Summits! Summits!! SUMMITS!!!
On Thursday I head to Toronto to cover this week's G-8/20 world leader jamboree. But before I do, conventional wisdom seems to demand that I justify why even bother. Is it just me, or is anyone else struck by the pervasive cynicism that surrounds political processes of all kinds? (I suppose I'm getting jaded about jadedness.) Within the foreign policy blogging community, we can look to Dan Drezner for a world(summit)-weary scene-setter. The conceit -- which Dan traces back to an Onion-style satirical Alan Beattie column -- is that everything said at summits is self-serving and meaningless. Multilateral gatherings are about expressing concern and good intentions, and not actually doing anything to address the given source of concern.
Look, it's one thing to scrutinize these meetings to see what policy deliverables they produce, but it's another to view them as inherently suspect. With the G-20, the skeptics have additional problem: the first three G-20 summits arguably helped avert a great depression by replenishing the IMF and spurring a multi-national round of fiscal stimulus. To be sure, the G groupings could raise their game in terms of pushing issues along and tackling the world's problems. But it's hard to argue that the world would be better without them.
So what is the fair way to judge diplomatic processes like these? First of all, I think the key is to recognize that, as we demand action from world leaders, action takes different forms. The problems on the global agenda are being addressed through a variety of channels, and leaders can propel these forward in different ways. Here's a partial catalogue of political will "outputs" that come from top-level policy makers in the Gs:
- Resource mobilization. Examples are the infusion of capital into the IMF, funds to dismantle and secure Russian WMD, and the new matermal and child health initiative being launched at the upcoming summit.
- Sponsorship of focused and ongoing inter-governmental cooperation at a technical or operational level, such as the Global Initiative to Counter Nuclear Terrorism or the Counter-Terrorism Action Group.
- Affirmation of broad commitments or priorities. The fiscal stimulus and trade protection stanstill commitments fall in this category. In fact, Arvind Subramanian argues that the G-20 -- notwithstanding that its macroeconomic rebalancing agenda is patently hortatory -- deserves credit for spurring China to announce its currency revaluation plans (hat tip to Greg Scoblete).
- Mandating that problems be worked out elsewhere, for instance IFI governance reform.
- Serving as a consensus incubator. Since the Gs are an informal form of multilateralism -- in contrast with traditional treaty-based bodies -- they are not proper negotiating forums. That said, they could serve an invaluable role in setting some basic terms or frameworks, say, for climate change financing, elimination of fuel subsidies, or a fissile material cut-off treaty.
So why don't we home in on how leaders are dealing with the items on their agenda -- urge them toward their stated purpose instead of smugly declaring them phonies?

















I agree that we should be pressing these people to make progress but it seems that at this level there is such a lack of accountability that it isn't possible. There are two things happening now that I'm not sure make sense to me, for example and that I'm not sure how we pressure our leaders to head in the right direction.
The first is Europe's new concerns with debt. Greece has had austerity pushed upon it as has Spain. Germany and the U.K. are heading in that direction voluntarily. These countries are, in effect, trying to reign in their own deficits while free-riding on the U.S. stimulus package, hoping that our debt-fueled consumption will carry them even as they drain liquidity when they should be adding it. And yet because of these mulilateral agreements we can't counter them with "buy America" provisions in government contracts even though we should. We can't pull inward because that'd be "bad for trade" and yet the rest of the world is getting the same kind of free pass from our stimulus that it got from our decades of overspending on defense. What are we supposed to do about that?
Second is China and its currency "float." First, it's only kind of floating. Second, China let the Yuan appreciate 20% during the last decade and it did us no good at all in terms of trade balances. Third, can somebody please explain to me why I want my dollar to lose power to purchase imported goods anyway? Seems like a bit of a tax on me.
I don't think we should be cynical about these meetings but we should be very wary about what these people are up to.
June 23, 2010 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I see the Germany problem.
On strong dollar / low prices, aren't higher wages ultimately better for workers and the middle class than low prices? I understand that Walmart has made people's dollar go further, but in the process they've made it impossible for manufacturers to pay workers.
June 23, 2010 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think I agree with you on Walmart. The problem is, I'm not sure I'm buying the weak dollar argument. Are Chinese consumers really ready to buy so many American made products that they will spur the creation of good jobs here? It would have to be their highest end consumers, after all. So what are we talking here, luxury goods? Meanwhile, it seems the dollar wouldn't just weaken against the Yuan but against other currencies as well, increasing the prices of goods from Europe too (especially as they drain liquidity while we increase ours).
I know that there are some advantages to not having the darned strongest currency in the world but you know there are advantages to it as well if you have dollars to spend, that is.
June 23, 2010 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the question should be are there Americans ready to buy American goods. The day of the cheap foreign currency has showed its downside : and it's still true that "There's no such thing as a free lunch." That means if you have a situation where somebody else is working for less..he will undersell you.
June 24, 2010 3:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
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