'Traditional media have completely failed us' (Iranians turn to brave citizen journalists)
video from Iran News blogspot
Iranian-Canadian Amir Safavi-Naeini writes re Iran:
Just thought I'd let you in quickly on what has happened in the last 24 hours.
Some of these reports are still in Farsi, and I'll translate. Basically, last night, according to phone call to Voice of America from one of the people inside Mousavi's election committee, Mohsen Makhmalbaf, the following happened:
The Interior Ministry called Mousavi, told him... he'd won. Told the progressive newspapers to avoid printing the word "victory" in publications. Then it seems like "they" essentially changed their minds. All mobiles in Tehran are shut off. The power in the city is shut off. Armed and plain clothes officers are sent to main streets and intersections. Rafsanjani, Noori and Mousavi attempted to contact the leader regarding this, and most of the night is spent with them in meetings, trying to figure out how suddenly AN [Ahmadinejad] is winning exactly 66% regardless of location.
Now Iran is a country where Farsi speakers are a minority. In previous elections there have always been huge variations based on ethnicity, and previous Azeri candidates have won disproportionately in Azeri regions. Mousavi is Azeri. If we are to believe the election results, Ahmadinejad won 60% in Mousavi's home town. Karroubi is from Lorestan, in the previous election he won 5M votes, because all the Lor voted for him. This time, he's essentially come 5th in a 4 person race if one counts the invalid ballots. Apparently AN won >60% in Karroubi's home town, a town which overwhelmingly voted for him previously. The results have been clearly falsified. For the expatriate results, they've given more than half to A.N.; another clear falsification.
Back to Iran, on June 13th, Khamenei, without agreeing to meet with Mousavi, Karroubi and Rafsanjani, validated the election results, essentially removing all legal ways by which the results may be disputed. He did this the very next day. Usually he takes 3 days, to insure there are no irregularities.
In the morning (June 13th) people took to the streets, demonstrations seem to have been spontaneous and have become violent in many parts. There are pictures of burning police motorcycles and bleeding protesters and officers, and films of plain clothes cops grabbing leaders. Here is a blog which essentially captures what has been happening in pictures and clips: http://iran101.blogspot.com/
There are reports of deaths, though it seems like "hokm'e tir" (license to fire guns) has not been given.
On another front, Mousavi is placed under house arrest. Leading reformers are arrested, including Khatami's brother and his wife. 10s of reporters are also arrested.
Various cities have been put under military rule, including Tabriz (Mousavi's home town, an ethnic Azeri city) and Qom; Shia Islam's Vatican city.
All mobiles have been shut off for the last 24 hours or so. Facebook, Twitter, etc. are blocked ("filtered"). All foreign reporters have been asked to leave.
Most disturbing are the (English) tweets of Farhad: http://twitter.com/Change_for_Iran, a university student at Tehran who has been walled up inside the University of Tehran residences. Example: "Ahmadynezad now calls himself 'seyed' (bloodline of prophet mohammad) & wearing a green shawl on state TV! unbelievable!"
You have to understand, traditional media has completely failed us. Iranians out of country have been glued to Facebook and Twitter and YouTube and blogs, since they are the only fast and reliable sources of news. We feel completely helpless outside the country and can only imagine what those inside (who we cannot contact) must be feeling.
A Farsi twitter feed which has been silent for last few hours is that of (previously jailed) F. Ghazi, a brave Iranian citizen journalist.
http://twitter.com/Iranbaan
We can only hope and pray that today will bring another relatively bloodless day for the streets of Tehran, Shiraz, Tabriz, Qom, Esfehan, Babol, etc.
P.S. Please also note this source in EN/Farsi: http://twitter.com/Gita.
**
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My God those brave people.
President Obama what are you going to do to help them?
June 15, 2009 12:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
President Obama can do little. We've messed with Iran before with terrible results. Plus we occupy the countries on Iran's east and west. Probably not wise to start meddling outright there too.
All we can do is hope, pray, and offer our support. I think that the onus of Democracy is always on the people. If they want more than the in-name-only Democracy they have now, they will have to demand it. The U.N. can and should help though, if only to offer demands that Iran address these "irregularities".
But you're right, these are such brave people. My worry is that the government won't back down like Ukraine's did in their Orange Revolution. But they have every right to demand a fair count. Every right.
June 15, 2009 2:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are right, democracy isn't granted - its demanded by the people and wrested away from the corrupt.
I'm hoping for no bloodshed, but history doesn't support that hope.
I can't help but feel all this is interconnected: the murder of Dr. Tiller, the shooting death at the Holocaust Museum, U.N. resolution against N. Korea and now a stolen election in Iran.
I think those that would drag us into the past aren't going to let go peacefully.
June 15, 2009 3:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
According to surveys taken in Iran in early 2008 by WorldPublicOpinion.org and Terror Free Tomorrow:
(66%) of those polled approved of "the way President Ahmadinejad is handling his job as president"
http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/brmiddleeastnafricara/527.php
Since then, the incumbent MA has been grandstanding with progress in nuclear technology, putting a sattelie in orbit, etc. These, as well as populist ecenomic policies such as doubling of pensions, repeated tours of the countryside, retaining a modest life style, etc would lead to the next set of findings:
Another poll by the same organization says:
"In a rare independent nationwide survey before the June Presidential elections, Iranians of every political inclination are united in their desire for greater democracy, economic progress and better relations with the United States. While our uncensored poll shows incumbent President Ahmadinejad in the lead with a plurality of support"
http://terrorfreetomorrow.org/articlenav.php?id=5
The poll was presented and here's the clip:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WSH8-LYJ9nM
June 15, 2009 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
My thoughts are with the people of Iran. They are very brave. I feel so very sad for what is happening. I don't understand why the EU accepted the results?
I find it very disturbing the way the whole thing was handled. If what you say is true those in power wanted the people to revolt. This seems to be what they wanted because they did not even attempt to make the election look close and someone called Mousavi to tell him he had won. They seem to have deliberately infuriated and tricked the people and now can appear justified in arresting many of the opposition.
I am wondering how other Arab countries are feeling about this situation?
June 15, 2009 5:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
"...I find it very disturbing the way the whole thing was handled. If what you say is true those in power wanted the people to revolt..."
What do you mean -- which ones in power? I thought the planting of fear and intimidation before the election seemed to show those in power definitely didn't want to see a revolt? Maybe all this just had to happen regardless? Maybe it was the only way to break a standoff?
Over @ the Nation:
And now because he's feeling vulnerable, Ahmadinejad is desperately trying to maintain the loyalty of 'his' low-information voters by calling "...himself 'seyed' (bloodline of prophet mohammad) & wearing a green shawl on state TV..." Now where's that tactic been used before?
Unfortunately, maybe this was the only way to try and grapple power away from a shrewd manipulator?
The EU accepting the results may have been a good move -- it showed the Iranian Regime that it was not prepared to interfere. Time is needed here, for what just maybe is an important internal power struggle? For outside influences to be seen to intervene now could do far more harm than good.
And now we are hearing "Iran supreme leader orders probe of election." From my reading of history most revolutions -- even mini ones don't start off being peaceful.
Even if Ahmadinejad remains in power -- maybe this has caused enough of a political shift that some positive changes will come out of all this. I can hope.
June 15, 2009 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Nation: Iran's Ex-Foreign Minister Yazdi: It's A Coup
by Robert Dreyfuss
June 15, 2009 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
According to your report, Phillip and Adam, Amar said: "The Interior Ministry called Mousavi, told him... he'd won. Told the progressive newspapers to avoid printing the word "victory" in publications."
Is there a verifiable record of this phone call from the Interior Ministry?
June 15, 2009 6:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's send our former President Carter over there to analyze the election results. You remember him, don't you? He's the President who negotiated the hostages out of Iranian captivity in 1979.
June 15, 2009 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ross, moving on-- to where?
by Helena Cobban
June 15, 2009
http://justworldnews.org/archives/003615.html
June 15, 2009 12:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
"'Traditional media have completely failed us' ([Americans] turn to brave citizen journalists)"
http://michaelfury.wordpress.com/2008/09/17/barry-jennings-speaks/
June 15, 2009 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink