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Gallup poll: Obama now up 52-42, largest lead ever
After trailing by 7 in the immediate aftermath of the Wright
controversy, Obama has been surging ever since his historic speech on
race and is now leading up 10 points, his largest lead ever in a
national Gallup poll.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/105841/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Now-52-Clintons-42.aspx
The writing is on the wall for Clinton. Sure, she can still win
Pennsylvannia, but she's so far behind overall that it won't
matter. She needs to step aside for the good of her legacy.
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Comments (22)
The poll measures who they think will win the nomination. Not who they support.
Considering the recent media coverage, and the calls for Hillary to drop out, that number should be much higher.
If I was an Obama supporter, I would be annoyed.
As a Hillary supporter, I'm encouraged.
If I was an objective observer, I would say damn, Hillary is a formidable candidate!
March 30, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I were objective, I would say "Damn, Hillary is where Obama was during the height of the Wright controversy" and then I would note that 52 is the highest either of them have gotten in the past month.
March 30, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would note that this is the first time that either has been told to leave.
March 30, 2008 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Should be higher?"
It's the highest it's been for either candidate in two months, and the last time it was double digits it for Hillary.
So she's fallen ten points and this is "encouraging" to you, as a Hillary supporter? (I guess, if you consider the fact that people support her as encouraging. But who would deny that people support her? People supported Huckabee, or Edwards, too. Was the fact that a poll showed they had supporters before the dropped out "encouraging"?)
Interesting analysis. I especially like how you attempt to both marginalize the poll, and find solace in it.
March 30, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
What the hell are you talking about. The poll does not measure supporters.
I think it said that 42% still believe that Hillary will win the nomination, whether they support her or not.
March 30, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did you even read the poll?
March 30, 2008 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
60% of college-age Americans cannot find Iraq on a map. Surprisingly, Iraq continues to exist.
March 30, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL...LOL
...man that was way funny!!!
March 30, 2008 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The poll measures who they think will win the nomination."
The poll is for the "Preference for 2008 Democratic Presidential Nominee", as indicated at Gallup.com. Did not visit the site before posting your nonsense?
I would like to tell you I think your Clinton spin is good, but I can't. It seems quite pathetic to me. Really, the "number should be much higher"?
Having said that, the poll means nothing as to who might be the eventual nominee, just as the Gallup daily tracking of General Election preferences means nothing relative to the eventual outcome.
March 30, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops! My bad. Didn't say preference on the linked page. But it does say preference on a different page. Damn! That sucks!
March 30, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a coup attempt by the Clintons. Hillary saying she is going to the credentials committee of the convention to fight for Michigan and Florida signifies just how desperate she is.
This is her only way to win--somehow destroy Obama's reputation through scandal to make him unelectable, and have the pledged delegates at the convention throw support to her.
One problem: The party's not buying it.
March 30, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is now running behind McCain -- he lead all last year.
Clinton is not responsible for the damage done to Obama by his choice of Pastor: explaining how racism hurts America does very little to explain how he chose that church -- first he insinuated that he didn't know what was going on in that chuch and now I guess the claim is that since Obama has known for 20 years that Wright was going to retire it's okey dokey.
What ices the cake is that in a 2004 Sun Times interview with Falsani Obama also claims Rev. Michael Pfleger who is also a Farrakhan fan as a moral compass and State Sen. Rev. Meeks as well.
Oh, by the way, the RULES say Clinton can go to the Credentials Committee if she wants. How unfair of her to play by the rules. The real question is whether the response of the Obama supporters on that committee going to be principled or merely as prejudiced as many of the Boyz who think that fairness only applies to friends which I think as a VERY rethuglican position.
March 30, 2008 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's speech will go down in history as the defining moment of the whole election. Students will study it one day, to plumb its profound depths, and measure its flowing elegance.
Whoever opened up that can of Reverend Wright did Barack the biggest favor of the season. If they did it to somehow bring him down, it sure backfired on them.
And considering how the Fox types took it and ran with it like it would hurt Obama, one might consider them unwitting accomplices in Obama's success and directly responsible for his poll #s bouncing so hard and so high.
March 30, 2008 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, who wants to complete the alley-oop?
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!!!!...
March 30, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
FOR HILLARY!!!
March 30, 2008 9:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
BOOM!
March 30, 2008 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hubie, that was simply amazing. We've seen this play executed many times before, but the spontaneous addition of the alley-oop really sent the message home to the opposing team. There's no question about who's controlling the tempo at this point in the game.
March 30, 2008 10:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
AJM, considering that the majority of Obama's newest and most active supporters aren't connected by a land line to any pollsters' call lists, it might be prudent to consider that before believing any polls that include McCain, in any capacity, because they will always be skewed toewards the older, conservative candidate because LAND-LINES TEND TO REACH A MUCH HIGHER PERCENTAGE OF THOSE PEOPLE..
The fact that Obama still polls higher than Hillary is testimony to the fact that he has the support of a lot of land-line Dems, without his cell-phoners in the mix.
But any poll comparing Obama to Mccain is very suspect, because all of the current polls depend on 20th Century communication technology.
I know this from first-hand experience, I have perssonally done traditional polling and fundraising in the past, and the pollsters have not yet found a way to tap the cell-phone voter's opinion.
March 30, 2008 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Flip-Flop express...
http://jep-betweenthelines.blogspot.com/2008/03/blog-post.html
March 30, 2008 9:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
JEP,
I concur. First about Obama's speech, and then also about the poll numbers for Obama vs. McCain. It frustrates me that so many people actually try to use general election match-up polling to bolster an argument for their candidate. First, as we all know, polling is a very unreliable indicator. That said, it's even more unreliable to consider poll numbers concerning the election, which is still around 8 months away. Let's not forget that we still have two Democrats battling it out. With still so many Hillary and Obama supporters, it's almost impossible to get an accurate read on what each candidate's true strength is against McCain. This won't be known until the Dem. Primary race is officially over and support is rallied behind the winner.
March 31, 2008 12:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
This poll just shows how poorly the media have been covering this campaign. They have hyped the horse race and as the recent Politico article explained, they have downplayed just how small Clinton's chances actually are that this point.
With Huckabee and McCain, the media gave Huckabee his due respect for winning the states that he did; but they continually showed that McCain was certainly the leader and was going to win. With the Obama and Clinton, obviously it is a lot closer and I'm not likening Clinton to Huckabee in terms of, well anything, other than a presidential candidate running in 2nd place; but Clinton's chances have been overplayed for a while now to keep the horse race and rating boon for the media going.
March 31, 2008 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
interesting things is he still runs neck and neck in the general election. i think that is all the superdeligates care about.
March 31, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
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