Are Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations Finished?
President Obama's "State of the Union" left out the traditional call for the renewal of Israeli-Palestinian negotiations which, for years, has been boilerplate in Presidential addresses to Congress.
I imagine Obama left it out because his previous calls fell on deaf ears in Israel, with Prime Minister Netanyahu continuing to expand settlements.
And Netanyahu's announcement yesterday that Israel intends to annex Ariel, a West Bank settlement of 15,000 that is 25 miles deep into the West Bank, could be the death knell for negotiations. The Ariel announcement means that the borders of Israel would extend so far into the West Bank that a contiguous Palestinian state could not be created.
For their part, Palestinians resist negotiations because they have gone nowhere and succeed only in taking the onus off Israel during them.
Palestinians also argue that Israel uses periods of negotiations to seize more land without conceding anything, on the grounds that any "concession" would cause right-wingers in the governing coalition to walk out.
In fact, just yesterday, President Obama himself alluded to the fragility of Israel's coalition as an excuse for not applying pressure (as if we should care whether a right-wing coalition in Israel survives).
Palestinians have been especially reluctant to yield to the US call for negotiations ever since we forced the Palestinian Authority to reject the Goldstone Report on war crimes against their own people, making them look like utterly ridiculous marionettes.
So, Palestinians believe, they are better off without negotiations, letting the pressure on Israel build.
It may not work, but negotiations haven't worked either.
So where does that leave Palestinians? Are they completely without recourse?
Not at all. They can demand their rights without reference to statehood and without negotiations to achieve them. That means they punt on the question of one state, two states, or three states (don't forget Gaza). They demand their rights whether they are exercised within Israel or within their own country. After all, basic human rights are guaranteed to all people, whether in their own state or as a minority in another country.
These rights are specifically guaranteed in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which was ratified by the United Nations with the support of, among others, the United States and Israel. (It was written by Eleanor Roosevelt, the US delegate).
The rights it guarantees (the right to vote, equality before the law, freedom of movement and resistance, peaceful assembly and association, the right to own property and not to be deprived of it, among others) are precisely the rights denied to the Palestinians of Gaza, West Bank, and East Jerusalem.
Why shouldn't the Palestinians demand these rights, laying aside the question of a state with internationally recognized borders until the Israelis are ready to seriously discuss returning to the pre-'67 borders?
But would Israelis agree to granting Palestinians basic human rights? That is hard to say. The far right has a strong racial animus to Arabs and would be reluctant to see any change in the status quo.
But that is not true of most Israelis. Most Israelis are deeply troubled by the occupation but cannot imagine how it would be possible to evacuate hundreds of thousands of settlers from their West Bank homes. They might be relieved if the Palestinians focused on rights rather than territories.
After all, Israel's options would then be clear. Either grant the Palestinians fundamental rights or confront the settlement demon and begin the process of de-occupation and the preservation of Israel as a Jewish state.
But what if Israel said "no"? "No" to rights. "No" to ending the occupation. Then what?
That is where the issue of consequences would rise. Israeli-Palestinian negotiations have repeatedly collapsed when Israel has refused to fulfill a commitment to which it agreed.
It accepts a proposal and then supplements it with a host of unilateral conditions. It then says it cannot implement the original commitment until its new conditions are met.
Or it uses the device employed when President Obama demanded a settlement freeze. Netanyahu changed the subject by accepting, in nebulous terms, the two-state solution and coupling that with a partial freeze. But he exempted East Jerusalem, the area of most significance to the Palestinians and where most of the settlement expansion is now occurring.
That transparent gambit won him praise from Secretary of State Clinton and the easing of US pressure.
Saying "no" had no consequences.
But saying no to a Palestinian call for fundamental human rights would have to produce consequences, of one kind or another. If it doesn't -- if Israel pays no price for simultaneously maintaining the occupation and refusing to accord rights to those under occupation -- then Palestinians will come to believe that they have no recourse at all except submission. And that isn't going to happen.
What would happen is that the Palestinians would go to the United Nations, to the European Union, and even to the United States to seek those consequences. And these would most likely come in the demand for sanctions. There is already a burgeoning BDS (Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions) movement that is seeking to bring down the occupation the way a similar movement brought down apartheid.
Is this what Israelis want? Do they really want those concerned about the occupation to be forced to turn to an option this extreme?
I know that the last thing I want is a successful international movement that would boycott and sanction Israel as if it was apartheid South Africa. But it's probably inevitable unless Israelis come to their senses and begin the process of ending the occupation while the decision is still theirs to make.
As for the United States, President Obama needs to stop worrying about the survival of Israel's right-wing coalition. He should instead focus on the survival of Israel itself, not to mention the well-being of Palestinians whose suffering is mightily abetted by US policies (and arms). And that means pressure, pressure, pressure. For Israel's own sake.
I used to believe that there was no alternative to negotiations. I was wrong. There is. And, at this rate, its day will arrive soon.

















The only thing Abbas and his folk at the PA can negotiate about with Israel is their salary.
January 29, 2010 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, you can't spend $100,000 on your daughter's wedding without a little collaboration.
January 29, 2010 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
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December 16, 2010 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
You make mention of the South African apartheid era in relation to Israel, and there have been, over the years, numerous accusations, and denials, of a commonality between the policies of Israel and the former South African Nationlist government.
In this context, there are specific similarities that are striking:
1. White and black, Jew and Arab, all have valid claims to the land
2. The ethnic cleansing of the West Bank, with its stark reminder of the forced removal of over 60,000 of the inhabitants of the District Six inner-city residential area of Cape Town, during the 1970s, by the apartheid regime
3. The claims of intellectual superiority
4. The accusation against the indigenous population as being incapable of government
5. The imprisonment of militants and tens of thousands of other civilians, without trial
6. The implementation of roadblocks, identification requirements and continual harassment
7. Social and religious discrimination
8. Political corruption
In the end, the world could no longer accept the injustices of the South African government and instituted boycotts on various levels which, together with other pressures, brought about a new, democratic, political order that enfranchised the entire population.
That was accomplished without violence. In the Middle East, however, nothing is accomplished without violence. State-sponsored assassinations are still routine, as the reports tell us today.
January 29, 2010 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a practical matter, folding the PA tent and demanding one-person, one vote may be the only way to actually get two states.
January 29, 2010 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Worry over bringing a right-wing Likud govt down?
Just do it; claim Bibi's scalp, and then stick it on a pole for the next Israeli PM to see.
That will concentrate their mind like nothing else will.
January 29, 2010 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
RE: "After all, basic human rights are guaranteed to all people, whether in their own state or as a minority in another country..." - MJ
BUT SEE: Apartheid at the Israeli High Court, By URI WEISS, 01/28/10
(EXCERPT)...By doing so, the HCJ has completed the edifice of Apartheid which it had been building. Basic Law: Human Dignity and Liberty is not applicable to all those who are regarded as human beings by a humanist attitude. Neither are the boundaries of its jurisdiction geographic, like the green line. Instead, they are substantively ethnic. A Jewish settler will be protected by the basic law - both in the territories and in Israel. Her Palestinian neighbor's rights, which should follow from the basic law, either inside Israel or in the occupied territories, have yet to be decided...
ENTIRETY - http://www.counterpunch.org/weiss01282010.html
January 30, 2010 1:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ariel is 12 miles from the old "Green Line", the 1949 Armistice line, not 25 miles. Get a map.
Ariel is 20 miles from the Jordon River, and the Green Line is less than 9 miles from the Mediterranean coast, so a new West Bank Palestine would be more viable than the old Israel. More than twice as viable.
So if you find 4 guys in the whole country who are outright racists you can just label them "Far Right" and be done with it? Don't you think the decades of rocketing and bus bombing have more to do with the "Animus" than skin color? After all, the blackest Israeli Jews are darker than the darkest Arabs.Do you deny that the Arabs are prejudiced against Jews?
International law guarantees the West Bank Arabs civil and religious rights, but that doesn't include killing Jews. If you are going to invoke the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, why not apply it to Burma, North Korea, or Uzbekistan, which have far fewer human rights?
Women in the West Bank can drive, and everybody there has freedom of religion, so why not apply the Declaration to Saudi Arabia, which lacks these rights?
January 30, 2010 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
"why not apply the Declaration to Saudi Arabia?"
When the "Saudi American Public Affairs Committee" devotes millions of dollars and thousands of dedicated zealots to the unending cause of browbeating and corrupting the US Congress, then it will be time for American patriots to worry about the internal affairs of THAT medieval Mideast desert hole.
February 2, 2010 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Everybody can see which way Hyperzionism is headed, but what is the point of getting ahead of themselves preëmptively like this? With a little skill and address, they need not be reduced to "Well, at least we are better than Sa‘údiyya!" for another decade or so.
Maybe five years for Uzbekistan.
Healthy days.
_
January 30, 2010 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Writing as an American who worked in South Africa in the last days of apartheid: in addition to some minor economic inconvenience, the reason that the boycott/sanctions regime worked was the sports boycott. It cut South African whites to the quick that they were kept out of international competition, because they were/are a sports mad nation.
Israelis may not be sports mad like the white South Africans, but they probably value their place in world/European culture and the academy. Yet for maintaining an apartheid regime, their country should forfeit that place. Rub it in, if you care about justice for Palestinians.
No, not every Israeli will care; but many will. Yes, some will get nasty about it -- that goes with the tactic. Same with S.A. -- many whites didn't mind isolation, but a significant part did, horribly.
January 30, 2010 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Espresso says: "Ariel is 20 miles from the Jordon River, and the Green Line is less than 9 miles from the Mediterranean coast, so a new West Bank Palestine would be more viable than the old Israel. More than twice as viable."
Except, of course, that Israel has a waist because that is how Israel is shaded i.e. Israel is shaped like a corset or, if you prefer, like an hour-glass.
Ariel, by contrast, "narrows" a Palestinian state because it stabs into that territory i.e. its effect on traffic is akin to a BAFFLE, and not a WAIST.
And Ariel does that because it was **designed** to do that; after all, that's why Israel put it there.
And, naturally enough, espresso doesn't mention another important part of Israel's negotiating position, which is that the IDF must - simply MUST! - maintain a "military presence" along the Jordan River.
So the important distance is not "Ariel to the Jordan River", but "Ariel to the IDF closed military area".
And Israel will insist upon a route BETWEEN those two area that it - and it alone - controls.
That allows it to cut Palestine in two whenever it wants, and for whatever reason it chooses to name.
Could a Palestinian state do the same thing to Israel's "narrow waist", espresso?
Answer: Nope.
January 30, 2010 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations Finished?
yes.
some of us commented on one of your posts a while back that we would know that obama has thrown in the towel when he would say that peace is hard and that we can't want peace more than the parties want peace. well, he has done exactly that. in his time interview with joe klein, obama states:
"I'll be honest with you. A) This is just really hard. Even for a guy like George Mitchell, who helped bring about the peace in Northern Ireland. This is as intractable a problem as you get. B) Both sides — the Israelis and the Palestinians — have found that the political environment, the nature of their coalitions or the divisions within their societies, were such that it was very hard for them to start engaging in a meaningful conversation."
January 31, 2010 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to brag, but I made that prediction months ago.
To be fair, I did not realize that O-irrelevant would capitulate so completely. I mistakenly thought he had self-esteem. Silly me.
January 31, 2010 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
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April 27, 2011 3:16 AM | Reply | Permalink