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3 Key Points on Obama's Economic Speech
I wanted to highlight three points from Obama's economic speech which marked his approach to the crisis as vastly superior to the alternatives put forth by the other presidential candidates. This speech should put any questions regarding Obama’s policy substance thoroughly to rest. While this speech will not go down in history, it was on many levels, just as important as his speech on race. Rather than seeking to make headlines by offering up gift baskets to voters, Obama synthesized much of the best thinking on possible solutions to the crisis. He set down core principles which should guide the nation’s attempts to reform financial regulation which is still based in an era before banks were allowed to open branches across state lines, much less trade trillions of dollars worth of derivatives with counterparties around the world.
In discussing the principles upon which any new regulation should be based, Obama said the focus should be on what financial institutions do, rather than what they are. The current crisis has stemmed largely from the fact that new institutions became key players in the creation of mortgage credit with no regulatory oversight. He acknowledged that for the most part, the US banking system is already highly regulated and the vast majority of these institutions have acted responsibly. This is a reassuring tone for most of the nation’s 8500 banks, only a handful of which are the size of BoA’s, Citibanks and JP Morgans. These banks support the real economy of this country and often lack the resources to remain viable when forced to comply with punitive or excessive regulation targeted at the actions of others. A great example is how US banks are so frequently asked to play police force by federal authorities – for instance to bear the costs of trying to enforce a misguided ban on internet gambling passed by the last moralistic republican Congress. Banks file thousands of reports on transactions each day – like those that led to the fall of Elliot Spitzer and comply with many levels of regulation. They do this in return for the system of deposit insurance which provides them with greater stability by guaranteeing the deposits of their customers. These banks, while not perfect and not always concerned with the consumers best interest, are not to blame for this crisis. Obama engaged with the problem at the very center of this current crisis – the intersection of regulated and unregulated financial institutions – rather than proposing feel-good solutions which will only create further problems.
In contrast, Clinton’s proposed 5-year rate-freeze is populist nonsense and would be a total disaster. Forcibly rewriting contracts in such a way is a case where the cure would kill the patient – it may indeed make for a better outcome in the long run, but the pain getting to that point would be catastrophic. Such a policy would lead to an unimaginable contraction of mortgage credit which would cause house prices to collapse completely and bring down the current financial system with them. The good news is that after going through a new great depression, we would get to start again from scratch and think twice about the excessive level of subsidy which has brought the cost of housing to unaffordable levels which are out of alignment with historical norms. This was a primary factor in the proliferation of exotic mortgages which allowed people to buy into the dream of homeownership, a cornerstone of the Bush presidency. Republicans and Democrats alike have shown an inability not to interfere with the functioning of the housing market and have pursued distorting policies providing excessive levels of subsidy for homeownership driven by an expansion of credit. These policies are just as responsible for the crisis as unregulated financial institutions. McCain calls this “not interfering with the functioning of the free market”. Unfortunately for McCain’s ideological tic of a response, the reality is that US real estate is already partially nationalized through Fannie and Freddie so a little bit more won’t hurt at this point. Yes, if you have a mortgage it’s very likely that your house is owned by both that bank and the federal government agencies disguised as independent companies. Finally, Obama’s focus on Rep. Frank, Chairman of the House Financial Services and one of the most respected and intelligent members of congress, as a key player in any solution to the current crisis is worth noting. Barney is perhaps the key player in any reform of financial regulation. He commands respect from those who work with him on both sides of the aisle, is incredibly engaged with the relevant issues and despite sometimes displaying an abrasive personality, he has a track record of working closely with stakeholders to develop good public policy. He works to protect consumers while allowing financial institutions to remain competitive in the domestic markets and internationally. By contrast, Clinton put her faith in former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, whose legacy is now being rewritten by the current financial crisis and whose policies as Fed Chairman are now widely regarded to have been a major contributing factor to our current problems.
The economic proposals of both Clinton and McCain show that both are completely out of touch with the reality of this crisis. Clinton’s focus on the minutiae of policy shows a tendency to micromanage that may work in a Senate committee, but would be a serious handicap as president. Further, her focus on the concrete details is calculated to hide ill-considered policies, born out of triangulation – keep in mind she already had one disastrous try at reforming health-care where she proved to be something like Barney Frank’s opposite. McCain shows the symptoms of that rare form of tourette’s syndrome contracted by most Republican presidential candidates which allows them to communicate with the unthinking automatons of the “free market” faith. Obama, on the other hand, shows a level of leadership and intelligent engagement that the other candidates simply do not match. To me, the closest parallel to Barack Obama is Tony Blair as New Labour came to power in 1997 – both are modernizing figures, driving his party out of the past and towards its future – with much kicking and screaming. His concerns about inequality allow him to pursue redistributive policies in an attempt to rectify that injustice but he ultimately recognizes the vital importance of business, finance and trade to our country’s standing in the world.













Comments (3)
Nice, you spend 2/3 of your post talking about what Sen. Clintons plan would do for only a small slice of the total problem. Regulation was not the problem. I know your Progressive simplistic minds won't be able to get your head around those facts. Neither were there "new" players into the mortgage business. What ther WAS....was a vast amount of 401k funds/Pension funds/Speculative investors that switch money away from Stocks and into real estate in this decade. That created at financial institutions pressure to make that money "work". They went out and made it work in a very very speculative way. We can sort out who to put in jail later but suffice to say that it caused a calamity in how housing was viewed in financial markets. It went from an long term investment to a short term value gain. It is not different than what is now happening in commodity markets especially oil and natural gas. Oil and Natural Gas prices in no way reflect the actual on the ground situation in each market. Rather through speculation those and those aformentioned 401k and equity funds the price is ginned up on the open commodities market. There are no open market vehicles to hold major ups or downs on those commodities. The Bush Administration has been asked over and over again to regulate a change in the way those commodities were traded. Obviously, for other reasons this wasn't done.
So with all that speculation on housing this bubble was obvious. We've seen it over and over since the inception of 401k's and the buildup of Union Pension funds.....In other words workers funds are hurting themselves. The regulation that should be advocated doesn't have to do with Banks or Financial institutions there are enough there as it is. Regulating them again will render them uncompetitive with larger banks globally which is the reason for the deregulation in the first place. Regulation needs to be on the use and movement of those large funds. Regulation of trading on "strategic" commodities or industries. We need to change those rules rather than making a bad reaction and hurt industry even more with more regulations.
Please if you want to talk about these subjects make sure that you tell the actual full story about what they are. Talking about selective slices of a whole problem is not helpful.
March 28, 2008 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, you don't know your economic ass from your free market elbow. Thanks for the tutorial on excess liquidity searching for yield in a low interest-rate environment. That nail probably goes in Greenspan's coffin as well. Your more reasonable arguments about regulation in the second paragraph are in fact the same ones i higlighted from Sen. Obama's speech. I guess you missed his reference to working within the Basel framework to ensure regulatory changes don't affect the competitiveness of US FIs.
The fact that Hillary supports economic policies that belong in a centrally planned economy is not a selective slice of the issue - it's a very large and central problem. The federal government can't just render private contracts void - that's a very bad idea which undermines the rule of law. I know Hillary's really never been into "rules" but either that or populist pandering that will never come to pass. Have you ever tried enforcing a contract in China? Try it sometime and you'll get a pretty clear idea of the problem with her proposal.
March 28, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not sure your point of attack except some pent up venom on a friday from an obvious obamaista but if you read my point was you can't take a slice out of the problem and try it fix it as BHO tries to do. As with all his "proposals" he speaks only to what the "problem" of the day is without talking about the whole problem.
My tutorial was for the likes of you that haven't a clue of what they are talking about and would like to insert verbage for knowledge. Again, very Obamaista of you.
To your last question there are plenty of types of contracts. What sort of contract are you talking about in china? Its a pretty large country with a lot of different industries. If you could be a little more specific I will address it. However, yes, I have enforced contracts within China.
Come back when you know what your talking about. Otherwise go back to the other posts and continue bashing Sen. Clinton. CLINTON 08
March 28, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
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