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An Exploration in Republican General Election Problems
Lets have a fun look at the Wisconsin exit polls:
<a href="http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#WI">CNN Wisconsin exit polls</a>
In the democratic primaries there was a 9% Republican precipitation out of a 1,098,802 total democratic primary votes. So that means 98,892 voters are republican leaning, and of those 72% voted for Obama which gives us 71,202 republicans that voted for Obama. The entire republican vote in Wisconsin was 403,568 if we take the named republicans (73%) out of that, we have 294,605 self described republicans that voted in the republican primary. Total republicans voting in Wisconsin is 365,807, and 98,892 of those voted for Obama. That's 27% of the republican base voting for Obama. This does not bode well for the republicans in November.
And the flip side? Lets start with the number of democrats in the republican primary which is 5% of 294,605 or 14,730. They don't even have info for results that small. Even if all 20,178 voters voted for Clinton that would only make up .01 democratic primary voters. Again the republicans have to be worried.
Comments (1)
Sorry, I'm still figuring out the link system. I see now it's rather obvious. My bad, I humbly apologize.
February 24, 2008 3:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
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