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Iowa Anomaly?
An interesting phenomenon occurred today at the Cerro Gordo County
Democratic Convention. From the beginning of the day to the point
where delegates to the state convention were determined, Clinton lost and Edwards gained.
Also interesting, was the fact that on caucus night, Clinton was the
winner in this county. As of today, the delegate count for the state
convention from this county is as follows: Obama - 19, Clinton - 15,
Edwards - 12. Had the delegates been determined on the original
registration this morning, Clinton would have had 16 and Edwards 11.
The number of county delegates after the official registration
(delegates and alternates officially seated) today was Obama - 75,
Clinton - 61, Edwards - 44, Biden - 1. After the realignment, Edwards
had 48 - picking up the one Biden delegate and presumably others from
Clinton, although I only know the specific Edwards count because I was
a delegate in that camp today and am one of the twelve to go to the
District and State Conventions as an Edwards delegate. Our county may
be an anomaly, but the Edwards delegates here all remained committed to
hang on all the way to the national convention in hopes of having some
clout.
It's hard to know exactly happened because I do not know the total
number of delegates named at the caucuses in the county and thus do not
know if the 181 total today was lower. If that is the case, it might
explain some of the Clinton erosion. Just in terms of energy today,
the Obama and Edwards people were much more fired up. The Clinton
folks appeared somewhat subdued, maybe because they recognized the
numbers had flipped from January.
Don't know if you are collecting many anecdotal reports like this, but
I thought you might find this little tidbit interesting. One of the
reasons caucus states are so fascinating. :-)
intp







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