Sun" would laugh in your face, novice:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,1999819,00.html
Maybe Israelis' and Jews in general don't like James Baker because he doesn't like them? Do you remember "Fuck the Jews", David? Do you think that this might have something to do with it?
I can see you that just can't wait to get fooled again.
March 11, 2008 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I remain unpersuaded that I should hope for John McCain as president. I also don't buy Robert Kagan as knowing much about anything.
Preemptive military action is always possible, and its correctness depends on circumstances. But preemption is not what Iraq was about. The Bush White House never said there was an imminent threat. The argument was about longer-range prevention of an imagined developing threat.
As to liberating funds, there are many really large budget-busting weapons programs. But why do we need to scrape for money? There is huge wealth at the top, immense resources not available for the middle and lower classes.
IF you want the economy to continue down the current weak path, hope for Republicans. If you want a more robust economy, that can spare money for health care, etc. vote Democratic.
March 11, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thoughtful analysis. Refreshing change of pace from the childish Obama v. Hillary food fight going on here. ( I know I'm guilty of it too)
You talk of the art of deception. I don't hear Hillary talking neo neocon talking points like Obama seems to be doing. And it seems implausible for Baker to jump ship and support Hillary. She would not welcome it either . So it seems somewhat predictable that if Baker would come out to support anyone it would be McCain. But it is interesting that he actually came out in support of McCain at all. I also believe that McCain is making the right moves at this time to remain "flexible". Flexibility is better than painting yourself into a corner. But is he really a paleo-libertaian—new left type? (there is a coalition for you to ponder about)
I think you speculation has merit. However, I would remind you that a similar type of speculation can apply to Hillary.
I know that Obama is definitely a throw of the dice with the chances that the die both have all ones on every surface.
Again. If it comes to Hillary v McCain there will need to be more speculation. If it is McCain v Obama, I would have to seriously look at it.
Note: Some people have objected to an article that came out on a website that is anti ACLU about Obama's penchant for interventionism on the grounds of the website's agenda. To those I would just point out that it is the quotes from Obama's speeches that make the case. Truth is non partisan.
March 11, 2008 9:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the "long term" even Canada might pose a threat. Should we nip this at the bud and invade today?
March 11, 2008 9:17 PM | Reply | Permalink