Linkage: Iran, Settlements, Health Care & Israel?
Late yesterday afternoon, I participated in an hour long Alhurra discussion program with three other Middle East specialists: Edmund Ghareeb of American University, Ori Nir of Americans for Peace Now, and David Schenker who directs the Program on Arab Politics at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
The topic was the state of play in US-Israel relations after Vice President Biden's visit and Israel's alleged "insult" during his trip with the announced approval of 1600 new settlements in East Jerusalem.
During one of my times at bat during the interesting show, I suggested that Israel's continued settlement expansion was directly helping Iran and enhancing its pretensions and goals in the region. The Washington Institute's David Schenker responded that he really didn't see a linkage between the settlements and Iran's position. He stated that Iran really wasn't all that welcome throughout the broader Middle East today and that its nuclear activities were making other Arab states nervous.
In part, he is correct about Sunni Arab antipathy towards Iran but neglected to note that officially, all of the other major Arab states are as furious about Israel's settlements creep as the Obama national security team. But that's not the issue that most caught my attention in this exchange.
Schenker, who offered some interesting insights on the show, went on to assert that while he saw no linkage between Israel's settlement expansion and a boost to Iran's regional posture, he suggested there was a linkage between US-Israel relations and getting Obama's health care reform passed.
What?? Play that again.
So, David Schenker sees no linkage between what a huge number of observers see as Israel wrecking chances for a credible two state track -- and the use of this grievance by Iran in its support of transnational Arab networks in the region, but nonetheless sees linkage between President Obama's fragile health care reform position and the state of US-Israel relations?! Schenker's view was that Obama couldn't afford to have a testy, strained relationship with Israel because it would cost him support in Congress for his health care legislation.
If he is right, then the relationship with Israel has gone too far indeed.
The truth is that I believe that Schenker is wrong on both counts.
There is a linkage between Iran's ability to compete for the position as true defender of the Islamic faith and the controversial settlements, and on the other front, there must not be a connection between the fragile coalition Obama is building to try and achieve health care reform and the state of the US-Israel relationship.
Any US Congressperson or Senator who actually explicitly withdrew or withheld support for health care reform because of loyalty first to Israel and its needs would invite serious questions about his or her patriotism and oath to the US Constitution and American people.
I support Israel's right to exist, see it as an important ally, and believe that we should support its security -- but not at the continued expense of Arab interests in the region and certainly not at the expense of core American interests at home. The interests of Arab states and Israel must be balanced and mutually pursued. Not to do so is a false choice for the U.S., but even worse would be the practice of punishing American taxpayers and their pursuit of key social reforms in favor of Israel's interests.
I enjoyed the exchange with David Schenker and others -- but whereas David has every right to assert that he does not see a linkage between settlements and Iran's interests (though I disagree), I think that his second assertion that Obama might lose the health care battle by not keeping the Israel-tilting Members of Congress was hopefully wrong-footed.
If he's accurate, then it's time for political change in Congress again -- but this time with a different filter.
Update: When I wrote this piece, I tried to confirm that what I heard was heard by others on the program and had general confirmation from one of the other guests on the show. However, to be fair and up front, I also wanted to run this post by David Schenker -- who was perfectly fair and civil on the program and from whom I learned some new things.
David remembers things a bit different -- and we have not yet come up with a video segment or transcript, and I think that his own views on this should also be aired here.
I appreciate his fairness and balance in how he approached my post.
Here are his comments to me today:
Dear Steve:
I was surprised that you implied that I said the crisis with Israel would cause Congressmen or Senators to explicitly withdraw support for health care reform.
I didn't say that. What I did was point out the obvious domestic political implications that Democrats could face-in addition to their current problems-in light of the very public row with Israel, especially one concerning the disposition of Jerusalem. Considerations like the mid-term elections and controversial health care legislation, I said, would likely lead the Administration to try and end the very public spat with Israel sooner rather than later.
The linkage between foreign and domestic policy considerations is well established. (Walt has written, for example, that the escalation in Afghanistan might cost Obama democratic seats in the midterms that would make it more difficult to pass domestic legislation).
Until I read your blog, I thought my comments were uncontroversial.
Best regards,
David Schenker
I appreciate David sending this correction and wanted it posted publicly. Onward and upward.
-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note

















I certainly hope he's wrong in his assessment. That would be one of those moments when you catch yourself thinking, yet again, "How low can our political class conceivably go?".
March 16, 2010 3:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have I got this right? If Obama does not unconditionally support the state of Israel, regardless, some members of Congress will vote against health care reform?Affilojetpack
July 17, 2010 8:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
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December 16, 2010 4:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Schenker issued an implied threat in his first comments; then he Affilojetpack issued an implied threat to you, Steve. You have, very diplomatically, pointed out both so well.
July 17, 2010 8:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Schenker is so out to lunch with his settler-propaganda fantasy about settlements not being important that it is difficult to take any other idea of his seriously. The settlements are squarely contrary to the interests of the United States and the whole civilized world because they are pure political appeasement of the lunatic fringe of Israeli politics, they heighten the appeal and recruitment potential of Arab hardliners and terrorists, and they serve no practical purpose except to grab land (and for the outlying locations, to render impossible a territorially integral Palestinian state).
Nevertheless, health care reform IS probably slightly linked to the Mideast policy, in a couple of ways. One of these is that are both projects are in a state of ridiculous impasse due to the chronic and towering cowardice of Democrats.
March 16, 2010 6:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Call me gullible, but I always believe Zionist shills when they tell us there is no linkage between Israeli settlement expansion and Iran's rising regional fortunes.
I also believe the moon is made of cheeese, Elvis is running a radio station in Africa with Jim Morrison, and the Walrus is Paul.
March 16, 2010 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
It’s ambiguity time at the NeoLevant Corral:
Does ‘must’ mean (1) that Mr. Publicist has examined the evidence scrupulously and grasped the logical implications of things, or only (2) that he dearly wishes nobody makes any such connection as that one?
From the way he continues, it sure looks like (2).
But if so, one should distinguish further: is the Deplorable Connection (2a) that militant extremist Republicans (with certain accomplices) "withdraw or withhold support for health care reform because of loyalty first to Israel," or merely (2b) that, Obamacare having collapsed for unrelated reasons, the Hyperzionistical faction will try to take incidental advantage for ends of their own?
Mr. P. seems to think (2a), but surely (2b) is far more likely?
Perhaps it does make sense, sort of, that those who oppose Health should stand up against Peace as well, yet that analysis is maybe just a tad oversimplified.
As for Neocomrade D. Schenker, his position is, after all, not particularly neoteric: Prince Bismarck, that notorious Old Euro socialiser of medicine, advised us long ago that children and drunkards and Uncle Sam are not to be held accountable for the consequences of their actions. (I quote from memory.)
Healthy days.
March 16, 2010 8:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
"He stated that Iran really wasn't all that welcome throughout the broader Middle East today and that its nuclear activities were making other Arab states nervous."
What nuclear activities? The idea that Iran is working to obtain weapons grade uranium is being brought to you by the same "intelligence" agencies which assured the world that Iraq had WMD's in 2003.
.
March 16, 2010 10:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Did Schenker let a politically strategic cat out of a bag? Are there political factions using healthcare support as blackmail to maintain White House affitmation of Israeli policy? Who would they be? I'm curious...
March 16, 2010 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
RE:"Are there political factions using healthcare support as blackmail to maintain White House affitmation of Israeli policy? Who would they be? I'm curious..." - San Fernando Curt
FROM PHIL WEISS, 02/10/10 :...I missed the debate at NYU last night over a Resolution to end the special relationship with Israel. Rashid Khalidi and Roger Cohen for, Stu Eizenstat and Israeli Itamar Rabinovich agin. Praise the lord, Tablet was there, and has a typically Israel-lobbyish report, which includes a great anecdote in which Cohen said that a Florida congressman was holding out his vote on health care till Obama took his foot off the gas on Israel/Palestine...
SOURCE - http://mondoweiss.net/2010/02/1-in-5-new-yorkers-become-unbrainwashed-on-israel-lobby-after-90-minutes-of-exposure-to-facts.html
TABLET ARTICLE - http://www.tabletmag.com/category/scroll/#post-25511
March 16, 2010 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks, Dickerson. Why am I not surprised?
March 17, 2010 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
As everyone knows, before the establishment of Israeli settlements Israel had fine, peaceful relationships with "the Palestinians" and with all of the other 21 or 22 Arab countries in the middle east, there were no "days of rage" when a 300 year old synagogue in something commonly known as "The Jewish Quarter" of the old city of Jerusalem because Jews lived there (except during the 19 year period when the area belonged to Jordan, there were no "Palestinian" claims on the land, there were no Jews living there because Jordan engaged in ethnic cleansing by removing all jews from the area, desecrated cemetaries and so forth but neither the United Nations nor "peace activists" seemed to care,
and national health care legislation sailed through congress like a hot knife through butter. So I guess it must be the Settlements that have caused all of these problems. Those nasty Jews. Always causing trouble.
March 16, 2010 11:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Those nasty Jews. Always causing trouble."
If you say so.
BTW, in 1948, the US Army was still segregated, the American South was stil in the clutches of Jim Crow, Stalin was leading the USSR, China was not yet Communist, Joseph McCarthy wasn't yet a national embarrassment, and no one had ever heard of Elvis. Thanks for the memories.
You might want to update your outrage reel. I can almost hear Lowell Thomas narrating it.
Finally, if settlements don't cause problems, then I'm sure you wouldn't oppose Palestinians building settlements in West Jerusalem, would you?
March 16, 2010 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Where does Iran come into this? Other than a coded way of saying the miserable Arabs would amount to nothing if it weren't for those Persians egging them on. You are aware Hezbolah and Hamas have won popular votes.
If Iran's influence is on the rise (a big if), then surely it is because what it says rings true for most middle easterners. BTW, Iran does not have patent on truth telling, as Gen. Patraeus just proved.
As a direct adversary to Israel (let alone US), please explain why we are even waisting time talking about this when Iran's military budget is less than United Arab Emirates', and roughly 2% that of the US.
http://www.armscontrolcenter.org/policy/securityspending/articles/fy09_dod_request_global/
Also, explain Iran's lack of interest in nukes http://www.bibijon.org/iranimage/#Nuclear
Is it just that you need a bogeyman? Then, why do you need a bogeyman? To justify Israeli actions?
March 16, 2010 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have I got this right? If Obama does not unconditionally support the state of Israel, regardless, some members of Congress will vote against health care reform?
But then what to make of this reality. Israel's health care is both universal and compulsory. Her system ranks as one of the most advanced in the world and is notable for its many achievements in medical research and universal accessibility.
Can it be assumed that some members of Congress are willing to deny Americans what Israelis enjoy?
March 16, 2010 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Schenker issued an implied threat in his first comments; then he issued an implied threat to you, Steve. You have, very diplomatically, pointed out both so well.
It's not about "health care," it's about November. Schenker made that patently clear in his first comments. He knows that AIPAC is issuing marching orders:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/03/17/aipac_asks_congress_to_back_netanyahu_not_obama_ha/#more
March 19, 2010 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and of course, it's never a threat--when they're confronted on their threat.
http://mondoweiss.net/2009/09/israel-lobby-bares-its-teeth.html
March 19, 2010 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
As everyone knows, before the establishment of Israeli settlements Israel had fine, peaceful relationships with "the Palestinians" and with all of the other 21 or 22 Arab countries in the middle east, there were no "days of rage" when a 300 year old synagogue in something commonly known as "The Jewish Quarter" of the old city of Jerusalem because Jews lived there (except during the 19 year period when the area belonged to Jordan, there were no "Palestinian" claims on the land, there were no Jews living there because Jordan engaged in ethnic cleansing by removing all jews from the area, desecrated cemetaries and so forth but neither the United Nations nor "peace activists" seemed to care,
and national health care legislation sailed through congress like a hot knife through butter. So I guess it must be the Settlements that have caused all of these problems. Those nasty Jews. Always causing trouble.
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July 3, 2010 1:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
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July 28, 2010 7:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you in supporting Israel's right to exist, seeing it as an important ally, and believing that we should support its security -- but not at the continued expense of Arab interests in the region and certainly not at the expense of core American interests at home. Really, the interests of Arab states and Israel must be balanced and mutually pursued. Not to do so is a false choice for the U.S., but even worse would be the practice of punishing American taxpayers and their pursuit of key social reforms in favor of Israel's interests.
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December 21, 2010 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink