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How the Wright Controversy will End
The Wright controversy has "shaken (Obama) up a little bit" and so far proved to be the most lasting of all his problems. But despite the worry of some democrats, I'm inclined to predict that it will go the way of all the other so-called scandals that have hit Obama so far. Here's my prediction:
Some respected news organization (NY Times, Chicago Tribune) will conduct an in-depth investigation into all of Wright's sermons, some of which are available online. They may find more inflammatory language, though likely along the lines of what we've already heard i.e. this country is controlled by white people who oppress black people.
They will conclude that a vast majority of his sermons are not inflammatory, and that there is no evidence that Obama sat through 20 years of anti-American rhetoric. They may also find that most of Wright's inflammatory rhetoric has come in his later years, when Obama does not attend church as frequently and is not as impressionable. In sum, they will exonerate Wright and Obama, with only a few reservations.
The article will receive major play and will become the conventional wisdom. There will still be some lingering doubt among those who are immovable, as has been the case with all the "Obama scandals" so far (remember the 13% who still think he is a Muslim, the persistent concerns in the Jewish community). But the notion that Obama is "damaged goods" will be considered thoroughly debunked, and super delegates will feel free to endorse him.
That's my prediction. My only question is how soon these reviews will happen. I assume news organizations are reviewing Wright's sermons as we speak.











Comments (4)
I should add that I make this prediction not just because "Obama said so". Wright is a successful preacher who has built a mega-church with 6000 people. That can't happen if he shows up every Sunday saying "God damn America".
March 20, 2008 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope you're right.
I've looked into some of them myself and so far what I've found (which granted isn't much, but is still more than the clips we've all seen) really isn't controversial at all. Some of it was actually very cool.
But I'm not holding my breath for the media to do it's job. It already has the sensational part of the story.
March 20, 2008 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I, too, think it will blow over, but for different reasons. Whereas you're optimistic about the media doing their job, I'm pessimistic about the attention span of the electorate. (Pessimistic only in the sense that I wish they would pay longer attention to important things, not with respect to the Wright scandal.)
I truly wish I had your optimism about the media doing their job, but I'm afraid I don't.
March 20, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Some MSM context is greatly needed.
So far a real smear job.
March 20, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
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