Week of January 27, 2008 - February 2, 2008
Transition Music for Starting Over
Starting All Over Again
Changes
me vs we
When a leader takes credit for something using the first person, where the third person is more accurate.
I think it says alot about a person. and limits how effectively they can work with people that don't agree with them on every detail.
That said, I think it is quite clear which candidate is a 'we' sayer, and which is a 'me' sayer.
Who Can Reach Out On Iraq?
The United States military has covered itself with honor. It has conquered Iraq, made sure there were no weapons of mass destruction, put in a puppet government of sorts, hung Saddam Hussein, lost over 4,000 dead, and suffered tens of thousands of horrible wounds in the service of a failed adventure in the Middle East. It is time to move on.
And, in moving on, time to ask ourselves: Which candidate can reach out to the millions of Americans who want so desperately to believe that our American soldiers and Marines have not suffered and died in Iraq in vain?
Reflections on change - a dirge
I see names I know but not much that is seeming
familiar.
I have been directed here, all confused and teeming
with curiosity, and a hint of careful cautious leanings
to comply.
I have been coaxed here, all emptied. By weaning
myself away from the brown home, I'll then careen
into belonging.
Copyright by Carol Gee
Ground Hog Day, 2008
Why I'm voting for Barack Obama
It’s been a tough choice to make because I think both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama would make potentially great presidents. I’m excited at the prospect of endorsing an historically significant candidate, the first woman or the first African-American to be the nominee of a major party. I think both have run excellent campaigns with very different styles, Clinton showing her toughness and determination to win and Obama emphasizing his cerebral, cool, non-confrontational style.
Both policy differences and character differences between the two candidates have been a factor in my decision, but neither pushed me decidedly towards one candidate or the other.
First, policy positions. I’m solidly behind their policy positions and agenda for America, though Hillary Clinton has a definite edge. On the issue I care most about, bringing universal health care to America, Clinton’s policy proposal is more comprehensive, more progressive, and more transformative than Obama’s. Moreover, she is the most likely to have the expertise and credibility to actually get the legislation passed. Obama’s proposal is weaker and he has never quite convinced me that he’s going to make healthcare reform his top priority.
Second, character. Clinton’s greatest weakness as a candidate is that she has absorbed much of the broken Washington political culture into her bloodstream. Consequently, she is too often dishonest, calculating, and wavering in her positions. Her affinity for changing positions with the changing polls is noted. And on the important national security issues America faces, Clinton faces the challenge that she is seemingly deathly afraid of being painted as “soft on terror” because she’s a woman. I worry that Clinton may be too eager to embrace war over diplomacy in order to shore up her credibility with voters worried that she isn’t tough enough.
In contrast, Obama is a refreshing political personality who seems authentic, inspirational, optimistic, and pragmatic. Obama seems more honest than most politicians, and more willing to say uncomfortable truths in front of unfriendly audiences. He panders a little less, and speaks candidly about his own weaknesses. Unfortunately, too many Obama supporters have gotten carried away with their enthusiasm and have built up a puffed up image of the man as a sort of messiah figure. I try not to hold it against Obama that many of his vocal supporters on the Internet are some of the most irritating pontificators I’ve ever encountered. Obama can’t help it, though I do wonder what it is about the guy that seems to attract so many naïve, sheepish, small-minded followers.
If casting a vote for president were merely a matter of weighing a person’s character strengths with their vision for the country (e.g., policy positions), then I would have to say my decision would come down to an even tie. I find Clinton’s character’s not so weak – and Obama’s policy positions not so misguided – that my choice is clear. However, there is one thing that breaks the tie: electability.
At this time, it seems very likely that the Republican party will nominate John McCain. Although Mitt Romney is not yet out of the picture entirely, I think it is prudent for Democratic voters still contemplating their choice to consider carefully which of our candidates is more likely to beat McCain in November. Consider two recent polls. A Rasmussen Jan. 26 polls show Clinton at 47% and McCain at 45% in a match; and it shows Obama at 46% and McCain at 41%. A NBC/WSJ Jan. 24 poll shows Obama and McCain tying at 42% and McCain beating Clinton 46% to 44%. Much could be said about how seriously such polls can be taken this early in a presidential contest. I choose to give them a fair amount of credibility, especially regarding McCain and Clinton, since these are two politicians who have a significant amount of name recognition. (True, I’m sure Obama’s negative scores will poll much higher as the fall election nears; however, McCain is also untested enough as a national figure that his negatives could easily be driven up as well.)
Obama is the better contrast to McCain: youth versus age, inspiration versus fear, hope versus bleak straight-talk, the future versus the past, etc. McCain on the campaign trail often sounds tired, hopeless, and resigned (”There will be more wars.”) McCain’s greatest weakness is his commitment to keeping the US in Iraq for up to the next 100 years. Democrats will be eager to paint him as a cranky, anger-prone, vindictive warmonger who can’t be trusted in the White House. Obama is the better candidate to sell that message, since his own longstanding opposition to the war in Iraq allows him to take the moral high ground.
Also, the McCain campaign will be eager to cast McCain as a bipartisan statesman who can work with a Democratically-controlled Congress to keep them in check. If he runs against Clinton, he will no doubt attempt to portray her as a partisan, polarizing, and divisive figure who will contribute to deadlock in Washington. That might very well be a successful sales pitch. However, McCain will be hard pressed to portray Obama as a divisive figure. Instead, McCain’s attack will center on Obama’s inexperience. My guess is that by November a plurality (if not a majority) of Americans will be won over to Obama’s side enough so that they are willing to gamble with a politician who is relatively green. (True, McCain will also attack Obama on ideological grounds. But my hunch is that it’s McCain who is more susceptible to ideology-based smears than Obama, who is truly striving for a post-ideological campaign.)
One strength of McCain’s is his “media darling” status. The media fawns over him incessantly, which makes it really tough going up against him because you’re fighting the media the whole way. Obama also gets lots of (undeservedly) positive media coverage, so picking Obama would cancel out that unfair advantage. It seems very unfair to Clinton that she consistently receives far more negative press coverage than the other candidates, but sadly her inability to curry favor with the media means she brings a huge liability to the fall campaign.
And so the choice of Obama over Clinton ultimately comes down to a practical choice of casting a strategic vote for the candidate who I feel would be the most likely to win a general election in a very competitive race. Obama is not a saint, nor a savior, nor the second coming of JFK and MLK all rolled into one. I find myself extremely irritated at the holier-than-thou histrionics displayed by his most fawning supporters. I’m really worried that many Obama fanatics seem to cry “race-baiting” at the slighest, most dubious provocation (no, I don’t think Clinton’s run a campaign based on race) – a tendency that could be disasterous for Democrats and bad for American politics in general. I’m not convinced that Obama will really bring all that many independents or Republicans into some sort of “Reagan-like revolution”; in fact, I think that’s all hype. I don’t find myself particularly excited by Obama’s principle theme, which he seems to have stolen right out of George W. Bush’s playbook (“I’m a uniter, not a divider”), and I still have plenty of worries about his slender experience, policy weaknesses, campaigning abilities, and electability (especially his susceptibility to religious and racial smears based on foreign-sounding, Muslim middle and last names). But nevertheless, he’s my call. If he’s the nominee, I’m sure I will be far more excited about voting for him in the fall than I am now (still feeling remorse that Clinton is not a more electable candidate than she has proven herself to be). And so I plan to caucus for Obama in the Washington State caucus on February 9, 2008 and vote for him in our primary as well.
If Hillary Clinton is the nominee instead, I will be far from upset. She’s another candidate with the potential to be a truly great president. And while she would face an uphill battle in a campaign against McCain, I’d still put my money on Clinton to win in a squeaker. My hope is that Clinton will select Obama as her vice-presidential running mate, and that he’ll accept. A Clinton-Obama ticket in ’08, however improbable as it may seem at this time, would be unbeatable.
Have you seen this?
This is a kind of unbelievable spur-of-the-moment mashup of a song that could be huge. In all kinds of ways. I can totally see this being viral all over the place.
Management Abilities
You may remember Obama, when asked in one of the debates to identify a shortcoming, remarking that he must rely on his staff to keep track of his paperwork, as he loses it. Clinton responded repeatedly over the next few days that the president must be a good manager. Likewise many pundits cite Clinton's greater experience; and, thus, greater ability to manage the federal government.
So what kind of manager is Clinton?
Brad DeLong, a Berkley economics professor who worked in the Clinton administration and whose informative blog I follow and opinion I value, remarked in 2003 (thanks Brent Goldfarb):
"My two cents' worth--and I think it is the two cents' worth of everybody who worked for the Clinton Administration health care reform effort of 1993-1994--is that Hillary Rodham Clinton needs to be kept very far away from the White House for the rest of her life. Heading up health-care reform was the only major administrative job she has ever tried to do. And she was a complete flop at it. She had neither the grasp of policy substance, the managerial skills, nor the political smarts to do the job she was then given. And she wasn't smart enough to realize that she was in over her head and had to get out of the Health Care Czar role quickly.
"So when senior members of the economic team said that key senators like Daniel Patrick Moynihan would have this-and-that objection, she told them they were disloyal. When junior members of the economic team told her that the Congressional Budget Office would say such-and-such, she told them (wrongly) that her conversations with CBO head Robert Reischauer had already fixed that. When long-time senior hill staffers told her that she was making a dreadful mistake by fighting with rather than reaching out to John Breaux and Jim Cooper, she told them that they did not understand the wave of popular political support the bill would generate. And when substantive objections were raised to the plan by analysts calculating the moral hazard and adverse selection pressures it would put on the nation's health-care system...
"Hillary Rodham Clinton has already flopped as a senior administrative official in the executive branch--the equivalent of an Undersecretary. Perhaps she will make a good senator. But there is no reason to think that she would be anything but an abysmal president."
Additionally, I think it fair to look at her management of her campaign to assess how effective a manager of the federal government she may be, and it doesn't seem to have been well managed.
Remember Shaheen's Obama as cocaine user remarks in N. H., for which he was then thrown off the bus? Remember Bob Kerrey's repeated emphasis of Obama's middle name, for which he later apologized in a letter glowing praising Obama's qualifications to be president? Remember Clinton's porcine "strategist", Mark Penn, repeatedly raising Obama's admitted youthful cocaine use in a CNN interview, for which is was subsequently muzzled? Remember Bil Clinton's racially tinged campaigning in S.C. and his Jesse Jackson remark after his wife's huge loss, for which he was also subsequently muzzled?
Then there is this in the last couple of days from Clinton health care adviser, Len Nichols, complaining about a picture contained in an accurate Obama campaign mailer, remarks for which he later apologized.
"I am personally outraged at the picture used in this mailing," Nichols, a supporter of the so-called universal mandate said. "It is as outrageous as having Nazis march through Skokie, Illinois."
DeLong's remarks are damning enough for me, though I am admittedly not a Clinton fan; but her apparent inability to keep the hounds of her campaign from committing repeated, and egregious, gaffes, from which they later backpedal, certainly has sealed the deal for me.
The Obama campaign, on the other hand, has avoided such gaffes and its officials have been very restrained in their responses to the Clinton campaign gaffes.
An effective manager, I know from my days of modest local government management, relies upon her or his staff to manage the paper and to push forth the the mission. A manager must hire competent folks, ensure that the mission is entirely clear to all, and to ensure that all are pushing in the same direction in pursuance of that mission.
The Clinton campaigners have quite clearly frequently not been pushing in the same direction.
I will be casting my vote for Obama in the "Democrats Abroad" election on February 5.
Bond Referendum News & Notes for Coastal Plain & the DDEIC
Virginia voters pass bond referendum
?(From The Cavalier Daily)
(U-WIRE) CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. -- Virginia voters overwhelming approved the $900 million General Obligation Bond Tuesday, and University of Virginia officials couldn't be happier.
"It's great news for every college and university in Virginia," University spokeswoman Louise Dudley said.
With all precincts reporting, the bond passed with a 73 percent majority.
The $68.3 million in bond money allocated to the University will allow officials to set out on a decade of building renovation and construction, University Provost Gene Block said.
Bond money will be used partially to fund three new buildings,
How Will N.C. Cope if They Dont Pass the Bond?
By: Kathleen Hunter (State & National Editor)
Issue date: 10/31/00
University advocates who have spoken at length about the $3.1 billion higher education bond referendum are relatively speechless about what the state should do if the bond fails a week from today.
Voters will decide the fate of the largest bond proposal in state history on Nov. 7. If it passes, the bond will fund capital improvements on the states public university and community college campuses.
Shortly after the N.C. General Assembly unanimously approved the bond referendum in May, university advocates launched a large-scale campaign, aimed at ensuring the bonds passage.
And polls suggest that campaign is working.
Poll data released last week by WRAL and The News & Observer indicates that 58 percent of likely voters favor the bond. The Daily Tar Heel also conducted informal exit polls last week at Morehead Planetarium, Orange Countys new satellite polling site. Of those polled at Morehead, 454 said they voted for the bond. Only 30 said they voted against it.
Campaigners cite the promising poll data as evidence that the bond is likely to pass. But few can name suitable alternatives for funding the university systems capital needs in the event that the bond fails.
There isnt any good alternative, said Board of Governors member John Sanders.
If the bond does not pass, Sanders said the state would only have three possible sources of funding for the systems capital needs tax revenue, private gifts and tuition.
But Sanders expressed little faith in the feasibility of all three.
He said current tax revenue would be inadequate to fund a multibillion-dollar capital improvements project and increasing tuition would conflict with the states constitutional responsibility to ensure access to public higher education.
Sanders also expressed concern with relying upon private gifts to fund capital needs because he said donations are usually given for specific purposes, which might not necessarily coincide with the systems areas of greatest need.
Not many people are going to give large amounts of money to rehabilitate Murphey Hall, Sanders said.
UNC Association of Student Governments President Andrew Payne said he would encourage the N.C. General Assembly to begin researching innovative funding sources if the bond fails, rather than turning to students to pick up the tab.
TV Program Spotlights Bond Referendums Benefits to Western North Carolina
Posted August 31, 2000 at 9:37 pm · By ASU News
BOONEIf voters fail to pass the $3.1-billion bond referendum Nov. 7 for the UNC system and community colleges, the states educational and economic future will be shortchanged, according to university leaders.
Were going to have to limit enrollment, because its not fair to the people you bring in to give them a second-, third- or fourth-rate education. The question were really facing is, do we want to limit the educational future of the state of North Carolina? says Chancellor John Bardo on the cable television program Appalachian Perspective.
Appalachian Perspective is a program of Appalachian State University. The 30-minute episode Funding Higher Education in 2000? airs throughout September in Watauga County, weeknights at 6 on cable Channel 39 and Tuesdays at 7:30 p.m. on cable Channel 2.
This episode also airs on cable outlets in Charlotte, Winston-Salem, Raleigh, Newport, Kannapolis and Asheville.
Hosted by Appalachians Chancellor Francis T. Borkowski, the program features Bardo and UNC Asheville Chancellor Jim Mullen. They discuss how the bond package will affect the educational and economic future of Western North Carolina.
A yes vote on the bonds will provide the funding mechanism for the most urgent repairs and renovations needed on UNCs 16 campuses and the states 59 community colleges. The bonds also will provide additional facilities needed to accommodate the surge of new students projected to enroll in the North Carolinas public colleges and universities during the next decade. In the past, the state has financed projects on a pay-as-you-go basis.
In particular, science labs built in the 1950s and 60s at Appalachian, UNCA and Western will be repaired and upgraded so students can perform experiments using up-to-date technological and safety standards.
Additionally, Appalachian will construct a new information commons to replace its aging library designed for only half the number of students the university now enrolls. UNCA will upgrade its student union, also built for far fewer students than the campus enrolls. Western will upgrade several older buildings on its campus.
According to the chancellors, if North Carolina wants to provide the best education possible for tomorrows citizens and leaders, institutions must have appropriate facilities in which to educate them.
The need is more critical than at any time in the history of the university, says Mullen. What were talking about here is opportunities for students to compete in the world. I dont think theres a more important decision that voters of North Carolina could make right now.
Appalachian Perspective is produced by Appalachians Office of Public Affairs. Private contributions to the Appalachian State University Foundation Inc. funded this episode.
For more information, call Producer Linda Coutant at (828) 262-2342.
Voters approve $27.5 million bond referendum
Having received voter approval of over 75%, the Linn-Mar School District is planning for a new era. Administrators are working with architects on the construction of a new elementary on the Districts east side property at 50th Street and 21st Avenue. OPN Architects, Inc. was selected as the architect for the elementary school which administrators expect to open in the fall of 2007. A second elementary, also approved in the bond referendum, will be built near Oak Ridge School on Alburnett Road. The buildings will share a similar design.
OPN has a long standing history with the district working on projects dating back to 1979. Their most recent Linn-Mar project was Excelsior Middle School which opened as the Intermediate School in 1995. We are anxious to start the construction phase of this project, says Superintendent Katie Mulholland. Our student population is growing at a rapid rate and we want to provide classrooms that offer the best possible learning environments.
Turnout at the polls for the January 24 bond referendum was 14.8% with 2,431 (74.98%) voting YES and 811 (25.02%) voting NO. A super majority of 60% was needed to pass. Nearly 570 people voted absentee or via satellite stations at the High School.
Many Linn-Mar patrons/parents and staff members were very pleased with the scope of the project and demonstrated it by the vote. Community leaders feel the passage of the referenda at both Linn-Mar and College Community is good for the entire metro area because it shows support of local education and will attract new families to the area.
Supporters plan school bond referendum presentations.
A citizens committee will give a presentation on the upcoming school bond issue vote at 7 p.m. Wednesday at Presbyterian Manor in Arkansas City.?A presentation is set for 7 p.m. today at the senior citizens center. Another one is set for 6:30 p.m. Thursday at IXL school.?John Sturd, Chairperson of the Citizen Committee for the Bond Issue, will present information about the school bond issue and how the money will be allocated into different projects throughout the school district. ?Participants may also register to vote and learn more about the mail-in ballot system which will be a vital part of this year's election. ?The 2008 school bond election is scheduled for March 4. Delivery of ballots begins Feb. 14 by mail.
Talk centers around bond campaign as referendum nears
(From the Jan. 25 Times artcle)
The upcoming $475 million bond referendum for Greensboro area schools should easily pass, says one Duke University political science professor.
Two scientific polls show the bond plan for the state's largest school system is set to pass by a 2-1 margin, according to C.W. Medders. Top state and local leaders, as well as North Carolina chamber of commerce and business executives, have lined up in support of the bond issue, which would result in a 62-mill increase and build seven new schools, renovate 16 existing schools and create a long-awaited private-public research campus and technology district.
"It was well-researched, and they've already raised $75,000, and this thing has already been endorsed by every poltician and his brother," said Medders.
But Wake Forest political science professor Thomas Smith said the bond plan could be defeated more easily than supporters think.
Political consultant Rod Shealy Jr,, who has worked against more than a half-dozen bond referendums over the past three years -- including two in the Coastal Plain -- has been retained by both of the groups working do defeat the bond issue. "You don't have to persuade 50 percent plus one, you have to turn out 50 percent plus one," said Shealy, who lives in South Carolina.
Clayton school expansion bond postponed
(From The News)
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
By Stephanie Brown
sbrown@sjnewsco.com
CLAYTON A $45 million bond referendum proposed by the school board to fund an expansion to the middle school/high school here has been postponed until April.
Officials said that the expansion is needed to adequately house the district's students in conjunction with a reconfiguration of the district. Additional improvements are proposed to both school grounds and facilities.
"This is a comprehensive plan to meet the long-term needs of the district," Superintendent Cleve Bryan said. "We've said that from day one. That hasn't changed."
The district's population is projected to increase from 1,327 students to 2,085 in the next decade, school officials said. Previously, the bond referendum was set for March 11. The school board has decided to wait until April 15, which is the next date available by law. It is also the day of the annual school board elections, which includes voting on school budgets.
Bryan said the board decided to push the referendum back because of continuing contract negotiations with the Clayton Education Association.
"It's important that we have our teachers' support," Bryan said. "I'm not saying that they wouldn't support it. It's just that we want to be in a situation where the negotiations are resolved before moving forward."
The board has approved breaking the referendum into two questions.
The first question asks voters to approve borrowing $38,966,760 to build a new high school wing off the existing high school/middle school building. The bond money would also be used to fund renovations to the middle school, convert space in the elementary school into classrooms, replace the elementary school roof, and relocate the sports fields displaced by the new construction at the high school site.
If approved by voters, the owner of a house assessed at $100,000 would pay $472.10 per year.
Bond Question Two asks voters to approve borrowing $5,833,423 to fund renovations to Haupt Field, implement SMART technologies in classrooms, re-coat the middle school roof, resurface the parking lots at both schools, and add six tennis courts to the sports facilities off Pop Kramer Boulevard.
Question Two can only be implemented if Question One is passed.
If both questions are approved, the owner of a home assessed at $100,000 would pay an additional $576.93 per year in school taxes.
The board is anticipating $12 million in state aid for the projects.
Bryan said the decision to hold a two-part referendum was in response to some concerns raised by residents about the necessity of some items, such as the renovations to Haupt Field.
"People who may basically agree with the separate high school wing and so forth but were having a hard time with doing renovations to the football field this may give them the opportunity to vote favorably," he said.
A public meeting on the bond referendum is set for Feb. 11, 7 p.m., at Herma S. Simmons Elementary School.
Waynesboro passes bond referendum projects; City will borrow about $10M to fund list of improvements
(From the News-Leader)
By Lauren Fulbright/staff
lfulbright@newsleader.com
WAYNESBORO A list of projects that won voter support during a November bond referendum were unanimously approved by City Council on Monday.
The city will move forward in borrowing up to $10,076,352 to fund a list of stormwater infrastructure improvements, the construction of the West End Fire Station and an expansion to the city library.
In August, Council members decided to send the projects to referendum because there was not enough support to get the four-out-of-five votes required to fund them. Though proposed sidewalk improvements and new city ball fields also were placed on the referendum, these projects were not supported by voters.
On Nov. 28, city officials announced that the election results might not be valid because a court order calling for the referendum was not published in a city newspaper.
This left council members with three choices, according to the city's bond counsel.
Council could approve the projects by a four-fifths vote, redo the referendum or take the results to a circuit court judge to be validated.
By mid-December, all five council members had said they would support the voter-approved projects.
Mayor Tom Reynolds said he is glad council is moving forward.
"We've got these projects in the works, now we can begin to look at the next issue to come up," he said.
The CA debate
First, on economic policy, Hillary's ideas would be a disaster. Freeze interest rate? That would have a profound impact in all markets, and the impact would not be good. Though she may be accomplished in other areas, in economics her ideas are short-sighted and sound-bite driven.
Second, the line that got the most applause at the debate "cleaning up after the Bushes". I think that line is a loser in terms of cleaning up....brings up too many memories of cleaning up after Bill in the oval office.
Barak vs Hillary in a Nutshell
Looking for a simple way to characterize the difference between Obama and Clinton?
Professor Lani Guinier of Harvard Law School, who is supporting Mr. Obama, said the key distinction between Mr. Obama and Mrs. Clinton lies in how they view their relationship to power.
[snip]
Mrs. Clinton is the talented lawyer serving her clients, Ms. Guinier said. Mr. Obama is the organizer, she said, who sees the source of his power as the ability to inspire people to mobilize.
Yes, she's captured it!
(server apparently won't support linking at the moment - quote is from today's NY Times article on Clinton)
Behaviorism and the TPM Change Over
I am not a behaviorist. But the Cafe is conducting a behavioral study right now: The Change Over.
Behaviorists have found that an inconsistent schedule of rewards is the most effective way to increase a desired behavior. Thus, give an animal what it wants... if... it engages in a specific behavior. But don't reward it every time. Instead, reward it only sometimes. And make that reward unpredictable.
If a person wants something and does receive that something sometimes, and that reward comes unpredictably.... then the person keeps trying and trying, and not giving up... because every once in a while.... the system works and they get what they need.
We tpm devotees are hanging around here, trying and occasionally succeeding... in logging in, in posting, in being able to actually reach each other... sometimes.
Just like a hazing experience in a fraternity, we are undergoing a process of testing. Those of us who survive the process will be even more committed to the system to which we have subjected ourselves and for which we have put in countless, often fruitless, but sometimes productive hours!
There you have it. The change-over as a behavioral experiment!
Money Party to Citizens: Drop Dead!
M. Collins: The Money Party (4)
Money Party to Citizens: Drop Dead!
Tens of millions are just a lost job away from homelessness.
Mission accomplished for The Money Party. (Nathan Rein CC)
"The FBI is investigating every level of the conspiracy that it believes perpetuated the housing boom..." TimesOnline Jan. 31, 2007
Michael Collins
"Scoop" Independent News
Washington, DC
Now they've done it. The Money Party road show just hit a speed bump at 90 mph and that speed bump was us. There are no more "booms" to hype. No more schemes to hook investors into the stock market. The high tech boom is dead and biotech turned into road kill thanks to a president who talks to God and believes that evolution is just "a theory."
All they had left was the housing bubble. Ram home prices up by flooding the market with buyers. Get them in that home anyway you can. The finance guys will figure it out. We saw "interest only" mortgages to sell people more home than they could afford. And the highly "recommended" adjustable rate mortgages that mature in record time plus other schemes were there to qualify those who should have bought less for more than they'd ever hoped.
What a great deal that was. The economy is now tanking. Only 18% of middle class families have three months worth of accumulated income, the amount needed to have a chance of surviving a financial crisis.
As foreclosures go through the roof, the know-it-alls in The Money Party public relations shop (the mainstream media) trot out their paid liars to blame the people.
This housing "boom" turned bubble had a crushing impact on the economy. One analyst noted, that "By 2005, this bubble had been creating fifty percent of all economic growth in the U.S." That growth is gone and now we're looking at people losing their homes just as massive layoffs are planned and implemented.
This is an important point to remember about the party. It's never their fault, never. Not once has any economic failure been their fault. It's our fault. We're supposed to be smart enough to see that these great "opportunities" are nothing more than the bad ponies you'd never bet. The Money Party can't help itself and we were supposed to know better.
This is a very big lie that we must believe. If we didn't, who knows what would happen?
But wait! Apparently the paid flacks forgot that the financial deity, former Federal Reserve Chairman Arthur Greenspan, endorsed the housing bubble in no uncertain terms. In 2004, Greenspan told a credit union association crowd that "the refinancing phenomenon" had been supportive for the economy and that the use of home equity "helped cushion" declining stock prices. Then Greenspan showed his supposed genius with this advice to home buyers and owners:
"American consumers might benefit if lenders provided greater mortgage product alternatives to the traditional fixed-rate mortgage. To the degree that households are driven by fears of payment shocks but are willing to manage their own interest rate risks, the traditional fixed-rate mortgage may be an expensive method of financing a home." Understanding household debt obligations, Federal Reserve Board, Feb. 23, 2004
The message was clear. Get an ARM!
Here's the back story. Greenspan got first rate analysis in 2001 from Ned Gramlich, a widely respected economist and Federal Reserve Governor. Gramlich warned, "that a fast-growing new breed of lenders was luring many people into risky mortgages they could not afford." Greenspan dismissed this advice and other warnings that followed. Predatory loan offerings; not to worry. It's all good.
The New York Times reported this epitaph of the Greenspan housing boom from a 2006 Gramlich speech to the Federal Reserve:
"Why are the most risky loan products sold to the least sophisticated borrowers? The question answers itself - the least sophisticated borrowers are probably duped into taking these products." New York Times, Dec, 18, 2007
Why? Because that's what they do. It's their nature. The Money party just can't get enough and it will get it anywhere it can in any way it can.
So we're in a situation where a false housing boom was created by sticking the least qualified home buyers with very risky loans. The big banks and Wall Street got together and created securities and bonds based on "subprime" mortgages along with hedge funds and other schemes based on commercial real estate in order to profit from this madness.
These were highly rated and widely sold. When the housing market collapsed, the securities and bonds lost most or all of their value, and the screwing of the citizens expanded. The financial collapse is now devouring the middle class and pummeling the financial intuitions that started the scheme in the first place.
The Times of London indicated just how low The Money Party had sunk:
"The FBI is investigating every level of the conspiracy that it believes perpetuated the housing boom and ultimately resulted in millions of Americans losing their houses, investment banks losing billions of dollars and the chief executives of Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, Bear Stearns and UBS resigning." TimesOnline Jan. 31, 2007
Will anything come of this investigation? Who knows? But we're in a serious crisis that requires skill, insight and honesty to find solutions.
We should all be encouraged that the team in charge of fixing this mess is making progress. Who better to trust than Bush and Congress?
END
The Money Party (2). Lousy Leaders and How to Get Rid of Them
The Money Party (3). Big Lies that You Must Believe
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McCain, Immigration & Straight Talk
While this exchange provided a good measure of schadenfreude, the broader implications are that McCain's nomination might greatly reduce the GOP's ability to use immigration as a wedge issue in the presidential campaign. When McCain has been all but counted out, many assumed that immigration would be the one national issue that might play to the GOP's advantage. Now it appears that even that may be gone.
Is this old news?
Judgment, Lest We Forget
WTNH Poll: Obama ahead in CT
Barack Obama leads Hillary Rodham Clinton, 48 percent to 44 percent, in a poll of Connecticut Democratic voters released today by WTNH, Channel 8, and the website, Connpolitics.tv. ... The poll is first of Connecticut voters since John Edwards left the race, leaving a two-way contest between Clinton and Obama. It also is the first showing Obama edging ahead of Clinton. A Rasmussen poll earlier this week had them in a dead heat.MOE is 3.8%. Poll taken before last night's debate. It suggests that Obama is either pulling in those undecideds or the Edwards supporters.
A lever to move the world: health is the key to change
I'm an American expat who lives in Madrid Spain, a mild-mannered reporter for a great metropolitan newspaper.
My greatest point of empathy with Americans in America is on health care. I can easily imagine my own situation if I still lived there. The following would be my political manifesto and would center my political activity if I lived in the USA.
I would start with a quote of Gore Vidal's which I consider gospel truth
"I say very mildly, we have only one political party in the United States, the Property Party, with two right wings, Republican and Democrat." Gore Vidal
I subscribe to that fully. I would add that the Republicans aren't fooling anyone, which is why they win elections and the Democrats are trying to fool people into thinking that they are a 'progressive' party, which is why they lose elections... Not enough people are fooled.
I find myself against almost everything that the Republicans stand for, Mitt Romney, for example, makes me physically ill, but at least they seem to truly stand for what they say they stand for (although many evangelicals doubt this). I respect that quality, even in a jerk like Bush... He defends his people (the very, very rich) to the bone. But the Democratic Party, to use highly technical language, really, really, sucks: with few exceptions, a herd of Judas Goats leading the poor to slaughter, bells a jingling.
I live in Europe, where we have socialized medicine. This means that the major hospitals are owned by the state. During at least half the day most doctors, even eminent specialists, are state employees. Medicines, even the most expensive, are heavily subsidized or totally free. Here the suffering of poor people in America without medical care, or the anxiety of the American middle class worrying about losing their jobs and thus losing their coverage is unthinkable. I read the "plans" the different American political "leaders" have to solve this suffering and humiliation and they remind me of the cynical and patronizing "separate but equal" justifications of the Jim Crow south.
The more I explore this painful and festering sore of scores of millions of Americans of all colors without adequate medical care, the more I am reminded of the political climate before the civil rights battles of the 50s and 60s. What seems totally missing, however, is the Martin Luther King or the Malcolm X to give it shape and words. Polar bears and glaciers have their Al Gore, but who is to lead a citizen's revolt against pain, sickness, humiliation and death?
You could say that the idea of some 40,000,000 Americans many of them of color, condemned to death and disease is even worse than the injustice of segregation, but the comparison is one of hope. The civil rights movement's successes means that even within the American system profound change is possible when enough people stand up and say, "this far, no farther." It can be done, it's been done before.
But make no mistake, this battle could be even harder and crueler. The battle against prejudice and discrimination was only really about customs and habits, it was fought in the context of the cold war where the Soviet Union used the plight of black people in the USA to its advantage in Europe and the Third World. Law makers knew that social inertia was the only real obstacle to dramatically improving America's self-image and its image around the world as a champion of freedom. It was simply good for business. For America's rich and the powerful little was really changed by allowing African-Americans full civil rights.
The battle for the right to health, however is about money, lots of money: higher taxes for the rich, much higher... like in Sweden. And the limits beyond which the wealthy of America will not go in defense of their money has yet to be discovered.
The money invested in the ideology necessary to fight socialized medicine in America is also limitless. This ideological task force that the oligarchy has deployed has even made the very words "socialized medicine" taboo. Thus the successful system of countries like Britain, Canada, France and Germany is made to sound like something inefficient and subversive.
Politicians require huge amounts of money to get elected and those who sign the big checks don't want to pay the taxes necessary to pay for a health system similar to Europe's. I don't think anything meaningful will ever occur led by the men and women who owe their existence to our present system of campaign financing.
To get something like this done only a movement will suffice and I doubt if even a million uninsured children marching on Washington would be enough to melt the hearts of those weaned on a diet of Ayn Rand. It might take a general strike, the shutting down of America's huge transport system for a few days, to bring it off.
This more than any other is work for grassroots activists and organizers: free health care for all is the true catalyst for change in the USA. Those who begin to organize this from the ground up are today's equivalent of the Freedom Riders that opened up the American south and ennobled an entire generation.
I am convinced that struggle to bring forth a universal public health system in the United States on European lines is the decisive battle in reforming the whole US body politic from top to bottom.
For anything to ever really change in the USA, it is fruitless to wait for operatives of the American political system to bring about that change. The reason is simple and obvious: those who hold public office have been able to use the system as it is to their advantage. Why should they want to change it? They will finally rubber stamp the changes that society itself has created through consciousness and action.
That for me was the great lesson I learned living through Spain's transition from a "National Catholic" dictatorship to democratic welfare state with a socialist government, where homosexual marriage is legal... first the society changes and then the politicians come tagging along. When society changes, everything is possible. From Franco to gay marriage in 33 years!
Change comes from those who are dissatisfied with the status quo, the quantity of dissatisfaction multiplied by the number of the dissatisfied provides the energy for change. Health care is literally a question of life or death. What greater commitment to change can there ever be than to change the conditions that threaten one's life? It is said that some 40,000,000 Americans have no health coverage: exposed to illness, death and humiliation. Multiply the energy of those 40,000,000 by the desire of those 40,000,000 to live and you have a fulcrum and a lever with which to move the world.
Many who read this will never have experienced such a public health system and may think it an unrealistic utopia. Let me give you an example from the Spanish health care system that I heard about a few days ago. I was talking to an Englishman who works as a political analysts for one of Spain's largest, multinational banks. Despite being a young man he suffers from arthritis. Once a month he goes to the hospital where he is given medicine that costs 1000 euros ($1,462.34) a treatment. The system spends about $17,550 a year so that he won't live in constant pain. It costs him nothing. The Spanish economy is doing nicely, Spain just passed Italy in per capita income, people dress well, live in nice houses and eat good food, this is not some "Marxist hell" like North Korea and the system manages to care for the health of all.
It would be interesting to do the math, but I imagine that you could pay for all treatments of all the Americans with acute arthritis forever and ever, world without end. Amen... for the cost of one stealth bomber. For the cost of one atomic powered aircraft carrier you could probably pay for all the generic medicine that all the ill of America could consume in a generation or more. Explain to someone that for the welfare and safety of the homeland he or she must wither away in agony and die unattended.
The least they could do is send a Marine Corp bugler to play taps at the funeral of every pauper in America. Theirs is truly a sacrifice! Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori.
To sum up: there is critical mass for change in the American system. This critical mass is the urgent need for basic health care of many millions of people, who can vote, march, organize, go on strike, sit in, chain themselves to public buildings, block roads and do all the things the civil rights movement did in the 60s or for that matter what even Bolivian Indians do today when they want change. There are many teachers of the politics of change, beginning with Ghandi himself for those who would like to take up the plow without looking behind them.
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/
Logging in at TPM
Logging in at TPM seems to be very hit and miss. Sometimes I can log in, sometimes the pw is rejected. Then there's a different pw at TPMCafe or for this blog. It be nice to see it straightened out.
Anytime I need to write in twice in one day because I "forgot" my pw (which I didn't forget because I had it right in front of me), you know there's a problem.
I wish Edwards would endorse SOMEBODY...
Bi-racial coalition carried Obama to South Carolina landslide
South Carolina voters rejected the politics of division in a historic Democratic turnout. Despite the Clintons plan to put Obama in a black box, his strengths among white voters and independents helped him win a bi-racial landslide.
Facing a loss in South Carolina, the Clintons did their best to spring a trap on Barack Obama. Their game plan was to lower expectations for Hillary, while making an Obama victory appear meaningless. As an unnamed top Clinton adviser admitted to the Associated Press, they would paint Obama as the black candidate in a state where African-American voters were 47% of the Democratic primary electorate in 2004.
Until the polls closed, it looked like things were going according to schedule. Hillary signaled South Carolina wasnt a priority by campaigning elsewhere for most of the week leading up to the primary, leaving Bill to tour the state on her behalf.
Pre-election polls seemed to show Obamas support among white Democrats in S.C. slipping to 10%. A Wall Street Journal headline from the day before the primary epitomized the effects of the Clintons spin by proclaiming To Truly Win in Carolina, Obama Needs Large Margin. The reporter speculated Obama will have to win by a double-digit margin in order for voters nationwide to perceive South Carolina as a real victory.
But despite Bills pledge to go door-to-door for Hillary in the black community if necessary, black voters in South Carolina were turned off by the Clinton campaigns increasing reliance on racially coded appeals against Obama.
Clumsy smears
One high profile episode occurred when Clinton supporter Bob Johnson, the billionaire head of BET, raised the specter of Obamas drug use as a young man at a rally in Columbia, S.C. Defending an earlier comment by Hillary that Dr. King's dream began to be realized when President Johnson passed the Civil Rights Act," Johnson said, that is the way the legislative process works in this nation and that takes political leadership. Thats all Hillary was saying.
He then added, Hillary and Bill Clinton have been deeply and emotionally involved in black issues since Barack Obama was doing something in the neighborhood and I wont say what he was doing, but he said it in (his) book.
When called on it, Johnson shamelessly denied he was talking about drugs, claiming my comments today were referring to Barack Obamas time spent as a community organizer, and nothing else. Any other suggestion is simply irresponsible and incorrect.
The month before, Billy Shaheen had been forced to step down as the co-chair of Clintons New Hampshire campaign when he first raised the drug use issue against Obama. But this time, the Clintons refused to disassociate themselves from Johnsons remarks.
On the day of the primary, Bill tried to downplay the significance of an Obama victory by invoking the specter of Jesse Jackson. Asked by a reporter why it was taking two Clintons to beat Obama, he helpfully pointed out that "Jesse Jackson won South Carolina in '84 and '88. Jackson ran a good campaign. And Obama ran a good campaign here."
Despite his groundbreaking career as an outspoken civil rights activist and the first black American to make a serious bid for the White House, (and to knee-jerk racists, because of these things), Jackson remains a controversial figure to some voters. As CNN commentator Roland Martin put it, Jackson is beloved in black America but stirs hatred in many whites.
Clearly, Bill was trying to tar Obama with a negative brush. Either he was associating him with Jackson solely because both candidates are black, or trying to remind voters that Jesse ultimately came up short in his unsuccessful runs for the presidency.
Obama has already far exceeded Jacksons performance in the early primary states. In nearly all-white (91%) Iowa, Obama won with 38% of the vote, versus Jacksons 9% when he finished fourth in 1988. In New Hampshire, Obama was a close second to Clinton with 37%, compared with 8% twenty years ago for Jackson.
In 1984, Jackson won South Carolina with 25% of the vote, and in 88 he won again with 54%. But in both years, South Carolina held caucuses, and turnout was less than a tenth of the number who voted in this years primary. And Jesse Jackson was born in South Carolina.
Jacksons insurgent campaigns were chronically underfunded and ran on shoestring budgets. By contrast, Obama has assembled one of the biggest fundraising operations in the history of presidential politics, raising $103 million last year, and an astounding $32 million during January 2008. Significantly, his funds have come from both large donors and a diverse, nationwide network of small contributors.
One of the highest ranking white elected officials to back Jackson in 1988 was the Agriculture Commissioner of Texas, progressive Jim Hightower. This year, the Democratic party establishment is genuinely split between Obama and Hillary Clinton. Liberal icon Ted Kennedy is only the latest prominent white Democrat to endorse Obama, following John Kerry, former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, and a string of sitting Senators and Governors from red states including Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE), Arizona Gov. Janet Napolitano, and Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius.
Landslide called early
The minute S.C. polls closed, major news organizations immediately called the race for Obama, based on exit polls showing his huge win. He ended up with 55% of the vote to Hillary Clintons 27% and 18% for John Edwards.
As the shape of Obamas victory became clear, the Clintons (and reporters who fell for their race-baiting spin) were left with egg on their faces. Obama won more than twice as many votes as Clinton. He beat Clinton among independents by 40% to 23%. He carried black voters by a 4-1 margin.
But he also won a quarter of white voters, far more than the 10% forecast by pre-election polls. He won a majority of white voters under 30. He won nearly as many white men as Clinton. Obama probably would have done even better among white voters without S.C. native son John Edwards in the race, who took 40% of the overall white vote.
Carol Fisher, a middle-aged white voter from Greenville, South Carolina, explained her vote for Barack Obama when interviewed outside the polls. I was just voting for, to me, the most attractive candidate overall. It had nothing to do with the fact that Hillary Clinton is a woman, so I would want to vote for her. I just think Im voting for the best candidate.
The competitive race sparked the second-highest voter turnout in history for a South Carolina primary - 530,000, just shy of the record 573,000 set in the 2000 Bush vs. McCain Republican primary smackdown. Even more amazing, voters who participated in the Democratic primary outnumbered the 446,000 who showed up for the Republican presidential contest a week earlier. It was the highest-ever Democratic turnout in the countrys most reliably Republican state.
One behind-the-scenes factor firing up the huge turnout was Obamas impressive field S.C. organization, the best in the state among presidential contenders of either party. On primary day, Team Obama fielded an army of 9,000 volunteers, flushing out voters from 150 different staging sites across South Carolina. By comparison, Hillary Clintons emergency ground operation in New Hampshire that helped pull her to victory numbered only 4,000.
Unfortunately for the Clintons, their plan to put Obama in a black box backfired. Not only did Obama win by a bi-racial landslide, but Bill Clintons legacy as a uniter of black and white Americans is now at risk.
In his victory speech, Obama emphasized this election "is not about rich versus poor or young versus old, and it's not about black versus white. This election is about the past versus the future." A historic number of South Carolina voters seem to have agreed with him.
(The complete version of this article including photos is cross-posted at The Latest Outrage.)
Exxon's Record-Setting Profit
Highest quarterly or annual profit ever for a U.S. corporation:
Exxon, the world's largest publicly traded oil company, said fourth-quarter net income rose 14% to $11.66 billion, or $2.13 per share. That's up from $10.25 billion, or $1.76 per share, in the year-ago period.
Good to see the system working exactly as intended...
Can John McCain Pass the GOPs Reagan Purity Test? (Can Anyone?)
By Stephen Silver/North Star Writers Group
John McCain, all but left for dead in the early stages of the presidential campaign, appears to have comfortably seized the lead in the GOP primaries, having won both South Carolina and Florida and holding great momentum heading into Super Tuesday.
In an election year without a clear establishment candidate, the Republican establishment has been clear all along that they prefer Anyone But McCain. From Rush Limbaugh to Grover Norquist to the entire National Review editorial staff, leading GOP stalwarts have major reservations about the senator from Arizona. Sure, hes a legitimate war hero, who has taken solidly conservative positions on nearly every major issue throughout his long career. But, clearly, hes not a True Conservative, in the Tradition of Ronald Reagan.
Read more here: http://www.northstarwriters.com/ss081.htm
My Coming Of Political Age
"It takes a Clinton to clean up after a Bush"
Ronnieponnie
The "mob mentality" is alive and well. If someone wins a primary, he (seemingly, not she) is given momentum. Are we so fickle that we had rather go with a "winner" than our own convictions? It seems so! The candidates who stuck to their convictions are no longer in the race.
The surge is working?
The new conventional wisdom is that the surge has worked, that Iraq is entering a period of calm and that voters are less concerned about the war than they have been -- which would then make John McCain a strong candidate in the fall.
The conventional wisdom, as usual, has some flaws, as Juan Cole points out. Here are a couple of excerpts from today's post on his blog:
Ambassador Marc Ginsburg is astonished that John McCain could win in Florida on a platform of a Hundred Years War in Iraq and phony slogans about "victory" that McCain is careful never to define. In my view, McCain's mantra about "victory" in Iraq is the 2008 equivalent of Nixon having a "secret plan" to end the Vietnam War in 1968. Somebody should please ask McCain what "victory" would look like exactly and how he would get there. Intensively patrolling some neighborhoods and cutting them off from traffic with blast walls are not measures that can be kept up for very long. Then what? Besides, someone please do me a favor and actually read the list of bombings and killings appended at the end of this post, occuring in downtown Baghdad and elsewhere, and tell me why John McCain thinks things are just hunky dory there. Is it a racist thing where it doesn't matter how many Iraqis are killed as long as US troops aren't? Even then, 5 US troops were blown up on Monday. Yeah, that's real calm.Iraq, however, is just not that important. Go figure.....
A new poll finds that the percentage of Americans who think the war to overthrow Saddam Hussein was worth it to the US declined from 35% to only 32% between December and January. The percentage who thought it was not worth it rose from 56% to 59% according to the same poll. It turns out that the American public is not impressed with a mere reduction in violence nowadays from apocalyptic levels last year this time. They want to know why we went there in the first place, and why their sacrifice of blood and treasure was worthwhile. No one, including McCain really has an answer for that.
Crossposted from Channel Surfing
What Are You Watching?
The Democratic debate, or Lost?
I'm watching Lost. I'm recording the debate. But only because Celebrity Apprentice is repeated over the weekend.
If it wasn't, this would be a really tough choice.
How can we reclaim a sense of security in this climate?
Several forces conspire to steal our sense of security. They are man-made, not natural forces. These forces, however are not conspiring with each other to steal from us. I say that to allay any suspicion that I am a conspiracy theorist or that I am paranoid. I am sane and rational, though not always perfectly so. But these are truly dark times.
Today I am relieved that one of the conspirators, Rudy Giuliani will no longer be as active among us. His endorsement of another of the current players of the "fear card," Senator John McCain, reminded me that they do not want us to relax. The forces of aggression that set in motion the loss of a million Iraqis, are now supported by McCain's seeming commitment to a "forever war." Because our nation is an integral part of such violence, his candidacy does not allow us normal folks to feel at ease.
Other maladaptive psychological traits in and out of our current administration tend to keep us agitated. Let me give you another example example. You could see much agitation on C-SPAN yesterday when Attorney General Michael Mukasey (the 3rd member of Mr. Bush's Tough Guy Triumvirate that includes Mike McConnell-DNI and Michael Hayden-CIA Director) testified before the Senate yesterday. The most prevalent questions from Senators to our nation's most senior legal official, were about water boarding. Mukasey, seemingly in absolute psychological denial, refused to rule it out, at the same time as he termed it "repugnant." How are we to feel he will staunchly defend the rule of law? He will not, according to the New York Times story on 1/31/08. To quote:
The legality of waterboarding, in which a prisoner experiences a sensation of drowning, has been come under fierce debate since the acknowledgment by Bush administration officials that a small number of prisoners who were members of Al Qaeda had been subjected to it after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Mr. Mukasey said in a letter delivered to the Judiciary Committee on Tuesday night that he had been authorized by the White House to reveal that waterboarding was no longer being carried out and, for now, was considered an unapproved interrogation technique within the C.I.A. He repeated that assurance in his testimony Wednesday.
Legislative leaders formulate the laws that are then to be executed by another branch of government. The U.S. Constitution assures us of those basics. It does not make me feel more secure to suspect that the CIA sees itself as above the law. How am I to believe that my civil liberties and those of others will be protected as the agency goes about its business? The following story is another example of ignoring the basic rules of evidence. The headline reads, "Detainee's Lawyers Rebut C.I.A. on Tapes" - NYT 1/19/08. To quote:
Lawyers for Majid Khan, a detainee at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, have challenged the Central Intelligence Agencys assertion that videotaping of interrogations stopped in 2002, saying that Mr. Khans interrogations after that time were recorded on videotape. In papers filed Jan. 4, Mr. Khans lawyers challenged a Dec. 6 statement by the C.I.A. director, Gen. Michael V. Hayden. General Hayden, addressing agency employees after being told that The New York Times was about to publish an article about the tapes, wrote that the taping stopped in 2002.
Having a responsible position and years of experience does not necessarily endow a man with integrity or the ability to do well by his subordinates. General Mike Hayden's predecessor, Porter Goss was a high ranking legislator just prior to his appointment to head the CIA. And he left his staff member hanging out to dry with a decision that should have been made on the side of the law. It was one that rightly was his own to make. We should have been able to trust him to do the right thing. Goss chaired the House Intelligence Committee; Rep. Jane Harman was the Democratic ranking Member. Headlined Porter Goss and the tapes, 1/17/08, the story came from the A.P. To quote:
Former CIA Director Porter Goss never criticized plans to destroy interrogation videotapes, a lawyer said Thursday as the investigation began shaping up as a matter of competing storylines. Jose Rodriguez, the CIA official who gave the order to destroy the tapes, is at the center of Justice Department and congressional investigations into who approved the plan and whether it was illegal. His attorney, Robert Bennett, said Goss and Rodriquez met several times to discuss the tapes and Goss was never critical of Rodriquez' decision.
Many of us began to feel more secure back in December when Congress sought to ban torture altogether. The NYT headline read, "House Votes to Ban Harsh C.I.A. Methods." It was by AP on December 13, 2007. To quote:
The House approved an intelligence bill Thursday that would prohibit the CIA from using waterboarding, mock executions and other harsh interrogation methods. The 222-199 vote sent the measure to the Senate, which still must act before it can go to President Bush. The White House has threatened a veto. The bill, a House-Senate compromise to authorize intelligence operations in 2008, also blocks spending 70 percent of the intelligence budget until the House and Senate intelligence committees are briefed on Israel's Sept. 6 air strike on an alleged nuclear site in Syria. The 2008 intelligence budget is classified, but it is more than the $43 billion approved for 2007.
The New York Times editorialized at about the same time with this headline: "In Arrogant defense of torture."
According to GovTrack.us, HR. 2082 has not been signed by the president. So, despite passing laws, an active opposition from a leading newspaper, and with yesterday's AG refusal to disavow torture, we cannot yet feel secure that our government is operating under the rule of law.
Update: Senator Whitehouse told us -- during his very effective C-SPAN call-in this morning -- that the Conference Report on the Intelligence bill must still be accepted by the Senate. So it is not yet on the President's desk, to be fair.
Cross posted today at The Reaction.
Hundreds of Thousands Of Voters Unregistered in Violation of Federal Law
Weekly Voting Rights News Update
By Erin Ferns
Despite the intense media spotlight on the presidential primaries and Indiana's voter ID case in the Supreme Court, the issues of voter participation and voting rights are still grossly underreported. This week, Project Vote cited Colorado for failure to follow the federal National Voter Registration Act - a 1993 law created to increase the number of eligible citizens registered to vote - in a report released on Monday. Project Vote found the state was in poor compliance with a section of the law requiring voter registration applications to be offered at public assistance agencies an effort to reduce disparities in voting population based on race and income.
NVRA's well known Motor Voter feature, which instructs states to offer voter registration to citizens applying for or renewing driver's licenses, has helped millions of Americans register or update their information every year. However, the same efforts have not been put forth to comply with Section 7 of the law in many states, which requires voter registration at agencies other than the DMV to ensure that 'the poor and persons with disabilities who do not have driver's licenses [would]...not be excluded from those for whom registration will be convenient and readily available.' Although mandated by federal law since 1995, negligence by large numbers of states has hampered the laws intent to close the representational gap in the voting population.
In 2006, human service agencies in some of the state's largest counties, including El Paso, Arapahoe and Weld, did not register a single person to vote, according to the report by Project Vote, which works to increase civic engagement wrote Myung Oak Kim in the Rocky Mountain News Tuesday.
Released Monday, the report by Jody Herman and Douglass Hess documents the state's consistently low rates of registration in public assistance offices despite the state's significant population of unregistered, low-income citizens. Of the 900,000 unregistered adult citizens in Colorado in 2006, 229,000 had household incomes below $25,000 and are likely to be in contact with public assistance offices, the report found. A Project Vote analysis of the 2006 electorate illustrates the drastic disparities in the electorate: Low-income citizens comprise of 21% of the voting eligible population, but just 60% of them are registered to vote. In comparison, those earning $100,000 or more make up a smaller portion (19%) of the voting eligible population, but have the greatest voting power with 81% registered in that income bracket. Find more in this 2007 Project Vote report, Representational Bias in the 2006 Electorate.
If [Colorado] had followed the requirements of the NVRA more diligently, the disparity in registration rates between rich and poor would likely be much less profound, said Herman in the press release Monday.
The report, one in a series of reports on NVRA compliance in the states, examines the following possible explanations for lackluster voter registration performance, but ultimately concludes poor performance is a result of poor compliance with the NVRA.1)There is a decline in participation in public assistance programs and many of those participating are non-citizens.
Although participation in public assistance programs declined in the 1990s, participation has actually increased in the last decade. Further, only a small number of adults participating in public assistance programs are non-citizens. For example, approximately 117,000 adults participated in the Food Stamp Program and only 7,000 were non-citizens.
2)The successful NVRA mandated registrations at the Department of Motor Vehicles crowds out the opportunity for public assistance agencies to register new voters.
While DMV registrations fluctuated over a decade, there are no visible trends to make the correlation between the DMV's success in registering voters and public assistance agency performance. Given the 229,000 unregistered, low-income citizens, there is a large untapped population of unregistered citizens that public assistance offices are not reaching with required voter registration services, the report said.
3)Public assistance offices are registering voters, but are not reporting the numbers, skewing performance records.
While Herman and Hess acknowledge a reporting problem in many jurisdictions, data collected by [community organization,] Colorado ACORN reveal that public assistance offices in Colorado are not in compliance with NVRA. In November and December 2007, the group visited the offices of WIC, TANF and Food Stamp services in four counties. They found that more than half of the surveyed offices did not have voter registration forms available upon request, nor did they provide them in application materials.
The state is currently addressing the issue. According to the Associated Press, Hess said he met with representatives from the secretary of state's office last month and said they are taking steps to put together training for county workers as well as a new system to monitor compliance with the law. See the report for state recommendations on how to successfully comply with the law.
NVRA non-compliance is not exclusive to Colorado. On Tuesday, Project Vote and Demos notified Arizona and Florida Secretaries of State that the states failed to offer voter registration services to low income citizens, as required by NVRA.
Other states that have recently made compliance with this requirement a priority have experienced significant gains in public agency registration rates. One in 5 Iowans, for example, who access public assistance register to vote since that state took steps to improve compliance, Project Vote's press release said. The potential to bring millions of new voters into the electoral process via aggressive implementation of Section 7 of the NVRA cannot be overstated. Thirteen years ago, 2.6 million registered to vote through agency registration, while only 527,752 did so in 2006. Voting rights activists and those who prize fair and representative elections should closely examine their own states efforts (or lack thereof) in implementing Section 7 and demand compliance with the law.
Quick LinksContact
Contact the office of Colorado Secretary of State Mike Coffman here.
To find out the contact information for your own Secretary of state go here
Webpages
Reports
Investigating Voting Rights in Colorado: An Assessment of Compliance with the National Voter Registration Act in Public Assistance Agencies. Project Vote. Jan. 28, 2008.
Maximizing Voter Registration Opportunities at Public Assistance Agencies. NVRA Implementation Project. November 2005.
Ten Years Later: A Promise Unfulfilled. The National Voter Registration Act in Public Assistance Agencies, 1995-2005. NVRA Implementation Project. July 2005.
Other Sources:
Public Agency Registration Model Bill. NVRA Implementation Project. July 2005.
A Summary of the National Voter Registration Act. Project Vote. March 2006.
In Other News:
Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann says Mississippi shouldn't wait for a court decision before enacting a voter identification law. Read more of this Associated Press report here.
Fewer than half of the ballots cast in November by voters who lacked photo identification were ultimately counted, according to data provided to The Associated Press by the Georgia Secretary of State. Read more of this AP story here.
Erin Ferns is a Research and Policy Analyst with Project Votes Strategic Writing and Research Department (SWORD).
The View from France
I try to tell them that it's not quite that cut-and-dry but they don't want to listen.
Should the US Chamber of Commerce be Held Accountable?
The US Chamber of Commerce regularly sells memberships to small businesses in the field and tells their principals or decision makers that the US Chamber will fight for their interests. On that basis, they have traditionally taken "membership fees" which are quasi-donations from small businesses and left stickers with them and literature puffing the efforts of the US Chamber of Commerce for small business.
Does the US Chamber of Commerce train its representatives in the field to disclose the conflicts of interest the Chamber has when it represents the interests of mega-corporations and small businesses with which they compete and often drive out of business?
Does the US Chamber of Commerce represent the truth about their advocacy for the Walmarts when they sell a membership to the mom and pop store? Inquiring minds want to know how many membership fees have been accepted on the basis of this non-disclosure.
The US Chamber of Commerce competes with the National Federation of Independent Business, and you may from time to time see one or the other of these organization's stickers on small business doors or windows.
Who'd a thunk?
I woke up to beautiful, clear, smog-free skies this morning, went for a good hard run, and then saw this:
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Election 2008 shows Republican frontrunner Senator John McCain with single-digit leads over Democratic Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. McCain now leads Clinton 48% to 40%. He leads Barack Obama 47% to 41%.
How could this have happened?
In 2006, a Republican party tied to a sinking president and a dismal war was handed a well-earned electoral beating. The party's presidential candidates were dancing around and running away from Bush and Iraq, and the Democrats had strong candidates and an endless supply of fat, facty cudgels to beat their opponents.
In 2008, it looks like we may end up with a Republican president who is an unabashed warmonger, and who shamelessly changed positions towards large parts of the Bush legacy. What the heck?
Unity: A Task not a Slogan for a President Obama
The unity task outspoken by the Barack Obama campaign and from Sen. Obama himself is an ambitious task if a person really means it. I think he really means it. I liken America's internal problems to that of a family which has divorced. The parents are those in control of the electoral process, and the people are the children. Yes, the children's popular vote can be stolen if delegates overrule.
Or, they can just fritter it away by not voting.
I have heard people express their appreciation for Senator Obama's oratory skill. I have heard people praise his intelligence. However, flattery is not a good enough soil from which to grow unity. From flattery today envy springs tomorrow, and sometimes, hatred. Instead, people must not be content to praise a President Obama, they must be inspired to plan and execute their own personal change that will make the world a better place.
Barack Obama is not the only person who has called for this. George H.W. Bush meant something like this limited to the non-profit and volunteer sector. However, Barack Obama has called for government to lead the way, and for people who run special interest industries and groups to follow suit.
The good Senator embarks on a challenge. On these things career civil servants and government professionals in Washington DC should be clear: if he is president, he will need people to get behind him and watch his back politically, socially and legally.
There are some who do not want real unity. Obama appears a threat to them.The many, however, I believe do want strength in numbers and in the people over corporate and foreign special interests.
Unity might mean that the president leads the people in getting behind reform laws that end anti-competitive or immoral business-as-usual. When a strong leader who clearly communicates can tell the people what is being done to them, there is a great threat to institutional power brokers who like to do-to the people.
These folks need to change. This change talk isn't just a theme. It is a dire need for everyone in every generation to improve their serve and themselves, but especially for those who abuse institutional power. These tend to sell their souls to vain imaginings and sell out the person in the street and his or her family.
Israel's 1992 Theft of U.S. Nuclear Weapons Technology
Dutch and Israeli authorities apparently organized a cover-up. Most documents taken from El Al officials have disappeared. Police audio tapes and 42 videotapes taken by the firefighters were shredded. Firemen claimed that they turned in the cockpit voice recorder, or "black box," but the government denies that it was ever found. Metal parts from the wreckage were recycled and melted down before a proper investigation could begin.
Fearing Secret Weapons Transfers -- Dutch Parliament Investigates Deadly 1992 Crash of El Al Jet
The El Al Boeing 747 crashed into an apartment building in Bijlmeer, a suburb of Amsterdam, killing 39 people on the ground and four aboard the plane. It was carrying a secret cargo that included the main chemical ingredients for the nerve gas sarin as well as depleted uranium (DU). Dutch journalists allege it was carrying weapons-grade plutonium as well.
As many as 2,000 local residents and firemen have reported health complaints that they attribute to the crash. Many report loss of hair in the weeks after the crash, a sign of radiation disease.
The chemicals were being sent to a super-secret weapons facility, called the Israel Institute of Biological Research (IIBR) south of Tel Aviv.
The Israeli government has claimed that the chemicals were intended for testing gas masks. But most military services use only a few grams for such purposes. The chemicals aboard the El Al jet were enough to produce 270 kilograms of sarin nerve gas -- enough to annihilate the populations of many major cities.
The sarin components came from the Solkatronics chemical plant in Morrisville, Pennsylvania, then owned by Solvay, a chemical corporation based in Brussels, Belgium. International transport of such materials is a violation of the Chemical Weapons Treaty, signed by the U.S.
Dutch authorities and El Al admit Flight LY1862 carried sarin components and DU, but refuse to provide details on six tons of military cargo. According to airport security personnel, the plane carried seven pallets of unspecified munitions.
Journalist Dekker claims, on the basis of leaks from Dutch officials, that the jet carried 27 kilograms of weapons-grade plutonium, enough to make seven warheads the size of the bomb that was dropped on Nagasaki in 1945.
In addition, soil samples taken at the crash site have turned up evidence suggesting that nuclear weapons technology was being illegally shipped from the U.S. to Israel.
Dutch and Israeli authorities apparently organized a cover-up. Most documents taken from El Al officials have disappeared. Police audio tapes and 42 videotapes taken by the firefighters were shredded. Firemen claimed that they turned in the cockpit voice recorder, or "black box," but the government denies that it was ever found. Metal parts from the wreckage were recycled and melted down before a proper investigation could begin.
Source: Pacific News
Since the crash, Bijlmer survivors - residents, police and rescue workers - have sought treatment for a host of maladies including fatigue, breathing problems, hair loss, neurological ailments, mental confusion, depression, encephalomyelitis and disabling joint pains.
Mouin Rabbani, writing in Middle East International, describes the IIBR as "the Israeli military and intelligence community's front organization for the development, testing and production of chemical and biological weapons.[b] It was IIBR that provided the poison (and the antidote) used in the attempted assassination of a Hamas leader in Jordan in 1998."
The Dutch press raised a host of vexing questions: Why were the 12 hours of videotape made during the rescue and clean-up operation (42 cassettes in all) erased and shredded? Why were police audiotapes also run through the shredder? What happened to seized El Al documents that subsequently disappeared? Why had the cockpit voice recorder (CVR) mysteriously disappeared?
Source: Earth Island Institute
A missing "black box" flight recorder? Metal parts from the wreckage that were recycled and melted down before being properly inspected?
Criminal acts that would be repeated on September 9, 2001, with the WTC wreckage.
Stolen U.S nuclear weapon technology, going back to at least 1992? How much and exactly what nuclear weapon technology did Israel steal from her "bestest buddy and only friend?"
With friends like these.....
Of course, the world KNOWS that the Israeli's are veritable fountains of truth, right?
Why, they're as truthful as say, the Bush White House.
The Coming Showdown -- 3: FISA fight in a nutshell
On amending FISA, the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act: Once again lots of action bubbled on and off the floors in the U.S. Congress Tuesday. Various elements of the House, the Senate and citizen activists went toe to toe over what to do with this highly contentious legislation. Those of us who are "little bloggers" need to give well-deserved kudos to the "big bloggers" taking the lead in such magnificent ways. They deserve the country's gratitude for public service: Glenn Greenwald at Salon.com, Jane Hamsher and "empty wheel" at Firedoglake, Chris Bowers and Tim Tagaris at Open Left, and "mcjoan" at DailyKos. We couldn't do it without you!
The Protect America Act (PAA) would have expired February 1 at the end of its six month limit, but it has been extended. By voice vote, the House of Representatives passed a 15-day PAA extension that had been agreed to by the White House. Then the House promptly left to go on retreat for the rest of the week. The Senate has also agreed to the extension, according to Rep. Steny Hoyer. (ht to FDL)
The blogosphere went into action against this backdrop with a contact-your-senator campaign urging wavering lawmakers to stand firm against the Republican tactics. Thousands of e-mails, phone calls and faxes bombarded senate offices urging support for Senator Reid's announced position of opposition to a Republican cloture motion set for a Monday afternoon vote. The motion failed, as did a subsequent cloture vote on a proposed 30-day PAA extension. Informal debate on the FISA issues has continued in the Senate.
In the Senate two bills are in play. A bipartisan compromise bill demanded by the administration came out of the Intelligence Committee and eventually to the floor for debate. It featured retroactive immunity for the cooperating telecommunications companies that have allegedly been helping the government with the spying program since the beginning of this administration. A Judiciary Committee version, offered better civil liberties protection and omitted the "telecom immunity," was never brought to the floor. However a number of Senators wanted to offer key elements of it as amendments to the Intel Committee bill. So far, the Republicans have successfully prevented that, demanding that a so-called "clean" bill the president would sign, be passed without amendment. Now the Senate will likely have an opportunity to actually debate and amend the flawed Intel bill, title by title.
Key Senators -- Significantly, key bloggers met with Senator Russ Feingold, who gave them a little demo about the FISA bill. Senators Clinton and Obama were on the Senate floor to vote Monday afternoon and Senator Obama's statement is here DailyKos' mcjoan provided the latest on this whole episode, including the upcoming action needed with Senators who need propping up by the blogosphere. To quote:
So here's our new target. Call, fax, and e-mail Senator Rockefeller and the likely suspects among the Democrats to urge them to make sure that all of the Democratic caucus's FISA amendments get to the Senate floor and that they establish a 50 vote threshold on Democratic amendments.
- Rockefeller, (202) 224-6472 phone, (202) 224-7665 fax
- Bayh (202) 224-5623 phone, (202) 228-1377 fax
- Carper (202) 224-2441 phone, (202) 228-2190 fax
- Feinstein (202) 228-2190 phone, (202) 228-3954 fax
- Inouye (202) 224-3934 phone, (202) 224-6747 fax
- Johnson (202) 224-5842 phone, (605) 341-2207 fax
- Landrieu (202)224-5824 phone, (202) 224-9735 fax
- Lincoln (202) 224-4843 phone, (202) 228-1371 fax
- McCaskill (202) 224-6154 phone, (202) 228-6326 fax
- Mikulski (202) 224-4654 phone, (202) 224-8858 fax
- Nelson (FL) (202) 224-5274 phone, (202) 228-2183 fax
- Nelson (NE) (202) 224-6551 phone, (202) 228-0012 fax
- Pryor (202) 224-2353 phone, (202) 228-0908 fax
- Salazar (202) 224-5852 phone, (202) 228-5036 fax
Here is a list of free "800" numbers at the capitol, through which you can call Senate offices (courtesy of Firedoglake). I can verify that they work. Within the past few days I reached 14 different Senator's staff members directly. To quote:
- 1-800-828-0498
- 1-800-459-1887
- 1-800-614-2803
- 1-866-340-9281
- 1-866-338-1015
- 1-877-851-6437
The PAA is only the latest iteration of FISA updates or changes to the original legislation passed in 1978. Though the temporary PAA will sunset, the main law, FISA remains in place to offer the basic needed framework for surveillance of suspected enemies of the U.S. Despite claims to the contrary, there will not be any lapse that puts the U.S. deeply at risk of a terrorist attack. Emergency measures are available for whatever eventualities occur with the NSA surveillance apparatus.
(Cross-posted at The Reaction.)
Bush, the Compassionate
Today (1/30/08) there is yet another great Washington Post editorial from their great columnist Michael Gerson on Bush, the Compassionate. This brings up the slew of hidden talents of our dear president, the Bush we hardly knew. So I open the forum to the best of Bush. Some of my favorite suggestions (although Gerson's is great by itself): Bush, the peacemaker; Bush, the diplomat; Bush, the inspirer; Bush, the buddy I've always wanted a beer with; Bush, the philosopher. I wouldn't mind a good one like Ivan, the Terrible, or Catherine, the Great to send him off to his rendezvous with history. And actually, I truly prefer Gerson's unintentionally ironic title to any of mine.
From the Trenches: Primary Experience
The Palanca Food Pantry shares its digs with Floridas 3048th and 3056th precincts on election days. Its quite an effort to resituate the Tuesday programs for the homeless, & etc., to the west side of the church so that voters may trickle comfortably into the doors on the east side.
As always, the pantry proper, during which we provide a box of food to take home (for the homeless, generally a camp in the woods), had been rescheduled. On this occasion, however, the word got out too late for many of the patrons to be informed of the change. My bad. Id lost track of which Tuesday was primary day. As a result, Rosa, Cecilia and I spent the morning handing bags of food out of the kitchen door and loading deliveries into it; that and brewing continuous pots of coffee for ourselves and the dozen or so precinct volunteers.
I did actually have the presence of mind to call the Health District group, the day before, to tell them that the pantry would not be opening on the usual day. Under normal circumstances we set up a table for them the fourth Tuesday of every month. Tara was away from her desk so I left a voice mail. They arrived anyway. She has been out sick.
Dave, the new supervisor of 3056, had come to the church last Friday, during the community meal, to see if he could talk us into giving him a key to the building. He is apparently of Indian (as in the subcontinent) extraction with just a slight accent. His children were with him: a boy and a girl, very quiet and well behaved, with sparkling eyes. They looked like they had stepped out of a 21st century version of a Norman Rockwell painting.
The teams arrive at 6:00 AM. Maggie, the supervisor of 3048, already had a key, but I was more than happy to provide another in hopes that a knock would not come at my door at such an ungodly hour.
So then, I was able to sleep until the almost godly hour of 8:00 AM at which time I heard the bustle of the pantry patrons passing my door. I arrived in the kitchen to find the touch-screen voting machines, which had been delivered on Thursday, all on their stands, in the hall adjacent, and the volunteers all at their tables. The Election Deputies were posted outside the door to each precinct in their tired orange vests.
After the impromptu pantry, the St. Ritas group showed up to serve lunch. The crowd was even larger than usual, but, apart from a bit of pushing and shoving, things went well enough. As everyone waited for their food I held mail call. (One of the many difficulties the homeless face is the lack of a mailing address.) One of the Sheriffs Deputies who were covering the feed noticed my backwards Green Bay Packer cap and we analyzed our teams season-ending loss to the Giants to death.
Clearing the property of meal patrons, after the feed, was more problematical. A----- (being a patron, his name will remain anonymous) has recently been kicked out of his parents home. He is a mild mannered young guy in his early twenties and lacks all but the simplest interpersonal and job skills. The currents of life carry him along wherever they will. His thought processes are profoundly confused, obsessive, magical.
The pantry being one of the few remaining places where he may be received with a kind word, A----- wants to remain now and be taken care of full time. He neither wants to seek a job nor has he any reason to believe that he can maintain one should he find one. All of his opportunities lie on the far side of years of intensive therapy and skills training none of which is available to him.
We did convince him to apply for jobs last summer and he did find one flipping burgers. His boss called him stupid, with some regularity, and in front of the other employees, though, and I spent many hours trying to advise him how he might handle the situation. A good deal of the time was spent explaining why punching the boss was the worst possible idea.
Hed run into demons before, A----- informed me. He "can see them." This one was trying to steal his spirit. He held on for several months. It is not clear whether he quit or was fired.
His situation having become still more desperate, now that he has no place to stay, A----- wandered over to the voters side of the building and huddled beneath the level of the shrubbery. When I came upon him and told him that it was time to clear the property he faintly nodded okay. As he dawdled, back on the pantry side, and was told again that it was time to leave, he asked to use the Port-o-Let, outside of which I stood, after some ten minutes had passed, calling him to come out. When he did eventually do so he slowly walked toward the road mumbling Ts a church, yuh son-of-a-bitch.
A----- has fathered two children.
By 3:00 PM it was just me and the precinct volunteers. There was not a voter to be seen. I put on another pot of coffee, as one of the volunteers cleaned her uppers in the kitchen, and announced the fact (of the coffee, of course) to cheers. The various snacks theyd left on a counter in the kitchen had largely survived the occasional wandering pantry patron.
As I emerged from the church office, having checked the Share Your Voting Experience opened thread, at the Palm Beach Posts Florida Politics Blog, Maggie jumped up to play a few bars from a Beethoven concerto on the upright that weve been trying to get rid of forever. It was well played, actually, and the after-work rush of voters had failed to materialize. As supervisor, it was surely her responsibility to keep her people alert. She received a healthy round of applause.
I launched into a description of my relationship to the pantry in reply to a question from Carmen, the voting key-card validater, with whom Ive shared the polling place experience for some years now. Fifteen minutes later I figured hed had enough and released him from the results of his foolish mistake. How he kept a smile going for that long I dont know.
The first few paragraphs of this piece were waiting for me back in the office toward which I retired. The hour of 7:00 PM was soon upon us and the voting machines being loaded back into their plastic cases. In less than a half hour the cases were secured onto the two carriers on which they had arrived (where they await the Division of Elections panel truck) and good byes being said. I was left with a sweatshirt, that I was to consider a donation if the volunteer who owned it did not return for it, and a gratifyingly quiet evening.
The Rebirth of McCain - UGGGGGGGH Not More Lieberman
Florida Begets McCain, McCain begets Lieberman. OMG I think I'm going to VOMIT!
An Edwards Supporter's Reaction as He Bows Out
(would screw up the open thread Andrew set up on account of length, so I post here instead)
I wondered all along if deep down he really wanted the nomination, given Elizabeth's health issues, or was in more to try to get the other candidates to address issues he cares about. When Obama got in there just wasn't enough oxygen left over for him to have more than a slim chance. Sure he made some mistakes and I don't think the media was especially sympathetic this time, as it largely was in 2004.
I wonder if he opted for the more hard-edged populist rhetoric thinking that was his only chance, or that with it he might be able to engage a lot of folks who have felt no one speaks for them, all to the betterment of Dems' chances in the fall as well as his only real chance at the nomination.
It wasn't hard to sense that there were plenty of both Clinton and Obama supporters who despise him and wanted him out. JMO, but I would doubt he would have felt comfortable in a potential "kingmaker" role if neither Hillary nor Barack pulls away.
Can Dems win a general election if we wind up with 25% of the white male vote? Maybe, if Obama wins and can tip the turnout balance in our favor. Hillary is not the devil. I support her if she wins it. Honestly I feel her expertise and leadership in the Senate might be absolutely essential if we are to break the UHC gridlock that looms. That is not meant to demean or diminish her presidential ambitions--I think it's just true.
I have no idea who it helps and hurts. We'll find out soon enough. I was leaning towards voting for Edwards in the Virginia primary (he was the only candidate I have contributed to so far) while reserving judgment until I see how the race was shaping up as of that time. I haven't decided how I'm going to vote now, although I am leaning towards Obama. Virginia may not matter a whole lot after super Tuesday--or it might matter more for Obama if Hillary does well next Tuesday.
I feel sad now but am glad Edwards was in the race. He was talking about the issues I care about the most, more so than the other candidates. In particular, he was openly and unabashedly supportive of unions and of the moral imperative of helping people get out of poverty.
I know it isn't PC in the Democratic party to support a white male over a woman or a person of color. I was simply trying to apply Dr. King's aspiration of a color blind society, where a person would be neither favored nor disfavored on account of gender or skin color. Maybe in our society today inevitably it is either a huge plus or a huge minus for many, many voters. Ceteris paribus, all else equal, I would support a woman or person of color over a white male. For me, all else was not equal this time, and in my experience it rarely is.
I tried not to be, but nonetheless was offended by those who said or implied support for Edwards was for the sexists and racists among us. I don't presume to know what is in their hearts; they surely don't know what's in mine.
The presidency in no way, shape or form should be a white male entitlement and regardless of who wins this election, soon it will no longer be. Thank goodness for that--that is all to the good. But neither should it be an "it's our turn" sort of entitlement of anyone else on account of being a woman or a person of color. I get the sense particularly from some Obama supporters that if you support someone other than Barack you are on that account a racist.
It diminished NY NOW when they implied that Ted Kennedy somehow owed it to women to support the female candidate in the race. Did Caroline have the same obligation? Why did they not focus on her more? We lose out as a society when we are blinded by barriers that favor and disfavor people because of their skin color or gender.
I realize there are many here who also try to operate from a gender and color-blind point of view. Many Hillary supporters, not without some justification, feel Edwards and Obama are inexperienced and/or lightweights not ready for prime time. Many Obama supporters, not without some justification, see transformational possibilities he offers partly on account of his skin color and the narrative he represents and shapes around that. I respect the process and the will of most of my fellow Democrats and willingly "take the pledge" to support the eventual nominee.
Gaza from behind the blockade
Rafah, Occupied Palestine: A dark brown putrid sludge snakes through Gazas streets. Fumes of methane and bacterial gases choke the air. Faucets ooze organic material, a noxious mixture of human and animal waste, disease and bile. The stench is overwhelming. Passers-by choke up, vomiting into the mire.
The smell, Ayoub Al Saifi, 56, grimaces, holding a handkerchief over his nose and mouth. The stench of the sewage my wife has asthma and she cant breath.
Al Saifi lives adjacent to the newly formed pool of waste. Last week Israel ceased the delivery of all fuel and supplies into and out of Gaza. The effects have been catastrophic. The sewage treatment plant requires 20,000 litres of fuel per day to run only in Al Zaytoun neighborhood in Gaza City.
Silent now without fuel, the waste backs up, flooding the streets and clogging the plumbing initiating what the Ministry of Health calls an "environmental catastrophe" in Gaza.
Gaza from behind the blockade
Mohammed Omer Published 28 January 2008
Hard Choices
Dr. Mawia Hasaneen, Director of Emergency and Reception at Gaza largest hospital Al Shifa Hospital warns of the consequences in cutting off Gazas fuel.
We have to choose between cutting the electricity on babies in the maternity ward, cutting it to heart patients or shutting down our operating rooms.
Circumstances are forcing doctors to choose resemble a medicinal version of Sophies Choice.
Its getting worse day by day! Said Ammar states in disbelief.
In an e-mail Christine McNab, acting director of communications, World Health Organization in Geneva elaborates that, Our current concerns are about the supply of electricity to health facilities, the ability to move medical supplies into the region, and the ability of people to seek care outside of Gaza, she writes.
McNab notes that even if the full blockade is lifted, additional measures need to be taken by the international community to ensure no further disruptions can occur.
Where is the world?
Ammar, a father and of four and engineer sits alone in his dark shop, flabbergasted by the global apathy and willingness to allow Israel to withhold basic life necessities from 1.5 million people. Asked if he believes Hamas is the problem, he answers firmly, Hamas has never been the problem. The occupation has always been the big problem.
Ammar adds he considers through their complicity President Abbas and West Bank Prime Minister Dr. Salam Fayyad to be acting as agents of Israel.
When pressed for qualification, the distraught father explains, 'Abbas and Fayyad gave away all our Palestinian rights, leaving nothing. And now Israel is attacking Nablus and Jenin on a daily basis! he interjects in disgust.
Abbas doesnt deserve 1% of the respect that Arafat earned. Ammar concludes.
Food Scarce
Gaza bakeries ceased operations due to the blockade. Without power and flower bakers are unable to bake fresh pita, a staple of the Palestinian diet. The director of Gazas UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA) formerly petitioned Israel to reopen the crossings appealing to the international community to help Gazas civilians.
The power station's shutdown has 'plummeted Gaza City, with its 600,000 residents into darkness,' Director John Ging at a news conference emphasized how the loss of electricity 'affects every aspect of the civilian population's lives here in Gaza. If you visit any of the hospitals you will find that its generators are only producing enough electricity to keep essential equipment going. They are very cold, all of the wards, adding to the misery of the patients.
Rafah based widow Rajaa Shalil 38 and mother of four children explains how the lack of staples impacts her family. Our kitchen is empty I dont have milk , bread and rice for my children she cries.
Ask her opinion on Hamas, she replies, My respect for Hamas has increased more than ever. I love them for their empathy for the weak.
Not all of Gazas residents feel this way. When asked who is to blame for Gazas Crisis Abu Mohammed, 41 states angrily.
Israel and Hamas are the reason for this. Before, we were all in better conditions, but since Hamas took over Gaza they have been unable to handle it.
Throughout Gaza residents huddled around wood fires, others using candles or kerosene lamps for light in protest. Entire families join in protest shouting, End this unfair siege! Open the borders! And Rescue our lives!
Official Israeli sources cite approximately 150 homemade rockets have been fired from Gaza into Israel since Israel commenced this latest raid. Two Israelis have been slightly wounded and several dozen treated for shock. Israel continues to retaliate with tanks and F-16s firing Hellfire missiles, shells, mortars into Gazas neighborhoods, 76 Palestinians have been killed, another 293 injured since January 1, 2008, according to Dr. Hasaneen
Source: New Statesman
In anticipation of the usual reply, which goes something like this, "But what about the Qassam rockets being fired into Israel?", i offer the following:
What about the Qassams? Tell the Shin Bet to stop launching their Israeli made Qassams at the Israelis.
For i suspect that is where a majority of those bottle rockets come from, Israeli security forces.
The Olmert regime, like the prior Sharon regime, needs a constant threat of something from somewhere to stay in power.
Threats of war and impending doom significantly help tyrants stay in power by keeping the populace constantly scared and bowing submissively to their leaders, imploring the ones who are committing the atrocities to save them from those heinous acts.
False-flag ops committed by a government against its own people is nothing new in the annals of time.
The Qassams give the Likudniks the excuse they need to continue on with their methodical ethnic cleansing of the indigenous Palestinians, thru murder, starvation and deprivation. And gives Israel the excuse to force the Gazans into the Sinai.
If Israel succeeds in driving the indigenous Palestinians out of Gaza into the Sinai, it won't be long before some more Shin Bet launched Qassams wind up back in Israel, giving the Zionists the excuse they want: To launch an attack on the Sinai, for "security" purposes.
All the while, secretly scheming and planning to steal--AGAIN--Egypt's Sinai oil fields.
If Israel was truly interested in peace, they would have accepted HAMAS' offer of a cease-fire, but Israel flat out rejected this notion.
And yet, Israel likes to say it's a peaceful nation. The only peace Israel wants is: a "piece" of Jordan; a "piece" of Syria; a "piece" of Lebanon; a "piece" of Egypt; a "piece" of Iraq; a "piece" of Saudi Arabia and whatever "pieces" are left after Israel finishes it's genocidal extermination of the Palestinians.
Setting a Few Matters Straight: Why I'm for Hillary and not Obama. Part 2: They Are Not All That Different
In my previous post, I enumerated the various reasons why I feel that Hillary is not the ogre that most people feel that she is, and why she's presidential timber. The trouble is, can honestly say the same for Obama? I don't know. The trouble with that is, now is not the time for an Obama learning curve. How much do we really know about him?
For the past 7 years this country has been brutalized by an idiot who has brought us war, threatened our civil liberties, abused our economy, and destroyed our reputation around the world. His reign was the culmination of a way of thinking that has been entrenched among Conservatives for the past 30 years. It is a way of thinking that threatens our future socially, economically. And ecologically, the survival of the human race.
We need someone at the helm that we can rely on to fight that entrenchment. Someone who is vastly experienced in fighting Right Wing onslaughts. I don't think the politics of "coming together" is going to work on the likes of John O'Neill's Swift Boaters, Karl Rove, or Fox News. Already Obama has to contend with false rumors concerning his religion, and his upbringing. Now, this Rezko business will come up. And in an Obama candidacy, it WILL come up in the general election, regardless of who Rezko had his picture taken with.
But what is at the core of my objections to an Obama candidacy? Not only do I find myself questioning the feasibility of his "new style" of politics, but also I question whether he can possibly pursue it given today's circumstances.
His positions are really not that different from Hillary's.
He strives to set himself apart from most politicians yet his very history suggests otherwise.
In particular, his relationship with Antoin Rezko calls into to question his judgment of character. Not only that, but his very criteria on what constitutes a friend can be questioned. Is a friend someone you like and trust, or is a friend merely someone who is "useful" to you?
I shall deal with the other two points in my next post, Part 3 of this series.
On the issues, Clinton and Obama differ only on the details. According to Wikipedia:
In a 2004 fundraising speech in San Francisco, she was highly critical of George W. Bush's tax cuts, saying that 'Many of you are well enough off that ... the tax cuts may have helped you. We're saying that for America to get back on track, we're probably going to cut that short and not give it to you. We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good.'[2] Clinton has sponsored legislation designed to reduce the deficit by reinstating some taxes that had been cut. She has co-sponsored legislation related to debt and deficit reduction. On the other hand, she has advocated for federal spending that advocates of less government spending deem nonessential, such as funding a museum commemorating the Woodstock Music Festival.[3]
Obama's stand two years later wasn't that much different:
Obama spoke out in June 2006 against making recent, temporary estate tax cuts permanent, calling the cuts a 'Paris Hilton' tax break for 'billionaire heirs and heiresses.'[18] Speaking in November 2006 to members of Wake Up Wal-Mart, a union-backed campaign group, Obama said: 'You gotta pay your workers enough that they can actually not only shop at Wal-Mart, but ultimately send their kids to college and save for retirement.'[19] Obama has also proposed his own tax plan, including $80 billion in tax cuts for the poor and middle class.[20]
On health care, the only difference between the two front-runners is how they define "universal.":
In September 2007, as part of her presidential campaign, Clinton revealed her new American Health Choices Plan, an "individual mandate" universal health care plan that would require health care coverage for all individuals. Clinton explained individuals can keep their current employer-based coverage, or choose an expanded version of Medicare or federal employee health plans.[18][19] The projected cost of the plan is $110 billion annually and will require all employers to cover their employees' health insurance or contribute to the costs of their employees' health insurance coverage; tax credits will be provided to companies with fewer than 25 employees to help cover costs.[18][20]
And Obama said:
On January 24, 2007 Obama spoke about his position on health care at Families USA, a health care advocacy group. Obama said, 'The time has come for universal health care in America [...] I am absolutely determined that by the end of the first term of the next president, we should have universal health care in this country.' Obama went on to say that he believed that it was wrong that forty-seven million Americans are uninsured, noting that taxpayers already pay over $15 billion annually to care for the uninsured.[15] Obama cites cost as the reason so many Americans are without health insurance, and claims his health care plan would cut the cost of insurance more than any of his Democratic rivals' plans in the 2008 Presidential race. [16]
The list goes on and on. In foreign policy, both Hillary and Obama favor a tough approach to terrorism with Obama assuring people he will escalate the war against al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan. He would even go into Pakistan despite warnings that such a move could further destabilize the situation.
On the Arab-Israeli situation, both candidates meet at the center from different viewpoints agreeing that the Palestinian leadership must be more responsible. Obama wants more dialogue with the Arabs while Hillary is still in favor of the wall, and concentrates more on Israel's security.
According to Associated Press:
When asked who the United States' top allies are, Senator Barack Obama said the European Union and Japan, but failed to mention Israel.The debate moderator NBC News anchor Brian Williams interrupted Obama, drawing his attention to the omission and quoting Obama as having once said, 'No one suffers more than the Palestinians.'
Obama, unperplexed, explained that the Palestinians suffer because of their leadership. 'I said that no one suffers more than the Palestinian people because of their leadership's failure to recognize Israel, denounce violence and be serious about peace negotiations and regional security,' he said.
'Israel is one of our most important allies in the world. It is the only democracy in the Middle East,' Obama added. He even noted that if he was elected, he intended to increase American involvement in the region.
But Obama comes to this point of view from the standpoint that we must have a dialogue with the Palestinians. According to AP at the National Jewish Democratic Council this was his (highly commendable) position:
Obama said while he was committed to protecting Israels security, he would also reach out to Arab leaders who were committed to recognizing Israel and renouncing violence.
And according to Wikipedia Obama is no friend of terrorism:
Referring to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in January 2006, Obama denounced Hamas while praising former Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. At a meeting with then Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom on the eve of Hamas' sweeping election victory,[33] Obama stated that Sharon's role in the conflict had always been "absolutely important and constructive."[34] At a meeting with Palestinian students two days later, Obama stated opposition to Hamas in favor of rival party Fatah, noting his desire to 'consolidate behind a single government with a single authority that can then negotiate as a reliable partner with Israel.' In a comment aimed at Hamas, he said that 'the US will always side with Israel if Israel is threatened with destruction.'[35]
On Iran, there is considerably less daylight between Clinton and Obama. While Hillary accuses Iran of having a nuclear weapons program, and supports UN sanctions against Iran, she believes that diplomacy is necessary, and has criticized Dubya for refusing to talk to the mullahs.
And while Obama is all for talking to Iran, and has criticized Hillary for voting to declare the Quds Force a terrorist organization, he wants all military options on the table.
On the issue of Iraq, again there are only a few variations on the same stance. Let us dispense with the fact that Hillary voted to give authorization for the war. I had already touched on her reasons for that vote in Part 1 of this series. However, she did charge Dubya with rushing to war, and pulling the rug out from under the UN inspectors, and came out for an international solution to the problem. However, to quote from Wikipedia:
On June 15, 2006, Clinton charged that President Bush rushed to war and refused to let the UN inspectors conduct and complete their mission ... We need to be building alliances instead of isolation around the world ... There must be a plan that will begin to bring our troops home. But she also said, I do not think it is a smart strategy either for the president to continue with his open-ended commitment which I think does not put enough pressure on the Iraqi government, nor do I think it is a smart policy to set a date certain.[63][64]
Hillary voted for the USA PATRIOT ACT in 2001, but helped to filibuster the bill for its renewal when enough money wasn't apportioned to New York for anti-terrorism efforts. She also stood up for some of the civil liberties concerns with it. She voted in favor of the compromise bill.
FISA and warrantless wiretapping were a different matter though:
Regarding the December 2005 NSA warrantless surveillance controversy, Clinton stated that she was 'troubled' by President Bush's 2002 actions. In a statement, she said: 'The balance between the urgent goal of combating terrorism and the safeguarding of our most fundamental constitutional freedoms is not always an easy one to draw. However, they are not incompatible, and unbridled and unchecked executive power is not the answer.'[83]
Clinton didn't take the American Freedom to stop the military commissions, end torture, or restore habeas corpus, but then as President, she can end the former and sign into law the other.
Obama wants to restore American prestige all over the world:
Obama is also right that resetting the world's view of the U.S. begins with making our government more transparent. As a senator, he's worked to visibly link members of Congress to their roads to nowhere and to their Iowan rain forests. As president, he will hold large-scale, open discussions on the issues facing Americans in the 21st century: health care, climate change, comprehensive immigration reform, border security, tax policy, education and economic development.
Both Hillary and Obama take a rather tortured path concerning same sex couples. Obama...
Voted against the Federal Marriage Amendment
And yet, he believes that marriage is between a man and a woman.
Supports civil union that carries legal standing equal to marriage, but believes that the appellation of marriage should be left up to the states.
Feels that homosexuality is not immoral.
To confuse things all the more, for the all-important South Carolina primary, Obama invited anti-gay people like Reverend Donnie McClurkin, Mary Mary and Hezekiah Walker to his 3 day "Embrace the Courage" campaign tour. After a whole lot criticism, he added openly gay pastor Andy Sidden.
Hillary has an equal amount of 'splaining to do Lucy:
Senator Clinton expressed her opposition to same-sex marriage while affirming her support for some form of civil unions for homosexual couples: 'I think that the vast majority of Americans find [same-sex marriage] to be something they can't agree with. But I think most Americans are fair. And if they believe that people in committed relationships want to share their lives and, not only that, have the same rights that I do in my marriage, to decide who I want to inherit my property or visit me in a hospital, I think that most Americans would think that that's fair and that should be done."'[115]
And yet:
She opposed the Federal Marriage Amendment like Obama.
She admitted the military's "Don't ask, don't tell" was a failure and that gays should be allowed to serve openly.
Lastly the environment. Hillary wants:
energy conservation
to release oil reserves
no drilling in ANWR
to ratify the Kyoto Protocol
a Strategic Energy Fund to put $ 50 billion into R&D and deployment of renewable energy, clean coal, ethanol, and homegrown biofuels.
I think Wikipedia says everything I'd say for Obama's views on environment:
Obama has taken the stance that global warming is human-caused, and that it must be addressed. He has a record of supporting environmentally friendly bills.The issue of climate change is one that we ignore at our own peril. There may still be disputes about exactly how much is naturally occurring, but what we can be scientifically certain of is that our continued use of fossil fuels is pushing us to a point of no return. And unless we free ourselves from a dependence on these fossil fuels and chart a new course on energy in this country, we are condemning future generations to global catastrophe.[64]
He has pledged to cut greenhouse gas emissions 80% below 1990 levels by 2050 by creating a market-based cap-and-trade system.[65] Obama also has plans for improving air and water quality through reduced pollution levels.[citation needed]
And so, there doesn't seem to be much daylight between Hillary and Obama's positions.
And yet, Obama says he won't "play the Washington game." We'll see.
In Part 3 of this series, I shall examine the feasibility of the "politics of hope," and whether Obama is sincere or a fool.
Some Got It Right, in 2001
The oracle, the font of wisdom and virtue, The Onion, published this story at the time of Bush's inauguration: "Our Long National Nightmare of Peace and Prosperity is Finally Over." They must have been eating Frank Herbert's "Dune" spice to see the future, because they wrote:
Bush swore to do "everything in [his] power" to undo the damage wrought by Clinton's two terms in office, including selling off the national parks to developers, going into massive debt to develop expensive and impractical weapons technologies, and passing sweeping budget cuts that drive the mentally ill out of hospitals and onto the street.
OK, maybe that was easy to predict. They also wrote:
During the 40-minute speech, Bush also promised to bring an end to the severe war drought that plagued the nation under Clinton, assuring citizens that the U.S. will engage in at least one Gulf War-level armed conflict in the next four years.
According to the Onion, Rush Limbaugh said:
"Once again, we will enjoy mounting debt, jingoism, nuclear paranoia, mass deficit, and a massive military build-up."
Let us remember when we had the chance to avoid all that, and not feel fear about our less-favorite Democratic candidate. I call everyone that refuses to vote for Hillary, or Barack, fatuous idiots for placing some dreamer's version of principle over good sense.
Rotating Primaries - A Cure for State-Wide Disenfranchisement
Oregon voters take to the mailboxes on May 20th for its presidential primary election. Although Oregonians tend to be very politically active, more can be done to extend Oregon's influence on national politics.
I've discussed - complained, if you will - my frustrations with the idea that Oregon seems to be irrelevant to national elections. We are not part of Super Tuesday, we are not first primaries, we don't even have a lot of delegates. Add in the fact that MSM tends to call elections before our results are even counted (due to the time difference), and our elections are pretty moot.
To the dismay of many Oregon voters, however, this politically active swing state has been relegated to the sidelines during the national Super Tuesday events.
Its just nuts, the way the whole primary system is front-loaded, [Bradbury] said, using the election term that refers to the biggest states holding their caucuses first.
By the time Oregons primary rolls around, its not likely that our votes are going to really matter, he said. Its not likely were going to get much attention from anybody.
That's why I like Oregon Secretary of State Bill Bradbury's idea of a rotating primary season.
The new system would group primaries or caucuses by region on a rotating basis beginning in 2012.
A lottery would be held to determine which region would go first in March, and that region would move to the end of the primary calendar for the following presidential election cycle. Subsequent regions would hold their primaries in April, May and June.
The only exceptions to the system would be Iowa and New Hampshire, which would retain their early time slots based on their traditions as small, easy stomping grounds for underfunded, lesser-known candidates.
Bradbury mentions the typical political benefits of a rotating primary season.
Bradbury said Oregon voters would benefit because candidates would be forced to bone up on issues of local importance and campaign in each region; in the Pacific Northwest, they would be vetting issues like forestry, salmon and renewable energy in the Pacific Northwest.
There's also the economic benefit. Early states get millions of dollars in campaign revenue. Local news organizations and print media can take in additional ad revenue due to increased viewership and circulation. Candidates spend days, with their coterie, spending money in the local economy.
Let's also not forget the current legal battles with Michigan and Florida, with regards to their Democratic Party delegates. Due to the state parties' feelings of disenfranchisement, both states moved their primaries up to be more influential and ended up getting their delegates stripped from the Democratic National Convention. A rotating regional primary schedule would provide these states with the ability to move ahead in the primary season without incurring penalties.
Overall, I view this as a win-win for candidates, states, and the citizenry.
[Cross-posted at PROJECT: Lucidity]
Granny Bee - Bubbleheads
Listen to your granny!
Granny has been thinking about bubbles, and wondering when were going to stop getting ourselves into them.
Granny Bee

1/29/08 Bubbleheads (1:16) .mp3
Carolyn Kay
MakeThemAccountable.com
Geo-engineering - Not Just for Evil Masterminds
Geo-engineering. Possibly taking Scorched Earth to the extreme?
The offensive use of geoengineering could take a variety of forms. Overproductive algae blooms can actually sterilize large stretches of ocean over time, effectively destroying fisheries and local ecosystems. Sulfur dioxide carries health risks when it cycles out of the stratosphere. One proposal would pull cooler water from the deep oceans to the surface in an explicit attempt to shift the trajectories of hurricanes. Some actors might even deploy counter-geoengineering projects to slow or alter the effects of other efforts.
Humans have used the terrain and environment as part of warfare since Ancient Greece. But, those were localized efforts. This would be on a global scale, outside the zone of conflict; and shows the potential for much longer-term impact.
Either that, or a really good plot for an Austin Powers movie.
Young at Heart - for Obama
This may be the election when kids convince their parents. Or when the kid in us feels young and inspired again. I am hopeful. I am waiting for change. And I heartily sign on to the "movement" that promises to unify and heal our nation. I am glad to pass the torch. To see young people excited. To know that many are taking time out from graduate school or high school to become active in working for a better tomorrow in a land that is hurting in so many ways.
At 62 I remain naive and idealistic in spite of so many setbacks, where my hopes and dreams seemed quenched or marginalized, where selfishness ruled and people told me to "just suck it up" you bleeding heart liberal. At nearly 63 I have tears in my eyes when I think of people really coming together, giving of themselves, reaching out to help our poor, our mentally ill, our homeless, our jobless, our cowering illegal immigrants also yearning to be free, our rich heritage of freedom of religion or no religion, our citizens of beautiful color or different sexual persuasion. I can taste a yearning to come together and stop condemning those who are different. I savor a return to the Rule of Law, a newfound commitment to the Constitution as all we need to protect. I envision people learning to live with the fact that life is full of uncertainties, but that protecting our civil liberties is more important than spying on ourselves, suspending Habeas Corpus, or psychologically breaking and torturing anyone for any reason.
When I was young I thrilled to the words of JFK, calling me to give to my country, to offer my strengths and my skills to help those less fortunate than I. I thrilled to MLK's "dream" because I too wanted to sit down with people of any color or creed and honor the sacredness of each human person, the wealth of our differences. I marched and worked and reached across the racial barriers in college, becoming a pacifist.
Was it the murder of JFK that most marked my Freshman year of college? I cannot say. I watched the sun set from the back of the Capital that day, looking out across the Mall to the Washington Monument. I stood in line that cold Sunday for hours to have a chance to walk before a coffin in the Rotunda. And I watched in person the procession of that coffin as it wound its way through the streets.
Thus it was I learned to cope early on: While lucky enough to be thrilled by inspiring leaders, I had to accept the senseless murders of three of them, one black, two from the same family. But my idealism did not die with these men. Indeed, I have continued to believe that life's good fortune to me was no more than a responsibility conferred, a duty to give - to those less fortunate - regardless of the dangers or the cynicism or the greed that abounded in our society and the world.
Now, as I watch Senator Obama, I find myself connecting with this idealism of youth. But at the same time I find myself watching him, fearing that at any moment he too could be struck down as were those three men in the '60's. I wish it weren't so. For me 9/11 was not the defining moment. It was that noontime when the rumor ran around our college that JFK had been struck down. It was the moment when someone notified our philosophy class that he had died, that classes were canceled. It was the bus ride through DC - in total silence. And the days that followed. It was a world turned upside down in an instant at 18.
But what followed was not like what followed 9/11. Instead I continued to receive messages from adults to educate myself and give of my talents. I saw non-violence adopted. And I felt at home with it. And I didn't give it up after two more murders. I didn't give it up during the First Gulf War. I didn't give it up when two more wars have come to pass that are still going on.
I am in the business of hope. Therapy is a change business, but it works on hope. And I have signed on to the hope-express with Barak Obama.
Barak means blessing. And more than anything I want this man to live. To live to old age. Like Nelson Mandela. But let him not die like Gandhi. Not like MLK. Not like JFK. Or RFK. I want Barak to live and give us the best he has, call forth the best in us. And may his hopes prosper. May we all continue to work for what is best in us and not stoop to what is worst.
State of the Union (not the Unions, of course)
Oh, that silly 'President' of ours. I couldn't bring myself to watch it. Did you? I'm sure you heard about all these points:
Some of you who don't have more won't get this one, but look how good it looks when you treat the financial services industry to over a decade of unrestrained Republican libido!
North Korea, Russia, Poland, all off the reservation.
In Iraq, we failed to bring the Iranians into the fight despite years of zero barriers or borders.
Also in Iraq, the ethnic cleansing burned itself out long enough to let the surge surge through, but look- violence is picking up just in time for a new election season! Sure, it might demonstrate our lack of control, but maybe it shows how badly we're needed there...
We're trying to turn our attention to Middle East Peace (pause for laughter).
The dollar simply can't buy gold, oil or love.
The financial services industry is thriving- so here's some more Chinese cash to pump through it.
Quiet- don't look: Arch-liberal Teddy Kennedy just endorsed the black guy! Holy crap, they're practically begging for a few more years of irrelevance!
All the money is lent. All the growth has happened. The rich still get their income, but those damn salesmen get paid on new business. Can we renegotiate every mortgage of the past ten years to include residuals?
At least Vice President Cheney's retirement is secure.
And we fought back those damned kids and their precious vaccinations and flu shots. Friggin' parents shouldn't have kids if they can't afford 'em. So yes, syllogistic with my abortion and birth control stances, they should be prohibited from sexual intercourse AND homosexual whatever-you-call-that. Oh crap I said 'syllogistic'- did that go out? Now they'll think I went to Yale and Harvard... that I did all this on purpose. According to some evil, secret plan to bankrupt the public.
Methodists To Mull Divestment From Israel
The nation's largest and most prominent mainline Protestant denomination, the 11 million-member United Methodist Church whose members include both President Bush and Senator Clinton is set to take up the issue of whether to divest from companies that do business with Israel.
The meeting, which is to be held on Friday in Fort Worth, Texas, will mark the highest level of consideration that the subject of economic divestment from the Jewish state has received within the Methodist denomination.
Key questions hanging over the event will be whether the church will decide to use its $16 billion pension fund as an economic tool against Israel, and whether divestment would shatter the church's traditional relationship with American Jews.
If the church moves ahead with a divestment resolution on the national level, the denomination would become the largest Protestant group to embrace such a measure. The General Assembly of the Presbyterian Church, which has 2.4 million members, voted in favor of such a measure in 2004. Another important liberal denomination, the United Church of Christ, went in the other direction last summer when it opted to engage in a "balanced study" of the Middle East conflict.
Source: NY Sun
How long before the tired and worn-out canard of being "Anti-Semitic" starts flying the Methodists way?
Israel deserves to be treated like another pariah, apartheid state was, South Africa.
Hit 'em where it hurts: In their pocketbooks.
State of the Union: George W. Bush and Al Qaeda in Iraq (updated, edited)
Al Qaeda blows up the World Trade Center and kills thousands of Americans. Al Qaeda was led by Osama bin Laden, the mastermind of the operation, and he was supported by the Taliban.
George W. Bush acted rationally in ordering the invasion of Afghanistan and the routing of the Taliban. Bin Laden escapes.
George W. Bush then acts irrationally against the weight of seasoned military advice, and orders the invasion of Iraq.
The US eventually turns the job of Afghanistan's secure development to NATO. That effort suffers. Some gains in Afghanistan against the Taliban and Al Qaeda are lost over time, with US forces divided between two tough tasks: finishing off Al Qaeda in Afghanistan and Pakistan, versus finishing something in Iraq.
Whatever good has been achieved in Iraq by the end of Bush's term, the US Military has achieved on the fly, with errors committed in earlier innings, mostly by the Secretary of Defense and Pentagon civilian advisors. The counterinsurgency methods used now, if used after the invasion in 2003, might have shortened the occupation.
In tonight's State of the Union address, Mr. Bush stated that the job of pushing Al Qaeda out of Iraq is getting done, but isn't finished. That is because Al Qaeda in Afghanistan and Pakistan was not finished first.
If the US hadn't invaded Iraq in 2003, there would have been no reason or opportunity for Al Qaeda to recruit Iraqis and draw in fighters from surrounding nations, or for Iran to finance and support insurrection. US forces would have been able to focus on finishing off the Al Qaeda that blew up the World Trade Center. Justice remains undone for those murdered on 9-11.
If the US had not invaded Iraq, Al Qaeda in Iraq would not have been in Iraq. So it is clear that AQ in Iraq came to the US presence, or else the Bush Administration could not call the problem "foreign."
What portion of those who became the foreign fighters in AQ in Iraq would have committed terrorist acts elsewhere, other than in the US-invaded Iraq?
We appear to have a dual purpose policy (the real deal) of using Iraq as a resource security platform and a convenient offer of satisfaction for Americans to believe it was always planned that it become a kill-zone for "Al Qaeda."
However, had the job of routing the Al Qaeda responsible for 9-11 been finished first, would Iraq have been easier to secure if a real reason for military action materialized?
American forces used for an unnecessary tasks divert those forces from necessary tasks. The good feelings shown at the State of the Union address don't change that fact. That is the truth and we should not bury it for political expediency. This sort of thing should not be done again with the troops or the American peoples' trust.
On the State of the Union speech
In this post, I won't focus too much on the President's domestic agenda, rather I just want to highlight a few items he mentioned in his State of the Union address with regard to foreign affairs, which I consider important.
One of the most important policy initiatives the President mentioned was Reform Trade Adjustment Assistance, which he mentioned right after asking Congress to pass the Free Trade Agreements with Colombia, Panama and South Korea. The FTA's are important, particularly as the US tries to stem the tide against Hugo Chavez' Bolivarian Revolution, which has spread from Venezuela to Bolivia, Ecuador and to a lesser extent Nicaragua. To be fair, there are many issues within these countries that have aided Chavismo in its pursuit, but Colombia, and Mexico have served to a large extent as bulwarks against Chavez' influence. Passing the FTA with Colombia rewards a strong ally, and one who has also taken on extremely difficult issues within his own country; issues that have cost him politically, both in stature, but also in political allies who have been forced to resign from his government for their ties to right-wing military groups accused of egregious human rights violations. These issues, however, would be better explored in a post solely dedicated to Colombia.
With regard to South Korea, the FTA is much warranted, as that country has seen much of its investment flowing to China to take advantage of the opportunities that the Chinese juggernaut presents. Opening markets, preferentially to South Korea would aid them in attracting more FDI as China, among others try to take advantage of the opportunities the FTA provides for South Korean exporters. It would also likely make South Korea a bit more cooperative on the issue of North Korea's nuclear disarmament, which is likely to be a very important issue as a new president takes office come next January.
To continue reading this post, please click here.
State of the Union -- Dick Is a Killer
6pm PST: As I wait for the Worst President Ever to speak -- got the live video of the Congress running in one window -- I'm listening to "Dick Is a Killer" in iTunes instead of the backslapping nothingness...
Dick Is a Killer MP3 (3.7mb)
"submitting to the whim of one brutal man"
If you get bored during his fearmongering, cut taxes mantra, feel free to check out of the prevaricating SOTU address for a few minutes and listen to this funny ditty yourself.
6:10pm PST: Dubya still not speaking. Still not lieing. Do you know how to tell when he's lieing?
State Of The Union
In a couple of hours the worst president in American history will, once again, stand in front of Congress and the American people to attempt to read the State Of The Union address. Those who have written the words he will massacre will cringe in the wings and clinch their fists at every mispronounced word. His puppet masters will feverishly manipulate their remote controls in attempts to make that idiotic grin, those bouncing shoulders and that my-vice-president-can-whip-your-dad stare coincide somewhat with the words spewing from that pathetic mouth. The world will laugh at our Alfred E. Neuman "leader." The world will cry because of all who are dead and maimed because of his and Cheney's reign of terror. And the beat goes on....
"Georgie" will again lie to himself and us about Iraq, Iran, war, recession, depression and the situation in the world. He will again invoke the false "positive" optimism he has managed to sell to the lingering 30% for all these years.
Once again I will recall the words of that great philosopher, Gilligan, who, just before the minnow hit the big rock said: "It looks like smooth sailing from here on out, Skipper!"
Here are a few predictions from the viewpoint of one who has seen through these monsters from day one:
1. Al Sadr will NOT renew his "cease fire" next month and Iraq will explode again invalidating all the "The-Surge-Is-Working" rhetoric.
2. The Taliban will continue its violence in Afghanistan requiring more troops there.
3. Osama Bin Laden will continue to use the arrogance, incompetence and violence of the Bush administration to recruit and continue Al Queda's existence and insure its growth as an enemy of our country.
4. Our economy will continue its decline into recession even though we'll all be able to afford to go to work during the month of June because of our $600 welfare check.
Enough for now. More after our illustrious "Idiot In Chief" speaks.
I hope this IS the last State Of The Union "Georgie" delivers. I hope there is an election in November. For the first time in 7 years I have hope again that our country can begin the long journey out of the darkness of the reign of these monsters.
I hope "We The People" can begin to regain the trust and respect of the world.
Hope.... Ain't it a GRAND thing?
On The Endgame, Or, Whither Goes Edwards?
As of this writing, four states have made their Democratic Presidential candidate preferences known; and for most voters the choices seem to be coming down to Obama or Clinton.
Which has not been so good for the John Edwards campaign.
While it is theoretically possible that he might yet surprise us all and garner the nomination, for the purposes of todays discussion Im going to assume that he wont.
If thats true, and the nomination is out, what might Edwards have in mind going forward?
I cant say for certain but that wont keep me from guessing which is what this discussion is all about.
As I say, I cant offer an opinion as to the probability of this set of explanations, but the potential for such actions is there.
--Might Edwards decide at this point to run for another office? Dennis Kucinich has left the race for the Presidency to concentrate on gaining re-election to Congress, and it is possible that Edwards might choose such a path for himself as well.
His very own North Carolina would be the perfect place for such a moveSenator Elizabeth Dole is a weak re-election candidate in this cycle with no star Democrat having yet emerged in opposition. If Edwards were to withdraw and place the bulk of his current resources into a Senatorial race he would be far better financed than Dole, with equal or better name recognition and a better record for this cycle not to mention that Dole has no real weapon to use against Elizabeth Edwards, should the two of them choose to run against Dole.
--Does Edwards find his future as a transelectional figure? There is evidence to support the proposition that he could. Heres what we know: First, there is today an organization called One Corps that is operated in parallel with the Edwards campaign; and it is dedicated to providing a place for volunteer activists to gather in an effort to alleviate some of the disparities addressed by the Two Americas discussion.
It is not difficult to imagine Edwards travelling around the nation addressing One Corps events and giving a Two Americas presentation that over time has an effect similar to Al Gores not-so-quixotic journey giving the Inconvenient Truth lectures and its not so tough to picture Edwards linking up with Bill Gates, Jimmy Carter, Bono, and others, to take the whole thing internationalessentially creating an worldwide Peoples PAC that could influence policy here and abroad around the growing Two Worlds question.
--Might Edwards simply leave the race as other Democrats have done? As of today the Edwards camp seems determined to continue the journey, presumably seeking a role to play either in this phase of the campaign, in the runup to the convention, or at the convention itself.
If this continues to be true, it suggests that Edwards is more likely to remain than to withdraw, as long as he has access to resources and as long as neither Clinton nor Obama do something so odious as to make Edwards feel he can no longer deny the other his support.
And with all that said, its probably time to sum it up:
--It is entirely possible that either Edwards or one of the other candidates might be seeking a deal.
--It is also possible that Edwards will not be making any deals, but is remaining in the contest to deny another the nomination.
--Edwards might seek another elective office, and opportunity exists today in North Carolina.
--He might choose to advance causes he finds important beyond this electoral cycle by enlarging the One Corps structure or something similar.
--He might simply withdraw into retirement or private sector employment. My own guesstimation is that he will be unlikely to do so when the option of One Corps already exists--and offers an excellent fallback position for a potential 10 or 12 campaign cycle candidate with no particular contest yet identified.
All of this is contingent on Elizabeth Edwards health status, I suspect; and an unfortunate change in her current relatively good health could alter all of these calculations dramatically.
And I think, for the moment, thats where we stand: at a currently unknown point in the Edwards endgame that may become far more clear after the February 5th delegates are counted or it may become far more muddied, to the delight of every political pundit in the country.
In about eight days, well find out.
Shows Persistent Electorate Bias In the Buckeye State
Ohios electorate is not reflective of the states voting eligible population, according to a new report by Project Vote. Ohio Votes: Civic Engagement in the Buckeye State, written by Benjamin Spears, examines disparities in registration and voting rates by race/ethnicity, income and age.
Key findings from "Ohio Votes" include:
+Ohio's population became more diverse from 2002 to 2006; in part because of a net decline in the White population and in part because the Latino and Asian populations grew by of 14 and 17 percent, respectively.+A greater percentage of eligible White and Black Ohioans were registered in 2006 than in 2002.
Ohio's registration rate disparity between White and Black eligible voters was more pronounced in non-presidential elections, including 2002 and 2006.
+Ohioans were more likely to have voted in the 2006 election than were Americans as a whole.
=Older voters make up a larger share of the electorate than their share of the voting-eligible population merits: 4 of 5 Ohioans over age 30 were registered to vote; less than 3 of 5 Ohioans under 30 were registered.
+The disparity in voting rates between racial and ethnic groups in Ohio widened between 2002 and 2006.
"Ohio Votes was cited in a news conference by Ohio ACORN, which is launching a voter registration drive. According to Ohio public radio:
ACORN Columbus Chair Donald Coulter says young adults, lower income citizens and people of color are underrepresented in Ohio's electorate."Only 66 percent of Ohioans earning less than $25,000 per year are registered to vote," Coulter says. "That is compared to 88 percent of Ohioans earning over $100,000 per year."
Coulter says that while 72 percent of white Ohioans are registered, only 65 percent of blacks are. He called the numbers "troubling disparities."
Ohio Votes's author, Benjamin Spears, said of the campaign, ACORN is making an important contribution towards closing the registration gaps identified in Ohio Votes, said Spears. "Ohio Votes" continues Project Votes work documenting disparities in the electorate. Earlier reports include Who Votes in the Bluegrass State, also by Benjamin Spears, and Representational Bias in the U.S. Electorate," by Doug R Hess.
Between Soapboxes
An open thread to which I invite you to share what you are reading, thinking, viewing but don't feel like writing a dissertation about.
State Primaries - For Whom the Bellwether Tolls
Have you noticed that every state this election cycle is a "bellwether" of some type of group?
- Iowa - Bellwether for evangelicals voters (GOP), bellwether for the young voters (Democratic).
- New Hampshire - Bellwether for the Independent voters.
- Nevada - Bellwether for the union workers (Democratic), bellwether for the Mormons (GOP).
- Michigan - Bellwether for economics policy.
- South Carolina - Bellwether for African-American voters.
Now, it appears that Florida will be the bellwether for Latino voters.
Considering Oregon is historically ignored in national elections, it'll be interesting to see what kind of bellwether our votes will portend.
Does the Cafe Condone Shilling for Candidates?
I was just using my browser's bookmark to The Times, and the first thing that popped out at me was a link to where the candidates stand on Iraq. And right below it were links to where they stood on three other critical issues. Clearly The Times thinks those things matter to readers.
I had to agree: surely all of us care deeply, surely readers want to think about where the candidates stand, surely controversy alone stimulates discussion, and surely that kind of discussion is exactly what TPM Cafe should be doing. Isn't it why we're all here?
And then I came to TPM Cafe, and it seems to me that Josh feels the answer is no. Am I wrong? I have to say that I've been very disappointed in the number of posts simply shilling for candidates, and I suspect that at least some others are, too.
We have plenty of posts on candidates, by MJR, Reed, Larry, and recently an invited guest from the Obama campaign. And every one of them is either at the level of, gee, this person is so cool or this person is such a slime. Are others put off by that as much as I? Both posts seem to me to misrepresent the candidates and to distort the political process. They also echo the kind of campaigning that is going to get us in trouble by feeding GOP attacks, even if some of the posts complaining about opposing candidates seem to be denouncing them for doing just that.
I realize that our regular posters are entitled to strong opinions about the candidates. We all have them, and anyone we respect enough to read regularly is worth our patience when they go a little overboard. But again, one poster was an invited guest, and this is all we are seeing. I realize, too, that politics gets TPM Cafe more comments and more hits, and this is a business, too.
Still, I think it's the wrong way to go. I can see evidence that others do, too. I've seen comments talking about "shilling." I've seen the most fervent comments and blogs sticking to anger at Clinton's hawkishness and at one stance or another on health-insurance mandates. Maybe those comments are mistaken about where the candidates stand, but they're there. there are too many die-hard partisan commenters that I simply scroll right by. And Josh over at TPM felt he had to defend himself against mere horse-race coverage. Conversely,
Where is this site going? And is it too late to turn it around?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
Upcoming Showdown on the FISA Bill
FISA today -- The United States Senate will take up the reauthorization of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act again in a few minutes. A cloture vote on further debate and action is scheduled for 4:30 PM, ET. I posted about the first FISA showdown last week and often about civil liberties and intelligence in the past. And there is some very good news:
BREAKING: Hillary Clinton To Vote No On Cloture Tomorrow UPDATE: Barack Obama Will Be There Too, this from Firedoglake (1/27). From the same source you can see a "Thank You Senator Dodd video," a NY Roots project effort here.
This entire controversy is extremely complicated. Today's post is my attempt to consolidate some of the best references on line. Excellent reads helped fill in the latest for me on the news and issues. Glenn Greenwald's well-written column, Saturday 1/26 is called "More disruptions to the Cheney/Rockefeller plan." EmptyWheel at Firedoglake's column on "Bush's Secret Cyber Initiative" came out on 1/26. And from 1/25 you should also read: "How to Lead: Chris Dodd Edition" and "Reid on FISA, It's up to the President."
Friday I took some action via Jane Hamshire's "Take Action Today" post, below. Using the 800-numbers provided, I talked to the offices of Senators Milulski, Johnson, Landrieu, Nelson (Neb.), Salazar, McCaskill, Specter, and my own senators, Hutchison and Cornyn. I asked each staff member to urge their senator to vote against the cloture motion this afternoon. There is still time for you to make some calls, too.
Update 2:46 PM ET --Senator Arlen Specter is going to vote against cloture and urging others to do so. Good News!
Action Central Resources:
- Jane Hamsher at Firedoglake -- "Take Action Today." This includes a wonderful list of Capitol "1-800" phone numbers where you can reach your senator with a free phone call.
- Stop the Spying! -- Speak out against telecom immunity with your photos, videos and phone calls!
- Electronic Frontier Foundation -- NSA Spying Overview, excellent! This organization has gone to court on our behalf.
- American Civil Liberties Union "Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act" Safe and Free, restore our constitutional rights.
- Glenn Greenwald at Salon.com -- Just the best; check him our regularly if you can only read one!
- empty wheel at Firedoglake -- Among the most knowledgeable on the subject!
-
- Know Your Enemy: Senator Christopher Bond's arguments against civil liberties -- "The Facts Strike Back on FISA" (13 p. pdf)
Abe Foxman: "A One-Man, Hot-Air Propaganda Machine"
It's amazing to watch Foxman pontificate, ad nauseam and infinitum, about his beloved Israel, without using words, like: occupation, bulldozer, Rachel Corrie, Rafah, torture, Sabra & Shatila, Apartheid Wall, refugee camps, displaced persons, demolition orders, UN Security Council Resolution 242, Jenin, collective punishment, illegal settlements, detention without trial and Geneva Convention. How does Foxman get away with ignoring the truth about the tragic fate of the Palestinians under Israeli rule? How?
by William Hughes
Americans almost made it through the year without being subjected to yet another boring spiel from the Anti-Defamation Leagues chief honcho and know-it-all, Abe Foxman. Unfortunately, on Dec. 27, 2003, the Washington Post, opened its Op Ed Page to the old windbag. If there was any justice left in the world, it should have made Foxman take out a paid advertisement in order to do his egregious pimping for Zionist Israel.
Foxmans latest rant is entitled, Open to Debate in Israel. I wondered after reading it: Shouldnt he be required to register with the U.S. Justice Department as an agent for a foreign-based principal? Huh? Keep in mind, that he makes $450,000 a year for being a one-man, hot-air propaganda machine. At a minimum, Foxman, a card carrying Zionist, should have been required by the editors of the Washington Post, to come clean, on the record, about all of his Israeli connections, so that an unsuspecting reading public would have been put on notice about his biases.
In any event, Foxman was all in a tizzy. No, this time, it wasnt Mel Gibsons soon-to-be-released movie, The Passion of Christ, that was arousing his ire. Foxman was upset because his favorite country, Israel, was recently criticized at Geneva, by Yossi Beilin, a former Israeli minister of justice, and Yasser Abed Rabbo, an ex-Palestinian information minister. They were advocating a peace plan for the Middle East. Foxman claims their action threatens, to delegitimize and isolate the Israeli government. He also whined that they were attacking Israels fundamental legitimacy as a sovereign state. Poor Israel! Poor Americans, too, who read Foxmans contrived drivel!
The pompous ADL boss thinks this so-called, Geneva Accord, (an unofficial framework for Middle East peace), is all part of a sinister plot to disrespect Israels democratic institutions. Oh, come off it, Foxman! That sounds like classic conspiracy mongering to me.
Some critics, like Amnesty International, however, have dared to directly challenge Israels claim to be a democracy, particularly for its use of fascist-like death squads. Im sure even Foxman would agree there isnt anything democratic about Israeli thugs killing unarmed Palestinians, without a trial or even any semblance of due process of law. (And, by the way, when, if ever, is Elie Wiesel, who once wrote, To remain silent and indifferent is the greatest sin of all... going to address the Israeli death squads issue?)
In the last three years alone, over 152 Palestinians have been targeted for extra judicial assassination by the Tel Aviv-based operatives (phrmg.org). It would be interesting to know: How exactly do Sharons death squads function? Does the Israeli Cabinet have to officially approve of each designated murder? Is there a written record of the death squad meetings? Or, is it done, with nods and winks, by a death squad committee? Who decides in Israel, what Palestinian will be executed and which Palestinian will live? If an official in the Sharon regime insists that a certain Palestinian is a militant, does that unchallenged comment become a death sentence for the particular Palestinian? And, do Sharons death squads plan any targeted hits outside Israel: like say, in Iraq, Europe, or even in the U.S.? (If its the latter, I would like to know because my Hate Mail file is growing at an alarming rate since my latest book, accusing the Israel First Brigade of helping to bring on the Iraq War, was published.)
It is simply amazing to watch Foxman pontificate, in the media, ad nauseam, ad infinitum, about his beloved Israel, without once using words, like: occupation, bulldozer, Rachel Corrie, Rafah, torture, Sabra & Shatila, Apartheid Wall, refugee camps, displaced persons, demolition orders, UN Security Council Resolution 242, Jenin, collective punishment, human shields, illegal settlements, detention without trial and Geneva Convention. How does Foxman get away with ignoring the truth about the tragic fate of the Palestinians under Israeli rule? How?
Foxman swears Israel has a healthy democracy because oppositional figures are heard all of the time. Sure, they are! Unless, of course, they are protesting its notorious Apartheid Wall, than they can be shot by the Israeli Occupation Forces (IOF) with live ammunition, like Israeli activist Gil Naamati was last Friday (Baltimore Sun, 12/29/03).
Source: Media Monitors
This article might seem outdated, but all one has to do is substitute the name Olmert for Sharon to bring this into the present.
How do the Israel Hit Squads function? They probably use the Gestapo and SS manuals from WW II.
Good-Bye, Democratic Party...
Hello, Democrat Party. I hear CNN reporters using the construction, even people on Air America, referring to a "Democrat candidate" or similar. Ted Danson, supporting Clinton, used the term on Stephanie Miller's show.
I used to be a Democratic voter.
I'm annoyed that the Democratic Party has not fought to stay that. Did they agree? Or did they hope it would go away like Kerry hoped about the Swift-Boaters?
Since I am becoming a Democrat voter I am going to start always referring to Republic candidates and voters. If I'm going to sound like a bureaucrat they're going to remind people of the limits on democracy inherent in their policies.
Shooting the Messenger, Part II? (Updated)
Last year I posted a piece on how our government had essentially shortchanged whistle blowers, who had gone against their own best interests, to report corruption by contractors hired to aid us in the reconstruction of Iraq. In that post, I noted how our government seemed to be engaged in a "shoot the messenger" mentality, where they saw the whistle blowers as trouble makers, or bad apples, instead of the companies whom evidence indicated where in fact culpable of far more egregious crimes.
In this post, I will focus on the case of a former FBI translator, Sibel Edmonds who has made a series of serious allegations which if true, could be one of the biggest espionage scandals in our nation's history. Before proceeding, please note that the question mark in the title of this post reflects the fact that this is the first time I've ever come across this case, and apart from the articles cited, there seems to be very little evidence that corroborates her allegations. As you will see, however, this may be partly due to a state-secrets gag order issued by then Attorney General John Ashcroft, following a lawsuit filed by Edmonds seeking documents related to her firing by the FBI. Since then, she has been subjected to another Federal order which, as Philip Giraldi notes, "is so sweeping that it precludes even a closed hearing attended only by officials with top-secret security clearances," effectively silencing her, and retroactively classifying statements she made before the Senate Judiciary Committee and the 9/11 Commission.
This is not the first time Ms. Edmonds has been in the spotlight. In August of 2004, CBS among others wrote an article describing mismanagement and corruption at the FBI's language division. In that article, Ms. Edmonds described how, in the aftermath of 9/11, her supervisors in the division told her and others to go slow in translating documents in Turkish and Farsi, the end goal of this was to support requests for increased funding. Ms. Edmonds claims that the managers went so far as to delete her completed translations from her hard drive, as punishment for her efficiency in translating these documents. Ms. Edmonds told CBS that she submitted a complaint with management in the agency, but received no response. Next, she turned to the Justice Department and to Sen. Grassley who at the time chaired the Senate Judiciary Committee and had direct oversight over the FBI. Sen. Grassley found her to be very credible (Sen. Leahy has also vouched for her credibility).
At the time, Ms. Edmonds claims she also alerted the FBI to the fact that another translator, Jan Dickerson, belonged to a Turkish organization being investigated by the FBI's counter-intelligence unit, and that she not only had tried to recruit Ms. Edmonds, but also provided the FBI with incomplete translations of documents that left out vital information to the FBI's investigation. Information that would have revealed that Turkish operatives were working as moles within the State Department and the Pentagon. When she alerted her superiors and the special agent in charge of the investigation about what she found, no one wanted to hear about it. Shortly thereafter, not only was she fired, "her home computer was seized; her family in Turkey was visited by police and threatened with arrest if they did not submit to questioning about an unspecified 'intelligence matter.'"
To continue reading, please click here.
Florida Angst
A friend of mine, active in Democratic politics in the Tampa area, is royally PO'd about Florida not having a say in who the Democratic nominee is.
A Hillary supporter, he is blaming Howard Dean for what is another file item in his "Democratic Party self-destructiveness" folder. He sees this as de-energizing Florida Dems, whose best efforts obviously will be helpful and quite possibly pivotal if Democrats are to win in November.
Hillary is making a good political move making an issue of this. Especially if we head into the convention with the delegate count difference between the frontrunners within the margin of delegates Florida and Michigan have between them, to not count those delegates is going to be tough for the DNC to stick to, regardless of whether it would be the right thing to do or not. (And, on the merits, I'm inclined to agree that the rules should not be changed in midstream.)
It flies entirely in the face of the Democratic party's occasional/sometimes theme or mantra of "counting every vote", itself tarnished in Nevada. The candidate who says Florida's delegates should count builds good will among all Floridians who agree.
So let's hope this looming trainwreck can be avoided and the nomination doesn't get decided with this issue in the mix. We're making it difficult enough for ourselves as it is.
As someone who spent a lot of time and energy sticking up for Bill Clinton throughout the 90s', including in his many dark hours, I am among the many who are turned off by some of the things he's been saying of late.
I know the Clinton campaign wants to marginalize Obama as another Jesse Jackson--in fact I'd written an earlier blog post about a concern I have that Obama might be so at pains to distinguish himself as the "non-Jesse Jackson candidate" that he might shy away from advocating ideas which some identify as "left" even where those are excellent ideas.
But Obama is not Jesse Jackson and we are seeing some of the blowback that comes from making that association among many savvy and committed Dem activists whose support, or at least lack of total hostility, the Clinton campaign will desperately need.
I am also put off by the robo-calling the Clinton campaign engaged in at the last minute to try to take Edwards out in South Carolina. What they said re his employment with the Wall Street firm making foreclosure money off the misery of others was out of line, I felt. This has been a rare exception of late to the two frontrunners laying off Edwards, at least unless and until they know they can win the nomination without support from him and his supporters.
So the Clinton campaign at the moment is working hard to court this Dem's ill will, at any rate.
The Florida Democratic Un-Primary Turns Meaningful
While in Tennessee, on Friday, Hillary Clinton announced that she would be asking her delegates to the 2008 Democratic National Convention to support seating the Michigan and Florida delegations at the convention. Her campaign also posted a statement by its candidate at its Hillary for President site:
I believe our nominee will need the enthusiastic support of Democrats in these states to win the general election, and so I will ask my Democratic convention delegates to support seating the delegations from Florida and Michigan. I know not all of my delegates will do so and I fully respect that decision. But I hope to be President of all 50 states and U.S. territories, and that we have all 50 states represented and counted at the Democratic convention.I hope my fellow potential nominees will join me in this.
The statement was duly reported in the mainstream press and various representatives of the Democratic National Committee made brief comments to the effect either that the delegations would not be seated or that the matter would be decided by the Credentials Committee in due course.
Clintons campaign later announced that she would be attending three fund raising events in Florida, on January 27th, the Sunday before voters there go to the polls. Attending such events is permissible under the agreement the candidates signed not to campaign in the state.
John Edwards, it seems, has already attended similar events held in the state in behalf of own his candidacy. But, while he snuck in and snuck out, Clintons visits have been fully covered by the press. Florida voters have seen the candidate and can only be aware of her appeal for them to be represented at the partys convention.
On Sunday, Clinton upped the ante yet again. She announced on CBS's Face the Nation that she would be back in Florida on the eve of the Democratic Un-Primary, on January 29th. Her visit will be timed to avoid any appearance of last-minute campaigning in the state. The agreement with the DNC, however, does not forbid the winner of the un-primary from making a highly televised victory speech, after the polls close, and it may be expected that she will do just that.
Barack Obamas recent landslide victory in the South Carolina Primary is far more important than mere vote-tally or delegate allocation can represent. South Carolina is the last official Democratic contest before 22 states hold primaries on Super Tuesday (February 5th), the last major news story that the many millions of voters who will go to the polls that day will have on their minds. Their impression, as they pull the lever, touch the touch-screen, etc., will be of Barack Obama as a popular landslide winner, the exciting up-and-coming candidate.
Or will it? Not if the Clinton campaign can help it. They are, quite understandably, intent upon leaving voters with a major Clinton win in Florida as their most recent impression. Hillary will then be every bit as much an up-and-comer as Barack with a suddenly meaningful (perhaps even a landslide) victory of her own in Florida.
For this reason, the inevitable battle over seating the Michigan and Florida delegations, at the 2008 Democratic Convention, has gotten an early start. Hillary Clinton needs the result of the Florida Un-Primary, in particular, to be meaningful in voters minds in order to head off a major swing in momentum toward Barack Obama at this crucial juncture in the primary campaign.
Bushs State of the Union
By Candace Talmadge/North Star Writers Group
Tonight George W. Bush gives his final State of the Union address. According to a very recent Harris Interactive online poll, most of us (81 percent) think the state of this nation is only fair to poor.
The Harris online survey of 2,302 U.S. adults, conducted between Jan. 15 and 22, also found that 61 percent of Republicans think the countrys state is fair to poor. Even more ominous for GOP chances in November, 87 percent of those independent swing voters think the state of the nation is fair to poor.
Read more here: http://www.northstarwriters.com/ct076.htm
USS Lincoln County (LST 898)
I blogged a while back about a WWII LST which I toured here in Alton, IL. At that time, some of the comments asked which LST my Dad served on and I've finally received his records. My Dad's ship was the LST 898, the USS Lincoln County. He boarded her in Pittsburgh as soon as she was launched and took her down the Mississippi River passing within 15 miles of his hometown of Sledge, Mississippi.
He told me he was tempted to jump ship as they passed Helena, Arkansas because he knew he could walk home from there. He was 20 years old.
I was 20 when I went to Vietnam. We never talked much about either of our "adventures" and I regret that so much.
In my interviews working on this PTSD book, I've talked to so many veterans who have similar regrets. There are too many fathers who never tell their stories to sons and daughters.
Locking those "memories" in that dark place where we keep them is such a devastating and destructive behavior and so many stories are lost forever because of that trend.
I interviewed another PTSD counselor here in Illinois last week. We discussed how so many never talk about those "things" because it is too painful. I told him what a shame it was for those stories to be lost. He asked me a profound question: "Have you told your son EVERYTHING?"
Wow! That really hit home. He smiled, looked at me inquisitively and nodded.
I've told my kids several times over the years that I would leave a written record of my life for them. In some ways, maybe these blogs are the beginning of that but I still have yet to put one word on paper to keep that promise. I'm going to do that before this year is over if I live that long.
Another discussion I had with Lewis, the counselor, was how many self-destructive tendencies PTSD causes. I told him what I've told other veterans when this subject comes up: "I'm not nearly as stupid as some of the things I've done in my life." That's my joking way to avoid following through on a conversation I don't really want to have.
I'll get into some of the suicidal/self-destructive things veterans have told me about during this research later but according to Lewis the latest fad for returning vets is to get one of those "rocket" motorcycles and see how fast it will go. Subconsciously hoping for a blowout or a deer to do what they can't contemplate consciously.
I've never had a car or motorcycle I haven't had to its top speed. I know what he's talking about.
More later. I just wanted to put the link to my Dad's ship up. In the past couple of days since I found out which one it was, I've looked at the picture many times and thought about that 20 year old looking over the rails wondering if a Japanese submarine or Kamikazi pilot might find them in that vast Pacific Ocean.
He made it back so I was born. I made it back so my kids were born. So many weren't born because their fathers didn't make it back. That is a tragedy beyond description.
Another Neocon Attempt to Frame Iran Falls Apart
Research for this article was supported by the Investigative Fund of The Nation Institute.
Although nukes and Iraq have been the main focus of the Bush Administration's pressure campaign against Iran, US officials also seek to tar Iran as the world's leading sponsor of terrorism. And Team Bush's latest tactic is to play up a thirteen-year-old accusation that Iran was responsible for the notorious Buenos Aires bombing that destroyed the city's Jewish Community Center, known as AMIA, killing eighty-six and injuring 300, in 1994. Unnamed senior Administration officials told the Wall Street Journal January 15 that the bombing in Argentina "serves as a model for how Tehran has used its overseas embassies and relationship with foreign militant groups, in particular Hezbollah, to strike at its enemies."
This propaganda campaign depends heavily on a decision last November by the General Assembly of Interpol, which voted to put five former Iranian officials and a Hezbollah leader on the international police organization's "red list" for allegedly having planned the July 1994 bombing. But the Wall Street Journal reports that it was pressure from the Bush Administration, along with Israeli and Argentine diplomats, that secured the Interpol vote. In fact, the Bush Administration's manipulation of the Argentine bombing case is perfectly in line with its long practice of using distorting and manufactured evidence to build a case against its geopolitical enemies.
After spending several months interviewing officials at the US Embassy in Buenos Aires familiar with the Argentine investigation, the head of the FBI team that assisted it and the most knowledgeable independent Argentine investigator of the case, I found that no real evidence has ever been found to implicate Iran in the bombing. Based on these interviews and the documentary record of the investigation, it is impossible to avoid the conclusion that the case against Iran over the AMIA bombing has been driven from the beginning by US enmity toward Iran, not by a desire to find the real perpetrators.
A 'Wall of Assumptions'
US policy toward the bombing was skewed from the beginning by a Clinton Administration strategy of isolating Iran, adopted in 1993 as part of an understanding with Israel on peace negotiations with the Palestinians. On the very day of the crime, before anything could have been known about who was responsible, Secretary of State Warren Christopher blamed "those who want to stop the peace process in the Middle East"--an obvious reference to Iran.
William Brencick, then chief of the political section at the US Embassy in Buenos Aires and the primary Embassy contact for the investigation, recalled in an interview with me last June that a "wall of assumptions" guided the US approach to the case. The primary assumptions, Brencick said, were that the explosion was a suicide bombing and that use of a suicide bomb was prima facie evidence of involvement by Hezbollah--and therefore Iran.
But the suicide-bomber thesis quickly encountered serious problems. In the wake of the explosion, the Menem government asked the United States to send a team to assist in the investigation, and two days after the bombing, experts from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms arrived in Buenos Aires along with three FBI agents. According to an interview the head of the team, ATF explosives expert Charles Hunter, gave to a team of independent investigators headed by US journalist Joe Goldman and Argentine investigative journalist Jorge Lanata, as soon as the team arrived the federal police put forward a thesis that a white Renault Trafic van had carried the bomb that destroyed the AMIA.
Hunter quickly identified major discrepancies between the car-bomb thesis and the blast pattern recorded in photos. He wrote a report two weeks later noting that in the wake of the bombing, merchandise in a store immediately to the right of the AMIA was tightly packed against its front windows and merchandise in another shop had been blown out onto the street--suggesting that the blast came from inside rather than outside. Hunter also said he did not understand how the building across the street could still be standing if the bomb had exploded in front of the AMIA, as suggested by the car-bomb thesis.
The lack of eyewitness evidence supporting the thesis was just as striking. Of some 200 witnesses on the scene, only one claimed to have seen a white Renault Trafic. Several testified they were looking at the spot where the Trafic should have been when the explosion occurred and saw nothing. Nicolasa Romero, the wife of a Buenos Aires policeman, was that lone witness. She said she saw a white Renault Trafic approach the corner where she was standing with her sister and her 4-year-old son. But Romero's sister testified that the vehicle that passed them was not a white Trafic but rather a black-and-yellow taxi. Other witnesses reported seeing a black-and-yellow taxi seconds before the explosion.
Argentine prosecutors argued that pieces of a white Trafic embedded in the flesh of many of the victims of the explosion proved their case for a suicide bomb. But that evidence was discredited by Gabriel Levinas, a researcher for AMIA's own legal team. Levinas is a member of a leading Jewish family in Buenos Aires who had published a human rights magazine during the dictatorship (his uncle's car was used to kidnap war criminal Adolf Eichmann and spirit him off to Israel for trial in 1982.)
See more stories tagged with: iran, hawks, bush, lies
http://www.alternet.org/story/74331/
http://911review.org
http://911review.stumbleupon.com/
http://godandall.blogspot.com/
http://batcave911.blogspot.com/
http://www.tpmcafe.com/blog/911review
"Something happened. But what?"
That question was posed by John Aravosis, a polling analyst writing for Americablog.com, as the final question in the final paragraph:
Look at the distance the polls moved from the end of November to today. Hillary went from 40% to 27% today. But far more important, Obama went from maybe 28% to 55% today. That's an insane rise. Hell, look at the polls from the past few days - Obama never got above the mid 40s. Yet today he got 55%. Something happened. But what?
This question has been bandied about on all the Sunday talk shows, on op-ed pages, and on blogs to explain Obama's blow-out victory in South Carolina after a punishing week of Clinton double-teaming and poll-tested pundits writing his obituary--or, at the very least, conceding him a pyhhric victory as the "black candidate," unable to hold the white vote.
(Which is funny, considering that six months ago those same pontificators were questioning whether he was "black enough" to win black votes, and hailing Bill Clinton's huge pull with black voters. By last week, they were standing aside while Clinton disparagingly compared Obama to Jesse Jackson--code words to the bigots of the world who lump Jackson together with Al Sharpton as the worst spokesmen African Americans could ever have, with virtually no crossover appeal to whites.)
Something happened, all right. But what?
Yeah, I'm going with the title of Time magazine's cover story a couple weeks ago, after New Hampshire: It's the Voters, Stupid.
The voters keep upending polls and slinging aside conventional wisdom--in large part because of a massive revolt against The Mainstream Media.
Hillary took New Hampshire for one reason I see very few of these mostly-male jackasses getting: the Sistuh-Vote.
Women who had no intention of voting for Hillary watched the mostly-male jackasses like Chris Matthews and Bill Krystol howling and yowling about everything from the way she sits (Rush Limbaugh nastily pointed out that, at the debate, she was "the only one on stage who couldn't cross her legs"--which meant, I suppose, that either her dick was too big or maybe she couldn't relax like the cool boys. But as any woman over 40 knows who spent any time in either an all-girls school or the South, a lady is taught to sit WITH HER ANKLES CROSSED, for obvious reasons. Check out any on-stage photo of Nancy Reagan or Laura Bush and you'll see them sitting with their ankles crossed.)--to her "witch cackle" laugh, to her supposedly phony tears, to her nagging voice--("Every time she talks, I hear TAKE OUT THE GARBAGE," said one.)--to the state of her marriage to the calculation of her positions and on and on and on.
So loud and hateful did the chorus get, that even women who didn't much care for Hillary were moved to remember incidents in their own lives where they had to put up with that kind of crap, either at work or at home, and they pretty much collectively thought, You know what? Screw you, boys.
They still haven't quite figured it out, even though Media Matters and thousands of viewers forced an insincere apology from Matthews.
So then along came South Carolina, and Yoda the Top Dawg Democrat was let off his leash big-time, attacking Obama on things he didn't say as well as things he did. At the debate, when Obama tried to defend himself, Hillary was landing punches both above and below the belt, then accusing him of "going negative and abandoning the politics of hope" when he spoke out in self-defense.
The combined effect was like if, say, Mohammed Ali had faced off with both George Foreman AND Sonny Liston in one boxing ring, with no rules, and no referee. His rope-a-dope might not have lasted as long if he'd had to fight off two opponents in the same round with no bell to give him a rest.
The voters went to the polls with that in their heads, and they were thinking, Fight fair or get out of the ring.
And they were also thinking, Just because you've got a bully pulpit on TV or the radio, it doesn't mean that you know everything.
For Barack Obama to get as many white male votes as both Clinton and Edwards, in a state that still flies the Confederate flag, should put the lie to the idea that he is merely a black candidate with a black base--which he had already proved in Iowa, a state that is 97% white.
It's more than that, though, and we all know it is.
If the Clintons wanted to remind voters of the 90's this past week, then they certainly did, only not in the way they might have intended. As I have stated before, I've supported them both in the past, and I do think he was an outstanding president.
But to bring the Clintons back to the White House will also bring back everything they brought with them before: discord, division, distractions--molten, irrational hatred from so many people, but also, one big fight after another when accusations are made and they go into bunker-mode to refute and defend against them.
From the "bimbo eruptions" of the '92 campaign all the way to Travelgate and Whitewater and Paula Jones--every time the right wing threw a new accusation at them, it was HILLARY who hunkered down to fight. It was Hillary who withheld documents that had been requested an unneccessarily long time, for instance. And it was Hillary who insisted that Bill not settle with Paula Jones, but instead, to fight.
We all know how that turned out.
That's just a quick mention of one or two scandals and arguments, and yes, it was ridiculously unfair and yes, it was motivated by some kind of insane desire to get them out of the White House, but the point is that it existed, and will again.
Do we really want to go through all that again?
All it takes is one broad selling her "story" to a tabloid about how she and Bill got it on at the Clinton library to start the whole damn thing over again. It does not have to be true. It just has to exist. And it will.
There are more complicated things going on here, too. As a feminist, I resent that the first truly viable female candidate for president has to hide behind her big strong husband to do her dirty work for her. The fact that she rose to power on his coat-tails doesn't bother me quite as much, because most women of our generation either had to do something along those lines or had to be mentored by a strong male to rise to the highest levels of power. It's just the way things were in the 70's and 80's for those of us trying to move up in male-dominated fields.
But now that she has the power and position, then every time he dominates press coverage, it diminishes her.
And he WILL dominate press coverage, because that is his disease. He can't help it. He's an addict. He ruined "their" first presidency--as George Stephanopoulous put it in his autobiography, and believe me, he will ruin this one as well.
Another complicated factor is the slim margin Democrats have in Congress, the margin that is too slim to end a war, for instance. Many of that narrow majority came from red states. They know that if they have to be "married" to Hillary on the ballot in November, it could cost them their seats. Which would mean another Republican majority fighting a Clinton presidency. Believe me, by the end of the first four years, voters would be so sick of the Clintons they'd put ANY Republican in the White House.
IF she could win it at all. And that brings me to the scariest proposition: John McCain. He is the most electible Republican. Yes, conservatives hate him, but that only endears him to moderates and Independents. If Hillary smacks down Obama because of all her "experience," then when she goes up against McCain, that will be a laughable argument. He has waaaay more experience than she does, and it was not done vicariously, through his spouse.
A dispirited, discouraged Republican party would be ELECTRIFIED to slap down Hillary, even if they had to vote for someone they didn't really like. Add to that the man-crush the media has on him: Big strong war hero! Straight-talker! Maverick!--then any dirty tricks they'd pull on him would likely backfire.
And John McCain wants to stay in Iraq for one hundred years. Just today, in fact, he was talking about "other wars" we'll have to be embroiled in, as if Iraq and Afghanistan aren't enough.
This is scary, folks.
Conservative columnist George Will said something surprising today on Stephanopoulos. He said that for real change to truly take place in Washington, there has to be a MANDATE, a landslide victory. He pointed out the civil rights change of 1964, following Johnson's landslide victory, and mentioned several others. He said that even if Hillary should squeak out a victory, it will be, at best, yet another fifty-plus-one majority--hardly a mandate. Which means she would have that much more of a struggle trying to effect any kind of change.
He hinted, as have at least a dozen other conservative commentators I have read, that Obama has the potential to pull out a true landslide victory. Republicans and conservatives I have spoken to in this red state have all told me that they would not mind an Obama presidency. And with that kind of good will, he really could transform not just Washington, but this country.
Worldwide, he's getting a similar reaction on op-ed pages from London to Germany.
Here in this country, primary voters have a lot of thinking to do, and they are taking it seriously. Voter turn-outs for Democrats have broken all the records, as well as all the expectations.
In his victory speech, Obama said something that resonated with me. I'm paraphrasing from memory, but it was something to the effect that "this election isn't about black or white, or red state or blue state, or young or old, or Democrat or Republican; this election is about the past or the future."
There's a lot that's comforting about going back to the 90's with the Clintons. But I think that by the end of this campaign, voters are going to be reminded of just what that truly means--not just the warm-fuzzy soft-focus memory-lane version--but the hard-core reality-check version, when we're all reminded about just how exhausting it was.
As one blogpost I read on Huffingtonpost.com said--and I can't find it now, so apologies to the author for no link--America, we still have time.
There is time to keep sending messages, through the primary ballot box, to the Clintons and the Democratic party machine that backs them, that we don't want to go back to the 90's. As Barack Obama says, That was 16 years ago. It's 2008, now.
We want to go forward.
Obama Did It - Against All Odds
Its amazing how a presidential candidate coming from 20-30 points behind in all the polls, being up against two of the most popular figures in our nations history, can end up getting within the margin of error or even beat those two historical figures, in a primary or caucus; but hes done it. Barack Obama not only won in South Carolina, he won by a wide margin, something like 27 points. He won in large part because of getting 81% of the black votes (male and female), but he also got a health three way share of the white men/women, all age voters. In other words, he slaughtered Bill and Hillary Clinton in their (own) territory.
Barack won the caucus in Iowa. In the New Hampshire and Nevada primary/caucus, Barack ended up with more delegates then Hillary, even though she won in those states. Obama now has 63 delegates to Hillarys 48 and John Edwardss 26.
Obama also won a larger portion of the Independent and republican voters in those States which shows he has crossover ability.
Hes experienced months of Republican like attacks from two highly regarded members of his own Party (The Clintons). Hes also gone up against the Democratic Party establishment, whos supporting Hillary. Hes heard flat out lies about his religion, his belief that the war in Iraq was wrong and his campaign being somewhat like a fairy tale. Because he pointed out Reagans ability to get a broad range of voters to his side, Democrats, Independents and Republicans, he was accused of somehow praising Reagans Republican policies.
In other words, Barack Obamas faced the beginnings of a General Election and is still winning.
All during this unprecedented experience, Obama continues to believe we are not a blue State or a red State, a white or black nation or a Republican/Democrat/Independent nation we are One Nation. We need to work together to solve the health, immigration, energy and environment issues. He also strongly believes that we need to end the war in Iraq and bring our troops home, as safely and quickly as possible.
In my opinion, the war is a success. Weve removed Saddams regime and rebuilt Iraqs security and governmental forces. Its time Iraqis stood up and we stood down.
I wrote a year ago that I thought Barack Obama would be the best choice to heal America. I continue to believe this.
Coonsey's View
www.freewebs.com/coonsey/
The Key to Bipartisanship
...is what Ezra Klein said times ten.
Nothing would promote bipartisanship more than five fewer Republican Senators. Who's more likely to bring this about?
The continued success of the Party depends on giving Democrats a reason to believe and a reason to participate. A reason to wear the T shirts, walk the streets and bank the phones. A reason to become precinct captains and district chairs. A reason to run for school board and county commissioner and state legislator.
Success also depends on giving Republicans a reason to yawn and say yeah, I guess I'll vote. But I'm not real thrilled with any of these people and I'm not going to write any checks or bank any phones this time around.
The Clintons haven't done this for Democrats. If anything, they do it unintentionally for the Republicans. The Clintons didn't forge a lasting Democratic coalition or build the Democratic Party. They lost all of Congress to the Republicans while trying to save Democrats from themselves.
Barack Obama is a community organizer who turned out enough South Carolina voters to not just win, but to shock and awe. He showed his potential to do what the Clintons, owing mostly to their own failures, have openly dismissed as a "fairy tale."
I've favored Edwards in the past, mostly because once I believed the Clinton "fairy tale" too. I don't think the next Democratic President's aura is going to last a hundred days, without at least five fewer Republican Senators. Edwards, for whatever reason, just isn't attracting that kind of support.
So I'm supporting Obama instead.
Advice for a high school student interested in "hard" languages?
My question is broader than it might seem, so I believe that asking the question may both get specific information, as well as opening some interesting discussion on improving US global competitiveness and multilateral relations.
A young friend, now a high school senior, wants to be an Arabic linguist, although she isn't all that interested in working outside the US. She's running a 3.5 GPA, straight A's in French and Spanish, and, while not doing some of the classic extracurriculars, is doing a tremendous amount of work earning money for college -- she has a superb work ethic not really challenged by her high school.
My impression is that the US has assorted programs to encourage high school and college students in becoming proficient in the languages we need. I'm having trouble finding information on relevant scholarships, and indeed finding mentors while someone is still in high school.
The best writeup I've found is NSA's, which really wants people that both are proficient in languages but have additional engineering or science skills. She has taken a forensic course (CSI strikes the educational system), doesn't like the bloody part, but did like the computer forensic parts. She is also decent in math, although at the high school level without outside work.
I can mentor her in computer forensics and security. As far as Arabic, I could guide her more about the culture than the language, but she doesn't yet see the linkage between understanding the culture in which a language is spoken. My Arabic is limited to a few polite and useful phrases, although I understand there is a magnificent curse I would like to learn, which translates to something like "may the fleas of ten thousand camels infest your armpits."
Any suggestions? Are there really programs, reaching down to high school level, encouraging language study in general as a critical national need, but especially the "hard" languages such as Arabic, Farsi, various Chinese dialects, Hindi, Urdu, etc.? Given that she is fluent in French, I might advise Swahili as well as Arabic.
Thoughts? We did get her an Arabic CD course for Christmas, which I'd enjoy studying with her. So far, she hasn't opened it.
Adding up Iowa, NH and SC
Here are the total votes received in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina:
Obama 486,289
Clinton 319,399
McCain 251,173
Edwards 210,555
Huckabee 200,019
Romney 172,229
Thompson 88,255
Paul 46,111
Guiliani 33,952
The two top Republicans combined received fewer votes than Obama alone. Is it any wonder all those GOP Congressman are retiring? It is pretty obvious which party is going to have the better turnout on election day.
Hungry for leadership
The American electorate is desperate for new leadership.* Nine hundred and thirty-five lies of the current administration are but frosting slathered on the towering wedding cake of reasons why:
- Right Wing -- The bottom white cake layer is the right wing theocratic base of the Republican party. People of color have reason to feel left off the current administration's priority list.
- Neocon -- The second layer is the marble cake neocon influence on foreign policy. Neocon dogma is a strange marbled combination of hardline Democrat beginnings swirled with current imperialistic ambitions that include military intervention.
- Incompetence -- The third layer is the one that fell in the oven -- the cake of competence. The current half-baked leadership is remarkable inept in far too many of the key dimensions of leadership.
- Feeding Fears -- The next layer is yellow cake which is related to fear mongering. This layer is very fluffy, having a mushroom-cloud-like flavor.
- Aggression -- The layer near the top is the spice-flavored aggression and unilateralism of the U.S. in the Middle East. This cake is characterized by its lumpy unmixed style of go-it-alone diplomacy.
- Fiscal & Legal Irresponsibility -- The top cake layer is chocolate mocha flavored. The current administration is addicted to the chocolate of runaway spending and the caffeine of law-breaking.
Leadership qualities are what voters are wondering about. What should we look for as we watch political ads or listen to candidates debating, whom to trust to tell the truth? The study of 935 lies is an indicator that the country is ready to face the facts about the dishonest run-up to the war in Iraq. But it will take years to recover. Shameless fear-mongering has debilitated our confidence as a people and called into question OCP's (our current president's) leadership in a very flat world. What can leaders do about our current president (OCP)?
Will Democratic and Republican leaders not running for the presidency be able to assist the electorate in deciding who will be the best for the job? Does the endorsement of a Senator or a Governor indicate that person understands leadership's state of the art? Not necessarily, but some voters may decide that "it takes one to know one." Though endorsements by the leaders we know and trust can help, it is more useful if we make up our own minds based on knowledge.
The tapestry of leadership theory is not that hard to digest. For example, behavior is an indicator of leadership capacity. Good leaders have a vision beyond what is right in front of them or what someone is telling them. A good leader instills confidence in those who are looking to him or her for direction and guidance in difficult matters. Good leaders are trustworthy. They lead by example. Their thoughts words and actions are consistent with those of good leaders from the past, the present and, we hope, in the future. These qualities matter in leaders in all walks of life, whether it be politician, a corporate executive, or a platoon sergeant.
And it is becoming more clear over the years that women can lead and that African Americans can lead. All people who are not white males, thank goodness, can now can be seen as potential leaders. Step back and think what good news that is for non white male members of the electorate who have not had such viable choices in the past.
A crowded roster of candidates -- We could have a worse problem. I sense a renewed hopefulness in the country, an excitement about the possibility that things could change. Else, why would the word "change" get so deeply into the lexicon of most of our candidates. We may be on to something here!
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*Reference on wanting to learn about leadership: Recent examples -- Readers often come to this blog as a result of a Google search on leadership and related ideas, terms such as "good qualities of Democratic leaders," "google quotes freedom of fear" (Australia). One visitor did a Yahoo! search on "good leadership qualities."
My links: (Cross-posted at The Reaction.)
Obama and Leadership
Would you sooner trust Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton with effectively leading the United States of America as a unifying servant leader? The answer has got to be Barack Obama. He is not the divisive figure.
Obama can energize majorities and minorities just being who he is, however, his talents of listening, communicating and statesmanlike coalition building also set him apart from others. He's charismatic, yes, however, not frantically so. He's got emotional ballast in his ship, not OPB (Other Peoples' Baggage) or the brittleness of leadership wrapped around ugly, raw ambition.
His speech at Ebenezer Baptist highlighted his focus on moral renewal in areas of morality shamefully neglected by the party in power, especially the sin of neglecting to uplift the poor and their children.
One need only read the parable of Lazarus and the Rich Man in the Christian gospel to see that many of the GOP'ers have not shown that they value the priority of Christ and the Old Testament prophets so prominently preached in the Good Book.
Let him join the line-up and swing the bat. It is well past time and America needs the power of moral renewal resident in the strongest truth: Those who have been humbled shall be exalted.
Beyond worthy are our African American fellow countrymen. They are one with our confidence, our treasure, our wise, and our strong. How long shall we go without their special wisdom and experience serving the United States of America and lifting her up.
Draw away from this family of Americans all roots of bitterness about the obvious glass cieling, and let them show us an example of leadership that unites Americans as a greater family of all races, creeds, colors, religions and ethnicities.
When we put all of our diverse gifts together, we make America worth emulating abroad. When that is done, no one needs a gun to their head to imitate the freedom and responsibility that can be found in this great country.











