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Republican Gomorrah

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While covering the radical right over the last six years, I began to notice a shared sensibility among the movement's followers that went far deeper than politics or religion. Many of the movement's most fervent activists had suffered existential personal crises ranging from struggles with homosexual urges to alcoholism to mental illness that propelled them into far-right politics. For these trauma-wracked personalities, who ranged from reclusive movement financiers like Howard F. Ahmanson Jr, a resident for two years in a mental institution before he became the self-proclaimed sugar daddy of the Christian right, to key Republican Party leaders like Tom DeLay, a philandering drunk known as "Hot Tub Tommy" before his rebirth as an evangelical Christian, authoritarian politics served as a balm for their psychological anxieties.

In my book, Republican Gomorrah: Inside The Movement That Shattered The Party, I show how a culture of personal crisis has animated the right's politics of resentment, and how those who control the radical right have projected their crises onto the Republican Party that they substantially control, throwing it into conflict with itself. At the center of my narrative is James Dobson, the leading figure of the Christian right for the past two decades. Despite having commanded a supposedly religious movement, Dobson has no religious training or theological credentials; he is a child psychologist who has exploited the private sufferings of his followers to mold them into unflinchingly loyal, uniquely fervent political shock troops. By setting his flock against Republican moderates like Bob Dole and Colin Powell, Dobson and his allies set the stage for the transforming of the Republican Party from a big tent into a one-ring circus.

When Sen. John McCain, a figure detested by all factions of the conservative movement, won the Republican presidential nomination in 2008, the influence of the Christian right made Sarah Palin the only logical choice as McCain's running mate. As unqualified as she was, Palin embodied the right's culture of personal crisis. She did so by openly discussing her decision not to abort her Down's Syndrome-afflicted infant son, and by campaigning beside her teenage daughter, whose out-of-wedlock pregnancy seemed to undermine Palin's advocacy of abstinence-only education but actually endeared her to right-wing parents whose daughters faced similar predicaments.

By broadcasting her private family struggles to the right-wing masses, Palin became their heroine, a God-fearing glamour girl who naturally embodied their sensibilities. When Palin struggled to answer softball questions from Katie Couric, movement members viewed her not as a liability to their cause, but as the victim of liberal elite persecution, another Christian thrown to the secular lions. Indeed, Palin's ignorance proved to be one of her greatest assets.

By "going rogue," Palin cleverly transformed her role as McCain's running mate into a vehicle for extending her ambitions into the Obama era. As I explain in my book, Palin's frenetic performances at her campaign rallies gave birth to the birthers, providing a template for the far-right Tea Party movement that rose up this year to delegitimize and overthrow Obama. Even if Palin does not declare her candidacy in 2012, cardboard men in suits like Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty who have no authentic appeal to the movement will beseech her for her endorsement.

Palin has already demonstrated her influence by opposing a moderate Republican candidate who was practically assured victory in a special congressional election in New York's 23rd district. Instead, Palin backed Doug Hoffman, an unknown Tea Party activist who ran as a third party candidate, forcing the official Republican candidate out of the race. When a Democrat defeated Hoffman, Palin declared victory - the destruction of another ideologically impure Republican had been secured.

Though I completed my book right after Obama's inauguration, by demonstrating how extensively the GOP had been subsumed by extreme personalities seeking relief from the pressures of individual freedom, I was able to foreshadow the movement's coming crusade to smash the party's moderate, heretical wing once and for all. With the rise of the Tea Party movement, which is backing extremist primary challenges to establishment Republicans like Charlie Christ in Florida and Carly Fiorina in California, and which may eventually imperil Sen. Olympia Snowe in Maine, my prediction seems to have been fulfilled.

But can the Republicans still threaten Obama and the congressional Democrats? Bob McDonnell, a friend and acolyte of Rev. Pat Robertson, recently won the governorship of Virginia with substantial support from moderate and independent voters from suburban Washington DC. And Chris Christie, another conservative who ran to the center, defeated John Corzine in New Jersey's governor's race. Anti-Obama resentment has energized the Republican grassroots while progressive Democrats appear demoralized and disillusioned by the White House's handling of healthcare reform, its escalation in Afghanistan, and its Wall Street-friendly economic policies. So can a shattered Republican Party reunite in time for 2012, or will its fixation on ideological purity and the histrionics of its leaders prevent it from returning to national power? I think this question will help guide what promises to be an exciting discussion this week.


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Yes, this is the question.

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Is this the question? The legions of poll-fetishizing pundits will soon begin to call out the odds of a Republican victory, and we can angst about it to our heart's content. But whether or not the Republicans take back a majority next November, Republican Gomorrah is a history and analysis of a long running, deeply entrenched movement. That movement will continue as a major force in the Republican party well past November, no matter what happens in the elections.

So the pertinent question to this book club, as I see it, is whether the paranoid right will continue to take over the Republican party or whether its influence will finally peak and begin to subside. And that prompts the question, why is its influence still growing now? Of course, the Democratic landslide last November catalyzed a wave or right wing hysteria, but Blumenthal amply demonstrated that the movement was thriving long before the election. So why has it continued to grow long after the wrenching social changes of the sixties and the successful conservative backlash under Reagan and the Bush's? That's the question that lingers with me after reading Gomorrah, the one question that I felt wasn't answered and the question to which no one who writes on the subject seems to have a good answer.

PS The book is a fascinating and unnerving account of the influential figures behind the rise of the Christian right. Highly recommended.

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Not to be too cynical, but the media needs a "Republican resurgence" in order for people to tune in.

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I don't know whether there will be a "Republican resurgence" in 2010, but you can be sure that there will one day be a Republican resurgence. There are no permanent majorities in the U.S.

The question is, who will be at the head of the next Republican resurgence? Blumenthal's book will not make you optimistic about the answer to that question.

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Genghis, I think a large part of the answer to why this movement has grown so over the last 50 years lies in the nature of TV and the power that network TV has held over American national politics.

Yesterday's death of Oral Roberts should remind everyone of the symbiosis of TV and the evangelical religion, and TV effectively made or unmade every President since LBJ. It was also central to the creation of the Christian Coalition and led to the power of the associated mega-churches in politics. The evangelicals took control of the Texas Republican Party about two decades ago and have held it in their thrall ever since. DeMint, Coburn, Ensign, Inhoffe, and a number of others show me that they did the same in a number of other states. Mark Sanford shows that they are also doing it with governors.

One thing about the evangelical movement is that it is inherently authoritarian. As such, it fits closely with the requirements of centralizing media and controlling it, as has been done by radio and TV since the Reagan era. There is a symbiosis between the religious right and monopoly media corporations.

I think the newer communications technologies in the recent decade is mixing this up, and we are presently in the middle of a social shakeup. The collapse of city newspaper power and of the traditional TV networks is changing a lot. But I don't know where it will go from here.

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If the Christian Right had such power - forever mushrooming and intensifying - why was its social agenda always elusive? There is no prayer in American public schools, and we live in a society that seems more deliberately secular every day. Abortion is still legal, and although the bounty of research was delayed, stem cells are now ensconced in test tubes and under microscopes without counterintuitive Middle Eastern fairy tales cluttering up the process.

The Christian Right was always theatrical bogeyman for our supine media and neoconservatives - who used the bugaboo of "growing influence" by Christian fanatics to establish themselves as a GOP wing liberals could love. In return, we got an utterly pointless war cranking along in Iraq, Mideast policy via Tel Aviv and a financial industry detached, voracious and firmly in control of federal machinery.

But, sure, endlessly tell me the old, old "10 commandments at the courthouse door" crap again...

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Please; don't take the "paranoid right" away from us!

How else do we liberals excuse our having done nothing liberal in three decades.

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I'm sure our progressive strategists are geniuses - GENIUSES! - and so they must be correct in forever framing our political geography as "us vs. them". But unless we get the "them" right, we'll stay forever powerless and stupid.

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I am reminded of this quote:

I can hire one half of the working class to kill the other half.
- Jay Gould

My problem is that I like to interact with an audience on a website that I see as more and more as having an editorial policy that is not just enabling, but fanning that situation.

As I see it, what's referred to as the "wingers" have been with us for many decades, at least since the anger at LBJ's Great Society (the welfare state and all that, combined with a youth cultural revolution causing culture wars) and have not changed in number, they are always approx. 1/3 of the national electorate.

What has been changing in number is Independents, that's the reality of what has been changing. There is no increased number of "wingers," its the same as its been for a long time. The "wingers" depend upon P.R. techniques built by foundations and think tanks of people like Scaife long ago, and like with an internet troll, if they weren't "fed" along the lines of "all publicity is good publicity," they wouldn't have much power to accomplish anything at all.

The whole red vs. blue is a false narrative built of the nation getting into political horse race starting with TV coverage, it is the stuff of the electoral college (i.e., there are liberals in red states and conservatives in blue states.)

When Democrats have finally won a majority in Congress and the presidency, why aren't left of center websites courting Independents with ideas and policy discussions, instead of feeding the false red vs. blue narrative as if an election is still going on? Heck, Independents, they're not just not courted, they are actively insulted by some participants on forums like this one. It is a great disappointment to me that so many left of center websites focus on horse race and related (beyond gerrymandering, which is a crucial issue regarding the problem,) and giving those P.R. techniques a longer life, continuing to feed the whole problem; I visualized something better when I first jumped in to this fray circa 2002.

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I can get with much of what you say in the second half.

But while the "wingers" may not have changed, their participation in politics has changed...and dramatically so. So, too, their effectiveness in pushing their agenda. And their one-pointedness makes them effective out of proportion to their numbers.

Excellent book: Invisible Hands by Fein. An excellent history of the rise of "movement conservatism." Peels away a lot of the layers of this onion.

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AA writes: "...why aren't left of center websites courting Independents with ideas and policy discussions..."

Curious to know what that might look like to you...

My personal and growing difficulty with what you (seem) to propose is that appealing to independents seems at least to boil to taking one from column A and one from column B.

And yet taking from column B--let's call it the conservative column--often feels like taking one from the loony bin and awarding it merit that it doesn't deserve.

Isn't what you propose essentially the DLC approach? Doesn't that essentially engrave a rightward tilt in our policies? Where are the compromises the other side is making? For example, the anti-choice movement isn't going for some middle ground (that I can see); they want abortion outlawed and are trying to do it bite by bite. So they aren't going to enshrine a compromise short of that. They'll pocket gains and keep chipping away.

Anyway, I guess maybe what I'm saying is that it's hard to pin down what appealing to Independents might look like. AFAIK, Obama has bent over backwards to appeal to the center and has gotten nothing but vicious attacks for his trouble.

Would love to know what you think...as always.

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"Anyway, I guess maybe what I'm saying is that it's hard to pin down what appealing to Independents might look like. AFAIK, Obama has bent over backwards to appeal to the center and has gotten nothing but vicious attacks for his trouble."

It would start by acknowledging that there is room for honest disagreement. All to often the left attempts to demonize anyone who dares to disagree. This forum is an excellent example - express an idea contrary to the favored position and someone will let loose with the insults, the accusations of nefarious intent. expressions of scorn, etc. That does tend to turn independents away.

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Okay, I can definitely get with allowing/encouraging--and certainly not demonizing--disagreement.

But once you get beyond that principle or procedure and get down to specifics, what does appealing to Independents look like?

(I'm leaving alone the truth that many people SAY they are Independent because, well, everyone agrees that being "independent" is a good thing to be, but have, in fact, come to hold right wing or left wing positions by following an independent line of thinking.)

So I'm looking for a set of specifics or broad specifics...

When I look back at recent national politics, I see Clinton declaring the end of big government, reforming welfare, balancing budgets, exercising military force in the Balkans, and even naming the threat from Islamic extremists...

IOW, he adopted many of the positions of the other side, perhaps not as they would have, but certainly to a much greater extent than his base would have liked.

What did he get in return? Hundreds of "hits" about how the Clintons had murdered this person or that...Whitewater...the witch hunt that was impeachment...and a game of chicken with the government itself...

Then we had 8 years of Bush in which the opposition--"our side," if you will--was stonewalled and ignored. NCLB was adopted but left unfunded. Ruinous tax cuts were rammed through with reconciliation (now considered to be the most draconian of moves). Two wars were begun with an opposition that had been cowed into submission. And much much more. Part D might be the only thing Bush did that could conceivably have been taken from the progressive play book.

Now we have Obama, the most scrupulously middle of the road, bi-partisan president--maybe ever. Before he's installed in office, he makes a point of conferring with conservative opinion makers, who will go on to slander him. He appeals to both sides of the Congress, directly, when speaking to them about his biggest initiative thus far. He offers, in this same speech, to try one of the opposition's favorite ideas (tort reform). He pursues one member of the opposition, Olympia Snowe, as though she were one of his closest supporters. He essentially copies Bush's approach to Iraq and Afghanistan. He continues the bank bailout begun by Bush. He keeps Bush's SecDef. In short, he's about as "Independent" as you can get.

And what does he get for his trouble? Rampant and egregious lies. Nothing that looks even remotely like honest disagreement (a point Obama himself makes over and over again, inviting honest disagreement). The most extreme form of hate mongering. Utter, overt and unrepentant obstructionism from the other side in Congress and amongst opinion makers.

When I think of how much more Obama could appeal to Independents...I come up blank. So I think THIS is partly what fuels progressive vituperation. We voted in a guy who's trying to save the economy. Who's trying to get everyone health care and keep costs down. Who's following his predecessor on many of his actual foreign policy actions.

And do WE get in exchange for being so reasonable?

Our man accused--and not just by fringe types, but by middle of the road Iowa GOP Senators--of trying to kill off seniors and enslave the country in a socialist takeover.

So, again, maybe you can give me specifics...

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By independents I mean those folks not passionately wed to the base of either party. You appeal to them with reason. If you fail to convince them, look at why they are not convinced. In most cases you will find a need that they see that is not addressed by your proposal or a harm that you do not appreciate.

I could not disagree with you more on Obama though - he is in my view hard left, very hard left, Alinsky's Rules for Radicals left, in his proposals and governing style. He lost the independents quickly because he talked moderate to get elected but then when folks saw what they got buyer's remorse set in.

This country is not hard left. It is not hard right. It certainly is not hard libertarian (more is the pity in my view). If your proposals are any of those things they likely will not fly unless they address specific concerns of majority in the middle with intuitively understandable solutions and results.

Anything else is likely preaching to the choir.

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You: "By independents I mean those folks not passionately wed to the base of either party. You appeal to them with reason. If you fail to convince them, look at why they are not convinced. In most cases you will find a need that they see that is not addressed by your proposal or a harm that you do not appreciate."

TT: I know what you mean by "independents" and I know what "reason" is. What I was asking for were examples of what convincing appeals to independents might look like.

YOU: "I could not disagree with you more on Obama though - he is in my view hard left, very hard left, Alinsky's Rules for Radicals left, in his proposals and governing style. He lost the independents quickly because he talked moderate to get elected but then when folks saw what they got buyer's remorse set in."

TT: Can you give some examples of his "hard left" proposals? Or examples of how he applied Alinsky's Rules to governing as president? Or how his rhetoric during the campaign doesn't match what he's tried to do since? For example, during the campaign, he talked about reforming the health care system. He also rejected single payer--the dominant preference of the left. Seems to me, he's followed through on those things.

He appeared to be more anti-war during the campaign than he's governed. Are you saying that independents would prefer that he had brought all the troops home right away?

I'm really trying here to go beyond generalities...

YOU: This country is not hard left. It is not hard right. It certainly is not hard libertarian (more is the pity in my view). If your proposals are any of those things they likely will not fly unless they address specific concerns of majority in the middle with intuitively understandable solutions and results.

TT: I guess the difficulty here is that what you call "hard left or right" may not be what I call those things. And whether your definition or mine map onto the collective mind of the country is yet another question. I would have to say that, IN GENERAL, "hard libertarian" partakes more of the right these days than of the left (though this wasn't always so). So perhaps that's skewing your view of what "hard left" is.

Anything else is likely preaching to the choir.

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The "them" is a growing number of psychologically and socially dysfunctional group of people. They do not so much have a coherent agenda as they have issues. People with issues need therapy and if I had anything to say about health care reform, I would mandate a massive infusion of funds into the mental health sector.


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Alert Glenn Beck! Radical Blog Czar plans national Big Brother program to brainwash the American people!

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Ellen, the paranoid right is out there and working hard. I live in Texas which is infested with them from top to bottom. The thing is, when they lose the power to scare everyone into following their irrational prescriptions everyone looks up, and like in California, says "Hey this crap doesn't work."

So then they turn to liberals who fail all the leadership tests and propose "iffy" ideas instead of clear certainties. Worse, no two liberals propose the same set of ideas, and that assuming you can find two of them who agree about what the problems are.

So neither gets much done. And it really doesn't matter much because our political process attracts people who want the limelight and adulation of being in the public eye rather than people who want to solve the real problems of the nation. Then with all the money we allow to slosh all over our political system almost everyone who does go into politics becomes corrupted.

Do you really expect anything from our political system to actually happen? I mean for the nation, not for a few rich families. It takes a war or a real and immediate threat for anyone to work together in this "system."

Understanding this, the cynical bastards in the Bush administration knew they had to fake an excuse for a war. Then they used it to get their graft out of government.

And so it goes.

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"The Christian Right was always theatrical bogeyman for our supine media and neoconservatives - who used the bugaboo of "growing influence" by Christian fanatics to establish themselves as a GOP wing liberals could love."

Could you explain this?

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Shouldn't have to. Where have you been, Mr. van Winkle?

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Why the testiness, Curt?

All I did was ask you to explain/expand.

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You're right. I apologize. Had some bad eggnog over the weekend and some holiday sugarplums are backing up on me.

Although we part company on many crucial issues, there are key points in the paleoconservative/libertarian platform with which I agree, and I don't think there's a better articulator of that position than Paul Gottfried:

Despite this drifting conservative identity, it seems that contemporary mislabeled conservatives have been able to keep their ill-fitting label through a combination of favorable circumstances. Certainly their gaggle of liberal media friends do not begrudge them the use of false packaging, particularly when the alternative is to have to face those farther to the right. It is nice for leftists be able to hold debates with their own kind, that is, with those one can schmooze with over the size of a tax cut or over whether Hillary Clinton or Rick Lazio will be the more caring Senator from New York. And another factor contributes to the problem of misidentity: the funding, apparently without strings, that has come from Rupert Murdoch and from other press barons has permitted the neoconservatives to build a vast communications empire.

His blog at LewRockwell is a fine chronicle of the split in American conservativism that began in the immediate postwar era. Also, I don't mean to lay sole blame for our economic mess at the feet of neocons, although they certainly cheered the nonregulation sleigh ride. That process, unfortunately, fired up in the '90s - and Bill Clinton's administration was an active collaborator in putting a late-blooming "contract on America".

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Read Invisible Hands by a Ms. Fein. The anti-tax and anti-regulation movement begins way before that and really has little do, per se, with the neocons.

My take on the neocons is that they are former cold war liberals who became disillusioned with the Democratic Party around the time of McGovern, or maybe a bit before, when the New Left became quite dovish. Perle, for example, is still a Democrat.

They don't really care much about domestic politics or policies, almost exclusively about foreign policy.

What Blumenthal is talking about here doesn't have that much to do with neo-conservatism, IMO, but has more to do with how conservatives, who mainly had an economic, pro-rich agenda at the start, were able to cloak their agenda in the language of "values" and make it appeal to poor and working class whites.

For example, at one point, Jesse Helms realized he could no longer speak racism openly, but could accomplish the same things by cloaking his message in anti-government language. It was embarrassingly vile to bash negroes openly, but it was to fine to say, "Keep government out of my health care"...and similar types of rhetoric and arguments...which sort of accomplished the same thing.

Only thing is...keeping government out of one's health care has some serious negative consequences for EVERYONE.

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Of course Blumenthal's points have nothing to do with neoconservativism. Mine do. My position is that a few neoconservatives oddly placed at the heights of power have done more damage to this country than a million bible-thumpers chanting in unison. And it's a mistake, Tintin, to believe neocons have little interest in domestic affairs. Cloaking their rhetoric in "retro-liberal" slush, they push stuff like this (William Kristol on healthcare reform in July):

With Obamacare on the ropes, there will be a temptation for opponents to let up on their criticism, and to try to appear constructive, or at least responsible. There will be a tendency to want to let the Democrats' plans sink of their own weight, to emphasize that the critics have been pushing sound reform ideas all along and suggest it's not too late for a bipartisan compromise over the next couple of weeks or months.

My advice, for what it's worth: Resist the temptation. This is no time to pull punches. Go for the kill.

In addition to running his own rag, Kristol had a column in the New York Tims until this year, and now writes for the Washington Post.

The late Oral Roberts never was feted by company so posh.

Straaaange... huh?

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Yes, I see your point. I tend to think their passion is foreign affairs, but will use battles like HC to bring down Obama.

IOW, anything that takes down Obama is good for their foreign policy agenda. But this is a quibble and a bit of inside baseball.

All that said, it's important to remember that without the Christian Right, these guys don't have any voters with which to gain and wield power.

So while Oral Roberts may never have written an Op-Ed for the Times, he and Robertson and Falwell and Dobson wield the power without which Kristol is simply a talking head.

Met an interesting guy once at my lunch spot--a libertarian, Ph.D. poli-sci guy, electoral law attorney--he studied with one of those twins at Emory, but can't remember their name--and he said this: Somewhere in the 1970s, conservatives figured out they were going to be a permanent minority, around 40% of the vote, unless they could add a new block to their coalition.

And that new block was, essentially, the Christian Right or values voters. The big conservative coup was in convincing these people that their interests were aligned with JP Getty's--that they were all entrepreneurs and free marketers, standing side by side, battling the forces of socialism together.

HW Bush is a beautiful symbol of this sleight of hand: New England born and bred with deep roots on Wall Street who "transformed" himself into a pork-rind-loving southern oil man. W took it one step further by virtue of his upbringing and, at least sounded more "authentic" than his Dad. W could really fool 'em. HW always felt like a phony.

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You've described, succinctly and incisively, how political coalitions are built in a democracy. How is it that liberals find this so off-putting? Why aren't there attempts to find common ground with "values voters" and the Christian Right - instead of holding them in contempt and trying to dice them out of intelligent humanity as "authoritarians" or fools driven by vices? There is in the Left an appalling arrogance, an assumption of rectitude that history and common sense has so far demolished. This packs the dogma of the Left in a tight little bundle, narrow of vision and absent any imagination. We can no longer take our marching orders from comfortable, upper-middle-class boors thoroughly convinced their inexperience and hypocritical "ideals" exclusively answer our political quandaries.

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Curt, this is a familiar point, but I have to say, I think the opposite is true. Liberals are most often accused of being spineless and without principle, of standing for nothing, of being willing to compromise on everything.

In what sense is that arrogant?

Democrats, if you want to conflate them with "liberals," have compromised on many things. Gun control is WAY off the table. Howard Dean is very pro-gun, if you will. Hillary Clinton wants abortions to be safe, legal...and rare. What is that but compromise with those who wish to ban abortions? When Afghanistan and Iraq rolled around, Democrats were right there, supporting Bush, at least in Congress. Tax cuts? Same thing.

It wasn't long ago that Clinton declared the end of Big Government and went on to reform welfare. These were GOP policies and talking points, not liberal ones. And, in fact, as we see now, there are plenty of conservative Democrats who don't toe the party line in all important respects. Lieberman has been very naughty; Rahm say, "Give him what he wants." Obama is courting Snowe as though she were a member of his own party. The Blue Dogs have had $100 bills dropped into their tip jars by the top leadership. There are no Democratic Scozzafavas being run out of the party because they don't recite the catechism.

That's all happening amongst conservatives, Curt.

But I have to say, just as an example, when I'm asked to treat "intelligent design" as an intelligent alternative to evolution...or when the science supporting global warming is simply dismissed as "a hoax" (rather than a matter of science), then I, personally, draw the line. When I'm asked to treat Sarah Palin as a serious pretender to the throne, then I drop the pretense of ratiocination and dismiss her out of hand as not passing the laugh test--because she doesn't.

So yes, people who believe the earth was created 6,000 years ago and humans cavorted with dinosaurs and spend good money on "museums" purporting to show that...are foolish. I'm conservative in that sense: I believe some things are true; and some things are not true. At the very least, I think you should have to prove that something like that is true before you put it into an educational curriculum. Scientific theories aren't just opinions; they represent specific advances in human knowledge.

So yes, people who "disagree" with this are, IMO, foolish. They are as foolish as the deluded man who walks off a cliff because he doesn't believe in gravity and thinks it's "only" someone's opinion and other outcomes should be considered.

When the Christian right seeks to IMPOSE its theological views about what a human being is, when he comes into being, and with whom he should have relations, then, yes, I say that's authoritarian--because it is. Liberals aren't telling the Christian right to have abortions or same sex marriages. They aren't defining for Christians the moment when a life becomes a human being. Liberals actually aren't imposing their practices on the Christian right; the effort is all going in the opposite direction. And isn't it, generally speaking, the imposers who are the arrogant ones in thinking their way is THE right way, is God's way? I think so.

So, if forming a coalition means having to accept these points of view and practices as my own, or tolerate their imposition on others, then no, I cannot. I don't believe in them; why should I? Why should anyone who doesn't believe in them?

The "pro-life" movement isn't willing to say, "Well, sometimes abortion is the right thing to do." They stand for a principle, are proud of it, and even see themselves as superior to wishy-washy liberals in that regard. Some of them even think it's okay to kill doctors, and burn or bomb abortion clinics because "it's the right thing to do."

But, personally, I could easily see forming coalitions with the Christian right on all manner of humanitarian efforts. Poverty. The environment. War and peace. And there have been some glimmerings in that direction.

I guess one last thing. FDR and maybe LBJ were the last great Democratic coalition builders. FDR got a lot of things done by working with the future Dixiecrats. He had things to barter that they wanted for their people, like indoor plumbing, electrification, and jobs. But he had to stay away from Jim Crow to get it all done. Was that the right thing for him to have done?

And when LBJ took a different decision with the Voting Rights Act--surely a bedrock American right enshrined in the Constitution and one that should have been accorded blacks approximately 100 years previously--he lost that coalition. Those folks didn't say, "Hey, maybe ole Lyndon's got a point. Maybe we don't know everything. Maybe we aren't so smart after all. Maybe we should compromise, keep the coalition together, find common ground, keep a thing that's MOSTLY good for us going strong."

Not at all; they were outta there.

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Coalitions are transient, Tintin. So are the issues that create them. The Voting Rights Act, however, is still law. And the South today is vastly different than it was in 1965.

But Progressives stay true to their vision. Stuck, in fact. It's almost as if Bull Connor still scores marchers with high-pressure hoses. And these crackers remain authoritarian.

But... taking away the guns of law-abiding citizens... that's not authoritarian. Right?

No voting bloc has a monopoly of authoritarianism. Inasmuch as some Christians may try to ban abortions (and not all of them are Christian, by the way), there are some progressives who would ban "hate speech" - however the spurious term is defined at any given moment.

I don't want my children taught silly nonsense that the earth was created in week - nor would I impose my views on homosexuality upon any religious congregation. The nature of government is oppressive, and the nature of politics is to apply this oppression to our own benefit - all the happy talk about creating a better world be damned. Treasures - real ones - like our ability to speak and argue freely should be maintained.

No one is stamped "authoritarian" or "backward" without sanctions already envisioned down the road; those we would destroy, we first defame.

Progressives should suck in their guts and accept one universal truth: It isn't a grievous, unforgivable sin for people, even white Southern voters 40 years ago, to act in their own self-interest, even according to what appears their self-interest. That's human. We judge others at enormously high standards that we never, in our own lives, live up to.

That's human, too...

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C: Coalitions are transient, Tintin. So are the issues that create them. The Voting Rights Act, however, is still law. And the South today is vastly different than it was in 1965.

TT: True to your last point. But you're shifting here.

C: But Progressives stay true to their vision. Stuck, in fact. It's almost as if Bull Connor still scores marchers with high-pressure hoses. And these crackers remain authoritarian.

TT: But...many do.

C: But... taking away the guns of law-abiding citizens... that's not authoritarian. Right?

TT: There are no serious proposals to take away the guns of law-abiding folks. I wish we lived in a gun-free society, but I'm enough of an American to feel ill about the government disarming individuals.

C: No voting bloc has a monopoly of authoritarianism. Inasmuch as some Christians may try to ban abortions (and not all of them are Christian, by the way), there are some progressives who would ban "hate speech" - however the spurious term is defined at any given moment.

TT: There are some of everything, but I believe the Hate Crimes legislation bans criminal acts motivated by hate. The ACLU has repeatedly defended KKKers and Nazis when they exercised free speech. Even in Jewish neighborhoods.

C: I don't want my children taught silly nonsense that the earth was created in week - nor would I impose my views on homosexuality upon any religious congregation.

TT: But that's the point: No one is imposing his views on homosexuality on anyone.

C: The nature of government is oppressive, and the nature of politics is to apply this oppression to our own benefit - all the happy talk about creating a better world be damned. Treasures - real ones - like our ability to speak and argue freely should be maintained.

TT: Not sure I'd use the word "oppression," but okay.

C: No one is stamped "authoritarian" or "backward" without sanctions already envisioned down the road; those we would destroy, we first defame.

TT: Isn't calling someone "authoritarian" or "backward" free speech? I'm called a devil worshipper, atheist, commie and all kinds of things. Should I be worried? You're asking me to make common cause with people who say these things about me.

C: Progressives should suck in their guts and accept one universal truth: It isn't a grievous, unforgivable sin for people, even white Southern voters 40 years ago, to act in their own self-interest, even according to what appears their self-interest. That's human. We judge others at enormously high standards that we never, in our own lives, live up to.

TT: Curt, this leads to a lot of circularity and inaction or an inability to judge what others do. People acting in what at least appears to be their own self-interest is inevitable. I'm not sure sinfulness applies to this act per se.

That's human, too...

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It's not so much their ability to "pass" their agenda. Rather, it's their ability to set the baseline for the debate. For example, although abortion is legal--leaving aside serious challenges around the edges--we have this Hyde Amendment. And now the Stupak Amendment.

As far as I can see, the Hyde Amendment says that federal money will not be used for purposes with which this minority disagrees (largely on religious grounds). This Amendment is now a building block, a baseline if you will, for the discussion--meaning, "everyone accepts" that the Hyde Amendment is in place and must be accepted--and the right can use it as a building block for other blocks, such as the Stupak Amendment.

Once the Stupak Amendment is accepted, it enrages enough liberals that the survival of ANY HC reform bill is thrown into question. Same thing with public option and Lieberman.

The left is always pushing for some kind of change. The right is always pushing for some kind of status quo. So if they can disrupt the liberal agenda, they don't have to enact their agenda per se. They just have to keep nibbling at the edges and every so often making major thrusts where the situation is ripe.

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Have you read What's the Matter with Kansas? The Christian Right agenda has never been particularly important to Republican leaders. But the Christian Right votes are extremely important. Republican leaders have been manipulating social issue voters to get their military and fiscal agendas implemented. They don't even want the social issues to resolved because then they would lose their angry base.

But there's a catch. In addition to analyzing moderate Republican's cynical exploitation of the right, Thomas Frank documents the creation of a right wing monster in Kansas--a muscular "Con" movement that ultimately obliterated or co-opted the "Mods" in Kansas. That internal war on the right has now gone national, as demonstrated in the NY-23 special election.

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Republican leaders have been manipulating social issue voters . . . .

I tend to think that that patronizing conclusion is true to Frank's general thesis that the rank-and-file right votes against its economic interests.

The weakness in Frank's analysis is his assumption that ordinary voters act any differently. Voters -- on all sides of the aisles -- tend to vote for politicians who appear to be like them and believe what they believe.

And too, see the ultimatum game.

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Political manipulation, as I see it, is the art of persuading people to support you by cynically exploiting their hopes and fears (and game-theory dispositions) without intending to support their interests. To cite an example from Republican Gomorrah, when Tom Delay, who had taken his own father off life support, pushed through an unconstitutional bill that prohibited doctors from removing Terry Schiavo's breathing tube, knowing full well that the courts would strike it down, he was manipulating Christian voters, especially when he then declared, "It's more than just Terri Schiavo. I tell you, ladies and gentlemen, one thing God has brought to us is Terri Schiavo to elevate the visibility of what's going on in America."

Of course, Republicans don't hold a monopoly on manipulation. Politicians of all stripes excel at it, and Frank noted that the right-wing populist themes had been lifted from radical doctrines of the early 20th century. But there has been an incredible amount of manipulation on the right in the past few years. The condescension involved in calling it out does not make the accusation untrue.

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That governmental actors manipulate the people is a given. The issue is what kind of faction are they going to cultivate. Clearly the dysfunctional right wing base (growing I may add) is perhaps easily manipulated but it's "aspirations" such as they are are UREALIZABLE in any possible world (including the actual) that has any chance to advance us into any non dystopic future.

I suspect that a great deal of the "issues" these people have stem precisely because of the psychic dislocations that was inevitable with such things as the changing role for women, minorities, gays, the spectacular advances in scientific understanding of the world. We are witnessing the violet backlash of the ( essentially timid) right. Yes God is dead. A frightening thought. We finally have become masters of our own evolution, we have to assume responsibility of crafting our human futures and thus have become gods in our own right. A frightening thought to some, a tremendously inspiring challenge to others.

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On the contrary --

The folks Delay was appealing to fully expected the liberal devil-worshippers to win the battle and murder poor Terri Schiavo. All they wanted was a champion to give voice to their anger and frustration.

Manipulation had nothing whatever to do with it.

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Ellen, I think you have Genghis's point backwards. The issue isn't what the religious right "expected" to have happen at the end of the day. Some probably had their hopes raised when Frist was doing video diagnoses from the floor of Congress...Delay was making it a federal case...money was pouring in for court actions ...and Terry What's His Face was standing vigil.

The issue is what DELAY was doing...how DELAY was using THEM for his own purposes. Personally, he clearly didn't believe in the cause. Nor was it going to have any effect on how millions of people deal with end of life issues. And Delay KNEW that, which is what made it a classic case of demagoguery and manipulation. Those poor souls were, no doubt, happy to have someone speak for them. Unfortunately, they put their faith in the pied piper.

They were more valuable to Delay with their desires unrequited--frustrated and thus seething with energy to march and vote-- than if he had actually delivered what they wanted.

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Tintin articulated the point better than me. I would add that the idea that "all they wanted was a champion to give voice to their anger and frustration" is as condescending as any of Frank's claims. We are all motivated by multiple concerns. Expressing frustration is only one of them. That's why the ultimatum game has threshold of around 20% before the offers are rejected.

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Read Invisible Hands. It takes Franks further. His Wrecking Crew is also very good. But IH is superb scholarship and it was written as a thesis under Foner's guidance at Columbia, I believe.

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Thanks, I'll check it out.

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A point to keep in mind is that in order for Delay to succeed in inflaming his target audience, they have to be susceptible to his provocations in the first place otherwise all the ranting and raving in the world will simply fall on deaf ears. This kind of opportunism requires a propensity for the manipulated to go down that path in the first place and that's the core phenomena that needs to be explained, not Delay per say. That's my point

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Well, yes, and maybe we're all a bit gullible that way.

John Chait once wrote an interesting article about how conservatives are more interested in principle, while liberals are more interested in "what works." So, if someone could show a liberal that one of his policies wasn't working, wasn't doing what it was intended to do, he'd be inclined to change it. But a conservative is likely to continue on in the face of defeat simply because it's "the right thing to do." Now, of course, this is a generality, and there are plenty of "believing" liberals who find it hard to change their minds, but he was talking in general.

But that may be why conservatives get worked up by slogans that strike me as empty generalities, e.g., what's the price of freedom? Whereas, I'm more interested in, "how many people are dying? and what is the point of this war, exactly?"

This may also be why liberals are often characterized as spineless and too willing to compromise with their opponents. They want to get SOMETHING done. They're willing to grant that maybe the other guy has a point. Or the truth is somewhere in between. But if you think no price is too high to pay for freedom...well, you're going to spend your last dime and kill your last soldier to get there.

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"So can a shattered Republican Party reunite in time for 2012, or will its fixation on ideological purity and the histrionics of its leaders prevent it from returning to national power?"

This is a great question and a singularly important one. What nobody seems to take into account, however, is the basic fact that most people in the United States have no idea that a massive, Darwinian struggle is even occurring within the Republican Party. The reason is because "most" people just aren't particularly interested in politics; especially when there isn't a presidential election anywhere in sight.

Try asking an acquaintance what they know about the current Republican civil war. In most cases, you will probably be greeted with the same blank stare that you'd get if the subject of conversation were anti-matter annihilation. The failure of the MSM to report on this massive schism isn't doing anyone any favors considering the GOP (whatever that means) stands to gain big in next year's midterms.

What remains to be seen is which faction ultimately prevails? Will the party split permanently and lead to the formation of a third party? Will the religious right make a comeback? Will the Neocons try to make a play? Whatever the outcome, I don't like the chances for regular, good 'ole fiscal conservatives. That group just isn't nasty enough to win such a dirty fight.

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MY COMMENT: The 'Christian Reconstructionists' and other adherents to 'Dominion Theology' scare the bejesus out of me. Thank you Max for your top-notch investigative journalism!

ALSO SEE: "Pastor Strangelove" by Sarah Posner @ "American Prospect", 05/21/06
(EXCERPT)...Besides his million-dollar compensation package, Hagee has a portfolio of other ventures, including a cattle ranch in south Texas that may have religious significance. Many evangelicals believe that the arrival of a "perfect red heifer" will signal the end times. In the Old Testament, burning a red heifer and sprinkling its ashes is described as a purification ritual for priests entering the temple...Some evangelicals likewise regard the red heifer as a harbinger of the ultimate showdown at the Temple Mount, which they believe will be the site of the Second Coming. And they believe that time is near.
To many other observers, the advent of the red heifer threatens to provoke a violent struggle for control of the Temple Mount, with worldwide repercussions. In the late 1990s, a group of unidentified Texas ranchers reportedly bred a perfect red heifer, which generated excitement in evangelical circles until the animal sprouted some black hairs.
Six years ago, the John C. Hagee Royalty Trust paid more than $5.5 million for a 7,600-acre ranch in Brackettville, Texas, where cattle are raised in a venture with the Texas Israel Agricultural Research Foundation, a nonprofit outfit operated by the pastor...Earl said that Hagee wants to share information to improve the production of livestock, particularly cattle, with an Israeli research project, but otherwise claimed to be unsure of the particulars. Dr. Scott Farhart, an obstetrician and trustee of the John C. Hagee Royalty Trust (and an elder at Hagee's church), did not respond to a request for comment, nor did the director of the ranch...
ENTIRE ARTICLE - http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=pastor_strangelove

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As I was contemplating whether to respond, and if so, what could I add that could contain any substance whatsoever. Thus, permit me to make a couple of minor points to the already existing excellence of some of the already posted comments.

1. As a Native American/Chicano/Military Vet from the Sonoran Desert and who speaks English as a 4th language and behind Yaqui, Apache, and Spanish, politics is a personal endeavor of mine. Consequently, when it comes to America's "dumb strikes", leave 'em alone since they are a godsend. And of course, I am speaking of the subject of this book, and many like it. And someday, I will read a book all about "racial and ethnics" in which they make their 'assessment" of these 'dumb strikes' as in current incarnation or the Republican Constipation.

2. When I ask that my ancestral homeland be returned to me in the pristine condition of when it was "discovered", I would like to see the clean water, clean air, and the clean dirt, again. However and invariably, the usual response is one for "Go to Hell!" and "Kiss my ass|!" and which doesn't engender political allies but does motivate my political foes. Consequently, I have much fun satirizing the "Bald-headed white guys 'preaching' their brand of Legacy."

3. For me, my triangulated politics consist of 1) Confused Conservatives, 2) "regressive" Moderates, and 3) "aggressive" Moderates. And with this simple-minded template of mine, I readily find that the 'ease of understanding' is not overly difficult as to "reframing" or the use of the labels, especially when rejecting such nonsense as TeaBaggers, Liberals, Progressives, Centrists, and assorted specious actualities in our public discourse. Therefore, anything that is not on the agenda for the "aggressive" Moderate and for the betterment of Society Writ Large, is a non-starter for me.

4. And I have long-believed that when Congress passes legislation the prohibits the political parties from accepting the memberships of America's bigots and racists, only then, will my 'triangulation' come to fruition. And this legislation and the support for it, is the one sole criteria that defines the distinction for being an "aggressive" Moderate. All other things being equal, the canvas is comprised, for the most part, of "regressive" Moderates.

5. Now, with the Gonorhetoric being what it is in our toxic environment, the Right is not overly relevant excepting for the "regressive" Moderates, since they must have that "something" to hold over the heads of the Confused Conservatives. Consequently, I enjoy it immensely when I see or read the "regressive" challenging the Confused Conservative, and all done on speciousness and nonsense. And yet, many see this as America moving further to the Right.

6. Well, as to the political gutter, I enjoy that too. After climbing out, washing off the filth and stink is easily accomplished and relatively inexpensive. And of course, moral cowards are usually found in the political gutter, hiding and hoping that I am blind, but not so. As to the Joe Lieberman's of this world, many of his like-minded ilk, deserve their comeuppance, as well.

And finally, I will read Max's book, indeed.

Jaango


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great eye-opening book. thanks, Max

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"When I ask that my ancestral homeland be returned to me in the pristine condition of when it was "discovered", I would like to see the clean water, clean air, and the clean dirt, again."

That is fine, but just how do you expect to bring back the Pleistocene plants and animals?

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otghand,

This would be easily accomplished via a "conservative war tax" and which would consist of a voluntary subscription. Thus, at the end of the political day, we would all find for ourselves, the number of "dedicated" conservatives versus the number of "convenience" conservatives, that reside in our America.

And all this accumulated wealth and would be turned over to the scientific community for their continued tango with intellectal vigor.

:-)

Jaango

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Have gotten as far as Chapter 10, of Gomorrah, Max.

So far, quite enlightening.
What has become apparent to me is that James Dobson is the point of the neocon arrow. His skilled manipulation of those with psychological frailties is, indeed, impressive. He is the equivalent of a chess master. Looking back at the Bush administration it would seem that the psychological profiles of the movers and shakers within that administration would strongly adhere to Dobsons' "Dare to Discipline." Those who were not in lock -step with the concept of coercive discipline were cast aside. I think this policy was applied to the administration as well as diplomatically. It seems that being disciplined as children did not "set well" with most of the sovereign powers!

Although, I have not completed "Gomorrah," I've noted that little has been noted relative to the obvious movement to proselytize our military. I, strongly, believe the movement is deeply ingrained throughout all services and government agencies.

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I guess the basic premise of this book is that Republicans don't really believe in the Conservative vision they espouse, they are really suffering from a number of mental illnesses. Am I following this? Seriously, is that what the author is claiming? This is a joke right? Well, I guess people will say anything to sell a book.

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Think of it in terms of psychic space. Within this psychic territory, there are regions, some of these regions are incompatible with others. Now avert your attention away from the psyche to the space-time world in which we play out our physical lives. You can say that different people who are denizens of different psychic regions will tend to want to move our physical world in one direction rather than another. Call them different world realizations or social agendas if you prefer.
Now given the actual realities of modern life some of these people we are talking about inhabit what I and others think are toxic regions that if instantiated into social action would lead to one or another type of dystopia.

I say, they have "issues" that need to be addressed and not exploited by the Tom Delays of the world.

Obviously, theoretically at least, I might be totally wrong about this and it might be that these people who I say have issues are really the avant-guard of a bright and shiny future for humanity. So, I guess what I'm saying is that who it is that is mentally ill or has issues is relative to where you are in psychic space, But that cognitive relativity has consequences for the future of humankind and those consequences are anything BUT relative.

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I appreciate your explanation. Regarding your references to relativity, I'm sure there are many Republicans that would consider the people trying to manifest a new reality in this material world to include community organizers, global warming activists and so on. I think one of the differences would be that most conservatives are more in favor of limiting the government's ability to be the instrument of that influence. So when considering the consequences as either a dystopia or a utopia, or something in between, the difference is a world where a powerful government can force the dystopia on people or a limited government that allows for a world where people have more freedom to opt out of the dystopian plans of the denizens of these psychic regions you refer to, whether they be the ones you fear or the one's conservatives fear.

Your interesting and detailed description made me think you would find Thomas Sowell's "A Conflict of visions" an interesting book end to the above mentioned work. He describes the differences between the left and right as not a difference in ideology or cognitive constructs on how the world works, but a conflict of visions or some sort of a pre-cognitive vision of the world we live in. I have several liberal friends that have read it and considered it an interesting roadmap on how the right and left have found themselves on such divergent paths.

Thanks for your interesting explanation.

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TJ...
I have no expertise in political science -- nor have I completed the book. Obviously, you are a conservative and that's fine with me. I have no desire to convert you.

I believe Blumenthal is analyzing a culture within the conservative movement. He is going beyond what we are shown on the Sunday talk-shows and what we see in 30 second news clips. He is defining the backgrounds of the movers and shakers of the religious right. The author makes an effort to describe the psychological evolvement of the power brokers of the religious right.

I could define how Max describes their similar philosophies in analytic terms, but would only be quoting the book. Steal it from a library and read it.

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Chuck, did you see what I was referring to as far as his basic premise. It definitely does sound like he is trying to say either there is a cabal of people who all suffer from diagnosed and undiagnosed Psychological illnesses who are brainwashing the masses to follow their cult...or all conservatives are mentally ill because they do not support liberal causes.

You are right, a thorough reading of the book would clear this up, but just the summary sounds like something your would hear in a Cambodian re-education camp. The right and left have different visions and believe in different ideology, but trying to "scientificate" away a failure to understand the oppositions belief system is not a substitute for political discourse. I have commented here recently about the volume of angry liberals trying to understand Lieberman's actions by looking at it through the context of his being a Jew and claiming he is not a good Jew and so on. This also is a similar cop out. Is it possible, Lieberman and conservatives have beliefs that the left has either gone to the trouble to investigate and decided its not their cup of tea,....or maybe the left is just so wrapped up in their own cocoon that they are not willing to look at the views of others that disagree? I think the former description is the best option and that is don't try to measure the size of someone's cranium to see if they are conservative or "right thinking",...Take a good long look at their rhetoric and try to understand what they are saying...and then if you choose to, disagree.

That is why I'm here. To learn more about the ideas that I am not always exposed to. I am guessing that this kind of "speculating" about what the other side is "really" thinking type piece will become more common as the political culture becomes more divided and the information age makes our political information base more specialized and insular. I just like to come over and see what you guys think for myself.

Thanks for your response, Chuck.

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It definitely does sound like he is trying to say either there is a cabal of people who all suffer from diagnosed and undiagnosed Psychological illnesses who are brainwashing the masses to follow their cult...or all conservatives are mentally ill because they do not support liberal causes.

In the same sense that you ventured into the "dark side" in order to understand my philosophy (or the philosophies of TPM regulars,) Blumenthal appears to be attempting to provide an explanation for how and why the radical religious right became so powerful relative to the platform of perfectly normal Republicans. You might be surprised relative to how close our philosophies coincide. You must realize that the GOP is being riven by the radical religious right and basic Republicans. Mysticism has replaced conservatism in a large portion of Republican "true believers." As we have seen today, being a Democrat leader tends to be the equivalent of "herding cats,"...I prefer that to the goose-stepping of Republicans that are a mirror of the Waffen SS that marched before Der Feuer. And that is what I perceive.

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If as you say Blumenthal decided to venture out to understand the other side, then that is admirable, but to me it sounds like an explorer that returns home and tells stories of uncivilized heathens that are inhuman and need to be conquered, because they lack a soul.


I am under the impression that another aspect of his book is the oft repeated meme that the GOP is divided and falling apart, so I am not sure what you are referring to regarding goose stepping Nazis and Hitler. If you would like to expand on that, I would be very interested. Regarding your idea that the GOP has a problem with the influence of Christians, the party has different wings like all parties, but I would like to hear why you think the influence has "replaced" or engulfed all other aspects of the party.

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May I step in for a moment?

If you object to Max's psychoanalyzing the right instead of accepting that the right simply has a different ideological perspective...what then do you think of the barrage of accusations from talk radio, Fox, Sarah, Newsmaxx, and even the GOP in Congress that "Obamacare" entails "death panels," "mandated abortions," and represents a long stride toward socialism?

Why has the right's approach to what should have been a debate about health care reform--among people who "simply disagree" --descended into ugly speculation about Obama's place of birth, his "true" political beliefs and aims, and all sorts of paranoid ideation about who Obama is and what his "real" agenda is? Why is Michele Bachmann, a member of Congress no less, joined by quite a few other members out on the Mall, engaging in "debate" with people with whom they "simply disagree" under a large photo of bodies piled up at Dachau?

The right and left DO have different visions. But can the right CREDIBLY and WITH REASON claim that "Obamacare" is tantamount to sending people to the gas chamber--the clear inference from that sign?

In all honesty, in virtually every discussion I have with conservatives, and I have many of them, there is always a point at which they will tell me, "You just can't stand it that there are people who disagree with you." It happens every time like clockwork--and now you've said the same thing, though not to me.

But I ask you...when you listen to Rush and the Fox line-up and Palin and Bachmann and Taitz and even mild-mannered Senator Grassley who trotted out the "death panel" claim...is THIS the way you debate with people with whom you "simply disagree"? I would say this is how you "debate" with the Devil.

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One merely has to peruse the GOP Senate voting record to be alerted to the absolute conformity within the ranks. I, personally, identify Conservatives as similar to those of the ranks that dominated the Third Reich (goose-steppers.) I commented on a particular book and have no desire to involve myself in a pissing-contest with someone who has political (and moral) beliefs that I detest. Thanks for posting politely and continue to read and participate in TPM. You will find that most posters, here, do not post in generalities. They deal with specifics, name names and utilize references to support their contentions. The "Yes you did -- No you didn't" argument gets little attention here. Enjoyed posting with you.
Chuck

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I had not intended to engage in a pissing contest with you. I think I showed interest in your remarks about how overwhelming the Christian influence was in the GOP, because I'm not aware of the phenomenon to the degree you describe. You've read the book and seemed like the right person to explain it.

It's kind of a big jump to go from saying I might be surprised relative to how close our philosophies coincide,...to I hold moral and political views that you detest, but fair is fair.

I don't think occasional uniformity of voting records within a single party in and of itself makes one a mirror of the Waffen SS, but your other comments sounded pretty interesting, so I thought I would ask.

I'm not sure if your closing points imply that I am engaging in a "yes you did, no you didn't" argument or that I do not appreciate the specifics and well sourced responses here, as I said, I was trying to learn more about a topic and a book that you obviously have investigated much more thoroughly than I have. If my responses get little attention, I can live with that.

Thanks for your polite response and I look forward to reading more of your interesting ideas in the future.

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TJ:

It's kind of a big jump to go from saying I might be surprised relative to how close our philosophies coincide,...to I hold moral and political views that you detest, but fair is fair.

And right you are. It is obvious that you are, in fact "reading" my responses and my statements were contradictory. I am a registered Independent leaning left of center. My philosophies run the gauntlet of the spectrum.

Although I didn't agree with all of your responses to Tintin, I thought they were worthy and respectful. Okay...I apologize for the contradictory statements.
Chuck

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If your ideas cover a wide spectrum, then its obvious that you consider each issue with a serious degree of focus. I look forward to learning more about the variety of approaches that have made you an independent thinker.

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I hope you are not attributing to me every protester's remark that you have disagreed with over the years. I am not the "devil" if that is what your final remark means. You have referred to a lot of different people and remarks, but I will try to address most of it.

First of all, as you started out, my contention was not that two sides are painting the others ideas in the worst light possible. That is par for the course in politics. What I was contending is that Blumenthal appears to be taking it to the next level. He appears to be going beyond claiming that his opposition has wrong ideas, but that they have some sort of biological brain disorder that calls for Doctors to reprogram them. It is as if to say conservatives are not human and they have forfeited their civil rights for the fact that they are psychologically ill. This is the type of thinking you find in Cambodian re-education camps. I haven't read the book, but I read the summaries and the commentary so I may be wrong, but I'm sure it would be as intellectually lazy and maybe a relief for some conservatives to trot out a medical study that claimed that liberalism was a form of mental illness that required hospitalization. I'm sure if you look around you can find a conservative that has said that. So the examples you raise are off topic of what my point was, but will address them anyway.

what then do you think of the barrage of accusations from talk radio, Fox, Sarah, Newsmaxx, and even the GOP in Congress that "Obamacare" entails "death panels," "mandated abortions," and represents a long stride toward socialism?

I can't be responsible for every remark these people have made, but regarding the two items mentioned, Death Panels and slide towards Socialism. There are numerous examples of those on the left that in the last year have trumpeted the end of capitalism, or a new regulated capitalism, or a return of the acceptablity of socialism or some socialism. Howard Dean was DNC Chair earlier this year and recently he said there is no longer a debate on Capitalism or Socialism, he said it will now be a debate over how much more socialism we will have. That is not a random protester in a crowd, it is the Leader of the party. He is proud to be a leader in a move towards socialism. He and Hillary Clinton use the term communitarianism and socialism interchangeably. Michael Moore has a movie out that trumpets the end of capitalism and the benefits of a new socialist shift. So, I am wondering if you are troubled by the real shift towards socialism that the left talks about, or the fact that a conservative tries to portray it as something to be avoided.

Regarding Death Panels, I think a lot of liberals are most angry about the idea that their motives are being impugned as wanting to kill someone, much the way Ezra Klein impugned Joe Lieberman this week. I don't think Governor Palin was claiming Obama is some kind of blood thirsty Dick Cheney type caricature that enjoys watching innocent people die. She made statement that under new rules, her elderly parents and disabled baby may have to stand before panels that would have the power to deny them care that could result in their death. She was referring to proposed changes for IMAC that would give them broader powers to deny care to the elderly and the disabled similar to the UK, where their policy is to deny life prolonging procedures that amount to more than $35,000 for each year that life is prolonged. To the British this might make sense from a cost cutting perspective to treat the populace as a whole, but if it is your mother, and you could spend $350,000 to have her live 10 years longer, you would do it. The left gets angry when conservatives quote Obama's remark to the townhall questioner about her mother that it might be better to skip the costly surgery and give her morphine instead, but conservatives would like this to be a personal decision for an individual than a disinterested committee of bureaucrats. I'm sure you have read the conservatives sources and so on, but I will supply a typical article for you.

http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=10467

I have talked to some liberals that have said, we already have panels that decide matters of life and death at insurance companies or the doctors themselves or even greedy family members. Well, I think what conservatives find most distasteful is having a government that can use the power of life and death over its citizens to perpetuate its hold on power. I think our founders would consider this the most agregious breach of their founding principles, if the way conservatives are portraying it is accurate. I am contending that conservatives are actually fearful and sincere in their concerns, but I think implicit in your remark is the idea that they are knowingly mischaracterizing based on insincere and feigned concerns. That doesn't mean you think conservatives are mentally ill, nor do I think Obamacare supporters are insane, merely mistaken.

I was not aware that Michelle Bachman posed for photos in front of a photo of Dachau victims. Can you supply the photograph? I would be interested to see more information about her views on the accusation.

Regarding the Obama place of birth remark or the manner in which Obama dealt with requests for medical documents and birth certificates, I think you know that the people that say he was not born in America a fringe group, mostly populated by Ron Paul supporters and Lyndon Larouche types. Although Paul claims to be Republican and Larouche a Democrat, I don't think either of us wants to claim either of them. The way to avoid setting off the nutcases, is for Kerry and Obama to quickly release all pertinent documents early on the way candidate McCain and Bush did. I'm not blaming the victim, in this case Pres. Obama, I'm just saying, the birther thing annoyed me almost as much as mainstream democrats claiming Bush blew up the World Trade Center.

In all honesty, in virtually every discussion I have with conservatives, and I have many of them, there is always a point at which they will tell me, "You just can't stand it that there are people who disagree with you." It happens every time like clockwork--and now you've said the same thing, though not to me.

No I haven't said you personally can't stand it, but you claim I have said it, although not to you. One of the reasons, you hear that a lot is because, it has been said that Liberals consider Conservatives not just wrong, but evil, whereas Conservatives think Liberals are merely mistaken. Ronald Reagan regularly referred to his opposition as "my well meaning liberal friends". He did this to remind people that he is not questioning their sincere desire to improve the lives of the American people, i.e. to impugn their motives, but to point out that he believes they are mistaken and their ideas will have what he thought would be the opposite effect. I know there are distasteful people on the right and left, but it appears Blumenthal is not satisfied with conservatives being mistaken, and not even satisfied with conservatives being evil. It appears he is trying to convey that they have a fuse upstairs that has short circuited that has caused them to suffer from mental illness. I think this dehumanizes about half of the American population. Calling Conservatives devils is something we have grown accustomed to, but implying that a forced hospitalization and a power drill to the forehead is even more distasteful. (No, I'm not implying that that is written into the text of the current health care bill, as much as some might want it to be)

Thanks for your response and I'm glad you "stepped in" as you put it.

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Okay, let me try to respond...

TJ: "What I was contending is that Blumenthal appears to be taking it to the next level. He appears to be going beyond claiming that his opposition has wrong ideas, but that they have some sort of biological brain disorder that calls for Doctors to reprogram them. It is as if to say conservatives are not human and they have forfeited their civil rights for the fact that they are psychologically ill."

Here's what Blumenthal says above: "Many of the movement's most fervent activists had suffered existential personal crises ranging from struggles with homosexual urges to alcoholism to mental illness that propelled them into far-right politics. For these trauma-wracked personalities, who ranged from reclusive movement financiers like Howard F. Ahmanson Jr, a resident for two years in a mental institution before he became the self-proclaimed sugar daddy of the Christian right, to key Republican Party leaders like Tom DeLay, a philandering drunk known as "Hot Tub Tommy" before his rebirth as an evangelical Christian, authoritarian politics served as a balm for their psychological anxieties."

He does look into their chronicled past. He does look at their psychological state as he sees it. I'd have to check, but I guess Ahmanson was, in fact, in a mental institution for two years. Similarly, I'd have to check, but he again points to Delay's documented past.

But NOWHERE does he say these folks have a "brain disorder" and NOWHERE does he suggest that this disorder "requires Doctors to reprogram them." And NOWHERE does he say or imply that they have "forefeited their civil rights." This is all stuff you have made up.

He has looked into their past and is making claims about their psychological state and some of what may be motivating them. But this strikes me as legitimate. As an example, would you want someone in a position of responsibility whom you felt was psychologically unstable?

As to the issue of socialism, I think it's a matter of degree. If, by socialism, we mean public ownership of an organization or a facility, then we already have plenty of "socialism" in this country. And people actually like it. It works well. Everything from the sewers to the fire departments to the public schools. Virtually all of our seniors are thrilled with their socialized medicine in the form of Medicare. Now, suddenly, for the first time in history, the GOP is at least putting on a face of wanting to save Medicare--because they know it sells. Up to now, they've put forth proposals to cut Medicare. And of course, they opposed its creation--most notably RR--in the first place. So contemplating them as the saviors of Medicare doesn't really pass the laugh test.

Deregulation, begun under RR, has had dubious results at best though, no doubt, it's done some good. In the financial markets, it's had disastrous results, I'd say. At a minimum, the markets and their private leaders failed to police themselves as Greenspan thought they would. It was a failure of the regulators too, but by now, the regulators have been weakened by a general ideological bias against "government regulation" and a sheer lack of funds and manpower. You can't police the markets if you don't have enough police on the streets.

(One conservative gambit, IMO, is to hamstring government by "starving the beast" and then say, 'Look! Government doesn't work!' Not honest.)

So you have to see Dean's remarks in that context, I think. Conservatives characterize those remarks as a desire to turn America into the former Soviet Union. "More socialism" becomes "totalitarian state." But in fact, there are plenty of examples where "more socialism"--say, in health care--doesn't mean anything like "totalitarian state" at all. In the early 60s, RR sent out his recording warning that Medicare would be the first step on a slippery slope to totalitarianism, i.e., "socialism." Well, it wasn't. The British don't live in a totalitarian state, nor do the Italians. The Canadians certainly don't, and neither do the French or Swiss. And yet they all manage to cover everyone.

Michael Moore's movie--though I haven't seen it--is a critique of capitalism. If there are things wrong with capitalism, shouldn't they be critiqued? Isn't that the intellectually honest thing to do? Why hold capitalism above all criticism? How honest is that?

If we had "socialized medicine" everyone would have the plan seniors now enjoy and love and the GOP is pretending to be trying to protect. And we'd have to put it on a sound financial footing.

As to "death panels," it's clearly an incendiary phrase meant to scare people. Surely, we can agree on that. She didn't come out and say, "Good idea, but we need to change here, here and here." As to the Cato fellow's contentions, I'd have to get down in the weeds to see if what he was saying had any real merit. It struck me as heavily caveated: If this, then maybe that. And certainly tweakable to avoid bad outcomes. But tweaking and making better is NOT what Sarah Palin is all about here. When you invoke "death panels," you don't want to improve a bill, you want to destroy it and you are purposing conjuring the worst possible images to ensure that happens. It's not as if you don't like this or that provision, you want the whole thing to fail. If you don't see that, then you and I probably have limited places where we can agree.

If we had a system like Britain's then you, if you had the money, could buy any kind of care you want. I know this, because I sold private health insurance in the UK. You can buy yourself a Harley Street doctor, and get any level of care you want. Right now, and ever since the campaign, Obama EXPLICITLY REJECTED the British system. Ruled it out. Even said it was sort of unAmerican. But even if we had a single payer system, which has NEVER been on the table, you could still take your money and buy whatever kind of care you could afford for yourself or your parents. There's nothing stopping you.

The problem is, millions of people don't have that kind of money and so they're left without any options. Millions of others with insurance are left to contend with faceless insurance company bureaucrats who will decide what gets paid for and how much. They are utterly unaccountable to anyone or thing other than their own internal policies which are purposely kept opaque to the outside. Their decisions are final and largely non-reviewable. Try it sometime the next time an insurance company refuses to pay your claim or gives you less than you think you should get. There's essentially no recourse. At least with a government agency, there is SOME accountability, even if the thread is thin. There is SOME sense, or there used to be before conservatives turned "government" into a dirty word, of PUBLIC SERVICE. Private companies have NO obligation, whether met or not, to serve the public. Their only masters are their shareholders.

So I'd venture to say that the founders would find a public system preferable to a private one. After all, didn't Ben Franklin replace the patch quilt system of letter delivery with the USPS?

But the bottom line is, insurance companies ration care. Anyone who has bought a plan, or has looked at his company's plan, or put in a claim, knows that there are limits to what the insurance company will pay for. That's a fact. And if you're on your company's plan and you get sick, you get what you get. And you can't move to another plan--even if the company allowed you to move--because now you have a preexisting condition. So the fantasy of "freedom" that conservatives attribute to the current system really is fantasy. Yeah, it's there...sort of. But come to DC some time when they hold "open enrollment" in the agencies. It's like a game of musical chairs as these folks review, re-evaluate and switch coverage. I've never been at a company that offered anything comparable to that level of freedom of choice.

But here's the dishonest part, IMO. On the one hand, conservatives claim that Medicare is going bankrupt and it (really all government programs) should be subject to stricter financial discipline. Often that means cutting programs, cutting benefits, cutting spending. Make government more like the private sector in that way. And yet, this is precisely the FEAR they express toward government programs--that Obama will examine whether such and such a treatment is effective, or cost effective, and deny them this treatment in the name of fiscal responsibility or medical responsibility. They SAY they want to cut out wasteful spending on programs that don't work, but then stoke fears that government will cut wasteful spending on medicine that doesn't work. On the one hand, they defend an insurance company's right to deny coverage for too costly procedures to patients who are too costly to cover....but fear the government will do the same. They complain that government is simply incapable of running a tight ship and they complain when someone like Obama pledges to run a tighter ship.

So here, you say to Chuck T: "Is it possible, Lieberman and conservatives have beliefs that the left has either gone to the trouble to investigate and decided its not their cup of tea,....or maybe the left is just so wrapped up in their own cocoon that they are not willing to look at the views of others that disagree?"

This is the point I was making about "disagreeing." You weren't talking to me, because I hadn't entered the conversation yet.

As to Dachau, just Google the tea party held by Congresswoman Michele Bachmann on the Mall. Many GOP Congressmen and women were there, including Minority Whip Eric Cantor. Plenty has been written about the photograph. And you will find remarks by Eric Cantor saying that the photo "wasn't helpful." Lots to read and easy to find. So, again, I don't think these GOPers are saying that Democrats or Obama are merely "mistaken." Reagan did say those things and, in fact, he got a lot of Democratic support. (BTW, when you change "Democratic" to "Democrat," you aren't engaging in a simple disagreement between parties, you are denigrating the opposition--you're name calling.) Even GW got a lot of Democratic support after 9/11, despite his having been installed by activist judges on the SC.

So, I guess, bottom line, when Palin lies about death panels (even the Cato analyst hedges his bets on this one)...when you have the the talkers on TV and radio saying President wants to turn this into a socialist state... when you have repeated claims that he's not an American even when he's released is BC and there are newspaper reports of his birth...when you have Obamacare compared to Dachau...when you claim erroneously that the bill will "mandate" abortions... when you have Jim DeMint of SC telling the faithful that reform will be Obama's "Waterloo," a goal that is utterly beside the point of ensuring good health care for Americans... it is very hard for me to believe that the GOP is "disagreeing" in good faith.

So, at that point, I look for other motivations. I can no longer say this is an honest disagreement, because there is little to no honesty in the arguments. The arguments are largely fact-less. And what facts there are center on issues that could be easily dealt with, but which are blown up to theological proportions. Obama wants to turn this into a socialist state, a gulag. Obama is a Kenyan. Obama is willing to let some faceless bureaucrat kill my poor Trig. Obama is the anti-Christ. These are all highly inflammatory and baseless claims. And when they are put forth by folks who are otherwise in command of their faculties, yes, I do have to look for other motivations. And no, it is no longer a matter of a simple disagreement.

BTW, where do you find "forced hospitalization" and "a power to drill to the forehead"? Please come with some actual language in the bill that says anything like this.

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Let's work our way backwards here, TT. First thank for your detailed and thoughtful post.

First, The power drill remark was clearly a joke and I even joked that although there is no provision in the current bill, some might wish there was. So, as far as me providing language in the bill, I already said there is no language in the bill, because it was clearly a joke.

Let's start with your summary paragraphs:


So, I guess, bottom line, when Palin lies about death panels (even the Cato analyst hedges his bets on this one)...

I think your above discussion of Palin contends that there are panels that their are cost cutting oversight panels and you went in to detail about how the private sector does it too. It sounds like you are admitting that there might be some truth in her underlying contention, but as you said, the phrase "death panels" is incendiary. I don't think her contention is a lie. Is the phrase incendiary? Maybe it was intended to be so. We are told that Palin is a ditzy MILF, but apparently she must have some political skills, because the phrase got instant traction. Lies? No. Making the bill look bad? probably. And your contention that she only wants to kill it all, rather than work on little parts here and there, assumes the GOP doesn't have an alternative. They do. If the Democrats don't allow the GOP to participate, and it dies, they have no right to claim the GOP were not willing to "improve" the bill. And if the bill dies and the next day the GOP put there bill up for debate, what are the chances of them getting it heard. It is the party in control that is making this all or nothing.
... when you have the the talkers on TV and radio saying President wants to turn this into a socialist state...
I appreciate the fact that you have explained with numerous examples that there is already some degree of socialism and that we are witnessing an increase in socialism. You like that and believe the American people like that. I say I appreciate that, because if we call it what it is, and you prefer it, and the people do too, then good for them. What a lot of people don't like is promoting Socialism and denying that it is out of fear that if the people find out that it is, that they will oppose it. That would be lying. When Dean or Hillary openly admit their socialist ideas, I appreciate their honesty. If a conservative points it out as fact and that ticks off a liberal, it is merely for the fact that they don't want this fact to be shared with the public for fear it will be frowned upon by the people. This was my point in the previous post. In the marketplace of ideas, if you can't bring your ideas out in the open for the public to see, then you must be admitting they can't win. You are saying the public likes those socialist ideas you mentioned, if so, then let the people have what they want. According to current polls, the current bill is not what the public wants, but that doesn't seem to change anything.

Which leads me to the Demint remark. Some Democrats have used this same remark that they feared it would be his waterloo. Many portrayed his remark as implying that Demint will oppose an excellent plan in order to get at Obama. That is either intellectually dishonest or just intellectually lazy. Anyone that knows Demint, knows that he does not consider Obama's well publicized ideas on Healthcare reform as an excellent idea. He was saying that it is a bad idea and an unpopular idea and if he pursues it, he will drag down his popularity,....which could be argued has proven to be true when you consider the polls. The mainstream media ran with this story, because it is based on the assumption that anyone that would oppose ObamaCare is knowingly opposing an Excellent idea. A clear majority of the American people don't think it is an excellent idea. I don't hear the Mainstream media attacking the 58% of Americans the way they attacked Demint.

... when you have repeated claims that he's not an American even when he's released is BC and there are newspaper reports of his birth...when you have Obamacare compared to Dachau...
As I said before, the Ron Paul and Larouche fringe groups are not mainstream GOP and represent a small nutty bunch that defies party affiliation. On the other hand the Palin baby story was repeated by mainstream personalities on the left and Andrew Sullivan for instance still has not let go of the "Trig is not the Governor's baby" story. 911 truther stories were repeated by the Democrat leadership. The two items you mention here are a super fringe group and an anonymous protester in a crowd with an offensive sign. Earlier, I was led to believe from your remarks that Michelle Bachman proudly stood in front of a Dachau banner and had her picture taken. As you said, when asked Eric Cantor expressed his discomfort with a random protester appearing with a poster like that. This happenes often, and if you have seen the news coverage of the yellow posters with Obama and a Hitler mustauche, what they do not say is that Democrat Lyndon Larouche supplies those posters to the protesters, yet they try to attribute them to the GOP. The items you mentioned are clearly not mainstream Republican ideas.
when you claim erroneously that the bill will "mandate" abortions... when you have Jim DeMint of SC telling the faithful that reform will be Obama's "Waterloo," a goal that is utterly beside the point of ensuring good health care for Americans... it is very hard for me to believe that the GOP is "disagreeing" in good faith.


So, at that point, I look for other motivations. I can no longer say this is an honest disagreement, because there is little to no honesty in the arguments. The arguments are largely fact-less.

Assuming that no rational person could find this bill imperfect is a pretty high bar and saying that Palin's remarks and the socialism remarks are fact-less is not necessarily so, based on your own comments. And the birther nuts are not mainstream Republicans.
... And what facts there are center on issues that could be easily dealt with, but which are blown up to theological proportions. Obama wants to turn this into a socialist state, a gulag. Obama is a Kenyan. Obama is willing to let some faceless bureaucrat kill my poor Trig. Obama is the anti-Christ. These are all highly inflammatory and baseless claims.
Theological proportions? I don't think so. I am not aware of any mainstream Republican that honestly believes or has said that our President is the biblical manifestation of the anti-christ mentioned in the book of Revelelations. Regarding the Gulag concept, as we have discussed there are Socialist components already and are being introduced and you like them, and thats fair. There is an honest and sincere belief amongst reasonable people that there is a tipping point at which a certain level of Socialism creates a power structure that becomes self-perpetuating and irreversible. Dean even stated that we are having a debate as to what the magical balance is. If honest people debate what that tipping point is and fear that we are closer to it than others, I don't think that is intellectually dishonest as you say. It just means we disagree.
And when they are put forth by folks who are otherwise in command of their faculties, yes, I do have to look for other motivations. And no, it is no longer a matter of a simple disagreement.

Regarding your remarks about private insurance, I think some of it is a bit of an oversimplification. I have had insurance companies deny claims and yes, it was a pain in the butt to challenge them, but I did and eventually they coughed up. And no, its not true that there is no recourse. Every state has Insurance commissioners where you can file complaints and ask for arbitration of some sort and I have used this option before and received satisfactory results. There is also an army of civil lawyers chomping at the bit to attack private insurance companies if they screw you, and finally, the free market if allowed to operate allows for people to walk away and find a better provider in most states and the GOP has actually offered ideas that will make it work better, but they are demonized as having NO plan and the party of NO, yet the Democrats will not even let them in on the debate.

You say the GOP is dishonest regarding Medicare and have not dealt in good faith on it or tried to keep it solvent. Thats just not true. Every Republican President in the last 50 years has tried to address the issue. When Gingrich tried to come up with increased options for the elderly, the Democrats did not work with him, they used it against him. When Bush tried to address it, they used it against him. When Nixon came up with a Healthcare plan that makes the current one look timid by comparison, Ted Kennedy destroyed it for political purposes and in later years admitted that it was his biggest regret in his career.

As you read current articles from the left, they claim that we have to pass this bill not because it is a great bill, but because if we don't, this chance will never come again. They basically admit that the bill stinks. They argue that this chance will never come again, because, as they point out, in each previous example where they tried a similar program in the past, no alternative plan was submitted after THEIR bill was scrapped. That is just not true. The truth is either no bill that they considered radical enough was feasible, or a Republican might get credit for addressing the issue and we just can't have that. The Waterloo Meme might apply more aptly to Ted Kennedy than Jim Demint. Demint honestly doesn't think the current bill is a good idea, he believes the people don't want it either and he thinks Obama is damaging himself by pursuing it. Kennedy and a number of other Democrats since have knowingly stood in the way of proposals on Health care that they believed were good ideas and ideas they would later propose themselves, but obstructed them for fear a Republican would get credit. Just because the GOP ideas were not socialist enough or radical enough does not mean they did not address the issue or offer up what they considered solutions.

The Democrats oppose the GOP on some of their ideas. Do I think they are theologically delusional? No. Do I think they are Mentally Ill? No. This is politics. I think they were mistaken. As I said, Reagan said, Our well meaning liberal friends are mistaken on this one.

When you or Howard Dean say honestly and sincerely that you like a little Socialism here and there, good for you. I try to listen and find out what the left really wants in the midst of all the political speak. If you listen to Jim Demint or Sarah Palin, if you can cut through the political speak and phrases you consider incendiary and ask yourself if its possible, they really don't like the level of Socialism that Dean wants, or they differ on what Dean considers that magical balance or what they would refer to as the dangerous tipping point, then try to imagine, they really sincerely believe this bill is a mistake.

It is possible for a rational person to find this bill imperfect and still be able to to live a normal life. With a majority of people in America who currently oppose it, it is possible that they are not hot tubbers, or suffering under sexual identity issues or in need of a visit to a mental hospital.

This is the way our political system works. Dean has his views, Demint has his. The people look it over and choose. Last night Obama said on ABC that if this bill doesn't pass we will all lose our insurance coverage and the United States will go bankrupt. Sound kind of incendiary? Thats politics.

I appreciate your thoughtful comments and much of what you said makes me realize that although we disagree, there is some common ground we can discuss and use to understand the issues better. I know Blumenthal didn't say he was going to force someone into a hospital and give them a lobotomy, but my point was, when we veer off the path of engaging in debate and listening to the other side and we give up and start imagining the otherside is somehow not rational in the clinical sense or that some mental illness or psychosis has caused them to not agree with your point of view, then it crosses a line where any hope of discourse is totally impossible and that is a very dangerous path to go down. If a conservative were to say this type of thing, I would lump them in with the dangerous fringe we have covered before.

Thanks again for your response. I enjoyed your ideas very much.

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Okay…
TJ: First, The power drill remark was clearly a joke and I even joked that although there is no provision in the current bill, some might wish there was. So, as far as me providing language in the bill, I already said there is no language in the bill, because it was clearly a joke.

TT: I didn’t hear it as a joke, but you DID say it wasn’t in the bill. I misread that. Sorry.

Let's start with your summary paragraphs:


TJ: So, I guess, bottom line, when Palin lies about death panels (even the Cato analyst hedges his bets on this one)...
I think your above discussion of Palin contends that there are panels that their are cost cutting oversight panels and you went in to detail about how the private sector does it too. It sounds like you are admitting that there might be some truth in her underlying contention, but as you said, the phrase "death panels" is incendiary.

TT: This is circular reasoning. It doesn’t make sense to pillory a system for a provision contained in the system you support. If that were the case, Palin would be required to say that Aetna has “death panels.” But she doesn’t. The CLEAR intent here is to scare people into thinking that they aren’t going to get the consideration or treatment they get now when, in fact, many people will get much more of both. So I’m not admitting that there’s “some truth” in her argument. This would be like GM trying to scare people from buying Ford cars because, holy moly, Ford cars use this highly flammable stuff called “gasoline” and you’ll be driving around in a bomb ready to detonate! Sorry. The point is, virtually ALL insurance systems ration care to some extent; permit some treatments and not others. But to scare folks with the words “rationing” and “death panels” when, in fact, the bill gives them MORE treatment and fewer restrictions than many private plans and gives the uninsured 100% more coverage than they have now is dishonest.

TJ: We are told that Palin is a ditzy MILF, but apparently she must have some political skills, because the phrase got instant traction. Lies? No. Making the bill look bad? probably.

TT: Oh she’s got political skills.

TJ: And your contention that she only wants to kill it all, rather than work on little parts here and there, assumes the GOP doesn't have an alternative. They do. If the Democrats don't allow the GOP to participate, and it dies, they have no right to claim the GOP were not willing to "improve" the bill. And if the bill dies and the next day the GOP put there bill up for debate, what are the chances of them getting it heard. It is the party in control that is making this all or nothing.

TT: Last I heard, the House took something like 126 Republican amendments. Clearly, they’re not going to take all of them and aren’t going to take the ones with which they disagree. I’ve only ever heard three ideas from the GOP: tort reform, interstate competition, and one other that escapes me, probably to do with tax. Everything I’ve ever read on tort reform, including from FactCheck.org, suggests at most a .5% savings. Moreover, if malpractice leaves a person impaired for life, the cost of living over a lifetime goes way up. Interstate competition might help some, but I’m not convinced. We already have states with multiple insurers, and they tend to cluster (fix?) their rates. The problem here is that the buyer can’t really walk away from the transaction. He MUST have insurance. The companies know this, so they have no real incentive, IMO, to cut him a break except along the margins. If a buyer can’t walk away from the transaction—because having insurance can be a matter of life and death for someone and his family—then he’s kind of over a barrel.

Moreover, I’ve NEVER seen a GOPer run on a health reform platform. Generally, they want to cut Medicare, reform torts, and allow competition. I’m not sure what that does for the people who don’t have insurance, or who get rejected for pre-existing conditions, or whose insurance is rescinded just when they need it. Never saw anything comprehensive from the GOP. Maybe they’re trying to get onboard now because they know being anti-reform is a non-starter.

TJ: ... when you have the talkers on TV and radio saying President wants to turn this into a socialist state...

I appreciate the fact that you have explained with numerous examples that there is already some degree of socialism and that we are witnessing an increase in socialism. You like that and believe the American people like that. I say I appreciate that, because if we call it what it is, and you prefer it, and the people do too, then good for them. What a lot of people don't like is promoting Socialism and denying that it is out of fear that if the people find out that it is, that they will oppose it. That would be lying. When Dean or Hillary openly admit their socialist ideas, I appreciate their honesty.

TT: I don’t mind the word socialism, but since the Cold War at least, it’s become a dirty word—to the point where, if an idea carries that label, many people won’t look at it. Is that a good thing in your opinion? Policymaking by label? Moreover, the intent is always to invoke the slippery slope argument: This step may be okay, but it’s one step closer to the gulag. Well, in fact, as we saw with MC, no it isn’t. And if that argument had been allowed to prevail, we wouldn’t have MC, and a lot of seniors would probably be a lot worse off. So it’s not just the word or label, it’s also the slippery slope argument that’s invoked. Here we have conservatives questioning liberal motives: They don’t mean well; they want to use this as the first step toward putting us all in the gulag. That was RR’s argument way back when he first opposed MC. But whether you call it socialism or pasta-making, MC and SS for that matter have done a lot of people a lot of good. They don’t even think of MC as “socialism” because, well, they have a lot of experience with it, and they like it.

TJ: If a conservative points it out as fact and that ticks off a liberal, it is merely for the fact that they don't want this fact to be shared with the public for fear it will be frowned upon by the people.

TT: Yes, because the word “socialism” has been demagogued. As soon as the label is affixed, folks say, “I don’t want that,” even if they would want were they able to look at what the proposal REALLY is.

TJ: Which leads me to the DeMint remark. Some Democrats have used this same remark that they feared it would be his waterloo. Many portrayed his remark as implying that DeMint will oppose an excellent plan in order to get at Obama. That is either intellectually dishonest or just intellectually lazy. Anyone that knows DeMint, knows that he does not consider Obama's well publicized ideas on Healthcare reform as an excellent idea. He was saying that it is a bad idea and an unpopular idea and if he pursues it, he will drag down his popularity

TT: Well, TJ, c’mon. First, nobody, by definition, is going to oppose “an excellent idea.” This is tendentious. But what is excellent? Second, he wasn’t giving advice to Obama, “Watch out! You’ll drag down your popularity!” He was rallying his troops to bring down Obama. His focus was NOT on health care at all. If it had been, then the remark would have been about the DeMint Plan. And lastly, he made this remark at the very beginning of the debate, when there was barely a plan at all, just a list of guidelines or principles—one of which was deficit neutrality.

TJ: A clear majority of the American people don't think it is an excellent idea. I don't hear the Mainstream media attacking the 58% of Americans the way they attacked DeMint.

TT: To be honest, this whole conversation has been so badly polluted with terms like death panels (thank you, Chuck Grassley) and mandated abortion and “government run health care”…I don’t think the American people have a clear idea of what the bill really is. It’s a shame. The GOP has been very effective that way and the Dems have been pretty incompetent. Then again, it’s harder to get something done than it is to tear something down.

TJ:... when you have repeated claims that he's not an American even when he's released is BC and there are newspaper reports of his birth...when you have Obamacare compared to Dachau...

As I said before, the Ron Paul and Larouche fringe groups are not mainstream GOP and represent a small nutty bunch that defies party affiliation.

TT: This isn’t true. There have been bills entered into Congress calling on candidates to provide BC…for the first time in history. Why? A number of GOPers did the old agnostic non-denial denial: “As far as I know, he is an American.” The GOP has been copping a feel from this the whole time.

TJ: On the other hand the Palin baby story was repeated by mainstream personalities on the left and Andrew Sullivan for instance still has not let go of the "Trig is not the Governor's baby" story.

TT: Sullivan is a conservative.

TJ: 911 truther stories were repeated by the Democrat leadership.

TT: Which Democratic leadership? Who, in Congress, has signed on to the truther tale? Kucinich? He doesn’t have much support, based on his track record. AFAIK, this is a part of the base calling for new investigations. Other parts of the base, like me for example, aren’t convinced by their arguments and don’t believe GWB was behind it.

TJ: The two items you mention here are a super fringe group and an anonymous protester in a crowd with an offensive sign.

Earlier, I was led to believe from your remarks that Michelle Bachman proudly stood in front of a Dachau banner and had her picture taken. As you said, when asked Eric Cantor expressed his discomfort with a random protester appearing with a poster like that. This happenes often, and if you have seen the news coverage of the yellow posters with Obama and a Hitler mustauche, what they do not say is that Democrat Lyndon Larouche supplies those posters to the protesters, yet they try to attribute them to the GOP. The items you mentioned are clearly not mainstream Republican ideas.

TT: "Who knew a casual comment on TV could generate this?" Rep. Jeb Hensarling (Tex.) exulted as he stood in front of the Dachau banner. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/11/05/AR2009110504566.html

TJ: Assuming that no rational person could find this bill imperfect is a pretty high bar and saying that Palin's remarks and the socialism remarks are fact-less is not necessarily so, based on your own comments. And the birther nuts are not mainstream Republicans.

TT: I don’t assume; I just don’t hear much in the way of facts or logic or reason.

TJ: Regarding the Gulag concept, as we have discussed there are Socialist components already and are being introduced and you like them, and thats fair. There is an honest and sincere belief amongst reasonable people that there is a tipping point at which a certain level of Socialism creates a power structure that becomes self-perpetuating and irreversible.

TJ: But TJ, the public option is so far removed from ANYTHING that resembles the gulag, a reasonable person is hard pressed to know what to say.

TJ: Regarding your remarks about private insurance, I think some of it is a bit of an oversimplification. I have had insurance companies deny claims and yes, it was a pain in the butt to challenge them, but I did and eventually they coughed up. And no, its not true that there is no recourse. Every state has Insurance commissioners where you can file complaints and ask for arbitration of some sort and I have used this option before and received satisfactory results.

TT: Wasn’t that “rationing”? Thank god for the little bit socialism we have!

TJ: There is also an army of civil lawyers chomping at the bit to attack private insurance companies if they screw you, and finally, the free market if allowed to operate allows for people to walk away and find a better provider in most states and the GOP has actually offered ideas that will make it work better, but they are demonized as having NO plan and the party of NO, yet the Democrats will not even let them in on the debate.

TT: Thank god for trial lawyers! No; they aren’t demonized. Democrats just don’t agree. They think they’re bad ideas.

TJ: You say the GOP is dishonest regarding Medicare and have not dealt in good faith on it or tried to keep it solvent. Thats just not true. Every Republican President in the last 50 years has tried to address the issue. When Gingrich tried to come up with increased options for the elderly, the Democrats did not work with him, they used it against him. When Bush tried to address it, they used it against him. When Nixon came up with a Healthcare plan that makes the current one look timid by comparison, Ted Kennedy destroyed it for political purposes and in later years admitted that it was his biggest regret in his career.

TT: I agree with Kennedy on this. But it’s a fact that the GOP have opposed MC from the get-go. They also don’t like SS and have tried to privatize that, fortunately, without luck. Unless a politician is for the ESSENCE of a program, then I don’t trust him to reform it. He’s most likely trying to destroy it piece by piece. If it’s a popular plan, then, of course, he can’t come right out and say it. So he HAS to say that he’s “reforming” it. But if an art critic hated Van Gogh, I wouldn’t just him to restore one of his paintings.

TJ: As you read current articles from the left, they claim that we have to pass this bill not because it is a great bill, but because if we don't, this chance will never come again. They basically admit that the bill stinks.

TT: The first person to try this was a Republican, TR. The don’t admit the bill stinks. Of course, no one likes ANY big bill because it’s always full of compromises. But that isn’t to say they think it stinks.

TJ: They argue that this chance will never come again, because, as they point out, in each previous example where they tried a similar program in the past, no alternative plan was submitted after THEIR bill was scrapped. That is just not true. The truth is either no bill that they considered radical enough was feasible, or a Republican might get credit for addressing the issue and we just can't have that.

TT: Not “never”…just a long time. Maybe they didn’t think those ideas were good.

TJ: The Waterloo Meme might apply more aptly to Ted Kennedy than Jim DeMint. DeMint honestly doesn't think the current bill is a good idea, he believes the people don't want it either and he thinks Obama is damaging himself by pursuing it.

TT: The idea that DeMint is looking out for Obama is, on its face, laughable.

TJ: Kennedy and a number of other Democrats since have knowingly stood in the way of proposals on Health care that they believed were good ideas and ideas they would later propose themselves, but obstructed them for fear a Republican would get credit. Just because the GOP ideas were not socialist enough or radical enough does not mean they did not address the issue or offer up what they considered solutions.

TT: “Socialist enough” or “radical enough” are tendentious. They didn’t think they were good ideas. But I agree, this goes on. The GOP complained that Clinton had co-opted all their best ideas.

TJ: The Democrats oppose the GOP on some of their ideas. Do I think they are theologically delusional? No. Do I think they are Mentally Ill? No. This is politics. I think they were mistaken. As I said, Reagan said, Our well meaning liberal friends are mistaken on this one.

TT: But what if they WERE mentally ill? Shouldn’t that be discussed and brought out into the open?

TJ: If you listen to Jim DeMint or Sarah Palin, if you can cut through the political speak and phrases you consider incendiary and ask yourself if its possible, they really don't like the level of Socialism that Dean wants, or they differ on what Dean considers that magical balance or what they would refer to as the dangerous tipping point, then try to imagine, they really sincerely believe this bill is a mistake.

TT: Then why don’t they OPENLY call for the elimination for MC? It’s socialist as hell. Seniors get—and the GOP is “trying to protect”—the very thing they don’t want the rest of us to have because it’s so awful. Is it okay for the oldsters to have socialist care?

TJ: It is possible for a rational person to find this bill imperfect and still be able to live a normal life. With a majority of people in America who currently oppose it, it is possible that they are not hot tubbers, or suffering under sexual identity issues or in need of a visit to a mental hospital.

TT: Sure. But what if they have these issues and they are driving them in a certain direction.

TJ: This is the way our political system works. Dean has his views, DeMint has his. The people look it over and choose. Last night Obama said on ABC that if this bill doesn't pass we will all lose our insurance coverage and the United States will go bankrupt. Sound kind of incendiary? Thats politics.

TT: I’d have to look at his wording on this. He is looking at the steep cost curve under current conditions and the number of people who are losing their insurance and the % of GDP going to health care. Doesn’t look good. But this is an argument from fact.

Thanks again for your response. I enjoyed your ideas very much.

Ditto.

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I guess the final piece of this is this...

Without a public option ("government run program") or a Medicare buy-in, there is NO socialism in this plan. And it looks like those things won't be in the plan.

We'll see, however, whether the Palins and the GOPers stop calling it socialism. I suspect not, but we'll see.

More broadly, ever since RR said that government was the problem, Republicans have associated virtually any government action--apart from security issues and making war--with the first step toward socialism.

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TT: This is circular reasoning. It doesn’t make sense to pillory a system for a provision contained in the system you support. If that were the case, Palin would be required to say that Aetna has “death panels.” But she doesn’t. The CLEAR intent here is to scare people into thinking that they aren’t going to get the consideration or treatment they get now when, in fact, many people will get much more of both. So I’m not admitting that there’s “some truth” in her argument. This would be like GM trying to scare people from buying Ford cars because, holy moly, Ford cars use this highly flammable stuff called “gasoline” and you’ll be driving around in a bomb ready to detonate! Sorry. The point is, virtually ALL insurance systems ration care to some extent; permit some treatments and not others. But to scare folks with the words “rationing” and “death panels” when, in fact, the bill gives them MORE treatment and fewer restrictions than many private plans and gives the uninsured 100% more coverage than they have now is dishonest.

....TT: Wasn’t that “rationing”? Thank god for the little bit socialism we have!


You make a few points throughout this series on several occasions that I disagree with. You compare private insurance providers choice to offer certain procedures or not offer as rationing and compare it to the type of rationing you would find in a government provided solution. When I told you I had been denied a claim, you called it rationing, but in the end it was covered. This was not rationing. The carrier believed it was a pre-existing condition based on a record of a separate visit to an orthopedic doctor. When I contacted the Doctor and he informed the carrier that it was a separate issue, they covered it. If a private company prior to purchasing the plan says it will cover some services and not others, you are free to choose a different plan or different provider or opt for a fee for service alternative. When one of my children was born they allowed for two nights in a hospital suite after birth if there were no complications. We wanted to stay one more night so we paid out of pocket for another night. Just because the carrier puts limits on procedures, does not make it rationing. In the private realm, it is called price rationing, where price defines the means by which goods and services are doled out. The phrase rationing in its common usage and in terms of health care is non-price rationing meaning everybody that participates in the government plan is treated equally, but since there are scarce resources, the amount is doled out based on other criteria. The example I gave in the previous post about the British $35k per year of life extension was similar to what Hillary Clinton explained in the 1990s that too much is spent for end of life care that has lower chances of being effective, so therefore it should be witheld under certain so called "reasonable" situations. That makes sense to her when looking at the populace as a whole, but does not make sense to an individual who is about to die and wants to use his life savings to try to stay alive. If you remember from the CATO study "reasonable" is the key word that the IMAC panels will be able to define. So back to your Palin response, she does not see private systems the way the left does so would not need to call them death panels. Regarding the "scare people part", I have already conceded that at the very least, your contention that she may have wanted it to be "incendiary" might be true in the context that she thinks that people would be very "concerned" to learn about IMAC and how it works and apparently many people are. You seem to be implying that she is knowingly telling lies that are intended to scare people about something that isn't true or is not really reason for concern, such as your gasoline analogy. Many on the left are assuming they have a perfect understanding of all 2000 pages of the bill and add to that the degree of trust required that the plan will remain as is once implemented and then they assume that others will interpret the bill exactly as they do, and anyone that does not is ignorant or dishonest. Today it was announced that the bill that has been under debate is not even the real bill. Harry Reid has a different copy of the bill behind closed doors that only the Democrat leadership can see. So here we are debating a complex bill on faith and it hasn't even been passed and Reid is already doing a bait and switch. http://www.sfexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/McConnell-Reid-Democrats-will-write-real-health-care-bill-behind-closed-doors-63768597.html


TJ: And your contention that she only wants to kill it all, rather than work on little parts here and there, assumes the GOP doesn't have an alternative. They do. If the Democrats don't allow the GOP to participate, and it dies, they have no right to claim the GOP were not willing to "improve" the bill. And if the bill dies and the next day the GOP put there bill up for debate, what are the chances of them getting it heard. It is the party in control that is making this all or nothing..........TT: Last I heard, the House took something like 126 Republican amendments. Clearly, they’re not going to take all of them and aren’t going to take the ones with which they disagree. I’ve only ever heard three ideas from the GOP: tort reform, interstate competition, and one other that escapes me, probably to do with tax. Everything I’ve ever read on tort reform, including from FactCheck.org, suggests at most a .5% savings. Moreover, if malpractice leaves a person impaired for life, the cost of living over a lifetime goes way up. Interstate competition might help some, but I’m not convinced. We already have states with multiple insurers, and they tend to cluster (fix?) their rates. The problem here is that the buyer can’t really walk away from the transaction. He MUST have insurance. The companies know this, so they have no real incentive, IMO, to cut him a break except along the margins. If a buyer can’t walk away from the transaction—because having insurance can be a matter of life and death for someone and his family—then he’s kind of over a barrel.

I know you are admittedly saying you might believe this or not convinced of that, so I'm not saying you are making an outright declaration, but using an example of tacit collusion amongst several insurers in a single state as an example of how multiple insurers nationwide would behave kind of flies in the face of economics 101. In a state where you have 3 providers, there is more of a risk of tacit collusion than if you allow people to cross state lines and choose from 10 or 20 , if that were the case. The more competitors the more likely you are to have a price sensitive player break from the pack. Then you follow that with the statement that buyers can't walk away. The relative inelasticity of demand is an argument for more providers not a single payer system. If the government runs health care then your warning about not being able to walk away is something to be scared about. Apparently there are millions of people who are not scared to death about lacking coverage, because there are millions that qualify for existing plans and don't use them.

Moreover, I’ve NEVER seen a GOPer run on a health reform platform.

If you mean running on a platform where Healthcare is the crown Jewel of their campaign, no I've never seen that either, and even on the Democrat side, Clinton is the only one I've seen at the Presidential level and Harris Wofford at the state level. But as far as a Republican who made it a highly prominent component of his campaign, you can start with Bush in 2000.His AARP backed Medicare act of 2003 has been described as the biggest expansion of the welfare state in 40 years.

Generally, they want to cut Medicare, reform torts, and allow competition. I’m not sure what that does for the people who don’t have insurance, or who get rejected for pre-existing conditions, or whose insurance is rescinded just when they need it. Never saw anything comprehensive from the GOP. Maybe they’re trying to get onboard now because they know being anti-reform is a non-starter.

The Democrats are always saying the GOP is on the verge of cutting Medicare and in fact it is the Democrats that are cutting it. I know you don't think so, but thats the way many people do see it. As far as being anti-reform, if you mean anti-this bill, then Howard Dean, Roland Burris, Ben Nelson and Keith Olberman is only the beginning of the Democrat list that are Anti-reform using that criteria.

TT: Yes, because the word “socialism” has been demagogued. As soon as the label is affixed, folks say, “I don’t want that,” even if they would want were they able to look at what the proposal REALLY is. TJ: ... When Dean or Hillary openly admit their socialist ideas, I appreciate their honesty. TT: I don’t mind the word socialism, but since the Cold War at least, it’s become a dirty word—to the point where, if an idea carries that label, many people won’t look at it.


That is for a reason. Socialism in one form or another has proven to be the deadliest philosophy of the 20th century. Before you say I'm lumping Nixon's or LBJ's big government solutions with Mao's cultural revolution, yes, I know some manifestations create more damage than others. I know you like some "Socialist style" programs and thats fair, but I do not. Its clear most Americans can tolerate some of these plans. But I also think Most Americans are very cautious about these plans. It is a dirty word and it does not have to do with brainwashing. It comes from numerous government programs that have promised big and then been botched and failed. It also has to do with high taxes that are spent inefficiently. You often hear average independents and moderate Republicans say, I don't mind this or that tax or government program as long as I feel like the money is being spent on something that is worth it. When people think of the word socialism, they don't get that feeling. You seem to like using Medicare as an example, I don't think most people realize how really huge and costly it really is and why it is constantly in danger of collapse. It is not efficient and it is not the best solution but we have it and must live with it.


What I am hearing you say is what I remarked on in my last two posts. You seem to be more worried about what the dumb people in flyover country are going to think when they hear a Socialist program being called socialist, than you are with offering the people what they want. Socialism is a dirty word not because of a clever marketing campaign by extreme right wingers. It is based on real life experience.I usually hear two defenses of Socialism. One is that it is misunderstood and two, it hasn't been properly implemented. Socialism has had one century to get it right, how many more do they need? The average American is not so dumb to not have experienced real life experience and wisdom of any negative effects of Socialism.

Is that a good thing in your opinion? Policymaking by label?


I'm wondering if you are trying to imply that the left does not use bumper stickers, slogans, and "labels"? Even the very nature of your discussion of Socialism is based on "packaging" Socialism in a palatable way so the frogs don't notice the boiling water.

Moreover, the intent is always to invoke the slippery slope argument: This step may be okay, but it’s one step closer to the gulag. Well, in fact, as we saw with MC, no it isn’t. And if that argument had been allowed to prevail, we wouldn’t have MC, and a lot of seniors would probably be a lot worse off. So it’s not just the word or label, it’s also the slippery slope argument that’s invoked. Here we have conservatives questioning liberal motives: They don’t mean well; they want to use this as the first step toward putting us all in the gulag. That was RR’s argument way back when he first opposed MC. But whether you call it socialism or pasta-making, MC and SS for that matter have done a lot of people a lot of good. They don’t even think of MC as “socialism” because, well, they have a lot of experience with it, and they like it.


....TJ: But TJ, the public option is so far removed from ANYTHING that resembles the gulag, a reasonable person is hard pressed to know what to say.


I don't think anyone on the left can deny that the current bill involves more government control in Healthcare than the original MC plan. You have admitted that as Dean said, the balance of Capitalism and "Good" Socialism has shifted in the direction of more socialism, so although you may not like the Gulag remark, by the nature of our discussion, RR was right at least in regard to the idea that MC would eventually lead to more socialism, because we are witnessing it now. Whether the slope is slippery or just a slope, who can deny that the left wants more of it than is currently in place? Just because conservatives claim that our well meaning liberal friends might implement socialist programs that will unwittingly result in Gulags, does not mean that they are claiming that all of the incremental steps leading up to a Socialist state is nothing but a Ruse to achieve the DNC's sole passion, a landscape covered in Gulags. I think you continue to miss the point of Reagan's use of the "Well meaning" phrase. I've said it several times and I will say it once more. Reagan meant that the left sincerely believes what they are doing will ultimately result in a Utopia, but they are mistaken. Furthermore, he believes that their plans will unwittingly cross a tipping point from which there is no return. As I have said, any criticism from conservatives is met with, "How dare you say that about us liberals, we have the best of motives". It is not about feelings. It is not about motives. It is about being mistaken.

TJ: .... He was saying that it is a bad idea and an unpopular idea and if he pursues it, he will drag down his popularity

TT: Well, TJ, c’mon. First, nobody, by definition, is going to oppose “an excellent idea.” This is tendentious. But what is excellent? Second, he wasn’t giving advice to Obama, “Watch out! You’ll drag down your popularity!” He was rallying his troops to bring down Obama. His focus was NOT on health care at all. If it had been, then the remark would have been about the DeMint Plan. And lastly, he made this remark at the very beginning of the debate, when there was barely a plan at all, just a list of guidelines or principles—one of which was deficit neutrality.


This goes back to the "I wish Obama fails" meme. How is it hard for someone to accept that someone might hear a proposal from an American President, and believe it to be a bad idea (even based on guidelines and principles), and then decide that they do not want him to successfully implement the idea they consider a mistake. It is possible for Americans to have political ideas that Obama may or may not be a constructive part of and it is possible for someone to warn that Obama is about to make a mistake that will damage him, without scheming against him or avowing obedience to him. Can we at least agree that Demint would have preferred. had he been granted a magical wish, that Obama announce in his Inaugural that no grand government run healthcare plan would be proposed during his Presidency? Assuming that Demint does not consider government run Healthcare to be his cup of tea, what he was saying is, if Obama is dumb enough to spend his political capital on a HillaryCare style plan, he will lose big and it will damage him. Would Demint prefer that Obama NOT try it? Yes. Would Demint like to see Obama fail in this endeavor if he attempts it? YES!! Not because Demint doesn't like Obama's personality or the way he talks...It's because he doesn't like the idea. He thinks it is a mistake. Will he rally his troops to oppose what our well meaning liberal friends are trying to pass? ...with every ounce of energy he has. Demint does not like new big government HillaryCare style health care plans. I do not like them Sam I am.

TJ: A clear majority of the American people don't think it is an excellent idea. I don't hear the Mainstream media attacking the 58% of Americans the way they attacked DeMint.

TT: To be honest, this whole conversation has been so badly polluted with terms like death panels (thank you, Chuck Grassley) and mandated abortion and “government run health care”…I don’t think the American people have a clear idea of what the bill really is. It’s a shame. The GOP has been very effective that way and the Dems have been pretty incompetent. Then again, it’s harder to get something done than it is to tear something down.

Yes, we just spent 8 years watching what it looks like to see opposition politicians tear things down. Like I said. That's Politics. It is now and it was then.
TJ:... when you have repeated claims that he's not an American even when he's released is BC and there are newspaper reports of his birth...when you have Obamacare compared to Dachau...

As I said before, the Ron Paul and Larouche fringe groups are not mainstream GOP and represent a small nutty bunch that defies party affiliation.

TT: This isn’t true. There have been bills entered into Congress calling on candidates to provide BC…for the first time in history. Why? A number of GOPers did the old agnostic non-denial denial: “As far as I know, he is an American.” The GOP has been copping a feel from this the whole time.

So there is no mainstream Republican that subscribes to the Obama non-citizen story. Regarding the bill you mentioned, it didn't really register much on my radar screen, but I think it would have been a logical issue to address had Canal Zone born McCain been elected. It would short circuit these nutjobs in the future regardless of their party affiliation.
TJ: On the other hand the Palin baby story was repeated by mainstream personalities on the left and Andrew Sullivan for instance still has not let go of the "Trig is not the Governor's baby" story.

TT: Sullivan is a conservative.

I challenge any one to find a conservative that would consider him a conservative. Add to that the fact he voted for Kerry and Obama and recently wrote a manifesto how he despises the conservative movement. We must be talking about a different Andrew Sullivan. The one I am talking about was described in Politico as a man possessed by the Palin baby conspiracy theory. If you would like me to name more left wing fetishists of the Palin baby scheme, I can. I am thankful Obama's children have been spared these kinds of assaults.

TJ: 911 truther stories were repeated by the Democrat leadership.

TT: Which Democratic leadership? Who, in Congress, has signed on to the truther tale? Kucinich? He doesn’t have much support, based on his track record. AFAIK, this is a part of the base calling for new investigations. Other parts of the base, like me for example, aren’t convinced by their arguments and don’t believe GWB was behind it.

Howard Dean, the ultimate leader of the party said, ""I don't know. There are many theories about it. The most interesting theory that I've heard so far, which is nothing more than a theory, I can't—think it can't be proved, is that he was warned ahead of time by the Saudis. Now, who knows what the real situation is,..." He also defends Obama's Green jobs Czar Van Jones who is a truther,...and then there is the poll that says a majority of Democrats believe Bush knew about 911 before it occurred which may not be Rosie O'Donnell melting steel territory, but it is disturbing.

TJ: The two items you mention here are a super fringe group and an anonymous protester in a crowd with an offensive sign.

Earlier, I was led to believe from your remarks that Michelle Bachman proudly stood in front of a Dachau banner and had her picture taken. As you said, when asked Eric Cantor expressed his discomfort with a random protester appearing with a poster like that. This happens often, and if you have seen the news coverage of the yellow posters with Obama and a Hitler mustauche, what they do not say is that Democrat Lyndon Larouche supplies those posters to the protesters, yet they try to attribute them to the GOP. The items you mentioned are clearly not mainstream Republican ideas.

TT: "Who knew a casual comment on TV could generate this?" Rep. Jeb Hensarling (Tex.) exulted as he stood in front of the Dachau banner. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/11/05/AR2009110504566.html

I asked if there was a photo of Michelle Bachman in front of the sign and there is none and if Rep. Henserling was proudly standing in front of the Dachau sign and making a reference to the sign as Dana Milbanks implies, why did he not snap a shot of it amongst the dozens of other photos he presented. The fact that Dana Milbanks did not is only one reason to believe he is smearing Henserling. This is Dana Milbanks who fabricated a story about a person in the front row of a Palin rally yelled "Kill him", which no one else heard and when questioned the police and the secret service who are compelled to document such things also say it never happened. Even those on the left reluctantly admit Milbanks makes this stuff up. I have known Jeb Henserling for 23 years and believe me, Milbanks attempt to marry Henserling with the Dachau meme is a lie and a smear.
TT: Thank god for trial lawyers! No; they aren’t demonized. Democrats just don’t agree. They think they’re bad ideas.
How is it that the GOP demonizes, but the left does not?
TT: I agree with Kennedy on this. But it’s a fact that the GOP have opposed MC from the get-go. They also don’t like SS and have tried to privatize that, fortunately, without luck. Unless a politician is for the ESSENCE of a program, then I don’t trust him to reform it. He’s most likely trying to destroy it piece by piece. If it’s a popular plan, then, of course, he can’t come right out and say it. So he HAS to say that he’s “reforming” it. But if an art critic hated Van Gogh, I wouldn’t just him to restore one of his paintings.
Sounds like you have a slippery slope argument as well as far as the GOP destroying things. Bush addressed Medicare and SS and on Medicare "Expansion" in 2003 the Democrats overwhelmingly voted against the President, and on Social Security reform which was the President's primary domestic policy initiative in his second term, they killed it before it got started. Did the Democrats not favor Health care reform in 2003? Did they not favor keeping SS solvent? I think if we applied your logic and reason that no politician should be trusted to address any program that he previously had opposed the initial framework, then I guess we could apply that to our current President on a number of issues. We could even argue that the Democrats should not be allowed to address the part of Health Care that applies to the 2003 Prescription drug benefit since they can't be trusted to reform something they so fervently opposed. You have claimed there is no logic or reason on the opposing side, but taking your arguments about trust, faith and copping feels,...these are basically feelings and hunches that if applied to the Democrats would be tossed out.
TT: The first person to try this was a Republican, TR. The don’t admit the bill stinks. Of course, no one likes ANY big bill because it’s always full of compromises. But that isn’t to say they think it stinks.
Teddy Roosevelt would have said it stinks. I have heard Obama and many others prop up Republican TR as some sort of proof that the current GOP is betraying its roots. Forgetting the limited capabilities of physicians of a century ago and the limited cost and shorter life expectancy, Roosevelt proposed a plan that was far more similar to recent GOP proposals. He proposed not a centralized plan but local plans and the employer would offer a third and the worker would offer two thirds. In fact, by today's standards this would be considered timid and in fact, Roosevelt hated Socialism in all its forms, he said, "socialists and others really do not correct the evils at all, or else only do so at the expense of producing others in aggravated form." I have read three Biographies of TR, and I can tell you he would be stunned by the nature of today's debate.
TJ: They argue that this chance will never come again, because, as they point out, in each previous example where they tried a similar program in the past, no alternative plan was submitted after THEIR bill was scrapped. That is just not true. The truth is either no bill that they considered radical enough was feasible, or a Republican might get credit for addressing the issue and we just can't have that.

TT: Not “never”…just a long time. Maybe they didn’t think those ideas were good.


But these ideas would help people. Who can be opposed to ideas that help people. All kidding aside, Republicans don't think the current Health Care plan is a good idea.

TJ: The Waterloo Meme might apply more aptly to Ted Kennedy than Jim DeMint. DeMint honestly doesn't think the current bill is a good idea, he believes the people don't want it either and he thinks Obama is damaging himself by pursuing it.

TT: The idea that DeMint is looking out for Obama is, on its face, laughable.

I already covered this one, but thought I would add, I'm sure Obama doesn't stay up at night worrying how to help Jim Demint.
TJ: The Democrats oppose the GOP on some of their ideas. Do I think they are theologically delusional? No. Do I think they are Mentally Ill? No. This is politics. I think they were mistaken. As I said, Reagan said, Our well meaning liberal friends are mistaken on this one.

TT: But what if they WERE mentally ill? Shouldn’t that be discussed and brought out into the open?

I don't often laugh out loud at my computer, but I literally couldn't stop laughing for about 30 seconds after reading this one. The GOP is not mentally ill. The all caps on the word WERE is what got me, because it seems to exhude so much passion that you and Blumenthal really want an easy out here....that you really wish it was all so easy that Republicans have a chromosome loose or a genetic abnormality that explains it all away like the grassy knoll and we can solve the mystery of those pesky strict constructionist conservatives and we could drive off in the van eating scooby snacks with scooby and shaggy. The conservatives aren't going anywhere in your lifetime. They will not be reprogrammed. They will not see the Socialist "light" come on. They will not watch Keith Olberman one day and say "I get it". Its not a disease. It is a conflict of visions and as I mentioned before, I think you might find Thomas Sowell's book by that name, "A conflict of visions". It explains the history of how the left and right became so divided.
....it is possible that they are not hot tubbers, or suffering under sexual identity issues or in need of a visit to a mental hospital.

TT: Sure. But what if they have these issues and they are driving them in a certain direction.

I'm waiting for Blumenthal's next book "Democrat Sodom: How the mentally ill, philandering, sexual deviants in the Democrat leadership have driven the people off a cliff" I won't hold my breath. I wouldn't find the premise compelling anyway. I like knowing that most liberals believe in what they believe in because they are free to...and we are free to oppose them and believe in what we want. I find the competition of our democracy exhilarating.

TJ: This is the way our political system works. Dean has his views, DeMint has his. The people look it over and choose. Last night Obama said on ABC that if this bill doesn't pass we will all lose our insurance coverage and the United States will go bankrupt. Sound kind of incendiary? Thats politics.

TT: I’d have to look at his wording on this. He is looking at the steep cost curve under current conditions and the number of people who are losing their insurance and the % of GDP going to health care. Doesn’t look good. But this is an argument from fact.


Here from ABC:

President Obama told ABC News anchor Charles Gibson that the federal government "will go bankrupt" if Congress does not pass a health care bill, among other problems.

"If we don't pass it, here's the guarantee," Obama said. "Your premiums will go up, your employers are going to load up more costs on you ... Potentially they're going to drop your coverage, because they just can't afford an increase of 25 percent, 30 percent in terms of the costs of providing health care to employees each and every year."

He added that the costs of Medicare and Medicaid are on an "unsustainable" trajectory and no is action taken to bring them down, "the federal government will go bankrupt."


This sounds like both a Malthusian non-sequitor and a criticism of Medicares structural inefficiencies,...but in reality we both know this is the same scare tactics you decry on the GOP. This is like when he said if we don't fork over a trillion bucks and our Rolex for his stimulus package, we will fall into a depression from which there is "no return". That one was about as over the top as I've ever heard, but bankrupt is a close second.


I don't fault Obama for trying to pull this, I think most people see it for what it is, "just politics". In fact I think he hurts himself when he does this...and no I'm not giving him helpful advice or trying to rescue him from himself. ...Just saying.

More broadly, ever since RR said that government was the problem, Republicans have associated virtually any government action--apart from security issues and making war--with the first step toward socialism.

No, I think Reagan considered the path to Socialism beyond step one.

Which is why he was able to defeat the mightiest foe ever faced without "making war". On that note of peace and good will, I will wish you a Merry Christmas.

Thanks again for your responses. Very interesting

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TJ: If a private company prior to purchasing the plan says it will cover some services and not others, you are free to choose a different plan or different provider or opt for a fee for service alternative.

TT: You may be free to choose at the start, when you’re healthy. But when you’re facing an illness—which are largely unforeseen—you are NOT free to go find a policy that covers it. At that point, it’s a pre-existing condition.

TJ: When one of my children was born they allowed for two nights in a hospital suite after birth if there were no complications. We wanted to stay one more night so we paid out of pocket for another night.

TT: If you had a government plan, you could also pay out of pocket for whatever you wanted and could find.

TJ: Just because the carrier puts limits on procedures, does not make it rationing. In the private realm, it is called price rationing, where price defines the means by which goods and services are doled out. The phrase rationing in its common usage and in terms of health care is non-price rationing meaning everybody that participates in the government plan is treated equally, but since there are scarce resources, the amount is doled out based on other criteria.

TT: This is a difference without a distinction. The insurance company decides, however it decides to allow the procedure or not. Here, the market is invoked as some sort of fair and wise arbiter of which treatments you get and which ones you don’t. But again, if you need a serious operation, good luck shopping for it from a different insurance co., at the moment of need.

TJ: The example I gave in the previous post about the British $35k per year of life extension was similar to what Hillary Clinton explained in the 1990s that too much is spent for end of life care that has lower chances of being effective, so therefore it should be witheld under certain so called "reasonable" situations. That makes sense to her when looking at the populace as a whole, but does not make sense to an individual who is about to die and wants to use his life savings to try to stay alive.

TT: Believe it or not, insurance companies also judge which procedures they’ll cover based, at least in part, on their effectiveness. And there are “scare resources” in play here, too: How much of their scarce capital they’re willing to pay out to save my life. Sure, it’s a different mechanism, but there is no big difference, except that the government isn’t enslaved to the profit motive when decide which events it will pay for. It doesn’t have to make a profit, or pay out $120 million salaries, which cut into the resources it has to pay for treatment.

TJ: So back to your Palin response, she does not see private systems the way the left does so would not need to call them death panels.

TT: This is circular. She’s free to say whatever she thinks. The question is, does what she says have any validity, and I’ve argued that it does not. Whether you’re denied a life-saving treatment because of price rationing or rationing or by a government bureaucrat or an insurance bureaucrat, you are still denied the care. Bottom line, you may die because of what a bureau doesn’t allow you, so if you’re going to call one a death panel, honesty should compel you to call the other a death panel. But Sarah isn’t about honesty—or a person’s health—she’s about ideology. But in either system, if you’ve got life savings to spend, and want to go outside the system, you can. Even in Britain.

TJ: The more competitors the more likely you are to have a price sensitive player break from the pack.

TT: Yes. Unless they find it more lucrative to move as a pack. And to buy each other up to reduce competition. Consolidation is a big factor. It seems to me that big companies don’t really like competition past a certain point, unless THEY are the competition. They like monopolies or duopolies. Certainly that’s been true in the broadcast field. The goal of a business is to make profit and return value to shareholders, not promote competition.

Then you have the pesky problem of pre-existing conditions and rescission. Even in a large field, maybe especially in a large field, there is no incentive for any of the players to take in folks with pre-existing conditions. They are all already cherry picking, looking for the healthiest folks, so they would avoid pre-existers like the plague, especially as they couldn’t necessarily jack up the price of the premiums to cover it. Very sick are often not the wealthiest. The same goes for capping payments and rescinding cover when someone becomes very ill. No way are those other companies going to flock to cover the sickest as some kind of niche market.


In fact, these problems are exascerbated by having more players in the field. Each player necessarily has fewer customers and afford fewer costly customers, such as the very ill. So while more players might bring down prices, it would do so by sacrificing coverage, I predict.

TJ: If you mean running on a platform where Healthcare is the crown Jewel of their campaign, no I've never seen that either, and even on the Democrat side, Clinton is the only one I've seen at the Presidential level and Harris Wofford at the state level. But as far as a Republican who made it a highly prominent component of his campaign, you can start with Bush in 2000.

TT: There was Truman. There was LBJ. There was Teddy Kennedy. There was Clinton I and Clinton II. And there is Obama. I don’t recall Bush talking about prescription drug benefits in 2000, but you may be right.

TJ: The Democrats are always saying the GOP is on the verge of cutting Medicare and in fact it is the Democrats that are cutting it. I know you don't think so, but thats the way many people do see it.

TT: That’s because they opposed it from the beginning. Look at the RR recording. I imagine some moderates supported it. Yes, Obama claims to be cutting waste out of the program—we’ll see if that’s so. But considering MC has been a Democratic program through and through for decades, I doubt seriously they are going to do anything to impair it. Course, then they’ll be accused of profligate spending by the same folks (McCain) who are screaming (now) that the Dems are cutting MC. Hard to win with these folks.

TJ: Socialism in one form or another has proven to be the deadliest philosophy of the 20th century.

TT: We are talking health care, here TJ, not a dictatorship. I’m sorry there’s a difference. You have to look at virtually every other advanced industrial nation…France, Britain, Italy, Germany…not Maoist China. (Who, somehow, are cleaning are clocks economically.) If we were banning private property, I’d be with you, but we’re not. Not even close.

TJ: Socialism is a dirty word not because of a clever marketing campaign by extreme right wingers. It is based on real life experience.

TT: Not it isn’t. What you are calling socialism is a form of communism. And real life experience with socialized medicine would seem to confirm that it works very well if, what you’re judging, are health outcomes. We’re 37th according to the WHO. France is first. This isn’t to gainsay a lot of the good things we’ve done in health care—but we have serious problems others don’t.

“Socialism” is a dirty word based on propaganda—as opposed to actual experience and a policy’s content—when it is applied to HC. RR made a strong and unsubstantiated pitch that MC would lead inexorably to socialized medicine and from there to a socialized society. Well, neither thing has happened, even remotely.

And even the current policy isn’t socialized medicine. All of that has been stripped out (unfortunately).

In terms of labels, I’m saying judge the policy based on actual experience and content, not on fear-mongering.

TJ: I don't think anyone on the left can deny that the current bill involves more government control in Healthcare than the original MC plan.

TT: I can deny it. MC is a government-administered plan. The current Senate bill has stripped out the PO and the Medicare buy-in. Insurance is provided solely by the private sector. Even the PO that was most recently proposed involved a very small number of people in special circumstances.

TJ: Reagan meant that the left sincerely believes what they are doing will ultimately result in a Utopia, but they are mistaken. Furthermore, he believes that their plans will unwittingly cross a tipping point from which there is no return.

TT: Leaving aside “utopia”—I can assure you that NO ONE on the left thinks that this bill will result in utopia—what basis is there for claiming or showing that “their plans will unwittingly cross a tipping point from which there is no return.” Nice rhetoric, but I see no evidence for it. Many European countries are much more socialized than this bill will allow for and yet I haven’t seen even one cross a tipping point. In fact, if anything, Russia and China, who jumped over the line, are heading back in our direction. But my point is this: This is fear mongering without a basis in fact. And even if there were a slippery slope—for which I see no evidence —you assume that the slope can’t be avoided. That we’re going to slide right down into the gulag with our best of intentions. I see no evidence for this. None. And I’ve spent a lot of time in socialized countries.

As to DeMint and his motives, I think what you say is possible…but not the case here. My judgement based on what I know of the comment. Here’s the first part of the comment: “DeMint said: “If we’re able to stop Obama on this it will be his Waterloo. It will break him.” This is not DeMint saying this is a bad idea, and the American people don’t like it, and it will bring down Obama. This is DeMint saying, “We are going to use this battle to break Obama.” Noticeably absent from this is comment is…health care… or addressing the needs and desires of the American people.

TJ: Yes, we just spent 8 years watching what it looks like to see opposition politicians tear things down. Like I said. That's Politics. It is now and it was then.

TT: Yes, it is politics. The question is, were Bush’s policies good for America? Were they Constitutional? Did they leave America better off than when Bush came into office? This is an even longer conversation than the one we’re having. But the answer is…no. And a LOT of Americans would agree with me. One reason why Republicans were turned out in record numbers. Two disastrous wars. Illegally invading a sovereign country that hadn’t attacked us. Unconstitutional wiretapping. Tearing up the Geneva Convention by torturing. Those are the principal reasons why Bush was savaged. After 9/11, he had HUGE Democratic support.

TJ: So there is no mainstream Republican that subscribes to the Obama non-citizen story.

TT: Wouldn’t you agree that an action by a Congressman is pretty “mainstream?”

TJ: I challenge any one to find a conservative that would consider him a conservative. Add to that the fact he voted for Kerry and Obama and recently wrote a manifesto how he despises the conservative movement.

TT: Many may disown him because he’s gay. But he was an early and ardent supporter of the war in Iraq. I think he voted for Bush, at least the first time. He has become disgusted with the conservative movement, so he has moved away from it. A bit like RR who didn’t leave the Democratic Party; the party moved away from him. I’m sure there are many conservatives who don’t like Sullivan. In fact, by the end of his presidency, many conservatives didn’t think Bush was a conservative. And in some ways, he wasn’t. But then the discussion becomes one of personal perspective, i.e., who’s a REAL conservative; who’s a real Liberal.

TJ: Howard Dean, the ultimate leader of the party said, ""I don't know. There are many theories about it. The most interesting theory that I've heard so far, which is nothing more than a theory, I can't—think it can't be proved, is that he was warned ahead of time by the Saudis. Now, who knows what the real situation is,..." He also defends Obama's Green jobs Czar Van Jones who is a truther,...and then there is the poll that says a majority of Democrats believe Bush knew about 911 before it occurred which may not be Rosie O'Donnell melting steel territory, but it is disturbing.

TT: I’d have to do a search on this, but it’s pretty clear from your quote that Dean is not supporting truther theories. Van Jones, as I understand it, signed a petition, probably asking for further inquiry. I don’t see anything wrong with that as there appear to be quite a few anomalies with the official story. As I recalled, Bush OPPOSED the formation of the 9/11 Commission and finally gave in. I think THAT’s weird, given the magnitude of the event. Personally, I don’t give these theories much credence, but I haven’t spent any time looking into them. I tend NOT to be interested in conspiracies, and I don’t have the scientific or engineering background to judge them. Some seem ridiculous on their face, e.g., a missile hitting the Pentagon.

The birther controversy, by contrast, is a non-starter because Obama HAS shown his birth certificate and there are birth announcements for him in papers of the time. There’s just nothing to it. But it’s always possible to keep some things alive, if only because people are ignorant and willing to believe. This is true of all conspiracies, I think.

TJ: Sounds like you have a slippery slope argument as well as far as the GOP destroying things.

TT: Only if there’s a GOOD and REASONABLE reason to think that that is what they are up to. This should be obvious. The slippery slope argument isn’t one you can profitably apply from the facts. RR, the patron saint of the modern conservative movement, demagogued MC at its inception. I’m sure there are reasonable GOPers who supported it then and since. But not among the current crop.

TJ: Bush addressed Medicare and SS and on Medicare "Expansion" in 2003 the Democrats overwhelmingly voted against the President, and on Social Security reform which was the President's primary domestic policy initiative in his second term, they killed it before it got started.

TT: They killed it, because Bush’s idea for saving it was to privatize it. That runs counter to the essence of the program. Moreover, there were other ways of saving it without destroying it, and there was some genuine disagreement over when it would run dry, etc. Of course, he didn’t SAY he wanted to destroy it or privatize it. In fact, at the time, Luntz and company realized that the word “private” as in “private accounts” was a no-no with the public, so they called them something else.

TJ: Did they not favor keeping SS solvent?

TT: Sure, but not by destroying the essence of the program and doing it unnecessarily (that's key).

TJ: I think if we applied your logic and reason that no politician should be trusted to address any program that he previously had opposed the initial framework, then I guess we could apply that to our current President on a number of issues.

TT: It depends to my mind on whether the person has clearly changed his mind and what his ideological stance is. For example, Republicans are constantly flogging the free market as a better way and solution to all issues (“freedom solutions” as DeMint would say). This harkens back at least to RR who claimed (without evidence) that “government was THE problem.” IOW, it wasn’t a critique of government programs—this program or that, or this aspect or that—but government per se.

TJ: We could even argue that the Democrats should not be allowed to address the part of Health Care that applies to the 2003 Prescription drug benefit since they can't be trusted to reform something they so fervently opposed.

TT: As I recall, the Dems opposed the giveaway to big Pharma (non-negotiation), but were not opposed to giving seniors drug benefits. But I believe a lot of them voted for the bill; it was Republicans that Bush had to arm wrestle. So you point here about trusting Dems would NOT follow. In any event, I think a lot of Dems supported it as one might expect.

Here’s Wiki:
“In support of the bill, sponsor John Dingell (D-Mich.) said, “Forty-three million people can have the purchasing power to perhaps encourage these drug houses to give the government and the American retirees a better price.” House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said, "This legislation is a common-sense effort to do right by the 43 million Americans enrolled in Medicare." All but 24 House Republicans opposed the bill.

TJ: Teddy Roosevelt would have said it stinks. I have heard Obama and many others prop up Republican TR as some sort of proof that the current GOP is betraying its roots.

TT: I’m sure. But you have to judge plans by the times in which they are proposed. It’s entirely possible that if TR were transported into today’s world, he’d be aghast at what had become of his GOP. You know, Lincoln wasn’t the Emancipator that the GOP claims, either.

TJ: But these ideas would help people.

TT: I’m sure some would. Kennedy regretted not doing business with Nixon at the time. These things definitely happen in both directions.

TJ: I don't often laugh out loud at my computer, but I literally couldn't stop laughing for about 30 seconds after reading this one.

TT: Thanks. Of course, they aren’t going anywhere. And some are sane (fewer and fewer, though-:) But when counter-arguments don’t make any sense, then one does start looking for alternative explanations. The Christian Right prays for us, so…

TJ: This sounds like both a Malthusian non-sequitor and a criticism of Medicares structural inefficiencies,...but in reality we both know this is the same scare tactics you decry on the GOP.

TT: No it is not. For one thing, Obama cites facts; he doesn’t posit some slippery slope that has yet to appear in America or Europe with respect to health care or other social programs. There’s a big difference between looking at facts, extrapolating, and warning about likely events in the future and going “Boo! If we give everyone Medicare, we’re all going to end up in the Gulag.”

You can argue about whether Obama’s facts are correct or properly interpreted, but the whole nature of the argument is totally different. Second, his warnings about Medicare and Medicaid are the very same ones the Republicans use!

As I recall, it was Paulson and Bush who held us up for $700 billion based on three paragraphs and the same dire warnings. Lot of economists agree that we did pull back from the brink—but who knows? We’re in uncharted territory. And the economics who disagree with stimulus warn of equally dire consequences from the accumulated debt. Myself, I don’t know.

TJ: No, I think Reagan considered the path to Socialism beyond step one.

TT: Go back to that anti-MC recording. Giving old people coverage is the foot in the door and will lead us to "socialism" and "slavery." Just ridiculous.

As to Milbank, I can't say. You may be right. But the fact that Cantor and then Bachmann had to apologize for the sign suggests that it was prominently displayed in a way as to associated the speakers and Bachmann with it. And the point is, there were the signs about the Rothschilds and Obama taking orders from them, and it appears that Rep King (no relation I'm sure) was signing a bunch of them.

Boehner to the crowd: ""This bill is the greatest threat to freedom that I've seen in the 19 years I've been in Washington."

Really?

I think Matt Yglesias makes my point better than I do: "There are all kinds of nutty people in the world, but these kinds of things are the wages of a conservative leadership and media that’s consistently tried to drum-up opposition to health care reform not by opposing things that are actually in the bill, but with demagogic opposition to completely fabricated provisions."


Ditto…but I may have to poop out here.

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BTW, sorry for all the typos and omissions in the previous post. My eyes are very bad and I write quickly.

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I've enjoyed your responses very much, but as you say I'm getting pooped too, so I will try to not open new issues, but stick to the items you addressed. I think we have established that you do not trust the words or motives of anyone that opposes the President on this issue. I think thats fair to say. I, in turn also have little trust in the words of the President and his supporters on this topic, although regarding their motives, I do not doubt that they think they are doing good. Even on this, I think many are becoming confused as to what is good for Obama is good for America. Proof of this is the "sincere" Liberals that came forward in the last week to say this bill has been so severely disassembled from their point of view, that it appears they are only passing it, so they can say they passed something, i. e. solely for political reasons and for Obama's image. If you think it is unfair for me to doubt their words, over the past year, many on the left said we need to get a broad program in place first and then we can fine tune it. First get it in place and then sneak public options, etc. in later. I am sure you would consider that a good thing, but I think it is deceitful.


Contrary to Obama's promises of being a unifying force, It is clear this country is the most divided its been in my lifetime. This is the largest public program of its kind in a generation and its the first that can be said is completely partisan. That responsibility falls on the party in control; the party with the ability to allow input from the opposition. If any one wants to blame conservatives for their opposition, remember they stood on the side of the American people on this. The left passed this against the will of the people.


TT: You may be free to choose at the start, when you’re healthy. But when you’re facing an illness—which are largely unforeseen—you are NOT free to go find a policy that covers it. At that point, it’s a pre-existing condition.
In the scenario I described, the state insurance commisioner is fulfilling his responsibility in a libertarian government model as the arbiter of contractual obligations. My policy was a contract for services with the provider, they had agreed to cover certain procedures, when I signed up, if they choose to deny me once I am sick, then they are in breech and that is why the State stepped in on my behalf and compelled them to pay upon my proving that they were in breech. If this scenario you explain is the sole concern of yours, then focus on the contractual aspect of it and we can agree on the libertarian solutions to the problem, but that is not your goal. So your reference to it is not necessarily an argument for government takeover.

TJ: When one of my children was born they allowed for two nights in a hospital suite after birth if there were no complications. We wanted to stay one more night so we paid out of pocket for another night.

TT: If you had a government plan, you could also pay out of pocket for whatever you wanted and could find.

As I pointed out above, over the past year and even today, I am hearing liberals say, they didn't get everything they wanted, but will "incrementally" get what they want later, now that this bill passed. My liberal friend that works at a hospital says the goal is to convert Obamacare to Hillarycare. The reason for that is, Hillary was at least honest enough to admit, that the rich will eventually opt out of HillaryCare and self insure and the best Doctors who are being strangled by cost containment measures, will opt out of HillaryCare and become the physicians of the rich. Starving the public plan of quality care. So Hillary had no choice but to outlaw "fee for service". Considering the basis for Roe v. Wade is the supposed civil right that the government should not be able to invade the privacy of interactions between a woman and her Doctor, I guess civil rights are pretty flexible on the left.

If you would like to imply that the above scenario I described at the hospital, i.e. "fee for service" will remain this way forever with this bill, it defies the basic laws of economics.

TJ: Just because the carrier puts limits on procedures, does not make it rationing. In the private realm, it is called price rationing, where price defines the means by which goods and services are doled out. The phrase rationing in its common usage and in terms of health care is non-price rationing meaning everybody that participates in the government plan is treated equally, but since there are scarce resources, the amount is doled out based on other criteria.

TT: This is a difference without a distinction. The insurance company decides, however it decides to allow the procedure or not. Here, the market is invoked as some sort of fair and wise arbiter of which treatments you get and which ones you don’t. But again, if you need a serious operation, good luck shopping for it from a different insurance co., at the moment of need.

I noticed you often start your rebutals by saying, "That is tendentious" or "a difference without a distinction". Saying it is, without actually rebutting it does not make it so. As I noted before, many of your arguments defy basic economics. Economics is a subset of the school of social and behavioral sciences and it requires rigorous scientific principles be applied. The left claims to be hip to science, but that usually means science is cool if it supports their crusade. It usually does not.

I'm sorry. The difference between "price rationing" and "non-price rationing" is not a difference without a distinction. If you can't admit their is ae difference, then you are making it abundantly clear why we see Socialism through a different prism. Your premise appears to be based on the false premise that all insurance companies can break their contracts, or policies, at the "time of need" as you call it, with absolutely no recourse. That is a false premise and if it is the foundation for your entire argument, the entire framework also fails.

TJ: The example I gave in the previous post about the British $35k per year of life extension was similar to what Hillary Clinton explained in the 1990s that too much is spent for end of life care that has lower chances of being effective, so therefore it should be witheld under certain so called "reasonable" situations. That makes sense to her when looking at the populace as a whole, but does not make sense to an individual who is about to die and wants to use his life savings to try to stay alive.

TT: Believe it or not, insurance companies also judge which procedures they’ll cover based, at least in part, on their effectiveness. And there are “scare resources” in play here, too: How much of their scarce capital they’re willing to pay out to save my life. Sure, it’s a different mechanism, but there is no big difference, except that the government isn’t enslaved to the profit motive when decide which events it will pay for. It doesn’t have to make a profit, or pay out $120 million salaries, which cut into the resources it has to pay for treatment.

You are right, the government doesn't care about making a profit. Which is all the more reason to laugh at Obama's phony deficit neutral argument about his plan. It is clear why the Chinese don't like this bill. It's because they don't believe him. Your comparison here of rationing and "reasonable" denials of service for end of life costs between private insurers and the government fails dramatically on so many levels. One, as I noted, it is a contract. If the government denies service, they are both the referee and the crook. Two, Under a single payer plan, which is the left's ultimate goal, there is no where else to go. If they won't let women get mamograms at age 45 or they ration Catscans, then you have to go to Mexico to get one. Three, and most importantly, the government has a monopoly on violence. They have the right to take your money away and arrest you. If you choose to contract with a physician in a free world, and the government does not allow you to do so, or is able to threaten your Doctor first financially and then with imprisonment, you will not get your procedure. The government will have power over life and death. They will no longer need to use "search and seizure" or police batons to threaten your life. They can just send you a letter saying "DROP DEAD", because your procedures are ended. "Life, Liberty and the pursuit of happiness" has meaning. The difference of the two systems is basic economics and denying the science of it, does not make it go away.
TJ: So back to your Palin response, she does not see private systems the way the left does so would not need to call them death panels.

TT: This is circular. She’s free to say whatever she thinks. The question is, does what she says have any validity, and I’ve argued that it does not. Whether you’re denied a life-saving treatment because of price rationing or rationing or by a government bureaucrat or an insurance bureaucrat, you are still denied the care. Bottom line, you may die because of what a bureau doesn’t allow you, so if you’re going to call one a death panel, honesty should compel you to call the other a death panel. But Sarah isn’t about honesty—or a person’s health—she’s about ideology. But in either system, if you’ve got life savings to spend, and want to go outside the system, you can. Even in Britain.

You still haven't denied Palin's premise about IMACs. Your response revolves around the premise that you believe private insurers ration scarce resources and she doesn't beat up on them. That is not an adequate rebutal of Palin's remark. It is basically saying "they do it too", which is an admission that Palin is telling the truth. Palin was right then, and is right now, and until you can prove her wrong about IMAC, you should refrain from calling her a liar on this one, until you have the ability to prove it.
TJ: The more competitors the more likely you are to have a price sensitive player break from the pack.

TT: Yes. Unless they find it more lucrative to move as a pack. And to buy each other up to reduce competition. Consolidation is a big factor. It seems to me that big companies don’t really like competition past a certain point, unless THEY are the competition. They like monopolies or duopolies. Certainly that’s been true in the broadcast field. The goal of a business is to make profit and return value to shareholders, not promote competition.

Then you have the pesky problem of pre-existing conditions and rescission. Even in a large field, maybe especially in a large field, there is no incentive for any of the players to take in folks with pre-existing conditions. They are all already cherry picking, looking for the healthiest folks, so they would avoid pre-existers like the plague, especially as they couldn’t necessarily jack up the price of the premiums to cover it. Very sick are often not the wealthiest. The same goes for capping payments and rescinding cover when someone becomes very ill. No way are those other companies going to flock to cover the sickest as some kind of niche market.


In fact, these problems are exascerbated by having more players in the field. Each player necessarily has fewer customers and afford fewer costly customers, such as the very ill. So while more players might bring down prices, it would do so by sacrificing coverage, I predict.

Again, we can either ignore Science or imagine a series of "what if" scenarios that are not based on basic economics. Your first sentence about competition is self contradictory. Businesses do like competition, thats why they compete. They do not promote competition or assistance to other companies they compete with. This is akin to your argument that Jim Demint should either bow to Obama or help him and anything else is somehow selfish, malevolent and evil. The primary cause of monopolistic behavior in our economy is government interaction with the market. Without the regulatory aspects of government that often, lock in the big players, cartels and oligopolies are inherently unstable. Cartels, without a government referee to entrench the big players, will eventually become unstable and breakdown. It is usually big money Democrats that use the excuse of regulation to shakedown big business for cash. This week a study of Obama's Debt monster stimulus package has shown twice as much money went to blue state districts as red. It is as conservatives knew it was,...nothing but a slush fund to stroke his fat cat buddies. Monopoly behavior is usually a result of Democrat fat cats. This is how the Democrats caused the Mortgage crisis and the recession we are in.

If you doubt my view of his corrupt Chicago style fat cat politics, here is what the left thinks of his backdoor deals. By Obama's own criteria, he is secretly in bed with big Pharma:

http://www.redstate.com/dan_perrin/2009/12/18/how-angry-is-the-left-at-obama-watch-this-video/

TJ: If you mean running on a platform where Healthcare is the crown Jewel of their campaign, no I've never seen that either, and even on the Democrat side, Clinton is the only one I've seen at the Presidential level and Harris Wofford at the state level. But as far as a Republican who made it a highly prominent component of his campaign, you can start with Bush in 2000.

TT: There was Truman. There was LBJ. There was Teddy Kennedy. There was Clinton I and Clinton II. And there is Obama. I don’t recall Bush talking about prescription drug benefits in 2000, but you may be right.

Of the ones you mention, I think Bill Clinton is the only one that could be described as having Healthcare as the crown Jewel of his domestic policy. The others all had it as a component, but Carville used Harris Woffords campaign as the model for Clinton '92 and convinced Clinton to adopt it.

You may not remember Bush talking about his healthcare plan in 2000, but along with education it was the core of his domestic policy and he rattled on endlessly about it. He also followed through on both, although it is obvious he gets no credit in your book.

TJ: Socialism in one form or another has proven to be the deadliest philosophy of the 20th century.

TT: We are talking health care, here TJ, not a dictatorship. I’m sorry there’s a difference. You have to look at virtually every other advanced industrial nation…France, Britain, Italy, Germany…not Maoist China. (Who, somehow, are cleaning are clocks economically.) If we were banning private property, I’d be with you, but we’re not. Not even close.

No we are not. We are talking about why Socialism is a dirty word. You continue to vigorously attempt to portray me as claiming their is a secret provision in the current bill that will erect Gulags in Minnesota or something. You continue to prop up these straw men and then knock them down. It is you that has referred to Medicare as Socialism, not I. Its very clever how you prop up A, then B, then if A equals B, then C must follow. That is your construct not mine. You commented on why the term Socialism is a dirty word and without referring to the current bill, I responded.
TJ: Socialism is a dirty word not because of a clever marketing campaign by extreme right wingers. It is based on real life experience.

TT: Not it isn’t. What you are calling socialism is a form of communism. And real life experience with socialized medicine would seem to confirm that it works very well if, what you’re judging, are health outcomes. We’re 37th according to the WHO. France is first. This isn’t to gainsay a lot of the good things we’ve done in health care—but we have serious problems others don’t.

“Socialism” is a dirty word based on propaganda—as opposed to actual experience and a policy’s content—when it is applied to HC. RR made a strong and unsubstantiated pitch that MC would lead inexorably to socialized medicine and from there to a socialized society. Well, neither thing has happened, even remotely.

And even the current policy isn’t socialized medicine. All of that has been stripped out (unfortunately).

In terms of labels, I’m saying judge the policy based on actual experience and content, not on fear-mongering.

TJ: I don't think anyone on the left can deny that the current bill involves more government control in Healthcare than the original MC plan.

TT: I can deny it. MC is a government-administered plan. The current Senate bill has stripped out the PO and the Medicare buy-in. Insurance is provided solely by the private sector. Even the PO that was most recently proposed involved a very small number of people in special circumstances.


I don't know where to start here. If you are going to deny that this bill constitutes an increase in government control, then what is it? If this is not control then what is? What is all the money for? Are we buying tongue depressors? I'm running out of responses if you can't at least admit that.


Regarding your description of Socialism, you have responded with what I explained in my earlier posts is the favorite description of it that Socialism is misunderstood and a victim of a nasty propaganda campaign by invisible forces. I will admit again, I respect the fact that Dean is honest about the fact that we are in a debate about how much Socialism we will live with. As I said, it is a disagreement about that magical balance. He wants more, I want less. Pretending like some Socialism comes from a different manufacturer that doesn't use the right secret sauce is just divorced from reality.


TJ: Reagan meant that the left sincerely believes what they are doing will ultimately result in a Utopia, but they are mistaken. Furthermore, he believes that their plans will unwittingly cross a tipping point from which there is no return.
TT: Leaving aside “utopia”—I can assure you that NO ONE on the left thinks that this bill will result in utopia—what basis is there for claiming or showing that “their plans will unwittingly cross a tipping point from which there is no return.” Nice rhetoric, but I see no evidence for it. Many European countries are much more socialized than this bill will allow for and yet I haven’t seen even one cross a tipping point. In fact, if anything, Russia and China, who jumped over the line, are heading back in our direction. But my point is this: This is fear mongering without a basis in fact. And even if there were a slippery slope—for which I see no evidence —you assume that the slope can’t be avoided. That we’re going to slide right down into the gulag with our best of intentions. I see no evidence for this. None. And I’ve spent a lot of time in socialized countries.

First of all, You are aware that the Soviets lived in a hellish nightmare for three quarters of a century, yes? As far as you idea that people can just hand over control to a politburo and then quickly jump back,...I'm sorry, but how many history books do we need to dog ear for you to see how giving over government control to an elite group of political operatives is a one way street.

Second, Did the communist bloc break up in a vacuum? Did the people of Poland just go down to the Ministry of Capitalism and human rights and ask nicely for their country back? There is a reason why there is a 60 foot tall statue in downtown Warsaw of President Ronald Reagan. It is a one way street and they were lucky enough that a hero from America came to save them. You keep saying this is "fear mongering without a basis in fact". Considering your views on 20th century history, I would argue that the pattern that is starting to emerge is that what you call "fearmongering" means people are concerned or fearful of things and you wish that they were not and "basis in fact" means you don't like my facts, yet they are facts none the less. Mostly you are calling on Americans to follow you on faith, not facts. Have faith. Don't be scared. Don't listen to those facts over there.

As to DeMint and his motives, I think what you say is possible…but not the case here. My judgement based on what I know of the comment. Here’s the first part of the comment: “DeMint said: “If we’re able to stop Obama on this it will be his Waterloo. It will break him.” This is not DeMint saying this is a bad idea, and the American people don’t like it, and it will bring down Obama. This is DeMint saying, “We are going to use this battle to break Obama.” Noticeably absent from this is comment is…health care… or addressing the needs and desires of the American people.
I don't think I am going to get you to see my point on this one, so I'll just leave it as is. I'm not sure you can accept that Demint is not required to like Big government control in the healthcare field, in order to criticize or oppose someone that does. Demint doesn't like it, Sam I am. Period. I don't know what else to say. It would be the equivalent of Gay groups claiming that Obama secretly hates them personally because he opposed them on Prop 8 in California. And if the "proof" they provide is that Obama has made no mention of an alternative plan that allows Gays to get married, then how does that reinforce their argument. Obama does not have to like gay marriage to oppose their plan. I'm not sure why people have latched on to this as something conspiratorial. Demint is very open about this. He doesn't like Obama's ideas on Healthcare,...check! He doesn't want Obama to succeed with his "bad ideas" on healthcare, check! He and virtually every political pundit in America on the right and left now subscribes to the commonly accepted premise that Obama will take a political hit on this soon, regardless if it is to the degree that it is his undoing, ....check! I am surprised that you can't see how the media has overplayed this. Talk about fearmongering. Even if the portrayal of his remarks is as you said, what exactly does it mean? Does it mean he doesn't like Obama's clothes? He doesn't like him personally? Demint is a bigot? What are you trying to say? Maybe it means he doesn't want these policies to be implemented....Oh Heavens!! How can that be?

TJ: Yes, we just spent 8 years watching what it looks like to see opposition politicians tear things down. Like I said. That's Politics. It is now and it was then. TT: Yes, it is politics. The question is, were Bush’s policies good for America? Were they Constitutional? Did they leave America better off than when Bush came into office? This is an even longer conversation than the one we’re having. But the answer is…no. And a LOT of Americans would agree with me. One reason why Republicans were turned out in record numbers. Two disastrous wars. Illegally invading a sovereign country that hadn’t attacked us. Unconstitutional wiretapping. Tearing up the Geneva Convention by torturing. Those are the principal reasons why Bush was savaged. After 9/11, he had HUGE Democratic support.
That's the best Bush bashing you can muster? Two disastrous wars? Which was more disastrous, the war we won or the one that Obama is now continuing to fight roughly along the same lines as Bush's Generals advised him. If you didn't like the idea of going to Afghanistan, then why do you later claim that Bush had so much support from the left. How was it an illegal invasion of a sovereign nation. As I said earlier, Morrocco did not bomb Pearl Harbor, yet we invaded their country in WWII and attacked the French there, who also were not at Pearl Harbor. If it was illegal, then the Democrats that voted for it, should also be put in jail, no? Talk about a slippery slope here. Torturing? Obama is still using "Enhanced interogation techniques", but he makes a proclamation that we don't torture. I see, redefining a word makes all the difference, wow, that was easy. Regarding wiretaps, Are you trying to tell me that Obama's administration is not tapping phones of international callers into the US without FISA? I can't believe you want to go down this path of trumped up Bush bashing using policies that even Jon Stewart and the left are starting to giggle looks just the same as our current President. In the end, the truth is not that Obama is bad because he is similar to the evil Bush, the fact is most of the phony crap about Bush was trumped up and phony from the get go and was invented merely to demonize him for political purposes, so a Liberal could get elected. Sounds pretty much like what your accusing Demint of. Well, it worked, so let's not BS each other. The left played politics and won. Let's give up on trying to sell a dog that has already been sold.
TJ: So there is no mainstream Republican that subscribes to the Obama non-citizen story.

TT: Wouldn’t you agree that an action by a Congressman is pretty “mainstream?”

Clever. You are dodging the fact that you still haven't provided one. I think we can agree, you continue to try to attribute fringe Larouche/Paul movements with mainstream GOP in order to demonize and fearmonger without proof. Until you find it, I think your attempts will only ring true with other liberals who likewise are willing to believe on faith, not facts, because they wish it were so.
TJ: I challenge any one to find a conservative that would consider him a conservative. Add to that the fact he voted for Kerry and Obama and recently wrote a manifesto how he despises the conservative movement.

TT: Many may disown him because he’s gay. But he was an early and ardent supporter of the war in Iraq. I think he voted for Bush, at least the first time. He has become disgusted with the conservative movement, so he has moved away from it. A bit like RR who didn’t leave the Democratic Party; the party moved away from him. I’m sure there are many conservatives who don’t like Sullivan. In fact, by the end of his presidency, many conservatives didn’t think Bush was a conservative. And in some ways, he wasn’t. But then the discussion becomes one of personal perspective, i.e., who’s a REAL conservative; who’s a real Liberal.


So rather than just admit that he is not, as you said, a conservative, you must imply that I and anyone else who believes otherwise is a homophobe. But then you follow that with the relativistic Pontius Pilate line, "What is truth" anyway. Wouldn't it be simpler to just say, "Oops, I was wrong" instead of this kibuki dance with a smear gun kicker. As I have said before, it should be good enough that we disagree and leave it at that.
TJ: Howard Dean, the ultimate leader of the party said, ""I don't know. There are many theories about it. The most interesting theory that I've heard so far, which is nothing more than a theory, I can't—think it can't be proved, is that he was warned ahead of time by the Saudis. Now, who knows what the real situation is,..." He also defends Obama's Green jobs Czar Van Jones who is a truther,...and then there is the poll that says a majority of Democrats believe Bush knew about 911 before it occurred which may not be Rosie O'Donnell melting steel territory, but it is disturbing.
TT: I’d have to do a search on this, but it’s pretty clear from your quote that Dean is not supporting truther theories. Van Jones, as I understand it, signed a petition, probably asking for further inquiry. I don’t see anything wrong with that as there appear to be quite a few anomalies with the official story. As I recalled, Bush OPPOSED the formation of the 9/11 Commission and finally gave in. I think THAT’s weird, given the magnitude of the event. Personally, I don’t give these theories much credence, but I haven’t spent any time looking into them. I tend NOT to be interested in conspiracies, and I don’t have the scientific or engineering background to judge them. Some seem ridiculous on their face, e.g., a missile hitting the Pentagon.
The birther controversy, by contrast, is a non-starter because Obama HAS shown his birth certificate and there are birth announcements for him in papers of the time. There’s just nothing to it. But it’s always possible to keep some things alive, if only because people are ignorant and willing to believe. This is true of all conspiracies, I think.
I think it is pretty clear that from the Fahrenheit 911 days and numerous other items, the conspiracy theory machine has been primarily on the left and supported by the mainstream of the left. The so called Birther movement has been a fringe group of nuts that defy party affiliation and enjoys really no support from any mainstream Republicans. The fearmongering that you claim to dislike so much is clearly more pronounced on the left.
TJ: Sounds like you have a slippery slope argument as well as far as the GOP destroying things.
TT: Only if there’s a GOOD and REASONABLE reason to think that that is what they are up to. This should be obvious. The slippery slope argument isn’t one you can profitably apply from the facts. RR, the patron saint of the modern conservative movement, demagogued MC at its inception. I’m sure there are reasonable GOPers who supported it then and since. But not among the current crop.

Good and reasonable reasons? Who doesn't like those? ...and Yes, it should be obvious,...but apparently it is not. I know we disagree on this but I will continue to contend that your own words prove Reagan correct on this. He argued that initiating Medicare would lead to more take over of health care by the government and by your own admission earlier this week, the initial proposal of Obamacare is what you consider "good socialism" and increased government involvement. I am willing to admit there is no current proof of the 100% certainty of Gulags, although I believe honest people can disagree with Howard Dean on what he considers is a reasonable debate on the magic balance. This again at least proves there is a slope, although you have denied there is any slipperyness to it, regardless of the proof of other nations that have experienced it.
TJ: Bush addressed Medicare and SS and on Medicare "Expansion" in 2003 the Democrats overwhelmingly voted against the President, and on Social Security reform which was the President's primary domestic policy initiative in his second term, they killed it before it got started.

TT: They killed it, because Bush’s idea for saving it was to privatize it. That runs counter to the essence of the program. Moreover, there were other ways of saving it without destroying it, and there was some genuine disagreement over when it would run dry, etc. Of course, he didn’t SAY he wanted to destroy it or privatize it. In fact, at the time, Luntz and company realized that the word “private” as in “private accounts” was a no-no with the public, so they called them something else.
TJ: Did they not favor keeping SS solvent?
TT: Sure, but not by destroying the essence of the program and doing it unnecessarily (that's key).
TJ: I think if we applied your logic and reason that no politician should be trusted to address any program that he previously had opposed the initial framework, then I guess we could apply that to our current President on a number of issues.
TT: It depends to my mind on whether the person has clearly changed his mind and what his ideological stance is. For example, Republicans are constantly flogging the free market as a better way and solution to all issues (“freedom solutions” as DeMint would say). This harkens back at least to RR who claimed (without evidence) that “government was THE problem.” IOW, it wasn’t a critique of government programs—this program or that, or this aspect or that—but government per se.


The argument you make on SS is the same one Teddy Kennedy used against Nixon. He didn't want Nixon to get credit, so he argued its not perfect and killed it. The aspect of Bush's plan is ironically the same one that Obama is currently making now, either honestly or seriptiously. That is that a private industry can exist and live side by side with a government safety net. It sounds like you are tipping your hand here that its OK if they live side by side if the government wins in the end, and back to our Conservative slippery slope, again this sound like your suspicions rather than facts, that Bush merely claimed competition when in fact he wanted S's government safety net to lose in the end. When someone doubts the Presidents promises about the current bill, you imply they are lying patisan and maybe even unamerican and bigoted, but you are basically saying you opposed Bush on a hunch that he can't be trusted. So much for basing your arguments in facts and reason.

Using this logic, any conservative proposal that agrees to negotiate that magical balance Dean speaks of can not be trusted and a continual movement towards more socialism in that balance is considered the only form of "progress". It seems odd to argue there is no slippery slope or no slope at all in the direction of more socialism and then turn around and claim any negotiations by the GOP, including the Medicare bill in 2003, that was considered the largest expansion of the welfare state in a generation, is even a move that can not be trusted. The left continues to paint the GOP as bigots, birthers, and members of violent hate groups in their efforts to avoid dealing in good faith. Today, the Senator from Rhode Island is the latest example: http://washingtontimes.com/weblogs/watercooler/2009/dec/20/sen-whitehouse-foes-health-care-bill-are-birthers-/

This is fear mongering, just as Obama's bankrupting of America was. And it is blatant and bald faced lies. Is there any wonder the nation is so divided under this President.

TJ: We could even argue that the Democrats should not be allowed to address the part of Health Care that applies to the 2003 Prescription drug benefit since they can't be trusted to reform something they so fervently opposed.
TT: As I recall, the Dems opposed the giveaway to big Pharma (non-negotiation), but were not opposed to giving seniors drug benefits. But I believe a lot of them voted for the bill; it was Republicans that Bush had to arm wrestle. So you point here about trusting Dems would NOT follow. In any event, I think a lot of Dems supported it as one might expect.
Here’s Wiki:“In support of the bill, sponsor John Dingell (D-Mich.) said, “Forty-three million people can have the purchasing power to perhaps encourage these drug houses to give the government and the American retirees a better price.” House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said, "This legislation is a common-sense effort to do right by the 43 million Americans enrolled in Medicare." All but 24 House Republicans opposed the bill.

I'm not sure which bill you are referring to. I am referring to H.R. 1 [108th] Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and modernization Act of 2003.

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/vote.xpd?vote=h2003-332

Neither Dingell nor Steny Hoyer voted "Aye". Out of the 441 members, only 9 Democrats voted for President Bush's expansion of Medicare on this bill. I have provided the vote tally, maybe you can provide the Wiki link. I believe your recollection of broad Democrat support is a false recollection, yet I didn't hear any one claiming the DNC were members of Militia groups. They were merely proving as they always do, they are not as interested in helping Seniors as they are in their own political interests, just as Ted Kennedy was with Nixon. If the original thread is trying to imply political maneuvering is a disease or mental illness, then it seems to be contagious to both Democrats and Republicans and the solution is to protect the people from either group gaining too much power over our lives.

TJ: Teddy Roosevelt would have said it stinks. I have heard Obama and many others prop up Republican TR as some sort of proof that the current GOP is betraying its roots.
TT: I’m sure. But you have to judge plans by the times in which they are proposed. It’s entirely possible that if TR were transported into today’s world, he’d be aghast at what had become of his GOP. You know, Lincoln wasn’t the Emancipator that the GOP claims, either.

As I said, I have read 3 voluminous biographies on TR, so I will only say that my disagreement with you on his outlook, might possibly be wrong, but is at least an informed disagreement. Regarding your contention that Lincoln wasn't much of an emancipator, I would first say I think the GOP is also quite well informed on the outlook of our 16th President, so I'm not sure what your beef is with him. The Democrat party tried to tear him down in his lifetime, and I still find Democrats that tear him down today 145 years later, so if you have a new gripe against his freeing the slaves, knock yourself out.
TT: Thanks. Of course, they aren’t going anywhere. And some are sane (fewer and fewer, though-:) But when counter-arguments don’t make any sense, then one does start looking for alternative explanations. The Christian Right prays for us, so…

I think I have noted a few "counter arguments" that the left have made that didn't make any sense and still don't and even some that have been proven clearly wrong, yet the GOP doesn't start groping for genetic explanations. It is true the Christian Right prays for you, and its nice that you appreciate their love, but they are not praying for a biological hormonal imbalance to be altered so you will stop being delusional (and I don't assert that you are either). As I think we have agreed, neither Jim Demint, nor Barack Obama stay up nights hoping to assist the others political agenda in its entirety, but I'm sure a Christian that prays for you is doing so out of love and compassion whether you feel you deserve it or wish to receive it as such. The Senator from Rhode Island above is lying about the GOP out of hate or a clumsy attempt at political advantage.
TJ: This sounds like both a Malthusian non-sequitor and a criticism of Medicares structural inefficiencies,...but in reality we both know this is the same scare tactics you decry on the GOP.
TT: No it is not. For one thing, Obama cites facts; he doesn’t posit some slippery slope that has yet to appear in America or Europe with respect to health care or other social programs. There’s a big difference between looking at facts, extrapolating, and warning about likely events in the future and going “Boo! If we give everyone Medicare, we’re all going to end up in the Gulag.”

I think it is debatable whether an America that bankrupts itself out of existence and a Gulag is much different. You are fond of saying it is a difference without a distinction. If Obama is not trying to scare people, then what exactly does America look like once the Nation itself is bankrupt. Is it some kind of Medeival post modern anarchy patrolled by Humanoids and militias? Why is this not fear mongering? and what facts does he produce to convey that this one bill will avert this zombie run wasteland and why does every American lose their insurance coverage? Why would an insurance industry intentionally run their own industry down to a million, then a thousand and then no customers at all? That is the implication of your Rorschacht reading of his hyperbole. Again this unscientific approach to economics to use your phrase tendentious at best. It is impossible in the real world to assume that should this bill not pass, that the United States of America will cease to exist. The reason I say it is malthusian logic, is the only strained and illogical reasoning one might use to refer to this as anything but fearmongering is to assume that business and government would cease to function the day after its failure to pass and no further action would be made to address Medicare's structural inefficiencies. This also goes back to the idea that no one but the President and anyone that marches in lockstep with him is interested in the well being of our nation apparently. If this is the only explanation of his fearmongering, then that is delusional. We all know, he doesn't believe that. He is merely trying to scare people in to crapping their pants.
As I recall, it was Paulson and Bush who held us up for $700 billion based on three paragraphs and the same dire warnings. Lot of economists agree that we did pull back from the brink—but who knows? We’re in uncharted territory. And the economics who disagree with stimulus warn of equally dire consequences from the accumulated debt. Myself, I don’t know.

Obama is now trying to argue that Bush doubled the debt as a pretense for his next scheme and that is to raise taxes. His numbers are based on TARP which he voted for. His constant finger pointing about the deficit that he claims to have played no part is based on TARP and we now know that TARP is getting much of its money back, and the other part that Obama is now claiming is not necessary for its original purposes is now being earmarked by him to be confiscated for what he considers a second Stimulus package. The parts that have been spent are being paid back to the governemnt at a rate that is now estimated to leave only $42 billion unpaid for. So the impact on the deficit that was shrinking down to as low as double digits by 2008, will be impacted by TARP to the tune of $42 billion according to these estimates. I hope Obama will apologize to President Bush for claiming that the current deficit is the fault of his predecessor, rather than his own. So Obama has an opportunity to service the existing system, get the money back as best he can and return the remaining amount to the American people, because as he now argues, it is no longer needed for its original purpose. Neither of us believe Obama cares enough about deficits to pay that money back. You said, "Lot of economists agree that we did pull back from the brink—but who knows?" I suppose we should thank George Bush for saving us from the brink, your welcome very much. You also mention stimulus, which is "owned" by Obama and his party. It is by its own predictions a miserable failure. They threatened that if we DO NOT pass his bill, unemployment would rise as high as 8%, Now its over 10%!! Well played, Mr. President. If he claims as the Vie President has admitted they misread the data, then he should admit, he screwed up, but instead he is doubling down by robbing TARP which is turning out to be Bush's success and pouring it in to his failure, Pork spending that has turned into a political slush fund for his cronies.
As to Milbank, I can't say. You may be right. But the fact that Cantor and then Bachmann had to apologize for the sign suggests that it was prominently displayed in a way as to associated the speakers and Bachmann with it.

Still you imply that Cantor was responsible for the sign, got busted, and then needed to apologize for something he did. He was asked what he thought of a random sign that appeared in the crowd. He clearly conveyed after the fact, that a sign like that is unwelcome. I understand your desire to discover a massive conspiracy and coverup, but you have failed to provide any facts that make this believable.
I think Matt Yglesias makes my point better than I do: "There are all kinds of nutty people in the world, but these kinds of things are the wages of a conservative leadership and media that’s consistently tried to drum-up opposition to health care reform not by opposing things that are actually in the bill, but with demagogic opposition to completely fabricated provisions."
If Yglesias has some facts to back up his contention than you have provided that better argue this idea, I can look at them, but based on the extensive examples you have provided, It remains a matter of faith and not factual or even believable based on what facts you have provided. His statement is true there are nutty people. I have mentioned some of the Larouche and Paul people that the left often tries to lump in with the mainstream GOP leadership, to no avail. I also have pointed out nutty people Like Rhode Island Sen. Whitehouse who also makes note of other nutty people and tries to argue that the GOP is run by Aryans and Militias. Sen. Whitehouse is either lying, nutty or just a run of the mill fearmonger. If Yglesias is making the standard leftist leap to the idea that the GOP leadership does not oppose things in the bill, but puts forth nothing factual, and merely wants to hurt Obama for some unspoken personal reasons is laughable. In the case of the Senator from Rhode Island, at least he spoke that which is unspoken (sometimes). He blames political differences on the GOP being run by vicious and violent bigots. That doesn't sound like the opening outreach of a collegial meeting of the minds. It sounds like fearmongering and hate. But as I have said, I know how politics is played, and I'm sure he, like Obama is simply making a clumsy attempt to score political points, by scaring people. I think it will backfire, snd no I am not offering helpful advice to the left by saying so.

Ditto…but I may have to poop out here.

Me too, but not so much so that I didn't enjoy the exchange.

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