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Hillary Takes Hostages! Film at 11!
More than a couple bloggers/soap-boxers/analysts have used the metaphor of "Scorched Earth" to describe Hillary's strategy in Ohio and Texas - her campaign was aware that the numbers didn't add up to a possible nomination, so from the outside it seemed like she was doing everything she could to destroy Obama even if it destroyed the party. Ultimately, I find this an ineffective metaphor - Hillary is not stupid, and the idea that people have been floating that she's destroying Obama and giving McCain an easier shot at the presidency so she can rally and come back in 2012 is beyond ludicrous. If anyone in the campaign was thinking that, I wouldn't be surprised if it's the same person who e-mailed that stupid photo of Obama in Somali garb to Matt Drudge.
Her victory, and what the next few weeks are looking like, have given rise, at least in my mind, to a better metaphor: Hillary as hostage taker.
It's not a nice thing to think about. The math has not changed, essentially - the net delegates won was very small, and Clinton would have to present near impossible numbers, something in the 70's, in all the remaining races to catch up. Obama is actually in a much better position than that because he has this mystery fundraising number to disclose and some time out in the open without a race for the next couple weeks, which is traditionally when he does better. This, however, is small potatoes, because one major thing has changed in the race (and it's not momentum).
Hillary Clinton has proven that she can wound Barack Obama.
I know. It didn't seem possible. He seemed to be playing a different kind of politics. He seemed to be a master at inoculating himself against a host of different attacks
and making her seem exactly like every negative stereotype much of America imagines her to be. Yet now she has proved she can hurt him, and she has demonstrated she will continue to hurt him as long as she has to and as harshly as she has to. She's like the hostage taker, and she's taken Obama hostage, the gun to his head, presenting an ultimatum to get what she wants.
And who is the ultimatum to? The Democratic Party (she took them hostage, too). She knows that the only way she wins the nomination is if it is essentially given to her in an extrademocratic way by the superdelegates. They see the race going towards Obama. With this result, and her vow to "fight on", Hillary is saying that if this goes where the math says, I'll take him out. You've just seen I can do it. And then what will you have for the general? If you don't want that to happen, you step in and you put a stop to this silliness. You fuel a jet, put it on the runway, and send it all the way to Denver, or else.
There should be no confetti right now, for anyone. Not Obama, because he's lost a lot of his control over the race and what happens here on out (oh, he could keep winning - it probably won't matter). Not the superdelegates, or the party, because they're on the cusp of losing this race that should have been an easy win when they essentially make the choice for the electorate. Not Clinton certainly - she shouldn't be happy about doing this, regardless of how poisonous she believes an Obama nomination would be in the general. This is the worst possible position the Democratic party has been in since the beginning of this race.
I think we need a negotiator.










Comments (3)
You took the words right out of my mind! Freaky. I agree on the negotiator. Although I have no idea how/if negotiations would work. The "unity ticket" idea is not appealing now. What we need is an all-out call to arms. Not against each other but against McCain.
March 6, 2008 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice take!
Dig your hostage analogy - best I've read yet.
I say enter Negotiators Samuel L. Jackson or Al Gore.
How sweet would it be if Gore talked his ex-shadow-VP nemesis down from the ledge - with all his Nobel clout and his hermetically sealed topping of ex-martyrdom?
Excellent analysis - but what could she get from hard-bargaining? If all agree the 'behind in dels/battleground state arg' is dead in the water? She can't escape the math - even in her whirling dirvish of spin...
The Super-emes aren't gonna follow - simply b/c every Dem from here to eternity is gonna want the benefit of the Obama org infrastructure to elect Dems from the Hill to the statehouse to the outhouse.
Obama has built a juggernaut that - if not shot in the millions of feet - will ensure a Dem majority @ every level of gov't for decades.
So what's her zero sum chip? That she can beat him up - only after getting her FKA inevitable, dynastic arse nearly handed to her by an 'upstart'?
March 7, 2008 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, yeah, this campaign is just terrible. Hostage taking, scorched earth, destroying the party. Here's what Dean had to say about it yesterday.
http://www.crooksandliars.com/2008/03/06/draft-howard-dean-to-matthews-oh-thanks-for-taking-me-out-of-context-chris/
Matthews: Okay, you’re on offense, but you don’t believe that the Republicans are picking up useful material in these weeks of combat between Clinton and Obama?
Dean: I can’t imagine that what we’re seeing now between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama is anything but a tea party compared to what the general election’s going to be like in the fall.
Matthews: Is there any rules that are being broken? The Republicans have this Eleventh Commandment that Reagan sort of codified. Is there anything that’s improper in the way you’ve watched this campaign? Is either side, Clinton or Obama getting a little too dirty for you?
Dean: Chris, four years ago, my opponents got together and had a political action committee, all four of which, uh, contributors contributed to the thing, which morphed me into Osama bin Laden, so this is patty cake. This is a tough campaign between two well- well-spoken, smart people, either of whom are capable of being president of the United States. But this is not, by and large, out of bounds.
March 7, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
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