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Clinton still losing without caucuses included

One of the arguments being put forth by the Clinton campaign is that the caucuses aren't truly representative of the popular will of the voters.  What logically follows is that even if she loses the pledged delegate race, the super delegates are fair game to swing the nomination because of the "illegitimacy" of the delegates awarded from caucuses.
For the sake of argument, let's say she's right.  Let's say caucuses are not legitimate determiners of popular vote.  Where does the pledged delegate race stand if you eliminate all the caucuses?  
A good question, I thought.  I used the CBS delegate totals, copied them to a spreadsheet and deleted all the caucus states.  The results?
Clinton:  534Obama:  593
Uh oh.  Clinton is still losing the delegate battle in primary only states.  Seems to undermine her super delegate argument a bit.
Not sure how to attach the spreadsheet, but here are the numbers:





Clinton
Obama


DC




15 Delegates
3
10


Maryland




70 Delegates
24
44


Virginia




83 Delegates
27
56


Louisiana




56 Delegates
22
34


Alabama




13 Delegates
4
9


Arizona




56 Delegates
31
25


Arkansas




35 Delegates
27
8


California




55 Delegates
13
32


Connecticut




48 Delegates
22
26


Delaware




15 Delegates
6
9


Georgia




18 Delegates
3
15


Illinois




32 Delegates
9
23


Mass.




72 Delegates
24
48


Missouri




72 Delegates
36
36


New Jersey




107 Delegates
59
48


New York




232 Delegates
139
93


Oklahoma




38 Delegates
24
14


Tennessee




68 Delegates
38
28


Utah




3 Delegates
2
1


Dems Abroad




7 Delegates
-
-


Florida




0 Delegates
-
-


South Carolina




45 Delegates
12
25


Michigan




0 Delegates
-
-


New Hampshire




22 Delegates
9
9







Total Primary Dels
534
593



Comments (5)

Wow. The formatting of this post really got hosed.

Bottomline,

Clinton has 534 pledged delegates from primaries. Obama has 594

avatar

These numbers are very wrong, at least some of them. Clinton won MA, but you have the delegates there going 48-24 for Obama.

Your CA numbers are even more wacko. First, the state is worth far more than 55 delegates. Second, the Clinton and Obama delegates don't add up to even the 55. Third, Clinton won that state, but again you have Obama with more delegates.

BTW, I am an Obama supporter.

You're right, they're wrong. Something got messed up... I'll rerun.

Man, I don't know what happened there, but I re calculated, and I now get:

Clinton: 848
Obama: 874

Same story, slightly less margin.

That's right. Same story, same ass-whooping.

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