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What If Clinton Wins?

I have a bad feeling.  I don't know why, logic tells me a Clinton comeback is about as likely as Cheney suddenly announcing he'll run for President.
Maybe it was Obama gloomily telling reporters, "Remember New Hampsire."  Maybe it's the fact my volunteer calling didn't go well last night.  Or maybe it's my wife, constantly telling me she's worried, despite my arguments and "proofs" that Obama has this.  Or, maybe it's like Andrew Sullivan says (in his typical over-the-top style):
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/02/quiet-out-there.html

"We're at that moment in the campaign that reminds me of a horror movie. There's a kind of relief that the worst cannot happen, that the Clintons are politically dead, that our long national nightmare is over. The screen falls silent. We look at pleasant images: green grass, or a kitchen table scene, or a calm lovers' embrace. But you know they have something left. They could come suddenly screaming back, like that hand out of the grave in Carrie or Glenn Close in the bathtub in Fatal Attraction. An Edwards endorsement? A March surprise?

Like Freddy or Jason, they still lurk, ready to pounce again. And the credits are yet to roll. Gulp."


So, what how are other Obama supporters doing?  Are you nervous?


And what will you do if the unexpected actually happens, and Clinton DOES win?





Comments (90)

Well, if Hillary wins the nomination, the repugs don't even have to trudge up all of the crap from the 90's. All they have to do is trudge up all of the crap from this campaign. All they have to say is how she was willing to throw her own party under the bus, to do anything to regain power. If she wins the nom, all republicans have to do is pull on Obama supporters heartstrings. Saying that at least McCain is an ethical person, who went against his own party time and time again to do what is "right".

Hillary wont be able to fight McCain on the war mongering front, because she herself warned of a terrorist attack on day one, just like the British PM did.
She wont be able to fight on the economic front because her own campaign was poorly run.
She cant fight on the appointing loyal incompetent crony front, since her former campaign manager was just that.

The list goes on and on. In 1 word. She will lose the GE.

Hello President McCain

repugs

This has nothing to do with anything on this post, but I need to get this off my chest. It drives me crazy when posters use the term, "repugs". I think that we're all too old for schoolyard name calling. When you use the word, it makes you seem obnoxious and simpleminded, and it does not help you in the point that you're trying to make.

I should add that it's a sign of respect, mageduley, that I made this point on your comment. I wouldn't bother if it were written by some mindless venom spewer.

I totally agree, I hate seeing repugs, or repukes and any of that. I would hope that "our" side would raise the level of discourse even if the other side doesn't want to.

In regards to nerves about Obama: A recent internal from Hillary has her up in Texas and she's got a bit of a high from her fundraising number, I wish Obama had issued their number within an hour of hers to crush and mo' she may have gotten from them. I think if Hillary even squeaks by in Texas she'll claim a "huge" victory as an underdog. If she loses Ohio and Texas she won't drop out. What does she have to lose she's got tens of millions in the bank and Obama maybe found naked in bed with a nazi gay stripper between now and June, at least that's what her camp is hoping for.

You are right. I guess the term "repugs" resonates with me because it embodies the repugnant nature of the republican party. Basically using the least amount of words (or word) to instill the image I am trying to portray. Considering the massive amount of crapolla that this country has faced from the GOP, I personally thought the term was appropriate. But I will concede the point that the term may seem childish to some. I am seeing that I do need to rein in my passions if I am to support the candidate who does not resort to name calling.
Point well taken.

Guys, I like all of you but this is the Obama effect that's been bugging me so much... we can't make fun od the word Republican anymore? I mean, seriously. Screw civility.

Not that I'll vote for him, but if Clinton wins I'll prepare myself to accept President John McCain for the next four years (at least).

I'll answer your questions in order and, in a rare showing for me, I'll be reasonably succinct.

So, what how are other Obama supporters doing?

I'll assume this was what/how...

What? Trying to mirror my candidate's grace, calm, and most importantly measured restraint in the face of... Well, you know.

How? Fired up and ready to go.

Are you nervous?

No. I'm excited. I think 90% of the partisans on both sides of these issues are bluffing when they say that if _____ wins, I'll vote for McCain. With that outlook, I couldn't be more excited that Democrats, Republicans and Independents are saying "ENOUGH" and they seem to be realize that both Senator Clinton and Senator Obama would be a welcome change from the policies of George W. Bush, John McCain, and the Anti-Constitutional scoundrel wing of the GOP. The fundraising is up, the spirit of volunteerism is clearly there, and as a party, we're stronger. Obviously, in my mind, that means we're better off as a nation. This is exciting!

And what will you do if the unexpected actually happens, and Clinton DOES win?

Take a week to let all the negativity of this cycle subside. Look at my budget and the cycle of Obama donations I was going to make for the general election and start alternating them Clinton/DCCC/Clinton/DCCC. As I've always said, the next President of the United States will only be able to do great things for this country if the makeup of Congress is stronger than the current split. We'll either need a veto-proof majority or a filibuster-proof majority, and it is going to take money and leadership to make that happen.

This has been an ugly few weeks between the campaigns, and I doubt that Senator Obama and Senator Clinton are too fond of one another right now. But whoever wins the party's nomination is going to need a lot of help from the other between now and the general election. And if our next President is a Democrat, the other candidate is going to need to be a force in the legislature in order to make these ideas come to life. I hope both of our candidates realize those facts. I hope the bulk of their supporters realize those facts. I know we can get this campaign behind us and come together to support the nominee, and may the best candidate win.

First, I'd say I'm voting for Hillary in the Fall.

But really, when we consider the "what if" of a Hillary nomination, we have to look at that scenario. Almost certainly at this point she's going to need either superdelegates to overturn the pledged delegate count or need the Florida and Michigan delegates to somehow be seated.

Given that, I think that any scenario with Hillary as the nominee leaves the Democratic electorate in shambles because it will be viewed as "stolen" (especially by the newer voters and the anti-Hillary block of Obama supporters). I think a huge portion of Obama voters will (in this scenario) sit out the election rather than vote for Hillary.

Although, if this is the scenario then I also think Clinton would be desparate enough - and might be forced by the DNC and the electorate -to unify the party by putting Obama on the ticket.

He would accept and the Clinton-Obama ticket beats McCain/Gingrich.

Again, this ain't happening - but a fun exercise to imagine this alternate future of the campaign. In my alternate future can Dick Cheney go to jail too?

I just did a spit-take (and not a hahaha, but an oh sh!t spit-take)...

Did I miss a memo? Where did you come up with McCain/Gingrich? We cannot, under any circumstances, have Gingrich one heartbeat away from the Oval Office. He has already flown too close to that sun. I guarantee you he would smother McCain in his sleep with a Karl Rove throw pillow. Tell me you just made that up...

I'm not betting on Gingrich, but it would bring the Conservatives back to him and it has been talked about very recently:

"Newt Gingrich Would Consider A Run At Vice President" - Dec. 2007

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2007/12/newt-gingrich-w.html

well, we can always hope...

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I will be one of them, and I'm not proud of it but there it is. I won't have another vote for a Clinton on my conscience.
I voted for Bill twice, and when the Clintons won in 92 I was ecstatic, for a few weeks. Then, to my horror and astonishment, Hillary invited healthcare industry lobbyists to help her write her much-heralded "reform" bill, IN SECRET, excluding members of her own party (pre-Cheneying Cheney). During the next eight years the Clintons gave us NAFTA, Ending Welfare As We Know It (shepherded through [over the passionate opposition of, among others, Marian Edelman, who Hillary invoked yesterday in her shameless blog on HuffPo] by Hillary Friend Dick Morris, hired gun for both parties); Iraqi sanctions that killed half a million Iraqi kids... well, I'll stop, you get my drift.
I held my nose and voted for Bill again in 96, but it was a lesser of two evils choice and I almost didn't vote, because he had just signed Dick Morris's welfare bill, to great fanfare, without any concern or provision for millions of helpless children - who Hillary HAD TO KNOW would be thrown into even more abject poverty.
Hillary's arrogant, calamitous, dishonest, slanderous, Rove-channeling campaign should tell us exactly what kind of president she would be; and her chief strategist, Mark Penn, PR honcho for the worst corporations in the world, including Monsanto, Exxon, and Blackwater, should tell us who she works for - like we didn't already know. Charlie Black, McCain's adviser, and Mark Penn, Hillary's adviser, work for the same people. What's wrong with this picture? Not a thing - it's a snapshot of the Establishment!
I'm tired of the Clintons and the horse they rode in on. I am a woman and a progressive and a feminist and I'd love to live to see a woman president - but this woman is a cynical politician who works for the corporate power structure: the corporations that have come so close to destroying this country and the planet we live on.
As to Hillary's scary Red Phone ad, I think and hope that was a grave tactical error; I bet it will be up on Youtube juxtaposed with Bill in 2004, and with clips of the Hillary meltdowns of the last few weeks. As in - do you seriously think we want Hillary answering that phone?

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Yes, Andrew Sullivan is always so prescient and wise. What national nightmare? The long national nightmare of peace and prosperity during the two Clinton administrations? The largest and longest economic expansion in our history? The drawing down of the defense department? Schip? That was all nightmare for you? Andrew Sullivan endorsed Bush. Sullivan was one of the media enablers who put him in power and supported his war. He never had a good word to say about any democrat ever. He's a conservative. He ran TNR into the ground, he published the Bell Curve, Stephen Glass, the most atrocious hatchet jobs on Clinton's health care plan that journalism schools today use it as an example of malicious and BAD reportage. Andrew Sullivan is HIV positive and solicits unprotected sex over the internet, and then has the temerity to complain that Clinton is "immoral?" Look at the hell that prick put Gore through and you think this guy is your friend? He supported the Bush administration, he egged on the canards, the lies, the stories that fueled the press's war on Gore and the democrats. All those conservative pundits who were praising Obama when he was challenging Clinton are already turning on him now that he's the front runner.

BOTH candidates would make good presidents. This isn't a game you selfish assholes, this is real - the future of this country is at stake, and a democrat in the WH is the GOAL - no matter who wins, the nominee will have my full, enthusiastic support.

Selfish assholes, ehhh Bev?!?!?!

You stay classy now, alright?

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You are if you're too selfish or too stupid to vote democrat in the election. Just because you hate Clinton it doesn't mean everyone does.

I think what Andrew means by "national nightmare" is the intense partisan politics of the last 16 years.

Now, I'm not blaming the Clintons for that, it was a right-wing tactic. BUT, I do believe that nominating Hillary Clinton is NOT the best way for progressives to win.

For one thing, rightly or wrongly, anything Hillary introduces will be automatically discredited by the right. It will be a battle to pass the laws we want even if Obama is elected.

Of course, I'll support Hillary in the general, despite her Bush-like attack ads. (How do YOU sleep at night, Hillary?!?)

But, I obviously prefer Obama, and worry if Clinton can even win the general. She certainly can't win Texas in the general, and I believe Obama at least has a chance of winning Texas, albeit a small one. Even the majority of Texans are against the war, and think the economy is going to hell! (according to a CNN poll)

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No, that's not what Andrew Sullivan means. He's said it before. This person spent his entire career beating up on dems. He's been wrong on every single issue just like Bill Kristol, David Brooks, Richard Cohen and all the other "pundits" who run our political discourse.

Wait.. this is real?!

Why didn't someone tell me sooner...

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I'm with you - I know I'm going to wake up shortly with a sigh of relief, and Al Gore will still be president.

If Hillary wins the nomination, then I'll vote for her in the fall and I'd vote for Obama, if he becomes the nominee. My concern is that we win back the White House and reestablish the principles upon which this nation was founded. My vote is not beholden to any single individual and the overwhelming majority of exit polls show that most others feel the same way.

Pretty simple, actually. We'll hold our noses, vote for her, while McCain takes the Independents and Diebold takes the rest. Then, 8 more (no, 100 more!) years of pax Americana.

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urbinato,

You Post:
Given that, I think that any scenario with Hillary as the nominee leaves the Democratic electorate in shambles because it will be viewed as "stolen" (especially by the newer voters and the anti-Hillary block of Obama supporters). I think a huge portion of Obama voters will (in this scenario) sit out the election rather than vote for Hillary.

The converse is true as well.

If Obama is the nominee,it will be viewed as "stolen". The difference is that the "newer voters" will not impact Hillary in the general election. I think a larger portion of Hillary supporters will be inclined not to sit out the election but vote for McCain.

Really? Well, if Hillary voters are willing to vote for McCain, that's pretty damning evidence that Hillary voters are Democratic.

(if I read you right?)

In any case, it's moot, b/c it's BS. Most people don't care.

Magister is 100% correct: MOST Hillary supporters will vote for Obama, and vice versa.

I would like to know why you think Hillary supporters will view Obama as "stealing" the election, considering he's leading in the popular vote as well as the delegate count!

If Hillary can overtake Obama in both these areas, then she wins.

I of course meant, NOT Democratic, but since the whole take is kind of sarcastic anyway...

My concern is that we win back the White House and reestablish the principles upon which this nation was founded.

I see very little difference between the Bushes -- who flaunt the rules by doing things in secret -- and the Clintons -- who flaunt the rules by legalistic mumbo jumbo.

I don't see the Clintons reestablishing the principles upon which this nation was founded. Suing state parties? Constantly griping? Bullying? Populace fearing stolen elections?

This is why dynasty politics must end.

Once upon a time an election was a means to an end. Now with the Bushes and Clintons, the election has become an end unto itself.

I gather your comment was directed toward me. (You now have to tick the little box; It's like a Texas primary: a two-step process)

The facetious answer would be that if anyone knows about the wrongness of using an investigation or subpoenas as a fishing expedition, it'd be the Clintons. The same could also be said for presuming guilt based on little to no evidence. But, I'm sure they also support the right to protest, freedom of religion and privacy rights to name a few.

Let's be honest here: GWB hasn't trounced my right to protest any more than the Clintons have trounced my right to vote in an open election.

Or any less.

I assume you're voting and nobody put you in a cage to do it, nor did they make you do it down the street and out of sight from polling station?

And I assume you can take to the street and protest the Iraq war?

If you want to claim that Bush has subtlety eroded some rights (a possible claim), I merely point out that the Clintons, especially during this campaign, have constantly sought to thwart rules when in their way in a similar fashion.

And therefore, I see no evidence of them not doing similar things in office.

Which is what you are complaining about with Bush.

It's not that you should be for Bush, it's you should recognize the same bad tendency in the current Clinton campaign.

I just happen to have these two links within reach, so they shouldn't be given any particular weight because they were just easiest for me to grab and they don't represent isolated incidents...

"Reno activists say domestic spying isn’t merely about catching Al Qaeda";
http://www.newsreview.com/reno/Content?oid=oid%3A45882

"FBI targeted political protesters in ‘domestic terrorism’ cases"
http://www.csindy.com/gyrobase/Content?oid=oid%3A16910

"Could publication of the domestic-spying story lead to indictment of the New York Times"
http://bostonphoenix.com/boston/news_features/other_stories/multi_5/documents/05188679.asp

Exactly right. And this might have been anticipated in how Bush ran his campaign.

The similarities with the Clintons means that we don't want to give them the same opportunities of power misuse.

VOTING FOR McCAIN because Obama lost to Clinton DID Y'ALL SMOKE WEED OR SOMETHING??!?!
Yes, I am shouting at you clearthinker!!!

People who do that are either:
1. really dumb
2. Repuges-trolls or Repukes. Repubes. Whatever.
3. GULLIBLE! They have swallowed all Repubes propaganda that HRC is evil, or whatever she might've done.

I'd like to leave you with a little song:

Are you Insane?
DON'T vote for mccain!
Don't be stupid, be a smarty,
Come and join the Democrat Party!

Who DA F... CARES who leads the Democrats? As long as it IS a Democrat!

This thing is over. Actually, it's been over for awhile now. The exact moment it ended was immediately after the Wisconsin primary, when Hillary was giving her non-concession speech to a modest gathering of disappointed supporters in Youngstown, Ohio and all of the networks cut away from that lead balloon to show Obama raising the roof in front of 20,000 raucous fans down in Houston, Texas. You can fool most of the people practically all of the time but when the guys sitting in the corner offices at the networks decide you're no longer relevant, well, that pain in your neck is from the big fork that's sticking out of it.

Clinton won't drop out this week. If she was capable of that, she wouldn't be Hillary Clinton. She's still polling okay in Ohio, she likes her chances in Pennsylvania, she and Bill are holding the chits of a bunch of undeclared super delegates and the Florida/Michigan fiasco is yet to be settled. That all adds up to continuing the fight at least through Ohio.

But make no mistake about it: Hillary's campaign is well into its endgame now. She'll be fine, by the way. It's even money her next job title will be Senate Majority Leader. Assuming she doesn't burn too many bridges between now and the Democratic National Convention.


****I posted this on my new blog at http://lastkaul.blogspot.com
Please check it out. I'd appreciate any feedback you could give me. Thanks

Hillary Clinton as majority leader? Never in a million years after this campaign.

First, majority leader is about building consensus.

Second, Hillary is currently at war with the Democratic Party.

Think about it: suppose you and coworkers got together in your office and promoted someone to boss. Would you and your coworkers pick the biggest jackass and promote them? As your boss?

Based on Hillary's behavior, I am willing to bet that she has no intention on running for election in 2012. Voters may have short memories, but Senators never do.

Clearthinker, I don't follow. She is fighting hard to win the Democratic nomination. She has won almost half of the delegates nationally after two-thirds of the primary campaign. You may not like some of the tactics her campaign has used -- neither do I -- but I hardly think she is at war with the entire party. She's trying to beat Obama. I'm not sure she's done herself irreparable damage within the party at this point.

Suing state parties is not a way to garner votes or respect.

In her 7 years in the Senate, she has not been on much significant legislation to my knowledge. Compare her career after 7 years to say, Lyndon Johnson's.

HRC also doesn't have the personality to be majority leader. Majority leader is supposed to get things through Congress. After this campaign, I'm comfortable with the notion that Hillary is a one-note politician and only understands the sledgehammer. And if her arguments don't persuade you, her next tactic is to scream louder -- with the same arguments. She has significant problems bringing people together.

She might, at best, be Senate Whip -- whose job it is to often be the "bad cop". Her personality is much more suited for that position.

Hillary is a prime example of a peter principle. Barring any twists of events, she has risen to the level of her competence: Senator of a state that pays a large premium for celebrity and whose party controls that state.

You have a point. Whip wouldn't be an unreasonable fit. I would argue, though, that no one has passed much significant legislation in the past 7 years. It's not really what this congress does, is it?

It used to be! That's why the tone of the national discussion must change and HRC only brings more of the same.

agreed.

I would argue, though, that no one has passed much significant legislation in the past 7 years.

I hope you're making a failed attempt at irony. You find none of these to be significant?**

-- USAPATRIOT Act
-- Confirmation of Alito*
-- AUMF
-- Military Commissions Act
-- Multiple renewals of funding for Iraq
-- Extensions of domestic spying authorizations
-- Kyle/Lieberman
-- Confirmation of Roberts*

The past seven years have probably seen the largest quantity of transformative legislation since the New Deal, maybe the Civil War, maybe even the Constitutional Convention.

* Yes, I am aware that confirmations are not legislation.

** For you style critics out there, I DID click on "Reply" and check the "In reply to" box, so if this shows up at the bottom, don't bother reminding me.

LOL! You are exactly correct, Tankard, and I stand corrected.

I will *not* make that type of misstatement again!

;-)

Why won't the media end their unfair treatment of Hillary Clinton and stop hammering on these points?!

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Clearthinker:

If you honestly believe that Hillary Clinton is at war with the Democratic Party, then you are saying that the Democrats have absolutely no chance of winning the election in November. If Senator Obama is the nominee, the last thing he wants or needs, is a war with Hillary Clinton. If there is a war, then Obama will have to stop it. He has no choice.

If you think that Senator Obama can win this election without the support of Senator Clinton and the millions of Democrats who have voted for her, then I really have to respectfully disagree. Remember 1980. An unhappy Teddy Kennedy and supporters of him, like me, were angry and we never forgave Carter, and it was the biggest mistake of my voting career to vote third-party. But that is what happens if the nominee is unable to unify his/her base.

Senator Obama knows that all too well. He will woo Senator Clinton until the cows come home and then some. And he will do that because he should do that, because he is in this thing to win it. And, hopefully, so are we all.

HRC is at war with the Democratic Party - not Obama in particular. Party leaders aren't happy with her. Voters in states where she chooses not to campaign are not important. And she sues states where she chooses to campaign but it worried about winning.

If you are a strong Ted Kennedy supporter, why aren't you backing Obama like he is?

You can fool most of the people practically all of the time but when the guys sitting in the corner offices at the networks decide you're no longer relevant, well, that pain in your neck is from the big fork that's sticking out of it.

HRC hasn't really been doing concession speeches, as is the custom in elections. As I read it, the networks were featuring her in expectation that she would (or might, considering her track record) congratulate Obama. Instead she launched into her stump and started to rail on Obama. I believe it was a good call to cut her off. OTOH, O's speech was no ordinary victory speech, either. He also launched his stump speech, and I'm surprised the nets covered all 45 minutes of it.

So, no, I don't think her post-WI performance that night was a sign that her campaign was done. With the exception of the TX debate there haven't been any convincing signs from HRC herself that the race is done.

she and Bill are holding the chits of a bunch of undeclared super delegates...

Hmm, what brings you to that conclusion? I'm with the pundits who've opined that all the definite HRC supporters have publicly declared. Those who haven't declared yet are probably not particularly beholden to the Clintons, but simply waiting to see if Obama can build an unstoppable lead. It's certainly possible they could move to HRC, but she's going to have pick up a LOT of delegates next Tuesday to get their support, IMO.

The fact that they covered all of Obama's speech argues my point -- that they have "declared" him the winner. And, no, I don't expect to see any concrete signs of HRC quitting until she does so. I think the whole "I'm honored...we'll be fine," moment at the end of the TX debate could be read as a bit of resignation on her part, though.

Also, it's not that I think a bunch of super delegates are going to move to HRC. I don't. It's just that, it's been common wisdom since this thing began with HRC the prohibitive favorite, that the Clinton machine was powerful and relevant enough still to sway the big boys of the Democratic party. Which was the case until Obama-mania took over. A perfect case in point is John Lewis yesterday. Up until yesterday, he was a powerful ally of the Clinton's and considered firmly in their camp.

I'm saying that the Clinton's assumptions that were in place before the campaign began no longer hold water. Another reason she's cooked.

Interesting point, but when you say the networks have decided the race for Obama, it's overstating the reality on the ground. If the media had to power to call the race, HRC would have won last year. ;-)

I can't remember where I read it, sometime in the last couple of days, an analysis of the SDs, saying that 80% of HRC's committed SDs are those non-elected party officials. (Or was it that 80% of those non-elected officials have gone for HRC.) Either way, a substantial portion of her current pledged support from SDs is not from current members of Congress but from party officials. A large proportion of those undecided are elected officials. Will get a link when I can dig it up.

Also keep in mind the recent reports of contributions from HRC or O to the SDs campaign funds. That's continuing to have an impact.

I'm sorry but no. There used to be a time that I would've whole-heartedly supported her as Majority Leader (let's face it, Reid is a total feather when it comes to standing up for the correct causes), but I want someone that respects the Constitution, someone that fights for the Middle Class and someone that has proven in the past that they'll tackle unpopular causes without checking to see which way the winds blow.

I support Russ Feingold as Senate Majority Leader.

Sorry, Genghis I often use the Repub rather than Repug or Rethug, and after being raised in a predominantly Red state by a lobbyist for a major Telecom and a lifelong Republican, I obviously have a deep respect for my family members and friends who happen to be Republican. However after the last 8 years of trashing the name liberal, dismissing the word progressive and basically undermining the efforts of environmentalist, progressives and free-market reformers using smear tactics and wedge issues to scare America and blame all of the problems we face as Americans on these groups, I have a little more than a small amount of pent up anger and frustration.

As for Hillary pulling off the nomination, I will state that if she were to win it, no matter how she won it, I would vote for a Dem. As an Obama supporter I know that his career will not be finished after this election, and many of the new democrats as well as some of those established democrats are going to continue to bring progressive policies and moderate proposals through congress. On another note if she wins this campaign the way that she has been doing it so far, her image as well as those of her Husbands will be forever changed in my mind. It would seem that the term, 'slick willie' used by many of my Republican friends could encompass many of the tactics that she has so far used this campaign.

I have a bad feeling. I don't know why, logic tells me a Clinton comeback is about as likely as Cheney suddenly announcing he'll run for President.

Reflecting on your opening statement, I understand having a lingering feeling of dread. I'd prefer to liken it to pre-game jitters more than anything. The interval between the Potomac Primaries and next Tuesday is feeling like an eternity, which I suspect must be true for most of us political junkies. As O supporters we really want to believe the polls, but we have a glaring example of inaccurate predictions, from NH. And with 2 weeks to prepare, one has to think HRC has established a better ground game for OH/TX than she has for previous contests.

I think the anxiety is understandable, but I continue to rely on the trends to tell me everything is fine. One poll is not going to tell us much, but two weeks of polls in which the trend is definitely moving in O's favor is what I'm turning to in moments when some news item or another bumps my anxiety level up.

And if Clinton wins? Time to start rationalizing with respect to her weaknesses and jump on the bandwagon to support her for November. To me, getting a Dem in the WH is the ultimate goal, so I think our efforts in support of the candidate in November, should it be HRC, will need to be redoubled.

But really, let's hope this is over next Tuesday so we can train our sights on McCain and get ourselves together and positioned for the coming onslaught from the right.

Whoops! Meant WI/HI when I said two weeks since the last primaries...

What about the term "wingnuts"?

Methinks both sides toss that one around... even if it doesn't apply to Dems. ;-)

this obama supporter is not nervous- four days out and I feel confident that obama takes texas by a dozen points and ohio by a handful. I'm not losing any sleep over the close polls.

Should HRC win the nomination, she will have my vote and she will clobber McCain. While most people are focused on the personalities of the candidates (which do matter), I'm pretty confident the mood of this nation is so ripe for change from the republicans, that November will be one of the GOPs worst election cycles on record.

I like your optimism, but I think it will be a tough fight even for Obama.

The Republicans already won two elections I thought they couldn't, I'm not counting them out until Obama (or Hillary) is in the White House.

My bigger fear is that she'd rather burn down the house if she can't get it.

-Continue doing McCain "fear" ads (like today's with little white girls snug in their beds)
-Send out mailers the day before primaries with fear-mongering over social security, etc.
-Attempt racial sabotage or strategic leaks about how he's really x or y

Or, try to make sure he's out in four years and run again.

-Try to delay Obama's turn to engage McCain
-Oppose him from the senate from the right of him

I'm actually not worried about any of those things.

Any attacks now against Obama will actually HELP him deflect the same attacks in the general.

It helps he's going strong against the attacks: McCain is less likely to use the fear card, if he knows it will be trumped by the "you support 100 years of war" card.

Obama is doing very good against combining his attacks against Hillary, Bush and McCain.

Linking Hillary to Bush is obviously good as a Democratic candidate. Earning the ire of a 19% approval rating President can't be bad.

Hurting McCain in the process?

Priceless.

Hillary und Bill lost me over a year ago - she is a shriil that will keep us In purgatory forever.

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I'm a conservative Independent who wants with all her soul to not vote Republican this time around. HRC seems to be out on a daily basis to remind me of why it is that I would never ever vote for her. This makes me a big supporter of Obama. I've even donated!

I really will be crushed if HRC somehow slithers her way to the nomination. And, alas, I will probably have to give up my strong desire about not voting Republican. On this scenario, the democrats would have served up a politician who embodies the Bush-Clinton era-style of win-at-all-costs politics. The Republicans, by contrast, would have managed to nominate the guy who the hard right loathes. Barring unforeseen developments, I'd have to vote McCain.

Appreciate the commentors who have asked posters to refrain from using the term 'repug'. I know that partisan politics is fun for the partisans. But it really is a turn-off to non-partisans, even those who are highly energized by a candidate this time around.

I don't like name-calling on either side.

I will say the more divisive this campaign becomes, the less likely we are to have a unified front against McCain.

Here we go again.

You need to work on your reading comprehension.

In response to the question:

"And what will you do if the unexpected actually happens, and Clinton DOES win?"

I wrote:

"Take a week to let all the negativity of this cycle subside. Look at my budget and the cycle of Obama donations I was going to make for the general election and start alternating them Clinton/DCCC/Clinton/DCCC. As I've always said, the next President of the United States will only be able to do great things for this country if the makeup of Congress is stronger than the current split. We'll either need a veto-proof majority or a filibuster-proof majority, and it is going to take money and leadership to make that happen."

See Bev, if you read carefully, you can draw an easy inference that I'm going to vote for HRC from the fact that I indicated I would be willing to give her my money. I should've spelled that out explicitly, I know, but I take voting too seriously not to do it and I take the Supreme Court too seriously to vote for John McCain. I guess if you read carefully, you could also easily infer that I'm so disgusted by HRC and her campaign shenanigans to date that I'm going to take a week off to steel myself for the "John and Hillary In Paris"-style lovefest that Bill predicted. But I know better. I've seen enough of your comments to realize that you don't read anything to closely...

One thing I will give you: If we Obama supporters are all "kool-aid drinkers" I would like it noted for the record that a lot of Hillary's supporters do a fantastic job of mimicking her unfortunate habit of denigrating those who don't share her views...

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Hillary Clinton is the most overrated senator in history. She's accomplished nothing. Her bills don't even have co-sponsors. On the biggest vote of her life, she screwed the pooch. She didn't even read the intelligence estimate before she voted to authorize the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people.

As First Lady, the job that supposedly gives her unique insight into the presidency, she failed to foresee the consequences of Nafta ("Seemed like a good idea at a time") and she pursued a flawed strategy on health care that arrogantly dismissed bipartisan compromises suggested by members of her own party. Both failures have brought untold adversity to millions of people.

And she's learned nothing. The pandering to the war party is still there in her vote for Kyl-Lieberman and the arrogance is still there in her refusal to apologize for sending thousands of our sons and daughters to their deaths for no good reason.

To this toxic stew, she's added an astonishingly large sense of entitlement.

So I can be pretty confident that electing her in November would be worse for the Democratic Party -- at all levels -- than electing her husband was. Watch her write off the red states in the fall campaign, watch their recovering Democratic Party organizations wither, watch howard Dean get the boot and watch the Republican-endorsing Clinton crony Harold Ford take over the DNC and end the 50-state strategy.

Then watch the Republicans take congress back in 2010, if they don't get it in November as Republicans who haven't voted for anyone since Reagan and who wouldn't cross the street for John McCain, come out in force to vote against Hillary Clinton.

That means I won't be voting for her. And if McCain wins and women, who will have been responsible for giving the nomination to Hillary in the first place, lose the right to choose when McCain appoints the next Supreme Court justice? Well, cry my a f*ckin' river.

Well, that's harsh. I don't agree at all.

Even though I dislike Hillary, and agree with some of your points, she's still 10 times better than McCain.

It's just that Obama's a thousand times better...

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She's probably 10 times better than McCain. But there is more at stake than four years in the White House. There's the whole 14-year rebuilding effort that the Democratic Party has had to undergo after being triangulated into irrelevance by Bill and Hillary.

Electing Hillary, with her attitude towards red states (and their voters' attitudes towards her) gives Congress the governorships and the state legislatures back to the Republicans. And how effective is she going to be when she wins 270 electoral votes and loses the popular vote by a million or two?

Her presidency is not going to be a fiasco for her, but for the whole Democratic Party.

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Right now I don't know what I'd do. The Clintons are counting on us having to vote for her anyway. How sad that that is acceptable to them.

I didn't feel this way two months ago. The Clintons have cut away at me a million different ways, and I'm raw. If she pulls this off with the distortions and underhandedness and mean-spiritness she's obviously enjoyed, it will be hard to get over it. Can't believe I'm saying this, but it's true.

I live in a "safe" state. For all her spin about Obama not winning the big states, is there any doubt that New York, Massachusetts, New Jersey and California are going for a democrat? Come on. That he could pull even one or two purple/red states would be an amazing achievement and create the mandate for the next four years. He would have coattails to bring in democratic congressmen, one district at a time. The way republicans built their majority. And she would rob us of this for her petty, selfish ambition. Come on guys: would anyone who had lost 11 races in a row still be in the race? Romney, Guiliani got out, when it still would have been feasible for them to win, for God's sake. But the Clintons will drag the entire party, and the country, through their personal dramas, regardless of the cost. It's truly despicable.

At this point, since I'm in a safe state, I'll probably just not vote for president. But the Supreme Court is at stake, and a President McCain is terrifying.

I'm so angry the Clintons have put us through this, for a SECOND term in the White House. Disgusting.

Though I have come to realize that you will never recognize this possibility, some of us do hate Hillary Clinton, but rather see her for the triangulating, rubber-stamping legislative lightweight that she is.

It doesn't help that she keeps the company of people like Mark Penn, either. He practices that most insipid form of emotional manipulation, public relations.

When will Hillary Clinton be called on to dejectanouncify her two degrees of separation from Blackwater?

Hmm.. that was supposed to be in response to BevD and it was supposed to say "don't hate."

I echo your sentiments, and I didn't feel this way two weeks ago. I apologize to the Hillary-haters I've defended her to over the years. There are no words for the revulsion I feel toward her tactics and the damage she is doing to the Democratic Party.

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Obama will also make his case to the Democratic voters. He won't demand healing, like Hillary would. He would inspire it. Not everyone. Not right away. But I predict the party will be happier with him as the race goes on.

IF he wins the nomination. Anything can happen. It's the Clintons.

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Read carefully. Every vote for Hillary Clinton is just the same as a vote for John McCain. She has no chance in the general election. None. But worse than that, she has no coat tails. We will lose seats in the house and Senate with her at the top of the ticket. People really do hate her that much. t used to be just Republicans and neo-cons. Now there are other democrats who hate her with a passion previously reserved for Karl Rove.

I actually live in Ohio. The Obama team is poised to battle team Clinton to a draw, if not win the primary outright. It sounds like Texas is the same. The only way Clinton will 'win' the nomination will be to convince Superdelegates to ignore all the other voters and coronate her at a brokered convention. I don't think it is to strong to say that 'there will be blood.' After that, you all can call for party unity and sing kumbaya all you like. Millions of disgusted democrats will simpl change the channel when election news comes on and will have other plans come election day.

There will be a woman President in the near future, I predict. But it will never be Hillary Clinton.

For the life of me, I don't understand:

I can want to vote against HRC without hating her. Why do people assume that I hate her if I don't want her elected?

This idea that I am emotionally involved with the woman tells me more about her campaign than anything else.

I really, really, really, do not want to see any Clinton in the White House and I can feel that way without hating her.

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I can want to vote against HRC without hating her.

At least you can comfort yourself you are average even though not normal. :-)

Best, Terry

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Gotta say it, all these predictions about how Hillary can't win, yadda yadda, how if she did win it will be terrible yadda yadda,--well folks, that is how some of us see Obama.... I will hold my nose and vote for him if he is the democratic nominee (I would NEVER EVER vote for McCain!!!), but I really won't expect much of anything to change. In fact, if by some miracle Obama is our next president, I think that a lot of folks are going to be really disappointed.
Seems like out of a population of more than 300 million people we ought to be able to do a lot better than we ever seem to do.

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Clinton/McCain Ticket Seems Already in Place

While others have been talking about what will Clinton supporters do if Obama is elected and what will Obama supporters do if Clinton is nominated, let me swing this back to what I think is even more important:

THE CLINTON CAMPAIGN IS HELPING REPUBLICANS. She is running general election ads as if Obama is her opponent from another party. Republicans are sitting on the sidelines watching with glee. Is this what someone who cares about the party would do? Have Obama ads attacked her with Republican attack lines? Has he provided the Republicans fodder for a general election campaign.

A general election is about winning over the middle, the independents and whoever is the nominee should not come out weakened by their opponent from the SAME party.

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In the end, I'll hold my nose and vote for Obama and I expect that's the way it will turn out. The primary reasons for doing so are Ginsberg, Stevens and, hopefully, Scalia.

Word.

And really, if Scalia retires, Thomas will have to, too, because he won't know how to vote otherwise.

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...because he won't know how to vote otherwise.>/i>

LOL Got that right.

SC, the problem is the more lunatic fringe of Hillary supporters have bought into Mark Penn's talking points--small states, caucuses, black votes, independents, they're all CHEATING. And it's true--if we only count NY, CA, and MA, then Hillary wins in a landslide. Of course the real lunatic fringe of Hillary's supporters think Obama is Hilter/the antichrist.

I get very mad at Hillary and, in fact, publicly said I would never vote for her here the other day, but the Supreme Court is far too important. And John McCain is a warmonger.