Yes ARG is 48 O and 46 M an improvement of 4 point for O, considering last week the numbers were reversed.

Posted at September 23, 2008 11:43 AM in response to Dept. Of Good Questions

Here is waht I've just sent to John at RCP

Sir john@realclearpolitics.com

For sake of impartiality and avoid to further solidify the notion that you're republican, you need you include D2K tracking poll in your average polls or exclude the dubious battleground tracking, which I understand doesn't poll on weekends!

Cheers, M.P.

Posted at September 23, 2008 8:34 AM in response to Polls Put Obama Ahead Nationally, Race Is Close In Key States

Obama does not need to win OH as long as he gets all kerry's states + CO and VA

Posted at September 16, 2008 12:13 PM in response to Yet Another Poll Puts McCain Up In Ohio

I guess rural folks are more interested in hunting a moose, than the US economy sinking to developing country status. Remember all those US jobs outsourced to China and India? Soon US citizens may be forced to emigrate en mass to developing countries to find jobs. Already there are a lot of US citizens working in record numbers here in Europe, a trend started 7 years ago...
Unfortunately for the USA, Moose hunters types will have difficulties finding a job overseas......

Posted at September 15, 2008 3:52 PM in response to Poll: McCain Holds Four-Point Lead In Ohio

about time, need more of these

Posted at September 15, 2008 8:04 AM in response to Obama Campaign Launches Ad Hitting McCain's Lies As "Dishonorable"

Yet another wacky SUSA poll in VA. What is going on with them? 25% of the AA vote voting for McCain? Really? Implausible, since 88% of AA voted for John Kerry

Posted at June 30, 2008 9:12 AM in response to Election Central Morning Roundup

I'd be more circumspect in relying on the RCP (RealClearPolitics) polling averages.
RCP is selective in choosing which polls to use for their averages. Take for example VA which according to the RCP latest average is now 0,7 in McCain's favor. This average includes a poll done by
VCU 05/12 - 05/18 852 RV 44 36 McCain +8.0

But the same average does not include the following poll done by
SurveyUSA 05/16 - 05/18 600 RV 42 49 Obama +7.0

How bizarre. I've been following RCP for a while, this latest poll manipulation confirms to me, and many others, that RCP is a republican leaning site

Posted at June 30, 2008 9:09 AM in response to Election Central Morning Roundup

Here guys, I know is off topic, below is a just released poll for the NJ Senate race. Recent polls, especially Rasmussen, showed a tighter race.

Fairleigh Dickinson University/PublicMind
6/17-22/08; 589 RV, MoSE 4%

New Jersey
Sen: Lautenberg (D-i) 45, Zimmer (R) 28

Posted at June 26, 2008 12:51 PM in response to Obama To Campaign In ... Alaska?

People are still reading Reader's Digest?

Posted at June 25, 2008 3:43 PM in response to Poll: McCain Takes Seven-Point Lead In Missouri

I found a great website that list the current polls and does a good job with statistics, the comments there are also intelligent and less vitriolic.

So check it out. FiveThrityEight.com

Posted at June 23, 2008 1:15 PM in response to Poll: Obama Holds Lead In New Mexico