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A reformed Republican learns a Democratic lesson
I am a long suffering Cubs fan, and I used to be a Republican. Thanks to Barrack Obama and George W. Bush I am now a Democrat and still long suffering. I realized tonight that it's as hard to be a Democrat in a presidential election as it is to be a Cubs fan in October. Both make you giddy with excitement until the Steve Bartmans of the world turn your sure thing upside down. Here are my initial thoughts as a first time Dem voter. Democrats want fairness. Democrats want niceties. Democrats want to feel good about themselves. Democrats want to ban smoking in the smoke filled rooms of politics. BULLSHIT. This is a presidential election. You have to earn it. Al Gore kept his moral compass about him and look what that got him (well, a Nobel, but look what it got us).
I hate everything the Clintons stand for, but Hillary Clinton was like an animal protecting her young this week, and I respect her for that. I was stunned by the antics of the Clinton campaign, but Hillary worked her ass off and deserved the night she had. You could see this coming like a slow moving freight train, and Obama's car stalled on the tracks.
There are two absolute truisms in modern American politics: 1) NEVER COUNT THE CLINTONS OUT, and, 2) NEVER COUNT THE CLINTONS OUT. How did they forget this? Obama and his staff have campaigned circles around Team Clinton, but took their collective eyes off the prize. Please Senator Obama do not make this same mistake twice. This country needs you as it's democratic nominee. John McCain is perfectly capable of driving his own campaign bus into a ditch (see: Hagee, Cunningham). Leave him alone, and beat Hillary Clinton.
I know you want to wage a gentlemanly campaign, and I admire you for that. It is honorable and it is decent, as you are, but 24/7 decency will not beat the Clintons. You are the front runner so you should be the one framing the debate. Do not stay in the corner taking body blows. Stick and jab, stick and jab. There are ways to do this without pouring gas over your principles and lighting a match. You know what they are, so use them.
That these next weeks and months will be brutal there is no doubt. The American electorate
will, at some point, tire of listening to both arguments, and the incessant snarking between campaigns. It's inevitable. So change the meme occasionally. Use your sly humor that has worked so well in recent debates. If we know anything in this contest we know that the Clinton campaign's spin has been high comedy. So lets laugh at them to show Americans just how silly they are. Use your middle name to your advantage. Talk about it on the stump and desensitize it. We learned from David Axelrod tonight that you were in prayer breakfasts with Hillary. Why didn't we jump on this last week? It's hilarious, and Chris Matthews let out an audible gasp when Axelrod mentioned that. I think your measured response to the red phone ad was appropriate, but the first two things I thought when I saw the Clinton commercial was 1) Barrack has children that age and he's going to protect them like he'll protect all Americans, and 2) Why hasn't anyone picked up that damn phone? Answer it already. Make the Obama administration the administration that picks up the phone by the second ring. Let's neutralize the fear campaign with a little humor. God knows we could all use a little of that these days.
I am angry tonight. Angry that we lost. Angry that you are not the presumptive nominee. Angry that I have to continue to listen to the likes of Howard Wolfson, Mark Penn, and Lanny Davis, and angry that we get several more months of delegate math (oy). Take the fight to her Senator Obama, and become the nominee.













Comments (22)
Great post!!
"""We learned from David Axelrod tonight that you were in prayer breakfasts with Hillary."""
Wow. Can't believe he didn't hammer her on this. Expose the lies and equivocations!!
Also, I heard someone on MSNBC make the point tonight that the Red Phone response commercial was too similar, and therefore didn't turn the issue around. The ringing and pictures of children were the same. olbluis is right. Barack should have picked it up immediately in the response ad. BE A DOER AND A DECIDER!
March 5, 2008 4:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good post, and quite frankly you give lots of reasons to vote for Hillary.
Good perception that campaign slogans go stale.
You might take notice that the campaign guys go away after the election, so we're not talking about 4/8 years of Wolfson & Penn.
And in general, campaigns are very tangentially related to how someone might govern, though you do get some useful ideas on ability to organize and re-organize, respond to difficulties, strength under stress, etc.
Campaigns are not straight lines - there are ups and downs. Both provide their challenges.
We're going to see (or just guess about) a lot of back-room wheeling-dealing, pleading, threatening and so forth to shift delegates and super-delegates. Some might not like it, but it's good practice for getting legislation through Congress and getting party members to act like a party. The Republicans have been good at getting members to toe the line, even the "moderates" some people seem to love. Let's see if the Democrats can follow a chow line, and which candidate can better form one.
March 5, 2008 4:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Campaign guys like Karl Rove? And Mark Penn?
March 6, 2008 2:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd say the chances of Mark Penn sticking around after this campaign's over are quite slim.
March 6, 2008 3:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and maybe Obama was too tired and thought Michelle would get it. [obligatory witty reply]
March 5, 2008 4:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
While I actually think that Obama might come out on top in a brokered convention and have been saying it since New Hampshire, I've been saying for more than a year that among the things that he'll need to do is learn how to fight. Of course, it usually gets me some kind of nonsense response about Chicago politics, but Hillary's actually from the area and she has been in politics for a long time, so whoopie-freaking-deal.
I disagree with those who say that he needs to overtly attack the Clintons and the previous Clinton administration, but this whole above-the-fray approach didn't get him anything this week and it shows some of the same arrogance and naivete that a lot of people get from his claims that if he's elected, everybody will suddenly start holding hands and all will become right with the world.
March 5, 2008 5:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
What is with all the defeatism, bra? In the space of two weeks Obama went from double digit polling deficits in Ohio and Texas to virtual tie in both. And he did it without acting like an animal of any kind. I, for one, find that compelling.
I don't think anyone is counting out the Clintons; I for one am working harder than ever to get Barack elected, and every other supporter I know is doing the same. Did you honestly think that just because the press has been trumpeting "13 in a row" that we were going to run the table?
No, it is going to be a hard slog, but we will win. Just dig a little deeper, my friend. It's crunch time now.
March 5, 2008 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you. If there is a come back kid in this election it is Barak Obama.
March 5, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Why hasn't anyone picked up that damn phone? Answer it already. Make the Obama administration the administration that picks up the phone by the second ring. Let's neutralize the fear campaign with a little humor."
LOL, thats hilarious, and I totally agree that having Barack pick up the phone would have been the perfect response to the played-out "Daisy-esque" 3AM phone call commercial. Its what Reagan would've done -- heck its what Big Dawg would've done.
Obama has that "rat-pack" attribute in him. He is a quick and responsive counter-puncher and is witty enough on the fly to answer all the attacks coming his away WITHOUT stooping to below the belt tactics. I think Obama needs to tread that line more without crossing it.
In many ways, this past Tuesday probably freed his hands a bit to scrap it out with Hillary. Its shocking and dismaying when we see someone lashing out at another person, but we tend to root for someone who fights back after taking repeated blows. I think people won't be so shocked to see Obama start taking calculate jabs at Clinton more and more, and i hope he does.
March 5, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wonderful post!! And you're right. He's going to have to learn to truly fight -- not dirty but HARD (and successful, of course). I think in the back of my mind, maybe others, was that all he needed to do was stay away from the slime and let HRC self-destruct, which she was doing nicely until lately. Then, against McCain, it would be a 'real' contest: issues, philosophies, but not this crap she keeps throwing. ------- But she really ISN'T going to go away (or be sent away, as she would if everyone felt like I do) unless she's beaten straight-out. It's asking a lot of him. I do think he's a refreshingly normal, ethical person and there have to be days he just wants to get *away* from all this unnecessary ugliness. No wonder we most often get very flawed personalities to enter the arena. Still, he seems willing to keep trying so may as well try effectively, and this sort of *fighting* is what is needed. Really excellent post. Oh, and welcome.
March 5, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh my dear, you are soooo deluded...
"...Then, against McCain, it would be a 'real' contest: issues, philosophies, but not this crap..."
You have to be kidding! McCain is a republican--it will be all dirt all slime all the time from him. There will be no talk of issues or philosophies.
March 5, 2008 11:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bravo. Thank you!
March 5, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have to disagree.
Obama leaked a memo weeks ago saying that he expected to lose Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania, and win all of the other states.
By that standard, his most serious loss of the night was Rhode Island. It was the one he actually expected to win.
Don't become so enamoured of the Democrats that you forget the lessons you learned from the Republicans. 1) Stay on message. 2) It's not about winning every battle, it's about winning the war.
March 5, 2008 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the last few days before Tuesday, it became clear to all voters that Obama's ads about NAFTA were cynical posturing, lacking integrity, intentionally designed to fool the more ignorant, less engaged types of voters into perceiving Obama's trade policies as having more protectionist sympathies than Clinton's.
That's why his poll numbers went into reverse during the last few days. It was not an accomplishment by Clinton, but a self-inflicted wound by Obama. For the past year Clinton has been laboring under the disadvantage of the perception that "she'll say anything to get elected". Obama's NAFTA advertising escapade inflicted on himself the same disadvantage. But not with the same severity. If he'll now be wise enough to avoid similar sly, bogus, misleading ads, he'll probably be forgiven and may be able to break even in PA.
March 5, 2008 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. Obama's generally a straight talker, but he played the demagogue on Nafta, and it bit him in the ass.
March 5, 2008 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I smell copy/paste here.
The "BHO lied about NAFTA" gig has been rebutted.
March 5, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't been feeling the inspiration from Barack quite as strongly in the last few weeks. I definitely want him to win, and am impressed by what I have read about the people he is surrounding himself with. I will not vote for Hillary Clinton in the GE if it comes to that. Yet I have noticed that when I watch him on television he appears a bit too careful, a bit repetitive, almost cautious about what he is saying, thinking too much, like he is "protecting a lead", maybe being "handled" too much now; the front-runner status hasn't helped him thus far, IMO. His ability to connect on a visceral level and inspire an audience is his great strength. The importance of plans are way over-emphasized by the Democrats historically. How many times must the lesson of Reagan be relearned? Get the people behind you first, then roll out your plans. The Democratic Party hasn't had a communicator like this since Kennedy.
Yet, since leading in the delegate counts he seems to have gotten away from his strength. I would say that his campaign didn't handle this well over the past few weeks, and let the Clintons back into the game, at least in terms of manipulation of the media and hence of voter's perceptions. (Of course, the media lust for a "horserace" and the bonanza of ratings and advertising dollars this would entail may be driving the coverage, and largely beyond his control). Still, somehow it seems the strategy or tactics have been a bit "off" in the last few weeks. I think he strategy has not been what it needed to be his momentum has faltered a bit, for the first time.
Every contest from here on out will count, especially Pennsylvania. I am not sure whether he needs to "go negative", or come to the realization that he might actually lose, and find the deep motivation within himself to dig deeper and fight the good fight, not to let this moment slip by. Whatever, it seems to me he must know who he is and not believe the descriptions of others: handlers, or the media portrayal of who he has become. His success comes from the way in which he conveys a deep, authentic sense of conviction about the need for change in this country, right now. You can feel it, which is inspiring to see in a public figure. He doesn't need to be another kind of leader.
March 5, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree.
Shake this shit up!
March 5, 2008 11:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Welcome to the party!
Thanks for post - even if I don't agree w/ it all - your passion and anger inspire.
But I have to agree w/ above commenter - his campaign was not unaware of the train coming - even w/ their mistakes this past week, counting her out was not one of them. They have proven themselves to be unlike the Clintons were on Feb. 5th - there's a plan for the rest of the slog. They've been brilliant strategists to get here vs. the Clinton machine - that has not evaporated.
March 5, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, although I am not sure who you were agreeing with. The Obama campaign is throwing a punch that lands after the DNC. Or at least they better be.
I think the kitchen sink was thrown a bit too early and did not knock him off his stride enough. The major mistake I sensed was his snippy response with the press ala the negative news cycle he got sucked into. He needs to handle them better than that because they are like goldfish, each day is as fresh as the one before when it comes to scandal. On the other hand, if you caress them frequently, and they can't remember what they were going to say.
March 6, 2008 12:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain may run a 'gentlemanly' campaign- but that's not where the major sleaze comes from- it's the Swiftboat type Repub sleazeballs that aren't officially affiliated with the campaign.
As far as Obama fighting back, etc.- I think the public gets that he didn't start this crap- he's established his bona fides as preferring to not go negative. But if he doesn't respond in kind once he's hit with negative crackpot attacks like the Clinton machine did last week, he'll be toast. Cause it also feeds into the 'if he won't hit back at Hill/McCain, etc., how will he stand up to our international enemies, etc., etc.' I'm sure he's got the goods. Now he's got to show the undecideds he does.
March 6, 2008 4:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
While the Canadian debacle and press shots were unwarranted, it's good for Obama to have the experience of a tough press conference now and then. It keeps him sharp.
Obama has been trying to maintain his lead and avoid going negative. This has sometimes resulted in blandness. After the "she's likeable enough" debate comment got him (unwarranted) criticism, he suddenly was pulling out Hill's chair for her in debates. Being respectful is fine, but that shouldn't have stopped him from taking a shot or two at some of her vulnerable spots.
He also needs to mix up his standard stump speech a bit.
And I'd like to throw this out to all candidates- including Obama- can everyone stop with the "it's in the eyes of the waitress I spoke to in Spokane, in the tears of the crossing guard that came up to me in Timbuktu", etc., etc. That's such a tired campaign laundry list device and it gets old when anyone does it, no matter how pleasent their baritone is to the ears.
March 6, 2008 4:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
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