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Will Supers Push Obama Into Being Independent

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If the Democratic Party insiders (super delegates) give the presidential nomination to Senator Hillary Clinton and by doing so ignore the fact that Senator Barack Obama has won both the popular vote and the majority of the, voted for, delegates, Senator Obama, should seriously consider running as an Independent in November 2008.


Comments (18)

It won't happen. Precisely because the superdelegates realize this.

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I don't think it will happen. But if Obama left the Democratic party, a lot of us would go with him.

That would be a terrible idea. He'd have no chance of winning if he ran as an independent. And he'd be ending any chance of ever getting the Democratic nomination in the future.


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None of that would surprise me. I doubt he gives a whit about the Democratic Party and, frankly, if any of you would follow him, Lieberman-style, to create their own party, obviously neither do you.

But, if that happens, at least we'll know with certainty it really is a cult of personality.

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So, would it be OK for me to encourage the idea that Sen. Clinton run as an independent in case she's not the nominee? Threaten to leave the Dems if *my* candidate is not the nominee?

No, that would be just another "Another Reason One Should Not Vote for Sen. Clinton"...

So, would it be OK for me to encourage the idea that Sen. Clinton run as an independent in case she's not the nominee? Threaten to leave the Dems if *my* candidate is not the nominee?

If Clinton grew the party through a highly effective grass roots campaign, won the popular vote and pledged delegates, and then lost the nomination because the super delegates decided to give it to Obama, then yes, it would be OK.


It's not going to happen. Period. Not Obama.

Frankly, I trust Obama more with urging his supporters to vote for Clinton in the unlikely event she gets the nomination than I do Clinton in the case of the more probable Obama candidacy. The Clintons are far more likely to sit on their hands - or worse, actively work to sandbag Obama.

Good reply, MMasonM.

Actually, pmj6, I think it's HIGHLY unlikely. Obama seems pretty dedicated to the Democratic Party, and if Hillary wins the nomination, I'm sure he'll encourage his supporters to rally around him.

I really think everybody can relax about this. The truth is, both candidates are very strong against the Republicans--I mean, come on...what've they got to offer except more war, torture, more debt, devaluing of the dollar and the economy, etc.? (Geez, just thinking about it makes me want to put on my Soundgarden CDs and go on a bender.)

The raison d'etre for the super-delegates is simply to protect the party from nominating a weak general election candidate. Neither of our candidates fit this description. So if Hillary ends up being the most popular Democratic candidate, she'll get the nomination. Likewise for Obama. In the case of a virtual tie, I'm sure the party will work something out that will not demoralize and drive away new Dem voters.

Understand that a lot of the sensitivity around this issue has to do with anxiety of being "over-ridden" by the party's elite insiders--something, generally speaking, MOST people would be aggrieved about. I just don't see that happening.

Remember, everyone...the good news is that all signs are the Democratic Party is re-energized! I am positive the party (and both candidates) aren't going to risk blowing that HUGE advantage going into the GE.

Everybody take a deep breath!!

Ooops! I meant I'm sure he'll encourage all his supporters to rally around HER! Sorry.

In the heat of the primary season, it's easy to lose sight of the fact that these are basically two mainstream Democratic politicians who are quite close together on the issues. There's no fuel to make a 3rd-party fire with here.

Barring some big Hillary upset in Wisconsin, Obama should be able to shore up his winning position over the next few weeks, and the superdelegates (who can read polls) will link arms and we'll all be singing Kumbaya by May Day.

If Obama wins the pledged delegates and the popular vote, but loses the nomination because of Super Delegates, Obama supporters need to rally to make him a write-in candidate, even if just out of protest of Hillary Bush-Whacking the nomination.

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I have to disagree with most of you. The democrats have experienced two elections recently where THEIR vote didn't seem to matter. Even thos their candidate won the majority of the votes, they lost because of a few delegates. Most of us political junkies know about Delegates and Super Delegates and who they are and why we have them. Unfortunately, there's a lot of voters that do not understand this. All they know is the majority rules law.

If as I said before, they lose once again, even tho their candidate won the majority vote and delegates - they will NOT understand the Super Delegate rules. They will be outraged.

I honestly believe that riots will happen, anger will be abundant. Hillary will lose by a big margin because the base will refuse to even bother voting.

It takes a village as Hillary says -- get enough people angry and that Independent base will grow like a balloon.

Coonsey's View
www.freewebs.com/coonsey/

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ROFLMAO! The superdelegates would push for Clinton, do not be so simple minded to think they are sweet on Obama..

I'm sure their corporate paymasters would be willing to court Obama were he to attain the presidency, and I'm sure he'd sit quite happily in their pockets (don't get all snippy now, you know it's true, he's been a bought man for at leasst 20 years), but Hillary is not only committed, she's connected up the yazoo to the same people Bush is. Understand this, there is a lot of money and power at stake and the superdelegates will try to steal this election for her, because she is already a known, reliable quantity for the corporate and foreign interests. She should NEVER be within an inch of the presidency, and that means not in the VP slot either.

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Where do you get the idea that I think supers will vote for Obama? In fact I think the opposite. Are you talking to me?

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I have no doubt that the losing candidate
will make a convention speech supporting the winner. I also have no doubt that some of the losers' supporters will choose not to vote in November.My gut feeling is that this may affect a greater % of Obama's supporters than of HRC's.
If he runs he will be bringing to the polls some number of blacks whose normal position , reasonably enough, is that voting is a waste of time.

Conversely, some of the losers' supporters will choose to swing to McCain in November, There my gut feeling is that this would be more likely among HRC's supporters since I suspect they include a greater number of cross-overs.

Of course an HRC/ Obama ticket would prevent either of those bad effects. I don't deprecate that possiblity.Makes at least as much sense as
JFK/LBJ.

Of course if we hope that our standard bearers
will behave properly we ought to try doing so ourselves and tamp down our own hyperventilating.

Obama, Gore, and Bloomberg should start their own party. With Bloomberg's money, Gore's connections, and Obama's community organizing and grass-roots support, I betcha they could get a lot of Democrats and maybe a few disaffected Republicans to jump ship. I mean, seriously, if the supers push Clinton through (the candidate who is trailing McCain by large margins in swing states, the candidate who completely effed up her campaign, the candidate who blew through all of her money, the candidate who half the country hates) - if they pick her, then obviously they're idiots. I swear that all the red-state Dems would join a new party. They're sick of getting shit on. Western state Dems. Midwest Dems. A few Dems from New England. Both the Democratic Party and the Republican Party are awful, contradictory institutions. Blow them up and start over.

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Flavius,


About Your comment, "I also have no doubt that some of the losers' supporters will choose not to vote in November.My gut feeling is that this may affect a greater % of Obama's supporters than of HRC's.
If he runs he will be bringing to the polls some number of blacks whose normal position , reasonably enough, is that voting is a waste of time."

DO YOU BLAME VOTERS FOR THINKING IT'S A WASTE OF TIME WHEN SITUATIONS LIKE THIS HAPPEN WHERE A SELECT FEW AMERICAN'S DECIDE WHO WILL BE OUR LEADER? THE LAST SELECT GROUP WAS THE SUPREME COURT - REMEMBER?

Coonsey's View
www.freewebs.com/coonsey/

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The Democratic Party needs Obama more than Obama needs the Democratic Party. He's energized voters that have never been concerned with politics. He is also already running as a DC outsider. He's used the Party to make his mark, but he should be encouraged away from the Party by the negative campaigning of Hillary. To remain in the Party is to be weighed down by the stench of her negative campaigning. He should leave the Party regardless of whether he is its nominee or not.

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