Proposed Focus of Congressional Hearings on Afghanistan and Pakistan
President Obama is about to complete his Afghanistan review, and already has proposed $144 billion for Iraq/Afghanistan in FY2009, $130 in FY2010, and $50 billion as a place marker for FY2011 and beyond. These figures are optimistic and not yet broken down between Iraq and Afghanistan/Pakistan. But Afghanistan funding from 2001 into 2009 has been $173 billion overall, according to the Congressional Research Service, and is certain to rise.
Two facts loom: if Obama sinks into a quagmire in Afghanistan/Pakistan, at the current rate of spending these wars will cost over one trillion in taxpayer dollars -direct and indirect- at the end of his first term. If American casualties continue increasing, they could be approaching a death toll of one thousand at the end of that term as well.
As Obama inherits Bush's wars, this is an important moment for Congress to assert a new role in critical oversight and not repeat the dysfunctional deadlocks between the executive and legislative branches which led to so much secrecy, false accounting and mismanagement in Iraq. If the current Congress actively pursues oversight and insists on transparency and accountability, the media, interested public and peace movement will have the information necessary to play their critical functions in wartime.
Already there are some signs of a greater openness in the Obama era with the Justice Department's disclosure of the Bush-era memos on presidential powers, permission for photo coverage of returning military coffins, and the promise to include war costs in the regular budgetary process. These are important steps away from the past. But make no mistake, the administration is expanding our military commitments in both Afghanistan and Pakistan without President Obama having completed his policy review. While few in Congress are ready to oppose the president over Afghanistan and Pakistan, now is the time for an independent review before the escalation deepens any further.
Congressional hearings are urgently needed on at least the following:
[1] EXIT STRATEGY AND TIMELINES. What goals will the administration set for Afghanistan and Pakistan, what measurements of progress will the administration employ, and who will monitor that progress? In the case of Afghanistan, the administration appears to be setting diplomatic/political goals, using military means; in Pakistan, the administration is setting certain military goals, especially the defeat of al-Qaeda, as well as diplomatic/political ones. Under the Bush presidency, Congress demanded exit strategies, timelines, and regular progress reports [benchmark assessment reports]. This Congress should require this administration to accurately measure progress towards its goals and be held accountable for that progress. Over time, the Congress will be divided between those who oppose and those who support the wars, but they should be united in expecting open debate, full disclosure, and standards of accountability from the new administration. Respected anti-war experts like Chalmers Johnson, William Polk, Juan Cole, Andrew Bacevich and Robert Fisk should be among those invited to testify.
[2] TRANSPARENT BUDGETING. The true costs of these wars should be readily available to Congress and the public, not hidden and minimized as during the Bush years. Experts like Joseph Stiglitz and Linda Bilmes should be asked to prepare testimony suggesting the best methodologies for estimating the direct and indirect costs of these wars over time, and the administration and Congress should adhere to those models in preparing and disclosing their budgets.
[3] DISCLOSURE OF CASUALTIES. The Bush administration was successful in blurring, hiding and downplaying estimates of civilian and military casualties, even American ones. As a result, there was never an agreed consensus on real casualty figures, and public outrage was hobbled. For these wars, rational guidelines for establishing casualty numbers should be agreed in the new Congress. John Tirman at MIT, the authors of the 2006 Johns Hopkins reports and the British Lancet surveys should be called to testify as to comprehensive and honest reporting methodologies for casualties - killed and wounded - among all civilians as well as military forces.
[4] CORRUPTION IN CONTRACTING. For Iraq, Congress finally created a special unit, the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction [SIGIR], to monitor and report on billions of tax dollars lost on criminal waste, fraud and abuse. Will Congress extend the Special Inspector General's mandate to Afghanistan and Pakistan, and provide greater oversight powers as needed? It should.
[5] HUMAN RIGHTS AND TORTURE. The prison at Bagram Airbase already is suspected of being another Abu Ghraib in the making. The administration should describe how its recent executive order on torture at Guantanamo applies to Afghanistan/Pakistan, how human rights standards will be enforced and funded, whether human rights lawyers and media will be allowed independent contact with detainees, and what limits if any will be placed on policies such as "preventive incarceration" and extra-judicial targeted assassinations which have been employed in Iraq. Critics of the Bush policies from the Center for Constitutional Rights, Human Rights Watch, ACLU, and reporters like Jane Mayer and Mark Danner should testify on transparency and accountability on human rights issues.
These are some examples of process reforms, as distinct from questions of whether these wars are in our interest and should be funded in the first place. Both tracks should be pursued at the same time. But since it is doubtful that the Democratic Congress, except for a prophetic few, will oppose the wars and cut funding anytime in the near future, the questions of greater disclosure, transparency and accountability become all the more important in the immediate furture. One can only hope that truth will not be the first casualty in the Obama wars. The peace movement, which was a major constituency in the 2006 and 2008 elections, has a right to expect a more open, evidence-based, legal and accountable set of policies in the coming wars than in the disgracefully-manipulated Iraq war. If the truth is fully disclosed, the American people will be better able to decide on whether to support these wars in the days ahead.




















The thing we have going for us with Obama is that he is willing to learn and change because of what he learns. He is no idealogue. If he wasn't that way, we would have reason to be deeply depressed over his current policy of substituting a morass in Afghanistan/Pakistan for a morass in Iraq.
My hope is that as his team, and Congress studies the situation in those countries, they will come to the obvious truth that military force is not going to gain us anything in either area. And, they will discover that once a military force is committed in Afghanistan it is brutal to try to get them back out. Meanwhile, Afghanistan will continue to be Afghanistan.
I also hope that they will be willing to acknowledge that "al Qaeda" is largely a propaganda construct of the Bush era, so the only way to defeat it is to acknowledge that it is more smoke and mirrors than a real organization, and move on to something important.
I also hope Santa Claus brings me a new and wonderful computer next December.
March 9, 2009 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, we’re at war with Pakistan now, too? Did anyone bother to clear that with Congress? Oh, right, we don’t do that anymore. The last eight years remind me of Chico and Groucho Marx negotiating a contract- neither can agree, so Groucho rips off pieces of the contract, clause by clause (including the “of sound mind” sanity clause because Chico doesn’t believe in Sanity Clause). The problem is that it’s the Constitution that is so willingly shredded by our public servants. I’m hoping for the best, like Hoppy, but I don’t think they believe in Sanity Clause in D.C. either.
Thanks for this post and perhaps we'll get many of those things. But they'll have to come from the administration as our Congress have proven time and again they only follow, never lead (ironically, it may be the Republicans who lead us out of some of these messes just by being the No Party).
If not for a long hard-pressed lawsuit by the ACLU, the memos would not have been released (though Bush wouldn’t have released them anyway). Obama is closing Gitmo, which is great, but how he does it is the important question. For the most part, his DOJ has argued the same “state secrets” privileges in the cases they’ve faced so far (and indicted the last American being held as an enemy combatant before SCOTUS could rule on the legality of denying habeas). Compared to Bush, Obama is clear as a blue sky. But the true transparency that he has promised has yet to materialize.
Of course, Obama warned that he would be escalating in Afghanistan. How much and for how long? It is already a quagmire on a small scale in that there is no strategy at all, much less an exit strategy. And it is more dangerous of becoming a large, endless quagmire than Iraq was due to terrain and the Pakistani junction, no infrastructure outside of Kabul, drug-financed tribalism, and its fundamentalist nature. If Obama is going to leave 50,000 troops in Iraq as a “training force” (damn, those Iraqis are slow learners, aren’t they?), how many will be needed to fight a real war in AfghaPakanistan?
March 9, 2009 9:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Afghani Americans with whom I've spoken are appalled at the sheer stupidity of our on-going policies in Afghanistan - primarily the huge amounts of money we're pouring into the country, most of it going into the pockets of government officials and tribal power-structures while the rest of the country is rapidly sinking into a 5th world economy. They're unable to understand why our people on the ground over there are blind to what's been happening for years.
As far as Iraq is concerned I continue to subscribe to the tautology, "we must stay in Iraq in order to defeat those who do not want us in Iraq" which in my head pretty much summarizes our Iraq 'policy' for the last 6 years.
Obama etal must get out of their American box, perhaps even think creatively? Has it ever occurred to anyone that Iraqis may prefer the UAE model of a loose federation of 7 tribal states, each overseen by a prince and ruled by a president/king? Of course not.
(Besides our fondness for 'boxes' there's American exceptionalism - our infinite capacity for innocence when it comes to the consequences of our actions.)
By this time in our history, our repetitive behavior around foreign policy has gone from being a habit to being a medical diagnosis. The American 'vision' thing has morphed into an hallucination.
March 10, 2009 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is all so funny. The Americans discussing in what form they should be part of problems across the globe. How many troops in Iraq and Afghanistan are required? What should be the spending on these wars ?( not development of troubled areas) and weather its the right time to leave a country which we have almost destroyed or we should play another round? Are these the questions ?
Is there any connection between these American wars and the economic recession ? Those billions spent on arms could have been earnings of those 45 thousand who applied for un-employment benefits this year?
April 4, 2009 3:05 AM | Reply | Permalink