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Obama's Fatal Error

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I've been trying to ponder how we got to this absurd place where right wing Fat Cats like Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh can pose as populists on the side of "the people" opposing Barack Obama, who I suppose must represent established power in the eyes of the Tea-baggers. My conclusion is that Obama made one great mistake which was in not prosecuting the malfeasance on Wall Street. And I don't mean just Brenie Madoff. A fascinating column from Gillian Tett of the Financial Times outlines the stark contrast between the S & L scandal of the early 1990's and our current bailout of the Wall Street Oligarchs.


How many financiers do you think ended up in jail after America's Savings and Loans scandals? The answer can be found in a fascinating, old report from the US Department of Justice*.


According to some of its records, between 1990 and 1995 no less than 1,852 S&L officials were prosecuted, and 1,072 placed behind bars. Another 2,558 bankers were also jailed, often for offenses which were S&L-linked too.



Aside from Madoff, can you think of a single banker who has gone to jail for creating fraudulent securities far more poisonous than anything the S & L bankers ever could dream of? Instead of listening to Larry Summers and Tim Geithner who were bought and sold by Wall Street many years ago, Obama had a chance in January to set the tone of his administration by suing all the Investment banks to stop the bonus payouts. At the time Rush Limbaugh was on the side of the bankers who loaned him the money for his private jet, claiming it would be "class warfare" to stop the bonuses.


But Obama let his populist moment pass and all the guy on Main Street saw was the bankers getting bailed out, billions in bonuses getting paid out, and the rest of us getting treated like chumps.

Obama ended up on the side of the Fat Cats. Instead of putting the AIG financial services team on a perp walk, he just let them walk and so this underlying anger has now gotten channeled by Beck and Limbaugh into absurd parodies like preventing the President from giving a speech to urge school kids to study hard. We all know Beck and Limbaugh given the choice between "the people" and their own privilege always "fly private". Limbaugh was right in one sense--what was needed in January was a little class warfare. A little clarity of which party was on the side of the people and which party was on the side of the private jet riding oligarchs.


I have used the meme of the Interregnum before--a confusing time in which the old is dying and the new cannot be born. We are in such a moment now and it is very confusing for the average citizen. 18 months ago I quoted Eric Altermann writing about Walter Lippmann

Lippmann likened the average American-or "outsider," as he tellingly named him-to a "deaf spectator in the back row" at a sporting event: "He does not know what is happening, why it is happening, what ought to happen," and "he lives in a world which he cannot see, does not understand and is unable to direct." In a description that may strike a familiar chord with anyone who watches cable news or listens to talk radio today, Lippmann assumed a public that "is slow to be aroused and quickly diverted . . . and is interested only when events have been melodramatized as a conflict."

This is what is happening today. The public is confused and Beck and Limbaugh--like their spiritual godfather Joe McCarthy--are very good at melodrama and paranoia. As David Carr points out this morning "The administration seems to believe that if all the information on a given issue is on the table -- or in this case, on the Web -- then the truth, or at least their version of it, will win out." But Beck and Limbaugh are not interested in facts, they interested in conflict and emotion.

I don't know if Obama's decision to side with Summers, Geithner and the oligarchs in January was fatal. I still believe, in a verbal class war, the President could make it very clear to Main Street which side of the divide the Republican Party is on. But he has to be willing to fight that war. He has to be willing to take on the insurance companies, the coal companies, the military contractors, the bankers, the drug companies--the whole panoply of established power. Those of us who took his side early in the campaign know that Barack was never the establishment candidate--that was Hillary--and that he ran his early candidacy with lots of small donations raised on the web. Rahm Emmanuel thinks he needs the establishment on his side to fight in 2012, but I would rather see a little class warfare now than see one more sold-out Democratic Presidency unwilling to take on the oligarchs.


43 Comments

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At the very least, Hillary had/has no illusions about what good guys the republicans are--she knows that they are scum.
Obama seems to be working in some fantasy world that ignores the events of the last 16 or more years. Politics is a dirty game and the American people know it.

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Yes. Remember the teabagger movement really started as a response to the Wall Street bailouts. If you go back to earlier this year when people were out protesting in New York's financial district you'll see a confluence of left and right wingers who agree on little except that normal people were getting screwed.

Anger over the AIG bonus payments was also not restricted to the usual left/right dynamic.

At a certain point the left right schism did take hold on issues like healthcare, taxation, etc. but the original complaint was that the Obama administration favored Wall Street over Main Street the same way the Bush administration did and that Wall Street is now going back to business as usual, its elites having suffered very little for cratering the nation's economy.

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Anger over the AIG bonus payments was also not restricted to the usual left/right dynamic.

"Make no mistake: Angry right-wing populism lurks just below the surface of the terrible American economy . . . . " Robert Reich 3/4/2009

"Make no mistake: Angry left-wing populism lurks just below the surface of the terrible American economy . . . ." Ellen 3/4/2009

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You're absolutely right. This is the key blindspot. How many bloggers/media stars laughed at the teabaggers and thought that Republican "populism" would never amount to anything?

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There was no one "fatal error". Beck and Limbaugh have a large built-in audience of cultural right fanatics who are determined to hate whatever smarty pants liberals do, no matter what it is.

If Obama had taken on the financial industry, they would now be screaming about how Obama is a communist who hates the engine of capitalism.

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Except that a lot of Limbaugh/Beck audiences feels as screwed by the Wall Streeters as anyone else.

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True--but at the same time it's convenient--and being pushed--for them to believe that Obama and crew are now at the top of the heap of Wall-Streeters. Which is not true; no matter how frustrated we are with Obama, he's nowhere close to the top of the heap. Heck, he's not even in the same room as that heap.

It's always hard to believe that change depends on us, but Progressives have a huge role to play in whether or not that heap gets restructured. And assuming that Obama has somehow lost the battle for us before we've even had a chance to start is convenient, but not true.

So let's hold onto our pitchforks, subsidized or not, and have our muck rakes at the ready. There's a lot of work to do.

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Yeah, I think Rush would have screamed about Obama no matter what.

There's no doubt that a clearer response to the financial crisis would have been better, but the bailout deal was pretty much set up by the time Obama entered office. The TARPies made sure of that, and they also made sure that Obama would be the bagholder--the guy seemingly, but not really in charge as the Grinches stole Christmas 2008.

Rolling back the Oligarchs is going to be a long project. We've barely begun.

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We definitely need pitchfork subsidies for lower income redistributors.

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We haven't even started. And there is no indication that there is any interest in doing that.

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Thanks for mentioning TARP. That was the start of the bailout and was supported mostly by the democratic minority party over the objections of the republicans. During a republican administration on its way out the door and at the behest of a president they all seemed to support for the previous seven and 10/12 years.

Obama was one of 100 senators at the time, but as president his hands were completely tied by the initial legislation passed by members of his own party. I find it amusing that the revisionism has gotten so bad that we are rewriting stuff that happened less than a year ago.

Guess it really doesn't matter who is in charge if they both suck at governing.

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jason,

you're predictable.

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What? My preference for facts over fiction? I will agree, that is indeed a very predictable stance for me.

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Jason,

yep, predictable.

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Did you have something relevant to add to the debate? Some other source of data besides the vote totals on TARP?

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Maybe Obama isn't what we thought he was.

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Even Before We Knew Who the 2008 Candidates Were

. . . Americans, understandably, have lost confidence in the prospects for a return to real prosperity.

They have also, I’d suggest, lost confidence in the integrity of our economic institutions.

. . . my impression is that the subprime crisis — with its revelation that titans of finance were dealing in funny money and its tales of failed executives receiving hundred-million-dollar going-away presents — has resurrected the sense that something is rotten in the state of our economy.

The question is, can the next administration end America’s malaise?

[Not] unless the next president is someone who understands what went wrong. And right now, that doesn’t look at all certain. Paul Krugman 4/14/2008

"Where have you gone, Joe Dimaggio? A nation turns its lonely eyes to you."

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Ellen,

there is a mindset in American Corporate executives today that feels that the Companies they run are thier own private piggy banks, a vessel they can sail to ungodly richess.

This started when Reagan put the sharks in the water and they've been growing in numbers and power ever since. Today, these cretins permeate the executive suites.

These people need to be ousted, or their mindsets forcefully changed.

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Joltin' Joe has left and gone away, hey, hey, hey.

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I still find it amusing how so many liberals state without a moment of hesitation that Republicans are "scum." When one party has an undivided government, it's natural that the minority party is going to do everything in its power to undermine the majority party.

That's how politics has always worked in this country.

Does that mean after the mid term elections of 2002, when the GOP earned an undivided government, that the Democrats were all "scum" for trying to thwart the efforts of the Bush administration?

Yes. It does.

Furthermore, Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh only POSE as populists, but the only people who actually believe they ARE populists are their steadfast followers. The rest of us aren't that stupid.

One of the problems that Democrats have always suffered from is an acute sense of arrogance. The party as a whole is absolutely convinced that everything it does is "right" and "just" and the GOP is nothing more than a group of scumbags out to ruin everything.

This, despite the fact that there are more registered Republicans in the United States than Democrats and there are far more red states than blue states.

My point here is to demonstrate that there are a lot of different people in this country that have diverging opinions. A lot of those people don't want to see the Obama administration spend money recklessly while concurrently growing the Federal Government to a size never before seen in the history of the country. Democrats need to at least acknowledge this instead of thinking everyone opposed to Obama is on some sort of witch hunt.

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One of the problems that Democrats have always suffered from is an acute sense of arrogance...

This, despite the fact that there are more registered Republicans in the United States than Democrats and there are far more red states than blue states.

On what planet do you spend most of your time?

Just askin'.

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mjs,

you're talking to a dining room table.

(couldn't resist it)

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while concurrently growing the Federal Government to a size never before seen in the history of the country

I hear worried complaints along the the lines of "Obama is spending too much" often enough from friends, acquaintances and family that usually vote Democratic. They are not the type to be against big Federal spending per se, it's more that they worry that it is not being done wisely or for the right reasons. It's just anecdotal on my part, but I think someone should be polling on it, especially the adminstration. Reasons/assurances are not getting through, and it's not that they are listening to Limbaugh.

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Where shall I start. Perhaps with the fairness of neglecting to list the dates of the crimes which were prosecuted 1990 and 1995. Mention the word Charles Keating, who as prosecuted in 1990, and mention that his crimes began five years earler. Mention, too, that the country was in an extended banking crisis for a half decade before a rescue plan was devised.

Now put this timeline against the timeline you should have provided here. How many of those

1,852 S&L officials were prosecuted, and 1,072 placed behind bars. Another 2,558 bankers were also jailed,
were prosecuted and jailed between January 20 and September 7, 1990
That would seem to be the fair comparison to January 20 - September 7 2009. How many of them were prosecuted and jailed after the change of administration in 1992? Wouldn't it be fair to investigate that? It might have given you a smaller brush to tar the President with, but it would have been fairer.

I guess this will stand until the next fatal mistake guru comes by with an even bigger mistake as we climb the Mount Everest of mistakes. I guess with Monday being a holiday and all that, the Monday Morning Quarterbacks meeting can dutifully move to Tuesday. I delighted in a weekend without them...such a pleasant breath of fresh air. And we are returned to Bop the President time in 500 words, more or less.

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yes. exactly the point i was going to make.

if we are to compare/contrast timelines it seems to me obama still has at least a couple years before anyone would need to begin being prosecuted for any malfeasance associated with the recent/current financial crisis.

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"
"were prosecuted and jailed between January 20 and September 7, 1990?"

That would seem to be the fair comparison to January 20 - September 7 2009. "

I'm confused.

What does a 7+ month DURING A PRESIDENTIAL TRANSITION have in common with the same time period IN THE MIDDLE OF A PRE-EXISTING PRESIDENTIAL TERM?

Just askin........

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Seven months vs seven months, not seven months v. 5 years. Is it fair to say Obama hasn't yet prosecuted as many people, then the period in which he could have prosecuted them was less than 1/5th as long. Let Taplin ask the same question five years from now, and see if the comparison isn't so biased.

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Or let me ask it another way. When was the first indictment brought and the first conviction won? How long did that take? I'm willing to be dollars to donuts that it was longer than Obama's been in office.

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and if obama were allowed the time from the first s&l failures associated with the s&l crisis to the first convictions associated with the crisis, he might well have until his second term (if he is so lucky) before taplin's criticism is legitimate.

but even if you compare bush I's coming into office in 1989 to the first prosecutions cited by taplin in 1990, that would at the very least give obama until next year to be on par.

i might be a pitchfork carrying socialist and i've got all kinds of problems with obama (and how he's handled this finacial crisis) but taplin seems to me to be full of shit here.

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The error is thinking that anyone on Wall Street would have been jailed for this if we had what the Left considers a truly Liberal president. I'm sure there are Dems in Congress who say they would, but they never have to back up their talk with action.

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The Obama, who won an election by treating America to a year-long self-help seminar and then made off with the registration fees . . . . IOZ

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[Obama's] relations with Wall Street are destroying his legitimacy. His failure to demonstrably clean house at the Securities and Exchange Commission and other regulators, or to direct the Justice Department to investigate and prosecute misdeeds stemming from the swindles and frauds in securitized debt, make him look like a stooge to the bankers. James Howard Kunstler 9/1/2009

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First, colossal stupidity or arrogance is not yet a crime in and of itself. If someone has evidence of a crime and evidence that it is not being investigated feel free to cite chapter and verse for all to see. If you believe the Treasury Secretary or the Chief of Staff are personally interfering in investigations you should share evidence of this as well, preferably with the FBI. It's hard to imagine there will be any shortage of lawsuits on behalf of investors.

Second, what exactly was accomplished by all the prosecutions during the S&L crisis? Did it slow down the growth of the mega-wealthy class for whom "playing by the rules" is an invitation to buy the people who make the rules? Did it dissuade the massive accounting frauds? The internet investing bubble (egged on in part by corrupt financial analysts)? Did it scare financial innovators from developing new and exciting ways to get you to trust them with your money? Did change the willingness of the public to elect political leaders firmly committed to reducing regulations on the financial and banking sectors?

So, what dismal future did those prosecutions prevent?

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Nicely done.

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As usual.

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Who are these people who should be prosecuted and what crimes would you charge them with? I'd like to hear some names and offences from you. Madoff was obviously guilty as hell. Who else do you have in mind?

I ask this not to be snarky but because my understanding is that most of the destructive behavior on Wall Street's part was in fact legal. This is a big problem but not one that can be solved by prosecuting individual bankers. So please do elaborate if you believe you can identify criminals.

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OhioGuy,

I'm not a lawyer, but it seems to me that bankers had a fiduciary responsiblity to their investors and bond rating companies had the same responsibility to the public. If so, both failed miserably, and maybe criminally.

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You hit a triple Jon.
Just add the five hedge funds that withdrew the billions in September 08 from the Federal Reserve the caused the panic..oh yea they where funded by the same unions retirement funds that supported the big "O".

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Please name the five hedge funds.

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mjshep:

I spend most of my time on the planet of California in a place called Los Angeles.

And for the record I didn't vote for Obama or McCai andI don't listen to Rush, Hannity, or any of that AM talk drivel.

I find it ironic that some on this thread (not you specifically mjshep) seem to make the association naturally, as if any and all disagreement with the Obama administration automatically means that person is a neo-con.

A truly sad state of affairs.

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Word.

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Obama's only errors, so far as I can see them are:

* Not doing something to get more stimulus faster
* Probably allowing too much pork in the stimulus
* Not stopping the bonuses, I mean they are still giving out big fat bonuses to companies getting bailouts
* Not starting his own town halls sooner


The stuff about Obama selling out to Wall Street is just asinine. I see no reason to believe Obama belongs to the Phil Gramm school of economics. Quite the opposite. The other stuff about him selling out is just conspiracy theory BS, no different than the Ron Paulist survivalist bull shit.

Obama is not going after them because they are badly beaten down and he wants them reformed, not destroyed. When the economy grows stronger, and if more of his other priorities get passed, I would expect him initiate financial regulation.

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Interesting. The focus of the article is pondering where Obama went wrong. Yet, when insight is offered -- but doesn't coincide with what this community wants to hear -- a demeaning post immediately appears.

And yes, the bailouts started it. The deep alliance with the unions brought it into focus. And the arrogance is fine tuning the picture. Perhaps you can pass along a newsflash to our President: You won . . . stop giving campaign speeches and start leading. A good portion of the country didn't realize they were electing a Speech-Giver-in-Chief.

I'll give you a final clue as to where the anger is coming from. When you think it's a wise course of action to use a vulgar term -- teabaggers -- to label ordinary people (yeah, I know, you don't believe it) and you laugh it up like pimply-faced adolescents about how funny and clever you are . . . and an article cannot be written and a comment cannot be posted without using that vulgar term to describe protesting middle-class boomers and fixed-income senior citizens, you simply add fuel to the fire.

Keep it up . . . what started as a burning ember has turned into a raging forest fire. In the end, the orchestrated teabagger campaign didn't serve you well.

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