Advice For Partisans: Question Your Own Talking Points

My advice to Democratic and Republican insiders is that they should stop falling for their own traditional talking points. It's understandable if you keep spouting them in public, but it's inane to believe your own propaganda in private.
For example, Democrats think they are against increasing inequalities in wealth, while standard Republican ideology suggests they should be suspicious of public schools. Republicans, however, should keep in mind that there's a famous city that has so many rich people and has public schools so dysfunctional that a full 30% of children attend private schools, roughly triple the national average. You would think this bastion of "school choice" would be a friendly to Republican candidates. But, it's not. It is ...
San Francisco.
A study of census data by the New York Times found that in San Francisco the 50th percentile of income for non-Hispanic white parents of small children fell at $150,763. That explains a lot about why the City by the Bay is last in the country in percentage of residents under 18, below even retirement havens such as Palm Beach.
Similarly, Democrats denounce economic inequality while Republicans defend it. Yet, in states where inequality has grown substantially over the years, such as California and the Wall Street states around New York City, Democrats have done increasingly well for themselves. California used to be a paradise for the common man, but now it resembles Latin America in its inequalities.
In contrast, Republicans do best in the Great Basin and Great Plains, where economic and social equality is most pervasive.
Indeed, Republican candidates seem to do best in those places where people are most satisfied with their kids' public schools, where middle class parents feel they won't be damaging their own children by subjecting them to the public schools. By lifting one of the fearsome expenses of bourgeois family life, good public schools raise the odds that middle class people will make the transition at a younger age and in greater numbers from single Democrat to married Republican.
My advice to Democrats is to study how California has become so family-unfriendly, with its low wages and high land costs, and then Californicate the rest of the country. California's descent in recent decades into inequality, unaffordable housing, and bad schools (California now ranks in the bottom tier, just above Mississippi, on the National Assessment of Educational Progress tests) has been very, very good for the national Democratic Party.
Democrats might not much like the country they will wind up with, but the Democratic Party will win lots of elections.
And isn't that what really counts?.
Republicans should also study California, as an example of what not to do. Ben Franklin explained in 1751 that human beings are happiest where land is cheap and labor is dear, so family formation is affordable. Yet, Bush and McCain, both enthusiasts for mass immigration, favored increasing the supply of labor and increasing the demand for land. By the Law of Supply and Demand that translates, all else being equal, into lower wages and higher housing costs, which is exactly what we got during the recent Housing Bubble.
So, how's that grand strategy working out for you Republicans lately?
Franklin advocated immigration restriction 258 years ago. Maybe that was a little premature, but old Ben understood the basic concepts of supply and demand. John McCain sure didn't.
Of course, if Republican elites start finally doing something to make family formation more affordable, such as paying unemployed illegal immigrants to go home, they'll be denounced as racists. But, they are denounced as racists anyway. So, it's time for Republicans to study the wisdom of Ben Franklin.

















My advice: Philosophize with a hammer.
Do you assume partisans want the world to be better, or just conditions on the ground for their team?
Most humans act on impulse and habit, which apparently few of us have learned our way past.
April 23, 2009 8:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's no philosopher, it is only a social-scientiser.[1]
So many mistakes, so little use in arguing with this particular sort of Hero of Error! The white-coated lab ratfink who really does resemble Gov. Wallace's cartoon of the Yankee perfesser who can't park her bicycle straight.
However since the mistake it starts with is a whopper, let's take one (1.000±0.0) whack:
As if most people were smart enough to be cynics, or even consistent liars!
Unless we are being spoofed [2], Dr. Rappacini here wants everybody in politics to be a cynic, which would certainly make American politics his sort of garden![3]
Myself, I have not yet detected even a single pol who is capable of that feat since we lost Senator D. Patrick Moynihan of New York.
Happy days.
___
[1] The philosopher thinks critically; the other sort cherish a conceptual rabbit's foot often called "scientific method."
[2] Spoof is a genuine possibility, it looks like to me from "[the GOP] paying unemployed illegal immigrants to go home [and gettin' themselves] denounced as racists."
But God knows best.
[3] "Nothing could exceed the intentness with which this scientific gardener examined every shrub which grew in his path; it seemed as if he was looking into their inmost nature, making observations in regard to their creative essence, and discovering why one leaf grew in this shape, and another in that, and wherefore such and such flowers differed among themselves in hue and perfume. Nevertheless, in spite of the deep intelligence on his part, there was no approach to intimacy between himself and these vegetable existences. On the contrary, he avoided their actual touch, or the direct inhaling of their odors, with a caution that impressed Giovanni most disagreeably; for the man's demeanor was that of one walking among malignant influences, such as savage beasts, or deadly snakes, or evil spirits, which, should he allow them one moment of license, would wreak upon him some terrible fatality."
And so on, and so forth. There is lots more fun where that came from .
April 23, 2009 10:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Ben Franklin explained in 1751 that human beings are happiest where land is cheap and labor is dear, so family formation is affordable. "
Republicans rule the roost between the coasts and cities as you wrote, where humans are rather scarce. RNC offered McCain, from Arizona, and Palin, from Alaska as nominees to represent 300,000,000 Americans. Combined, they represent [(http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/02000.html)683,478+ 6,338,755=] a little more than 7 million Americans, a hair over 2%. 770,000 square miles, with an average of 9 people per square mile.
You mentioned the RNC nominee's lack of economic intelligence, but failed to mention Bush's. Reagan's ignorance turned into a force of nature, and another area where partisans wear blinders. Reagan invigorated the economy with red ink and giveaways to the paper pushing industry, which came back to bite his VP, got ameliorated by Clinton getting the country back to work, and came back when Bush jumped into the irresponsibility ethic with both feet up to his monkey ears. Is the notion of Republicans as stoic stewards of our economic interests mere artifact? They pretend otherwise.
Good post.
April 23, 2009 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
"My advice to Democratic and Republican insiders..."
My advice to anyone who would be an insider to the present Republican party is to listen to John McCain's daughter.
April 23, 2009 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Indeed. We should listen to her. Because she inherited her money from mom and her political experience from her dad. Not just any dad, but a dad who just lost the presidency by a whopping 7%.
April 25, 2009 2:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
California should be a blue state based on income. CA ranks 7th in per capita income, but adjusted by the cost of living it ranks 45th.
New York drops from 4th to 22nd after adjusting for cost of living.
New Jersey and Connecticut switch positions in 1 and 2, but they both suffer from the "Bill Gates walked into the bar, and on average we were all billionaires" problem. Average per capita income doesn't carry enough information about income distributions and about what conditions around Newark, Trenton, Camden, Hartford, New Haven and Bridgeport are like.
April 23, 2009 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Steve,
It's good to see you posting here. This website's contributors are sharp and well-informed, and they truly do care about the welfare of America's working people. I hope that one day they will be forced by the logic and facts that illegal immigration is a disaster for this country's working class African-American and white men.
Now, as to your statement, "My advice to Democratic and Republican insiders is that they should stop falling for their own traditional talking points. It's understandable if you keep spouting them in public, but it's inane to believe your own propaganda in private."
What makes you think that the insiders (that is, top echelon) does fall for its own garbage? At least, in the case of the Democrats, you have proven that they don't. They talk a great game aboutt equality and send their kids to fancy private schools. T
There's a word for this and it's called being a big fat lying phony. (Actually that is several words.)
Also I am not sure that Republican talking points include being IN FAVOR of income inequality. The Republican talking point on the subject of education is school choice. So it's not against their own propaganda to be against public schools.
April 23, 2009 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Concerned: Open your eyes and read dude!
Steve says that in sparsely populated areas people are republicans and send their kids to public schools.
April 23, 2009 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
i'm going to guess mr. sailer is trying to be provocative here so i'll cut him some slack. but it should be noted that since the late 70's CA fiscal policy has effectively been run by Republicans regardless of who controlled the Leg or the Governors' office.
Consider that it takes a simple majority to cut taxes (and services) while it takes 2/3 to maintain 'em. Add to that a generation of anti-tax fever, an electorate that is older and whiter than the rest of the population, a crazy ass prison-industrial complex that sucks up revenue, and the baseline public sector disinvestment brought on by prop. 13 and you have a pretty good answer of why the golden state has a whole lot of tarnish on it.
As for San Francisco, it's been my understanding that the high proportion of private school attending kids has been fairly constant over time. Our biggest problem these days is the massive disconnect between wages for the great portion of the population and the cost of housing. We've done some things to help with the former, but the latter is a very tough nut to crack in a mostly built out city of 47 sq. miles.
April 23, 2009 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe taxes are still higher than average in California. Their top marginal tax-rate for single-filers (10.3% for over $1,000,000 & 9.3% for over $47,000) is the highest in the country. Since their top rate kicks in at such a high income I should note the runners up which are Rhode Island with 9.9% over $357,700 and Vermont with 9.5% over $357,700.
April 23, 2009 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, the above is a good example of the conventional wisdom explanation of California's problems: no mention of immigration whatsoever.
California has by far the highest percentage of foreign-born residents of any state in the country (26% of all California residents in the 2000 Census), but immigration can't possibly have anything to do with things like the foreclosure crisis centered in California or the terrible NAEP test scores of California's public school students, or the low wages relative to living costs for working class Californians. The Law of Supply and Demand was apparently repealed when it comes to the effects of immigration.
Obviously, massive immigration into California has been very, very good to Democratic Presidential candidates (although its effect on Californians ... not so much).
Immigrants lean heavily Democratic in their voting. Moreover, the increased supply of labor drives down wages and drives up land prices. This drives family-oriented people out of California (which is one reason Great Basin states got so Republican over the last few decades), and it makes it harder for people of more middling-tastes to afford to form families in California, making the GOP's "family values" appeals just annoying background noise.
April 23, 2009 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr. Sailer;
tis a shame we weren't given the chance here at TPM to discuss your book:
America's Half-Blood Prince: Barack Obama's "Story of Race and Inheritance"
April 23, 2009 11:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can feel free to recommend it for the next edition of the book club. Personally I'm tired of hearing about Obama since the election cycle and a book-length review of an an autobiography is not my cup of tea, even if it were a reviewer as capable as Richard Grenier. I also suspect that if Obama's book in particular was interesting enough, more people other than Steve would have read it.
April 24, 2009 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jesus Christ. Steve Sailer posting on TPM. I . . . am flabbergasted.
April 24, 2009 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
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