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Afghanistan Price Tag Will Easily Beat Annual Cost of Expanding US Health Care

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The Pentagon, which favors a surge in US troops to Afghanistan knows how defense bidding goes. They've seen enough of it from the large defense contractors to know that you bid low and reconcile at a multiple of two or three times higher than the contract later.

That is what the Pentagon seems to be doing by suggesting that each new troop addition that the United States sends to Afghanistan will cost about $500,000. The White House is suggesting the price tag will be double that amount - or $1 million per new soldier per year.

And can I add that these figures do not seem to include the long term health costs that the US commits to with our soldiers -- nor other ongoing benefits.

That means that a surge of 40,000 troops will cost approximately $40 Billion on top of the $65 billion/year the US is currently spending on its military deployments.

$105 billion.

David Obey, Chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, has now said that if the administration wants this war, it will have to pay for it -- and will have to impose a "surtax" on US citizens.

The health care bill that is being considered by the Congress now costs approximately $85 billion/year -- just to set some context.

For more context, Afghanistan's nominal GDP was $11.7 billion last year.

That's right. . .$11.7 billion -- and we are considering spending ten times that on this military engagement.

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note


7 Comments

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You math is terribly wrong. If we currently spend 60 billion to deploy over 120,000 soldiers in Iraq, plus 65,000 in Afghanistan, a 20 - 25% increase should add less than 15 billion to the total, not the 40 billion you cite. In addition, the war will not last forever, whereas the new health care fiasco will, and it will grow over time dramatically.

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You will need to take your math challenge to the Pentagon, not Steve Clemons. If you had read the article, you would have seen the ratio you referred to:

The Pentagon arrived at its much lower estimate by dividing its war funding request by the number of troops throughout the region: 68,000 in Afghanistan and up to 95,000 in supporting roles elsewhere, such as on nearby ships or in surrounding countries.
But the Pentagon itself had to jack that number when forced to include costs left out of earlier estimates:
The Pentagon cost includes higher combat wages, extra aircraft hours and other operations and maintenance costs, but omits such items as new weapons purchases -- one-time costs that vary by year -- and support equipment like spy satellites and anti-roadside-bomb technology.
The Pentagon also does not try to estimate costs of new bases for additional soldiers.
But in a memo early this month, obtained by The Times' Washington bureau, the Pentagon's own comptroller produced an estimate that broke with the customary Defense formula and did include construction and equipment.
That memo said the yearly cost of a 40,000-troop increase would be $30 billion to $35 billion -- at least $750,000 a person. An increase of 20,000 would cost $20 billion to $25 billion annually, it said -- a per-soldier cost equal to or greater than the White House estimate.
And then there is the problem of comparing these projections with the total cost of the two wars so far:
Under questioning by the House Armed Services Committee this month, a Congressional Budget Office expert couldn't say how much it costs to run the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
"I find it astonishing that, eight years into this, we haven't nailed it down with precision," another witness at the table, David Berteau, director of the Defense Industrial Initiatives Group of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said later.
If you should throw a tea party in front of the Pentagon, I would be more than happy to bring the cucumber sandwhiches.

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The chihuahua uses a very different sort of math than those of us who live in the real world. For him, anything President Barack Obama does produces massive negatives, while anything begun under Republicans and carried "off the books" is somehow massively positive.

It's called delusion. Don't inconvenience the pathetic critter with reality. It will make his tiny brain hurt worse than ever.

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Why can't we let the Afghanis and Iraquis and South Koreans, etc, etc die for their own countries? We can fight terror by letting Al Quaida and the Taliban come out of hiding into plain site where we can send in the drones.

Why are we risking our entire future for people who don't want our help and hate us anyway? Enough is enough. Get Out Now Everwhere!

Put the National Guard at our borders. Bring them all home. No more foreign wars. No more Mercenaries like Blackwater/Xe and all the others.

Or, how about offering citizenship to all of the illegal aliens that serve four years in our armed forces?

This is way past ridiculous.

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After eight years of Alfred E. Newman, just when we needed a Teddy Roosevelt the most: what do we give ourselves? Yep, JOHN - WADE - PRENTISS..

Oh boy....

I haven't listened to Neil Young's 'Living With War' since the full month of playing it nonstop - before last year's election. Gawd I need to hear Neil again. Sing it man; let's impeach the chump! The lives of our troops ought not be sacrificed on the altar of a political chess match. Whose trump card does O. react to? Not hard to figure.

But then the whole situation had already become so insidious forty two years ago, when Moshe Dayan directed his pilots to attack and attempt to sink the USS Liberty, with impunity.

We passed by infamy such a long time ago.

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The costs have been made higher because of the Bush-Cheney policy of kicking the can down the road.

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