Should Democracies Unite?
OK. We’re going to try something different here at America Abroad. Aside from our regular commentary on current events (which we hope will continue at the brisk pace of the last few weeks) we’re going to discuss — debate, I suspect — a big idea, one that transcends the politics and politicians of the moment. It’s the idea of forging a new compact — a concert really — among the world’s liberal democracies to supplement or even supplant other major international organizations, like the United Nations and NATO.
This is an idea some of us at America Abroad have been pushing for quite a while. We don’t agree on the details, and one purpose of this discussion is to see whether those who think this is a good idea can develop a common view of what is involved as well as on how to move forward. But not everyone agrees this is such a good idea — and that includes some of America Abroad regulars, a variety of our regular readers, and many others. We want them to participate as well.
In the next few days, a number of us will post our argument in favor of this idea. Anne-Marie Slaughter and John Ikenberry will elaborate on their proposal to create a Concert of Democracies, which they spelled out on their final report of the Princeton Project on National Security. Tod Lindberg of Policy Review and the Hoover Institution will write about his proposal to negotiate a Treaty on the Democratic Peace. And Jim Lindsay and I will elaborate on our arguments for why we think the democracies should unite, which we spell out in the lead article of the next issue of The American Interest.
But you won’t just see advocates of this idea. You will also get to read what skeptics have to say. Joining us as well for the discussion are James Traub, a contributing writer for the New York Times Magazine and author of the terrific new book, The Best Intentions: Kofi Annan and the UN in the Era of American World Power; Charles Kupchan, of the Council on Foreign Relations and Georgetown University, and Suzanne Nossel, of the Security and Peace Initiative and democracyarsenal.org.
We are looking forward to a good discussion here, and very much hope you will join in.


Comments (63)
You'll have to start by convincing me why we shouldn't or can't reform the U.N. to serve this function.
That metaphor of a concert is a rather curious one as well. The very fractious nature of representative bodies and the outsize egos who serve as the representatives seems antithetical to the cooperative activity that is fundamental to the notion of acting in concert.
Bo Raxo
--
"Bother," said Pooh as Satan pointed out the small print.
December 10, 2006 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
That would be a great idea if that organization didn't already exist. Really, it would be. At least Francis Fukuyama acknowledges that the group exists and proposes strengthening it; it would be nice if AA did so as well.
December 10, 2006 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
sigh, dmatt-- Ivo and the others know that!! They mention it in every post or article on the union/ concert of democracies. They will surely do so again once this debate starts. The point is that the existing organization is only a union of democracies in name only, most of the members are not democratic. this new organization would have stricter admission criteria and a clearer role. You may disagree with the idea but stop trying to imply that its advocates are somehow not as informed or smart as you are.
December 10, 2006 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like the idea insofar as it pushes member countries to adhere to some of the core concepts of liberal democracy. Thus, it would provide a forum for criticizing and shaming the wayward democracy that begins jailing the occasional journalist or executing minors. In the US, it seems like the drift away from democratic principles is not just a matter of conservative politics. In many cases, American citizens are simply ignorant of what "freedom" within a liberal democracy actually means. Anything that can re-focus people on what it means to be free would be a good thing...
It would also be of obvious value in terms of shaping the democratic response to terrorism. Is it okay to imprison suspects without trial? Is it okay to torture? Is it okay to snatch terrorism suspects off the streets of countries like Pakistan (where they may be roaming free)? How do you deal with the "worst of the worst" when they are captured? At what point does another nation's threat require a military response? How do you deal with a country's passive tolerance of terrorists in its midst?
I tend to agree that the problem with reforming the UN is that member states are free to resist that reform. The US and its democratic allies can cajole and persuade UN members, but ultimately, reform is a matter of votes. And too many nations will resist any kind of real reform.
Still, the notion of ditching the Security Counsel strikes me as dangerous. For all its ineffectiveness, the Security Counsel forces the major powers to take and advocate for a public position on each conflict. If this goes away, the dealings of the great powers move to the diplomatic back channels, away from the public. This makes me nervous.
December 10, 2006 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is a democracy? Or, if you prefer, what is a liberal democracy? Isn't that the first question that would have to be decided? If so, I suspect our country, the USA, would fail to qualify for admission.
My definition of a democracy includes the one man one vote policy, applied to all elections. And, we certainly don't have that with either the US Senate or the Presidency.
Then I would add that legislative districts would have to be set without regard for creating "safe" seats for anyone. We fail that test too.
Finally, I would require that all of the voting systems in use be transparent, with recounts possible, with assurances that the recounts would have a chance of being accurate, and voting qualifications be very liberal - if you are a citizen you get to vote. We even fail this test.
Perhaps we should first try to reform our own democracy before working on creating an exclusive club for democracies.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 10, 2006 6:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder who proofread the final report of the Princeton Project. Stephen Colbert?
On page 61, Appendix A, you've got "The Charter."
Article 4 says the Parties should protect their citizens from "deliberative starvation."
In English, I believe, this would refer not to "deliberate/intentional starvation" but, rather, to what might happen to a Congressman engaged in a filibuster that takes so long he forgets to feed himself.
Now I worry about starving Congressmen as much as the next person but do their eating needs deserve the attention of Article 4 of The Charter?
December 10, 2006 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not all that much into the details of foreign policy. My main concern is that we stop making stuff up about other countries and then bombing the crap out of them.
But this sounds like an interesting discussion, so I'll tune in.
PS, "concert" really is a terrible word...
Dissent Protects Democracy.
December 10, 2006 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ivo
In all likelihood this idea will be discussed in the political or policy realm. I would suggest that some consideration be given to it in the non-govermental realm. Day in day out corporations are crossing borders. Ownership and residency of corporations unites many countries even now. For those who do not read the business pages it is one of the hidden realities of our times. There is a growing unity, even now.
There are forces of growing unity and stability. They largely reside in boardrooms and traders' floors. The growing powers of China, India, Russia and others do not seem sure if they will throw in there lot fully on this side. Then are the areas that seem to be outside the consensus,resented and wish to replace it. I hope there will be some consideration than just political organization and military efforts.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 10, 2006 7:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
while I haven't read all the associated documents, I once decided that the "Iraq sanctions" were effectively a "gang rape on Iraq" because they were endorsed, collectively, by the powerful.
I mention this viewpoint because, essentially, you seem to propose that an oligarchy of democracies is "assumed beneign" because of the underlying philosophical agreement.
War reparations and oil, however, certainly must have biased the thinking of "the democracies" with regards to the first Iraq War.
And, if global warming becomes a reality, and resources get tight, I think we'll see just how beneign the "strongest democracies" are and we'll see if we get war or peace-- I think the Pentagon predicts a lot of war.
In general, the only definition I have for democracy is "the orderly transfer of wealth from generation to generation" and that contrasts to passing on wealth based soley on genetic lineage.
Anyway, in my opinion, if resources get tight, allocating them (passing around wealth) becomes more difficult and I think that the UN becomes even more important because they'll force nations to "soul search" and participate in a debate about ethics and morality.
Your proposal, on the surface, seems like it will create an "arian race of nations" where the test "to get in" is saying "I'm a democracy."
I emphasize this point because, even in America, I found out that the local Catholic church wasn't a democracy: it continues to look down on women, refuses to recognize the sacrament of marraige on same-sex couples, etc...
As MLK said: "I've seen the promised land, but I may not get there with you."
Democracy is still a dream so it can't be a litmus test.
December 10, 2006 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
As an American citizen, I would like my Constitution returned to me. It has been stolen. When it is returned to me, in unbroken condition, then we can discuss this wonderful, pie in the sky stuff.
Thanks.
December 10, 2006 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ivo,
As one of the regulars who has frequently called for a diversification of views expressed at America Abroad, I applaud the decision to invite critical comment on an important issue from experienced professionals outside the cast of AA regulars; and I appreciate the effort, coordination and generosity with time that this new initiative will require. I hope to see an even more diverse group participate in discussions of future questions, but this is an excellent first step in my humble opinion.
Since I have already written a few lengthy critical comments, here at TPM Cafe and America Abroad, on the concert of liberal democracies proposal, I won't do much more at this point than cite my most recent comment. The heart of my concern was expressed in this passage:
My own view is that the concert of democracies proposal is inherently divisive, and that despite the best intentions of its backers will almost certainly lead to a new Cold War of sorts among incresingly competing and polarized power blocs.
I believe we are now at a profoundly important crisis point in modern global history, and that the decisions we (that's the global "we", not just the American "we") make now, and the imagination we bring to these decisions, will do much to determine whether we are able to establish a stable global peace, or must face another century of wretched war and slaughter alleviated only by cool-down periods characterized by universal fear of annihilation. The concert of democracies proposal strikes me as a retrenchment toward a parochial and polarizing approach to the international situation. I believe a more expansive global vision of international governance and order-building is called for at this historic moment.
December 10, 2006 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
You may disagree with the idea but stop trying to imply that its advocates are somehow not as informed or smart as you are.
well, why believe its advocates since things in this world are not black and white? yes, women work but now schools must raise their kids instead, etc...
the opinions of think tanks are a dime-a-dozen and, if you ask me, i'd say "it's hard to argue that humans ever made progress."
for example, if you love the environment, it's being sacked by humans as we speak, etc... and theories won't bring it back.
specifically, Kyoto was a great idea but recent ny times reporting demonstrated that nobody lived up to their promises-- words are cheaper than action.
as they say, dieting doesn't work because dieting isn't the problem!
-M
December 10, 2006 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have been biting my virtual tongue for once and waiting for the participants to weigh in before commenting.
But the heart of your concern is also at the base of mine.
Initial reaction:
Are they nuts? Let's exacerbate international tensions and paranoia by forming a new bigboys club with guns.
Does Venezuela get invited to join? How about the Palestians?
This "Concert of......." is an emerging policy theme of interest.
December 10, 2006 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Concert of democracies" sounds ominous.
A new institution would face such dilemmas like: when a democracy is no more "liberal"? When the leadership is seized by the top bussiness tycoon of the country with legislative agenda having two chief goal: erasing the criminal liability of that tycoon and making his monopolies secure (Thailand, Italy)? When Supreme Court decides elections in variance with normal reading of the law (USA, Pakistan)? When journalists are shot and/or subjected to indefinite detention (Russia, USA again)? When a popularly elected leader extols virtues of decidedly unelected leader (Venezuela)? When a goverment support military coups in other countries?
Moreover, in the context of totally intemperate anti-multilateral rhetoric that is currently employed by the Administration (heaping invectives on UN, on European allies) and other excesses (like an unprovoked and very destructive war), "concert" sounds like the idea that we indeed should dictate other democracies what they should do, except that we should do it competently, like the unprovoked war that should be waged competently.
In actuality, this is probably not the true danger of the proposal. I am more afraid of the following dynamic: more often than not, committees are formed not to spur needed actions, but to delay them by making false appearances of activity. Iraq Study Group, for all earnestness of participants, seems to belong in this category. I see a dire need of new ideas and new goals, and scant need for new institutions.
Environment: we sabotaged Kioto and then, bwahaha, nobody took it seriously. So we gaze at our navels and moan "O no! not a gasoline tax! Republicans will clobber us as soon as we utter these baneful words; perpahs we could instead run a few car on fats that were just outlawed in NYC for human consumption". There is an entire cascade of issues here that indeed liberal democracies should care about, and should exercise some global leadership, but we do not show neither care nor leadership.
Genocide: we really have to figure out if we do give a damn. As it is, we exhibit neither care nor leadership.
Aids, population growth and reproductive freedom: our current chief priority is to decrease condom use, and number two, prevent abortions. (Profit of drug companies are also high on the list of priorities.)
Human rights, torture, freedom of expression: again, do we care? Do we care to give good example?
Meta-question: is there an issue of international importance which requires "concerted action" and on which we, in USA, should not make a total policy change (either a reversal, or having a policy where at the moment, de facto, we have none).
December 10, 2006 10:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Evidently it's all a nonsense: Social Scientizers and Faculty Club experts on what we mere democrats -- that very endangered species of ours! -- actually believe in, are now to supersede actual voters, and now it's to be only a meta-democracy after all in the USA, everything done only the way the People _would_ have ruled themselves, had they been as wise and virtuous and percipient as they oughta have been.
This is spinach and meta-spinach and para-spinach and epi-spinanch and hyper-spinach and hypo-spinach and (Greek fails me!) there is no health whatsoever in it for any faithful Jefferson-Jacksonian donkey.
"Human rights, torture, freedom of expression: again, do we care? Do we care to give good example?"
By and large, NO, "we" don't care. Only our prescriptive betters, the Faculty Club or Rancho Crawford "us" really CARE about tedious exotic things like that. So why don't "we" just leave it to them, guys? Why bother to get indignant about some mere incidental Ivo Daalder who is only kindly dictating "our" foreign policy _de haut en bas_ for "us" who find policy discussions tedious. the poor man is only trying to help, after all!
To rise above petty resentment! To beg pardon of God!!
_Kyrie eleison, Christe eleison, Kyrie eleison_!
Yuck.
December 10, 2006 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
And Jim Lindsay and I will elaborate on our arguments for why we think the democracies should unite...
And what? Pick on China? You better let the folks at Goldman Sachs know what you're up to.
December 10, 2006 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea has intuitive appeal, but in the end its an academic daydream.
Even setting aside any possible institutional design problems, one has to wonder what purpose it would serve. Would it help ensure security? The UN does that. Would it coordinate military use? NATO. Would it encourage free trade? EU, WTO, etc. Would it promote democracy? Through what means exactly?
And then we come back to the institutional issues: Would it operate on a majority vote system? Would its decisions be binding on its members? The US won't go for that. Who would be allowed membership? Only those countries that have 1/1 scores on Freedom House? What about the 2/2's? What about the countries that oscillate in an out of democracy?
So, not only is the idea unworkable and unrealistic, it's unnecessary. But if you all want to keep poking it, hoping it'll wake up, well, feel free.
December 11, 2006 12:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
This idea could probably have thrived in the international climate of the 1990s. Maybe we should be relieved it didn't.
My concerns are the same as Dan K's, that such institutions divide more than they contribute to environmental or military security; but in addition I would like to add that after the diplomatic and international events of 2002-2003, I can't see this vision come true.
I perceive a lacking foundation in terms of both 1/ trust and 2/ (sufficiently strong) common interests among the prospective members who would fear that since America has abdicated from the position as leader of the free (democratic) world, but has not yet internalized that, she would obstruct as much as in the United Nations unless the organization's other members rubber-stamped American whims.
/Tuomas
December 11, 2006 1:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, but I have to put another comment up here.
Look, I appreciate your appreciation of the democratic peace. It's an interesting and useful fact of the world. Much can be made of it.
What I don't get is exactly why you think the democratic peace would be better if it was formally institutionalized. And I'm not going to dig through your report to figure out why.
So, the proposed draft of the treaty says that all ratifying states agree to not use force against each other. Great. Wonderful. If that came into place we'd know that Germany would never attack France again. And we could all feel warm in fuzzy inside, but--stop the presses!--that wasn't going to happen anyway.
You'd be codifying something that doesn't need codification. In fact, it's something that works well probably in large part due to the fact that it isn't codified.
Your idea is quasi-Marxist. Marxism held, of course, that economic production would be much more efficient and powerful if it were all planned out rather than simply being left to market forces. Your suggestion is that the democratic peace would be better off if its details were all planned out rather than left to the spontaneous generation of states. I don't see why that should be the case. Whatever mechanism gives rise to the democratic peace, it must in some way change each state's calculus regarding the utility of wars waged against other democracies. It might simply be that when two countries share core values, their surface differences cannot outweigh that which they share. And you know what? That's great. It friggin' works.
In short, why fix something that isn't broken?
But to take it one step further: As you can see in my other post, I think the idea is unworkable and unnecessary. There is good reason to think the idea is just wrong. A couple other commenters have stated that they think the organization would be divisive, even setting off a new "cold war." To echo that, I think it is likely that the institution would be divisive even within the community of democracies. Basically you'd be creating a new organization with a jurisdiction that overlaps with pre-existing institutions. So, the "Concert" wouldn't produce harmony (pun intended), but rather it would serve to highlight differences between countries by providing a secondary forum for review of UN policies (read your proposed charter)-- a forum where disagreements could be dragged out, where differences could be brought to the forefront. Probably not a good thing.
So, here's what I suggest: Call up all your Princeton buddies and the other educated idiots you got coming online this week. Tell them it isn't necessary for them to show up, because you're not going to discuss it after all. Tell them that you realize that this was an idea dreamed up in the fevered brains of armchair philosophers. Then go home and get a good night's rest, and be ready in the morning. Because when you fall off the horse, you have to get right back on it.
And you guys really fell off it this time.
December 11, 2006 1:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
The US is a country where torture and imprisonment without legal redress is legal. What "Democracy"?
Could it be that what you're really asking is "Should Western capitalist neo-colonial states unite in promoting Zionism?"
December 11, 2006 2:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
The general sentiment seems to boil down to a feeling that in the post-Bush era, the US should start off by re-learning how to play in the playgroups that already exist, rather than rushing off to form a new one at this stage.
"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone
December 11, 2006 2:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
This has not started well.
I am really quite surprised at how you have framed the fundamental question - "should democracies unite?" - because, literally, it requires a yes/no answer, when presumably a more involved analysis is what you wish to inspire.
For me, the idealistic essence of liberal democracy is freedom of choice, and the political consequence is that leaders have to persuade - unlike totalitarianism, in which dictators may compel. As a result, the question, "should democracies unite?", apart from its stylistic weakness, appears to be at odds with basic democratic principles. Because even if in your judgement democracies should unite, there's no possibility that democracies will unite unless a (solid?) majority - here and abroad - are in agreement.
Isn't the correct question therefore - "what would cause democracies to unite?" What common identities do we share? What ideals to we all hold? Which mutual values outweigh mutual differences? What can we do to reach out across cultural divides?
Btw, I'm not spitballing here. I'm currently reading "Identity and Violence" by Amartya Sen, a book that cuts to the core of this debate, and thus would appear to be essential reading to anyone seriously engaged in Princeton Project-type issues. The question is surely not "should democracies unite?", but rather, "how might democracies unite?" - because unless there's a common will to unite, we're all wasting our time.
December 11, 2006 4:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that the UN was created to be an organization of nations that could provide a forum where common problems could be aired, thus potentially solving problems before they become physical conflicts, Yes, I know that sounds like a naive, pie in the sky description.
This union of Democracies sounds more like an alliance against 'the others', than a vehicle for disparate parties to discuss and solve problems. Think, Allies & Axis, or NATO. The mission should be to keep the lines of communication open and flowing (UN), not strength in numbers (organization of Democratic states).
December 11, 2006 5:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just finished reading the executive summary of "Forging a World of Liberty Under Law", the final report of the Princeton Project on National Security.
This is possibly the most insane document I've ever read. Neoconservatism on steroids, speed, and crack.
Preemptive war, exclusionary foreign policy, alienation of nations based on OUR evaluation of their form of government, solving our energy problems with ruinous taxes instead of alternative energy sources, on and on. This has it all. All the things to avoid like the plague.
What were these high-priced idiots thinking? It goes way beyond pernicous, it's a textbook prescription for world war and descent into the abyss. Gaaaah!
Sam Thornton
December 11, 2006 6:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good analysis and sound advice, Reece. I was tempted to do another comment here, but you put it well.
The final report on The Princeton Project on National Security that Ivo references above begins with an excellent summary that spells out clearly the objectives the group are promoting and you point out a couple of its key weaknesses. I would encourage anyone who is interested in this to give it at least a once over. Use Ivo's link, above.
This is a document so sweeping in its scope and so extreme in its neoconservative radicalism that I'm willing to believe it's an elaborate hoax in some kind of PoliSci analogue of the Stanford experiment.
Thanks and best wishes.
Sam ThorntonDecember 11, 2006 6:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
There seems to be an assumption that "democracies" have something in common that makes their joining together in some fashion useful. I fail to see what this might be.
The EU exists because it serves a useful purpose: it smooths trade relations between the members and helps prevent a repeat of the conflicts that have plagued the region for hundreds of years.
All I'm hearing is another rear-guard action by the neo-liberals to salvage America's declining influence in the world. Our empire has peaked, get used to it We still act as if we can force the world to provide raw materials and markets to us on our terms. This is no longer true. Within twenty years China won't need us as a trading partner, they may chose to do so, but their internal and Asian partners will sustain their economy. After all they are currently lending us the money used to buy their stuff. This can't continue much longer.
Great Britain has adapted to being a former empire, by moving into banking and turning the country into a theme park of (imagined) English history. I'm not sure that the Grand Canyon and Disneyland can sustain us in a similar manner. We need to develop a realistic new economic model which allows us to exist with a much smaller global ecological footprint.
This means not only energy and resource efficiency, but a new model not based upon excessive consumerism and unsustainable growth.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
December 11, 2006 6:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Like others here, I wonder about the definition of "democracy." After all, many people were upset by the choices voters made in democratic elections -- say, Hamas, Hezbollah, etc.
What would be the critieria to be included in this "concert" of democracies? (By the way, the term gives me flashbacks to Metternich's Concert of Europe.) Elections? Elections whose outcome we agree with?
December 11, 2006 6:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Taking what Daniel said and going with it...
Instead of selectively replicating the UN, maybe progressives should set their sights on more realistic goal of reforming the IMF and WTO. The neocon adventures in Iraq and Afganistan have clearly demonstrated the limits of military power when it comes to influencing Muslim countries. If world finance organizations can be revamped and reformed with more progressive goals, they could create some positive change in a far more predictable way.
For example, IMF loans to third world countries have been tied to liberalization of economic policies. What if this equation was re-jiggered so that loans were conditioned on other criteria, such as school construction, human rights, infrasture like plumbing and electricity, and anti-poverty programs? Seems like a pipe dream, I know, but the Euros would certainly be on board - and the big corporations could be tempted with promises of Pakistani call centers in future decades (since Indian call centers will soon cost too much).
The infrastructure for internationally financed school construction, public works projects, and other socially-conscious improvements is already in place with organizations like USAID, the Asian Development Bank, and the World Bank. These organizations spend billions of dollars every year leading construction projects throughout the third world. Seriously, it flies under the radar, but they do amazing things. Take a glance at their webpages and you'll see all the things the US government should be doing...being done. Moreover, they provide extremely effective oversight - managing their projects in a way that ensures the work gets done regardless of corruption in the host country's government.
There's no reason 1/3 of an IMF loan can't be funnelled into World Bank or USAID-managed infrastructure improvements that do cool stuff like give people plumbing and electricity, and building schools that teach more than fundamentalist Islam. Heck, America's image is about 40% better in Indonesia right now than the rest of the Muslim world for one reason alone: the heroic efforts of the US military in Tsunami relief. That means less Islamic terrorists in Asia, which is a pretty big deal. It's really not that fancy: help people in need and they will like you. If they like you, they won't want to kill you.
Sure, it seems like a pipe dream to radically reform the IMF and WTO so they looks more like USAID. But is it? Corporations crave stability and I think a lot of CEO's would see the value in buidling schools for Muslim girls or solving draught problems in Palestine. The Euros would be on board. Even the more liberal neocons (Friedman, Zakaria, etc) would get excited. Most importantly, you're not creating anything new, and unlike the UN, these organizations are distinctly Western and therefore receptive to a sustained political push from the left.
We now know that "leveraging" US military power doesn't work. What's left? Leveraging the economic power of the West through globalization. Figure out how to take the awesome power of capitalism and use it in a positive way, whether it involves influencing Muslim countries or leading a global initiative to battle greenhouse gases. A major challenge, to be sure, but no more ambitious than a "Concert of Democracies."
December 11, 2006 6:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
What if this equation was re-jiggered so that loans were conditioned on other criteria, such as school construction and human rights?
The US is one of the largest debtor countries in the world and, because of our track record with Iraq and the war on terrorism, would we be able to take out more loans based on these criteria? For example, both the US and Israel enjoyed taking out important infrastructure, like power plants and factories, to cripple their "supposed enemy." Is this behavior, which kills civilians AND military lackies, humane?
And, of course, American corporations love sweat shops and forgetting about environmental regulation to make a buck. Is this humane?
December 11, 2006 7:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Funny, noblesseoblige. Missed that one. BTW, do you think we're being pranked with this, or is it on the level?
Sam Thornton
December 11, 2006 7:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
when I was a church the other day, I looked at the organ and thought that churches were like organ pipes that, when played together, made nice music. maybe that is a metaphore for a "concert of democracy."
December 11, 2006 7:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you're absolutely correct about the metaphor. The problem is, the tunes they're playing all seem to be from the Götterdämmerung.
When you get a chance, give the key document for this modest proposal a once over. Ivo supplied the link, above.
Sam ThorntonDecember 11, 2006 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, you can always fall back on cynicism and say there's nothing that can be done. Of course, the type of reform I'm talking about would require real political will. It's not going to just happen. If Democrats take the White House in '08, however, it may be the best opportunity in decades to make something happen.
Let's take a small re-world example to illustrate what I'm saying:
USAID is building 50 schools and 15 health clinics in earthquake-affected Southern Pakistan at a pricetag of $120 million. It is also building 28 schools in Jordan, for $50 million. Now, imagine if they were building 50 schools in Northern Pakistan, where the Taliban has recently established a "mini-state," according to the NY Times. This is a region of the world where the only way to teach your kid to read is to send him to a Saudi-funded madrassa. What if it was US policy to compete with the madrassas? What if, for every Saudi madrassa built, it was US policy to build five Western-style schools? But instead of trumpeting this policy to the world as a "class of civilizations," we simply did it because it makes sense. Instead of sending Karen Hughes to yack about how great America is, a Democratic president could put our money where our mouth is.
The reality is that a lot of the infrastructure taken out in Lebanon was built with USAID money. And the best way to start re-gaining the trust of the Lebanese people is to rebuild it. Or...you can just give up. But here's the reality: people are people everywhere. If you help them, they really will like you. Do Indonesians know about America's foreign policy? Yes. Do they like it? I doubt it. But they still like us, because we helped in the Tsunami.
We could erase a lot of bad feelings awfully fast if we put our money where our mouth is and changed people's lives. It wouldn't take as much money as you might think...
December 11, 2006 7:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think the problem is with the definition of the term "democracy". The question is whether we're analyzing the problem correctly.
The reality is, democracies will "unite" when both sides recognize the benefits from doing so. But they won't unite simply because they are democracies. Nor should they. If one democracy acts "badly", this should provoke criticism from other democracies, not unity.
So this is my point - let's look at what will unite democracies. Not whether democracies should unite. Conceptually, I see essential problems - both in principle and practice - with the latter.
December 11, 2006 7:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
A concert of democracies is certainly preferable to two right-wing traditions: (1) overthrow democracies and bring in dictators like Pinochet (or try to, with the Contras) in the name of freedom and, indeed, deride human rights as often as possible; (2) ignore allied democracies or deride them as, well, French, when it suits such policy. In other words, let's live without Jeanne Kirkpatrick and her heirs in the Bushies.
But, other than that, I have trouble envisioning what's meant. It sounds like another one of those grand scheme for a world order that slips away as soon as one tries to articulate it. Is it a replacement for Nato? for the UN? Does it run counter to seeking commerce, cooperation, and negotiation with certain rather undemocratic places, such as in the Middle East?
I worry it's trying too hard again to play empire builder, setting up yet another opposition between, as MattY puts it on his site, hegemonism and isolationism, only this time the hegemony is supposed to include Europe. As he puts it there, business as usual under liberals was a perfectly fine alterantive to both, which he defines as "a policy of global engagement based on the attempt to create and sustain a liberal world order." Why do we keep complicating this, other than to play Washington games?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 11, 2006 8:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Corvid
Good point, though I doubt a lot of readers will take it seriously, which is too bad.
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But consider this: Jimmy Carter was interviewed on NPR (I think on Fresh Air, but I could be mistaken) just before the 2004 elections. He was asked whether his highly respected vote-monitoring operation would ever consider monitoring US elections.
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He said no, and I expected him to go on to say something to the effect that we have such a mature democracy that any such effort would be unnecessary. But what he actually said was that the US doesn't come anywhere near meeting even the most basic criteria for free and fair elections, criteria that Third World nations routinely meet. These include equal access to media for all candidates, countable balloting and an absence of vote rigging--gerrymandering being one notorious form of such.
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Having said this, I think a union of democracies might be useful if its first and foremost duty is a cross-national critique of democratic processes. Our system may now be so far gone because we are completely sealed off from any kind of critical scrutiny by others who could, at least potentially, shame us into doing better.
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Absent such an effort, however, I'd be wary that US membership in such an organization would somehow put an international imprimatur on our "democracy."
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I understand that a discussion of American democracy itself probably was not Ivo Daalder's intention here, but I do hope others pick up on this particular thread. It is important.
December 11, 2006 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good questions, John. After reading the report to which Ivo provides a link, I began doing a little digging regarding the provenance of this proposal.
The proposal is a product of the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs (WWS) at Princeton which, apart from funding from the Robertson Trust (now under challenge by the Robertson family), has routinely received additional funding from such right wing charities as the The Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation, the Scaife Foundation, the Henry Luce Foundation, and the John M. Olin Foundation, the same great folks who bring us organizations like AEI and The New American Century.
There are also numerous links between WWS academics and PNAC, including some individuals Ivo says are involved in promoting the "Princeton Project on National Security" and who will be surfacing here.
What appears to be going on is that the backers of those we refer to as NeoCons have hedged their bets by implanting a corps of like-minded individuals in the Democratic Party, masquerading under the guise of the "Progressive" label.
I look forward to their appearance here. I'm going to be extremely interested in their responses when challenged on their facts.
Sam ThorntonDecember 11, 2006 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
The idea is a good one. As the Princeton Report stated, the idea of a new Democratic Concert would be to provide an alternative to the United Nations (which may be facing insolvency) and, perhaps more importantly, convince borderline Democracies (think Russia) that it would be in their best interest to be a part of it.
The rub, though, is that any new Democratic alliance MUST be willing to enforce its decrees. The United Nations, for all practical purposes, has become an "armchair general" with regard to enforcement. It neither has the will nor the resources to enforce the very resolutions that it passes.
If the new 'alliance' is not willing to walk the walk, then the idea should be shelved immediately. If, on the other hand, substantive action is taken, and if its proclamations are enforced, then it may be an extraordinarily important part of 21st Century politics.
December 11, 2006 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Seems like you could divide ways of organizing a concert into 2 general styles:
1 Membership is determined by the nature of the state, it's structure, how similar that is to some ideal model. Ie, join up all the Western-style democracies.
2 Membership is determined by stated commitment to a core set of values, as measured by willingness to implement a specific set of group-led joint activities. Ie, anyone can join who obeys the rules and signs onto the vision.
#1 gives you a clearer sense of who the members will be to start and likelihood of deep cohesion.
But it leaves out long-term many players, and gives you less visibility in many regions.
It tends to serve as less of a bridging function for nations who are not already ideal.
#2 leaves you with a much more fluid membership, various parties might join or leave, and you might be in bed with people you don't really like.
But, if a truly rule-based membership, where compliance with the agreed upon joint actions of the day is mandatory and transparent, it gives nations in transition a simple, approachable path to evolution and integration.
What those rules are is the key, and how fast they grow in scope and depth.
Getting that growth just right, representing enough morality and justice to be meaningful, yet not so ideal as to leave too many nations out, is what's key.
The UN is yet a third style, which in being all-inclusive and very ideal-oriented, is not as effective as it would like.
Both #1 and #2 could be real innovations, if applied to hard issues such as security and transformation of regions.
December 11, 2006 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first, and basically only, thought that comes to mind is "Why?" I don't understand why you would need a new, more limited, multilateral organization when so many others exist. Would it be for conflict resolution? Nonproliferation enforcement? Counter-terrorism? Nation-building? Then why limit it only to democracies, as other nations may not only have an interest in the outcome, they may actually be able to help bring about that outcome.
I think economic integration is going to do more to bring about a "concert" of interests among nations, regardless of their political system. And, because wars, proliferation, and terrorist disruptions can all upset the international markets, I think that economic integration will be a great source of political cooperation in resolving security issues. Not all, certainly, but many. I'd agree with most of the comments about how difficult it would be to define and organize this body, but I can't even get past the first thought of why you would want to establish this body at all.
December 11, 2006 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Humans are complicated things and the future holds unpredictable complexities, so we can't predict from principles what will follow. Instead we use history.
History argues that unions (of organisms or peoples) occur in response to challenges. Absent challenges the tendency is fragmentation to parochial interests.
Businesses don't merge for fun, but to dominate the competition (or absorb it). America was not a unification but a fragmentation of the British Empire. Britain's attempts to continue dominating it caused local unity (temporary and fractious).
The US rewrote its Contitution in the context of British competition. Europe unified to compete with the US. NATO was formed for defense against the Soviet Bloc. Economic cooperation organizations are formed to compete against other sectors.
Only a planet-felt challenge would unify the whole planet. Short of that unity is for the purpose of achieving dominance. And that dominance invites competition. A concert of democracies inherently involves only some nations, so its purpose must be competition or defense against the non-members.
We could act in concert if we wanted to. We don't, and won't. That we should (either) is beside the point. Even the shared challenge of resource exhaustion and climate change will not unify the planet or even the democracies (whichever they are). Likely only future competition between Earth and off-world economies will unify the planet, if we get that far (which I do expect).
December 11, 2006 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bo, you wrote:
"You'll have to start by convincing me why we shouldn't or can't reform the U.N. to serve this function"
I think the answer is that so many nations in the U.N. are the problem. The U.N. is like a police force that lets the Bloods and Crips make policy decisions.
Here are the reasons that a concert of democracies is needed:
Burundi
Democratic People's Republic of Korea
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Haiti
Iran
Iraq
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Liberia
Myanmar
Pakistan
Rwanda
Saudi Arabia
Sierra Leone
Somalia
Sudan
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Uganda
Uzbekistan
Zimbabwe
All member states, and these are only the worst ones. There are dozens of nations like China that don't have the moral authority or respect for human rights that democracies have. This list of countries is a list of problems that an organization like the U.N. should be trying to fix with regime change, not give votes to.
December 11, 2006 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
"What if this equation was re-jiggered so that loans were conditioned on other criteria, such as school construction, human rights, infrasture like plumbing and electricity, and anti-poverty programs?"
That's what the Millenium Challenge Accounts are designed to do. I think it is a brilliant idea.
December 11, 2006 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
We have learned a few things about democracies by now.
1) Democracies don't attack democracies.
2) In places where there are free elections and a free press there has never been a famine.
3) Totalitarian regimes gave birth to terrorism.
If the entire world had liberal democracies and free markets, planet earth would be much improved. If Totalitarianism is allowed to continue, i.e. the second coming of the caliphate, we may be extinct as a species by the next century.
A concert of democracies doesn't have to use force to do good. The U.N. doesn't use force and it is comprised of dozens of malevlonet regimes. Imagine a U.N. that not only acted on principle, but had the power to enforce those principles?
It sounds great to me.
December 11, 2006 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lacking a consensus definition of democracies let's skip #1, or we will have to consider Germany's democratic election of Hitler and our eagerness (by some) to attack Iran.
Since a free press and free elections are hard to maintain in some poor areas the negative correlation with famine is not valid. It could easily be the reverse direction: When there is no famine a free press and free elections are possible.
Democracies bred the Red Brigades and our own troublemakers. Find me a terrorist that arose in Soviet Russia. Mainly it seems correlated with weak governance, not so much a particular kind of government.
December 11, 2006 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tom,
Good points, all.
I have to disagree, however.
I will take your counter points one by one.
1- "Lacking a consensus definition of democracies let's skip #1"
Many books and article have tackled the question of defining democracies to see if this maxim is true. I think if you take a look at some of these you will be swayed. Even with a very liberal definition of democracy, the maxim is overwhelmingly true with few exceptions.
2-"When there is no famine a free press and free elections are possible."
Amartya Sen figured this out, not me. If you read his work, I think you will be swayed again. Famine exists, then democracy and free press emerge and famine never exists there again.
Those freedoms are like an innoculation. For example, there have been famines in Somalia on and off for decades. If a liberal democracy took root in that country, they would never again have a famine.
3- "Mainly it seems correlated with weak governance"
I stand corrected. Failed states also give rise to terrorism. I was trying to make a point about the modern world, not all of history. My point was essentially that non-democracies (in the Middle East, Central and South East Asia, North and East Africa) are oppressive, and oppressive power gives rise to terror groups. Nasser gave birth to al Qaeda when he hung Qutb, for example.
December 11, 2006 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I want to believe #1 and #2, and accept your assurances for now.
True that the elite-ruled Arab states have weak democratic foundations and seem to yield up terrorism in disproportionate amounts. But let's be careful with this definition, too. Were the Afghan mujihadeen fighting the Soviets terrorists? Or the Contras? They were serving our purposes but from the outside it's hard to find a difference between them and Hezbollah, which is supported by a popular government, and is making life miserable for a foreign occupier (their perception of Israel).
If there was an area-spanning Caliphate, what would be the purpose or target of terrorism?
Don't get me wrong--my personal feeling is that Islam is possibly stupider than other religions, but I see plenty of goofy radicalism in Indian Hindus. Too bad they exist, but some belief or other seems always to be in play, so people fight.
My foreign policy would be based on a simple premise--make friends, not enemies. This would require suspending judgement of other systems. I was in favor of detente with Russia, and saw little benefit in attempting to bankrupt the Soviet Union. That was happening, anyway.
I feel we do good by being good, not the reverse. We are not wiser than other countries, and only know ourselves (as much as possible); we do not know others as well. Thus we can only intervene in the crudest way. Better to let people be, accept that people fight, accept that there are always (local) injustices, and be an example of multiculturalism yielding political unity.
December 11, 2006 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just another comment on #1. GHaines correctly points out that it is a widely accepted maxim of political science that democracies don't attack other democracies, true. However, it is also a widely accepted tenet of political science that democratizing nations are more likely to attack than any other type of nation.
While the end (democratic countries) is good (no attacks), the path to get there is not without its problems.
December 11, 2006 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just another comment on #1. GHaines correctly points out that it is a widely accepted maxim of political science that democracies don't attack other democracies, true. However, it is also a widely accepted tenet of political science that democratizing nations are more likely to attack than any other type of nation.
While the end (democratic countries) is good (no attacks), the path to get there is not without its problems.
December 11, 2006 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Viviane,
I agree with you.
I remember reading a paper about how new democracies are the most violent nations in history.
Citizens in mature democracies have an outlet for their voice.
Citizens in a dictatorship are too isolated and afraid to act out.
Citizens in a fledgling democracy do not get their needs met effectively enough yet, but they have no fear of government repression.
December 11, 2006 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why is Haiti on the list? I know that we engineered a coup over there several years ago, but now that had some decent elections etc. Kyrgyzstan, Liberia and Sierra Leone also seem to be getting bum rap here.
December 11, 2006 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
IRA and RAF seem to me to have thrived in democracies.
ETA has continued with terrorrism for decades after Spain again became a democracy.
These three allegedly known factoids seem either wrong or hyper-selective to my eyes.
December 12, 2006 2:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
They do seem to seem to be working well. Chalk one up for AEI and one for Bush for making it happen.
Sam ThorntonDecember 12, 2006 7:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
JM,
I agree that there are exceptions to the rule, but I still feel that terrorism is a response to oppression.
I don't know too much about ETA, but I think the IRA is an instructive case. The Irish felt (some still do) that they were a colony of the English. They felt oppressed by an outsider. If the Irish felt included in the British democracy, the IRA would cease to exist.
I would not say that IRA existed in a democracy, I would say that they existed because the Irish people were outside a democracy.
According to some people, America wasn't a true democracy until women won the right to vote.
That is a debate about oligarchy vs. democracy, which is probably off-topic, but I think it is interesting.
December 12, 2006 7:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ivo
Doesn't OPEC have to be dealt with almost more than any other issue? The price of oil is not high enough to throw users into finding alternatives but it is high enough to allow producers to avoid domestic political and economic reforms and also to fund mischief around the globe.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 12, 2006 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hi Piotr,
I think those countries deserve a bum rap in this discussion. If Ivo's idea of an expanded NATO is supposed to solve the problem of "bad actors" being on the inside (the current situation in the U.N.) those countries would qualify as part of the problem, not part of the solution.
There are many sources you can look at to find out about these countries. Freedomhouse is a great one to start with.
Haiti is rated "not free." They scored a rock-bottom 7 out of 7 on the political rights and a near the bottom 6 out of 7 on civil liberites.
Here's what freedomhouse says about Haiti:
"Haiti has the lowest life expectancy and highest infant mortality rates in the Western Hemisphere. Haiti's people are among the poorest in the Western Hemisphere and have the lowest levels of human development, including a literacy rate below 50 percent. In the view of many foreign and local observers, Haiti today represents the closest example of a failed state in the Western Hemisphere."
"Citizens of Haiti cannot change their government democratically. Credible charges of irregularities and fraud have beset every election since 1990."
Kyrgyzstan- they just had a revolution there, and they lived under autocratic regimes for most of the 20th century. They just climbed out of the "Not Free" category into "Partly Free" according to Freedomhouse. Since Freedomhouse adjusted their rank, the new government is in danger of being toppled again.
Here's a quote from the freedomhouse report:
"Citizens of Kyrgyzstan cannot change their government democratically. International election observers described the 2000 parliamentary and presidential elections and 2005 parliamentary elections as neither free nor competitive."
Sierra Leone while also improved from "Not Free" to "Partly Free" is far from being a potential agent for positive change around the globe. They have come back from the Hobbesian brink, but that's as far as I'd go with the praise.
Here's a quote from the Freedomhouse report:
"The Brussels-based International Crisis Group (ICG) said in December 2004 that Sierra Leone and Liberia risked sliding back into conflict if the international community did not stay committed-for the next 15 to 25 years-to a fresh approach to restore security and civil liberties."
Liberia is another state that just recently stopped being a complete disaster.
Freedomhouse said:
"Societal ethnic discrimination is rife. Ethnic groups fought one another during the civil war. Tensions exist between the Krahn, Gio, Mano, and Mandingo ethnic groups."
"Police, mainly at checkpoints, occasionally extort money and goods from citizens."
"Many women continue to suffer from physical abuse and traditional societal discrimination, despite constitutionally guaranteed equality. During the civil war, women and girls were often abducted as laborers and sex slaves, while others joined rebel groups or militias to protect themselves."
Both Liberia and Sierra Leone have massive amounts of teenaged children that fought in the civil wars as 8, 9, 10 year olds. Many have been on both sides of sexual and other physical abuses, and these former child soldiers and prostitutes will make up the leaders and workers of their respective countries in the next decade.
The point is that these countries are the kinds of places that make up the U.N., and that is a disaster. Ivo's idea of a Concert of Democracies is much wiser in my opinion.
December 12, 2006 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Reece,
I think the point would be to avoid the obstacles that nations like China create for U.N. action.
The U.N. is failing in the Sudan right now mainly because China and Russia are putting their own interests above those of the people being slaughtered.
Russia is profiting off of the genocide because they are selling arms to the people pulling the trigger. China wants to maintain their relationship because of the oil they get from the Sudanese, but they don't know what a new regime might do for them.
The Concert of Democracies would be free of those types of restrictions to a much larger degree.
Obviously no nation is perfect, and no alliance is without flaws, but you can see how non-democratic nations can clog the pipelines of positive change.
December 12, 2006 7:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
GHaines,
You make a good case that the presence of basket case countries in the UN limits the effectiveness and wisdom of that body. However, that is no argument in itself for a Concert of Democracies. There are a number of countries that have questionable democratic credentials, but which are well-organized internally and conduct their state affairs in a coherent, rational non-basket-case manner.
For example, given the degenerative condition of the global nuclear nonproliferation regime, now would be an excellent time for the US, Russia, China, England and France to announce a collective decision to dismantle a certain portion of their nuclear arsenals and cancel some ongoing nuclear projects. This could be accompanied by an invitation to other nuclear states, and states with nuclear programs, to reciprocate in various ways.
Similar cooperative initiatives should be undertaken in the areas of reductions in energy use, global resource management, environmental improvement targets, global poverty alleviation etc. Institutions and coalitions should grow out of treaties and compacts.
What is needed at the present time is decisive action by a coalition of mature, powerful states that generates momentum, exerts pressure and invites broader cooperation. Given the global nature of the problems, the coalitions needs to be global as well, and not limited to liberal democratic states.
December 12, 2006 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
What kind of problem is Haiti part of? Did Haiti engineered a coup by murderous thugs in USA, or vice versa? Almost all democratic, albeit small and rather poor countries of the region protested, but who cared? Surely, we did not.
Then you list a number of facts with common denominator: many countries in UN are desperatedly poor, so we need a separare organization for prosperous countries. And, preferably, not so small.
December 12, 2006 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Piotr,
You said:
"many countries in UN are desperatedly poor"
If you look at the list, ask yourself why are these countries poor? Overwhelmingly it is because of their own government's mismanagement. That is the whole point. There is no reason for Uzbekistan to be as poor as they are.
If they were a liberal, free market, constitutional democracy, they could be the a leader in Central Asia, but they aren't.
December 13, 2006 9:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I really prefer Haiti as an example over Uzbekistan. It so happens that Haiti suffered for decades under dictatorship of a strongman that USA installed. (Rather obviously, we are not overly implicated in the internal affairs of Uzbekistan.) Moreover, very recently we contributed to mayhem in Haiti by covertly supporting exiled thugs to arm and organize themselves in neighboring Dominicana, so they could invade, and then our marines expelled democratically elected president to Africa.
It was a thinly veiled attack of a democracy (USA) on another democracy (Haiti). Luckily, the coup that we supported in Venezuela failed. This is about the sum total of Bush's achievements under rubric "spreading the democracy".
Given such history, it would be good to explain what is the postulated relationship between "Concert of Democracies" and assorted democracies that are either poor, or small, or "imperfect". Current status is that is an opulent democracy attacks a poor one (say, Israel attacking Lebanon, USA ovethrowing a government in Haiti, Guatemala or Iran), it does not even count as an exception to the principle "democracies do not attack democracies". They are beneath our notice.
At the very least, it would be nice to undermine the solidarity between struggling democracies and adject dictatorships (say, South Africa and Botswana, and Zimbabwe) and nudge the evolution in the good direction.
December 13, 2006 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Piotr,
You said:
"opulent democracy attacks a poor one (say, Israel attacking Lebanon"
You bring up a few very good points here. I think these are exceptions to the rule, and bad examples of democracies, however.
Lebanon is not even close to being a democracy. Hizballah (an armed militia operating in a failed state) attacked Israel (a democracy). That case is an example of what happens when countries are allowed to remain failed states or evolve into dictatorships. Maybe if we had stuck around in Lebanon in the 80s, they could be a role model in the Middle East, not a festering wound.
Guatemala was over 50 years ago, so it bears little weight on the post-cold war world of 2006, but to answer the claim- they elected a communist government, which essentially ends the democracy. This is one of the purest examples, however, of a democracy attacking another democracy. It may be one of our biggest disgraces as a nation.
Haiti was an (still is) a failed state, so they are not simply a poor democracy. Secondly, we simply helped resolve a violent rebellion, we didn't overthrow the government-- the thousands of armed Haitians rioting in the streets did that. His election in 2000 was not a free and fair election. It was reported that Aristide’s soldiers refused to fight the rebels and may have helped them secure some towns. America actually tried to negotiate a settlement with the armed rebels to help keep Aristide in power, but the plan was rejected.
Iran-Getting rid of Mossadegh was certainly a questionable move based on faulty intelligence, but when push comes to shove, Iran was a monarchy. Mossadegh resigned and was appointed by the Shah, which is a dynamic that does not happen in democracies whether he was popularly elected or not.
You also said:
"At the very least, it would be nice to undermine the solidarity between struggling democracies and adject dictatorships"
On this point I completely agree with you. More upsetting to me than pulling someone like Aristide out is our relationships with Islam Karimov, the Saudis, etc.
December 13, 2006 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Guatemala has quite a bit of bearing on the present situation. If Arbenz was a Communist, it is news to me (he contempating sizing some lands of United Fruit Company, which is not exactly the same as Stalinism), but it would be the case of "approved democracies do not attack approved democracies."
Lebanon is not particularly failed as states go, if idiosyncratic. The chief "failed" institution is the military, and that is because of a certain contradiction: we wish Lebanese military to be sufficiently weak that it could not resist Israel in any way, but in this case it cannot resist an organization that has some modest capacity. In this we find common interest with Syria. "If we stuck in Lebanon in 80s" -- we could manage to make it a Christian fascist dictatorship, or we would just loose more Marines.
Were Lebanon properly functioning democracy, Hezbollah would probably control enough votes to be an indispensible partner in any ruling coalition.
In short, Lebanon has many features (as opposed to trappings) of democracy, including free press, and to a degree that it is a failed state it is largely due to the fact that we (and Syria) like it that way.
About the "attack": what if Chechens staged an attack from Georgian territory and Russia bombed Georgian infrastructure, and a large part of Tbilisi, to smithereens? Proportionality does matter. This is a very good test. Whenever we think that something is a good thing to do given our (or Israel) exceptional situation, think what we would like Putin to do, and what we wouldn't.
Israel is not such a perfect democracy either. One bizarre feature is that most of the land is not own by land by held by a quasi-state organization that has frankly ethnic (and discriminatory) priorities. (In general, Israeli attitude toward property rights would make Arbenz look like Milton Friedman) By the way of contrast, EACH ethnic/religious group in Lebanon has some quasi-state capabilities, which one can view as being more "failed", and another as more equitable. It is not easy to be perfect over there.
In Haiti, gangs that organized on the territory of Dominican Republic crossed the border, and the goverment, in part due to our embargo, had no arms to resist. After waiting some time, Marines intervened on the side of thugs. There is some deniability, but rather thin.
We should support "imperfect democracies", and help them in getting better. That requires (a) quite a bit of new thinking, (b) much lower degree of hypocrisy. We cannot encourage democracy one day (like praising Cedar Revolution one day) and prove next day that we do not give a damn. (Of course we can: we do, but empty talk is curiously ineffective.)
Similarly, we should not sneer at pitiful state of things in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Congo etc. but extend our money and intelect (of which there is even larger shortage) to help.
We should be much less polite to many dictatorships. For example, there is not particular reason to believe that a democratic government in Pakistan would be less pro-Western than Musharraf --- the two largest political parties are very well known quantities, while Musharraf on even-numbered days in pro-Western, and on odd-number days makes deals with the most retrograde elements.
I would like to see some privileges of democracies that would amount to sanctions when there is a coup etc. If applied consistently, it could sway countries in the "gray" zone, while making dictatorships increasingly isolated. The gray zone countries are where we can make the difference. Much more than in the "flame zone".
Small example: under EU pressure, practically all European countries abandoned death penalty.
December 14, 2006 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink