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Penn-ism du jour . . . enjoy
Two days later, after Obama’s eighth straight victory, Penn told reporters: “Winning Democratic primaries is not a qualification or a sign of who can win the general election. If it were, every nominee would win because every nominee wins Democratic primaries.”
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Comments (86)
Oh priceless. Watching Mark Penn is like watching a trainwreck. No, like ATTENDING a train wreck.
The best criticism of Hillary Clinton is that she refuses to fire incompetents. She cannot fire her husband, fair enough, but Trainwreck keeps on billing and spending.
February 16, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Train wreck as candidate = Train wreck as president.
Obama is the sane choice. ♪♪♪
February 17, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Has there ever been a Democrat who *didn't* win the majority of Democratic primaries and got elected president? Sweet merciful crap, how stupid does Mark Penn and the Clinton campaign think we are?
February 16, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, and red is not blue. But whoever wins the most delegates gets to be the nominee. And you can jump up and down and yell at the world because you feel entitled, but in the end it doesn't help and you will have to come to terms with the fact that you lost, however unfair it may feel because you thought you were supposed to be the queen-bee. There will be a queen bee someday, maybe in eight years, being part of a sixteen or more years of democratic dominance, but it will not be you. Because you felt entitled and decided that you did not have to work after super tuesday because it would be wrapped up. Well, it was not. You did not forsee it, did not plan for the worst, and that is the reason you should not and will not be president. Barack Obama will and he will be a great president. Not because of his charisma but because of his policies and his ability to get things done. The end of polarized politics is near.
February 16, 2008 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
do we seriously want to put up with 4-8 years of this bullshit? haven't we had enough of this during the current administration?
February 16, 2008 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillarious. Let's see what other fiction he can Penn next.
I've heard of spinning, but this has to be a joke. I hope. Either he thinks America is stupid or he's really THAT dumb.
If he thinks that theory holds a shred of logic, then how about this... Dear Hilary, having worked in the White House is not a qualification or a sign of who has enough experience to be President. If it were, then Monica Lewinsky should run for President. Or perhaps the housekeeper who was there far longer than you.”
February 16, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then why have primaries, you pompous, servile clown?
Memo to Hillary:
If you steal this nomination, it will be worthless to have.
February 16, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
$5.00 to anyone who can correctly identify Penn's logical fallacy. :)
What a maroon!
February 16, 2008 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see a classical Aristotelian fallacy, just a basic deductive error.
Premise: Not all Democratic nominees win the general election.
Conclusion: Therefore, winning the Democratic nomination is not evidence of a candidate's ability to win the general election.
But of course, he's missing a premise...
Premise: If there is evidence of a candidate's ability to win the general election, the candidate will win the general election.
Penn left out the second premise because it's obviously false. Evidence for a prediction does not entail that the prediction will be born out. That's why it's evidence and not proof.
February 17, 2008 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Every nominee and every president was also "born."
Never trust a nominee who's been "born."
♪♪
February 17, 2008 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe it's a false dichotomy.
It's also just flat stupid.
February 16, 2008 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a false dichotomy.
And Mark Penn is truly a moron.
February 16, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's called the Fallacy of the Overpaid and Inept Sophist:
He's pointing out that winning primaries is not a sufficient condition for a Democrat to win the presidency. (But as Killjoy points out, it's traditionally been a necessary condition; and if one where looking for the type of primary winner who DOES win general elections, one might suspect look for one who boosts Dem turnout and wins independents).
I think the logical form of the point Penn wants to make -- that winning primaries is a poor measure of GE-worthiness, and the more you win in a row, the less electable you are -- might resemble an arguement like this:
P: Not all humans speak can speak French.
P: Pierre is a human.
C: Therefore, Pierre does not speak French.
(If this suffices, melissa, please donate $5 to Barack Obama in my honor -- if that is legal.)
February 16, 2008 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd phrase his argument this way. Pretend it's 1999:
(1) The AFC team has lost the Super Bowl for 13 straight years.
(2) The Broncos have just beaten the Steelers for the right to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.
(3) The Steelers hold a press conference, say that the Broncos are no shoo-in to win the Super Bowl. After all, winning AFC playoff games is no predictor of Super Bowl victory, or else the AFC would always win the Super Bowl.
(4) Therefore, the Steelers claim they should go to the Super Bowl, since they won it a few times in the 1970s. (i.e., they're battle-tested).
If the current trend of awful spin continues, look for the Steelers to claim in the coming weeks that the playoff system is flawed and that the Broncos' blocking schemes are inherently unfair.
February 16, 2008 9:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Top-notch work. +$5 to Obama! (Great suggestion!)
February 17, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems like the Clintons' sole strategy is to play a game of chicken with the Democratic party. Either the party hands the nomination over to Hillary or they'll destroy it by taking the fight to the convention no matter the final delegate count. This can only be construed as a threat. You're either with us or you're against us. Sound familiar?
February 16, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
To: Mark Penn
From: Dennis Kucinich
I think you're giving me too much credit.
DK
February 16, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I made the same reading mistake initially, but DK has never been a nominee, just a candidate. The nominee is the person who gets the Democratic nomination. His point, as vacuous as it is, is that not all candidates who win the primary election go on to win the general election.
February 16, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
That settles it. They should forget their pledges and nominate one of those loonies from New Hampshire who get their name on the ballot there every year.
Hell, nominate me! I've never won a Democratic presidential primary. Or any other party's either.
February 16, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Modus assholens is the term logicians use.
February 16, 2008 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually I can see what Penn is building to and it makes perfect sense. He's laying the groundwork for saying that winning the Democratic Nomination is no indication of who will win the general election. Makes perfect sense if you don't think your candidate will win the nomination.
February 16, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi. The other day I noted on my own blog another stupidity found at WaPo that Penn had said:
Walter Mondale in 1984 and Jimmy Carter in 1980 lost key primaries before winning the nomination, chief strategist Mark Penn reminded reporters during a conference call.
How does this help? I mean, except to remind us that they both lost to the same man in both years?
February 16, 2008 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Penn needs to start with a class in basic logic. That sentence is pure incomprehension.
February 16, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
"pure incomprehension"
That's the whole point! ♪♪♪
February 17, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is something seriously wrong with these people. And such a sense of entitlement!
I think we all understand the urge to fight it out. But fight it out until they've won, never mind if that requires ignoring the rules?
Amazing.
February 16, 2008 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Winning Democratic primaries and becoming the nominee actually is a "qualification" for winning the general election.
So the logical fallacy here would be the old "Detachment from Reality"
February 16, 2008 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
1. I think Mark's confused: Clinton is running for the DEMOCRATIC Party nomination, not the Just-Do-What-We-Say-Or-You'll-Be-Sorry Party.
2. So then losing a bunch of primaries in a row, especially in swing states (Colorado, Virginia, Missouri), and in some cases by large margins, makes one especially qualified for the GE.
3. If we can expect more of this if Clinton becomes the nominee, I'll move to Texas tomorrow and hit phone banks.
February 16, 2008 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is he for real??? Hillary is paying this man $5 million? That alone is questional judgment so grave it should disqualify her!
In the article another Clinton staffer (unnamed) says that the Republicans are going to come up with all sorts of things that "haven't been looked into yet" ................. This from the campaign that interviewed his KINDERGARTEN TEACHER????
Same anon. source: "Yet he quickly added that if Obama “rises above that stuff” and can “make them look ridiculous, then God bless him and he’ll win hands down.”
Well, he's managed to make you folks look ridiculous, so he should do just fine, so thanks for the endorsement. No, wait - that's giving Obama too much credit. I think Penn gets major credit for making the Clinton campaign ridiculous!
Seriously -- between Bill and this clown Penn, I think Hillary has been very poorly served by those closest to her.
February 16, 2008 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope Obama does make them look ridculous. He is already on his way to doing so. I really liked this vid where he turned the criticism into comedy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVlZZdxZ9AU
February 17, 2008 6:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
One last question from the article reporting on Penn's inanities:
>>>Clinton’s electability argument begins with this premise: She survived the attacks of a tough, take-no-prisoners “Republican machine” and is still standing.
WHEN?? Not in her Senate campaigns, I assure you. So when did this happen?
February 16, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you. I keep posting how she's never had a serious campaign before but people keep saying it like it's happened.
February 16, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is there any way he gets a job in national politics after failing this badly?
February 16, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good question.
February 16, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bob Shrum still seems to be able to find work. So there may indeed be hope for Penn, too...
February 16, 2008 10:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
"fail upward"
What's upward to this?
February 17, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Reason number 341 not to vote for Hillary: she has enabled this Comic Book Guy blowhard in the worst possible way.
February 16, 2008 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
WHEN?? Not in her Senate campaigns, I assure you. So when did this happen?
You've touched on the weakness at the heart of her argument: she hasn't been "vetted" -- she's been the perpetual lightning rod for redneck angst, but she's missing the point. The same folks who dragged her (and her husband) through the much are just dying for a chance to revisit the fights of the 90s. We never purged the Clinton dramatics from our national system, we've never had that Clinton catharsis moment.
She ain't "tested" -- she's got a giant target on her back. And we'd be foolish to send her into battle (to use her favorite metaphor) on the grounds that she "was in the shit" insofar as she's never managed to drag herself out of the shit. I fail to see why others don't grasp this argument for the non-starter that it is.
February 16, 2008 7:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Penn is blowing smoke. Obama has brought young voters, minorities, Indys, and even some Republicans to the Democratic Party. If there is even the slightest hint of unfairness or anything unseemly in the choice of a nominee there will be an exodus of all these people that have been inspired to support our Party. Obama IS A MOVEMENT. That is why he is winning so many state contest and almost winning others. He is a broad appeal candidate, unlike Clinton that evokes so much hostility among defined groups. Obama can move the country forward and repair so much animosity. Hillary will lock us in gridlock. It may not be all deserved, but it is a fact to be recognized.
February 16, 2008 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is there any way he gets a job in national politics after failing this badly?
Posted by ThompsonLives
Is there any evidence that a political consultant's ability to get a job is at all connected to job performance? It really looks like the ones who charge the most, get the jobs.
But hey, I'm the one who's obviously in the wrong profession, so chalk this gripe up to sour grapes.
February 16, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm willing to charge $6 million, if anyone's interested…
February 16, 2008 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Say what you want about Mark... but he is always first to offer his hanky.
February 16, 2008 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unless my math is flawed, Obama has won elections to public office twice as many times as HRC.
February 16, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
That cracks me up. I never thought about it this way!
February 16, 2008 10:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, but never in a significant state.
February 17, 2008 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Except, maybe Illinois :)
February 17, 2008 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
The RBC (Rules and Bylaws Committee) of the DNC voted to strip Florida and Michigan of its delegates. It is comprised of many Clinton supporters. The two co-chairs served in various positions in the Clinton Administration. Harold Ickes is a current campaign advisor. 11 of the 30 members of the RBC are pledged superdelegates of Hillary Clinton (with asteriks below). Most RBC members remain uncommitted. Only 2 are pledged to Obama (Martha Fuller Clark and Everett Ward).
It is pretty obvious that Hillary Clinton supported stripping Michigan and Florida of its delegates. She had a big lead in the polls last fall (the time of the vote) and was happy to have the race shortened by eliminating two of the largest post super-tuesday contests.
Co-Chairs
Alexis Herman (co-chair, Washington , D.C. )
James Roosevelt, Jr. (co-chair, Massachusetts )
Members
**Harold Ickes, Jr. (Washington, D.C.)
Donna Brazille ( Washington , D.C.)
**Donald Fowler (South Carolina)
Allan Katz ( Florida )
**Elizabeth Smith (Washington, D.C.)
Mark Brewer ( Michigan )
Ralph Dawson ( New York )
**Hartina Flournay (Washington, D.C.)
Carol Khare Fowler ( South Carolina )
Alice Germond ( Washington , D.C. )
Jaime Gonzalez, Jr. ( Texas )
Janice Griffin ( Virginia )
**Alice Huffman (California)
Thomas Hynes ( Illinois )
**Ben Johnson (Washington, D.C.)
**Elaine Kamarck (Massachusetts )
**Eric Kleinfeld (Washington, D.C.)
David McDonald (state of Washington )
**Mona Pasquil (California )
**Mame Reiley (Virginia )
Garry Shay ( California )
Michael Steed ( Washington , D.C. )
Sharon Stroschein ( South Dakota )
Everett Ward ( North Carolina )
Jerome Wiley Segovia ( Virginia )
**Sarah Swisher (Iowa)
Yvonne Gates ( Nevada )
Martha Fuller Clark ( New Hampshire )
February 16, 2008 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a very amusing turn Penn is taking.
First it was impressionable elites tilting caucuses to Obama.
Then it was the importance of winning 'significant states'.
Now the whole idea of a primary is b.s because it isn't a sufficient condition to winning a general election.
I almost want Clinton to win the nomination and lose to McCain, just so that I can hear how Mark Penn spins it. Winning the general election isn't a sign or qualification that someone can be a president. If it were, Al Gore would have been president? .... Something like this right? My brain is incapable of the logical gymnastics needed to churn out retarded spin.
February 16, 2008 9:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark - So the second place finisher will have a better shot at the nomination because YOU say so?
You and Hillary threaten our republic when you try these stunts. You are adding credibility to all tyrants, whether Democratic or Republican, who are trying to grab power at the expense of the rights of Americans for self government.
February 16, 2008 10:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
“Winning Democratic primaries is not a qualification or a sign of who can win the general election.
it's a HELL OF A LOT BETTER than losing the primaries
in fact, if you don't win the primaries, you don't even get to PLAY in the general election
so will somebody ask this putz why he thinks losing the primaries is better than winning the primaries
does this stupid fuck understand how the system works ???
does he think hillary can run as the "silver medalist candidate" or something ???
February 16, 2008 10:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Allow the metaphor:
I'm a Californian and Barack just simply did not have enough time to continue building his identity during "super Tuesday" to capture a sweep. Lest we forget, in Hillary's Only-States-That-Matter configuration, she had been embedded in these states and "contests" via her husband and other means for YEARS, and was favored a mere two months earlier by serious double digits.
Her granitic support in The-Large-States-That-Are-Only-The-States-That-Matter has small cracks called the people's will and Barack Obama. The cracks have filled with water that has turned to ice. As the ice thaws, there will not only be a tremendous erosion, but a crumbling.
Hillary may be the rock, but Barack is the sculptor with many a hammer and chisel.
February 16, 2008 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well Mark, as the 2000 election showed winning the general election is no guarantee you'll actually win the office either (in the 2000 case it was neither sufficient nor necessary).
Are you suggesting a repeat performance at the party level, or is this just "sour grapes" in advance?
February 16, 2008 11:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
So,uh, Mark, what about loosing primaries. What is that a qualification for?
February 17, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
he's become his very own parody. He is the shark that Hillary's now jumping.
February 17, 2008 12:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
file this under: say anything. change nothing.
vote obama.
February 17, 2008 1:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Penn is an idiot.
Just come to terms with the fact that Obama is electable and Hillary is not.
Sorry.
Don't cry too much.
But please do shut the F up, douche bag.
February 17, 2008 5:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, what if Billary win the primary delegate count and then (somehow) screw the pooch and lose to McCain. Will we call him a visionary?
February 17, 2008 6:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
And the firewall marches ever onward.
First it was New Hampshire.
Then it was Super Tuesday.
Then it was Ohio and Texas.
Ickes moved it to Puerto Rico yesterday.
Looks like Penn has moved it to the loiunge at the Denver Hyatt Regency.
February 17, 2008 7:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, he is right about that. Winning Iowa is certainly never a good sign since no Dem who has ever won IA has gone on to be president (meaning the type of caucus they currently hold, which started in 1972—Carter got more votes than other candidates in '76, but far less than "uncommitted" and under normal circumstance, he would have lost the election).
February 17, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has a delegate lead because of well-organized ground operations in states that Hillary barely contested. This was both shrewd on his part and shortsighted on hers. It reflects favorably on Obama in many ways. However, I am not sure it will amount to a hill of beans in the GE as most of the states where he racked up these impressive victories were either solidly red or solidly blue states. It might be argued that his victories in CO and KS would allow him to flip those states. That might have been true against another candidate, but less likely against McCain, IMO. The states that are potentially flippable and will make the difference are TX and OH. Whoever wins those states is the candidate mostly likely to win the GE. TX is probably more likely to go with McCain than Obama because he is better liked amongst latinos, who will decide that race. I really think that if the superdelegates put Hillary over the top, it is not theft, but a calculation of her chances of victory over his. If he wins TX and OH or comes close (and if he wins the popular vote of the entire country), he definitely deserves the support of the superdelegates. But if that is not the case, then he does not have a mandate (except amongst those who made up their minds long ago and cannot listen to reason or wrap their minds around strategy vs. idealism).
BTW, good points that the only Dems ever elected have been the ones who won the most primaries. I think Penn's point is that this does not guarantee electability and if no one get a clear majority of delegates and the numbers are very close, the public is obviously divided. That is why the role of the superdelegates is to step in and use their judgment, not parrot the supposed will of the people when that will is not clear at all. Small percentages of registered voters vote in caucuses; they do not at all reflect the will of the entire citizenry. And only tiny numbers of people vote in Dem contests in states that are overwhelmingly red like UT and ID. So this is hardly a black-and-white issue this time. The person who ends up with 50 more pledged delegates because of massive red state victories is not the clear choice. He just had a better game plan than his opponent. Maybe that should be enough. I am just not sure that what he did on the ground in the primaries will translate to the GE. But if he gets nominated, I damn sure hope so.
February 17, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
For those of you who only started reading TPM a week or two ago, let me assure you that Mark Penn is not running for President.
You are a very insulting fellow, Rich. Republican?
February 17, 2008 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually rocket, this is a serious problem for Clinton and the Democratic Party as a whole. You don't have to watch very much coverage of the campaign to see that the media is setting up Clinton as an illegitimate candidate if she should win only on the super-delegate votes.
What is worse for Clinton is that this plays strongly into her negative narrative of being conniving, manipulative and a product of the establishment. Frankly, Rich might be right, if she wins this way it may not be worth having and you do not need to be a Republican to think so.
February 17, 2008 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
VA may well go Democratic this Fall -- it's probably Obama's best exhibit.
February 17, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm surprised that no one has mentioned this: Penn's argument would seem to me to be a better argument against Clinton than for her. The most likely reason that a candidate would win the Democratic nomination and lose the general election would be that the candidate appeals to the Democratic base but not to independents and Republicans. Yet of the two candidates, it's Obama who has crossover appeal and Clinton who appeals more to the base.
February 17, 2008 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm no fan of Mark Penn, but it's clear everyone is in such a rush to ridicule him that they aren't even taking a minute to think about qhat he's saying, which makes perfect sense. A candidate can win the nomination by rolling up a bunch of primary victories in states the Dems have no hope of winning in the general. It doesn't matter how big the margin of victoy in the Utah Dem primary, the Dems aren't going to carry the state. So he's saying someonme always wins the Dem primary in each state. That doesn't necessarily translate to how they'll do in that state in the general. What's so hard to understand about that?
And there's a perfectly good reason for him to say it. A lot of Obama supporters crow about how he has won primaries in red states. Those wins may help him get the nomination, but they are no indication that he will carry the state in the general.
February 17, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
This makes no sense Chris.... In any conceivable scenario where the Democratic nominee is having to fight over California, New York or any other "significant state" we have lost, and lost badly.
You could run the proverbial yellow dog as the Democratic nominee and Ol' Yellar would take them handily.
The real mathematics of campaign is pretty simple in my opinion - how many voters would order their preferences Obama-McCain-Clinton vs. how many would order their votes Clinton-McCain-Obama.
I have had any number of people say that they would prefer Obama to McCain and absolutely none that offered the latter.
Hilliary is simply not a cross-over candidate for all sorts of reasons - some fair, some not. But the reality right now is that both Obama and Clinton are likely to take pretty much every state won by Kerry, but it is only Obama that is likely to win a large number of the remainder.
For what it is worth, I still think Clinton would likely win, but it will be a nail-biter going into the general with a candidate that regularly scores almost 47% negative approvals from the get-go.
February 17, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Heretic, what on earth makes you think Texas is flippable? The last Dem to win there was Carter in 1976.
February 17, 2008 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's definitely a "qualification" because you can't win the Presidency without winning the nomination and you can't win the nomination without winning primaries.
Just shut up, Mark. You're not helping your candidate.
February 17, 2008 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
ChrisO: You points are correct and have been made ad nauseum, but many people are not interested in analysis, only cheerleading.
I don't know what's the deal with the TPM obsession with Mark Penn snark. I'm beginning to wonder if TPM thinks (or maybe it's all subconscious) that it's the most effective way to campaign for Obama.
Quick question for all those who are totally aghast at Mark Penn. Who is Obama’s?
Campaign Director? Can you spell his name? Can you pronounce his name? Have you listened to what he has to say?
His name is David Plouffe. Seems an ok guy to me, but speaks like a typical campaign director. Just listened to an 8.5 minute interview with David. He remarked that Clinton’s stimulus package was rated by the Washington Post as less effective than the package pushed by George Bush. Want to argue that on substantive grounds? He hammered Bill Clinton more than once for making outrageously false statements in South Carolina. But in 8.5 minutes of talking David never dared identified one of the falsehoods, nor was he pressed to do so. David emphasized the three important issues voters need to consider: Trust; Unity; and Changing the Way Washington Works. I guess we could snark on that, but why? He’s the campaign director, not the candidate.
I have this strange notion that close monitoring of the statements of any campaign director will yield plenty of statements that are exaggerations, gross over-simplifications, misrepresentations, and disingenuous to the extreme. The fact that Mark Penn receives so much negative attention just could be some of that anti-Clinton MSM bias bleeding over into TPM.
February 17, 2008 12:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
A big part of Mark Penn's problem, and thus Clinton's, is that he has made himself part of the story. You are probably right that any sustained analysis of a campaign manager's spin is likely to produce a few howlers, but Penn has raised his profile to an extent that he becomes the story - and a negative one - instead of Clinton.
I don't have any hard numbers for you, but I watch very little television news and I have seen Penn numerous times and David Plouffe only once.
Penn, besides being a rather odious character is his own right and leading me to seriously question Clinton's judgment in keeping him around, has created a good deal of this negative attention for himself and is really inexcusable for a high-ranking official on a campaign.
P.S. It is a GOOD thing that no one knows the name of Obama's campaign director and a sign of a well-run campaign!
February 17, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nindid: I hear you, but what I did was look up, via Google, statments made by the Obama campaign director to judge for myself.
It's not my fault that I can so easily find statement by David Plouffe that can easily be snarked. And his profile is not that low, he speaks to the media all the time and gives extended on camera interviews.
I just have the same perception that many observers have: the Clintons, for some reason, receive an inordinate amount of hostile fire from the media. If you work for them, put on extra armor.
You assert (and repeat) that Penn has brought this upon himself. I simply notice that his statements, including the subject of this post by Josh Marshall, are hardly surprising for a campaign official. (Actually, Mark Penn is not officially Clinton's campaign director, just a senior consultant. Maggie Williams is the director.)
February 17, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
jrockett2: Fair enough.... I don't think it is all Penn's fault and there is an element of anti-Clinton bias in the media that allows for this type of thing to go on. You also might be right that Plouffe does as many media events as Penn. As I said, I do have a large sample size from which to judge myself.
But with that said, why is Penn being put forward like this in the first place? He is obviously not helping the Clinton campaign. Is Penn being forced to do all these interviews by the media? This is all for the worse since, as you say, he is not the official campaign director anyway.
In the end, I think we can agree that the media is much more unfair to Clinton than either Obama or any Republican. I suppose we likely differ on the degree to which a portion of the negativity is self-inflicted. Either way, I don't see that dynamic changing going into the general election and I think that it will be to the Democrats distinct disadvantage if we labor under that weight in the upcoming election.
February 17, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stranger things have happened. Reagan carried Massachusetts twice. If Obama is the nominee and this really is the realigning election some think it is, expect a lot of surprises in November.
February 17, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Obama campaign's analogue to Penn is not Plouffe but David Axelrod; he's smart, and does not regularly insult voters by claiming that their states aren't "significant" or that there votes don't matter, or that their manner of nominating candidates are illegitimate -- he also doesn't come with the baggage of Penn's corporate client list, which is an odd one for a Democratic consultant.
And Penn is emphatically not an overzealous but independent supporter; he is getting paid millions, and speaks for the principal.
February 17, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, Hillary, but your coronation has been postPWNED, indefinitely.
February 17, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary sure is getting her money's worth out of Mark Penn...even if it is in comic relief.
February 17, 2008 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank god I learned about this before the early voting starts here in Texas! This is going to make me change my vote from Hillary to Obama. The ravings of her resident math geek totally outweigh my concerns that Obama has done nothing but give speeches. This proves beyond a doubt that she has a sense of entitlement and a lack of respect for the intricately designed and totally fair nominating process (except, of course, for the part about superdelegates) that we all love so deeply.
Like Obama says, words matter. They matter much more than actions. He has given speeches on Iraq. All she has done is pass several bills helping the troops, attempted to build consensus around her bill to stop permanent bases in Iraq, worked across the aisle with republicans (even the ones that tried to impeach Bill). All that is nothing compared to his speech because it is words that matter, not actions.
I no longer care about all the actual stuff she has done to improve people's lives! I have seen the light!! Somebody get me an Obama t-shirt and teach me the chants. I'm ready to join the movement!
(By the way...this is how silly the Obama hero worship and nitpicking sounds to those of us who are not on the Obama train. Enjoy the obsession with Penn's silly statements--he is giving you plenty of fodder.)
February 17, 2008 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
hero worship? hardly.
its called enthusiasm. I know it might be unrecognizable to you and other supporters of Hillary because, quite frankly, its hard to be enthusiastic about her.
February 17, 2008 3:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought this response hit the nail on the head:
"This is, in fact, true. However, losing Democratic primaries is strongly correlated with not being able to win elections."
February 17, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
What really strikes me as odd is that in some other swing states like NM and NV, where Clinton eeked out victories in the primary, she is WAY behind McCain and Obama way ahead. For example, the NV general election poll vs McCain a few days ago:
Obama wins 50-38%
Hillary loses 49-40%
So even in a primary that Hillary won, she gets BLOWN out in the general election. Isn't this the best empirical evidence against her ability to win in Nov? Mr. Penn? Pls advise.
February 17, 2008 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nindid
I'm sorry, but your reply makes no sense to me. Are you suggesting that the Dems won't have to fight for any "significant" state? That we can just assume Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and California (among others) are in the bag? I don't get it.
And ozu, stranger things may have happened, but that's hardly an argument that Penn is not only wrong, but so wrong that he should be heaped with derision on this particular issue. I don't see how anyone who follows politics can argue against the idea that winnning primaries and winning the general are two different things. If you think OBama's better positioned to win the general, fine. But racking up wins in a bunch of states that are solidly red does nothing to advance that argument.
As an example, one of the reasons Obama won South Carolina so convincingly is that the Dem voters were more than 50 percent black. I haven't been able to find voter data, but the general racial makeup of South Carolina is 68 percent white and 29 percent black. Assuming the voting population generally reflects that, Obama's huge win in the primary is in no way indicative of how he'll do in the general.
Winning primaries generally means that Dem voters prefer you over other Dems. It's silly to just extrapolate that to the general voting population especially in red states.
February 17, 2008 4:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
bravo6
You basically just supported Penn's point, which was that winning a primary is not an indication that you'll win the general. Obviously, he wasn't trying to use Hillary as an example, but the point remains the same.
And by the way, a poll is not an election. I don't think the fact that Obama is leading a poll in February means you can chalk it up as a win in November.
February 17, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
All this talk of sense of entitlement by Clinton gets tiresome. On this particular thread, several people seem to want her to say, right now, ahead of time, that she will not accept the support of superdelegates under certain conditions. No candidate is going to do that. It is those individuals who want to change the rules.
Many of us don't like the idea of superdelegates period. Is it too late to change the rules now? Yes. Regardless of whom the superdelegate rules may work for or against.
Some of us don't like the idea of caucuses. Same problem.
Some of us don't like the idea that the DNC can be manipulated by the Republican dominated Florida state legislature. When they moved the date of the Florida primary forward, the DNC saw fit to disenfranchize huge numbers of democratic voters. Of course, I still have seen any documentation that the candidates agreed not to seat Florida delegates, so there may still be a fight there.
February 17, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, Axelrod is the true analogue for Penn, although some say Penn has been a defacto campaign director for Clinton.
And it would be easy for me to snark Axelrod because he's worked so long for Richard Daley and other Chicago politicians. But I would do the same in his place.
I could snark him for constantly harping on Clinton as a polarizing figure in the country. I could snark him for claiming over and over the Republicans want to run against her and replay scandals from the 90s. I could snark him over the preemptive memo he recently released (he claims accidentally) that talks about how horrible it would be if Clinton were to win based upon superdelegates.
It's just that I expect all this negativity from a campaign official, including an Obama campaign official like Axelrod or Plouffe.
Yes, they are very very negative, and sometimes absurdly so, with regard to their opponents.
But TPM and the MSM are focused upon Penn. We have to live with that.
February 17, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
So,uh, Mark, what about loosing primaries. What is that a qualification for?
A profitable career as a DC-based Democratic political consultant?
February 17, 2008 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, uh, Mark, what about loosing primaries. What is that a qualification for?
A Profitable carrear as a DC-based Democratic political consultant? >>
Zing!
February 17, 2008 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm annoyed at everyone who keeps saying we should count the delegates from the MI and FLA primaries or Democrats lose their voice and won't be heard in those states. I can't speak for FLA, but in MI, thanks to our idiotic state party, we lost our voices and our choices. You could vote for Clinton, Kucinich, Dodd or Uncommitted. 40% or so chose the latter because--I assume--Edwards and Obama were not on the ballot. You want our voices to count, then hold another primary or a caucus.
February 18, 2008 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
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