DrSteveA
- : I am a medical epidemiologist (public health doctor) in New York City.
Palin's closing Reagan "freedom" quote was about oppposing Medicare
OMG!!! That long windy Reagan quote that Palin launched into in her closing. Guess what:...more »
Posted on October 3, 2008 8:28 AM
Is SUSA Poll showing Independents liked Palin B.S.?
Something seems wrong with the <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=36ee8fde-58bf-4027-a75b-b29d86b66b92">SUSA poll</a> that, frighteningly claims that independents and moderates have been strongly swayed favorably by Palin's speech....more »
Posted on September 5, 2008 12:36 AM
Sarah Palin is Spiro Agnew? McCain as Nixon?
Like Spiro Agnew, Sarah Palin goes from Governor to Veep, with at least part of her role being the snarling pit bull......more »
Posted on September 4, 2008 12:57 PM
NY Times: Gov Palin herself had premarital sex & pregnancy
NY Times buried the Lead: Forget the daughter. Governor Palin herself, who supports “abstinence only” as government policy, was having premarital sex and got pregnant before marriage back in 1988, according to the NY Times:...more »
Posted on September 2, 2008 11:30 AM
McCain's entire career based on Adultry
Okay. Edwards' political career is over. Of course he was not actually in office and was no longer actually running for anything. But John McCain's political career started with his adultry! He was still married to Carol, the wife who stuck...more »
Posted on August 8, 2008 4:44 PM
Don't overlook Dementia as part of GUTMC
It is the topic we are not supposed to address in polite company, but in addition to his baseline not being very bright and not being interested in studying hard, McCains age combined with the abuse his brain has taken (alcohol,...more »
Posted on July 11, 2008 1:46 PM
don't overlook Mild Dementia as part of GUTMC
It is the topic we are not supposed to address in polite company, but in addition to his baseline not being very bright and not being interested in studying hard, McCains age combined with the abuse his brain has taken (alcohol,...more »
Posted on July 11, 2008 1:39 PM
Barak says share Jerusalem / Condi lies about Iran talks
That would of course be then Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak in 2000 during the Camp David II and Taba talks with Yasser Arafat and the Palestinian Authority. Alas, Barack Obama went one phrase unnecessarily too far in his speech...more »
Posted on June 5, 2008 3:22 PM
Barak says share Jerusalem / Condi lies about Iran talks
That would of course be then Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak in 2000 during the Camp David II and Taba talks with Yasser Arafat and the Palestinian Authority. Alas, Barack Obama went one phrase unnecessarily too far in his speech...more »
Posted on June 5, 2008 3:17 PM
Women, Clinton and Obama & McCain V..P. choice
1a. Obama could/should pick a woman, but not Hillary Clinton. Several good choices from swing state senate and governors. 1b.He must NOT pick a misogynist anti-female male such as Jim Webb, or others who are anti-choice. That will give women...more »
Posted on June 4, 2008 11:26 AM
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Here is the complete set of Jackie Mason on Obama:
http://www.youtube.com/profile_videos?user=TheUltimateJew&search_query=obama
I walked out on Jackie Mason when he was spewing some over the top racist stuff at a club in 1995. Nothing new. For anybody susceptible to his crap, Mayor Koch ought the be the counter-weight.
Posted at October 4, 2008 6:10 PM in response to It's Official Now: GOP Campaign Among Jews Only About Race (See Video)
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I am waiting for Palin/McCain to denounce and renounce Alaska Independence Party & Vogler.
Posted at October 4, 2008 6:00 PM in response to Palin's Attack On Obama's Patriotism Legitimizes Questions About The Palins' Association With Group Founded By America-Hating Secessionist
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But. gee, she was on Faux News all day today...
Posted at October 3, 2008 4:20 PM in response to Palin To Skip The Sunday Shows This Weekend
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Oy... I don't seem to be able to publish diaries here correctly... so full diary is in first comment.
Posted at September 5, 2008 12:45 AM in response to Is SUSA Poll showing Independents liked Palin B.S.?
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Something seems wrong with the SUSA poll that, frighteningly claims that independents and moderates have been strongly swayed favorably by Palin's speech.
The Claim:
Overnight, the percentage calling the Alaska governor an asset to the campaign climbed 13 points; the percentage calling her a liability fell 17 points... among moderates, who 24 hours ago viewed Palin as a liability by an 11 point margin; today, Palin is seen as an asset by an 18 point margin.
The Problem: Question 1: "Did you hear Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican National Convention last night?" 75% answered Yes.
Am I right to be calling b.s. on this...?
No way 75% of a truly representative sample of registered voters, independents or moderates, heard Palin's speech!?!? The ratings were good but they were not that good!
C'mon... this cannot be valid representative sample of the general American voting public, independents or moderates? It has to be skewed to those predisposed to want to tune in, oversampling those predisposed to be swayed favorably, those already Republicans or Wingers.
796 ot of 1061 in survey say they heard the speech.
75%!?!? WTF?!?!
The Superbowl and the final episode of MASH combined did not do that good.The only methods explanation I see is:
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1200 adults in two separate surveys, on 09/03/08 and 09/04/08. In each survey, those identifying themselves as registered voters were asked the questions which followed.
FYI - other demographics of poll group = Overall% (Heard Speech%):
Male = 48% (49); Female = 52% (51).
Age: 18-34 = 29% (26); 35-49 = 28% (29); 50-64 = 26% (26); 65+ = 18% (19).
Race: White = 76% (78); Black = 10% (9); Hispanic = 8% (7); Other=6% (6).
Party affiliation: Rep = 36% (40), Dem = 33% (29), Ind = 26% (27).Ideology: Con = 34% (39) Mod = 38% (38) Lib = 14% (12).
Income: $40,000 = 70% (72).
Region: Northeast = 19% (19) Midwest = 23% (22) South = 36% (36) West = 22% (23).
Now, I suppose they did some statistical adjusting. Maybe. Perhaps.
But if the original sample is hopelessly biased in the statistical sampling sense, then it is B.S.Right?
Is this poll invalid or what am I not getting that validates it?
Posted at September 5, 2008 12:44 AM in response to Is SUSA Poll showing Independents liked Palin B.S.?
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Something seems wrong with the SUSA poll that, frighteningly claims that independents and moderates have been strongly swayed favorably by Palin's speech.
The Claim:
Overnight, the percentage calling the Alaska governor an asset to the campaign climbed 13 points; the percentage calling her a liability fell 17 points... among moderates, who 24 hours ago viewed Palin as a liability by an 11 point margin; today, Palin is seen as an asset by an 18 point margin.
The Problem: Question 1: "Did you hear Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican National Convention last night?" 75% answered Yes.
Am I right to be calling b.s. on this...?
No way 75% of a truly representative sample of registered voters, independents or moderates, heard Palin's speech!?!? The ratings were good but they were not that good!
C'mon... this cannot be valid representative sample of the general American voting public, independents or moderates? It has to be skewed to those predisposed to want to tune in, oversampling those predisposed to be swayed favorably, those already Republicans or Wingers.
796 ot of 1061 in survey say they heard the speech.
75%!?!? WTF?!?!
The Superbowl and the final episode of MASH combined did not do that good.The only methods explanation I see is:
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1200 adults in two separate surveys, on 09/03/08 and 09/04/08. In each survey, those identifying themselves as registered voters were asked the questions which followed.
FYI - other demographics of poll group = Overall% (Heard Speech%):
Male = 48% (49); Female = 52% (51).
Age: 18-34 = 29% (26); 35-49 = 28% (29); 50-64 = 26% (26); 65+ = 18% (19).
Race: White = 76% (78); Black = 10% (9); Hispanic = 8% (7); Other=6% (6).
Party affiliation: Rep = 36% (40), Dem = 33% (29), Ind = 26% (27).Ideology: Con = 34% (39) Mod = 38% (38) Lib = 14% (12).
Income: $40,000 = 70% (72).
Region: Northeast = 19% (19) Midwest = 23% (22) South = 36% (36) West = 22% (23).
Now, I suppose they did some statistical adjusting. Maybe. Perhaps.
But if the original sample is hopelessly biased in the statistical sampling sense, then it is B.S.Right?
Is this poll invalid or what am I not getting that validates it?
Posted at September 5, 2008 12:39 AM in response to Poll: Palin's Speech Reassured Independents About Her
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Something is wrong with that SUSA poll:
Did you hear Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican National Convention last night?
75% Yes
24% No
75% of Americans did not hear the speech.
75% of Indepdendents did not hear the speeach.
What is this group representative of?Posted at September 4, 2008 11:32 PM in response to Poll: Palin's Speech Reassured Independents About Her
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NY Times buried the Lead:
Forget the daughter.
Governor Palin herself, who supports “abstinence only” as government policy, was having premarital sex and got pregnant before marriage back in 1988, according to the NY Times:
"The Palins eloped on Aug. 29, 1988, and their first son, Track, was born eight months later ..."
See:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/02/us/politics/02palin.html?_r=1&pagewanted=2&hp&oref=slogin“Abstinence only, for thee and not for me.”
But she attends fundamentalist Churches and assures everybody else that she is pro-abstinence only (now, but for herself in 1988).
The hypocrisy boggles the mind.
Posted at September 2, 2008 11:48 AM in response to Best evidence EVER - I mean EVER that abstinence only education doesn't work
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Hypocrisy Update:
Forget the daughter.
Governor Palin herself, who supports “abstinence only” as government policy, was having premarital sex and got pregnant before marriage back in 1988, according to the NY Times:
"The Palins eloped on Aug. 29, 1988, and their first son, Track, was born eight months later ..."
See:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/02/us/politics/02palin.html?_r=1&pagewanted=2&hp&oref=slogin
“Abstinence only, for thee and not for me.”
But she attends fundamentalist Churches and assures everybody else that she is pro-abstinence only (now, but not for herself in 1988).
The hypocrisy boggles the mind.
Posted at September 2, 2008 11:41 AM in response to Eagleton Revisited
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McCain's entire career is based on his adultry:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-1024927/The-wife-John-McCain-callously-left-behind.html
Okay. I get it. Edwards, who is not in office and was already no longer running for anything, has reached the end of his political career.
But John McCain, who is in office and is running for something, well, his entire career has been based on his adultry. Had affair with younger/prettier/richer Cindy while still married to Carol (who had stood by him when he was POW, raised the kids, was in accident and disfigured and had gained weight).
Feh.
Posted at August 8, 2008 4:49 PM in response to Edwards' Affair Open Thread



