Paranoids have enemies too
A theme running through the comments of Justin, Matt, and Daniel is the supremacy of irrationality and chaos over enlightened order. I tried to say that this is a fundamental misconception of our problem. I will try again.
There is no lack of irrationality on offer in the behavior of those who make up "the market." And the consequences certainly entail chaos. But the historical record of bubbles is too long and repetitive to ascribe behavior to individual deficiencies. This has happened before. People knew it, people could anticipate it happening again (if not the actual timing). We can know with certainty it will rain again without know the day.
What's missing from the meliorist framework of my fellow bloggers is the concept of Power. We're getting progressivism when we need populism.
J.K. Galbraith used to torment the economics profession about this. If memory serves, he used to get onto the op-ed pages by getting advertising space. I don't know where the money came from. One of his academic articles was "Power and the Useful Economist." You can read it here. In fact, stop reading this and read that.
What's missing from the posts is the populist rage appropriate to the spectacle of how those in power -- both in and out of "government" -- have taken advantage of everybody else. I put government in quotes because one of the power centers is the Federal Reserve Bank. The most important public institution of economic governance is firmly in the deathlike grip of private sector interests. The scope of its economic subsidies to the comanding heights of finance puts the Obama programs to shame.
Is this everybody getting crazy about finance? With their wacky economic theories and equations? That doesn't quite capture the situation, does it?
Let's recapitulate. Big finance ('BF') systematically dismantles regulation of its activities. BF takes taxpayer money and lobbies against the interests of taxpayers. BF shovels money to politicians. BF offers the sunny side of the revolving door to high-level officials in public agencies. BF provides a haven for its minions to make one-way/heads-I-win-tails-you-lose bets with other peoples' money. BF alumni construct new policies, in the wake of the meltdown, to make new one-way bets, with taxpayer money. BF luminaries walk away from this debacle with personal fortunes intact, if not larger, as well as high public office, followed by further personal enrichment. Even the former chief economist of the IMF thinks that government policy has been captured by the bad guys.
Is this about lots of people getting nutty with money or drunk on their equations? The more pertinent paradigm is of activity that is rational and legal that ought to be criminal. The real myth is that market transactions are the basis for economic events. The construction of financial markets is heavily influenced by interested parties who, most of the time, have more juice than you do. Though when they screw up really really badly, new possibilities beckon.





















Great post Max. And with the levels of obscurity at the fed, we never really know what's going on behind the green curtain, so regulating it becomes that more complex. That obscurity seems to be part of the program of financial manipulation and transference of wealth. Most people just scratch their heads and admit it's beyond their comprehension, so the likelihood of mounting a grassroots rebellion are remote. Even after the incendiary events of the last 10 months, things haven't fallen apart completely, and people are hunkered down, able to focus on the obvious markers like the bonuses, and corporate retreats, yet the skimming of the vig that makes all that possible remains a mystery to the general public, (myself included if truth be told).
July 16, 2009 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right on Max. Problem is your perscription is too radical. Easily dismissed today given that we ducked the bullet 10 months back. During the crisis there was a small chance to make the right decision -- ie mark to market citis, BoA and the other investment banks assets -- and thereby bankrupt and take over those banks. Instead we gave them .7 trillion dollars. Today that action is being heralded as saving the economy. No one seems to notice that the only thing being saved is the big banks and the rest of the country is sinking deeper into economic decline.
Ten months back the popular outrage against the bailouts came from both the left and the right, but it was not coordinated. Is there anyway that outrage can be harnessed in a single direction? It seems likely that there will be another crisis (this fall?) before this is over. I fear all we will see when (if) that happens is a rightwing attack against Obama and the left defending him, while the banksters walk off yet again with another bailout.
July 17, 2009 2:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Syvanan, you state there may be a another crisis on the horizon - maybe this fall.
And I agree. I think this economy is crashing. The green shoots are not going to overcome the problems. The FIRE sector of our economy continues leeching off those who actually provide goods and services. Those business that provide goods and services, nearly all of them, are losing money. That cannot go on indefinately.
It ain't just a problem in the housing market.
July 18, 2009 8:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe when enough people keep running into their friends and neighbors in the same bread line often enough, they will wake up. But I doubt it.
C
July 17, 2009 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
But populism has such a bad connotation in progressive circles. Sounds like... nativism. Or worse. Jeepers! All those hillbillies! Far better to swirl about cocktail convocations, gibbering about dialectical approaches to coconut production - pausing only to chew out underpaid barhops about dud vermouth.
July 17, 2009 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
And protectionism! Don't forget about Econ 101!
July 17, 2009 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Money Equals Free Speech.
July 17, 2009 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
MaxSpeak, You Listen.
It is not too late to jump back in the pool. Heck I see that even Billmon is back for a third (or fourth) blogging go-round.
http://end.maxspeak.org/theend.html This was not a good day.
July 17, 2009 11:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hell yeah, Bruce.
Hi, Max!
July 17, 2009 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice to see the old gang. By the way, I have been twittering. It's sort of like blogging at Eschaton.
July 17, 2009 10:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, Max, I'll bite. I recently downloaded a twitter app for my IPhone (free, why not), looked at it for five minutes and decided it was as stupid and worthless as I'd thought all along. However, your presence might convince me to give the medium another chance.
Under what name would I find your tweets?
July 18, 2009 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink