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A Question for Hillary Supporters

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If the situation were reversed -- if Hillary had 150 or so more pledged delegates than Obama, so that Obama couldn't catch her except by getting the super-delegates to overturn the popular decision -- how hard do you think Bill and Hillary would be working to get Obama to drop out of the race? How loud would the din be clamoring for him to get out?

You may give your answer in gigadecibels.


Comments (30)

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Of course the Clinton campaign would be pushing for him to drop out. And as a Clinton supporter, I would personally want him to drop out. But I wouldn't go so far as to actively push him out when the margin is that close. I'm not saying that there wouldn't be Clinton supporters who would be trying to do just that - like many Obama supporters are doing now - but I wouldn't be one of them. We all have a tendency to want to stop a game when we're ahead, but if we're mature and reasonable we just ignore those wishes and move on with the game.

I want to see an open convention again. I wouldn't care who was in the lead. If you've never experienced an open convention as opposed to a three-speech anointing, you're in for a treat.

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I'm not actually talking about supporters. I'm talking about the campaign and its surrogates.

And I do believe, if their positions were reversed, the din from the Clinton campaign for Obama to get out would be long, non-stop and deafening. Surely you don't doubt that.

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Quote: "I want to see an open convention again. I wouldn't care who was in the lead. If you've never experienced an open convention as opposed to a three-speech anointing, you're in for a treat."

I completely disagree with this. Yeah, it's great for the viewers and highly entertaining. But we might as well give up on winning the W.H. this time around if it comes to that.

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And the proof of your comment is where? Show me data that exactly says that the race will be lost by going to a convention. The sheer amount of focus on Democrats will be incredible. McLiberman will never be able to push through that. Think about the run up. All networks all the time will be there discussing our candidates and issues...Take it from an old timer...its about time to go back to our roots.

This race should be over before July 1, as Howard Dean said yesterday. No floor fights, no drawn-out scrapping over Michigan and Florida. It's 48 states (plus PR) and DONE.

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And Guam, don't forget!

Which reminds me: This notion that voters whose primaries come after a nominee is determined are disenfranchised is really just spin. Sure, it's less exciting to vote in a primary if the nominee has already been decided. But the later states still "count" in the sense that they help define the number of delegates the winning nominee has to get. Further, later states could drive that number up -- and thus prolong the period of uncertainty -- by working to make their states "bluer."

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Yeah sure, hey Lynn Dee, The lotto numbers will be picked tonight but if you send me money I will let you have a ticket tomorrow.....I mean you "Voted" after the Nominee was decided but ....that doesn't matter..your voice counted....Huh?

I'm not a Hilary supporter, but I think it's a mistake for the Obama campaign and prominent Obama supporters to ask her to drop out. It will deepen divisions.

Make no mistake, I support Obama. I was happy with both candidates until the frankly vile nature of Hilary's campaign made it impossible for me to support her. I think Obama has won the nomination fair and square and that Hilary, for the good of the party and the country, should withdraw. But she has to be the one to do it.

We're in quite a dilemma because Hilary has convinced many of her followers that she has been the victim of unfair electoral processes (caucuses, counting votes and delegates from Red States, excluding Florida and Michigan even though she and the other candidates agreed to that) and nasty Obama tactics (Ken-Starr-style demands to see her tax returns and the donor lists for the Clinton library, false accusations that she and Bill in any way introduced race into the campaign, unpardonable insinuations that she ever supported NAFTA when everyone knows she's always fought to preserve union jobs in big states, casting doubt on her claims of superior executive and foreign-policy experience, not conceding she already served two terms as co-President of the United States and co-Commander-in-Chief). It appears a lot of Clinton supporters really believe she has been treated unfairly and that Obama has stolen a nomination that is rightfully hers.

Obama supporters disagree, but that doesn't matter. It's vital that Obama do everything to counter those impressions. He shouldn't suggest she withdraw. He should have worked hard to see that there were new primaries in Florida and Michigan. He should be focusing right now on making sure he doesn't pick up more caucus delegates in the Texas conventions than the original caucus votes warrant, even if Obama supporters are more enthusiastic and turn out in greater numbers.

It's counterproductive and destructive to try to make Clinton supporters say uncle. If the delegate counts were reversed, it would be destructive to try to make Obama supporters say uncle.

However, at this stage in the campaign, the trailing candidate should have the decency to do the right thing, withdraw, say the election was fair, and call on supporters to back the winner wholeheartedly. It's just that it has to come of the loser's own volition or the concession is worthless. The winning candidate will die in the fall because the losing candidate's supporters think the winner cheated. Whether she's trying to or not, Hilary couldn't have done a better job of leaving that impression. Now she needs to undo it or she'll wreck the party and hand the White House to McCain. (She also needs to stop praising McCain and trashing Obama.)

If Hilary does succeed in destroying Obama and forcing the delegates to abandon overrule voter preferences "for the sake of the party", she'll have a very hard time getting the votes of Obama supporters because of the campaign she waged. At some point, she should realize that she can only win the nomination by rendering it worthless. Likewise, she has already done so much to undermine Obama's candidacy that unless she takes forceful and prompt action to support him, the nomination will be worthless to him, too.

I think Hilary is responsible for creating both strongly disaffected factions. Only she can bring them together again. The hard part for Hilary is that she can only do it by withdrawing and withdrawing graciously. She is clearly finding that a bitter prospect.

Her recent actions are only rational at this stage if her strategy is to set up Obama to lose in 2008 so she can come back and take the nomination in 2012. It's all pretty upsetting if you think it's important to get a Democrat in the White House this year.

But trying to force Hilary and her supporters to say uncle won't help.

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Hmm. Lemme clarify that last post. I don't mean to suggest that the number of delegates required to win the nomination is in flux during the course of a single primary season or that the number depends on the number of voters in that primary. That is obviously not the case. But, the later states -- all of the states -- determine the number of delegates needed to win, so for that reason alone the later states "count" and its voters cannot be said to have been disenfranchised simply because they voted after the nominee was determined.

And of course, the more Dems who vote, the "bluer" your state is, then the more delegates you get the next time around.

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Already on record somewhere here saying both candidates have to stay in now. And, if I was a Obama supporter and he was in Hill's spot and quit the race? I'd be pissed! He'd have every right to be where he is. The party put this thing where it is not the candidates. If it would have been logically a race where. 1. winner takes all and 2. only dems vote in a dem primary this puppy would have been done long ago. Blame the whole party not these two.

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Quote: "And the proof of your comment is where? Show me data that exactly says that the race will be lost by going to a convention. The sheer amount of focus on Democrats will be incredible. McLiberman will never be able to push through that. Think about the run up. All networks all the time will be there discussing our candidates and issues...Take it from an old timer...its about time to go back to our roots.a'

What happened in 1968? Not jut the convention, but the GE.

Look. The convention these days is set up to be a pep rally, to unite the party. I assume, or would hope, if it were actually part of the determination process it would be set earlier than August so that our nominee could have more than a couple months to bind his or her wounds and defeat John McCain, who will have already had over four months to define himself with the help of a compliant media.

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Wow 68 yeah....Actually the Election that started or finished depending on how you look at it of the South beginning to vote republican for the first time since the civil war. Remember prior to this date that the south could be won by a democrat especially a populist one.

If you google the results I am sure you will find that George Wallace ran and those were by and large Democrat votes he took. He was a Democrat remember. He again ran in 72 briefly.

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php?f=0&year=1968

So, the convention caused some problems in the party but it wasn't until Wallace went out on his own that we lost it to Nixon. We can debate whether that was good, bad or indifferent all day but the fact is that the convention wasn't what took Humphrey down it was Wallace. Of course, Wallace knew that as surely as Nader knew it about Gore in 2000.

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Quote: "but I think it's a mistake for the Obama campaign and prominent Obama supporters to ask her to drop out. It will deepen divisions."

I agree. Obviously she's not going to get out if Obama surrogates are calling for her to -- and if she did, hoo boy, that'd be bad!

I'm just saying, if the positions were reversed, the harangue from the Clinton campaign would be non-stop. Hillary's supporters and fundraisers -- the same ones who tried to threaten Pelosi into "clarifying" her statements -- would probably be convening a very public meeting to discuss what to do about the Obama problem.


I'm sure you're right about this. It's perfectly consistent with Hilary's suggesting she might consider Obama as the vice presidential nominee when he's got a significant delegate lead. The Carville-Wolfson-Ickes-Bill howl for Obama to withdraw would be audible on Mars.

And if Obama said he needed to think about it, Bill would say that was a lot of bull and he was just trying to bring Hilary down. About that, Bill would be right--if the roles were reversed.

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Lifelongdem -- The rest of your note is excellent too. I do have some doubts about this point though:

"Her recent actions are only rational at this stage if her strategy is to set up Obama to lose in 2008 so she can come back and take the nomination in 2012."

I've heard that and think it's possible. But I also think it's possible that she just really thinks she can win it and that, win or lose, she personally is powerful enough to undo any damage she has done. To a certain extent, I guess you have to think that way to be competitive -- but I also think she's so inflexible and rigid that she ends up thinking that way for way too long, well past the point where there's any truth to it.


You're right, Lynn, that my claiming may be too strong in saying her current course is only rational if she's setting up Obama to lose now so she can win later. That is how it looks to me, but I've got nothing but my personal impressions to back it up.

My premise is that she can't win the nomination without wrecking Obama and the party this time around, and that winning that way would be a hollow victory. If that's true, fighting on at this point - especially by doing stuff like handing a slime like Scaife an invitation to trash Obama in the Scaife propaganda organs for staying in Wright's church - seems to serve no purpose but destroying Obama.

It seems to me the alternate interpretation is that she thinks she can smash Obama into little pieces by exploiting racial, gender, income and class divisions, using her existing allies, and throwing in a few more kitchen sinks like Scaife interviews and Fox "News" appearances, have the superdelegates overturn the will of the voters because Obama is beaten to a lifeless bloody pulp with some pretty words on top, and then put the Democratic Party back together to back her and win in the fall. If she thinks that, then, in my inexpert opinion, she's delusional.

It seems to me, she's pushed her campaign tactics to the limit and beyond, and when polls and delegates still back Obama, she searches for more extreme measures. That's the only way I can interpret her cozying up to Scaife and Fox. I just can't see that working. It's too damned offensive to too many Democrats.

If those tactics are rational in the sense that they may allow her to get the nomination and win in November, then I'm wrong about wrecking Obama now to win so she can win in 2012 being the only rational explanation.

What do you think, not about her staying in the race, but about the way she's conducting the race while she stays in?

Picture Hilary doing what she's doing but on the Republican side. Say she was in Mike Huckabee's position only with more delegates. Huckabee wasn't saying McCain was unfit, senile, a hypocritical tool of lobbyists, a doddering warmonger clueless about using an overstretched military to start unwinnable wars, a cheat on campaign finance laws he cosponsored, and that therefore the delegates would have to save the party by dumping McCain and backing Huckabee at convention time DESPITE THE PRIMARIES AND CAUCUSES.

Isn't that what Hilary would be doing if she were in the Republican campaign and behaving just as she is now as a Democrat? Plus appearing on Air America and doing interviews with The Nation to get them to side with her and pile on McCain, even though they were anti-Republican to begin with and wanted her Democratic opponent to win? That's very hard to imagine.

But isn't that what she's done on the Democratic side? What could make that rational? What am I missing?

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One other comment on 68. There were plenty of Northern Liberals who were Republicans at that time. That Republican party and the one we have now are two distinctly different things. Nelson Rockefeller, George Romney...just to name a couple. It was a watershed election make no doubt. Just as this one is set up to be...if we get our collective "shit' together...I'm not encouraged

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Humor one more on 68. Go to the link and do the state by state data....Its classic stuff. Thought provoking of what we were then.....We've got to find a way to go back to being that bigger tent that allows a lot of different ideas to identify with being a Democrat....It hasn't happened since before that election.

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Oh come on, this is just silly. What about the Republican primaries still to take place? Are those voters disenfranchised too?

Here's another way to look at it: We could take the primary votes and, instead of announcing them as we go, keep them secret and not announce the winner until the end. Who, if anyone, would be disenfranchised then? And note the outcome would be exactly the same, because the votes would be exactly the same.

Further, your lottery example doesn't analogize to the current system. What it would analogize to (if anything) would be waiting until your own state's primary day had come and gone and then showing up at your polling site (after it had reverted back to its usual purpose as a church day care center) and saying: "I want to exercise my franchise! Where is my ballot?!"

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The other primaries for the Republicans are a waste of time. Simply put. As has ours in the past. Its a nice reminder for the Candidate to get to that state and make an introduction of himself as Kerry and Clinton and Gore did in the past but its nothing special.

My analogy works quite well thank you.

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Louisville1975, I like what you're saying. I think a convention less than two months before the general election, when the Republican nominee has been decided and has five months of campaigning under his belt, isn't the way to get there. But I like the idea of getting back to that bigger tent.

Of course, the bigger tent you're describing was really a bigger tent for party bosses, wasn't it? At least as far as the convention went?

But I get the gist of what you're saying, and I don't disagree.

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Not really Party politics outside of it being more closed and kept to a "show" these days hasn't changed all that much. Its a party. Are you a member? I'd suggest at least getting contact with your Precinct captain to see whats involved in getting involved.

Party politics isn't supposed to be "open". Thats why we pick sides and create platforms and try to win voters....

Can I ask a simple question. What do you think parties are supposed to be?

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Our tent has become way too small. There are very real differences in this country based on region. The party used to make allowances for that and deal with it. Now, it doesn't. The current debate actually is still the age old one from the past. Northeastern Liberals vs. Southern Populists.........It has been played out in most other primaries as well......This one is just getting more light and it is closer.

As a party we need to find a way to see the others side and still be friends. With the rhetoric flying around this place the last couple of weeks since I've been here I am not sure its possible

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Actually the votes wouldn't be exactly the same, I guess, since there'd be no drop outs along the way. It'd be more like a national primary. But that's a whole other issue.

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Quote: "What do you think, not about her staying in the race, but about the way she's conducting the race while she stays in?"

I'm really appalled! This willingness to just throw stuff out there, knowing that, even when it's discounted (such as, most recently, the claims about Obama not having been been a law professor or taking money from oil companies), there will still be residual damage to Obama and little blowback on Hillary, so that somehow makes the initial lie worth it. "All in the game," as I suppose they would say.

And you make a good comparison: Has anyone on the Republican side that any of the Democratic candidates was more qualified, more patriotic or a better candidate than any of his fellow Republicans? It seems unthinkable.

I guess Hilary's way of bridging divides is to make full, warm, embracing, bipartisan use of both parties to attack her opponent.

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Quote: "Party politics isn't supposed to be 'open'. Thats why we pick sides and create platforms and try to win voters....

Can I ask a simple question. What do you think parties are supposed to be?"

Well, if you really want to discuss this, we'll need to define "open." I'm not saying the Sunshine Act should apply to party proceedings. But, if you're going to talk about "disenfranchisement," then obviously you yourself have some notion that the rank and file of the party, and not simply party bosses, should have a say in who the nominee is. Otherwise, if it's party bosses who make the call, then any notion of the voters being disenfranchised is reduced to mere argument in support of one candidate or another.

As for what parties are supposed to be, I think it's interesting to compare our parties to those in a parliamentary system. It's because we actually elect our president and vice president that our coalitions must be formed before the election and that, as a result, we've tended toward a two-party system. In a parliamentary system, by way of contrast, voters elect members to parliament and the coalitions form after the fact to decide on a prime minister -- and the coalitions are therefore more fluid and there tend to be more than two viable parties.

That's kind of a long way around to saying the purpose of political parties is to gain political power by putting up candidates for public office. Do you define them differently>

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Quote: "My analogy works quite well thank you."

Actually it doesn't. Buying a lottery ticket after the lottery is over is like trying to vote in your state's primary election after it's over. It is not like voting in your own primary but before some other state's primary.

Further, I'm pretty sure I couldn't walk into 7-11 and buy a ticket for last night's lottery. That you might be willing to sell me something that you called a ticket for last night's lottery doesn't change that.

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Louisville,
As a person who has been reading here for more than a couple of years, I must say that your sharp tongue is partly responsible for the tone around here. You are not nearly as abrasive as the very worst on wither side, but you sure are bitter and dismissive at times. Without personal contact, without your gestures, what may be a fine and cutting wit in person just seems crappy. Your comments on this thread are the most engaging and open I've read from you.

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