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"False Hope" on Hillary's Chances
It's ironic that Hillary Clinton derides Obama about "false hope." She is selling it to her own supporters.
The only hope Hillary has at this point is to convince the Super Delegates that New York, California, Ohio and (probably) Pennsylvania matter more than the rest of the country.
That's the basis of the current argument: "Yes, we're down in the popular vote and the delegate count, BUT the states we've won are more important than the ones Obama has won."
How do Hillary supporters figure that this will convince Super Delegates, or even the majority of Democrats?
I really am curious, and would like an honest answer!
(For those thinking she can still catch up, I refer you to the math by FlyOnTheWall here:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/wednesday-morning-questions-an.php )
Comments (3)
Wait a minute, what's the gap in the popular vote at this point? Because it seems to me that even if catching up in pledged delegates is nearly impossible that winning the popular vote is still very doable and if she does that, the Superdelegates will have to take that into account.
Also, something has to be done so that Michigan and Florida voters get a say. A do-over in those states seems the only fair solution.
March 5, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
True, the popular vote has narrowed considerably, to 600,000.
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/
It's conceivable that Hillary wins the Popular vote, and Obama wins the pledged delegates, which would make for an very interesting Convention.
A do-over in Michigan and Florida might actually help Obama, but who would pay for it? That's the question.
I just heard that the Florida legislature wants to force the Democrats to seat their delegates, or they won't allow the Democratic nominee on the ballot for the general!
I don't think that's legal, but it just illustrates that the last thing Democrats need is more controversy in Florida.
March 5, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
One thing I'd like add (if anyone is still reading this):
For those arguing that Hillary is winning "Democratic strongholds", take a moment to look at the AREAS she's winning.
In Ohio, for example, she won in rural areas. The big cities all went for Obama. In otherwords, Democratic stronghold inside the state.
Just more evidence that Hillary is NOT getting mainstream Democratic support, but rather areas that tend to go Republican in the General.
Food for thought.
March 6, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
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