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Week of March 23, 2008 - March 29, 2008

Sheila Jackson Lee Booed By Her Obama Supporting Constituents At Democratic Convention


This can't be excellent news for Sheila Jackson Lee. At her district's convention today she was booed and interrupted continuously by the same people who have been re-electing her.  Why? Her support of Hillary Clinton in a district where he received 90% of the vote. This could be bad news for her when she comes up for re-election. This has to have shaken her. At one point she said
"What would I be if I went back on my word to an individual that I've worked with for more than a decade and sat down talked to me about her vision for America,” said Jackson Lee.

What would she be if her constituents held her accountable for not acting in regard to their wishes? She might find out.

Video of the end of her being booed is here.


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Exit Strategy


Does Clinton think she could get us out of Iraq in less than a year? How about ending this race before August?

The Commander-in Chief Test and Hillary's Final Throes


As the center piece of the kitchen sink strategy, developed in what may be the last throes of her campaign, Senator Clinton has brought to us the Commander-In-Chief Test. Over the last several weeks I have wondered what exactly is this test (still waiting for an explanation from the Clinton operation) and has it been administered to the interested parties? I was bothered by this concept in principle because if such a thing existed surely it would be plain to see, easy to define and as such easily applicable to all candidates. Well, for lack of a better explanation I have decided to define the Commander-in-Chief Test as the essential quality in the President that is required beyond all other qualities perceived or otherwise for national success and progress.

What is this miracle leadership salve? Well I am glad you asked because I believe above any other quality that the ability to bring people together for a common purpose is the most fundamental and necessary aspect of any leader. Unity with directed purpose is the most powerful national force that can ever be put forth in any context or situation from national security to foreign policy. E pluribus unum “out of many one” is not just decorative latin fluff on the Seal of the United States of America.

So since she brought the point to the campaign forefront does she meet the  threshold of the Commander-in-Chief test? According to her campaign she does because of her 35 years of “vetted” experience.

The supposed argument put forth by senator Clinton for the nomination that she is “vetted” and able to stand up to the attack machine leaves much to be desired. I would grant the point that she is a tough opponent and could stand any attacks directed at her. But this is an empty argument that on further thought is exactly the reason not to vote for her nomination. I personally do not desire a President who’s main reason for assuming the executive office is because she can “take it and dish it back.” This is obviously not her only strength but it is her main point for deserving the nomination. Anyone who would make this claim as the central thesis of their nomination is by logical extension a divisive individual. This is a campaign for the Presidency of the United States of America not the Divided States of America or the Democratic Party-States of America.

The problems this country faces can no longer be measured by what happened in the 1990's. This is not an adequate yardstick. Everything has gone global... environment challenges, race/religious divisions, financial-economic disparities, natural resources depletion, genocide, civil rights abuses/inequality and on and on...  If we as a united country do not deal with these matters they will land at our doorstep sooner or later in some form be it terrorist attacks, the selling off of our financial institutions to other countries, export of jobs, diminishing value of the dollar, impotence in negotiation with other regimes etc... 

This has obviously been severely compounded by Bush/Cheney but they merely took advantage of the divisive precedent set it place during President Clinton’s term. The wasting of nearly sixty-five million tax dollars (cost to begin re-enforcing the levees in New Orleans) in investigating whether he perjured himself over oral sex and the meaning of the word "is" on the heels of White Water during the series of Starr investigations was the final "cherry on the dessert." The cracks in the political system began to show earlier after the transition of Congress to the republicans and Newt Gingrich. The two parties have been bickering ever since over banal partisan trivialities. The final result was a country divided and ripe for the abuses of Bush Jr and companies. This was the immediate legacy of the Clintons. They set the stage for the debacle of Bush and the neocons. 

The right wing conspiracy often quoted by Hillary is a self fulfilling prophecy. Opposites cannot exist apart, i.e. black and white, up and down (hence her appearance on radio with Mellon Scaife at her side in Pittsburgh recently). This nation will remain paralyzed as long as these people are not just at each others throats but also in the ultimate position of power and influence. Our children's future opportunities and prospects will be the ultimate price that is paid. 

Final comments, effective leadership comes from the center and unifies. The greatest social progress and advancements in the history of this country ... right to vote - women/blacks, civil rights movement, civil war/slavery, organized labor... were often violently fought for not to divide the country but to include everyone, even those you may not agree with. This is how you move the country forward.

The problems facing this country, internal and external, will not be seriously addressed until we are united and focused on them as a whole. In spite of her other abilities and well designed agenda this is the only ability she sorely lacks and will never have.

This is the true Commander-In-Chief test because in the end this is the most important quality in a leader. For nothing else, no matter how high minded and organized, can follow without it.


change is the only constant


could it be that we are at a point is time similar to that which created great and long-lived sparks of human consciousness that persist to this very moment? seems that this could be the opening pages of a new "axial age" that may allow human beings to realize their interconnectedness in a conscious way. let's explore this opportunity without trying to out-do one another.

The Hillary Deathwatch


There may not be a reason to post anything else about Hillary's death spiral since Slate has started a tick-tock counting down her fall.  I guess Hillary's campaign is doing a pretty good job of it themselves with James Carville becoming a parody of himself running around making playing the fool trying to discount the significance of Bill Richardson's endorsement by beating the Judas dead horse while superdelegates are following the New Mexico governor's lead;  Hillary still trying to revive the moot Michigan/Florida issue while Texas is falling Obama's way (although the Clintons are trying their hardest to dirty-trick their way into a victory there); and Bill still going around saying dopey things to worsen his legacy.  When Barack Obama has such a command on the race that he can give her permission to stay in the race, you know it's over.  Either way, I'll be keeping my eye on The Hillary Deathwatch

Why Edwards didn't endorse Obama


All Superdelegates are NOT created equal


RISE UP - THE NOMINATION OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY IS IN THE HANDS OF CRONIES !

There  are two separate and distinct groups (plus formerly elected officials and DNC chairs) of Super Delegates -- and who they are and how they vote could determine who the next Democratic candidate for President is IF the Clinton campaign has its way.

The media had not clarified this for the public even though the split is easy to explain

Elected Officials vs Cronies
(plus DLC: Demorcratic Party Leaders: former Pres, elected officials etc)

BOTTOM LINE:
Sen Obama is ahead in the super delegate ELECTED officials as of today -- but you would not know that from how the news is reported.

Sen Clinton is ahead in the super delegate DPL (Pres Clinton, Terry McAuliffe etc)
Sen Clinton is ahead in "cronies"

AND THAT'S THE RUB.

So unless we want to allow an "inside job" - spread the word and make the distinction --

BECAUSE  if you look below at the numbers: the LARGEST undecided block of super delegates - the people who Sen Clinton wants to decide this nomination are democratic party "cronies".

The vast majority of these people gained their "superdelegate" status when Pres Clinton was in office and Terry McAuliffe was the DNC Chair.

NO WONDER HAROLD ICKES WANTS THESE PEOPLE CALLED "AUTOMATIC" DELEGATES!

So here is a handy dandy guide to Super Delegate 101:
TELL YOUR FRIENDS!

WHO IS GOING TO DECIDE THE NEXT DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE FOR PRESIDENT?

----------------------------------------------------
1: There are 793 Democratic Super Delegates - not including Florida and Michigan

2: Breakdown below as of March 29, 2008:

Committed Super Delegates:
Clinton:
ELECTED:
Senators: 13 (plus 2 Fl/Mich)
Representatives: 73 (plus 7 Fl/Mich)
Governors: 10 ( plus 1 Michigan)
Subtotal: 96 (plus 10)

DPL: 10 (Dem Party Leaders: former pres etc)

CRONIES:

Subtotal: 140 (plus 6)

GRAND TOTAL: committed  CLINTON: 246 (plus 16)

Obama:
ELECTED:
Senators: 16
Representatives: 71 (plus 3 Fl/Mich)
Governors: 12
Subtotal: 99 (plus 3)

DPL: 3

CRONIES:
Subtotal: 110 (plus 2 Fl)

GRAND TOTAL: committed: OBAMA: 212 (plus 5)
----------------------------------------------------
Uncommitted Super Delegates:
ELECTED:
Senators: 19 (plus 1 Michigan)
Representatives: 77 (plus 5 Fl/Mich)
Governors: 9
subtotal: 105 (plus 6)

DPL: 6

CRONIES:
Add ons: 74
DNC: 150 (plus 24 Fl/Mich)
subtotal; 224 (plus 24)

GRAND TOTAL: UNDECIDED: 335 (plus 30)

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/01/superdelegate-list.html

Obama and Hillary Could Insure Dem Victory: Oppose Partial Birth Abortion and Propose Measures to De Facto End Abortion


You want to bring the country together? Then end abortion through other than legal means if you have such a moral belief in "choice" but not necessarily in abortion [It is clearly a second choice that undoes responsibility for a first choice in elective cases].

You say that you wouldn't choose an abortion yourself, but will fight for someone else's right to choose it? Leave that self-justifying cocoon and do something to end what the great majority agrees is an evil, whether they think it should be legal or not.

And at the same time, take the issue away from the Republicans and actually fix the problems leading to it as well as end the practice by taking the lead. Those who are fighting for partial birth abortion are not unlike those supporting the policies of the Third Reich. They think they're right but they're dead wrong and complicit in mass murder with too much pride to look at the reality of what is really happening. What their rationalization skills do to fog their consciences today will be seen by history as atrocity. The cover up, clinical sanitization and silence on partial birth abortion is itself a propaganda mindset that condones mass murder.

Partial birth abortion is clearly a murder. Baby is right there, alive, coming into the world and is murdered with a pair of scissors stuck into his/her head. The physician doesn't pull the head out because she/he would have to look at what they were doing to a live, innocent human being. They'd have to look at the baby's human face grimacing at being pithed by a savage, evil act. Calling the baby a fetus in this circumstance is like calling a slave a sub-human to justify the murder of a slave. Clinical language used to mask what is happening is merely a labeling game that has been used by criminals running from their consciences for a very long time.

You may oppose these truths by suggesting that the consequences of declaring these children what they are, living human beings, is to criminalize doctors. Well, not if the law isn't retroactive.

People are free to smoke, but government has done much to restrict, discourage and fight against it. It is a moral issue: thou shalt not kill (yourself) by smoking; thou shalt not steal from others' health care dollars by smoking; thou shalt not harm others' lungs with passive smoke; thou shalt not engage in the idolatry of worshipping nicotine. In the same way, we've had legal abortion, but restricting it is considered unacceptable legislation of morality when it is done with gusto regarding life destroying cigarettes.

Like a nicotine addict defending his or her right to smoke, so much worse are those who defend their right to order a doctor to stick a pair of scissors into the unborn head of a child and get away with it.

If the Dems won't do anything about it, then the US will become worse and worse as a human rights violator in every sphere of government and private conduct. The GOP wants abortion, that's why they haven't outlawed it for the past 24/28 years they've had the White House, a stint when they had the Congress and after they'd packed the Supreme Court.

When those with power over the helpless or the weak use their power to destroy children coming out of the womb, we are courting evil empire status. Once that happens, the end of that empire is near. It is moral dissolution that unravels the rotting fish.

We can still get out of it. The Dems must provide real change.

Politics of Hope - in Texas


This is so disgusting. I'm not voting for this crook, ever

http://youtube.com/watch?v=nROKBU_KlZw

McCain doesn't know if contraceptives stop spread HIV, can't remember his position on it


This might be the beginning of the unraveling for McCain.  It may sound like something out of the Onion, but it's for real.

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/03/16/mccain-stumbles-on-hiv-prevention/

Reporter: “Should U.S. taxpayer money go to places like Africa to fund contraception to prevent AIDS?”

    Mr. McCain: “Well I think it’s a combination. The guy I really respect on this is Dr. Coburn. He believes – and I was just reading the thing he wrote– that you should do what you can to encourage abstinence where there is going to be sexual activity. Where that doesn’t succeed, than he thinks that we should employ contraceptives as well. But I agree with him that the first priority is on abstinence. I look to people like Dr. Coburn. I’m not very wise on it.

    (Mr. McCain turns to take a question on Iraq, but a moment later looks back to the reporter who asked him about AIDS.)

    Mr. McCain: “I haven’t thought about it. Before I give you an answer, let me think about. Let me think about it a little bit because I never got a question about it before. I don’t know if I would use taxpayers’ money for it.”

    Q: “What about grants for sex education in the United States? Should they include instructions about using contraceptives? Or should it be Bush’s policy, which is just abstinence?”

    Mr. McCain: (Long pause) “Ahhh. I think I support the president’s policy.”

    Q: “So no contraception, no counseling on contraception. Just abstinence. Do you think contraceptives help stop the spread of HIV?”

    Mr. McCain: (Long pause) “You’ve stumped me.”

    Q: “I mean, I think you’d probably agree it probably does help stop it?”

    Mr. McCain: (Laughs) “Are we on the Straight Talk express?  I’m not informed enough on it. Let me find out.You know, I’m sure I’ve taken a position on it on the past. I have to find out what my position was. Brian, would you find out what my position is on contraception – I’m sure I’m opposed to government spending on it, I’m sure I support the president’s policies on it.”

There's no doubt that if Obama or Clinton stumbled so badly on a question like this, they'd be toast.  I've never seen a candidate actually say that they need to find out what their position was on the issue before answering a question.  

While people will inevitably point to his age as the culprit, it's more than that.  McCain has flip-flopped on these issues so much in an effort to pander to the religious right that he no longer has any personal opinions on these matters.  It's all just a bunch of poll-tested positions designed to court the Republican base while maintaining a moderate image in the minds of those not paying attention.

And when stumped, McCain simply says that he's sure he agrees with President Bush.  That says it all.

Let's hope the media holds McCain accountable on this for once.

Hillary Clinton Should Not Concede


Most notably (Senator) Christopher Dodd, but others as well, have come out with the line that Clinton should fold up her tent.  The game's over and it's time to take her ball and go home.  The jig is up.  The fat lady's sung.  
(In case you're wondering, I do, in fact, get paid by the cliche).
He's 100% wrong. 
There are a great many people who would like to see her concede this minute, but that's a categorically different statement then she should write up her concession speech ASAP. 
1. She hasn't lost, yet.  This is akin to saying we should call off a baseball game in the middle of the 14th inning because it's torching both bullpens and will hurt their chances of winning their next games.  If you think the game isn't worth winning, put your left fielder in there to pitch.  You may be in a bad spot, but you don't have any other choice other than to play for the win, regardless of what it does to you and your opponents teams.  For those of you who don't speak baseball (communists) Hillary has no obligation to put the party before herself, especially considering (cue Monty Python voice) she's not dead, yet. If a fight's worth having it's worth having to its conclusion.  Which leads me to number two...
2. The Democrats done [redacted] themselves.  Democrats have no one to blame but themselves on this one.  They set up the rules.  They set up the election so that superdelegates could play the deciding role.  Either they did it as a means of making close races look like a supermajority or to insure that the people didn't stupidly pick an unelectable candidate (there's some logical problem there, but that's another story).  Regardless of which reason it was, they set up a world in which superdelegates could be put into play.  And until they've voted, this contest isn't over.  Poor way of choosing a candidate? Maybe.  Something Hillary is responsible for?No. 
3. There is a massive contradiction built within Dodd et al's position.  "Quit now, Hillary, the people have spoken and you're not going to win".  If he convinces her, he--and everyone else in his camp--have just acted as the kingmakers they say they shouldn't be and by their own logic can't be.  Just so I've got this straight, from their perspective, the very worst thing is for the will of the people to be ignored--therefore, party elites should force out a candidate who is still viable and not even mathematically eliminated from the pledged delegate race?  
Chris Dodd's pleas are okay--poor strategy, but okay--if he's acting as just another superdelegate in favor of Obama trying to do the best for his candidate.  But it's like trying to convince the other team to stop playing in the 7th inning because they're losing "too badly".  
There's no mercy rule in Major League Baseball--neither should there be one in politics, regardless of what it does to the "party".
  

Witness to Murder - Martin Luther King -- Timing of Show Suspicious


I noted that CNN will be having a documentary on Dr Martin Luther King's assissination this Thursday.

I was wondering if anybody can tell me if they remember CNN or other stations doing this (a King's death story) every year, in the past few years?

Perhaps I've missed the actual assassination documentaries in the past?  I've seen stories of the King's life and his 'I have a Dream' speech but it's been a very long time since I've seen a story about the way that he was killed.

CNN's "Eyewitness To Murder" report this coming week, bothers me.

Are they trying to scare Barack Obama supporters into not voting for Barack because he 'might' get assissinated?

That, unfortunately was my first thought when I heard about this upcoming show. 

I know for a fact that many blacks were concerned about this happening in the beginning.  I don't know if they continue to worry about the possibility or not; but I'm here to tell them, if President George W. Bush survived the past 7 years, the most hated President we've had in years, Barack Obama will survive just fine too.

Don't get me wrong.  I think the story needs to be told about King's death; but I'm just concerned about the 'timing' of this one.  It's just a couple of weeks before the Pennsylvania and North Carolina primaries.

Why couldn't the cable networks just tell King's life story, as in the past?  Why dwell on the assissination itself?

Just makes you wonder is all.

CHENEY VISITS IRAQ; A WEEK LATER, ALL HELL BREAKS LOOSE


The Iraq war was, has been, is, and will be fought for political purposes. 

The right wing can howl all they want to about "Islamofascism" or the so-called "Global War On Terror," or what a bloodthirsty tyrant Saddam Hussein was, or how al Qaeda used Iraq as a springboard for whatever; and those who have the balls, like Alan Greenspan of all people, can admit that it was really fought for oil...(the oil part is basically true)...but the REAL truth is that this war was fought so that George W. Bush could run for re-election as a war president.

The reason I know this is that, way way back in 2002, when Bush first started mouthing about Hussein and Iraq publicly, he did so during Republican fund-raisers.

Who starts talking about invading a whole other country at a FUND-RAISER?

About that time, Karl Rove was quoted as saying that a good war would be a great way to mobilize the base; that it would make a great campaign.  Why, they spent more time planning the "Mission Accomplished" campaign ad than they did the war itself.

Oh yeah, there were plenty of right-wingers (including John McCain) who'd been spoiling for war since Clinton was president, and we now know it's true that, as retired general Wesley Clark had been saying all along--the day after 9-11, the White House was trying to figure a way to blame Iraq so they could go to war there.  Rumsfeld was quoted as complaining that "there's nothing to bomb" in Afghanistan.

But the real idea was that we'd roll into Iraq as heroes, be greeted as liberators, be pretty much out within six months--which, conveniently, would be right before the '04 elections--and Bush could strut around in his flight suit on T.V. all that fall and the White House would be his in a landslide.

Then, whatever civil liberties they wanted to destroy, they could do so under "national security" restrictions; whatever constitutional powers they wanted to thieve for the president, they could do because he was a "war president," and so on.

And just THINK of all the money they could raise, using troops as photo-op backdrops!

Consequently--much to the abiding horror of most of the troops and officers who were actually having to FIGHT this war--every decision made up to the present day has been a POLITICAL decision.

As Dr. Phil would say:  "How's that workin' out for ya?"

Now, one thing the White House has been aces at controlling about this uncontrollable war, has been media coverage.

So imagine their chagrin when things actually did deteriorate so much "on the ground" that all their previously lap-dog media was covering was bloodshed and bombings day in and day out.  Bummer.

And it was looking bad, politically, because it cost the Republicans their comfortable majority in congress.

Damn the fickle liberal media!

Something had to be done, and quick, to get the media--and thus the ADD-afflicted public--back under control where the war was concerned, because there was, after all, a big election coming up in '08.

Hence the Petraeus Plan.

Just when the whole country and every wise man in Washington and every military figure who still had the guts to speak up was begging for a troop drawdown in Iraq, Bush decides to flood Baghdad with a troop escalation.

The excuse given was to give the Iraqi puppet-government time to make some political reconciliations that would look good enough on paper to convince the American public that "progress" was being made.

And lucky for Bush & Co., that was the same time that Muqtada al-Sadr called a cease-fire of his powerful militia and that was the same time that Sunni sheiks in the Anbar decided to quit shooting at Americans and instead, let the Americans pay and arm them not to.

Meanwhile, Muppet Maliki did his part by forbidding journalists to photograph any more bombings, while at the same time, the Pentagon began to forbid them to photograph wounded American troops.  Of course, they never have been permitted to photograph flag-draped coffins.  Too depressing.

Only GOOD NEWS must be shown!

And lo and behold!  IT WORKED!

Violence did indeed come down, and what there was usually did not make the evening news, on account of all the new restrictions.  Plus, American camera crews couldn't get around the country very well because it was too dangerous.

The White House and John McCain began to crow about how the surge not only WAS working, but HAD worked!

Those miserable Defeatocrats who wanted to surrender and cut and run and retreat and defeat--wouldn't they look like idiots come November, eh?

Oh, happy times are here again in the ole White House!

Because even though the so-called surge was supposed to come to an end right about now, well, Bush told Petraeus a couple of months ago to stop the drawdowns this summer and keep it stopped for the next several months, at least until the elections, so that it would look like we were "winning" in Iraq.

Petraeus, like the good general he is, agreed that he did want to "preserve the progress" that had been made, and scheduled his report to congress in a couple weeks.

So the White House spinmeisters came up with another inocuous term:  "pause."  The drawdowns would merely...pause...for a while.  An indefinite while.  But just a pause, that's all.

And everything was set up to look just like another great Mission Accomplished Moment. 

Last week, Bush started the pre-production work by giving three big speeches on the Iraq war, all about how "normalcy is returning" to Iraq and all this great progress was being made and victory was at hand and stuff, and McCain did his part, giving a big speech on the war and parrotting the talking-points.

But the Democrats stubbornly hold to a great advantage in the upcoming race, in spite of all the feel-good propoganda and mind-melding being done from the White House.  It was going to be really hard to get that fifty-plus-one majority Cheney cherishes.

And one of the things those damned pesky Democrats just would not stop harping on, was how it really did not matter if our brave and brilliant U.S. troops did indeed bring down the violence when asked to do so, if, at the same time, the Iraqi government was taking month-long vacations and squabbling amongst one another and accomplishing not one single braggable political point.

Bush and Cheney knew that, come Petraeus's big moment in the spotlight, he would be grilled heavily about how long our troops were supposed to continue dying to support a government that was doing absolutely NOTHING in return.

The Sunnis, for example, who had laid down their arms against the Americans and taken them up against al Qaeda, had been begging Maliki's Shi'ite government to provide help with restoring power, providing jobs, and taking Sunnis into the Iraqi army and police. 

While Maliki ignored them, they started demanding that the provincial elections promised two years ago would finally take place, so that they could vote in a larger bloc in the government.  (Sunnis largely boycotted the first elections, and have regretted it ever since.)

A bloc of Sunni, Kurd, and Shi'ites actually did pass such a law, but one of the vice-presidents vetoed it.

Meanwhile, down in Basra, where the Brits have pulled out, Maliki's bloc of Shi'ites had been struggling for control over al Sadr's militia ever since, and al Sadr was making all the right moves to set himself up as a major political figure.  Provincial elections might prove to give him a large majority in parliament.

Which of course, Maliki did not want.

And so things languished.

But dammit, Petraeus was about to go before congress and claim all this "progress"!  And the stupid Democrats were demanding to know what kind of progress had been made by the Iraqis that would somehow justify 4,004 dead Americans?

Think of the sound-bites!

Enter Cheney.

Bush's Rottweiler.  Let off his leash.

He heads straight to Iraq and growls and bares his teeth at Maliki.

MUST have political progress, he snarls.  PASS THE DAMN PROVINCIAL ELECTION LAW!

This way, Petraeus will have a REAL slam-dunk when he goes before congress, and it will be President McCain before you know it.

Maliki whines that he's losing control of Basra--which strikes fear in the heart of the old oilman--and so he says, FIX IT.

The U.S. will back you up, says Vice, if you will pass the damned election law.

Two days after Cheney leaves, suddenly, the provincial election law passes!

Yay!

Media's happy, Bush's happy, McCain's so damn happy he actually goes to Iraq his very own self to observe all the peace and prosperity.

Media glosses over the fact that he cannot, in fact, visit the market he visited last time, because of "security concerns."

No worries!  The surge has worked!  Vote for me!

A few days after that, Maliki launches a huge military offensive against Basra.

Bush and Cheney both howl at the moon about how this PROVES that the surge has worked because NOW the Iraqi government can fight their own battles, sort of, but not quite COMPLETELY, not yet, but still, it's all good.

Cheney returned to Washington convinced that Maliki would have this grand show of strength right before Petraeus's visit; provincial elections would be scheduled for...let's see...how about OCTOBER--right before the U.S. elections?

Think of THOSE sound-bites, suckers!

And the Republicans would triumph on the backs of the U.S. soldiers and Marines YET AGAIN.

But you see, the thing is, when you fight a war POLITICALLY rather than MILITARILY, and you expect the military to do EVERYTHING--we don't need no steenkin' diplomacy!--what happens is, disastrous political decisions get made that backfire so badly that a six month war drags on for six years.

EVERY decision in this war has been made from the White House for political reasons--even the first Iraqi elections were rushed under a flimsy deadline that did not allow for truth on the ground--every single decision--and every single decision has been horrible for the U.S. troops and the Iraqi people.

Because the sad truth is that, there was a time that John McCain was RIGHT about this war--before he flip-flopped. 

It was actually John McCain who first used the term "whack-a-mole" to describe the impossibility of fighting an unconventional guerilla war with conventional means.  Like Joe Biden described it, you take a balloon and squeeze one end, the air is just redistributed to the other end.

Every place that American soldiers and Marines are present in force, the insurgents flee, only to regroup elsewhere.  Like my son said, they fought a massive battle to get the bad guys out of Fallujah in '04, but when they returned in '05, many of them had just moved back in.  This has happened everywhere.  Though bad guys did flee Baghdad before the so-called "surge," they regrouped in Mosul, where U.S. troops are still waging daily bloody battles for control.

Cheney's pressure on Maliki to produce results Petraeus could brag about in front of the U.S. congress--and media, thus influencing our own elections--has instead incited a tinderbox of explosive blowback in that unstable country.

If Cheney had spent any time studying the REAL conditions "on the ground" in Iraq rather than those he WANTS to study, it would have told him that al Sadr has a pervasive and large, growing presence all over Shi'ite areas of Iraq, and that they are well-armed and experienced against U.S. troops.  That al Sadr pretty much controls the police in Iraq and that Basra police would shed their uniforms and join up with Sadr's militia against Maliki's forces.

He would have known that a situation Maliki assured him he could control in one little area of the country, the coastal tip, would instead spread like a grass fire all over Iraq--right into Baghdad.  American troops would come under increasing pressure to maintain what security they have, but because of the complicated releationship with al Sadr and the delicate balance of his "cease-fire,"--they would not be able to fight back as completely as the military might like.  (It's a miserable godforsaken way to ask trained troops to fight.)

He would have known that Maliki's forces aren't like U.S. troops; that they're as likely to turn and run as fight, depending upon their tribes and loyalties, and that in order for the U.S. to provide REAL back-up to Maliki, they would have to, indeed, play a game of whack-a-mole by pulling troops OUT of volitile Baghdad in order to send them on down to Basra.  With wearily predictable results.

And he would have known that, the more it appears that provincial elections WON'T be held, after all, well, then the less reason the Sunnis have to continue working with the Marines in the Anbar.  Which puts THEM in greater danger.

And if he'd been listening to the entire Joint Chiefs of Staff and most of the Pentagon and his secretary of defense--among others--he'd have known that the American military can't possibly sustain this level of commitment in Iraq much longer without damn near breaking it in half.  Especially with another war raging in Afghanistan.

But of course, he didn't listen, and even after five years of war and thousands of dead Americans and tens of thousands of dead Iraqis, he has not learned.

No one in the White House has.

Consequently, Cheney might just as well have traveled to Baghdad and declared a whole new war, because that is what we have now.

Good luck, General Petraeus.  You've just learned the most bitter lesson the U.S. military has had to learn in Iraq:  this is not your war. 

And no matter how hard you fight and how many of your boys and girls die, nothing you do will matter, because the White House will still manage to lose it for you.

Who Should Obama Pick for Vice President


If Clinton wins, she must pick Obama. He would probably accept. Eight years of seasoning and visibility will make him more acceptable to mainstream American and he'll end up being president in 2016.

But who should Obama pick? It would be foolish to pick someone from New York. He'll win there even if he gets crushed 57-43 popular and 40+ to less than 10 in the state count.

Hillary and Soccer -- Did This Story Happen or Do We have Another Lie?


It seems Hillary Clinton may have lied about her past experiences yet again.

First we hear her tell us about her Bosnia trip as First Lady.  She and Chelsea supposedly underwent sniper fire after landing.  We find out by actual video's it's not true.

Then we're told she helped the Ireland peace treaty, when she didn't according to many of those involved.

Then Dick Morris reminds us about the story she gave as to where Chelsea, her daughter, was during 9/11.  Chelsea's story was completely different.

Now, Dick Morris and Eileen McGann report another lie or 'mistake' of Hillary's.

At a 1997 race-relations forum for teenagers in Boston, Hillary recalled the “pain” of a “childhood encounter” that helped her to grasp the injury suffered by the victims of bigotry. Her comments came as her husband was launching his second term in office by calling for a national dialogue on race and reconciliation. In an effort to empathize with her audience and inject herself into the discussion, she made up yet another incident that never happened.

“During a junior high school soccer game” on a cold day, Hillary claimed, a goalie told her, “I wish people like you would freeze.” Stunned, the future first lady asked how the goalie could feel that way when she didn’t even know her. “I don’t have to know you,” the goalie shot back, “to know I hate you.”

Nice story, but it never happened.

While today’s generation of young girls routinely play on multiple soccer teams in their schools and towns, Hillary’s generation had no such opportunity. Hillary may have attended lots of Chelsea Clinton’s soccer games, but that seems to be the sum total of her soccer career. As a school sport, girls’ soccer teams didn’t exist when Hillary went to middle or high school. In 2004, the athletic director for South Main High School in Park Ridge — and a 34-year veteran of the school system — confirmed that there were no girls’ soccer teams of any kind in Hillary’s school district in the 1960s.

Hillary seems to have simply conjured up the tale...

Now I realize that Dick Morris has a huge grudge against the Clinton's for their firing of him when Bill was President, but this article includes another person's input.  Keep in mind how many years Dick knew and worked for the Clintons.  If anybody would know their secrets, he would.

I sure would be interested in hearing Hillary's explanation for this lie or 'mistake' wouldn't you?

Hillary seems to like to 'exaggerate' her life stories a lot.  I'm almost afraid to know what she would 'exaggerate' on if she were our President?

If your candidate isn't the nominee.....?


These questions were asked by Dan Savage on the streets of Los Angeles. This isn't a scientific study to say the least. It is however interesting to see what people think:

a) What is your party affiliation?
b) If you supported Sen. Clinton and she lost the nomination would you support Sen. Obama?
c) If you supported Sen. Obama and he lost the nomination would you support Sen. Clinton?
d) If you supported either candidate and they lost the nomination to their Democratic opponent would you support Sen. McCain?

Deep in the Weeds: AOL Straw Poll


Found this, for whatever it's worth. For my money, not much, but I know there are those out there who take this kind of thing seriously:

http://news.aol.com/political-machine/straw-poll

I have to admit, I was very suprised at how it looks at this point. I really assumed that Obama supporters would be more likely to participate in these kinds of polls. Feel free to check for yourself, but here are the basics:  In the 10 remaining primary states, Clinton leads in every one, from 51% to 65%. She leads in Michigan at 51% and in Florida at 61%.

Again, I don't make too much of this, except to point-out that it IS possible to find information out there that is encouraging for Clinton supporters. On the off-chance there is any validity whatever to this, the road ahead for Sen. Obama may be more difficult than many of you think.

Clinton's Inadequate Attack On Pelosi


Speaker Nancy Pelosi has been meddling in Presidential politics, and the Clinton-campaign pushed back. 
Senator Clinton didn't go far enough.

So does Obama accept money from oil companies or not?


He's running a commercial in PA. right now in which he states that he doesn't take any money from oil companies.  
The Clinton campaign has called him on it:http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/28/834887.aspx

If he's parsing words here, I'm going to be really pissed off.  I'm a big Obama supporter, so if anyone can shed light on this, I'd appreciate it.

Hillary Clinton: entitled college freshman


When I was in college, there was a minority freshman orientation program that ended the morning that the entire campus arrived.  Because of the timing of the program, the minority kids who attended got to their dorm rooms first (by hours, at best) and would choose a side of the room, make the bed, put their stuff in drawers, etc.  As time went on, it became quite apparent that many White freshmen students had a HUGE problem with this.

Now think this through: there are two sides of a room.  It is damn near metaphisicaly impossible for both roommates to arrive in the room at the same time, so SOMEONE is going to make it there first.

Do we actually think that the White kids, had they arrived before their minority roommate, would NOT chose a side without waiting and without consulting their roommate?  Are we to think they would sit around waiting for their roommate to arrive, then draw straws?  Of course not.  They would have chosen the side they wanted, of course, then just said "Oh. well. It's really not a big deal" if the roommate complained.

But when the minority did the same thing, that is where the problems began.  It was the entitlement . . . the "understanding" that the minority was NOT supposed to "win" the side of the room they wanted . . . it was the "arrogance" of those minority kids chosing their side of the room without "clearing it" with their White roommate first.  That the minority student had an "advantage" because of their race -- even though half of the White students, by definition, arrived at their rooms second.  We even had a White student suggest that they flip a coin (after the minority kid was already unpacked and moved in) to see who got which side of the room.

Does this remind you of anything?  Whenever I hear Hillary backers talk about Obama's "arrogance", I think of the White kids to whom I had to explain the "someone would get there first" reality.  When I hear Hillary backers say "Hillary in '08, Obama in '16", I think of the White kids incensed that the minority kids had the timerity to do what they would have done . . . which is pick the side of the room they wanted, without consulation with the rommate. 

Think about this:  when has a White candidate ever been told "it's too early for you, you should wait eight years, then it wil be your turn"?  When has a White candidate leading a race been offered the No. 2 position to a candidate they are beating?  As Chris Rock once said about Colin Powell being floated as a vice president candidate, "You wouldn't expect Al Gore to be vice president for Al Sharpton, would you?  So why would you offer the vice president's position to someone he could beat?"

And when I hear the Hillary peope complaining about the "undemocratic" caucuses, I'm reminded that, among the complaining White kids in college, I know some of them didn't mind the side of the room they were "left with" -- they either would have chosen it anyway, or they did not really care.  But it was "the principle of it."  It was that the minorities . . . they just didn't know their place.  THEY were non supposed to be calling the shots. . . not at an Ivy League school!

Like Andrew Sullivan, when I hear some of the Hillary backers' complaints about Obama's "advantages" all I can think of is the one word that really explains what they are really trying to say: "uppity."  That, my friends has been the real eye opener for some Black liberals about White liberals -- that the Black vote is valued and important . . . unless they don't have it in their back pocket.  It brings to mind what journalist Chuck Stone once said about liberals: "A liberal is someone who doesn't want the slaves whipped."

The fights are so fierce because the stakes are so small.


Some weeks ago I was talking to a friend of mine and quoted this line, which is about academia.  It may be more often phrased as a riddle:
Q: Why are the battles in academia so fierce?
A: Because the stakes are so small.
Anyway, he pointed out that this same pseudo-law of humanity may apply to politics as well: if the differences between two particular candidates are small, anyone who favors one over the other has to somehow magnify them.

The Republican party used to (and maybe still does) label itself the "party of ideas", but after eight years of Bush and company, it seems more like the "party of intellectually-bankrupt ideas".  They used to label the Democratic party as "tax and spend", but that doesn't work any more since they are now the "don't tax, spend anyway: steal from our grandchildren" party.  They're stuck with nothing more than name-calling and personal destruction.

On the Democratic party side, there are plenty of policy differences from the Republicans; but between the two presidential candidates, the differences are relatively small.  So here again, Clinton and Obama are limited as to what they can say to distinguish themselves from each other.  This is true for their supporters as well, and hence we get a lot of name-calling and "supporter bashing".

Whoever comes out of the nomination process, I will be voting for the Democratic candidate in November, because the policy differences between either-one and McCain are what matter the most.  Sure, I'd like my guy (who happens to be Barack rather than Hillary) to win this nomination.  But even if he doesn't, I'll take HC over JM.  I'd rather have BO (who I admit has unfortunate initials :-) ) but I will take either one.

The National Debate on Race Will Not be Televised part 2


Presidential candidate Barack Obama suggested hat there be a national discussion on race. I am pleased to see that TPM has a discussion next week featuring a variety of African-American voices, from the Progressive to the Conservative. I am saddened by the fact that such a broad-based and hopefully insightful conversation will never take place on any network or cable news show.

In a previous post on this issue, I noted that all of the hosts of morning and night time news shows are Caucasian. The hosts are the ones who direct the questioning and can choose who will respond to a posed question. The host can also cut off the response to a question, if the response is are not what the particular host wants to hear.

The fact that the news show hosts are Caucasian would not matter if they could reflect some understanding of what the African-American community has to say to the United States.

Unfortunately, none of the hosts appear to possess this ability. As an example of this inability, I submit observations from two shows that aired on 03/28/2008:

The first show, Lou Dobbs , had Dobbs along with two Caucasian males , one a Democratic Party actviist who s Hillary Clinton supporter and the other a New York Post columnist, discussed Condolezza Rice's statement regarding the national "birth defect" of slavery. Roland Martin, an African-American analyst was off camera also offering commentary. Dobbs appeared outraged at the audacity of Rice's statement. The other two White males were not angered, but expressed concern about Rice's choice of words

Roland Martin, on the other hand, said flat out the Rice had hit the nail on the head. Rice's viewpoint is shared by a significant number of African-Americans. Racism was built into the Constitution. There was great symbolism in Roland Martin being beamed in rather than being on stage. Dobbs and his two White colleagues face Martin with a force of 3:1. Such an imbalance is commonplace on cable news shows

The discomfort that Dobbs et al have with Rice's "wording" suggests that his show will never be an honest format for a discussion of race.

The second show was Real Time with Bill Mahrer. The guest were comedian Robert Klein, WaPo international affairs correspondent Robin Wright, and African-American PBS talk show host Tavis Smiley. The conversation turned to Reverend Wright. Both Klein and Wright expressed dismay at Wright's words. Mahrer was able to understand why an African-American who grew up in the US cold be a little PO'ed. Smiley reminded the panel that Dr King had said that a judgment could come down on America from actions in Vietnam. Klein and Wright were initially reluctant to believe that King had disparaged the United States. King was not the cuddly Black leader that many want him to be.

In actuality, Dr King was dis-invited to the white House for his comments about Vietnam. I bring up the Mahrer show to bring up two points. One, that there are few hosts on network or cable news who would take Mahrer's position about Rev Wright's speech. Second, Robin Wright's outrage at both Rev Wright's speech and the possibility that Rev King had said something "unpatriotic" represents the feelings of most of the Caucasians in the news media.

Dobbs getting upset about Rice's comments to the Washington Times and Wright rejection of Rev Wright's snippets and the "UnAmerican" sermon on Vietnam provides clear evidence that the National discussion on race will be limited until a more diverse base is used to lead the discussion, rather than just be responders to biased questioning.

Given the way MSM is constructed, the national discussion on race will not be televised.

Ignorance, Apathy, and Objectivity: Voting


As a recently joined member, I have come to champion this site as one of few seemingly neutral media sources available (I say seemingly because I know not what neutral truely entails).  The level of thought behind the articles and the adjoining comments by educated users continues to challenge my mind by introducing campaign issues that go far beyond the scope and depth of traditional news sources.

In fact, in addressing the candidates platforms the writers manage to dissect the true mechanics behind, for example, an economic policy using historical evidence and professional guidance (e.g. Paul Krugman).  This is fascinating to me because the majority of Americans care not for these important facets that distinguish candidates, instead taking their summed up versions at face value.  This method of adoption requires for the voter a certain amount of laziness or futile acceptance of something they cannot hope to understand.  Thus, is it untrue to say that most of America takes what the news and candidates say for granted?

That is, only if they get that far in the first place!  I applaud the individuals who, upon each and every election, make an openminded decision without claiming allegiance to party, religion, sex, or any other denominating factor.  In the hustle and bustle of American society this civic achievement is worthy of praise, even if their assessment is still plagued by ignorance and some level of apathy.

But as I have hinted, it is an extremely difficult task to reach this level of participation in the first place.  Votes are somewhat pyramidal structure, where most of the population is truely vegged out at the bottom rung in a quasi-Orwellian twilight world.  Evidence for this lay in the fact that Fox News is STILL the most popular news station on the air - and its not for celebrated journalism and objective reporting.  No, most of the nation relegates its ability to research and understand a candidate to CNN and Fox. 

Therein lay the problem, however.  Many people recognize the main stream medias monopolized influence over the everyday news watcher and are left with 3 choices:  to not vote because they recognize their ignorance, to attempt to find a neutral media, or to keep watching Fox News and try and sift out the bullshit for the real issues.

The first choice is the easiest, so I won't go over it.  The third choice is downright rotten because every bit and parcel of information is filtered through Rupert Murdochs GOP agenda.  Furthermore, the vast majority of the important issues are touched upon in a distant, inaffectionate manner when depth is a necessity. 

The second choice, however, is extremely difficult.  It is predetermined by ones highest education level, their ability to find and use resources such as the internet, and their social environment.  The innate quality of a neutral media source such as TPM is the above average intellects of its writers and viewers.  How is the layman supposed to understand a progressive platform on international trade without a solid understanding of macroeconomics and foreign relations?  They won't, but thats the kind of depth expected by members of the site.

Another barrier to finding objectivity is the persons social environment.  I would argue that its the most important one!  Trying to be objective minded in a strongly biased environment is a task that I could have failed at many, many times if certain circumstances had not arisen.  Any type of reference group that a person subscribes to socially has tremendous power in thwarting dissent.

I'm stopping myself now from diverging too far from the point, but it might make for some interesting conversation otherwise.  The point of all this was to show that objective intellectuals who seek the underlying truth are an enormous minority in the grand scheme.  Yet our votes count as 1 and their votes count as 1.  I'm not attempting to sound elitist because I feel as if this problem was propelled and exasberated by the elites.   I just wonder what the point of all this is sometimes.  I'm not trying to sound nihlistic, but I feel like something should be done to make the media sources comprehensive as opposed to profit seeking.

Gday!

Texas Convention Shenanigans?


Fort Bend Texas rumor:

A Clinton supporter and head of the Clinton campaign in Fort Bend showed up to a convention that was not even her own to speak on behalf of Clinton.  The chairperson called her behavior inappropriate and had security escort her out.

My letter to Nancy Pelosi


Dear Madam Speaker,


Yesterday I stood next to my longtime neighbor, and eco-warrior, Rob, “Birdlegs” Caughlan, just a few feet away from you, as you so graciously supported the brilliant mathematician, and wind engineer, Jerry Mc Nearney (CA-11) at his fundraiser in San Jose. Rob was his spokesman in ’06 and encouraged my support of this fine person as well as the true American hero, Charlie Brown in CA-04.

My heart was bursting with pride as I stood near my congresswoman, Anna Eshoo, and was reminded by you that our California delegation has a majority women, and that the number of women in that delegation is larger than some states entire delegation. You all magnificently represent all the best in modern California as you lead our nation in these very difficult times.

Because you are such a hero to me, and were actually standing in the same room. I allowed myself the indulgence to imagine what I would have said had we had a moment to chat.

I also have a family that is very excited and energized at a chance for an Obama presidency.  I understand all the reasons why. However, I have been a longtime supporter of Hillary and feel that it is she who is better able to get the work done that has “ the fierce urgency of now”.

My son, came home from Boston at spring break, which led to many discussions a day with all our family and friends.  His new city and state went for Hillary as did our own. He said that he was struck at how shallow the Obama kids understanding of Hillary was. He’s studying communication for a career in public service. When he filled them in, they opened their hearts to her. He never had to say anything about Obama to get this shift in his friend’s perceptions, he just told them about her. My son did a report on Bill in fourth grade, during the impeachment. (I tried to steer him to a less contovertial choice but he loves Bill) He endured humiliation then from classmates whose parents spoke ill of the president at home, but he held firm to his support based on his own research. It was amazing to watch at the time, I'm sure it helped him in the college dorms successfully present a favorable view of Hillary.

It reminded me of a functional MRI study written about in the NY Times late last year. It showed a unique appeal that only Hillary had. In the study of independents and partisan voters who had strong views of the current candidates, when people who didn’t “like” her actually watch her make a presentation, their brains lit up only for her in an area that suggests empathetic analysis and processing of a disconnect between previous perceptions and what they are seeing right before their eyes. After actually seeing her for who she is, they open up to viewing her more favorably. 

If the eloquent and persuasive Obama were on her ticket as VP,  and helping America see the real Hillary, rather than joining that tired old chorus of Clinton attacks, they would be unstoppable.

Karl Rove knew this about Hillary instinctively. I believe that is why the Republican attack machine suddenly became faced with blonde women when they went after her. Smoke and mirrors to retard her progress towards universal health care, and so much else.
We can’t let that false view of Hillary take her down. 

My family and I agree  that a Clinton/Obama ticket would  also be the way to erase the doubts about his readiness to serve in such an important office at such an important time for our nation and our world. We think it is the traditional role of the VP to be the spokesman for the administration’s plan. Their plans are so similar. How could Democrats have a better spokesman than Obama? 

Al Gore and Obama’s cousin, Dick Cheney, have made the office of the VP much more important. I believe Hillary would give him many opportunities to shine on his own. We would all require that from her. My son agrees that he’s “man enough” to take the number two spot behind her - after all -  he’s married to Michelle, and she’s a powerful woman.  There will be no doubts about Obama when he runs as an incumbent on the top of the ticket in 2016 for another eight years of Democrats in the White House. I believe he has the potential, like Hillary, to be a truly great president.

I urge you to find a way, as I believe you can, to bring together both halves of our wonderful Party, after all the votes are cast, assuming they each have roughly half the party's support as they do now, and let this talented duo turn to the important work of switching more congressional districts red-to-blue like CA-11 and CA-04.
 


Yours Truly
Carol S.

Meanwhile, back on the Strait Talk Express...


From the New York Times' politics blog, <i><a href=http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/03/16/mccain-stumbles-on-hiv-prevention>The Caucus</a></i>:

Reporter: "Should U.S. taxpayer money go to places like Africa to fund contraception to prevent AIDS?"

Mr. McCain: "Well I think it’s a combination. The guy I really respect on this is Dr. Coburn. He believes – and I was just reading the thing he wrote– that you should do what you can to encourage abstinence where there is going to be sexual activity. Where that doesn’t succeed, than he thinks that we should employ contraceptives as well. But I agree with him that the first priority is on abstinence. I look to people like Dr. Coburn. I’m not very wise on it."

(Mr. McCain turns to take a question on Iraq, but a moment later looks back to the reporter who asked him about AIDS.)

Mr. McCain: "I haven’t thought about it. Before I give you an answer, let me think about. Let me think about it a little bit because I never got a question about it before. I don’t know if I would use taxpayers’ money for it."

Q: "What about grants for sex education in the United States? Should they include instructions about using contraceptives? Or should it be Bush’s policy, which is just abstinence?"

Mr. McCain: (Long pause) "Ahhh. I think I support the president’s policy."

Q: "So no contraception, no counseling on contraception. Just abstinence. Do you think contraceptives help stop the spread of HIV?"

Mr. McCain: (Long pause) "You’ve stumped me."

Q: "I mean, I think you’d probably agree it probably does help stop it?"

Mr. McCain: (Laughs) "Are we on the Straight Talk express? I’m not informed enough on it. Let me find out. You know, I’m sure I’ve taken a position on it on the past. I have to find out what my position was. Brian, would you find out what my position is on contraception – I’m sure I’m opposed to government spending on it, I’m sure I support the president’s policies on it."

 Q: "But you would agree that condoms do stop the spread of sexually transmitted diseases. Would you say: ‘No, we’re not going to distribute them,’ knowing that?"

Mr. McCain: (Twelve-second pause) "Get me Coburn’s thing, ask Weaver to get me Coburn’s paper that he just gave me in the last couple of days. I’ve never gotten into these issues before."



Now, I can admire a man who admits he doesn't know something when asked a question about obscure policy or precedent, but about something like this -- wow.  The bolded section in particular is just crazy.  That's the language of a man too far gone into Washington doublespeak.  That's the dangerous McCain.

Rasmussen: Clinton 42 / Obama 48


After nine days of a statistical dead heat, Barack Obama is showing a six point lead today in the eerily historically accurate Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll.  (Personally, I look at the other polls, but Rasmussen's are the only ones I take seriously.)

At 48%, Barack Obama is registering his highest number since the infamous Rev. Write videos hit the media.

It'll interesting interesting to see if this is an aberration, or the beginning of a trend.

Combat Politics and Hillary Clinton: One Reason Why I'm Voting for Obama


I think one thing is becoming clear. The Clintons practice "combat politics". James Carville, in his WaPo article, hailed this kind of politics.

It prepares you to get hit, stand strong and, if necessary, hit back. I've worked on enough campaigns to know that the most aggrieved candidate rarely emerges victorious. And for all of the hypersensitivity we're seeing this cycle, this campaign has not been particularly negative or nasty compared with previous elections.


That thinking makes sense, given what they went through in the 90's, but you have to wonder if maybe that experience has left their judgment and vision of politics flawed. I mean, if James Carville doesn't think the "kitchen sink" strategy is nasty, I'm concerned over what he would consider nasty.

Obama wants to change the tone in Washington. Granted, every president says that going in, but I sincerely believe, based on the way he's carried himself and the campaign that he's run,  that Barack Obama has the best chance of anyone in the last 30 years to actually do it.  

The Clintons can't and won't change the tone in Washington because they dont see "combat politics" as a bad thing warranting change.

The reason why I couldn't support Hillary was that I didn't (and still don't) see her as a viable change agent.  Policies aside, she's a Washington insider who is so entreched in combat mentality that she can't see any other way than to scorch the earth and, maybe, achieve a small victory, but at the cost of ruining the fertile ground and destroying any chance for long term success.

My supporting evidence is her campaign.

We've been there and done that. Obama may not be able to change the tone or bring civility back to Washington. But at least I'm convinced that he's willing to give it a fair shot. He's at least willing.

I don't believe that Hillary Clinton, who was forged in the fires of "combat politics", knows any other way. Hillary is a fighter, yes, i will grant her that.

But some of us have had enough fighting over the last two presidencies. We've had fights and fighters before and where has it gotten us?  But the overlooked thing about fighting is that when you fight you make enemies and burn bridges.

People don't like to lose a "fight" so positions harden, nobody will give an inch on anything no matter how reasonable, and nothing will get done except through an ugly and bloody process that wouldn't have been ugly and bloody if you didn't go into it thinking "fight fight fight".

Combat politics is the problem not the solution.

Earth Hour...March 29...Tonight


For those who like to think about other matters in addition to presidential politics...

Earth Hour...tonight at 8 PM...whenever that happens in your time zone.  Turn your lights out for an hour.  Look at the stars, look within.  Have a conversation by candlelight.

It's not a problem-solver.  It's barely a band-aid.  But it's something.

This Just In: NCAA Declares Winners of First Round Games that Were Essentially Tied


After due consideration and deliberation, the referees for the following 2008 NCAA first round games have determined that the following games were "essentially tied." Because these games were tied, the officials have exercised their discretion and decided that the teams that nominally "lost" these games, which were actually tied, were, in fact the stronger team and should have advanced to the next round.

Duke 71, Belmont 70
The officials believe overturning this result is justified by the fact that the Duke players had higher GPA's than the Belmont players, due to elitist recruiting practices at Duke, and that the fans of Belmont are thus more in line with the demographic profile of the NCAA fan base as it existed as recently as 1992.
 
Drake 99, WKU 101 T
he officials determined that Drake deserved to advance over Western Kentucky because it is a private school and, thus, may have more affluent doners than Western Kentucky.

Conn 69, U San Diego 70
Connecticut has been chose to advance over San Diego because more people in Connecticut have heard of it.

BYU 62, Texas A&M 67
BYU has been chosen to advance from this essentially tied game because it was, in fact, tied at the half and TAM was unfairly advantaged by its stronger support from African Americans.

Marquette 74, Kentucky 66
Based upon a recalculation of the score that included shots sunk by the teams during the pre-game warm-up, the officials have determined that the Wildcats were, in fact, the winners of this game. The officials have given due consideration to Marquette's contention that NCAA rules provide that the only shots that count are those made during the game, and that both sides had agreed to abide by these rules, but, in light of changed circumstances, the NCAA has decided to ignore them.

Miss St. 76, Ore. 69
The officials have determined that since this game was essentially tied, and because Mississippi State unfairly rallied from a 13 point deficit to win the game by seven points, the win should have been awarded to Oregon.
 
Davidson 82, Gonzaga 76
The officials have awarded Gonzaga bonus points over Davidson because it had a higher starting seed, is better known and bigger. The latter point is particularly important because Davidson, being a smaller school than many of the other teams in the NCAA, does not count. The NCAA is confident that this is the right choice as it does not feel that, based on its initial seed, Davidson can possibly overcome the array of much higher ranked teams it would have to face in later games and does not believe its actual subsequent success against those higher ranked teams is any indicator of its inherent strength. Instead, it is believed that these wins are the result of a deluded fan base that will evaporate and defect to the other side if Davidson makes it to the finals.

The NCAA is confident that the delay caused by replaying the second and third round games as a result of these rulings will not unduly lengthen the tournement, undermine fan enthusiam or engender any problems with its television contract and revenue stream. The NCAA rejects and denounces all who say the officials have compromised their own credibility and likewise rejects the contention that the integrity of the tournement process has been undermined by these rulings. The NCAA is acting in the best interest of all concerned. The NCAA is absolutely certain that the fans and alumni of Duke, WKU, San Diego, Texas A&M, Marquette, Mississippi State, and Davidson will quickly get over any temporary ill will and will rally to the support of the teams who have now won their games in light of the fact that those games were, after all, essentially tied.

The Gods Have Spoken - Bettis and Harris Endorse Obama


No doubt, even if you are not from Pennsylvania, you have probably heard the names Jerome Bettis and Franco Harris. Two of the all-time greats in pro football, both members of Super Bowl winning Pittsburgh Steelers teams. But what does that have to do with presidential politics? In western Pennsylvania it means a whole lot.

Senator Bob Casey's endorsement of Obama yesterday brought a big boost to the Obama campaign's attempts to attract the white male vote in Pennsylvania. Casey has a big appeal in rural Pennsylvania, especially in the northeastern part of the state where Casey's hometown of Scranton is located.

Yesterday's endorsement of Obama by Jerome "The Bus" Bettis (yes folks, get ready for a whole new round of "bus" euphemisms) and Hall of Fame great Franco Harris now gives Obama a huge boost in western Pennsylvania. Bettis, a native of Detroit, is a local hero there as well, and I'm sure that his Michigan fan base is also paying attention (and we could add his fan base of Notre Dame, IN into the mix as well, but I digress).

In western PA, Steelers football is king, and where many may point to racial divides as being a problem for Obama, football has been the great eraser of those divisions. If you want any evidence of that, just walk into any Pittsburgh bar on game day.

Whatever benefit Casey may have brought in attracting the white male catholic vote, multiply that by ten if you want to gauge the impact of having the endorsement of two Pittsburgh Steeler Super Bowl champions on your side. The white male football fan demographic has just been added to the Pennsylvania primary mix.  

Keep in mind that western Pennsylvania is a dreary, depressing place for six months out of the year, that it's still 30 degrees, and that the northeast part of the state still has snow on the ground. Any opportunity to break the tedium and to have something new to discuss concerning Steelers football is always welcome.

For those of you who are political junkies who have no interest in sports, this may seem like a pointless discussion. But if you are a blue collar worker from western PA, your team has just been put into play in the off-season. If Obama was looking for someway to connect to the average working-class Joe in Pennsylvania, he has just succeeded in a huge way. Politicians may come around every few years making promises and then heading back to Washington, but around here Steelers football is a year-round way of life, and for many people, two of their gods have just spoken.

John McCain Prepares to Follow Karl Rove's Gameplan


In what now seems like the distant past, I dissected Karl Rove's Gameplan (in Newsweek) for the eventual Republican nominee.  At the time I was a Hillary Clinton supporter, but since have seen Barack Obama emerge as the better candidate.  However, the game plan for John McCain remains unchanged.  McCain is set to activate step one of the Rovian plan, "re-introduce himself to the American people". Read the full story here.  There are more steps pending.

Youth Surviving Subprime: Shady Lending Hits Home


Youth Surviving Subprime: Shady Lending Hits Home

The subprime crisis gives young homeowners a harsh education in predatory lending. When I heard about the subprime mortgage crisis, it sounded eerily similar to the shady credit card lending practices found on most college campuses. I imagined yet another financial bubble floating down from Wall Street, filled with the gelatinous slime of adjustable interest rates; one that would inevitably pop somewhere over Poor People, U.S.A., blanketing the unsuspecting citizens below.

I knew the country's economic situation was bad, and as usual, the poor would suffer the most. However, I did not foresee the trickle-down effect of the subprime fiasco where even my peers -- recent college graduates and first time homeowners -- would feel the sting from predatory lenders.

"They go after young adults because they know we have to start building our credit and that we need money," says 25-year-old Vanessa Valenzuela from Norwalk, California. She and her husband went bankrupt after dealing with predatory lenders.

College Loan Connection

But Vanessa and her husband aren't alone. Predatory subprime lenders prey on the ignorance of inexperienced homeowners, especially young couples, who know little about the dangers of adjustable interest rates.

Andrew Lockwood and Peter Ratzan are co-owners of College Planning Specialists in Florida, and post debt-related advice on their website, College Planning Advice. They instruct families on how they can send the kids to school without the family going broke, and are also deeply aware of the connection between the subprime crisis and student debt.

"Unfortunately, most parents and college-bound students do not realize that student borrowers are not-so-distant cousins to headline-making borrowers with subprime mortgages," Lockwood points out. "In fact, many experts believe that the student loan market is poised to experience the devastation currently affecting the subprime mortgage industry."

This consensus comes after bond-rating agencies noticed an increase in defaults on private educational loans, and the U.S. Department of Education reported that nearly 12 percent of all federal loans due in 2001 are already in default. Experts worry that millions of college grads have borrowed too much in loans, which creates parallels to the subprime crisis when students, like homeowners, inevitably default on overwhelming debt.

"The main culprit behind the subprime crisis are adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) resetting to high interest rates," Lockwood writes. Inexperienced borrowers, like Vanessa and other young people, are particularly vulnerable to ARMs because they don't understand that their interest rate can wildly fluctuate throughout their contract. High interest rates prevent families from making payments on time and result in defaults, foreclosures, and ruined credit.

Like credit card companies, mortgage companies tempt clients with low starter rates. However, when the ARMs shoot upward, families begin to struggle to pay their monthly bills.

With terms like ARMs, subprime, and housing bubble, it's easy to forget that there's a human price paid in the mortgage fiasco. Predatory lenders are taking advantage of real families.

Planning Pays Off

NeighborWorks America, an organization that creates opportunities for people to live in affordable homes, posts testimonials on their website from families who have experienced foreclosure because of the subprime crisis. One such story is about Denise and Lenwood Shaver, a young couple from Columbus, Ohio.

The Shavers were thrilled to have bought their first home, a perfect place for the young couple to start their life together. Denise, a financial services tax specialist for BMW corporate headquarters, also taught history at a local community college in between working to complete her Master's thesis. Her husband, Lenwood, cared for developmentally disabled adults.

Denise gave birth to their first child within months of moving into their new home, and then a second child 11 months later. "We don't have a strong support system," Denise told NeighborWorks. "No parents nearby. For the first child, I was able to work around our schedules because Lenwood worked second shift. He would watch the baby during the day, and I'd watch the baby during the evening. When I was pregnant again, they weren't as flexible with my schedule. They wouldn't allow me to leave early enough for Lenwood to get to work on time."

A tight budget and busy work schedule caused a lot of stress in their home. At first, they fell only a little behind on their bills, but their debt accumulated over time. "Without the additional $1,300 a month in take-home pay," Denise says, "we were hit hard."

What Denise did next was the smartest avenue for anyone worried about the possibility of foreclosure: she recognized her pattern of debt and sought assistance. Lockwood and Ratzen emphasize how important it is to act preemptively like Denise: "Plan early so you can avoid the consequences."

In Denise's case, asking for help possibly saved her family from bankruptcy. The Shavers contacted the Columbus Housing Partnership, a NeighborWorks organization, and a counselor helped them create a spending budget. Some careful planning helped the Shavers scrape by so they could make their monthly payments until Denise could get back to work after her pregnancy. While the Shavers were able to keep their home, not all families are so lucky.

Poor Evicted More

Foreclosure is a difficult time for any family, but it's particularly hard in communities of color. Two NeighborWorks studies (PDF): Mortgage Foreclosures in Atlanta: Patterns and Policy Issues and Mortgage Foreclosure Trends in Los Angeles show that foreclosures are most likely to happen in neighborhoods consisting primarily of minorities. The subprime crisis not only affects homeowners, but also renters in houses whose owners default on their mortgages.

One such renter, Adriana Diharce, 29, first learned of her foreclosure when she found an envelope taped to her front door. Adriana, her husband and their two young children would have to immediately move out of their California home. She tried to call their landlady, but the phone had been disconnected. Homeless, and unable to reclaim their deposit, she was understandably upset. "As a tenant, we have no rights, no deposit and nowhere to go."

Adriana's story is one of thousands of American families who lose their homes without ever missing a rent payment. They have few rights even though the homeowner is the one who defaulted on a payment, not the renters themselves.

Their situation is typical of the crisis' impact on communities of color where, according to an ACORN study, African American and Latino homeowners are more than three times as likely as whites to have a high-cost loan.

Once evicted, former tenants find they have few rights. Unless they live in a city with rent control and are covered by eviction regulations, they are at the mercy of state laws, which give evicted tenants limited recourse. And the laws don't look like they'll change any time soon.

Bills and Remedies

In late January, the California State Senate defeated a bill sponsored by Senator Don Perata (D) of Oakland that would have required banks to give 60 days notice to tenants in foreclosed properties. The bill would have also required lenders to provide homeowners with four months' notice before mortgage payments increase by 10 percent or more.

"For folks who have been paying their rent on a regular basis, to simply be evicted without cause because the owner has been unable to maintain their mortgage payment is a real problem," said Paul Leonard, director of the California office in Oakland for the Center for Responsible Lending."In an already flagging market, the idea that foreclosures displace renters without adequate notice creates a level of upheaval and distress that could be mitigated with more reasonable notice provisions."

In a classic example of adding insult to injury, the floundering Congressional bills offered as solutions to evicted families fuss with superficial details like the date of their eviction rather than bailouts. That's like asking a prisoner if he prefers being executed on Tuesday or Friday.

"Young couples are losing their first homes because they can't pay the mortgage. Parents are pulling their children out of college because they can't pay the bills," Senator Edward Kennedy wrote to President Bush in an open letter: "We need a simple, effective plan to stimulate the economy and also put money back in workers' pockets and give them the support they need to weather the storm."

But Kennedy and other Democrats have failed to introduce a detailed, comprehensive plan for what that support to "weather the storm" entails. Surely, it must be more than the $600 rebate check Bush is planning to mail to taxpayers.

Waiting for Solutions

The government needs to do more than issuing frivolous rebates to reverse what NYU professor Noureil Roubini calls "the worst housing bust ever." A good start would be to pass legislation that protects bankrupt tenants, even during foreclosure. I'm not talking about irresponsible borrowers. I'm talking about people that were deliberately misled by predatory lenders who offered wildly excessive ARMs, ones that low-income families have no chance of repaying.

And those pesky ARMs are definitely demon babies that need to be tossed out with the bathwater. Even the bureaucratic drones over at the House Financial Services Committee agree, and they've all managed to nod their heads in the same direction when asked if it was a good time to help maneuver borrowers out of their adjustable-rate mortgages.

Unfortunately, this agreement came in April 2007, and little has been done since then to help individuals facing eviction. Unless, of course, you count Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton squabbling over if it's fair to evict families from their homes after 90 days.

So if you are looking for deeper solutions, don't look to Washington. Politicians have been scrambling to protect the loan dealers rather than the victims of predatory lending. The government's big, shiny solution comes in the form of "Project Lifeline," a program that asks the mortgage lenders to (pretty, pretty please) wait 30 days to foreclose on houses.

Really? This is the best we can do? In a great country like America, no con artist, even one who happens to be a banker, should have the right to trick citizens into a scheme like predatory lending. Thirty days' notice isn't fair. In the case of the subprime mortgage crisis, the government must stop protecting the banks and Wall Street and start protecting American citizens.

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The Hillary Deathwatch is up on Slate


"In the tradition of Slate's Saddameter (gauging the likelihood of invading Iraq), the Clintometer (measuring the chances of a Lewinsky-related ousting), and the Gonzo-meter (charting the attorney general's demise), we bring you the Hillary Deathwatch, a daily update on Hillary Clinton's dwindling chances of winning the Democratic nomination."

http://www.slate.com/id/2187558/


From Slate.com:

"Hillary Clinton is as good as dead. This became the consensus over the past week, when the media awoke en masse to the dual reality that 1) Clinton can't close the pledged-delegate gap and 2) Obama has her beat in the popular vote. But the Clinton campaign shows no signs of slowing—she said herself she's prepared to compete for at least three more months. So the question now is not just "How dead is she?" but "When will she realize it?"



"She is having the worst case of cognitive dissonance in the history of modern politics."


Peggy Noonan's take on Senator Clinton's continued perserverence despite the lack of a path to a nomination is staggering (Wall Street Journal).  It's a great article, and it speaks to the petering out of her campaign.  It brings up a few points (my own, not Noonan's) worth noting that will ultimately end her pursuit of the nomination before the convention.  Here's the link.

http://online.wsj.com/article/declarations.html


Her money will run out.
Its hard to tell if she can continue to raise money.  With only 3 million at hand by the end of February, you have to wonder how much more she could raise in March - especially now that there are more endorsements for Obama, that her negative polling numbers are going up, that he has weathered the Wright storm, and that her surrogates are writing threatening letters.  

I've noticed that her campaign events now take on a much smaller feel.  They're not the bigger rallies we saw before, even as late as before the Ohio/Texas primaries.  Even if all her money wins her Pennsylvania, she has to win by 15 or more to make it worth while.  Then how much will she have for Indiana or North Carolina?

No matter how good her policies are or how staunch her supporters are, money is what is needed to fuel her comeback - and money is not what she has in abundance.

The media narrative will change soon.
The media has been fueling the race.  Lets face it, whichever side you are with, the media has favored the underdog.  Initially it was Obama.  Recently it was Clinton.  When the Obama negativity was riding high, they pivoted back to favoring Obama.  They love a tight fight, but only if they can keep a semblance of validity to their reporting.

The problem is that that validity is eroding.  In the face of the lack of a path to the nomination, the increasingly negative Clinton numbers, and the SDs starting to shift towards Obama, they can't necessarily argue that the race is still close.  While some will argue they are only seperated by 1.4% of the popular vote, 3.6% in RCP polling average, and 131 in delegates (after SDs figured in), this is after 85% of the nation has voted.  It would take a calamity this side of Spitzer to overcome that lead for Clinton.  The media knows this.  They also know that viewers will start to question the media bias if they continue to report a tight race, when there is none. 

(BTW, whoever was standing in for Olbermann yesterday did a horrible job.  Stalemate?  It's not by far.  More like she's got her King and Pawn and he's got his King, Knight, a Rook and 3 pawns headed her way.)

Also, we are starting to see more discussion, more than ever, of Clinton bowing out.  She is fielding questions daily now about whether or not she will bow out and when it will end.  Presumably, the media smell, see, taste the blood in the water.  On CNN, even Mark Halperin last night said that the media will quickly drive out a candidate the moment they sense that candidate won't make it:
I think if you look at reporters and their questions, not every reporter, but some reporters have written explicitly, some opinion columnists have written explicitly that she should get out of the race. She is asked now every day. Anytime anybody suggests it, it gets big headlines.

I think we're of two minds. We like this story; bigger than O.J. and Anna Nicole combined for people like you. But people more often are trying to drive her from the race. It's not really an anti-Clinton thing, although there's a lot of that. It's really reporters always want to drive people who lose out of the race. It's just what we do.

It happened to every candidate who is already out of this race. The minute there's blood in the water, the question they're asked everyday over and over is, when are you getting out of the race, why aren't you getting out of the race, shouldn't you get out of the race? So and so says you should get out.


Why do that if they want ratings?  It makes for a reportable story.   Clinton stays in the race despite this.  Clinton won't give up even though Senator so and so says this.  Once you get it in the head of people that she is fighting a losing battle, support and money start to erode.  Its happened to every candidate that's dropped out.  Its happening now.  The ending of the Clinton era is a story in itself, and the media will run with it.

Obama will pivot towards McCain.
This last point is predictive and based more upon my own wishes, than actual fact.  But it seems that he is pulling himself out of the kitchen sink battle.  Let's be clear on this - Clinton started the negative campaigning.  Somehow, I keep hearing people saying both are getting to negative.  That's interesting given the fact that when Obama was taking the high road, everyone said he wasn't a fighter.  When he started fighting, everyone says he being negative.  Granted, his campaign is not as clean as free of dirty politics as he wishes it to be.  But certainly, its not comparable to the scorched earth tactic Clinton has taken.

But this is where Obama can take advantage of the situation.  He needs to come out and say, "Look, we can fight all we want, but I need to start fighting with McCain if no one else will, if not for me, for the sake of the party in November."  At the same time, he needs to say, "This does not mean I presume to the nominee, far from it I will continue campaigning to win the hearts and votes of Democrats through the nation - its just that we need to keep or focus on what is important - keeping Bush III from the White House."  

When Obama starts down this road, the media will increasingly focus on McCain versus Obama.  Ultimately, with little cash in hand, with the media increasingly focusing on her demise, and the Obama vs. McCain title bout coming in to focus, there can be no way that Clinton can legitimately argue for her continued campaign.  It would be then be it, allowing us to pivot to healing the party.

It's the environment, stupid


As the primary season nears its end, I'm finding myself increasingly disappointed that environmental issues haven't been more prominent in the candidates' discussions. I understand why this is. Environmental problems rarely confront us with the immediacy and intensity of economic or security problems. Environmental degradation progresses slowly and its effects are so gradual that they often go unnoticed. Like the proverbial frog in a stovepot, we never notice the water boil around us because the heating is so gradual. Because environmental issues don't have the same immediacy in most people's minds as other issues, they aren't good campaign topics. They simply don't raise fears and emotions like the housing collapse or the latest terrorist attack. So politicians tend to ignore them.

Still, if you examine all the actual and potential threats to our society now and in the future, none comes close in seriousness to the environmental threat. The housing market will eventually recover. Terrorism, while frightening when it occurs, remains relatively rare. The war in Iraq is an awful and costly disaster, but it too will run its course as all wars do.

Environmental problems, however, seem both potentially devastating and exceptionally intractable.  If we don't significantly change the direction in which we are headed we could face all of the following problems:

  • Severe shortages of clean water


  • Severely depleted soils, with resulting shortages of food


  • A proliferation of toxins in the environment and in our bodies that interfere with the healthy mental and physical development of our children and potentially cause cancers and other fatal diseases in adults


  • Vast areas of land devoted to holding non-degradable, often toxic waste and therefore removed from more productive uses like agriculture or even housing 


  • The loss of agricultural land and potentially whole ecosystems necessary for the production of food


I haven't even mentioned the potential problems resulting from global warming--an issue that has, to some degree, captured the imagination of the public, even if, in many ways, it is one of our smaller envornmental problems. All of these enviornmental problems when taken together could cause a complete collapse of the current social structure accompanied by terrifying violence as people compete for scarce food, water, and energy resources in an environment too degraded to support a large human population.

Because environmental problems tend not to raise immediate emotions, however, there is a serious concern that they will go unaddressed unless our politicians demonstrate the foresight and leadership necessary to bring environmental issues to the forefront. We need the same kind of leadership on environmental issues that we saw back in the 1960s around the space program. While environmental problems are frightening, we must understand that dwelling solely on the threats will only result in paralysis. Instead, leaders must adopt the same "can-do" attitude Americans had with the Apollo program. We need to believe we can solve environmental problems--and we need to begin the process of solving those problems with the same energy, optimism, and sense of mission and urgency that we once brought to the challenge of landing on the moon. Ultimately such an effort could be the path to renewing American technological leadership and thereby restoring our economic vitality. Better yet, the new environmental technologies would provide real benefits to people around the world--helping America to restore its image as an admirable nation that can lead in peacetime and not just in war.

The pillars of this environmental "Apollo program" would, I think, be threefold:


  •  A program to preserve pre-industrial ecosystems. This would include protecting open space, natural habitats, healthy soil, and biological diversity. 


  • A program to remove toxins and non-degradable synthetic chemicals from the environment. This would require addressing the types of products we develop, the processes for developing those products, and the approach to disposing of those products.


  • A  program to seek sustainable ways of producing and maintaining the basic resources we need for life: food, clean water, energy, natural materials, and medicine.


  • Simply put, we need to look at our entire relationship with the environment and think about what and how we need to change to ensure that we can sustain a healthy population for centuries to come. This is the most significant challenge of our generation and the most important and necessary initiative we could possibly undertake.  And yet, it hardly gets a mention in the campaigns of our Presidential candidates.  We need to change that.  And we need to change it fast.

    Obama? Clinton? McCain?  Which one of you is ready to rise to the challenge?

Trunkless legs in the sand


"My name is Ozymandias, king of kings:
Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!" -Shelley (1818)

Discussions of how the battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will play out, the relative effects of black skin and female gender, whether particular messages and talking points each side employs will prove effective, what the Clintons will try after throwing the kitchen sink and making Tonya Harding their role model, whether Obama will escape from the taint of his discredited former pastor, and so on make for entertaining television and blogging.  A fight is going on and it does pit candidates whose obvious differences and similarities are being analyzed to death.  Whether you watch Fox, CNN or MSNBC and whether you read and comment on HuffPo, the Caucus, or the WSJ, smart and knowledgeable pundits are filling the screens and pages with their clever observations and bold predictions; for, isn’t that how they make their names (if not the big bucks)?  However, to frame the Democratic presidential primary race as a fight between two ambitious political leaders with contrasting personalities, demographics, and ethics is to miss the real story.  

The real story is about what those leaders are leading.  We could use the language of Thomas Kuhn and say that what we are seeing is a paradigm shift; but, the real story is more than just that.   We are not only observing but taking part in a critical transition in the evolution of our political culture, the ongoing experiment in living democracy set in motion by such as Thomas Jefferson, John Adams and Ben Franklin and still unfolding as each of us plays our small part.  While we write and talk and blog away, suffering such leaders as Dick, W, and Condy, an old system of political power that has outlived its usefulness is dying; and, a new dynamic structure is in the process of supplanting it.  The demise of the old model is certain regardless of the last ditch, fight-to-the-death by the old-timers of the Clinton campaign, a mortal effort to win one last time for the traditional political game.  The Old Guard senses that this is their last stand and they might as well have the pipes play Garryowen and die with their boots on.  

http://www.us7thcavalry.com/legend.htm

Consider Ozymandias, the historic Pharaoh Ramesses II the Great, who won battle after battle, war after war, living for 90 years until his demise in 1213 BCE.  No matter how many armies the Pharaoh defeated, how many people he subjugated, how many monuments he caused to be built, how many chariots and goats and bolts of purple cloth he amassed, his death was inevitable and no one could stop it from happening.

Hillary Clinton is merely the last of the Pharaohs, the post-Vietnam Democrats, a breed of deal makers funded by wealthy fat cat liberals, of amoral manipulaters and spin doctors who got people to vote for them or against the opponent by creating illusions and activating irrational psychological states, of ear-mark grubbing scavengers who traded favors for votes.  As they die off, they are being replaced by leaders who will surf in on a wave of wired in decision-makers, millions of whom can be mobilized in minutes to contribute large and small sums of money and to fire off emails and to assault the blogs to let their elected representatives know what laws they want enacted and what policies they want to see scuttled.  These are people who think for themelves, who perform their own due diligence, who don't need to reduce a complex reality to narrow categories such as "liberals" and "conservatives," who are loyal to reason and principle, not to fallible individuals.

The great Democrats of our time are placing their bets and lining up with their horse:  Bill Nelson, Barbara Boxer, Walter Mondale, and John Murtha cuing up behind the Clintons; Ted Kennedy, John Kerrey, Chris Dodd, and Bill Richardson taking Obama’s back.  In a great irony, it happens that Hillary Clinton is a woman and Barack Obama has an African father, dark skin, an Arabic name, and an eccentric former pastor.  These incidentals distract us from the truth:  that Sen. Obama is only the first in a line of new leaders who will assume office as the memories of the old politics take their place in the history books, the public squares, and the museums that future archaeologists, scholars, and tourists will ponder and admire.  His skin-tone and gender are anything but the real story.

Note:  A previous version was posted on Daily Kos (Sundiata's diary)

It's Official, Ralph Nader Gets Off On Democrats Losing


Here <a href="http://www.thepersonalispolitical.com/2008/02/i-dont-know-how-to-put-this-ralph-nader.html">I just thought Ralph Nader was a dumbass who wasn't aware of the consequences of his actions</a> (or just didn't care). <a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0308/Whos_got_her_back.html">Turns out</a>, he gets his jollies off of watching the Democrats go down in a ball of flames:
<blockquote>
Nader has released a statement reacting to <a href="http://www.thepersonalispolitical.com/2008/03/senator-leahy-to-hillary-withdraw-and.html">comments by Sen. Patrick Leahy</a> (D-Vt.) suggesting an apparently insurmountable lead by Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.):

"Senator Clinton:

"Just read where Senator Patrick Leahy is calling on you to drop out of the Presidential race. Believe me.

I know something about this. Here’s my advice: Don’t listen to people when they tell you not to run anymore. That’s just political bigotry.

"Listen to your own inner citizen First Amendment voice. This is America. Just like every other citizen, you have a right to run. Whenever you like. For as long as you like.

"It’s up to you, Hillary. Just tell them — It’s democracy. Get used to it.

"Yours truly, Ralph Nader"
</blockquote>
Isn't that sweet? The ultimate loser, no chance in hell of winning candidate has become the spiritual mentor of the next up in coming loser, no chance in hell of winning candidate.
<blockquote>
"Listen Hillary, even though there is no way you can win without hijacking the democratic process and disenfranchising hundreds of thousands, if not a million voters, and even though you staying in this race is only helping the Republicans get yet another turn at the White House, you go girl!  You don't have to drop out if you want to be a spoiler, look at me! If you want to destroy the Democratic Party's chances in November, you go right ahead! I did, and I f**kin' loved it!"
</blockquote>
Wonderful. It looks like she is in great company. They should join a "We like to screw the Democratic Party out of spite" Club. They could do bake sales and earn badges.

<I>You can check out my full blog here: The Personal Is Political</I>

Tax Policy Favors Investors Over Wage Earners


Live, From Hazleton, Pennsylvania: It's Alan Keyes!!


Alan Keyes informed supporters this week he is leaving the GOP and will join the Constitution Party to campaign for the presidential nomination at its national convention on April 23.  He will be holding a press conference in Hazleton, Pennsylvania on April 15 to officially announce his intentions.   For those of us entertained by the unstoppable blowhard's shenanigans and unintended witticisms, this is great news.  We can look forward especially for the Keyester to make an amusing nuisance of himself in the Fall when he tries to participate in the Republicrat debates (he may try to get himself arrested for trespassing at a debate which happened in 1996 the first time he ran for president).   For John McCain he'll have to sweat waiting to see what reactionary bible-thumpers like James Dobson will do.  The latter has said he'll never support McCain, so Keyes might be his only alternative.  It's a sure bet some of the "values voters", the Taliban wing of the GOP, may desert McCain for Keyes at the ballot box in enough states like Florida where the final result may hinge on just a few hundred votes.

A Question for Hillary Supporters


If the situation were reversed -- if Hillary had 150 or so more pledged delegates than Obama, so that Obama couldn't catch her except by getting the super-delegates to overturn the popular decision -- how hard do you think Bill and Hillary would be working to get Obama to drop out of the race? How loud would the din be clamoring for him to get out?

You may give your answer in gigadecibels.

Chuck Hagel For Barack Obama? - Charlie Rose


Did you see Charlie Rose’s interview of Senator Chuck Hagel (R) last night? He seems to be very impressed with Senator Barack Obama. When asked by Charlie if he would endorse him, Hagel first said something like, “I don’t know….I might” Rose immediately said, “Do you realize what you just said?” Hagel quickly changed his comment to include that he would want to talk to John (McCain) first, then Obama to see where they were headed and then make a decision. It was only after Rose said, “And Senator Clinton too”, that Hagel said something like, yes, if she is the nominee of course. When Charlie Rose pressed Hagel to tell him who he thought had the best skill to ‘Bring people together’in Washington, Hagel said, Barack Obama. His whole interview seem to be saying the same thing that Obama’s been saying all during his own campaign, that now is the time to bring Americans together to get things done. This is a defining moment in our history. I’m betting if Obama plays his card right, Chuck Hagel, a Republican, just might end up endorsing him for President. This would be very good. Chuck opposed the war in Iraq also and he disagreed with the Bush administration on several of their foreign policy maneuvers.

Casey and PA Catholic Men


My girlfriend grew up an hour outside Pittsburgh, where her parents still live. Her dad, a 60-year-old Orthodox Catholic, retired coal miner, and all around Great Guy, is an Obama supporter. At least, that's what he's told her.

Will Dad vote Obama, or will he get in the voting booth and decide to pull the lever for Hillary? I think a lot of Catholic white men from the Rust Belt are scared to vote for Obama because of his youth, inexperience,  and race. I'm not going to tell you how much those factors are weighted, but let's assume they are all factors.

How to win these men? Someone like Casey has to convinve them it's okay to vote for Obama, he'll be better than Hillary or McCain on their issues, he won't make a bnig deal of abortion. Oh yeah, abortion is huge. Maybe Hillary's pro-choice credentials would hurt her if she weren't going up against Obama--perceived as more liberal than she is.

We'll find out in about three weeks, if Hillary's army of Catholic men can be persuaded to switch sides to Obama.

Ditch the Commander in Chief definition, please!!


Once again Democrats are letting Republican define the parameters of the playing field. Until GW Bush slunk into office presidents called themselves by the title of President not commander-in-chief. Republicans love this term as it is  macho and warlike. It also allowed them to abuse power because they want to continuously reinforce the idea that we are at war and in a time of war any abuse of executive should be tolerated.
 Article II of the Constitution defines the role of the Executive. (Note that Congressional powers are given first consideration being found in Article I. ) It is only in Section II of Article II that the president's C in C role is defined. It is not the president's principle job! 
Hillary likes to push the C in C meme because she also wants to appear tough and war-ready. Obama needs to make the case that a president is more than merely the C in C. A president needs a broad range of skills to be effective. He or she needs to lead the country in all its aspects not just military adventures. The President must define and inspire the direction we should go as a country, to define our economic policies, needs, and goals. He needs to be our chief diplomate and interface effectively with world leaders. He needs intelligence, wisdom, and a first class temperament. (We only occasionally find all these skill in our candidates for the top office.) When we define the presidency this way McCain comes up very very short but define it the way Republicans like to do and Hillary is chosing to do by even calling for an economic C in C, we amplify the supposed strength of McCain. 
We are about to elect a President to lead our county as much in peace as in war. If his only skill is as a military commander, a perception the public wrongly has of McCain since he never was one, we will watch the further decline of this great nation. McCain lacks diplomatic skills, admits he knows nothing about economic issues, has a belligerent warlike personality, and is somewhere to the right of Bush on social issues. Democrats need to call for a PRESIDENT to be elected and make the American public realize that is what we need not some warmonger fixated on being the new Commander in Chief.
 

Ouy of the Weeds: 2024


The number 2024 is the most crucial fact in this race.

It seems that somewhere between the way our nominating system is designed, and the expressed intentions of voters to date, no one is going to earn that number in automatic delegates. I want to stress that point: Neither Obama nor Clinton is going to get there by earned delegates alone. People might differ about exactly how it will go, but my wildest possible estimate in Obama's favor gets him to maybe 2000, tops. To get even to there requires that he win essentially every remaining contest, with very large wins in several states.

Obviously, Sen. Clinton's prospects aren't even as good as that. The best I can ballpark for her is about 1800 in automatic delegates, by an equally unlikely scenario.

So what to do?  Call the game at the end of the 3td quarter, since the trailing team can expect no better outcome than sudden-death overtime? Play it all the way out, no matter what?

Here's my best guess to settle it: Play on, and be prepared to adjust as circumstances warrant.
 
Our goal SHOULD be to field the best November candidate, in terms of the most current available data. That may or may not be the same candidate who looked better in March (and arguably may have gained a small lead under less informed conditions). Depending upon how things actually go, we may know all we need to know on April 22nd. If not, there are several key primaries between then and about May 20th.

It seems likely to me that by then, we will have settled the main remaining question: Has Sen. Obama's bubble sort of busted, and has prevailing sentiment among actual VOTERS in this race shifted, or not?
 
As the answer to that becomes more clear, what to do next becomes more clear as well. I think to say that we "have" to do this, or "must" do that, NOW, is premature.

Why I like Barack Obama more than Hillary Clinton


There are a number of reasons, including that I think he is more likely to beat McCain, and I think his style is more suitable for a president.  The most important thing of all, though, may well go back to something Molly Ivins used to say: "You got to dance with them what brung you."

Both campaigns have raised huge amounts of money.  Both have some large contributors, but Obama has far more small contributors.  If politicians are beholden to their contributors—and I for one do not doubt Ivins' words—then Obama will have more "ordinary people" both to answer to, and to speak for.

Bernanke's Wall Street Welfare


This is a pretty good take on "Bernanke's Wall Street Welfare"

"morally, it just burns me up to think that Bush gave these same guys not one but two trillion dollar tax cuts just a few years ago, then they made billions pumping up this market and luring millions into loans that they couldn't afford based on radically inflated house values (incidentally pricing out all the most foolhardy), and now that the inexorable fall comes, well, the taxpayer must pay or the nation will crumble."

Bosnia Soldier Confirms Clinton Story


"Actually Mrs. Clinton was too modest. I was there and saw it all. When Mrs. Clinton got off the plane the tarmac came under mortar and machine gun fire. I was blown off my tank and exposed to enemy fire. Mrs. Clinton without regard to her own safety dragged me to safety, jumped on the tank and opened fire, killing 50 of the enemy." Soon a suicide bomber appeared, but Mrs. Clinton stopped the guards from opening fire. "She talked to the man in his own language and got him [to] surrender. She found that he had suffered terribly as a result of policies of George Bush. She defused the bomb vest herself." Then she turned to his wounds. "She stopped my bleeding and saved my life. Chelsea donated the blood."

Platform Shoes


I don’t know about you, but I was always under the impression that, in a tight general election, it always comes down to one thing: the platform.

Republicans v Democrats.  Right v Left. Conservative v Liberal. Trickle Down v Grass Roots.  Pro-life v Pro-choice.  Pro-corporations v We The People Need Some Money, Like Now! (formerly known as Small Government v Big Government).  Fight Wars v End Wars.

*Free Bonus!!**      Add your own here: ____________ v ____________.

And sure, it also comes down to personalities, even appearances. But, in the end, if the Democratic nominee quacks like a Democrat, and the Republican nominee quacks like a Republican, it’s the platform, stupid.

This year, we have a choice between John McCain, who represents all of the right wing stances I list above to the left of the ‘v’, and either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton, who represent all of the left wing stances I list above to the right of the ‘v’.

Oh, wait.

“D’oh!!”

Okay, so we’re left with McCain v Obama, probably.

And there they are, the two of them, together on a stage in some debate (hosted by Tim Russert or Wolf Blitzer, no doubt -- when I’d rather really see it be Jon Stewart and Rachel Maddow, myself)….there they stand together on stage, on our TV sets, side by side. We all know how that worked out for Richard Nixon v John Kennedy, so….

It all comes down to the platform.

So now tell me:  How well is McCain gonna walk in those platform shoes?

An Open Letter to Fake Sinbad:


Fake Sinbad,

I don't doubt your sincerity in running for president, and I don't mind that you've vacillated in your choice of running mates.  I know that Sinbad loves America, and wants to lead America forward.  I know that Sinbad cares about the children, and a better future, and the environment.  I know that Sinbad can handle a corkscrew landing, and I know that Sinbad will protect us all from sniper fire when we're in  Bosnia.  And most importantly, I know that Sinbad wants to help us all devise the correct policy on whether we should eat here or at the next place, where there might be sushi.

We don't need to know whether Sinbad will tell us the truth or not - he's already exposed one of the most powerful women in America as a liar, and that takes guts.  We don't need to know whether Sinbad passes a CiC test - he's proven that in <a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/sinbad-will-not-pipe-down.php"> Kosovo. </a> And we don't need to know
whether Sinbad will improve our image abroad - he's proven that with his Hammerpants.

Fake Sinbad, what we need to know, what America needs to know, is the anwer to a very important question.  Or, more precisely, two questions.  They are questions that have been asked about politicians in the past, by both the media and ordinary people.  They are questions that have been asked about Barack Obama.  America needs to know whether you are black enough.  Sinbad, are you black enough?

Are you black enough to be taken credibly by the African American community?  Have you proven that you truly represent this constituency?  Would Tavis Smiley invite you on his show and treat you as if you had credibility?

America also needs to know whether or not you are too black.  Sinbad, are you too black?

Are you an Al Sharpton, a Jesse Jackson?  Are you even a David Paterson?  Is America really ready for an election season with not 1 but 2 viable black candidates for president?

In short, will you be able to unite both white America and black America under your banner?

I hope you'll respond thoughtfully on these questions.  I also hope I haven't frayed any nerves with my bluntness.  After the seminal speech by Barack Obama a couple of weeks ago, it is a good time to be talking about race.  Since you're running, I think it's only fair for America to know if and how you intend to play the race card.

(No offense intended to anyone of any race.  Just some election satire.  I mean, sheesh, can you believe they bothered Barack Obama with inanities like this??)

Condition under which I support both Democratic candidates staying in the race until convention


File under: alternate reality, never happening, wishful thinking, and disappointment

There may still be time for this, but pigs are more likely to evolve in the avian tradition.

Imagine if Obama and Clinton had never campaigned against each other, but instead campaigned for Democratic ideals, and against Republicans. If hounded for salacious commentary about each other by the press, they could blush and demure politely:

"Gosh, you know, we do have substantive policy differences of which our supporters are well aware. We trust the judgment of the people, and think the electorate will choose who they want to lead the country. On the most important of issues, however, we are in agreement. We stand together in our rejection of the malignant policies of the Bush White House, which our opponents endorse nearly wholesale."

Just picture it, the front-running candidates tag-teaming and high-fiving as they execute a ballsy clothesline maneuver on McCain!

While I realize the nature of the internet works against me here, I have a request. If you reply to this, don't reference either Democratic candidate. Instead, list a reason not to vote for McCain. Here, I'll get you started:

- Myopic vision of Iraq that would lead to further needless deaths of America's bravest.

Does Hillary Want the Supreme Court to Decide Race?


Last year Hillary signed a statement agreeing to not allow Michigan and Florida delegates to be seated in August.  Only after Hillary took a look at her math did she decide she ‘changed her mind’ and now wants to seat those delegates.

She’s out there demanding they be seated.  She claims the voters in those States will be disenfranchised if their delegates aren’t counted.  Barack Obama says he'll follow the rules of the DNC.

Meanwhile, her campaign has been pushing the idea that Super delegates should ignore what the voters say and vote for who they think will win in November. 

Recently she’s been pushing the idea that even ‘elected’ delegates have a right to override the Will of the voters in their States.

At the same time, Hillary’s camp is pushing the idea that if she wins the popular vote, that proves she deserves the nomination.  As some of you might know, the nominee is chosen by the person to reach total of 2024 delegates.  The nominee is ‘not’ chosen by popular vote.  The rules say ‘delegates’ decide the winner. 

Some of you might say, “Connie, you must be one of those that took the side of George W. Bush in 2000 down in Florida, saying it was the ‘delegate’ count that made the winner”.  No, actually it was the Supreme Court that decided the winner.

That fact brings me back to the confusion Hillary is causing.  On one hand she wants ‘YOUR VOTE TO COUNT’;  but on the other hand, she wants the ‘Super and elected Delegates’ to override YOUR vote.

If the Supers and Elected delegates override the Voter’s Will --- isn’t that the same as having the Supreme Court decide who wins?

Clinton's Tax Returns


Assuming they will ever be released, and at this point I find it doubtful, what do you predict the story to be over the Clinton's tax returns?

Here are some ideas but please add more:

1. Foreign money that had been previously unknown.

2. She only releases 2007 and questions are raised about pre 2007

3. Ties to Lobby firms that had been under appreciated.

4. ???

How To Weather the Next Three Months


Okay, we all know that Hillary is in to win.  We all know that Dean said we have at least until the end of June before this is over.

So why not try to all become friends? 

Okay, forget that idea. 

Why don't the Obama supporters, then, just get IDIOTIC??

From now until June, let's just play nice (like Hillary wants us to) and cheer her on while she loses?

Every time her campaign says something that gets us angry, let's swallow our pride and comment:  "This is EXCELLENT NEWS!!  FOR HILLARY!!!!" the way that Idiotic has been doing for months now?

That will make the Hillary supporters happy, and will help us keep our sanity.

Deal??

Clinton Told The Truth!


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHVEDq6RVXc

Here is proof that Hillary's war story is true.  She did land under sniper fire in Bosnia, and she gave a good account of herself.  Let this put an end to unfounded accusations about her not remembering what really happened in Bosnia.  She remembered that landing all right.

Obama's Arrogance


If one is going to make the intellectually lazy claim that Obama is "arrogant" and that it's his "arrogance" standing between Hillary Clinton and her rightful place on the Democratic presidential ticket, I suggest you take a long, close look at the glass house from within which you're rock-lobbing. There are a few different ways to parse this claim, none of which -- in the final analysis -- are very flattering to Clinton or her backers.

(1) Obama is "arrogant" because he's young/inexperienced/etc.

- On Principle: If HRC were so experienced, what's with the obvious and embarrassing resume puffing and/or outright distortion surrounding her putative experience? It's not sexist to observe that First Spouses typically don't accumulate the sort of experience demanded of a President. The day Laura Bush is sworn in as commander-in-chief is the day I put a bullet in my brain.

- On Tactics: Does HRC really think she can beat McCain on the merits of her "experience"? As others have observed, all the GOP need do is run clips of her duplicitous claims of combat experience against very real footage of McCain's military service to his country. This is a non-starter for Democrats (remember: we had an actual war hero running in '04 against a draft-dodging rich kid and it failed miserably), which is precisely why the post-Boomer Obama has so masterfully framed this election in terms of new-vs-old, judgment-vs-tenure, unity-vs-division, and hope-vs-fear. He doesn't need to posture as a wannabe war hero because he isn't one and doesn't claim to be one. He's a statesman and he's poised to make the credible case that the last thing this nation needs in a president at this point is a military man bound to a cold war conception of the world at large. Hillary's strategy, by comparison, has been to try to convince the electorate that she's not just as "tough" as the Republicans, but tougher. Evidently, she finds the strategy plausible enough to justify falsifying her actual experience, such as it is. If you think Kerry got a raw deal in '04, just wait until you see the shitstorm an HRC-McCain match-up would provoke. Shorter version: McCain is both more experienced and older than Clinton. POINT: McCain

(2) Related to but distinct from interpretation (1) is the idea that Obama is "arrogant" because he's less qualified/capable/savvy/intelligent than Clinton.

- On Principle: This claim is prima facie false. Obama has accomplished more than Clinton as a legislator, has out-performed her in a host of the standard social metrics of capability and intelligence (e.g., academic performance, for starters; but more importantly: the success and competence with which he has guided his primary campaign, the strongest piece of circumstantial evidence as to the depth of his abilities as an executive). This is not to deny Clinton's formidable intelligence and ability to master policy nuances, BUT:

- On Tactics: Even granting a draw on this point leaves Obama with the advantage for the (misleadingly) simple reason that while Clinton knows her shit, Obama both knows his shit and can get others motivated to do something about it, be it his peers in the legislature or his people on the ground. Nominating a candidate with the sort of negative numbers Hillary "enjoys" is a return to Dukakisizing the party and a terrible, terrible strategic move. For all the noise Clinton makes about being a "fighter" she seems oblivious to the idea that, tactically speaking, the strongest fighters are precisely the ones who don't have to rely on talk about their pugilistic prowess. Just words, indeed. Obama's cool-headed and even-handed diplomatic approach to matters is a net positive for progressives. He doesn't waste valuable time beating his chest, instead he motivates and mobilizes. The fightin' on this model, like much of his campaign, moves from the bottom up, not vice versa. Surely the party that championed the rights of labor can appreciate the wisdom of this approach.

(3) I hesitate to include this, lest I be accused of all manner of things, but: Obama is "arrogant" because, as a black male, he needs to shut up and wait his turn. Now, before anyone goes blowing this out of proportion or context, be clear: I'm not accusing all or even many, much less most of Clinton's supporters of acting on racist (or racially suspect) motives. But the tenor of the campaign at this point hasn't done much to assuage my fear that even the campaign itself wouldn't sink so low as to employ race-baiting against a fellow Democrat. When HRC backers start quoting Hannity and Scaife, I shudder for the future of the Democratic Party.

- On Principle: Unacceptable. No exceptions. We're better and bigger than this. If the only way for your Democratic candidate to win is to play to a portion of the electorate's irrational fears (be it race or religion or whatever), then it's game over: we've become what we set out to defeat.

- On Tactics: Do I really need to spell out why the Democratic Party can't afford to alienate its most consistently reliable electoral demographic to-date? Despite the ease with which the Clintons (behind the scenes) throw around the phrase "political suicide," that is precisely what we'd face in November if our candidate reached his or her position as a result of racial or religious insinuation. As far as I know.

Postscript: This post originated as a comment in another thread. I wanted to preserve it for the purpose of expanding and correcting it upon further reflection. I'm especially curious to see what other observers of this race make of this, admittedly skeletal, analysis.

Almost There


Think back -- when we first heard Obama speak so refreshingly and with such uncommon intellect, we hoped what he was saying would resonate beyond the oft maligned latte crowd, but did we believe it? I was skeptical. And look how far he's come.

We should fight. We should have the stomach for surrogates to call Clinton out. But we have to have believe that the country will again come to its senses through Obama's positivity. He is the best we have at reviving one of the most important, long forgotten duties of a public servant: being a good teacher.

Exclusive: Sundays NYT Asks--"The End of Republican America?


The cover story of this coming Sunday's New York Times Magazine asks the provocative question: "The End of Republican America?" The photo below it shows a red, inflatable elephant -- collapsed and leaking air.

"Karl Rove had a plan to realign American politics for generations.  Now GOP leaders are struggling to prevent another 1964," reads the rest of the cover tag.  The article was penned by Benjamin Wallace-Wells, who also writes for Rolling Stone.

Ken Mehlman, the former party chairman, says in the massive piece, "What is concerning is that we lost ground in every one of the highest-growth demographics" in 2006. "If there are Republicans out there who think that 2006 was a year that could be changed by a few votes in a few districts," he adds, "they need to wake up."

Much of the article examines the plight of Rep. Tom Cole of Oklahoma, who is in charge of turning around the GOP's fortunes.  But the article notes, "In their intimacy with the numbers, many Republican operatives now worry that crucial segments of the electorate are slipping away from them." For example, "Republicans had traditionally won the votes of independents; in 2006, they lost them by 18 percent... Suburban voters, long a Republican constituency, favored Democrats in 2006 for the first  time since 1992."

Says longtime GOP candidate/consultant Rich Bond:  "Tom was dealt an almost unwinnable hand."

Many more Republicans than Democrats are stepping down this year, making it almost impossible for the GOP to make gains, the article relates.  The influential Cook Political Report offers an even worse assessment, projecting that 12 of the 14 seats most likely to change hands now belong to Republicans. But Cole sees fully 75 seats in play and feels John McCain at top of ticket will help in many.

"Cole's strategy is not complicated," Wallace-Wells observes, "but it does contain an essential difficulty: at a moment when Washington is deeply unpopular, he wants his candidates to run as insurgents, but voters still identify Republcians with that they don't like about Washington."  

But Cole promises to  define  Nancy Pelosi as THE face of the Democrats as a party too liberal - too "San Francisco" -- for the country.

And the writer also notes:  "The perversity of Cole's position is that the consummate party man has arrived at precisely the moment when the party is eroding beneath him.  The problem is the money."  

The Democratic party has built an 8-1 advantage over the GOP's main apparatus. Comments House minority leader John Boehner on the party's fundraising: "It stinks."

Greg Mitchell's new book is So Wrong for So Long: How the Press, the Pundits -- and the President -- Failed on Iraq.  It features a preface by Bruce Springsteen and foreword by Joe Galloway, and has been hailed by  Bill Moyers and Glenn Greenwald, among others.  It was the featured selection in the TPM Book Club last week.

An Astounding Conversation...


I think I may have just seen one of the most impressive TV interviews of all time - Bill Moyers talking to Cory Booker, mayor of Newark, N.J. Booker segment is a few minutes into it, about 35 minutes or so. On PBS, of course.

Just when you think, 'wow', you have to again, and again.

I'm going to record this when it rebroadcasts in a few hours.

Just thought you might be interested, if you haven't seen it.

Truly apropos

WHEN HILLARY IS THE NOM


10) All the 529s will disband. Swift Boat Veterans will say, "We've looked and looked, but there's nothing there!"

 

9) Fox News will change its official slogan to WE REPORT…ON HOW AWESOME HILLARY IS.

 

8) She will reach out her hand to John McCain and say, "Oh, John, you have so much experience!" And John will say, "Oh, Hillary, you have so much experience." And Hillary will say, "Oh, John, you are ready to answer the phone at 3am!" And John will say, "Oh, Hillary, you can answer the phone at FOUR am!" And Hillary will say, "You're right, John, I can."

 

7) In Bosnia, the eight-year-old-girl will have revealed herself to be a sniper, after all.

 

6) The African-Americans, the youth vote, anyone who has ever had a latte, the red states, the caucus states will all say, "Oh, Hillary you scamp! We know you didn't mean those things you said about us. We are recognize you needed to marginalize us for the health of your campaign, and we understand you were just trying to save America from the black guy. Have our votes!"

 

5) Al Qaeda will disband in fear because Hillary is not afraid of phone-answering. They will don flag pins and hold their hand over their hearts during the national anthem and advocate a flag burning amendment and change all their middle names from 'Hussein' (because it’s a well known fact that every terrorist has the middle name 'Hussein') to 'America!'

 

4)  The 47% of the people who disapproved of her before the nomination process will say, "I see now that my dislike for Hillary was a result of my own personal failings," Liberals will praise how liberal she is, conservatives will see she is truly a conservative after all, and the working man will think, "The only one who can understand me is a Wellesley girl from Connecticut."

 

3) Bill Richardson will say, "Holy crap! I am Judas!"

 

2) All the wrongs ever done to womankind will be righted. Every woman above the age of 50 will get a footrub, and every man will turn to his wife and say, "Oh, honey, I'll watch the kids tonight. You rest."

 

1) Karl Rove will have a religious conversion and devote himself to saving puppies and orphans and digging old soda cans out of people's garbages for recycling. And he'll like it.

Obama, McCain, and Pokemon


I Am John McCain's Best Friend


I’ve been John McCain’s best friend and neighbor for—well, it’s been a long time.  Now I’ve heard through the grapevine (that they charge me $34 a month for, damn Mountain Bell, I’m on a fixed income!) that people here on this board don’t think highly of John McCain.

How can you not like John McCain?  Who are you gonna have for president, a woman?  What?  Hold the phone a second.  I’ll be right back.

Okay, somebody just told me who you’re gonna have for president if it’s not a woman.  I don’t even want to go there.

Instead, I’m just going to tell you a story about John Sidney McCain helping a friend in need.  Don’t laugh.  Men used to be named Sidney back in the day.  Now, where was I?  Oh yes, it was 1987 and I had just had a big fight with the wife over whether she should wear shoulder pads (I thought they made her look mannish, only men should wear shoulder pads, like in the NFL).  She kicked me out on my keister.  John McCain saw me weeping on the porch.  He came and put his arm around me and said “It’s okay old buddy, I’ll show you a good time.”  Then he went into his house and called his pal Charles Keating.

Charles Keating owned a bank called the Lincoln Financial Savings and Loan.  Chuck loved to party.  So me and Chuck and Sidney all got on Keating’s plane and flew to Las Vegas, Nevada.  We were having a great time except they kept giving me all this free whiskey because I’d been in the war.  Everybody there must have been in the war.  Anyway, I wound up down $10,000 at a roulette table before I knew it.  And they weren’t going to give the money back, neither.  Even though I was in the war.

So now I’m in worse shape than I was.  But Sidney says to Chuck that he should help me out and Mr. Keating says he’ll loan me the 10 grand and I never have to repay it!  I say, “Mr. Keating, how can your bank stay in business making loans that never get repaid?”  Chuck just smiles and says, “Because the loans are guaranteed by the government!”  And He and Sidney just laughed.  I tell you, it was like the end of It’s a Wonderful Life except that I threw up on a hooker.

We all got back on Chuck’s plane and went back to Arizona.  Chuck made me another loan so I could by the something nice for the missus.  And that was that.  We didn’t see much more of Chuck actually.  Whenever I’d bring him up, Sidney would get all red faced and angry.  But me and Sidney stayed close.  Sure do miss Chuck Keating, though. 

Good times.

Just wanted to share them.

The Mythic Clinton Narrative


There's something that I've been puzzling over for a bit now and, especially since it's been almost ten days since I've written anything here, I've decided that it's time to address it.  Somehow, the moment in the campaign seems right.  So, here goes.

The Clinton campaign has run with a narrative that I'm sure everyone is now very well-versed in.  This is, I hope, fortunate because I intend to fundamentally call it into question.  My impression is that the key word for her is "experience".  As we've seen in the last week, there's good reason to doubt this even when attempting to take her story at face value.  However, I would like to break this down into two key aspects: "toughness" and "wonkiness".

First, let me address "toughness".  Fellow blogger clearthinker has previously addressed a perspective on Clinton's status as a "fighter" that I would gladly link to if the site software permitted me to locate it.  Recently, destor23, a Clinton supporter, has also examined his own relationship with this perception.  Personally, I find this quality to be almost entirely subjective.  If I may paraphrase clearthinker, he proposed that Clinton is a fighter not in the sense that she is wiling to fight for things, but rather that she is willing to fight with people.  I would have to agree and I certainly see her as frequently and unnecessarily contentious for all of the wrong reasons (the current state of the campaign being a case in point), but again I think that this idea of "toughness" is hard to measure.  So, let us ask: In what way is she "tough"?

It seems a good starting to examine what political battles she has won.  As far as I can tell, the answer appears to be none.  She certainly did little if anything at WalMart to stop their trends toward anti-union and generally anti-labor policies.  As the First Lady, we know that she did not win the healthcare battle.  Of course, we can't really know how or why because she will not release the documentation.  Though I don't really believe her, if we take her at her word about NAFTA then we can say that she did not win this battle either.

What about as a Senator?  She's done little if anything from what I can tell to provide opposition to the Bush administration while in the Senate.  She certainly didn't oppose the Iraq war which is probably the single most important event during her tenure.  I've carefully looked over her Senate record at thomas.loc.gov and I see no legislation of any great significance that bears her name or indicates her involvement.  Certainly nothing that looks like a clear win on her part indicative of any kind of political "toughness".

So where does this perception come from?  It seems that at least part of it may be that she has been a frequent target of the right and for this reason some see her as a "survivor".  This may indeed be an indicator that she has thick skin, but it seems that desirable political toughness is shrewd and persevering to the end of accomplishment, not simply the toughness of a boxer's heavy bag or meat that has been left out too long.  I think there may be another reason for this perception, but I will address this shortly.

What about "wonkiness"?  The assertion that she is a master of policy is something that I frequently see and hear, but again I ask: Why?  Where is the evidence of this?  Perhaps there may be some evidence of this in the documentation of her pursuits in healthcare reform, but all that I really know is that she didn't get it done.  She won't let me examine what her specific proposals were and so I have no idea whether or not the policy specifics were well-crafted.  She may very well have been the instrument of her own failure for all I know.  Watching the way she has campaigned, this does not seem far-fetched to me.

Again, we come back to her Senate record.  Where is the legislation that would indicate a mastery of policy?  It simply isn't there.  I would expect that someone who is frequently regaled as the wonk's wonk would have perhaps gotten something done in this capacity while serving two consecutive terms in the Senate.

So I'll return to my question: Where does this perception come from?  I have one suggestion for an answer and I'll present it in the form of an anecdote.  Years ago, a friend of mine, who is a bit given to more fanciful flights of thought, told me with impressive certainty that the average person swallows seven spiders in their sleep during a lifetime.  Now, this struck me as incredibly odd and so I basically asked the same question that I'm asking now: How would anyone possible know this?  What evidence could exist for this?  How could one possibly devise a scientific experiment that would accurately measure such a claim?  Of course, it's simply an urban legend: Something that people think is true because they hear it repeated and something that people repeat because they think it is true.  It's a kind of circular logic that makes nonsense seem real, a reductio ad absurdum argument.

Of course, repetition is known to be a powerful tool for shaping perception.  This isn't lost on advertisers.  Many commercials rely simply on repetition and nothing more.  There's a great example of such an advertisement that is currently in rotation.  If you watch any television you've no doubt seen it, but I've linked to it here so that the uninitiated can witness it for themselves.

Listen to the ad: HeadOn, apply directly to the forehead.  HeadOn, apply directly to the forehead.  HeadOn, apply directly to the forehead.  Are you running out to the store yet?  Not so fast.  This is a marvelous piece of advertising.  Notice that not one single claim about the product's function is made.  You're simply told to apply it to your forehead over and over.  Now, here's the rub.  The reason for this is that it's simply a stick of wax.  As you can see here, it contains only two active ingredients in very small quantities.  One is a homeopathic 'remedy' with no scientifically verified indications and the other is actually a known carcinogen!  I especially enjoy that they inform you that this product is available without a prescription.  So it is with any product without any sort of active medical compound.

Aren't you glad you didn't apply this product to your forehead or apply your wallet to its purchase?

I sure am.  So, no, I will not apply HeadOn directly to my forehead and I will not simply accept that Clinton is tough or that she has a mastery of policy.  I want to see the evidence because I want to be sure that I'm not just rubbing wax on my forehead because someone told me to do so.

It may sound strange, but that's just how I roll.

An Open Letter to Pennsylvania Democrats


Please view and forward <a href="http://openletterpadems.blogspot.com/">this link</a>.

http://openletterpadems.blogspot.com/

Best Endorsement Yet?


Jerome Bettis and Franco Harris.  That's serious stuff in Steeler Country...
From the Pittsburgh Post Gazette blog:
"Sen. Barack Obama emerged from Soldiers and Sailors with Franco Harris and Jerome Bettis and a color-challenged version of the Terrible Towel. Mr. Obama waved overhead a blue towel emblazoned 'Here We Go America; Here We Go.' Cheering crowds that lined O'Hara Street waved back with their own copies of the towels that had been distributed by campaign aides. Mr. Obama held a football but didn't attempt to throw it, thus avoiding the risk of an embarrassing YouTube video. Then the Bus got on the bus along with the candidate."

Kitchen Sink


I found this snippet from the Clinton website illuminating to those who want to whitewash all of Sen. Obama's actions.

http://blog.hillaryclinton.com/blog/main/2008/03/24/152617

Email from Rev. John H. Thomas, of UCC


I just thought I'd share the email I received for the Rev. John H. Thomas, President of the United Church of Christ.  The UCC is planning to purchase a full-page ad in the NYT--in part to describe who we are, and in part to defend and stand together with the Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago.

I'm so proud of the UCC.

Dear Laura Jordan,

 Home: Newsletter

Let's buy a full-page ad!

Dear Laura,

We want to place a full-page ad in The New York Times - perhaps as early as next Wednesday - to proclaim the truth about who we are as the United Church of Christ. Will you help make this a reality?

One week ago, I received a call from the Rev. Tom Stiers of Riverside Church in Manhattan, who said his congregation was sending a check for $6,000 for the purpose of supporting the purchase of a prominent, full-page ad. He encouraged us to invite others to join this effort.

The vision for the ad is to speak proactively to the breadth and diversity of our denomination, while also acknowledging the hurt that many in our country have experienced in recent weeks, including the members of Trinity UCC in Chicago.

This will be an occasion to explain the uniqueness of our polity, to acknowledge the freedom of our pulpits, and to affirm the rights of our members to agree or disagree in love. The statement will speak to our oneness in Christ, who strengthens us to be agents of justice, peace and reconciliation.

Of course, the cost will be significant, perhaps in excess of $120,000. That's a lot of money. But the potential positive impact of such a statement is worth much, much more.

People are looking at the UCC like they never have before, and that's why it's critical that we respond proactively and tell our church's story. Otherwise, we will let others continue to define us in narrow and distorted ways.

We have a few days to raise a significant amount of money. Can we count on your support?


The Rev. John H. Thomas
General Minister and President
United Church of Christ

P.S. Click here for more information about how to give online or to send your check by U.S. mail

Sen. Obama Says Rev. Wright Apologized; Did We Miss It? I Guess Not. More Trouble.


 Sen. Obama's intereview with Barbara Walters is looking worse and worse. I thought his statement that he would have left the church but for Wright's retirement and apology was bad because (1) it contradicted his previous statement about how he couldn't abandon Wright/church/Black community; and (2) it again raises the question about why he didn't speak out in opposition to the older generation's views.

But, the apology reference kinda got lost in the I-woulda-left remark, and it vaguely bothered me. Now, the AP has explained why - there hasn't been any apologetic statement from Rev. Wright (not that he necessarily needs to apologize for his beliefs). And, the Obama camp is explaining that the Senator was talking HYPOTHETICALLY.

Oh, please. Here's the statement, and the article: "Had the reverend not retired and had he not acknowledged that what he had said had deeply offended people and were inappropriate and mischaracterized what I believe is the greatness of this country, for all its flaws, then I wouldn't have felt comfortable staying there at the church," http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080328/ap_on_el_pr/obama_wright

Because he might very well be the Democrats' nominee, I really hope he stops digging. Seriously.

An Open Letter to Hillary: Don't Quit!


Dear Hillary,

I need you to win this. All women need you to win this. We need to be able to point to you when men (and foolish women) try to bully us into giving up a dream that we have sought and worked hard for. We need to be able to say, "See! She was pressured, cajoled, and ridiculed to try to get her to get out of the way of a man who is not much further ahead in many respects, but she didn't back down, and she overcame the naysayers. That means I can do it, too." We need our daughters to know they can achieve anything, and it's time a woman took the seat in the Oval Office.

Sexism is still rampant in this country, in sneaky ways. Leahy telling you to step down is a prime example. Why not say the same thing to Obama? He hasn't even won the most important states. He's young and less experienced, and could be a prominent force for years in the US Senate (which we know you helped him win). So why not Obama step down? Because he's a man, and it's OK for men to be harsh like he was to you in the first and subsequent debates. When you struck back, you were criticized. Women aren't supposed to do those things. Well, it's time we change that belief system.

You are a fighter, and we will need a serious fighter to beat the Republicans. We need you to win this, for women, for our country, and for the future.


Perception/reality according to the Clinton campaign. Any fact checkers?


Every now and then I wander over to the Clinton public website to try and understand where they're coming from. According to them, Obama and Hillary are in a virtual tie, delegates, popular vote, however you want to view it. Here's what else they're telling their supporters:

http://blog.hillaryclinton.com/blog/main/2008/03/28/151845
Anyone know if all of it is true?

Trouble in Texas


     I posted this over on DailyKos, and got a good response, and a friend suggested I post it here as well. 

                                                   

     I am new to posting anything on here, and thought about starting with a diary cataloging (and of course then refuting) some anti-climate change arguments I came in contact with recently (Hannity is so much better than coffee for getting your blood boiling in the morning), but that has been done time and time again.  So instead, since it is 3 A.M. and I am a newbie, I figured I would throw in a substance-less anecdote of volunteering for the Obama Campaign in Texas, and the lessons I learned from it.  

    Bear with me as I have only ever told this story never written it down before.  This is all true by the way.

    As many of you know, one of the jobs for volunteers in a campaign is canvassing, or going door to door interrupting dinner (not to random houses mind you, but to a very imperfect list of democrats).  I am a Californian, and being my first day in Texas, I was slightly nervous doing this.  I had heard two stories generally about Texas,

A) legendary hospitality,
B) widespread gun ownership and thinly spread qualms about using said guns.

    For the most part the day went well, ran into a couple of republicans who politely told me they were not supporters, and I was coming to feel more comfortable.  

    So when my co-canvasser and I arrived at a house sporting a very large Texas flag out front, and a huge truck with "San Antonio Police" on the back in order to encourage 23 year old "Marie Jones" (name changed) to vote and caucus for Obama, I steeled myself to talk to her republican parents while my partner waited in the car.  

 Knock, Knock.

    A BIG stocky middle-aged man comes to the door with "Can I help you."

Me: "Hello Mr. Jones, My name is ___ with Barack Obama's campaign in San ..."

    BOOM!  Door open, finger like a fist in my chest.

"HOW did you get my name?"
"WHAT did you do to get my name?"
"Did you waterboard?"

 Waterboard? Ok, he must be kidding right?  At this point, I'm 5 feet back down his driveway with a huge man in front of me, , finger beating me back.  But ... Waterboard?

Me: "Very funny sir, no, that's bush that does that."

"DO I LOOK like I'm kidding with you SON?"

"WHAT DID YOU DO TO GET MY NAME?"
"You're on MY property, and I can do WHATEVER I want.  So ANSWER!!"

Me: (10 feet back down the driveway).  "Uhmm... I'm sorry sir, I'm here for Marie Jones, is she in?"      -(Dumb move)

"WHAT?!?!"

"How did you get my daughter's name, are you stalking us?"

Me: "Well, uh... she must have voted democrat in the past."  -(another dumb move)

NO!!!
"She would NOT have voted Democrat."
"We are a good REPUBLICAN family here, we would never vote for a democrat."
"What I should do to you for lying like that... let me tell you, you know WHAT?!?!"

I'm 20 feet back, cowering and terrified, and he quickly grabs my shoulder with a tree-trunk of an arm and comes in close.

"SON!!!!!"  

"Ahh, I'm just kidding with you, I'm actually a democrat.  We're all voting for Obama here"

    ...
    .....
   
    So after leaving most of my dignity in a puddle on his driveway, I go back to the car, where my co-canvasser asks

    "what the he** happened, I was going to call the police, but I figured the call would just go through to him?"  And all I could respond with was "He's a supporter."

    And I learned two valuable lessons from the experience. A) not to assume someone's politics from their outward veneer, and B) that democrats have the best senses of humor.  

                                         -DionysianLogic

Source: Above photo is from Istockphoto.com.


The Best Plan to Fix the Economy is to Hire the Guy Who Broke it? Really?


So, slight exaggeration: Greenspan did certainly not cause this mess himself, but I and Paul Krugman agree (as usual on strictly economic matters) that he is one of the main culprits--if not THE--and an enabler.

Clinton's grand economic plans calls, unsurprisingly, for a commission before she takes any standing on the issue. This commission would include Alan Greenspan--and apparently not as a witness but to advise!

Well, perhaps she will write a strongly worded letter after the appointment to say that the appointment in no way constituted authorization for Greenspan to give economic policy advice to her.

The World's Most Outrageous Blog Post HERE NOW!!


Barack and Hillary supporters: Let's all just have a good, relaxing weekend. Recommend this to an uptight world.

Brian
www.readbrianleung.com

"A Defining Moment In The History of A Free Iraq"


President Bush (remember him?) says that the fighting in Basra is "A defining moment in the history of a free Iraq."

It is a history that will be remembered for 100 years if John McCain, age 847, is elected president in November.

Of course, all nations have a defining moment and it's often a bloody one.  Bush is right, this is a defining moment.

And Iraq will be defined as, um, Star Wars.  Ish. well it's not but if I cram all the history together into a jumble and you read it really fast, you will see that Bush is right:

Nouri Maliki was just a talented politician until he forged an alliance with the charismatic Shia Moqtada al Sadr.  Sadr thrust Maliki into power but then Maliki turned on Sadr.  The two reached an uneasy truce which lasted until a few days ago.  Now Maliki is personally leading Iraqi security forces and some ragtag militias against Sadr and his Sadrists (who need a better name) and George Bush thinks this is some sort of victory for the Iraqi government that we installed when really Maliki isn't doing so well and Sadr has responded to Maliki's calls that he lay down his arms and get out of Basra by saying "No, you lay down your arms and get out of Basra!"

Don't forget that Maliki and Sadr used to like each other.

Remember when we used to argue about whether or not Iraq had fallen into civil war?  Well now we have to redefine that.  A civil war usually has a few distinct players.  This is an all out grab for power as Iraq's government fails again.

A defining moment, indeed.

For the next 100 years.  Remember that.  John McCain isn't troubled by any of this.

Hiding Behind the Fourth Estate


Remember back in February when an Obama direct mail piece in Ohio claimed that Hillary Clinton had called NAFTA a “boon to the economy,” based on a story printed in Newsday? She went ballistic in a very public way, accusing him of “Karl Rove tactics” and saying:

“So shame on you Barack Obama. It is time you ran a campaign consistent with your messages in public. That’s what I expect from you.”

Her beef? While a Newsday story had, in fact, attributed the “boon” comment to Clinton, and the Obama mailer had accurately linked their literature to the reference, Newsday had gone on to note that it had no proof that she’d said it in the first place. So, Obama was playing dirty pool by referencing a juicy quote from a story they knew probably wasn’t true.

Fast forward to today, and two separate events:

1) Clinton gets called out on her Tousla embellishments. One of those call-outs is based on her campaign’s claim that she was the first First Lady since Eleanor Roosevelt to visit an active war zone. But it wasn’t true…Pat Nixon visited Vietnam in 1969, and Babs Bush was in the Saudi desert a few months before Desert Storm. So what’s Clinton campaign excuse? They didn’t say Hillary was the first, the Washington Post did in a 1996 story, so don’t blame them if the Post got it wrong.

2) On Tuesday, the Clinton campaign tried to cover the Tousla “misstatements” story by posting a list of what they said were a series of Obama embellishments. Number one on the list: Obama’s claim that he was a law school professor at the University of Chicago.

The Clinton broadside references a 2004 Chicago Sun-Times story in identifying Obama’s official title at the U of C as “Senior Lecturer” and went on to accuse Obama of resume padding.

But today, the University of Chicago issued a press release that clarified the issue, noting that Obama’s position was equivalent to a professorship, and that they had offered him an actual tenure-track faculty position several times over the years (which he had refused). So will the Clinton camp retract the charge? Probably not...no doubt they’ll say they were only quoting the Sun-Times.

It would have only taken a fact-checking phone call for them to find this information out before they made the accusation. But hey, why bother if the answers you get might ruin a perfectly good smear?

This is just the latest in a long string of incidents where the Clinton campaign acts like hypocritical parents….”Do what I say, not what I do.”

I’m tempted to use Senator Clinton’s umbrage against her, and say, “Shame on you Hillary Clinton. It is time you ran a campaign consistent with your messages in public. That’s what I expect from you.”

The only problem? Well, I actually see three problems.

1) There is a rather awful consistency to the Clinton campaign tactics relative to their kitchen sink messages;

2) These tactics are very much what I’ve come to expect from their campaign; and,

3) The Clinton camp appears not to care a wit about shame.



Barack *is* a Law Professor: Clinton Smears Continue Unfounded


I am currently sitting in the middle of a conference of academics.  The terms lecturer, senior lecturer, assistant professor, and associate professor, to name just a few, all mean very particular things to us.  Is it a tenure-track position? Is it tenured? Do you get a three year or indefinite contract? Visiting or permanent? Spousal Hires?
This is pretty much why we're here, so we can go out on the market and hopefully attach a meaningful title in front of our names. 
I also have to confess that I have unique knowledge of this situation for a second reason--I both go to school and work at the University of Chicago, so I know whereof I speak.  
Hillary's campaign has called out Obama because even though he claims to be a former professor of law he was in fact merely a "lecturer".  The release ominously ends with "details matter". 
Damn straight they do.  And they've got them wrong. 
Obama was a "Senior Lecturer" not a Professor of Law. That part is technically correct, but like most things with their campaign it misses the actual point.  When you look up the faculty of the law school--a group that is exclusive of fellows and lecturers and all other sort of hangers-on who are not professors--all of the Senior Lecturers are included.
There are senior lecturers in nearly every university around the country, but at Chicago I can say with some authority that they are considered to be "professors". After all, what else would you call them? They're not fellows or mere lecturers hired to fill in on some classes.  They certainly are, most importantly, part of the faculty.  Further complicating mattters, in law school it doesn't appear that they have assistant (untenured), associate (tenured), and full professors (tenured plus).  So there are fewer titles around the term professor to make distinctions around.
In my experience, the term "Senior Lecturer" is meant to differentiate full members of the faculty from other full members of the faculty with tenure. 
That's it.  That's all.  They teach, in this case law, just as authoritatively as any other member of the faculty.
There's one last irksome detail.  Richard A. Posner? Legal icon, you might have heard of him? The one with about ten (no exaggeration) honorary doctorates?  He still does not possess the professor title.  
He's a Senior Lecturer.  Still.  I highly doubt anyone could credibly argue that he's not a law professor.  
The Clinton campaign should be embarrassed that it's stooping to such minutia to attack with.   Especially considering they're wrong.

Rush to Clinton, Obama: You're Breaking the Law


Rush Limbaugh is a lot of people's least favorite person. I understand, believe me I do. Rush Limbaugh's now infamous "Operation Chaos," which by the way is named after a CIA plan to disrupt anti-war groups in the 60's, has been attacked fiercely by those who believes that the word "fair" actually means anything. Well, if you were sickened by The OC (get it?) before, believe you me, you'll be sicker.
This lovely little snippet is posted on ol' Rush's website:

[Rush:] On
this indictment, the possibility of your host being indicted for voter
fraud in Ohio, you know, the entire set of principles of the Democrat
Party crossed party lines, according to Obama and Hillary...  You have to register to vote in the
Democrat Party by tomorrow.  But if I'm indicted, Obama has gotta be
indicted, too, because he's running ads urging people to do this.  They
both need to be indicted, because they're both urging independents,
moderates, Republicans to cross over and vote for them in these
primaries. 

Please PA, Please


Pennsylvania, what's up? How are things? Been a while since we talked. I'm glad to see you're all excited about the primary next month. But can we chat about why you like Hillary so much?

Maybe you think Clinton would be better than Obama on bread-and-butter issues like national security and the economy. Maybe you're a '90s Clinton throwbacker. Who knows? But Pennsylvania, my keystone state, isn't it obvious she can not win?

Shouldn't you consider Obama as the majority of voters have in places like Virginia, Wisconsin, Missouri, and out West and in the Northeast? Why you wanna go be like Ohio, or Michgan--if their votes counted (they don't)?

C'mon, PA. Get with the program! We have to beat John McCain and the Republicans. How, I ask you, can we beat McCain when you say you'll vote for him over Obama?

Gimme a break. McCain is far worse than Clinton, and hissecurity credentials come from being a vet. John Kerry wass a vet, too, y'know. But OPbama's not gonna stay in Iraq for "maybe 100" years. And he won't invade Iran in the process just to, y'know, make a wider Middle East war. Throw Pakistan in, too.

So, in conclusion dear, sweet Pennsylvania. Vote for the one who can win! Obama!

With sincerest apologies to people who just don't get it.

Yours,
masterfantastic

A SEA CHANGE IN THE RACE? IS THIS REAL?


It seems there's a sea change in the race today. The superdels are siding with Obama. The coverage of Wright is dissipating somewhat. Obama, by dint of a great speech on the economy in New York yesterday, and an excellent appearance on the View -- and a key endorsement from Sen. Casey in PA today -- is riding a nice wave. The state of the war is giving McCain  and Bush  fits. And Hillary is conceding to her followers that the main point is getting a Democrat in the White House. I mean shit is actually looking up! WHoo!!!

Bush in Iraq: The Permanent Puppeteer


Historians have actively participated in the perennial debate as to the main causes of the fall of the Roman Empire, and yet two main factors seem to always arise from this discussion:

1.) Military overextension
2.) Abandonment of the rule of law

And yet, this week the Bush administration has begun a tactic to embody both of those empirical maladies by starting negotiations with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to keep U.S. troops in Iraq for years, even decades, after President George W. Bush leaves office.

Apparently, Bush is intent on making history regardless of what he goes down for. First, he is securing a permanent presence of U.S. troops to oversee a war that is currently running on a deficit of monetary funds, troop commitment and popular support on the eve of his last presidential term. And second, he is scoffing in the face of constitutional foundation by calling what can only be defined as a treaty a mere "agreement" so as to avoid the requisite Senate approval.

This is a cryptic and eerie tactic of the Bush administration to install a system of postmortem foreign policy control. The economy is already crying out in pain from all the ways this war has bankrupted us of any economic security, and Bush wants to make sure we don't find relief any time soon.

We cannot allow this to happen. The upcoming election and the distant hope for a new direction cannot be sacrificed by our complacency in allowing such self-serving, ill-conceived and dangerous policy. Please join Progressive Future to safeguard our future taxdollars, international security and the sanctity of the constitutional groundwork laid by our founding fathers.







Democratic Party victim of CHAOS


I am wondering why "Operation Chaos" is not a bigger news item. I happened upon Limbaugh's program on the radio today and was amazed to hear how mainstream and public this effort is. One caller said that 9,000 Republicans in Kentucky have switched parties to vote for Hillary in attempt to stymie the Democratic party. Fortunately, there is a law in KY preventing those who switch after
December 31 from voting in the primary, so late comers will be shut out.

HOWEVER, if this well-organized and highly publicized effort is being/has been carried out across the country, why are Democrats not in more of an outrage? Where are the headlines? Limbaugh came right out and said the
whole point is to give Hillary just enough momentum to prevent her from dropping out, thereby creating chaos in the democratic party. Well, folks, IT'S WORKING. So, what can we do to get the word out?

I find it incredibly ironic that Republicans--who paint themselves as the guardians of democracy--are participating in efforts to subvert our most basic and essential right. This is not what the democratic process is meant to be, and I find their hypocrisy sickening.

Bronx Students discuss Obama's speech on race


  http://www.youtube.com/v/r9IldaegAB0&hl=en
 

Saw this posted on DKos and thought it important enough to get people to look at, everywhere. 

This is a good look at the effect of Senator Obama's speech on young people.  The dialogue has begun.

Carville is right some of the time


I don't agree with him on Richardson, but he has a good point about Leahy's call for Clinton to drop out.  On the Situation Room today, he said that Leahy isn't helping Obama with this call.  His argument was that it would be easy to interpret as a call for disenfranchisement.  You might not agree that it is such a call, but you can certainly understand a PA Clinton voter taking it that way.  I'm glad Obama has come out against such calls.
Carville also didn't seem upset about Dean's reasonable call for the supers to make sure the race doesn't end in a messy floor fight.  I'm glad to see James with some of his normal over-excitement removed.

The Clintons on "June"


Bill and Hillary Clinton make the same point over and over again regarding the nature of this race - Bill wasn't nominated until June.

That is a bogus claim to make. Clinton had it almost wrapped up after Super Tuesday and then, after a brief challenge to the claim (and buyer's remorse, similar to what has happened recently with Senator Obama) by Jerry Brown, wrapped it up again in April.

Here is Wikipedia's take on Bill Clinton's race for the democratic nomination in 1992:

"Clinton, a Southerner with experience governing a more conservative state, positioned himself as a centrist New Demoract. He prepared for a run in 1992 amidst a crowded field seeking to beat the incumbent President George H. W. Bush. In the aftermath of the Persian Gulf War, Bush seemed unbeatable but a small economic recession spurred Democrats on. Tom Harkin won his native Iowa without much surprise. Clinton, meanwhile, was still a relatively unknown national candidate before the primary season when a woman named Gennifer Flowers appeared in the press to reveal allegations of an affair. Clinton sought damage control by appearing on 60 Minnutes with his wife, Hillary Rodham Clinton, for an interview with Steve Kroft. Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts won the primary in neighboring New Hampshire but Clinton's second place finish - strengthened by Clinton's speech labeling himself "The Comeback Kid" - re-energized his campaign. Clinton swept nearly all of the Super Tuesday primaries, making him the solid front runner. Jerry Brown, however, began to run a surprising insurgent campaign, particularly through use of a 1-800 number to receive grassroots funding. Brown scored surprising wins in Connecticut and Colorado and seemed poised to overtake Clinton but a series of controversial missteps set Brown back and Clinton effectively won the Democratic Party's nomination after winning the New York Primary in early April."

The final tally: Bill Clinton 3372 delegates; Jerry Brown 596.

When is someone going to call them on this nonsense?

Footprints in the Sand


Dear Friend,

Have you noticed the pattern?

Every time Fake Sinbad’s campaign demonstrates its strength and resilience, people start to suggest that hey, maybe the guy with the silly name and hammer pants and no chance of winning should end his pursuit of the Democratic nomination.

Those anxious to force Fake Sinbad to the sidelines aren't doing it because they think he’s going to lose the upcoming primaries. The fact is, they're reading the same polls he is, and they know he’s in a position to win.

A position to win your hearts.

In three days, Fake Sinbad faces a critical March filing deadline -- another chance to show the strength of his campaign. Fake Sinbad isn’t sure what the filing deadline is for, but he does know this: Fake Sinbad is not going to simply step aside. You and Fake Sinbad are going to keep fighting for what you believe in, and at the end of the day, America is going to win.  What it wins is still anybody’s guess.  But my guess is that America will win one of those really big stuffed bears that you get at the fair that falls apart after a few days.

The fact remains: millions of voters are still waiting to have their say. Let's make sure they have a chance to be heard – for starters, open mic night is this Tuesday, and be sure to get there early because last time we had a few people who signed up late and didn’t make it on stage.

Finally, there have been some of you who have wondered where I have been these last 10 years.  After the success of such family friendly friends as Jingle All the Way and First Kid, you ask: "Where did you go, Fake Sinbad?"

Friends, it was in those times when you needed Fake Sinbad the most that he carried you.  If you couldn't feel him holding you up, it was probably because he slipped a mickey in your drink.

And in times like this, with everything on the line, it means so much to Fake Sinbad to know that Fake Sinbad can rely on you to meet the challenges that we as a country face head-on.

Thank you for everything,

Fake Sinbad

Sinbad/Clinton ’08 – We're not gonna lie: we REALLY need some money

Why Hillary Supporters March On


Long ago, what seems like an eternity now, we all took a close look at our democratic contenders.  In Hillary we saw experience and qualifications, a familiar set of progressive democratic ideas.  In Obama we saw a fresh start, the promise to end politics as we've known it.  We chose sides.  Now, here we are in the thick of things.  It's gotten ugly.  Clinton and Obama are launching negative attacks daily.  Recently, Obama has engaged in character attacks, the politics of personal destruction, even though his promise was that he would end all that. 
 
See:  http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/obama-continues-character-assa.php
 
I've heard the arguments from people who believe (falsely, to me) that Clinton was the first to engage in this.  Even if that's true, here's why I think his recent trip on the low road has wounded his campaign.
 
Anyone can claim they're going to end politics as usual. However, if they are going to be serious, they will know they will eventually be confronted with politics as usual. How they act in the face of those tactics will define whether or not they are serious about ending those tactics. By actively engaging in them, Obama has shown it was all talk.

If he was serious about not engaging in the politics of personal destruction he should have had a plan once confronted with negative assaults. Mirroring is not a plan. If this is all he's got, why am I to believe he is anything new at all?
 
I think he missed a real opportunity.  If he had stuck to positive messages, most Hillary supporters would have seen him as an authentic challenger to past rules. If he had only issued factual rebuttals to the issues and avoided character assaults, he really would have been doing something new.  The reason I haven't supported him from the beginning is because I knew this day would come, and I doubted he had anything new to offer, a new path to victory.  Unfortunately, this became truth.
 
So, to most Hillary supporters, I think, we now see him as what we've thought all along. Words. Just words.  So, we'll keep fighting the good fight and fighting for the candidate we believe will actually win in the fall.
 
Thoughts?

Truth, Lies and the Bosnian NAFTAgate


Obama's supposed evasion around "NAFTAgate" played a key role in Hillary Clinton taking Ohio. If there’s any justice, her Bosnia fabrications should now bring her down in the remaining states.  Repeatedly this spring, Clinton described sniper fire, evasive maneuvers, a cancelled greeting ceremony, and having to run "with our heads down to get into the vehicles to get to our base."  But the pilot who flew Clinton into Bosnia, Colonel William Changose, said there were no evasive maneuvers, just some steep hills surrounding the landing strip. There was no sniper fire, or "we wouldn’t have landed." "There were no bullets flying around, there wasn’t a bumblebee flying around." His words confirmed the video of an 8-year-old girl handing Hillary flowers while Chelsea looked on from behind. Hillary got caught, to put it bluntly, in a lie: not “misspeaking.”
That's interesting, because Clinton's campaign of late has been based on attacking Obama's integrity and trying to paint him as the candidate of duplicity. The other day, in Harrisburg, PA, she even whipped up a crowd to boo him, saying “My opponent said one thing in Ohio and then his top economic adviser told the Canadian government—‘Don’t worry what he says, that’s just politics.’"
These kinds of accusations have an impact. As the Ohio primary approached, the NAFTA trade agreement was a major issue, since this centerpiece of Bill Clinton's term had helped destroy massive numbers of industrial jobs throughout America's industrial heartland, with Ohio alone losing over 200,000. Even many Republicans I talked with considered it a disaster. Hillary chose not to defend her husband's actions, instead claiming she had "long been a critic" of the agreement. With the release of Clinton's schedules just after the Ohio primary, it has now come out that she argued strongly for its passage in a key private meeting with women business leaders. But even before this last story broke, she'd embraced it enough for Obama to highlight their contrasting history, and he was steadily closing a once 25-point gap.

Then, on February 27, Canadian network CTV reported that even as Obama was publicly criticizing NAFTA, he'd had a top staffer arrange a meeting to reassure the Canadians that this was all just campaign pandering. The likely source was Ian Brodie, Chief of Staff to right-wing Prime Minister Stephen Harper. American media jumped all over the story, which appeared to be proof of Obama's hypocrisy. After the Canadian embassy denied it, Obama also said it was false. CTV then reported a Feb 8 conversation in Chicago with senior Obama economic advisor Austin Goolsbee. A follow-up leak released a memo supposedly summarizing the meeting, quoting Goolsbee as saying Obama's statements were more "political positioning than the clear articulation of policy plans."  The story dominated media headlines, and Clinton began making it the focus of her attacks.

"NAFTAgate" flipped voter perceptions on an issue where Obama should have had a key advantage. Clinton ended up getting a majority of voters who expressed a sense "that trade takes jobs away," a majority of those worried about their family's economic situation, and most union members, a group that Obama had carried in his recent victories. Clinton won overwhelmingly with late-breaking voters, the reverse of what had been happening. Most important, by casting doubt on Obama's integrity, the cornerstone of his campaign, Clinton made him seem like just another hack politician who'd say anything to win—a message she continues to repeat.

But as the Canadian reports have made clear, the core of the story was false. The Canadian government contacted Goolsbee to clarify Obama's position on trade, not the reverse. Although Goolsbee did talk on February 8 with Canada's Chicago consul general (not, as was originally reported, the Canadian ambassador), there's no evidence that he ever described Obama's position as mere political posturing. They met before NAFTA began to dominate the campaign, and discussed the trade agreement for two to three minutes out of almost an hour. Goolsbee responded to Canadian questions by clarifying that Obama wasn't pushing to scrap NAFTA entirely, but that the agreement needed labor and environmental safeguards—exactly what Obama had been saying in public. The memo was simply inaccurate, as even the Harper government now acknowledges after a firestorm of criticism by opposition parliament members who’ve accused Harper's staffers of trying to help their Republican political allies. In response, Harper said, "there was no intention to convey, in any way, that Senator Obama and his campaign team were taking a different position in public from views expressed in private, including about NAFTA."

So Clinton has now been caught lying about Bosnia, lying about her own role in NAFTA, and lying about Obama's stance on the agreement. She's been caught vastly exaggerating her role in Northern Ireland—Nobel Peace Prize winner Lord David Trimble called Clinton's claims that she helped create the Northern Ireland settlement "a wee bit silly." She has stood by and said nothing while a key ally, Machinists Union head Tom Buffenbarger, introduced her using recycled lies from the right-wing Club For Growth to dismiss Obama supporters as "latte-drinking, Prius-driving, Birkenstock-wearing, trust fund babies." And she has lied about Obama's experience in a way that hands a prime talking point to John McCain, reducing it to "a speech he made in 2002."  The question is when these lies will catch up with her.


Paul Rogat Loeb is the author of The Impossible Will Take a Little While and Soul of a Citizen. See www.paulloeb.org

Get used to hearing the Clintons cry foul about everything.


I just heard a story on Fox that alleges a staffer from the Obama campaign tried to sneak into a Clinton Campaign office, to spy. On the face of it, I don't believe it. Also, Fox is the source and they didn't have details.
But I wouldn't be surprised if the Clinton campaign tries to change the daily narrative with anything they can get their hands on. Or things they can make up and throw out there. Anything that sticks.
They probably were counting on the Rev. Wright issue to crush Obama, and while it hurt him, I don't think it had the impact the Clintons were praying for.
Judging by how the Clintons have handled damaging stories about Hillary, they take an issue she's accused of, turn the tables and accuse Obama of the same thing.
One of the more sweeping accusations that's blatantly false is saying that Obama is taking a page out of the Karl Rove playbook.
Well, if he took a page out of the "Karl Rove playbook", it's because they're missing a page out of theirs.
They've run a disrespectful campaign, if you'll allow the understatement.

Everyone's criticizing Hillary's attempt to break the rules, subvert the process, illegitimately change the outcome of this election.
To neutralize the issue, logic says they'll try to dig up or actually create a story that turns the tables so that Obama is the one who's playing unfair.
Recent example is Hillary blaming Obama for shutting out the voters in Florida and Michigan.
The Clinton campaign has the State of Texas swarming with lawyers to cover the caucuses tomorrow.
Stay tuned.

Baubleon


I have been shopping around for a new fairy story. See of you like this one.

 

Once upon a time, a beautiful Princess  was trying to become the nominee of one of the major parties of her kingdom  and so become Emperor.  One day she announced  that only someone  who had a bauble collection like hers was qualified to be Emperor (especially in these troubled times).  When someone in the press  asked  just what she  had in the way of baubles,  there was at first an awkward pause on the conference call and then announcement of  full disclosure soon. (Full disclosure from the Princess, who billed herself as Princess-nothing-to-hide,  was going to be a rarity in itself so interest was already high)  After what neighbors said sounded like a frantic night at the Princess’ headquarters, of hammering and sawing, an impressive box covered with official looking reproductions of Palace stationary,  and miscellaneous foreign hotel bills was trundled round to the press room and set among flags and flowers. First there were speeches about not giving speeches, then some folk dancing,  followed by a band of  latinos without papers playing Hail to the Candidate.  It was casual, amiable,  and folksy,  but it was made clear this was serious stuff and what would be revealed would be self explanatory and dispositive. 

There was a glitch of course which occurs, even in fairy stories, after the words self explanatory and  dispositive.  The latch would not open.  But workmen  were summoned to pry it open. The suspense had become tremendous.  Any moment now people would see  something rarely seen:  definitive credentials distinguishing  those qualified to answer the phone at 3:00 AM in the morning as Emperor.  As the lid was lifted, there was silence which  gave way to a gasp.

What was inside the lid  is, of course,  history now:,  bits of egg shell,  a  stub to an old  Chinese movie ,  a greenish marble slightly chipped,  a piece of string and a   dead mouse.  (Synthetic of course. You wouldn’t want a  real one.)

The  ways of the great and the near great had always been beyond the understanding of ordinary  people and here was deep stuff indeed. Luckily the likes of  Wolfson, Penn, or Ickes  would be available to explain it.

 

Like it so far?  If you think  the characterization of  Hillary Clinton’s  self proclaimed foreign affairs credentials is a mite slighting, maybe even derisive,  please go to the sources yourself , and make up your own baublethon equivalency table . (A side trip to FactCheck.org might provide some perspective. )

 

Whoever you are, and  whatever your political orientation,  whether you were born in the east or born in the west or sent by wire photo from another realm, whether you are rich or poor, or  young or old,  you have to admit one thing - as foreign policy credentials go,  this is pretty  thin stuff.  It’s thin stuff even if you buy into  the exaggerations.  Even if you think,  for instance,  “attenuating  the southern European traffic flow problems and resolving endemic environmental hazards” is a fair translation  of  “helping a motorist with a bug of his windshield on the road to Zagreb” , it’s still thin stuff. Try the following gedanke experiment.  Imagine someone is  applying to you for a very significant government job and  volunteers (volunteers mind you) that foreign affairs experience is a personal and distinguishing specialty and, on asking  for examples,  you are handed  a sheet which includes:

Item- Took a trip into a Tuzla, recently a war zone.  The plane had to make a corkscrew landing.  There were reports of  sniper fire in the hills.

Item-   Argued with my husband unsuccessfully over sending troops to Rwanda.

 

 Wouldn’t you even suspect that someone must be pulling your leg?  (Not even  the verbal embroidery that the trip to Tuzla involved running from the plane under actual sniper fire would help that much)

 

(As an aside, not that familiar with  workings at the palace,  I personally was surprised not by its evidence of  substantiality but the absence of it.  If such items even made the list,  much less were featured, then the Princess had less effective foreign experience than I would thought any Princess would have just by being Princess.  I wouldn’t have  figured, you see, on realities like  need for security clearance, invitation to sit in on National Security meetings  etc. if it hadn’t been raised.)

 

Now keep in mind , in doing the gedanke experiment, that the items before you were not wrenched from a reluctant witness.  This wasn’t something shown shyly and with a deprecating  shrug.  (“I was busy that year.”) This  wasn’t something produced entre deux at an informal gathering after a couple glasses of wine, and where exaggerations are in the spirit of things.  This was formal, coast-to-coast network stuff.

 

Now let’s go from  gedanke experiment premise to actual situation. This wasn’t even material submitted in defense.  (“I do too have diplomatic experience.”) This was attack material. This was ginned up to support  an effort to frame the electorate’s decision  in terms of  “who is the most credible commander on chief?”  You wouldn’t think,  in this election,  the opposition being a war hero,  you  would have to consult the Wizard to know  that of all the ways of framing the electorate’s decision possible, this is close to the worst.  In fact, what the Princess actually said, and what this was in support of,   was "I have crossed the threshold and met the national security test to be Commander-in-Chief. John McCain has also met that test. Obama gave a speech."

 

So the list submitted was submitted as “I have them and you don’t” Imperial threshold crossing credentials.

Among the variety of scorched earth strategies, this is the special one which  experts will tell you is called  “the equal opportunity suffering for your side” scorched earth. In this one,  everyone on your team loses, you too.  A special feature of it is only your ultimate opponent profits.  (In a nursery this is  akin to the tantrum. )   So we are not just talking unscrupulous here,  a word sometimes associated with the Princess, we are talking the deep beyond even deep.   Indeed after the initial astonishment at the enbaublement wore off,  and the sardonic comments began to multiply, the Princess retorted that these were just evidence  of  “gender bias” even though many of them came from other females. And this in turn suggested  that maybe the  Princess, widely credited with being shrewd,  was trying  the “I have crossed the threshold and the very paucity  of my threshold crossing credentials testifies to  gender bias” play,  which is like a triple axel followed by a triple toe-loop.  If you can do that one, you better put it in only at the start of your program.

 

In any event, the impression left was that there was some kind of subtlety here way beyond the ordinary.  Meanwhile Wolfson, Penn, and Ickes distracted attention by a litany of  her rival’s failings.  Her rival responded in kind. Attention was distracted. The whole issue quiesced. And some of the wiser heads came to the opinion that the Princess did it to inspire her own team to a higher level of ferocity.  Or to reinforce her victimhood. Or to lure her rival into making speeches, which the Princess has established as inherently suspect.

 

And then one day, quite without warning,  the Princess announced that the real, the  only true credential that qualified one to be Emperor was to have served as a prisoner of war.  She asserted  she had crossed the prisoner of war threshold  herself when on one of her trips to a war zone, she had become locked in her cabin.

 

This was so amazing that her  rival for the nomination, not accustomed to the rough and tumble of politics in the raw, was unable to respond satisfactorily.  And  she managed to convince her party that, given those credentials, she should be the nominee.

 

 However, that being the accepted credential for Emperorship,  she lost badly. So badly that her husband said at the end “Thank heavens it was just a fairy tale.”

RE: The campaign America really needs.


In response to Jim Sleeper's post:http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/28/the_campaign_america_really_ne/#more

If a campaign like this is going to make a dent in the national discourse, we'll need to narrow the message down to one single, simple powerful thought or set of words. Even someone else's words. For example, Dick Cheney's "so." Imagine putting that word over a picture of coffins of American soldiers. Or a giant, building-size poster or billboard with the 4000 names of those who lost their lives in Iraq. With an overlay of that simply sates "So?" Or maybe you create a live billboard that tracks the cost of the war by the second, $1,000,000,000,023, and it changes like an odometer. Just add the word "so?" and it really starts to resonate. You can think of a million pieces of news footage, like katrina, or Darfur, or Rwanda, or homeless veterans, or Abu Ghraib or waterboarding, etc. I think there are enough creative types that can get this thing rolling. Any thoughts?


Just Words.


I think one of the reasons the Republicans have been so successful (I mean in terms of winning elections!!!) in recent years (yes, excluding 2006 congressional seats) is their way with words.

It occurred to me this morning after reading the post about Johnson and global warming.  I remembered seeing some guy on the Daily Show awhile back, talking about how the Republicans have successfully put phrases into the American psyche that seem to have taken hold more forcefully than their counterparts.  I couldn't remember who it was though.

So I went back to look this up, and it turns out the guy was none other than everyone's favorite poll man, Frank Luntz.  He literally wrote the book on the subject: "Words that Work: It's Not What You Say, It's What People Hear".  

He was the architect of the attempted switch from "global warming" to "climate change".  Ironically, he did this to help Bush get elected b/c they knew the focus couldn't be on the environment, but Luntz later distanced himself from Bush and acknowledged that we were contributing to global warming.

Sure, some of his attempts at painting a different picture with words have been laughable: Redefining "Orwellian" as "to speak with absolute clarity, to be succinct, to explain what the event is, to talk about what triggers something happening...and to do so without any pejorative whatsoever."  Per Wikipedia, the more common connotation of the word: "the political manipulation of language, by obfuscation; doublethink; revisionism of history; or references to 'Big Brother'."

His complete willingness to manipulate serious policies and differences is quite often scary.  "A compelling story, even if factually inaccurate, can be more emotionally compelling than a dry recitation of the truth...the facts are beside the point."

Here's another one: "Energy Exploration".  Yeah! That's exactly what we need.  Until you realize he's talking about drilling for oil.

The Republicans have been winning this war of words for years.  Perhaps it's because of their penchant for Orwellian logic, and blatant disregard of the facts.  Some more examples of "framing the argument": (Some have been more successful than others, and not all are out of the mind of Frank Luntz.)

Pro-life vs. pro-choice?  Pro-life gets the better end of the stick on that one: it's a more potent and vivid image they paint.  

"Illegal aliens" vs. "undocumented workers". 

Social Security? No, Retirement Security.

Estate Tax vs Death Tax.

Globalization/Capitalism?  No, A Free Market Economy.

Tort reform vs. "Lawsuit Abuse Reform".

School vouchers/choice vs. Equal Opportunity Education.

Tax relief, partial-birth abortion (no such medical procedure!), small government, strong defense, etc, etc, etc.

You want a frightening insight into political rhetoric and the almost unbelievable willingness of the American public to buy into it?  Read Luntz's playbook, here.

Anyway, in looking for information on this topic this morning I stumbled across some interesting articles.  Luntz has been around for years, helped Gingrich frame the "Contract with America" back in 94, and we all know him as a friendly face on Fox News.  Apparently, the Democratic party has in recent years found a counterpart to Luntz: George Lakoff, who wrote, "Don't Think of An Elephant."

This article I found particularly good, as it makes the points both for this type of semantics and against it, and discusses Lakoff's role.  And here's another good one. 

Marc Cooper wrote a scathing criticism of Lakoff's book in The Atlantic back in April of 2005, in which I believe he misses the point entirely.  Not only does he spend most of his time criticizing the Democrats as a whole rather than the book or Lakoff's assertions, he writes it off as some kind of a search for a magic pill to cure all that ails that Democratic party.  In fact, he spends so much time raving about lattes and Volvos it's hard to see where, if at all, he takes issue with the actual book.  (And when did Volvos get such a bad rep?)  His biggest criticism seems to be that the Democrats don't know what they stand for, that the party is divided on priorities and has no coherent platform.  That argument seems particularly irrelevant in this election, where it has been widely noted that the policy differences and priorities of both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are quite similar.  You can argue that point, but I'd still say that the Democratic party is more united on principles at this point than the Republican party, which seems to be splitting on three lines this year: fiscal conservatives, social conservatives, and McCain's moderate conservatives.  We saw that in the last three candidates to be standing in the Republican race.

My point is this: I don't think this is the silver bullet, the answer to all our problems, nor do I think it's the pathway to the White House.  But it is most certainly a factor.  Only 20% of Americans read blogs regularly, and I'd wager a guess that an even smaller number spend as much time on them as some of TPM's regulars.  A lot of our country still gets their news from newspapers and the major cable news.  And it is an unfortunate fact that talking points, sound-bites, get boiled down to fit between commercials for Viagra and Clorox or condensed to fit the left column under the fold.  

When I heard that Obama had made the comment about his grandmother being a "typical white person," I cringed.  No, not because it became suddenly clear to me that he is a closet racist, but because I knew it would be the sound-bit for the feebleminded Fox News for that cycle.  

The most striking quote from the article on Lakoff was this: "I can describe, and I've always been able to describe, what Republicans stand for in eight words, and the eight words are lower taxes, less government, strong defense and family values," Dorgan, who runs the Democratic Policy Committee in the Senate. "We Democrats, if you ask us about one piece of that, we can meander for 5 or 10 minutes in order to describe who we are and what we stand for. And frankly, it just doesn't compete very well. I'm not talking about the policies. I'm talking about the language."

In any event, it's interesting to think about just how much words matter, and not just in epic speeches like Lincoln's and FDR's, but in everyday politics.  

Obama can't win.


I posted this on blogspot, since it didn't seem to quite fit in with the overall aura of TPM (and it's also NSFW, so don't bother if your tender sensibilities might be set a-twitter). 
But this gets at what I believe to be Obama's biggest hurdle, electorally speaking...

President's Speech Mirrors DoD Briefing


The President's speech at Dayton Ohio closely mirrors key points in a DoD briefing.

Curiously, the President quoted an unnamed scholar. This scholar is with CSIS and received a copy of the DoD sclides. The President in his speech anonymously quoted someone to whom his administration provided information.

This comment thread discusses the similarity between the President's speech and the DoD slides provided to CSIS. We discuss the challenges of fact-checking information about Iraq in the President's speech and the DoD slides; and raise questions for public discussion.

The US Army is poisoning the people of Veolia Texas


The United States Army is poisoning the people of Veolia Texas with exhaust from its nerve gas wast incinerator.  The following analysis and the referenced web posting describe serious problems with the technology used by the Army and its subcontractors to ensure that chemical weapons are not leaking into the air and poisoning the public.  One of these chemicals, VX, can persist in the environment up to two weeks under the right conditions.  If you think that this is not your concern, ask yourself how far the wind can blow in two weeks.
Analysis of 
 
Deficiencies of Detecting Nerve Gas in Air’ 
 
report found on 
 
http://cryptome.org/cryptomb20.htm, nerve-gas.htm  

 

posted August 12, 2006

 

 

Abstract

 

The United States is obligated under the terms of the Chemical Weapons Convention to destroy all of its chemical weapons. 

This document is an in-depth review of a report located at http://cryptome.org/cryptomb20.htm, nerve-gas.htm.  The report details a number of extremely serious problems with the methods that are used to monitor the air in the vicinity of chemical weapons storage or handling facilities for the presence of chemical weapons, specifically the nerve gases GB and VX, which is the most dangerous nerve gas in the stockpile.

The following major points of failure of the monitoring technology are made clear in the report.

 

1)         The method has a degree of variability in agent detection that precludes its effective use for measuring agent levels, on the order of 1000-fold.

 

2)         The sampling tubes used in the method are very fragile and improper use or preparation makes the tubes useless for agent monitoring, and damaged tubes are currently being used at monitoring sites.

 

3)         The conversion pads used for the detection of VX nerve gas can cause the level detected to be significantly underestimated due to competing side reactions that form products that are not detected by the instrumentation.

 

4)         The sampling tubes in daily use at one of the sites engaged in agent destruction were found to be significantly degraded.  Agent spiked onto the tubes was not detectable at levels many times the danger level.

 

As a result, it is clear that the methods used to monitor the safety of the chemical weapons are so flawed as to preclude effective monitoring for the presence of chemical weapon vapors in the air. 

There are eight sites scattered around the continental U.S. where these agents are stockpiled, and many more places such as abandoned training sites and firing ranges where chemical munitions are known or suspected to exist. 

This report calls into question all of the reassurances of the US Army and its contractors have made as to the safety of these sites.  It is apparent that there has never been effective safety monitoring at these facilities, and that anyone living near or up to several hundred miles down wind of these installations is and has been in grave danger of poisoning. 

The physiological effects of low level exposure to these chemicals are poorly understood.  There is a hypothesis that low level agent exposure is the cause of ‘Gulf War Syndrome’, and there is an ever increasing body of scientific evidence that exposure to chemicals of this class are responsible for human diseases including asthma, lupus and cancer. 

This report makes clear that we all have reason to be very concerned that we and or our loved ones have been negligently exposed to these chemicals by people motivated by the basest of human vices, greed.  This report should be seen as a call to action to stop this quietly progressing environmental catastrophe.  We must all take a stand and demand that this atrocity be stopped.

 

 

Introduction

 

This report was posted to the Cryptome website on August 12 of 2006.  It details a number of significant problems that the air sampling techniques that are used by the U.S. Army and its contractors to determine whether or not the chemical weapons in storage awaiting destruction are leaking their contents into the environment.

The report details the failures of the methods by way of a series of experiments and observations made in the course of a project designed to evaluate a new scientific instrument for use in chemical weapons monitoring work.  The new instrumentation under evaluation was found by the authors of the report to be suitable for the task and was determined to be capable of detecting the presence of the agents at very low levels. 

The authors report though that numerous problems were encountered in the use of the long established and trusted sampling methods and devices.  These problems were clearly identified and defined by the authors through a series of experiments designed to identify the causes of a number of unusual observations made during the conduct of the project. 

The U.S. government is currently destroying accumulated stocks of chemical weapons that date back to the First World War.  The Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) entered into force in 1997 and required signatory states to destroy their chemical weapons by 2012.

As in all Federal government efforts, the deadline for destruction has been delayed and the costs of the project have multiplied. 

At the time that many of the weapons were assembled it was anticipated that they would be used relatively soon after manufacture, they were not intended to be stored for many years. These delays place the public at increased hazard due to the physical and chemical deterioration of these weapons. 

The sampling method is referred to DAAMS, and it is related through commonality of technology to ACAMS and MINI-CAMS.  DAAMS stands for Depot Area Air Monitoring System, ACAMS stands for Automated Chemical Agent Monitoring System and MINI-CAMS stands for MINIature Chemical Agent Monitoring System.  DAAMS, ACAMS and MINI-CAMS are the benchmark techniques used by the United States Army and its contractors to monitor the air in the areas where chemical warfare agents are stored, handled and ultimately destroyed.   

 

 

Background

 

As a first step toward what ultimately became an effort to comply with the Chemical Weapons Convention, the U.S. government withdrew all of its chemical weapons from Western Europe in the early 1980’s and transported them to Johnston Island in the middle of the Pacific Ocean.  The government, in partnership with a number of contractors and subcontractors, then began building a specialized incinerator on the island that was designed to robotically disassemble the munitions, extract and destroy the toxic payload and destroy residual agents and explosives in the incinerator. 

The Johnston Island project, known as JACADS, was intended to test and perfect the methods for monitoring, storage and destruction of the increasingly dangerous chemical filled munitions.  At the time of the commissioning of JACADS it was planned that, once the technology and techniques had been perfected, additional incinerators would be constructed throughout the continental United States to destroy stockpiles of chemical munitions at eight Army storage locations. 

This multiple site strategy was adopted because many of the chemical munitions in the stockpile are severely deteriorated and are therefore unsafe to transport to a central location for destruction. 

These locations include Deseret Chemical Depot in Utah, Pine Bluff arsenal in Arkansas, Umatilla Chemical Depot in Oregon, Anniston Army Depot in Alabama, Bluegrass Army Depot in Kentucky, Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland, Pueblo Chemical Depot in Colorado and Newport Chemical Depot in Indiana.  Of these, Aberdeen Proving Grounds has completed all agent destruction activities.

In addition there are a number of other locations throughout the United States that hold so called ‘non-stockpile’ chemical warfare agents.  These include training centers (troops were exposed to low concentrations of these agents so they could recognize them by smell!), research labs, waste dumps and firing ranges. 

Notable among these sites is the ongoing project on the grounds of American University in Washington D.C. to remove abandoned chemical munitions and related materials dating from World War One.  These dumped munitions were re-discovered in the course of construction activities on the grounds of what had been a U.S. Army facility. 

Significant numbers of filled chemical munitions and bulk containers of chemical warfare agents have been dumped in the oceans of the world.  Large sites include Ordinance Reef off of the coast of Hawaii, a number of sites off of the coast of New Jersey, several sites off of the coasts of California, Texas and Louisiana, and the huge dumping grounds in the Baltic Sea used by the Allies after the defeat of Germany for the disposal of Nazi chemical weapons.  The Soviet states have also dumped agent and agent filled munitions in various places in the oceans of the world. 

These oceanic dumping sites currently present significant hazards.  For instance, many of the states bordering the Baltic have specialized emergency response crews that remediate agents that either wash up on shore or are accidentally captured in fishing nets.  There are numerous instances of fishermen being exposed to free agent escaped from various dumped items and munitions caught up in trawling apparatus.  It is known that the containers that were dumped are leaking, as many times exposure to fishermen is due to the presence of free clumps of semi-solidified sulfur mustard (known as H or HD).  Occasional encounters with Lewisite, an arsenic containing blister agent, have also been reported both on land and at sea.  Recently Ordinance Reef in Hawaii has come under additional scrutiny due to munitions being washed ashore by storms. 

China also is currently working to find, remove and neutralize chemical agent filled munitions at a number of sites that were left behind by the Imperial Japanese Army during World War Two.  The members of the former Soviet Union are also working to destroy the nearly 4.5 million tons of chemical weapons produced during the cold war.

Large numbers of the munitions are unstable due to corrosion of the metallic components of the weapons caused by the agents and impurities that were byproducts of their manufacture.  Many of the weapons systems include explosive bursting charges and some contain propellants. 

For instance there are M55 rockets in the U.S. inventory that were filled with the most potent nerve agent ever produced in quantity, VX.  The VX contained small amounts of hydrogen fluoride as a byproduct.  The hydrogen fluoride corroded the unprotected aluminum agent reservoirs in the rockets, leaving them susceptible to leaking.  M55 rockets also contain bursters and propellant.  The VX can chemically react with the chemicals in the explosives and fuel to produce fires and low order explosions.  Since these weapons are permanently assembled, the bursters and propellant can not be easily removed.  Thus the M55’s are all in a dangerously unstable state, liable to leak, catch fire or explode at the slightest provocation.  Many thousands of M55s were manufactured and all have been in storage for more than 30 years.  Each M55 is thus a ticking time bomb, ready at any provocation to kill anyone within range. 

 

The chemical warfare agents

 

The primary agents in storage in the United States include the nerve agents GB and VX, and the blister agent HD.  Smaller amounts of other agents are also present but these three represent the vast majority of what is held in the U.S. chemical weapons stockpile.

GB and VX are nerve agents.  Their primary mechanism of acute action is to inhibit the activity of the enzyme acetylcholinesterase.  Acetylcholinesterase is a vital component of nerve impulse signal transmission, which when inhibited causes muscles to enter a state of uncontrolled contraction, much like the results of the disease tetanus.  This spastic state paralyzes the muscles used in respiration and the victim of poisoning dies by suffocation. 

GB is a ‘non-persistent’ agent.  GB has a relatively low boiling point and evaporates readily at room temperature.  It is called non-persistent because after a relatively short time it has all evaporated and blown away on the wind. 

VX on the other hand is a ‘persistent’ agent.  VX has a relatively high boiling point causing it to evaporate much more slowly than does GB.  This causes the VX to remain for a much longer time in the area of dispersal, slowly evaporating over periods of two weeks or more, creating a toxic cloud over the area.  GB and VX also kill by being absorbed through the skin. 

Of the two, VX is much more lethal, with as little as ten milligrams, one eighth the amount of active ingredient present in a children’s aspirin, being enough to kill an adult in 10 minutes or less.  Thus given its persistence in the environment, high toxicity, chemical stability and nearly odorless nature VX is an extremely dangerous material. 

The nerve agents owe their origin to research conducted between World War One and World War Two by German scientists who were studying insecticides.  During these investigations the researchers noted that several of the molecules that they made were exceptionally toxic to mammals.  These findings were duly reported and ultimately the information attracted the attention of the German military government.  As a result three of the organophosphates, called by the Germans Soman, Sarin and Tabun, were developed for military applications.  Germany produced and weaponized, but never used these agents during World War Two. 

VX was invented by the British after World War Two and the technology was traded to the United States in exchange for nuclear weapons technology.

HD is distilled sulfur mustard.  Sulfur mustard was one of the chemical weapons used during the First World War. 

Sulfur mustard is a simple molecule that is quite reactive chemically.  Sulfur mustard inflicts injury on tissue by chemically reacting with it causing what can be thought of as a chemical burn.  Sulfur mustard burns all exposed surfaces, the skin, eyes, and lungs being the primary sites of action.  In sufficient quantities sulfur mustard causes extreme blistering of the skin resulting in the formation of large fluid filled blisters.  Sulfur mustard also can cause blindness and death due to its burning action on lung tissue, causing chemical pneumonia, where the lungs fill with fluid due to damage to the lining of the lungs.

Sulfur mustard was first synthesized in the early 19th century, but its potential as a weapon was not realized until the latter part of that century. 

World War One was the first conflict in which chemical weapons were used on a large scale.  Among the most common agents used were, in addition to mustard, chlorine gas, phosgene, Lewisite and chloropicrin.  Prussic acid (hydrogen cyanide) was found to have minimal tactical utility due to its rapid dispersal and dilution under battlefield conditions, even though it possessed a high order of toxicity. 

All of the other commonly used agents exerted their toxic effects by direct corrosive or irritant action on the tissues of the victims.  Deaths were due to gross intoxication with large quantities of agent and/or pneumonia secondary to the lung tissue damage caused by exposure.  Most exposed victims suffered varying degrees of dermal burning and damage to the eyes and lungs.

Physicians treating victims of sulfur mustard  during the First World War also noted that in cases where exposed patients also had cancers, that the tumors were significantly damaged by the effects of the agent.  These observations lead to experiments that ultimately produced the first chemotherapeutic drugs for the treatment of cancer.  For instance, mechlorethamine, cyclophosphamide (Cytoxan), melphalan and other drugs used in the treatment of various cancers are derivatives of sulfur mustard.

As everyone knows, cancer chemotherapy drugs have significant side effects, the most visible of which is hair loss.  This is because these agents affect rapidly growing cells (cancer) more than they do slowly growing cells (normal).  The cells that generate the hair shaft are rapidly growing and therefore are more strongly effected, and killed, by these drugs, causing the patients hair to fall out.  Other types of cells affected by these agents include the lining of the gastrointestinal tract, causing severe diarrhea and pain due to ulceration, the reproductive organs, causing in many cases sterility and skin damage. 

Less known is the fact that treatment with any of these drugs significantly increases the chances that the patient will later develop a new cancer.  This is because these agents can also react with and damage DNA, causing mutations in the DNA that can result in the damaged cells becoming cancerous.  Thus any exposure to mustard type chemicals even at very low levels can result in the formation of cancer. 

Given this fact one may ask why treat cancer patients with these agents.  The answer is that these agents were at the time the only effective drugs and that in some cases patients were actually cured, thus the risk was acceptable. 

Given the advances in our knowledge acquired since the introduction of these drugs we have developed a large number of less toxic and hazardous treatments and techniques that have reduced but not eliminated the use of these drugs in the treatment of cancer. 

 

Destruction technologies explained 

 

In the late 1980’s and early 1990’s the government commissioned a number of scientific advisory panel meetings to discuss the advantages and disadvantages of various proposed destruction technologies.  Among those considered were incineration, chemical neutralization using solvated electron technology (SET), super critical water oxidation (SCWO), oxidation by mixing with super tropical bleach or sodium hypochlorite, and alkaline hydrolysis through mixing the agents with concentrated solutions of sodium hydroxide at elevated temperature.  All of the techniques were investigated, with incineration chosen as the primary method and sodium hydroxide hydrolysis as the secondary method of destructive demilitarization. 

The incineration plants used for chemical weapons destruction include secured areas for safe disassembly of the assembled chemical weapons including removal of burster explosive charges, removal of the liquid chemical agents by drilling or cutting into the payload reservoir, and separation of metallic parts. 

The agent is fed directly into the first stage of a two stage incinerator under continuous process control to maintain efficient and complete destruction of the agent.  The burster and other parts are passed into a metal parts furnace where the high explosive and any residual agent is burned away.  The cooled metal parts are removed from the furnace by a continuous conveyor, cooled and disposed of.  The superheated gaseous combustion products are passed through a scrubber to remove inorganic salts and the exhaust flue gas is vented through a smoke stack.  The accumulated scrubbed salts, dissolved in condensed water and known as brine, are disposed of as hazardous waste. 

All of the munitions packing materials, pallets, and associated potentially agent contaminated materials are then either incinerated, or decontaminated and re-used or disposed of in hazardous waste landfills.  There are proposals to ship the entirety of this ‘dunnage’ material off site for disposal as hazardous waste in landfills. 

At numerous points along the pathway of storage, handling and processing of the chemical weapons environmental air samples are continuously collected to ensure that no chemical agents above various toxic threshold levels are released. 

If one of these monitoring systems detects agent above a certain threshold, immediate corrective actions up to and including halting the destruction process are initiated, depending on the seriousness and location of the agent detection. 

The incineration technique has come under considerable scrutiny from governmental regulatory agencies and private environmental protection advocacy groups.  The reasons for this scrutiny have to do with a large number of process failures that have at times resulted in the release of chemical warfare agent in hazardous quantities. 

In addition, like all large government projects, there have been numerous documented instances of waste, fraud and abuse by the various involved organizations and individuals. 

Critics of incineration cite the release of chemical agents and toxic combustion products as their reasons for demanding that the incineration technique be abandoned in favor of safer technologies. 

There are two currently open sites that use or plan to use second line alternative strategy for agent destruction.  This is the ‘hydrolysis’ method.  Hydrolysis makes use of concentrated sodium hydroxide solutions (lye) and high temperatures to destroy the agent by chemically breaking it down into less toxic pieces.  Hydrolysis was used at Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland; this site has finished destroying the chemical weapons and is closed. 

The major problem with hydrolysis is that the hydrolysis reaction can reverse under certain conditions resulting in the re-formation of the original agent.  The high basicity (high pH) of the sodium hydroxide solution is responsible for causing the chemical degradation that breaks down agent molecules into smaller less toxic products.  If the basicity (pH) of the solution is lowered by the addition of acidic materials or by the absorption of carbon dioxide (a greenhouse gas, present in exhaled air), the chemical reactions that broke up the agent can reverse, producing the agent and related molecules that have toxicity similar to that of the original material. 

In use the hydrolysis method is used to break down the agent, the toxic soup of chemicals including the degraded agent and the highly caustic sodium hydroxide solution, are then pumped into special tanks that are loaded onto trucks and shipped from the Newport Chemical Depot in Indiana to Port Arthur Texas for incineration.

The problems with this strategy are several.  First if the tank truck were to have an accident causing a spill of the contents of the tank, the enclosed material would come into contact with the environment.  Typically, the pH of the soil is relatively acidic compared to concentrated sodium hydroxide solution, thus hydrolysate would be at least partially neutralized by contact with soil.  This neutralization, would as described above, allow the hydrolysis reaction to reverse to a certain degree, resulting in the re-formation of some of the original nerve agent and closely related toxic products. 

Thus it is possible that in a massive spill that a significant and toxic concentration of nerve agent could be formed, exposing emergency crews and the local population.  Emergency response crew protocols call for the containment, neutralization and clean up of any chemical spill.  In the case of nerve agent hydrolysate the standard neutralization procedure would immediately cause the re-formation of a significant amount of highly toxic nerve agent and similar materials.  The trucks transporting hydrolysate are specially monitored during transit and it is likely that the emergency response crews along the route would be instructed in special procedures in the event of a spill, but theoretically the possibility exists of agent release into the environment. 

The second major problem with the hydrolysis technique is that the Army is not sure how much agent remains in the product after processing.  This is because the hydrolysis breaks down the agent into several less toxic pieces, and some of these resulting pieces are not very soluble in water.  As a result the hydrolysate contains an oily, water insoluble layer, a water layer wherein is most of the sodium hydroxide, and a heavy black sediment that is derived from things such as the lacquer/corrosion resistant lining of the munitions, paint, sealants, lubricants and etc. that come off of the munitions during processing. 

From the standpoint of analytical chemistry, this toxic mixture is extremely challenging.  Each of the phases, oily, watery and solid, must be analyzed for the presence of agent to ensure that the overall content of non-neutralized agent is less than 20 parts per billion (ppb). 

The problem comes in that only the caustic water layer has been analyzed.  The oily and solid phases are too technically challenging to be easily analyzed using the tools and techniques available. 

In the alternative, the Army has also sampled the air in containers of hydrolysate, the ‘headspace’, for the presence of agent vapor.  The difficulty here is that the basic water solution and oily solution will have a very high affinity for the agent due to its physico-chemical nature and thus the headspace will likely contain very little agent relative to the concentrations present in the two liquid phases of the product. 

The Army has insisted on several occasions that the concentration of agent in the hydrolysate is less that 20 ppb, but it has been contradicted in this assertion by one of its own experts who has admitted in sworn testimony given during a recent court case brought by a coalition of environmental groups to halt the shipments of hydrolysate that the levels of agent in the mixed solution are above 20 ppb. 

Finally, and possibly most importantly, are the problems with the final incineration process.  In practice, the tanks containing hydrolysate are delivered to the incinerator site by the trucks, the tanks are then stored until such time as they are moved to a manifold of pipes connected to the inlet apparatus of the incinerator and connected to the plumbing feeding waste liquids into the furnace.  The contents of the tanks are then pumped out of the transport tanks, mixed with other liquid wastes and fed into the incinerator.  These procedures are accepted practice for hazardous wastes of this type. 

The problem is that at no point after the departure of the transport truck from the Newport Chemical Depot is any effort made to monitor for the presence of agent.  The agent content of the tanks is measured before departure, with the limitations as described above, and sent on its way to Texas. 

Given the possibility discussed above for neutralization of the agent at any of the many points in its journey to destruction this is at best foolhardy.  First, no one knows what happens when the tank contents are allowed to sit around waiting for incineration.  Since there is no monitoring, there would be no chance to catch and stop small leaks of hydrolysate from the tanks.  Second, the hydrolysate is exposed to other chemicals on its way through the plumbing into the incinerator. 

This is done to maintain the high temperature of the incinerator by balancing the percentages of burnable (fuels such as hydrocarbon wastes) and non-burnable (water, sodium hydroxide and other salts in the hydrolysate) materials going into the incinerator such that a state of stable and predictable operation is maintained. 

At high temperatures, chemical reactions can happen and none of the chemical reactions possible in this mixing/incineration process have been rigorously examined and backed up by direct analytical determinations of product formation.  As the waste stream burns, other chemical reactions take place. 

Presumably the majority of these reactions are oxidative and destructive of toxic materials.  Unfortunately most waste incinerators produce measurable quantities of solid particles as ash. 

Typically this ash is highly porous and is therefore capable of carrying any chemical materials not destroyed by the incinerator out of the smokestack with deposition in the local vicinity due to gravity.  This gritty soot could conceivably be carrying un-destroyed toxic chemicals and dropping it onto the heads of the neighbors of the incinerator. 

As was mentioned above, at no point is the presence of nerve agent checked at any point in the transportation or incineration process.  Thus there is the possibility that any agent that escaped destruction could find its way into the environment and into the bodies of local citizens.  This practice of ‘see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil’ demonstrates an incredible degree of disdain for the neighbors of these facilities by the government and its contractors.  If there were agent escaping, the plant operators would never know it because they did not value the lives of the potential victims enough to bother looking!

 

Monitoring explained

 

The above sections necessarily lead to questions about the analytical techniques used to monitor for the presence of chemical warfare agents.  The analytical monitoring effort practiced in the vicinity of chemical warfare operations facilities makes use of two primary techniques that utilize similar technologies.  These techniques are called Depot Area Air Monitoring System or DAAMS and the Automated Chemical Agent Monitoring System or ACAMS.  There is a third technique called Mini-CAMS or MINIature Chemical Agent Monitoring System. DAAMS, ACAMS and MINI-CAMS all make use of some form of sorbent tube and for purposes of this discussion are identical and thus will not be discussed separately.  These techniques monitor for agent vapor in air.  There are additional testing methods used for the detection of liquid chemical agents but they are not the focus of this analysis and thus will not be discussed.

These techniques make use of devices called sampling tubes.  The sampling tubes are small glass tubes filled with special resins that absorb agent molecules from the air.  These tubes are placed on sampling stations at various points in and around the areas where chemical weapons are handled.  Air is drawn through the tubes to allow the contained resin to capture agent vapor. 

Depending on the type of monitoring being done, the tubes are exposed to ambient air for periods of up to 12 hours. 

Then the tubes are collected and returned to the laboratory for analysis by one of the methods described in this section. 

Any tubes that come up with levels of agent above certain defined threshold levels are double checked against another tube collected simultaneously at the same location.  If both tubes are positive then corrective action is initiated.  If either of the tubes is below the cut-off level, the detection is deemed false or spurious and disregarded. 

Given the observed variability described in the report, this criterion of requiring two tubes to register above threshold virtually guarantees that any release, even if above the threshold, will be disregarded.   

 

Gas chromatography

 

These techniques make use of analytical instrumentation called a gas chromatograph.  A gas chromatograph is an instrument that separates molecules based in part on their boiling point and in part how much the ‘like’ to stick to a ‘stationary phase’.  Chromatographic methods make use of, typically, two phases.  These are called the stationary phase and the mobile phase.  The mobile phase moves over and past the stationary phase. 

A sample to be analyzed and separated is introduced into the mobile phase, which in this case is a gas, typically helium.  The molecules in the sample in the mobile phase are pushed by gas pressure through a tube called the ‘column’ which has a high pressure source of helium at one end and is at lower pressure at the other end, causing the gas to flow from the beginning to the end of the tube (column). 

Through clever arrangements of plumbing it is possible to introduce samples to be separated and analyzed into this flowing gas at the beginning of the column.

The region of the instrument that holds the beginning of the column is called the injector.  The injector is electrically heated to a temperature above the boiling point of any of the components of the sample, so that the sample evaporates into the helium mobile phase. 

The evaporated sample molecules are then swept into and down the length of the column by the flowing helium gas. 

The column is kept in another region of the instrument in a specially designed oven that can be adjusted in temperature in a very controlled and defined way. 

The column is lined with molecules that are ‘sticky’ to the sample molecules.  This stickiness is derived from the principle that like dissolves like, i.e. greasy things dissolve greasy things and non-greasy things dissolve non-greasy things.  Obviously non-greasy things do not ‘like’ to dissolve in greasy things and conversely. 

In the technique used for monitoring chemical warfare agents the column is lined with a semi-liquid film of greasy material.  The molecules of nerve agent are, because of their chemical composition, somewhat greasy but are also in a way non greasy. 

The important fact is that the molecules of interest do not have the same degree of greasiness, and thus are more or less likely to spend their time stuck to the stationary phase. 

So, as the sample enters the column, some of the entrained sample molecules stick to the greasy column lining.  The oven in which the column resides typically starts out at a relatively low temperature, say 40 to 60 degrees Celsius (104 to 140 degrees Fahrenheit).  At the starting temperature most of the sample molecules find their way to and stick to the stationary phase lining the column.  Then, under computer control, the temperature of the column oven is increased in a slow, reproducible fashion.  As the temperature increases, the molecules stuck to the stationary phase begin to evaporate into the moving helium mobile phase. 

The rate and temperature of evaporation of each molecule type in the sample somewhat different.  These thermal and physical effects cause each type of molecule present in the sample to spend a certain amount of time stuck to the stationary phase, and a certain amount of time evaporated and moving in the mobile phase. 

The end result is that the sample molecules are separated in space and time by merit of their differing physical properties, i.e. greasiness and boiling point in this case.   This causes the sample molecules to come out of the exit of the column at different times. 

At the end of the column is some type of detector.  There are a large number of detectors used in this type of work that have a variety of different operating principles.  The technical details are unimportant for our discussion.  All of the detectors produce some kind of an output signal that is electronically amplified and recorded by a computer.

These data are called chromatograms.  The chromatograms are two dimensional displays with time on the x (horizontal) axis and signal intensity on the y (vertical) axis.  Thus a chromatogram typically takes the form of a line proceeding from left to right along the bottom of a graph on a page which will show peaks, which take the form of sharp increases in the signal (y axis) intensity. 

The peaks correspond to the times when sample molecules of a given type are exiting together from the end of the column and are detected by the detector causing a sharp increase in signal intensity, followed by a sharp decrease in signal intensity, displayed on the chromatogram as a ‘peak’. 

Because of the very accurately controlled time/temperature programming of the oven temperature increase, the times that molecules of a given type come out of the column will be, within narrow limits, the same from one analysis to the next. 

Thus if molecule ’X ‘ is present in five environmental samples at differing concentrations, the resulting chromatograms will all contain peaks at the same time with intensities that correspond directly to the quantity of molecule X in each sample.  The fact that molecules of X can be counted on to come out of the column at the same time from one analysis to the next allows chemists to identify and measure the quantity of X in any sample with remarkable accuracy, typically with much less that 1% variability being encountered in replicate analyses of samples having the same concentrations of the analyte X. 

This allows for the quantitative analysis of samples by making use of standards containing known quantities of analyte molecules of interest that can be compared to unknown samples and the ratio of intensities of the peaks can be used to calculate the quantity of analyte present in an unknown sample. 

Thus, by looking for peaks that come out at the same time as the peaks derived from a standard, and comparing the intensity of the peaks of the standard solution to those of an unknown sample, it is possible to determine with good accuracy the quantity of analyte present in the unknown sample

So, in summary, gas chromatography can be used to identify (by time) and quantify (by peak intensity) the amount of any given molecule present in a sample given the availability of known concentration standards.   Thus it should be clear that it is possible to separate and quantify the presence of chemical warfare agents in environmental samples. 

In use the instruments are set up to look for peaks due to agents within ‘windows’ or time ranges.  Analyte peaks coming out of the instrument within the boundaries of the windows (this is referred to as ‘having the same retention time’) are counted as being due to agent and are measured and quantified. 

The purpose of this practice is to exclude peaks due to environmental and procedural interferences.  These extraneous peaks arise, for example, from hydrocarbons (for instance from vehicle exhaust) that are normally found in samples of air taken in the vicinity of industrial operations.

The corollary of this is that peaks that fall outside of the window are ignored. 

The current practice at the chemical weapons holding sites is to only analyze for the agent that is present in the area of a given monitor, for instance if GB is being handled on a given day, only GB is monitored for.  HD and VX are treated likewise creating the possibility that an analyst may miss the presence of agents other than those being tested for on a given day.  

 

Mass spectrometry

 

The mass spectrometer on the other hand will take some explaining.  A mass spectrometer is in instrument that separates, analyzes and detects molecules on the basis of their molecular mass.  The molecular mass of an analyte is determined by the identities and numbers of elements, such as carbon, hydrogen and nitrogen that are present in its molecular structure.

The operating principle of the mass spectrometer used in the preparation of the report can most easily be conceived by reference to the following analogy. 

All of us have at one time or another swung a mass, such as a ball, attached to a string in a stable circular orbit.  Now extend the experiment by making the string stretchable, as it would be in the case of a rubber band.  Now imagine that the ball attached to the rubber band is being caused to swing around your hand at a constant rate.  The ball will adopt a stable orbit, at a fixed distance from the center of the rotation.  Now imagine that the mass of the ball is suddenly doubled.  What happens if the orbital rate remains the same?  The rubber band will of course stretch due to the additional force exerted on it by the doubled mass of the ball and the ball will adopt an orbit further from the axis of rotation. 

It is in this way that the ion trap mass spectrometer described in the report operates.  Low mass molecules have smaller radii of gyration or orbits than do larger mass molecules.

This physical phenomenon allows the mass spectrometer to be used to separate molecules based on their relative molecular masses, which is determined by their elemental compositions. 

An additional advantage of the mass spectrometer used is that it allows the user to cause the rotating molecules to fragment, i.e. break apart into its components.  The fragments are formed according to relatively complex rules but the end result is that the fragments are characteristic of the parent molecule, a kind of molecular fingerprint, allowing one to deduce from the pattern of fragments, and the molecular mass of the parent the molecular structure of the analyte in question. 

Thus the mass spectrometer is an extremely powerful tool for identification of molecules present in samples, and the authors of the report make several statements regarding molecular identities in the text that are important to the conclusions drawn.

 

 

Description of the problems with the detection technologies

 

Sampling tubes and associated problems

 

Due to the high toxicity of the chemical warfare agents, it is necessary to monitor extremely low concentrations of the agents in air samples. 

Due to the limitations of current analytical instrumentation, it is necessary to collect agent molecules present in large volumes of air, and concentrate them to the point that the instrumentation can ‘see’ the agent molecules. 

This concentration technology is at the center of DAAMS ACAMS and MINI-CAMS techniques.  In these techniques, air is drawn through a specially designed collection tube called a DAAMS, pre-concentrator or sampling tube.  This tube is a hollow glass cylinder about the diameter of a pencil and four or so inches long.  Inside the tube is a packing material that absorbs molecules out of the air. 

Air is sucked through by tube by applying suction from a vacuum pump to one end of the tube for a certain amount of time.  The flow rate of air through the tube is carefully calibrated such that about 1 liter per minute of air flows through the tube.  Any agent molecules present in the incoming air are captured by the packing material in the tube. 

This packing material behaves in the same was as does the stationary phase discussed above in the gas chromatography section.  The agent molecules ‘like’ to stick more to the packing than they ‘like’ to be in air and thus build up over time in the packing material as more and more air is sucked through the tube, thus concentrating the molecules for later analysis. 

There are mainly two types of DAAMS tube packing materials used in chemical warfare agent monitoring, Chromosorb 106 is used for nerve agents and Tenax TA is used for mustard.  Tenax GR is also used but is very similar to Tenax TA.   In some tubes several packing materials are combined to produce tubes capable of capturing both classes of agents.

In use the tubes are placed on the sampling stations for certain time periods that vary with the type of monitoring being done, air is sucked through them and any agent present in the air is absorbed by the packing material present in the tubes.  The tubes are collected periodically and returned to the monitoring laboratory for analysis. 

In the laboratory the tubes are connected by fittings to smaller diameter tubes of the same basic composition and design as the collection tubes.  These smaller tubes are known as transfer tubes, because they are used to transfer trapped agent molecules from the sampling tubes to the analytical instrumentation. 

In use, the collection tube is connected to a transfer tube, the collection tube is placed in an electrically heated metal block and connected to a helium supply line.  As the collection tube warms up, the agent molecules trapped in the packing evaporate and are carried by the helium gas flowing through the tube into the transfer tube.  The transfer tube is at room temperature, or fairly close to it considering that it has hot helium passing through it, where the agent molecules again encounter packing material identical to that contained in the collection tube.  Thus the agent molecules are captured by the packing of the transfer tube.  After a couple of minutes, the transfer tube is disconnected from the transfer apparatus and is ready for analysis.

The transfer tube is then connected to another helium supply line and the tube is placed into the injector of the gas chromatograph described above.  The heat of the injector causes the agent molecules to again evaporate into the helium carrier gas and thence to flow into the column of the gas chromatograph as described above. 

This sample preparation routine is used because the transfer tubes are too small to pull an adequate quantity of air through in a reasonable time, and the collection tubes are too big to fit in to the injector of the gas chromatograph.  Operationally, the tubes are identical in function, the only difference being size and point of application in the analytical process.

The most serious problem identified in the report is because of deficiencies in these tubes.  Some of the tubes capture agent molecules better than do others, with the reported tube to tube variability being somewhat greater than 103 (pronounced ‘ten to the third’), or 1000-fold. 

This degree of variability in capture efficiency means that the technique is unable to differentiate between a toxic (IDLH or immediately dangerous to life and health) level and a level that chemical weapons workers are permitted to breathe (safe?) in an 8 hour work shift (the TWA8 level).

The instrumentation is calibrated using certified standards of agent dissolved in organic solvent, isopropanol (found in rubbing alcohol) for the nerve agents and hexane (similar to lighter fluid) for mustard.  I will expand later on the problems caused in the report by these solvents. 

As an aside, the instrumentation used for the acquisition of the data discussed in the report had two detectors, a pulsed flame photometric detector and a mass spectrometer.  The authors state that the pulsed flame photometric detector was disconnected fairly early in the experiments and will not be discussed further here.  The interested reader is referred to the text of the report for the rationalization of this decision.

 

 

 

Analysis of interferences

 

            The authors also made a small study of interferences present on the DAAMS tubes.  A set of tubes was obtained from the TOCDF site in Utah.  These tubes were taken from those in use at the time for agent monitoring and were thus representative of the tubes used to protect the public from agent releases.  The authors show that the tubes were severely degraded, brown in color due to oxidation and unusable for capturing agent at levels many times higher than the level at which agent exposures are considered dangerous.  As these tubes were pulled from the pool of tubes in active use for monitoring, this observation indicates that even if there were a massive agent release, the monitoring equipment would not detect the agent, even at levels that could kill unprotected people within minutes. 

The authors also conducted experiments to determine the source of the interferences that were observed coming off of the tubes.  The authors found that the interferences did not come from contaminants present in the air, such as vehicle exhaust.  What was found was that the interferences were derived from the tubes themselves.  The authors proposed and generated data supporting the thesis that tubes were breaking down due to the conditions under which they were conditioned, i.e. broken in prior to use, as well as the heating cycles employed when the tubes are analyzed after sample collection. 

The problem here is twofold, first the interferences obscure the presence of agent peaks, and second the interferences indicate that the tubes are degraded, incapable of picking up agent, and are therefore useless for agent monitoring. 

It is not stated how long that the tubes in question have been in use, leaving open the possibility that the public has been repeatedly exposed to toxic levels of agent since the very beginning of these programs. 

 

The analysis of VX and the problem of transesterification

 

Finally, at least for the technical section, we need to examine the analysis of the nerve agent VX.  Using the techniques described above, VX is a very difficult to analyze molecule.  It has a high boiling point and has lots of atoms that cause it to be what chemists call ‘polar’, meaning that the molecule is not very greasy.  It is also, relative to other agents, fairly large, having a higher molecular mass.  These factors combine to make VX a difficult case for analysis by gas chromatography (GC) or gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GCMS). 

To overcome these problems, the Army has developed a technique that converts the VX molecules present in air into a form that is more easily analyzed using GC or GCMS. 

The technique makes use of a small filter impregnated with silver fluoride that is attached to the inlet end of a sampling tube during sample collection.  The silver fluoride on the filter pad causes a chemical reaction in which the VX molecules that are drawn through the filter pad are converted to a chemical form that is much easier to analyze using GC or GCMS.  The product molecule is very similar to GB, except that instead of having an isopropyl group, it has an ethyl group. 

The problem with this technique arises because, as mentioned above, the standards used to calibrate the instrumentation are dissolved in isopropanol.  The standard solution is applied directly to the inlet surface of the silver fluoride impregnated filter pad.  The report details experiments that show that when VX standard in isopropanol is applied to a conversion pad, some of the resulting GB analog of VX, denoted VX(G), is actually converted to GB. 

This observation is extremely important because as described above, the analytical instrumentation is typically only set up to monitor for one agent at a time, peaks falling outside of a pre-set time range or window are ignored. 

Thus, if some of the VX is being converted to GB and some is converted to the desired product VX(G), the portion that is converted to GB is ignored and not counted!  The distortion of the instrument response causes the VX analysis to be incorrect. 

The chemical reaction that occurs is called transesterification.  As mentioned above, VX(G) has an ethyl group, the isopropanol can chemically react with the VX(G) and remove the ethyl group substituting an isopropyl group, converting the VX(G) to GB, which is not counted. 

The real importance of this observation though is not so much that some GB is formed when the standards are analyzed, it is that water can also participate in this type of reaction.  Water vapor is present in the atmosphere at all times, and isopropanol is pretty rare thus water will dominate reactions with airborne VX.  The product of the transesterification reaction of VX(G) with water is fluoromethylphosphonic acid, a very high boiling point material that is not the object of any of the analyses. 

Thus at least two ‘side reactions’ are possible, one that produces GB, the other producing fluoromethylphosphonic acid that the instrument can not even see.  The danger here is that the unknown air sample has a significant amount of water vapor in it, which would lead to potentially significant undercounting of the quantity of VX present in a given air sample, and this underestimation would vary dependent on factors such as relative humidity and ambient temperature. 

This finding leaves open a huge question, i.e. how much of the VX floating around in the air is being converted to fluoromethylphosphonic acid and is lost to analysis?  No one has ever done these experiments and published the results.  This loss could be leading to extremely significant undercounting of the VX present in the air around these sites, resulting in the exposure of every one downwind for hundreds of miles due to the chemical stability of the VX molecule in the environment.

 

Summary of results of analytical methods findings

 

            The above descriptions, taken together make clear the following problems:

 

1)         The DAAMS tubes have a degree of variability in agent retention that precludes their effective use for determination of agent levels.

 

2)         The DAAMS tubes are very sensitive to conditioning and improper use or conditioning can irreparably damage the packing material making the tubes useless for agent monitoring.

 

3)         The silver fluoride conversion pads used for the detection of VX can cause the level of VX present to be significantly underestimated due to the presence of at least two competing side reactions that produce forms of VX that are not detected by the instrumentation.

 

4)         The DAAMS tubes in routine use are all significantly degraded and that agent spiked onto the tubes was not detectable at levels many times the danger level.

 

5)         The methods used in handling the DAAMS tubes damage their ability to capture agent from the air and there seems to be no procedure in place to retire tubes that are at the end of their useful lifetime.

 

Sulfur mustard and monitoring

 

            The authors make clear that the monitoring of sulfur mustard was relatively straightforward using the DAAMS technology.  This is likely due to the physical and chemical properties of sulfur mustard.  Mustard is easily distinguished from background interferences and it is well retained by the DAAMS tubes. 

Unfortunately the degradation of the tubes negatively effects mustard in the same manner as was observed for the nerve agents.  It is thus likely that the tubes used to monitor for mustard releases are also so damaged by use as to be completely useless. 

In addition it has come to light that many of the mustard preparations are contaminated with significant quantities of mercury. 

Mercury is an intensely toxic metal that evaporates easily at room temperature and that is not destroyed by the incineration process. 

Mercury is a potent neurotoxin, in fact the expression ‘mad as a hatter’ arises from the dementia caused in 19th century hat makers exposed to mercury that was at the time used in the making of felt for hats.

In the 1960’s there was an environmental disaster caused by mercury containing wastes that were dumped into Minimata Bay in Japan. 

Enormous damage was suffered by the people exposed to the released mercury.  The environment was extensively contaminated and many people suffered from unnecessary morbidity and mortality.  The industrial polluters released mercury into the environment because it would have cost more to prevent the releases.  The local population made its living by fishing.  The fish took up the mercury and the people ate the fish. 

The toxicity of mercury has been known for many years, and there is no excuse for willfully releasing it into the environment. 

The incinerators used for burning chemical weapons can be fitted with scrubbers to remove the mercury from the exhaust gasses, but the removal is not complete.  Thus anyone down wind will suffer exposure.  It is extremely irresponsible of the government and its contractors to dispose of mercury contaminated mustard by incineration. 

Everyone exposed will be poisoned, and of course the government will take steps to protect itself and its contractors from any liability to those who are injured.

 

 

 

 

Health effects of nerve agent exposure

 

            Everyone acknowledges that the nerve agents are acutely dangerous compounds.  What is less clear are the effects of exposure to low levels of these materials.  As doing experiments of this type on humans is no longer considered ethical, we must draw inferences from studies done on animals or epidemiological studies done on people exposed to similar materials, such as pesticides, in the course of their jobs. 

An ever increasing number of reports are being published that link exposure to chemicals of these types to a broad range of diseases.  Occupational and accidental exposures constitute the majority of cases, but there have also been studies of soldiers exposed in action. 

Sulfur mustard is acknowledged as a carcinogenic material.  It is known to react with and damage DNA, inducing irreversible mutations to the genetic code of the affected cells. It is also known to have other longer range effects.  Studies done of soldiers exposed to mustard during the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980’s have shown many long term effects, including elevated incidence of cancer, immune system problems, and a number of neurological problems such as intractable pain syndromes.   

            The nerve agents GB and VX are members of the organophosphate family that inhibit the activity of acetylcholinesterase, a critical enzyme involved in nerve signal transmission. 

As described above, these agents originated in pesticide research conducted during the inter-war years by German scientists.  VX was developed after the war by British scientists.  Interestingly, the scientific data and ‘formula’ for VX were transferred to the United States by the British government in exchange for nuclear weapons secrets developed during the war by the United States.  The Soviets developed their own chemical weapons program with some differences in the agents that were ultimately chosen to be developed into weapons. 

            Originally it was thought that the organophosphates exerted their effects exclusively through their inhibition of acetylcholinesterase.  Epidemiological studies of pesticide workers have shown though that these agents have a broad range of negative effects on human health.  In fact the United States Environmental Protection Agency has been considering a ban on this class of compounds.  Among the health effects noted are increases in non-Hodgkins lymphoma and brain tumors in the children of exposed parents, asthma and other immunological diseases have also been associated with exposure. 

There is considerable controversy surrounding the issue of Gulf War Syndrome.  It is a group of disparate symptoms associated with service in the first Gulf War.  It has so far remained mysterious despite intensive study by many researchers.  The causes are not clear, and the symptoms are not uniform.  But it is clear that those affected are sick, the questions are how it happened and why. 

Adding to the controversy, the U.S. government at first asserted that there was no agent exposure to coalition troops during the war.  Subsequent revelations have shown however that many troops were exposed to low levels of airborne agents during their service, most notably from the infamous Kamisiyah incident, where coalition troops used explosives to destroy a cache of Iraqi chemical munitions, in the process generating a huge cloud of agent that was swept by the wind over coalition positions extending many miles down wind from the explosion and exposing a long list of military units.

Nonetheless, many of the symptoms cited by the ailing soldiers are the same as those observed in those exposed to high concentrations of organophosphate pesticides, mostly farm workers, commercia

Senator Bob Casey's Surprise Endorsement


As a native Pennsylvanian who has watched state politics here for a long time, I have to say that Casey's endorsement of Obama is huge. Casey is seen by many in PA as the new face of the PA Dem party.

There is no one that doesn't recognize how huge his victory over Rick Santorum was in 2006. For many of us, Rendell represents the entrenched, corrupt Harrisburg political machine that has lost focus on the problems that face the largely rural population and farming families of Pennsylvania.

Obama has been seen as having strong support in the Philly and Pittsburgh corners of the state, but lacking in recognition in the "T". Casey brings his huge rural appeal and moderate/conservative credentials to Obama.

From Wikipedia: "Casey faced former Philadelphia mayor Ed Rendell in the Democratic primary election. Casey performed well in the rural areas of the state, and won a majority of Pennsylvania's counties. However, he lost to Rendell by 12 points, after Rendell was victorious in the state's major population centers. Rendell went on to win the general election."

The key here, again, is that the primary is not a winner-take-all kind of election. Each county awards delegates, and with Casey's connections to those rural counties that helped him beat Santorum, Obama will be able to increase his delegate count.

This also is a big boost for Obama in the northeast corner of the state. His connections to Scranton run a lot deeper than Hillary's. The Casey been been active on behalf of Pennsylvanians for decades, that fact that Hillary's grandfather lived in Scranton doesn't really count for much.

All said and done, Casey represents another surprising and highly influential endorsment for Obama. It's grey, cold, 30 degrees, and it snowed again last night in northwest PA, but it sure has turned out to be a nice day.

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/28/the-casey-endorsement/index.html?hp

Obama/Casey '08 ?


Casey could make a good VP for Obama: a fairly conservative Democrat, pro gun rights, pro life, Catholic, popular with blue-collar white Dems, from PA, etc. I like Jim Webb better myself, but whoever it is they will probably need similar quality to both of these guys.

Da-- you Barack Obama!


PG - 13 for language, watch.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6viAqJTyP7Y


"See we demand so much of our heroes we forget they're human beings. Placed on pedestals so high no mere mortal can reach them. Longing for SAINTS when what we really want is someone to inspire to be like. To remind is that we can all be better."

I should be President!!!!


My Friends,

I lead and will win the vote for those who mentally voted in the big primary state of my mind.  Yes, it was by the narrowest of margins, 1-0.  But, I still won. 

Didn't know the election was today?  Sorry.

Didn't know where to vote?  It was obvious.  Why the rest of you voted or caucused in those other elections, I will never understand. 

Those elections didn't count!!!

My ever-changing rules are the only ones that matter. 

Look, its the DNC that's killing me.  Their stupid, rigid rules are holding me back. 

Rules are meant to be broken, changed, and manipulated for my personel gain!

See, even the 42nd President of the United States, Bill Clinton, agrees with me....

In a conference call with Texas supporters, as reported by ABC News ...

"Right now, among all the primary states, believe it or not, Hillary's only 16 votes behind in pledged delegates," said Bill Clinton, "and she's gonna wind up with the lead in the popular vote in the primary states. She's gonna wind up with the lead in the delegates [from primary states]."

"It's the caucuses that have been killing us," he added.

Recession? Okay, lets raise taxes!


Obama's response to the economic slowdown or recession we are now in is to slap taxpayers with a large tax increase.  Obama wants to increase capital gains tax from today's 10% to at least 25%!  In the interview with CNBC today, he suggested a upward limit around 28%.  As the transcript reports, Obama is clear in acknowledging that that this will impact over 100 million Americans.  He also explained plans to raise the marginal tax rate working Americans pay to 39% on folks making $75,000 or more income.

Obama observes that his opponents "would like to paint me as this wooly-eyed, you know, liberal or wild-eyed..."  His defense to this is "I'm not going to [be] making these decisions based on ideology.   I am not a dogmatist."

Now, I have not yet read the entire transcript, but the first part is very threatening to working Americans and will, if implemented, leave us much poorer and less able to meet the higher costs we are seeing for our day-to-day necessities.  Outrageous!

Remember what happened to the last candidate who called for tax increases?  Anyone thinking Obama's double-digit tax increase plans won't impact his electability among working Americans must not themselves be a taxpayer.

Obama having difficulting winning over racists


From the Pew poll's crosstabs:

In particular, white Democrats who hold unfavorable views of Obama are much more likely than those who have favorable opinions of him to say that equal rights for minorities have been pushed too far; they also are more likely to disapprove of interracial dating, and are more concerned about the threat that immigrants may pose to American values. In addition, nearly a quarter of white Democrats (23%) who hold a negative view of Obama believe he is a Muslim.

Less educated and older white Democrats, who have not backed Obama in most primary elections, hold these values more commonly than do other Democrats.

These patterns suggest the potential for future reverberations from the Wright controversy if Obama wins the Democratic nomination. More conservative beliefs about equal rights and race are not only related to negative opinions of Obama among Democrats, suggesting the potential for defections among Democratic voters, but also are associated with negative views of him in the electorate at large.

An analysis of the survey finds that holding conservative positions on political and social values is associated with a greater likelihood of supporting McCain over Obama among Republicans, Democrats and independents, and all demographic groups. In contrast, however, this pattern is much less apparent in the Clinton-McCain matchup, excepting views about women in leadership roles.

One of the few negative trends for Obama following the Wright affair is that a larger number of conservative Republicans hold a very unfavorable opinion of him in the new poll than did so in February. The survey also finds that Obama no longer enjoys the favorable image rating advantage over McCain among independents that was apparent in previous polls.

University of Chicago Law School - Obama Was a Professor


The University of Chicago Law School issued a statement today that clarifies the fact the Obama was a professor while employed there:

"The Law School has received many media requests about Barack Obama, especially about his status as "Senior Lecturer." From 1992 until his election to the U.S. Senate in 2004, Barack Obama served as a professor in the Law School. He was a Lecturer from 1992 to 1996. He was a Senior Lecturer from 1996 to 2004, during which time he taught three courses per year. Senior Lecturers are considered to be members of the Law School faculty and are regarded as professors, although not full-time or tenure-track. The title of Senior Lecturer is distinct from the title of Lecturer, which signifies adjunct status. Like Obama, each of the Law School's Senior Lecturers have high-demand careers in politics or public service, which prevent full-time teaching. Several times during his 12 years as a professor in the Law School, Obama was invited to join the faculty in a full-time tenure-track position, but he declined."

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/28/832174.aspx

Obama Campaign Memo: Tonya Harding Tactics


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