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What is Sarah Palin's Future in American Politics?

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A friend of mine who is the publisher of a very successful news site has a joke: In the future the Internet will consist entirely of Sarah Palin slide shows. Anyone who's ever had occasion to look at traffic statistics for a news website understands what he's saying. Few things draw in readers and garner clicks more reliably than articles (or, even better, pictures) of Sarah Palin. We can't look away. We can't stop talking about her even when we desperately want to. The very fact that we've been blogging about her all week attests to that.

My first experience of this Sarah Palin effect came during the Republican National Convention in St. Paul. As a progressive opinion journalist who routinely reports on conservatives, you come to develop a kind of practiced disassociative state when behind enemy lines. You'd never be able to gain any understanding whatsoever if you spent all your time arguing with and hectoring people at evangelical colleges or anti-immigration rallies, so it's both psychologically and professionally necessary to put yourself in a state of mind where you simply listen.

On the night Palin gave her big debut national speech, I sat through the speeches that preceded hers in that same slightly removed state. Then Palin came to the stage. The crowd grew more and more raucous, and the room began to feel like a Roman Colosseum. When Palin went after the "reporters and commentators" in the "Washington elite" for having disparaged and condescended to her, the crowd erupted and began pointing and jeering at Tom Brokaw, sitting in the NBC booth. I watched all this still, I thought, with equanimity.

About a third of the way through the speech, when she delivered her infamous potshot at community organizers--

"I guess a small-town mayor is sort of like a community organizer, except that you have actual responsibilities"--

I suddenly felt like the room was 100 degrees. Realizing my face was burning with heat, I went to touch my cheeks, which felt feverish. I couldn't for the life of me understand what was going on, and was about to get up for a breath of fresh air or water until it hit me: I was furious.

My father is a community organizer and spent years toiling in some of the poorest neighborhoods in New York, doing the painstaking, unglamorous work of attempting to build power among people who were routinely getting screwed over. And Sarah Palin had just spit in his face.

Despite my best efforts, she had gotten to me.

What I was experiencing was a strange kind of dislocation: Palin had managed to bypass one part of my brain and reach down deep into another. There are two kinds of politics: There's politics of the prefrontal cerebral cortex, the politics of analysis and facts and discussion, and there's politics of the limbic system, the sub-rational, emotional, ancient part of the brain that controls the bodily responses like the blood flushing my cheeks in that seat in the Xcel Energy Center.

As degraded as our politics may be, it's impossible for me to imagine a politician as purely limbic as Sarah Palin ever managing to ascend to the White House. But democratic politics in a heterogeneous society like ours is inevitably tribal, and millions of Americans view her as their vessel and their chief. The political potency of someone who can provoke that kind of visceral reaction shouldn't be underestimated.

Chris Hayes, along with Jane Hamsher, Amanda Marcotte and Michael Tomasky, speculate more on Palin's political future and a 2012 run for the Presidency in the closing forum of "Going Rouge: An American Nightmare," from OR Books. Comments and discussion are welcome though: After all we've seen this week, what is she up to? Is she running in 2012, or just trying to cash in?


31 Comments

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Kinda like Hitler, nicht wahr?

Of course, the problem I see is not the people who will see Palin and vessel and chief, but the corrupt and cowardly, above all undisciplined, Weimar Democrats in Congress who have all that prefrontal cortex stuff, but apply it in 15 minute intervals to opportunistic advancement of purely personal advantages or conceits.

The 30% of the electorate Palin et alia will mobilize can defeat and demoralize a bewildered and betrayed majority overwhelmed by anxiety at a civilian government the President cannot even staff, much less lead into anything but half-baked schemes.

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Uhhhhh ... Hey John . . .

How about spending your time posting something such as your HOORAY!: PO w/ Opt-Out and Co-Op! here at the Cafe instead of wasting your valuable time dumping in a thread such as this one that is as worthless as teats-on-a-boar?

Just wandering and wondering . . .

~OGD~

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Her future is likely as a commentator. An easier-on-the-eyes Glenn Beck.

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Empress of Foxcuckooland!

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So let me get this straight, the real danger is a bunch of weak kneed corporate democrats? Umm, no. Witness the news today re: Nelson and Landrieu; they can be brought along.

The problem is people who refuse to live in the real World, because there's no debating or negotiating with them.

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This was a reply to JRBehrman.

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We can't stop talking about her even when we desperately want to.

Please. "Want to" a little more. About 99.9 percent of this woman's political heft is conjured out of thin air by the alchemy of media attention. Nothing more. A lapsed, quitter governor of a boondock state is suddenly a standard-bearer of American conservativism because this country's news industry evidently is dazzled by purty colors and sparkly beads. Face it, dammit: She's a far-Right refrigerator magnet. If the media gave her the attention she deserves, by now she'd be dumped on the same heap as Tara Reid and Vanilla Ice - 14 minutes of fame and GONE!

Our healthcare is in shambles and the big industry players are running the show, our stock market churns profit out of employee pink ships and the rest of us slip into peonage. We are looted from the top, by a system that strips us of meager resources by fiat bank fees and loanshark credit. Our children could end up living in America, The Crumbling Pesthole.

But, by all means, continue propping up the dodgy celebrity of this airhead shill. Rome's burning, and she's a mighty curvy fiddle.

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That's not really fair to Vanilla Ice.

If you took the lyrics to "Ice, Ice, Baby" (the most popular rap single EVER), I'm pretty sure more people have heard his published words than Palin can ever hope to reach with her book.

And unlike Palin, he's doing other things now.

Personally I think we love Palin because she NEVER FAILS to say something stupid. Perhaps it is a gift. Combined with her seeming lack of any shame or self-consciousness, she's a train wreck that keeps on giving, like OJ, Orly Taitz, or Larry Sinclair.

I love her!!! And I love what she's doing for the Democratic Party!!

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Are you nuts???
Sarah Palin is the best thing we got going for us (politically) at this point.

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spot on.

i never realized how many crazy people there were in this country untill palin made them visable.

thats her attraction.

she represents a people that i never imagined existed and maybe no one senses the danger this women represents, but i dont see anything good coming from her.

she wont go quietly and she is all about hate and manipulation.

i sense a violent outcome when she is finally discarded by the republican party.

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destor23 is right. Sarah Palin was made for Fox News. The day of her unavoidable arrival there will likely mimic that famous scene in Legends of the Fall when Brad Pitt's character returns to the Montana ranch after being abroad for years. Hell, like Pitt, she might even make her way through the gates of FNC on horseback, leading a band of wild horses with a whip. The news directors could go the full mile and play the sensational James Horner musical score to boot.

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Palin's in it for the money and fame of celebrity. It's obvious. I am amazed that the talking head set, including the author of this piece, haven't figured this out but instead continue to give her exactly what she wants and needs to build up her celebrity. Who gives a damn? There are a whole lot more important things to focus on like Obama's imminent and ill-advised escalation of the war in Afghanistan, the fact that the administration continues to serve Wall Street hat in hand while it does absolutely nothing to create jobs for the people and even less to stem the exploding mortgage crisis. But instead we focus on gossip and speculation about this idiotic nit wit?

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Oleeb, you remind me of Marlin Perkins on the old Mutual of Omaha Show. His transitions were so cheezy, we cracked up every time he pulled one out.

"The mother bear knows how to protect her cubs.... just like Mutual of Omaha can help you protect your family..."

As for the blog;s final quesiton, I would posit "Both!"

The gravy train might outlast 2012.

I'm still betting on a wingnut talk show at the end of her rainbow.

Certainly not the White House. Can you just see that old moose head hanging in the oval office?

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Hurrah for Sarah Palin, the first woman ever elected President of the United States!

And anyone who votes against Sarah Palin is a sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Sexist pig!

Of course, that kind of rhetoric could never elect anybody... except Barack Obama.

And if you don't believe it, let me quote you a few replies to criticism of Barack Obama on the internet...

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Get the picture? No? So let me quote you a few more replies to criticism of Barack Obama on the internet.

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

Racist!

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Quit whining.

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You are a complete fool.

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Racist

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Any good politician knows that you move more voters through emotion than you do through logic. Issues are important, but only insofar as they elicit the desired emotional response in the voter.

Put another way: you campaign in poetry. Of course if you get elected you now have another job and that is to govern -- which you do in prose.

By now, none of this should not be a surprise; nor should it even be considered a bad thing.

After all, have we already forgotten that the last election was won by the candidate of hope who defeated the candidate of fear?

So what Sarah Palin is doing shouldn't be so shocking -- rather it is predictable.

The question is this: will her opponent(s) in both parties be able to defeat her with emotional appeals of their own?

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This is a great post. When she delivered her convention speech, I donated $250 to the Obama campaign before she had finished speaking. I was extremely pissed off, and also terrified. I am not at all convinced that, if she had been able to build on that speech, she might have been the "game-changer" that the McCain campaign had hope for. Fortunately, she is profoundly uninformed, inarticulate, and just not all that bright, and they couldn't hide that fact, blunting her effect and eventually turning her into a liability.

I am also tired of the people who complain about the attention she is paid on leftwing blogs, and dismiss her as merely a talk show host. This woman has a substantial political following, if a small minority (25%) at this point. I think the analogies to Hitler at this point have some validity. If you combine her fervent evangelical/nativist base; the corporate interests that run the Republican Party behind the scenes who would see her as an attractive vessel (she is VERY pro-corporate); independents (aka "finger in the winders") dissatisfied with a soft economy; and apathy on the left, you have a potentially winning combination.

I think you dismiss Palin at your peril. The left needs to smack her down every time the rightwing or the MSM prop her up.

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Sarah Palin's "future in American politics" mainly depends on how stupid so-called "conservative" voters can become, deliberately or otherwise. It does not depend at all on hung-up "liberal" columnists too lazy to think of real substantive issues to talk about.

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I voted for "anybody but a Republican" in 2008. Many of the negatives about Obamas inexperience, etc., were hard to refute, but 8 years of Republicans was more than the majority could bear. Independents swung the 2008 elections and they could well swing the other way if the Dems don't start producing. Of course, if Palin is in the race, that will be an asset to the Dems...No matter how unproductive they may be.

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Are you too daft to realize that we elect PEOPLE not parties? That McCain is not GWB? Obama's inexperience is showing now, as he STILL can't decide what to do in Afghanistan, and his only economic policy is to spend more money we don't have.

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I voted for "anybody but a Republican"
"That McCain is not GWB?" Which of the two is dumber?
I "will" vote for anyone who will attempt to break corporate powers' back.

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"as he STILL can't decide what to do in Afghanistan"

Sending tens of thousands of men and women into war is something to be weighed to the last grain of judgement.

Again, your arrogance is arrogant.

Go ahead, you make the call 'dog, you don;t have to ponder how many children will be fatherless or motherless, for a deployment or for a lifetime, based on that decision.

It is easy to pontificate when you aren't really responsible.

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Her comment was not an attack on community organizers, it was a justified swipe at the total lack of experience Obama had while his supporters were intent on questioning her considerably greater experience. And don't tell me how smart he is, lets see him talk without his teleprompter and without being briefed on the questions in advance.

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"total lack of experience Obama had"

THE GUY IS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!

You are completely delusional, that was a cheap political argument beore the election, and now it is just arrogant and disingenuous, and exemplary of vain delusions of superiority.

Get over yourself, 'dog. You're literally sounding dumb.

"Total lack of experience"
...and he's the President of the United States?
...it just doesn't get any more stupid than this.

As for Palin, according to Conservative values, she's a lazy quitter.

Everything else is spin.

They do respect her overt opportunism, though, it may be her only saving grace in their greedy eyes.

As long as she cashes in, regardless of her damage to impressionable and vulnerable people, the Right will embrace her, overlooking that lazy quitter thing cuz she's got dough.

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This one somehow manages to fall off both sides of the horse simultaneously:

(1) making the militant extremist GOP of 2009 out as the NSDAP of circa 1930 plus apple pie and baseball is silly. Some good guys like imagining our own native and nativist wingnutettes and wingnuts as brown of shirt and stiff of arm, but that is an important fact only about the imaginers.

(2) On the other hand, 25% is not usefully to be classified as "a small minority." What the true number of S. Heath-Paling groupies may be, I have no idea, but I'd be aghast if I could seriously believe there are fifty million of 'em. [1]

Healthy days.

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Your insight into how she stirs the limbic system is thought provoking. Palin is a media-created figment and a projective test. I am dumbfounded by the adoration she gets from women. They can turn against her as witnessed by the crowd going rogue on her at the Noblesville IN book signing http://is.gd/4ZWBY. Her face and hair, which look so amazing on TV, must look pretty strange in person (and I live in Manhattan and see a lot of extreme plastic surgery and hair extensions). Methinks the more she is seen up close at these book signings the more likely people like those in this crowd will not be so ready to see her as a mirror of themselves and be out of love with her.

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What's with all the Sarah Palin posts?

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Left Wing Strategery

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Sarah who?

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