Will The Fascist Iran Regime Collapse?
Gary Sick, who knows as much about Iran as any American, thinks that the whole Iranian situation might not be under anyone's control. Khameini seems confused. And Mousavi is not in charge of the masses in the street. This could come down to the Revolutionary Guards vs. the people. Tony Karon, whose writing on the Middle East is invariably on target, says this in TIME.
In these situations the thugs usually win win. But the world has spun a few times since 1989 when one monstrous regime after another collapsed. One minute Ceausescu was on the balcony speaking and the next minute he was dead.
No one expected the collapse of the satellite regimes or the Stalinist state. But they fell anyway and without the assistance of the revolutionary new media.
On the other hand, Iran could go the way of China after Tienanmen.
In any case, President Obama is playing it just right. Given our history with Iran, the best gift we can give the Iranian people is to butt out.
But I can't help but feel joy at the possibility that a vicious fascist regime is teetering.

















gideon levy is green with envy about iran.
"It's true, there is liberty in Israel, but only for us, the Jews. We have a regime that is no less tyrannical than the ayatollahs' regime: the regime of the officers and the settlers in the territories. But what do we have to do with any of this? In Iran, police disperse demonstrations with violence, they shoot and kill. And what do we do?
When you get a chance, go on Friday to Na'alin or Bil'in and see what happens there. Demonstrators are killed here with similar brutality, but in Iran the crowd is standing up to a tyrannical regime, while here only a handful of brave people stand up to the Border Police, who are firing weapons. Moreover, we hardly write anything about the protest being silenced with bullets. It interests no one, and this, too, is called democracy. " haaretz
June 18, 2009 7:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
To be fair, MJ, another thing President Obama might do for the people of Iran is to make at least some expressions of sympathy to remind them (and also to get it on record for the rest of the world) that we actually DO support their efforts at trying to make their supposed "democracy" more transparent and accountable.
But subtly; and with another reminder that this really IS an Iranian thing, and we (the US) can't and won't "intervene" - the last thing the Green Movement protesters need is any more "proof", as the mullahcracy claims, that they are merely stooges for "outside" agencies.
June 18, 2009 8:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have to disagree on your characterization of the theocracy as fascist,but we have to stay out of internal Iranian politics.
June 18, 2009 8:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
After 30 Years, Jimmy Carter Finally Gets His 'Iranian Revenge'
http://satiricalpolitical.com/?p=7467
June 18, 2009 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Vicious fascist regime" is a description only a biased, dishonest commenter would make.
June 18, 2009 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Given our history with Iran, the best gift we can give the Iranian people is to butt out."
That's obviously true, but part of US history with Iran is unremitting covert meddling, going back to the overthrow of Mohammad Mosaddeq. Therefore, the idea that the US is keeping out of the current situation is wildly improbable. Obama's reassurances to the contrary are standard presidential boilerplate--even Bush said things like that (when he wasn't promoting 'regime change.'
June 18, 2009 10:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
i think green is the new orange.
in the end it will have been much ado about not much.
June 18, 2009 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have always thought this was bound to happen eventually. By nature Persians are not the most likely people to embrace fundamentalist/extremist Islam. It is about a proud people, proud of their national history, saying it is more important that we remain good Persians instead of good Muslims.
June 18, 2009 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
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April 28, 2011 2:31 AM | Reply | Permalink