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'Busted': It's Not Just About me

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Thank you so much for inviting me to the Cafe. I've had a wild ride over the past month, ever since the New York Times Magazine published an excerpt of Busted, in which I recount my own outrageous nightmare with junk mortgages. This book has been the ultimate hot-and-cold experience. Hundreds of people have written to thank me for laying out my own mistakes, with many expressing relief that they weren't alone and that they didn't feel quite as ashamed of the mistakes they had made. I've never experienced such an outpouring of anguish and sympathy. Most came across as sincere and hardworking family people, not me-too gimmie-gimmies. Most acknowledged they had made mistakes and just wanted to get back to a sound footing -- with or without their houses.

But obviously, I've also been on the target of much righteous wrath and vitriol. I've been called a loser, a liar, a fraud, and an example of what's wrong with America. Among many other epithets. That was to be expected. When you're a lead economics reporter for the Times and you admit to bungling your finances so badly, you waive any claims to mercy. What I didn't expect was to be accused of not falling on my sword enough and for leaving out "crucial'' information about my wife Patty's prior financial problems. This kicked off a mud-storm in the blogosphere, though book reviewers and interviewers have generally viewed it as a sideshow. But it's all fair game, and I invite people to weigh in or ask questions.

A few words about Busted. Although the narrative is anchored on my own personal experience, the goal is to explore in intimate detail the broader corruption and cynical recklessness that infected players at each level of the financial food chain. Two-thirds of the book is not about me but about the people who helped deliver all that money to my door: my lenders, the Wall Street guys behind them and the Washington policymakers like Alan Greenspan.

We all know, or think we know, that "everybody was to blame.'' I don't disagree with that proposition, but it begs the big question: what were all these people thinking? Risk-taking is an essential part of economic life, at least of modern capitalism. Speculative blow-ups and failures are an inevitable part of the process. So are home foreclosures. But this was an epic wave of self-destruction that will probably burden the United States for years to come. Worse, it got underway less than five years after the spectacular bubble and bust in tech stocks. Was there something in the water we were drinking?

Fortunately or unfortunately, I had a unique opportunity to explore those questions. I am an economics reporter who had actually written about the explosion in junk mortgages as early as June 2004. Because I cover economic policy in Washington, I had also written at length about Alan Greenspan's cheap-money policies, his peculiar fondness for rising consumer debt and the consistent failure of bank regulators to rein in no-doc loans, Option ARMs and the like.

But in August 2004, I jumped right into the mania myself. I was paying out enormous child support and alimony to my ex-wife, had fallen head-over-heels in love and wanted to start a new chapter in my life. Mortgage lenders were falling over themselves to lend me money -- no questions asked. Thus began a five-year descent into financial insanity -- soaring credit card debt, a surrealistic double-dip home refinancing and the likely foreclosure or short-sale of my house.

This is not a sob story, and I'm not looking for sympathy. The opening premise for the book is that my mortgage was insane on its face -- to me as a borrower, but also to the lender. I stipulate right up front that I was irrational. I suspect that many if not most borrowers who got in trouble had a gut feeling they were taking on too much risk.

But there is nothing remotely normal about millions of people jumping off the financial cliff at the same time. You cannot explain the scale of this bust just by pointing with scorn at bone-headed borrowers. This was a disease that infected the entire financial system.

Numerous books have already tried to tackle this issue -- among them, "Plunder and Blunder," by our panelist Dean Baker. But the topic is so sprawling that we inevitably resort to abstract generalizations.

The point of Busted is to take an intimate look at the players at each step in the mania -- starting with me as a borrower, then up through my lenders and their securitizers and on up.

What I found was fascinating. My first lender, American Home Mortgage, had been a rocket of a company that was making almost $60 billion in loans a year when it blew up overnight in August 2007. The conventional wisdom holds that the junk mortgages exploded because lenders simply sold off their loans as soon as they made them, and the Wall Street securitizers immediately resold them as securities. But American Home flamed out -- second biggest bankruptcy of 2007 -- for the opposite reason: its founder decided its riskiest mortgages were so lucrative that he wanted to hold them. So American Home built up a $15 billion leveraged portfolio, borrowing 15 to 1 for the privilege.

Likewise, we all know the rating agencies screwed up massively in assigning Triple A ratings to securities backed by subprime securities. I trace back a pool of mortgages from my second lender -- a hard-core subprime lender called Fremont Investment and Loan. Wall Street couldn't get enough of its loans, even though the prospectus was a horrorshow.

When you look closely at the rating agences' models, you see that their errors were so basic and so blatant that a high-school student could have seen them. There was nothing complicated about it. The closer you look, the more outrageous it becomes. In fact, a number of experts had warned about the flaws long before the roof fell in.

Lastly, Busted has a chapter on the way that lenders systematically targeted hispanics, blacks and other borrowers who had been avoided by mainstream banks. We've all heard those accusations, but I was stunned at the stories I ran into just outside of Washington, DC in Manassas, VA. As I recount in that chapter, moreover, experts and even HUD officials had repeatedly documented the problem as early as 2000.

Those are some of the things that interest me the most. Now it's your turn to talk about what's on your mind.


38 Comments

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You say: "When you're a lead economics reporter for the Times and you admit to bungling your finances so badly, you waive any claims to mercy."

I'm not sure I agree with that. Doesn't it just speak to the complexity of our finances these days? I don't think it means that you should waive claims to mercy, it means that we should grant mercy towards all.

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I disagree, your book (and NYTM excerpt) do not detail the trials and tribulations of a "typical" subprime borrower.

You describe people who thought they deserved more than they earned. If you felt your child support and alimony payments were so "onerous", why did you agree to them? Was it because you couldn't get out of your marriage fast enough to think straight? How awful for your children to read, someday, about how much you bitched about having to pay that amount for their support.

How awful to know that at the time you pitched your book and sold it for a six figure advance, you agreed that your wife should file for bankruptcy under her name alone, based on her lack of an income, until a creditor forced her to include your income. How laughable her representations of "value" for her assets. Seriously, you bought her a $500 wedding ring? Really?

How many mutual bills (prior to your marriage) were crammed into that 2007 bankruptcy? And, really, was there was no other recourse to repaying her sister than to file bankruptcy so that her sister received nothing in settlement?

I not only question you on moral grounds, but on ethical grounds as well.

The only way in which your situation resembles a "typical" subprime borrower is in the minority of cases who feels entitled to more than their income alllows.

I do know of a few people who got caught up in subprime hell by being unsophisticated borrowers who crashed because the economy killed their jobs and ability to pay their mortgages and other bills. I've been in their homes during the Christmas Holidays when their children got nearly nothing because there was no money and the parents didn't want to take on any more debt, but you and your blended family do not fit that model.

You are far more like the cheats who lived beyond their means for years banking on home appreciation until the bubble popped. I read your NYTM excerpt and all I felt was disgust and a need to slap you both into adulthood. You have seven children depending on you and you acted as though you were uneducated fools with double digit IQ's.

"I was in love" equates to a self involved mid-life crisis without considering your children or current spouses well-being. It's navel gazing at it's worst and now you hope that you can flog this book long enough, with the help of your media friends, to make enough money to continue the charade for a few more years.

It's beyond time to sit down and take a good hard honest look into the mirror and confront what you see there.

Don't dismiss or trivialize the bankruptcies or the constant overspending (how is it possible you're $50k in credit card debt AGAIN, two years after your wife discharged $26K in miscellaneous debt and approximately 2-3 years after you refinanced and took out enough money to pay off the rest of your credit card debt?)

Please do not blame "everyone" for this crisis, there's a big reason why you have been so heavily critisized. So far, it's a minority of mortgage holders who have defaulted. There's a whole real world out there of renters who pay their bills and mortgage holders who pay their mortgage and don't run up their credit cards to cover living expenses. They cut back on expenses when their income doesn't cover current spending, but I guess you don't know about that and just hope you can sell this fabrication of honesty to dig yourself out of the hole you put yourself into.

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Why the ugly sentiment and vitriol here? Have you no empathy for other people? Who are you to say what others "deserve" or have earned and who are you to cast judgments on another person's marriage?

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At least it's eloquently ugly and vitriolic. My guess is that Bullsh*t's father didn't pay child support.

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It's also repeated in the earlier thread and just totally uncalled for though, yes, the writing is pretty good. But you know, it starts with Edmund Andrews and then this person is going to go all Rick Santelli on us and we'll never get rid of him.

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I didn't see the earlier post. Weird.

I'm just intrigued by how utterly personal, judgmental, scathing, coherent, specific, and articulate it is. It's personal for Bullsh*t, it's not a Rick Santelli rant. Something about the kids is what gets to BS.

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Wow, thanks for the "eloquently" comment, I am no wordsmith so I appreciated it.

You're right, my father never paid child support, my parents never divorced in the midst of a mid-life crisis.

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Wow, now you puport to know that the reason for some one else's divorce is "a midlife crisis." What a clear and simple world you inhabit.

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Andrews answered Bullsh*t, here.

I'm satisfied.

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Thanks Ellen, fair enough.

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That was no answer, it was simply more misdirection. Pay attention please.

Nearly 1/2 million in discharged bankruptcies, nearly 1/2 million in unpaid and unpayable mortgage debt. Who do you think ends up paying for this stuff, irresponsible people or taxpaying responsible people?

Multiply by the thousands, if not millions, of idiots.

Please don't think I favor the banks either, I lobbied hard against TARP too. There are many innocents who got caught up in this crap because they didn't know any better, but there are way too many people who did know better and did it anyway.

I'm a little bit sick of seeing them squat in houses they can't afford or walk away with hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of toys to want to bail them out because I was fiscally responsible.

If you don't understand that this is what's happening, I don't really know what I can say to you to help you understand. I have empathy for those who were tricked into these mortgages but I have zero sympathy for those who are educated, knew better, and did it anyway. There are too many in the second group for me to willingly want to pay increased taxes to bail them and their lenders out without a closer inspection of the mortgages.

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Andrews gambled that his new wife could make a substantial contribution to their joint obligations; she couldn't. Unfortunately for him he was late to recognize this misfortune. And while Andrews may be looking for a bit of empathy, I don't see him as looking for sympathy or a bailout.

Most of the TPM community was, as were you, strongly opposed to Paulson and Bernanke's TARP plans -- pre- and post- the Congress rolling over.

And yet, how people responded to the government's pushing home ownership as the principal means of satisfying the American Dream -- and making it all too possible -- remains ever fascinating.

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I have absolute empathy for people who deserve it, this author doesn't meet the criteria.

But that's just my vitriolic take on the situation.

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How empowering for you to be able to so righteously determine who is deserving of your empathy.

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Under the older rules, when you borrowed money it was the lenders money and they were pretty careful about who they lent it to and how much they put at risk on each loan. It was up to the lender to say yes/no once they got the loan application.

The borrowers could ask for whatever they wanted, knowing that one of the services the lenders performed was to tell them how risky it was and to not lend more than they were likely to pay back.

Those rules flew out the window (derivatives and mortgage backed bonds, pushed along with easy money by the federal government) and no one ever told the borrowers anything about the change in rules except - ask for it and its yours.

That's the fault of the lenders, very simply.

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Busted has a chapter on the way that lenders systematically targeted hispanics, blacks and other borrowers who had been avoided by mainstream banks. Edmund Andrews

"Lenders" were only following the lead of Bush and Rove and fulfilling the goals set out for them by "our government.".

. . . home ownership at record heights; home sales set new records last year; there are more people owning homes – particularly in the Hispanic and African-American communities – than ever before. This is a result of wise policies instituted at just the right time. Karl Rove -- Campaign '04

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"the goal is to explore in intimate detail the broader corruption and cynical recklessness that infected players at each level of the financial food chain."

Really? That would have been a good thing to do as an reporter for the New York Times while it was happening. I'll bet you would have won some sort of award for that!

It seems to me now the goal is really to peddle your book, which will add little to our understanding of the crisis, by now "exposed" pretty thoroughly. No one is reading this for your economic insight (if you had any, you would have..um...) Instead, it gives a schadenfreude thrill for all of us who behaved like grownups and bought houses we could afford. I know I enjoyed the Times Magazine excerpt-- and all the McArdle pillorying. Of course, I'm not going to spend a dime for the book. Perhaps I'll get it from the public library.

But I've got to hand it to you, you're willing to go on the TPM and be heckled and abused. So perhaps you deserve a few coins for all the joy you've brought to those who restrained their sense of self-entitlement.


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Wow, it's a tough crowd tonight!

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Come on. What profound insight into the mortgage crisis do you think this guy has? How much stuff has been written about this already? Do you really not know how it went down?

"The conventional wisdom holds that the junk mortgages exploded because lenders simply sold off their loans as soon as they made them, and the Wall Street securitizers immediately resold them as securities. But American Home flamed out -- second biggest bankruptcy of 2007 -- for the opposite reason: its founder decided its riskiest mortgages were so lucrative that he wanted to hold them."

So American Home had a lunatic founder. That doesn't alter the big picture, which Andrews' term "conventional wisdom" suggests is somehow incorrect.

"Likewise, we all know the rating agencies screwed up massively in assigning Triple A ratings to securities backed by subprime securities. ......In fact, a number of experts had warned about the flaws long before the roof fell in."

But hey, he's got some EXAMPLES!

"Lastly, Busted has a chapter on the way that lenders systematically targeted hispanics, blacks and other borrowers who had been avoided by mainstream banks. We've all heard those accusations, but I was stunned at the stories I ran into just outside of Washington, DC in Manassas, VA"

Yes, who could have imagined that corrupt lenders would take advantage of poorly-educated minorities? And of course, we haven't seen any stories like these.....on FOX news, perhaps.

Andrews is small potatoes compared to criminals like Henry Paulson, so I don't bear him the ill will that Bullsh*t seems to.

I just chuckle at the folks that will pay 26 bucks for a bunch of rehashed "analysis" + the Times Magazine piece, which was all the Schadenfreude we're going to get. Maybe he'll sell them a mortgage, while he's at it?


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Hey, I wasn't complaining! I don't cut a Times reporter any slack; in fact, I tend to be harder on them because they are the elites. I think the Times did its readers a grave disservice in its virtually nonexistent reporting on the housing bubble, and my theory is, that's because it is staffed with far too many self-interested and self-important "financial" reporters who have no sense of primary responsibility to the readers. If Edmund Andrews should be criticized for anything, it might be that he neglected his primary duty as a journalist. To me, that's more damning than criticizing his personal financial decisions. We should be merciless that he didn't do his job as a journalist. And he still doesn't seem to understand that.

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Bullsh*t, in an apparent attempt to honor his username, goes over the top with his piety and self righteousness. Gently, gently, bullshit. These people are not murderers, highwaymen, or grifters. Spraying us all with the spittle of outrage might be satisfying to you, but in the end is unconvincing as argument.

Thorstein Veblen coined the wonderful phrase "conspicuous consumption" more than a century ago. That is precisely the engine of the market economy. We encourage it.

To paraphrase the Chinese sage Lao Tzu, The man who thinks he can buy class, has none.

Or as the Buddha would have it, Unhappiness is caused by desire.

In "Civil Disobedience," Henry David Thorough famously observed, "Most men lead lives of quiet desperation and go to the grave with the song still in them."

There is precious little song in the hearts of those poor bastards who believe they are what they own and make monumentally stupid decisions in pursuit of...

Fancy rings? A more expensive house than the next guy?

Sigh!

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It's Thoreau and in my opinion they are grifters, but again, that's only a personal opinion and not actual fact.

I don't actually feel like I've "gone over the top" what's over the top is people who could never pay their mortgage who run up and discharge debt via serial bankruptcy, then run up more credit card debt and stop paying their mortgage 7+ months ago and expect sympathy. To me, that's over the top, once again that's only my opinion.

I can only hope that Mr. Andrews addresses the questions I posed with honesty, instead of diversion, in the previous thread.

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how does, as the author put it himself, 'waiving any claims to mercy' become 'expecting sympathy' in your twisted mind?

you are very clearly not, as you claim to be, outraged that the author (or anyone else) 'expects sympathy'. to the contrary, you seem to be itching for the opportunity to show no mercy whether or not anyone is begging you for any in the first place.

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Or as the Buddha would have it, Unhappiness is caused by desire

Good one!

Bullsh*t's arguments all sound like classic, classic yuppie bashing to me. One really big difference between Bullsh*t and Andrews glares at me: Andrews humbly admits his desires led him to folly and failure, but Bullsh*t desires to put everyone who has other desires in jail or something, and for everyone else to be as miserably militarily disciplined as he is.

There's also this underlying anti-East-coast-meritocracy theme I sense from his screeds: God forbid someone should get a New York Times reporting job, it's just not fair, no one should get one if everyone can't have one. If you get one, you should at least have the decency to live like Ghandi. And possibly also--I'm as smart as Andrews, why won't Norton publish my book?

And if what I sense isn't there, well, tough, it comes through to me in the writing--maybe someone should learn to make their point in a less vitriolic way that doesn't suggest as much to readers like me.

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Most came across as sincere and hardworking family people, not me-too gimmie-gimmies. Edmund Andrews

"Homeowners in high house price appreciation areas . . . borrow heavily against their home equity . . . . Our estimates suggest that home equity based borrowing . . . accounts for over 20% of new defaults in the last two years." Mian and Sufi, 4/30/2009

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This is calculatedrisk's chart of mortgage equity withdrawals.

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Ellen, what is your point here? If you notice that your house is rapidly appreciating, and you expect it to continue to do so, doesn't that make it seem less risky to borrow against it? Does that make you less hard working or more gimmie-gimmie?

Also, as for your earlier post about Bush-Rove policies of increasing lending to minority borrowers (and your vdare.com link), do you know whether the majority of subprime defaults, in terms of value, could be attributed to minority borrowers as the right wing is so eager to claim? My impression has been that people at all points on the income spectrum were borrowing beyond their means, whether it was families with $15K annual income buying $125K houses or families with $300K annual income buying $2.5M houses.

Thanks.

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Re: Defaults and Minority Borrowers

My impression is that while the government gathers and publishes (proudly) statistics on the extent of minority home loans granted, it does not gather or publish statistics on minority defaults.

In any case the relevant fact is the subprime borrower's financial prospects and not the color of his skin. And in general the financial prospects of subprime borrowers (and especially, the 2006-8 cohort) were terrible.

Nonetheless, the GSEs and the regulators told themselves it was government policy to keep the subprime pipeline open and flowing -- and they did.

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Thanks, and please forgive me for conflating skin color and income -- that was sloppy of me, and unintentional. What I was curious about was actually whether the size of the mortgages being defaulted on is uniformly distributed between large and small mortgages. The implication of the right wing argument is that the cause of the crisis was poor people buying houses they couldn't afford; I was wondering whether there were perhaps fewer rich people also buying houses they couldn't afford but because the sizes of the rich folks mortgages were so much bigger, they actually outweigh the smaller defaults in terms of effect on the overall housing crisis.

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In the debate between Mr. Andrews and his critics, indeed in the debate over whether borrowers or lenders are more to blame for this mess, I think many people are assuming that living beyond one's means is easily avoidable for everyone.

It is obviously not a good idea to bet on housing prices appreciating, and to assume that one will be able to pay back a loan based on capital gains caused by a bubble. Especially if the loan is large relative to your worth, thus making you that much more vulnerable to the disaster if the housing market collapses. But the same people who are most vulnerable, most tempted to do this, are also the ones with the greatest need. They are the ones being killed by rising health care costs, increases in gasoline prices. They are the ones who can't afford to send their kids to college. They are the ones paying more than rich people for the same things. More money, more time, more hassle. Higher interest rates.

Even more generally, the common indictment of American economic behavior -- our low savings rate of the past couple of decades, our reliance on credit -- must be viewed through the lens of declining purchasing power and stagnant household incomes. If you read the paper and see housing prices going up, and you can borrow against your house to pay the bills that seem to be accumulating for necessities, it would seem foolish not to do so. That decision proves in hindsight to have been unwise, but shouldn't reflect on your character as sincere and hardworking.

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Andrews' personal financial follies are his (and his lenders') alone, and not for us to judge. However, I really have to question the fact that the economics reporter for the nation's pompously self-titled newspaper of record was neck deep in covering assorted issues -- such as the Fed's hands off policy towards consumer lending regulation, the economic impact of a monstrous debt-financed housing bubble, etc. -- in which he had such a direct and overwhelming financial interest.

I don't know how this fits with the NYT's customary conflict-of-interest policies, but it sure seems like something he and his editors should have taken into account.

At the very least, reassignment to a less directly related beat (although it's hard to think of one off hand) would have been appropriate.

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Ned Balzer makes an important point: people falsely assume that it's easy for most people live within their means.
One big reason that household debt shot up and savings rates plunged was that real family incomes stagnated between 2000 and 2007. Meanwhile, of course, housing prices had been climbing about 40 percent faster than the rate of inflation ever since the 1990's. Finally, banks made a major push to market both credit cards and subprime mortgages to lower-income people. Poor people became the Next Big Thing.
Which brings me to this point: I am sick and tired of people who moralize about financially irresponsible borrowers as if they were scum of the earth.
I'm not trying to make excuses for my own decisions. I put myself out there as a case study for the mortgage meltdown, so throw as many stones at me as you like.
But this crisis occurred because millions of American homebuyers went over the cliff at the same time. Aside maybe from ranters like Bullsh*t, does anybody think all those people suddenly lost their sense of personal responsibility?
Wall Street developed an insatiable hunger for high-yielding loans to risky borrowers. And Ellen is right: Washington under Bush was thrilled to help out in any way it could.
Moralizing about people like me may be fun, but it isn't enlightening. Defaulting homeowners come in all sizes and colors. Some were true victims, like the El Salvadoran couple who put down $72,000 of their own money and unwittingly took out a "1 percent" Option Arm to buy a $720,000 McMansion in Virginia. Others were just nuts, like the real estate agent and his wife in southern California who bought a $3 million palace with an Option ARM and are now begging for a loan modification.
But the one thing they all have in common is the financial system, which became a machine to market, rationalize, sanitize and re-sell loans that people couldn't afford.
At the end of the day, I don't for a minute believe that most defaulting homeowners were especially bacchanalian. We're talking about houses, mostly suburban houses, not yachts or cocaine.
I cannot tell you how many earnest people have poured out their hearts to me about their mistakes. They kick themselves for borrowing too much, for not understanding their mortgage or for believing that home prices would keep soaring.
By contrast, I have yet to interview a bank executive or an investment banker, a Wall Street lawyer or a bank exec who admits he personally did anything wrong.
I admit this is partly personal. It hurts to be attacked. But until I hear Stan O'Neill or Chuck Prince or somebody from AIG apologize for their recklessness, I don't think borrowers should be start apologizing for theirs.

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I am disappointed that, with all the incredible books published, and authors who have toiled away on them and are not ethically challenged, TPM has chosen to give Andrews and Busted a forum here. Andrews is overexposed indeed.

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Frankly, I saw the excerpt in the NYT magazine, and I was absolutely transfixed. Sneaked away from family breakfast to read it undisturbed. Continue with the righteous blaming if you must, but I recommend the book. I thought it was a really interesting read, in a train wreck sort of way.

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I don't think any of us believe that it's "easy" to live within our means, Mr. Andrews. But the fact remains that, easy or not, the great number of people castigating you are managing to do just that, which is likely the root of the criticisms. Those of us who ALWAYS live within our means are getting punished along with everyone else in this economy as we lose or fear losing our jobs, even though we personally did nothing to add to the credit crisis.

I'd have sympathy for you if you had, say, just written about your experiences for the NYT without further financial benefit than your regular pay. I'd think you were brave to put your obvious failings out there for all to see and, hopefully, learn from. Instead you appear to be using your foolish decisions as fodder to make money through the book, at a time when all of us out here who pay ALL our bills, never file bankruptcy or can't imagine stopping paying the mortgage in an attempt to force our lenders to renegotiate are looking at paying a lot more in taxes to bail out the greed and excesses of others. You might also note that we've never rented a beach house, shopped at J.Crew, bought fancy cheeses, or purchased a house with a mortgage payment equal to 100% of our take home pay. These might be some of the reasons why we find it possible to live within our means, if not exactly easy.

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True, but by the same token, there are some who through no fault of their own -- loss of employment, catastrophic illness, uninsured or underinsured disaster -- have found it IMPOSSIBLE to live within their means. That's what personal bankruptcy was designed to address, and applying for bankruptcy doesn't automatically make someone the scum of the earth.

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Well, if yuo liked the Magazine excerpt, you'll love the book.

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Oh, for pete's sake, stop shilling for yourself already. You want people to buy your book. We get it. People who are inclined to buy it, will, and people who aren't, won't. Those of us on the fence are turned off by your flop sweat desperation. Have some dignity, please.

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